The evolution of liver transplantation during 3 decades: analysis of 5347 consecutive liver transplants at a single center.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze a 28-year single-center experience with orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) for patients with irreversible liver failure. BACKGROUND: The implementation of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in 2002 represented a fundamental shift in liver donor allocation to recipients with the highest acuity, raising concerns about posttransplant outcome and morbidity. METHODS: Outcomes and factors affecting survival were analyzed in 5347 consecutive OLTs performed in 3752 adults and 822 children between 1984 and 2012, including comparisons of recipient and donor characteristics, graft and patient outcomes, and postoperative morbidity before (n = 3218) and after (n = 2129) implementation of the MELD allocation system. Independent predictors of survival were identified. RESULTS: Overall, 1-, 5-, 10-, and 20-year patient and graft survival estimates were 82%, 70%, 63%, 52%, and 73%, 61%, 54%, 43%, respectively. Recipient survival was best in children with biliary atresia and worst in adults with malignancy. Post-MELD era recipients were older (54 vs 49, P < 0.001), more likely to be hospitalized (50% vs 47%, P = 0.026) and receiving pretransplant renal replacement therapy (34% vs 12%, P < 0.001), and had significantly greater laboratory MELD scores (28 vs 19, P < 0.001), longer wait-list times (270 days vs 186 days, P < 0.001), and pretransplant hospital stays (10 days vs 8 days, P < 0.001). Despite increased acuity, post-MELD era recipients achieved superior 1-, 5-, and 10-year patient survival (82%, 70%, and 65% vs 77%, 66%, and 58%, P < 0.001) and graft survival (78%, 66%, and 61% vs 69%, 58%, and 51%, P < 0.001) compared with pre-MELD recipients. Of 17 recipient and donor variables, era of transplantation, etiology of liver disease, recipient and donor age, prior transplantation, MELD score, hospitalization at time of OLT, and cold and warm ischemia time were independent predictors of survival. CONCLUSIONS: We present the world's largest reported single-institution experience with OLT. Despite increasing acuity in post-MELD era recipients, patient and graft survival continues to improve, justifying the "sickest first" allocation approach.

Liver transplantation for hepatitis B liver disease and concomitant hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States With hepatitis B immunoglobulin and nucleoside/nucleotide analogues.

Reinfection with hepatitis B virus (HBV) after liver transplantation (LT) may favor the recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and combination therapy with hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) and nucleoside/nucleotide analogues may reduce HBV recurrence after LT. To test associations between HBV, HCC, and survival, we performed a retrospective chart review of patients undergoing LT for HBV between January 1985 and December 2010 at 7 US transplant centers. After we divided the patients into 3 eras based on evolving strategies in antiviral therapy (1985-1994, 1995-2004, and 2005-2010), we reviewed 16 variables to determine whether there were associations between survival and HCC recurrence. Seven hundred thirty-eight patients underwent transplantation for HBV, and 354 (48.0%) had concomitant HCC, which recurred in 58 patients (16.4%). Three-year survival was much better in era 3 versus era 1 (87% versus 40%, P = 0.001), and the incidence of HCC recurrence was lower (12% versus 29%, P = 0.009). The lungs were the most frequent first site of HCC recurrence, and they were followed by the liver. A multivariate analysis showed that HBV reinfection, HCC recurrence, and HBIG use were associated with worse survival (P < 0.001, P < 0.001, and P = 0.002, respectively); HCC recurrence and stage 3 HCC, among other factors, were associated with HBV reinfection (P < 0.001 and P = 0.004); and stage 3 HCC, vascular invasion of the explanted tumor, and post-LT chemotherapy were associated with HCC recurrence (P = 0.008, P < 0.001, and P < 0.001, respectively). Patients with HBV reinfection were 3.6 times more likely than patients without HBV to have HCC recurrence. These data suggest further study of attempts at LT for patients with HBV and HCC beyond the Milan criteria if their HBV is aggressively and successfully treated.

Multicenter review of liver transplant for hepatitis B-related liver disease: disparities in gender and ethnicity.

Orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) is the preferred treatment for selected patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver disease. This study aimed to (i) define long-term outcomes following OLT for HBV; (ii) to quantify the incidence of HBV recurrence (rHBV) as it relates to anti-HBV treatment; and (iii) to determine outcomes for specific patient subgroups. We performed a retrospective chart review of 738 patients undergoing OLT between 1985 and 2010 at seven US transplant centers and divided the patients into 3 eras, 1985-1994, 1995-2004, and 2005-2010, based on hepatitis B immunoglobulin and antiviral therapies. In Era 3, female gender (p = 0.002), recurrent hepatocellular cancer (p < 0.001), and retransplantation (p = 0.01) were significantly associated with worse survival on multivariate analysis. Survival at three yr was poor for all ethnicities in Era 1, but significantly improved for all except black Americans by Era 3. Era 2 data showed a continued increase in rHBV from five to 10 yr (16.6%, 26.2%). In conclusion, while OLT outcomes have improved because of combination antiviral and immunoglobulin therapy, women and black Americans may not have realized an equal benefit. The rate of rHBV is significant even 10 yr post-transplant with survival affected.

Liver transplantation for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis: the new epidemic.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze incidence, outcomes, and utilization of health care resources in liver transplantation (LT) for nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA: With the epidemic of obesity and metabolic syndrome in nearly 33% of the US population, NASH is projected to become the leading indication for LT in the next several years. Data on predictors of outcome and utilization of health care resources after LT in NASH is limited. METHODS: We conducted an analysis from our prospective database of 144 adult NASH patients who underwent LT between December 1993 and August 2011. Outcomes and resource utilization were compared with other common indications for LT. Independent predictors of graft and patient survival were identified. RESULTS: The average Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score was 33. The frequency of NASH as the primary indication for LT increased from 3% in 2002 to 19% in 2011 to become the second most common indication for LT at our center behind hepatitis C. NASH patients had significantly longer operative times (402 vs 322 minutes; P < 0.001), operative blood loss (18 vs 14 packed red blood cell units; P = 0.001), and posttransplant length of stay (35 vs 29 days; P = 0.032), but 1-, 3-, and 5-year graft (81%, 71%, 63%) and patient (84%, 75%, 70%) survival were comparable with other diagnoses. Age greater than 55 years, pretransplant intubation, dialysis, hospitalization, presence of hepatocellular carcinoma on explant, donor age greater than 55 years, and cold ischemia time greater than 550 minutes were significant independent predictors of survival for all patients, whereas body mass index greater than 35 was a predictor in NASH patients only. CONCLUSIONS: We report the largest single institution experience of LT for NASH. Over a 10-year period, the frequency of LT for NASH has increased 5-fold. Although outcomes are comparable with LT for other indications, health care resources are stressed significantly by this new and increasing group of transplant candidates.

Decision analysis model for hepatitis B prophylaxis one year after liver transplantation.

In patients receiving orthotopic liver transplantation, hepatitis B recurrence rates have decreased significantly with the use of various methods for prophylaxis. At present, a combination of hepatitis B immunoglobulin (HBIG) and lamivudine is the standard of care, resulting in recurrence rates of 0% to 11%. Recent data suggest that the addition of adefovir to lamivudine is successful in treating patients with recurrent hepatitis B infection. A Markov model was used to compare costs and outcomes of 2 strategies for hepatitis B prophylaxis 1 year after transplantation. The first consisted of prophylaxis with lamivudine and adefovir (strategy 1), whereas the second consisted of intramuscular HBIG and lamivudine (strategy 2) with the addition of adefovir in patients who subsequently developed hepatitis B recurrence. Patients who failed with adefovir and lamivudine were then treated with tenofovir and entecavir. 16.8% of liver transplant recipients had hepatitis B recurrence after 10 years of treatment with lamivudine and HBIG. The medical costs for strategy 1 and strategy 2 after 10 years of therapy were $151,819 and $166,246, respectively, and this resulted in cost savings of $14,427. The decision analysis model began 1 year after liver transplantation. A 1-way sensitivity analysis demonstrated that the model was most sensitive to cost changes of adefovir and HBIG injections as well as variations in the hepatitis B virus recurrence rate. The model was robust to costs of lamivudine, laboratory costs, administrative fees, and office visit fees. Our decision analysis model resulted in marked savings in costs with strategy 1 (lamivudine and adefovir), providing pharmacoeconomic support for the use of this strategy as first-line therapy in hepatitis B prophylaxis in liver transplant recipients 1 year after liver transplantation.

Overview of Immunosuppressive Therapy in Solid Organ Transplantation.

Mechanisms of rejection, new pharmacologic approaches, and genomic medicine are major foci for current research in transplantation. It is hoped that these new agents and personalized immunosuppression will provide for less toxic regimens that are effective in preventing both acute and chronic allograft rejection. Until new agents are available, practitioners must use various combinations of currently approved agents to find the best regimens for improved long-term outcomes.

Paritaprevir/ritonavir/ombitasvir and dasabuvir for the treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus infection.

INTRODUCTION: The use of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) agents against chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections can result in the successful treatment of nearly all patients. Effective antiviral treatments can prevent the progression to cirrhosis and hepatocellular malignancy, and decrease liver-related morbidity and mortality. AREAS COVERED: Paritaprevir-ritonavir-ombitasvir and dasabuvir (PrOD), with or without ribavirin, is an all-oral regimen approved for the treatment of HCV genotype 1 infections, including patients with compensated cirrhosis. Phase 2 and 3 clinical trials demonstrated the safety and efficacy of this regimen in HCV genotype 1-infected patients who are treatment-naïve and those who have failed peginterferon/ribavirin therapy. Additional studies evaluated the use of PrOD with or without ribavirin among special populations, including patients co-infected with human immunodeficiency virus-1 and HCV, liver transplant recipients with HCV recurrence, and patients with severe renal impairment. Additionally, the combination of paritaprevir-ritonavir-ombitasvir plus ribavirin is found to be highly efficacious, and is now approved in the US, for the treatment of HCV genotype 4 infections. EXPERT OPINION: The availability and use of interferon-free DAA combination regimens has resulted in a major paradigm shift in the treatment of HCV. PrOD, with or without ribavirin, is an effective, safe and tolerable treatment option.

Operative parameters that predict the outcomes of hepatic transplantation.

BACKGROUND: A growing discrepancy between the number of patients awaiting liver transplantation and the number of organs available mandates the use of even marginal organ donors in whom there is major risk of suboptimal graft function. A comprehensive analysis of operative parameters on the outcomes of liver transplantation has not been reported. STUDY DESIGN: We analyzed the impact of 24 operative variables on the survival of 942 consecutive primary liver allografts performed at a single center from June 1992 through December 1997. Univariate and Cox proportional hazards analysis was used to identify those variables with independent prognostic significance in graft survival. Resource utilization for variables with multivariate significance was also analyzed. RESULTS: Of 12 intraoperative variables found to have significance in univariate analysis, three were significant by Cox multivariate analysis: 1) lack of immediate bile production by the graft intraoperatively, 2) platelet transfusion > or = 20 U, and 3) recipient urine output < or =2.0 mL/kg/h intraoperatively. Each of the three variables was associated with marked increases in hospital and Intensive Care Unit length of stay and hospital charges accrued during the admission for transplantation. CONCLUSION: We identified three operative parameters that predict a poor outcome after liver transplantation. The presence of these indicators suggests that early retransplantation should be considered. Early identification of grafts likely to have poor function might also provide an opportunity for therapeutic intervention to salvage graft function.

Liver transplant: a primer.

Liver transplant has been accepted as a successful therapeutic option for patients with end-stage liver disease. Patient and graft survival has incrementally increased over the past 2 decades, mainly because of immunosuppressive regimens. However, the nonspecific nature of immunosuppressive agents is associated with an increased risk of development of opportunistic infections, renal impairment, metabolic derangements, neurotoxicity, de novo malignancies, and recurrence of the primary disease. Immunosuppressive regimen pharmacologic classes include calcineurin inhibitors, antimetabolites, mTOR inhibitors, steroids, and antibody-based therapies. These agents affect T-cell-dependent B-cell activation, and target different sites in the T-cell activation cascade by inhibiting T-cell activation or causing T-cell depletion. The goals of immunosuppression in solid-organ transplant are to prevent allograft rejection as well as optimize allograft function, prolong patient survival, and improve patient quality of life. Therefore, it is essential to carefully select the immunosuppressive regimen that will result in significant improvements in long-term liver transplant patients' survival and quality of life.

Therapeutic drug monitoring of mycophenolate mofetil in transplantation.

A roundtable meeting to discuss the use of therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) to guide immunosuppression with mycophenolate mofetil was held in New York in December 2004. Existing recommendations for the initial months after transplantation were updated. After ensuring adequate levels of mycophenolic acid (MPA, the active metabolite of mycophenolate mofetil) immediately after transplantation, optimal efficacy may require only a few dose adjustments, because intrapatient variability in exposure seems low. Recommendations based on current knowledge were made for posttransplantation sampling time points and for target MPA concentrations. Algorithms for estimating MPA exposure using limited sampling strategies were presented, and a new assay for MPA discussed. It was agreed that because of interpatient variability and the influence of concomitant immunosuppressants, TDM might help optimize outcomes, especially in patients at higher risk of rejection. The value of TDM in the general transplant population will be assessed from large, ongoing, randomized studies.

Odontoglossum ringspot virus host range restriction in Nicotiana sylvestris maps to the replicase gene.

SUMMARY The experimental host range of Odontoglossum ringspot virus (ORSV), a member of the tobamoviruses, includes several species of Nicotiana, but not N. sylvestris. However, ORSV was able to replicate in protoplasts from N. sylvestris leaves. By using the green fluorescent protein (GFP) as a marker inserted into ORSV, it was found that a small number of single epidermal cells became infected in mechanically inoculated leaves, but the virus did not move cell to cell. The ORSV movement protein (MP) and coat protein (CP) were examined for their ability to effect movement by substitution into Tobacco mosaic virus (TMV) hybrids. Both proteins and the 3' non-translated region (NTR) of ORSV allowed movement of TMV hybrids in N. sylvestris. These results suggested that the inability of ORSV to move in N. sylvestris was due to the replicase gene or the 5'NTR. One possibility was that the replicase gene could indirectly affect movement by failing to produce subgenomic (sg) RNAs for expression of MP or CP, but this appeared not to be the case as ORSV replicated and produced MP and CP sgRNAs, both of which were translated in N. sylvestris protoplasts. Additionally, genomic RNA was encapsidated into virions in N. sylvestris protoplasts. Because the 5'NTR permitted efficient replication and production of replicase proteins, these findings suggest that the replicase of ORSV is responsible for the defect in cell-to-cell movement of ORSV in N. sylvestris.

A comparison of tacrolimus and cyclosporine in liver transplantation: effects on renal function and cardiovascular risk status.

A retrospective chart review of 1065 consecutive liver allograft recipients in 11 centers from January 1997 to September 1998 was performed. Patients were followed for 3 years or until graft loss. Patients received either tacrolimus (n = 594), cyclosporine (n = 450) or no calcineurin inhibitor (n = 21). Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores at time of transplant were similar between the two groups. During follow-up, more patients switched from cyclosporine to tacrolimus (26.7%) than from tacrolimus to cyclosporine (12.8%; p < 0.0001). Patient and graft survival were equivalent. Corticosteroid use was more common in cyclosporine-treated patients (p < 0.00001). Patients receiving tacrolimus experienced lower serum creatinine levels at months 3 through 36 (p < 0.0001). Systolic blood pressure was lower in patients receiving tacrolimus (p < 0.001) despite a reduced requirement for anti-hypertensive agents (p < 0.0001). In addition, tacrolimus was associated with lower total cholesterol and triglyceride levels for months 3 through 24 and 3 through 12, respectively (p < 0.01), despite a reduced requirement for anti-hyperlipidemic agents. The incidence of new-onset diabetes mellitus was similar in both groups. While both calcineurin inhibitors were associated with excellent patient and graft survival, renal function, blood pressure and serum lipid levels were significantly better with tacrolimus treatment.

Mortality predictors in liver transplant recipients with recurrent hepatitis C cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND/AIM: Recipients of orthotopic liver transplant for hepatitis C (HCV) invariably develop recurrent disease. The risk factors for death and retransplantation following the development of cirrhosis from HCV are unclear. The aim of this study was to identify predictors of survival in liver transplant recipients who develop cirrhosis from recurrent HCV. METHODS: We reviewed records of patients who underwent liver transplantation for cirrhosis due to HCV between January 1990 and December 2001. Prognostic factors of patient survival following the development of recurrent cirrhosis were identified through multivariate analysis. RESULTS: During the study period, 511 patients underwent transplantation for HCV cirrhosis. Of these, 65 patients (13%) developed biopsy proven recurrent cirrhosis from HCV; 43 (8%) were relisted for transplantation, and 24 (5%) underwent retransplantation. The overall Kaplan-Meier patient survival rates after the histologic diagnosis of cirrhosis at 1 and 5 years were 66% and 30%, respectively. A multivariate Cox proportional hazards model showed patients with higher last (i.e. at follow-up or prior to retransplantation) International normalized ratio (INR) values (hazard ratios (HR)=2.02, 95% confidence interval 1.26, 3.24, P<0.01) to have an increased risk of death. CONCLUSION: Our results suggested survival was decreased after the diagnosis of cirrhosis from recurrent HCV. Higher INR was associated with an increased risk of death following the development of cirrhosis.

MELD fails to measure quality of life in liver transplant candidates.

Previous studies have demonstrated an association between Child Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) class and impaired quality of life. However, the relationship between the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and quality of life (QOL) has not been well studied. In this study, quality of life questionnaires (Medical Outcomes Short Form 36 [SF-36] and the Chronic Liver Disease Questionnaire [CLDQ]) were administered to 150 adult patients awaiting liver transplantation. We also collected demographic data and laboratory results and recorded manifestations of hepatic decompensation. The study found that all domains of the SF-36 and CLDQ were significantly lower in our patient cohort than in normal controls (P < .001). There was a moderate negative correlation between CPT class and physical components of the SF-36 (r = -.30), while there was a weak negative correlation (r = -.10) between CPT class and the mental component. There was a negative moderate correlation between CPT class and overall CLDQ (r = -.39, P < .001) and a weak correlation (r = -.20) between MELD score and overall CLDQ score. Both encephalopathy (correlation coefficient = -.713, P = .004) and ascites (correlation coefficient = -.68, P = .006) were predictive of the QOL using CLDQ (adjusted R(2) = .1494 and f = 0.000). In conclusion, in liver transplant candidates, the severity of liver disease assessed by the MELD score was not predictive of QOL. The presence of ascites and/or encephalopathy was significantly associated with poor quality of life. CTP correlates better to QOL, probably because it contains ascites and encephalopathy.

Analysis of long-term outcomes of 3200 liver transplantations over two decades: a single-center experience.

OBJECTIVE: Few studies have evaluated long-term outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). This work analyzes the experience of nearly 2 decades by the same team in a single center. Outcomes of OLT and factors affecting survival were analyzed. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 3200 consecutive OLTs that were performed at our institution, between February 1984 and December 31, 2001. RESULTS: Of 2662 recipients, 578 (21.7%) and 659 (24.7%) were pediatric and urgent patients, respectively. Overall 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year patient and graft survival estimates were 81%, 72%, 68%, 64% and 73%, 64%, 59%, 55%, respectively. Patient survival significantly improved in the second (1992-2001) versus the era I (1984-1991) of transplantation (P < 0.001). Similarly, graft survival was better in the era II of transplantation (P < 0.02). However, biliary and infectious complications increased in era II. When OLT indications were considered, best recipient survival was obtained in children with biliary atresia (82%, 79%, and 78% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively), while malignant disease in adult patients resulted in the worst outcomes of 68% and 43% at 1 and 5 years, post-OLT. Further, patients <18 years and nonurgent recipients exhibited superior survival when compared with recipients >18 years (P < 0.001) or urgent patients (P < 0.001). Of 13 donor and recipient variables, era of OLT, recipient age, urgent status, donor age, donor length of hospital stay, etiology of liver disease, retransplantation, warm and cold ischemia, but not graft type (whole, split, living-donor), significantly impacted patient survival. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term benefits of OLT are greatest in pediatric and nonurgent patients. Multiple factors involving the recipient, etiology of liver disease, donor characteristics, operative variables, and surgical experience influence long-term survival outcomes. By balancing and matching these factors with a given recipient, optimum results can be achieved.

Conversion from intravenous to intramuscular hepatitis B immune globulin in combination with lamivudine is safe and cost-effective in patients receiving long-term prophylaxis to prevent hepatitis B recurrence after liver transplantation.

Recurrent hepatitis B infection after liver transplantation was previously frequent and associated with significant allograft failure and mortality. Recurrence rates of hepatitis B were improved with the use of passive immunoprophylaxis with hepatitis B immune globulin, and later, lamivudine monotherapy. Combination prophylaxis with intravenous hepatitis B immune globulin and lamivudine substantially decreased rates of hepatitis B recurrence, but intravenous administration of hepatitis B immune globulin was expensive and associated with significant adverse effects. In the current study, 59 patients receiving primary liver transplantation for chronic hepatitis B infection were prospectively followed up after converting from intravenous to intramuscular hepatitis B immune globulin in combination with lamivudine. All patients tolerated intramuscular hepatitis B immune globulin well. At a median follow-up of 511 days after conversion to intramuscular hepatitis B immune globulin, 58 of 59 patients (98.3%) were hepatitis B surface antigen-negative. Twenty-one patients (35.6%) required a median of one supplemental intravenous hepatitis B immune globulin infusion to maintain therapeutic antibody levels. Economic analysis showed an average cost-effectiveness ratio for combination intramuscular hepatitis B immune globulin plus lamivudine of $52,600 per recurrence prevented, which was far below the cost of lamivudine monotherapy and of intravenous hepatitis B immune globulin alone or in combination with lamivudine. These results suggest that intramuscular administration of hepatitis B immune globulin in combination with lamivudine offers a safe, effective, and cost-effective approach to preventing hepatitis B recurrence after orthotopic liver transplantation.

New era of liver transplantation for hepatitis B: a 17-year single-center experience.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the variables affecting orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) outcome for hepatitis B virus (HBV) in a large patient cohort over a 17-year period. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: Historically, OLT for chronic HBV infection has been associated with aggressive reinfection and poor survival results. More recently, OLT outcome has been improved with the routine use of antiviral therapy with either hepatitis B immune globulin (HBIg) or lamivudine; however, HBV recurrence remains common. The authors studied the factors affecting HBV recurrence and outcome of transplantation, including the effects of combination viral prophylaxis with HBIg and lamivudine. METHODS: A retrospective review of 166 OLT recipients for chronic HBV over a 17-year period at a single center was performed. Median follow-up was 29 months. HBV recurrence was defined by HBsAg seropositivity after OLT. HBIg monotherapy was used in 28 (17%) patients, lamivudine monotherapy in 20 (12%), and HBIg and lamivudine combination in 89 (54%); 29 (17%) did not receive any HBV prophylaxis. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was present in 43 patients (26%) and urgent United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) status was assigned to 27 patients (16%). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify factors that affected OLT outcome. RESULTS: Overall 1-, 3-, and 5-year patient survival rates were 85.8%, 73.6%, and 71.8%, respectively. As expected, HBV recurrence-free survival rates were significantly lower than overall survival rates (76.4%, 58.7%, and 48.3%). When compared with a nontreated cohort, OLT recipients receiving combination viral prophylaxis with HBIg and lamivudine showed markedly reduced HBV recurrence rates and significantly improved 1- and 3-year recurrence-free survival rates. By univariate estimates, patient survival was reduced in the presence of HCC, in the Asian population, and urgent candidates by UNOS classification. Graft loss rates were significantly increased in urgent OLT candidates, Asians, patients with pretransplant positive DNA, and in the presence of HCC. Factors that were significant by univariate analysis or thought to be clinically relevant were subjected to multivariate analysis. By multivariate estimates, urgent UNOS or presence of HCC adversely affected patient and graft survival rates, whereas combination prophylactic therapy strongly predicted improved patient and graft survival rates as well as recurrence-free survival rates. CONCLUSIONS: Orthotopic liver transplantation for HBV under combination viral prophylaxis results in survival rates equivalent to other indications. Pretransplant viral replication, UNOS status, and the presence of HCC are all sensitive markers for posttransplantation outcome. Viral prophylactic therapy has effectively reduced HBV recurrence and prolonged survival outcomes. The combination of HBIg and lamivudine is the prophylactic regimen of choice.

Pretransplant model to predict posttransplant survival in liver transplant patients.

OBJECTIVE: To develop a prognostic model that determines patient survival outcomes after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) using readily available pretransplant variables. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: The current liver organ allocation system strongly favors organ distribution to critically ill recipients who exhibit poor survival outcomes following OLT. A severely limited organ resource, increasing waiting list deaths, and rising numbers of critically ill recipients mandate an organ allocation system that balances disease severity with survival outcomes. Such goals can be realized only through the development of prognostic models that predict survival following OLT. METHODS: Variables that may affect patient survival following OLT were analyzed in hepatitis C (HCV) recipients at the authors' center, since HCV is the most common indication for OLT. The resulting patient survival model was examined and refined in HCV and non-HCV patients in the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. Kaplan-Meier methods, univariate comparisons, and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression were employed for analyses. RESULTS: Variables identified by multivariate analysis as independent predictors for patient survival following primary transplantation of adult HCV recipients in the last 10 years at the authors' center were entered into a prognostic survival model to predict patient survival. Accordingly, mortality was predicted by 0.0293 (recipient age) + 1.085 (log10 recipient creatinine) + 0.289 (donor female gender) + 0.675 urgent UNOS - 1.612 (log10 recipient creatinine times urgent UNOS). The above variables, in addition to donor age, total bilirubin, prothrombin time (PT), retransplantation, and warm and cold ischemia times, were applied to the UNOS database. Of the 46,942 patients transplanted over the last 10 years, 25,772 patients had complete data sets. An eight-factor model that accurately predicted survival was derived. Accordingly, the mortality index posttransplantation = 0.0084 donor age + 0.019 recipient age + 0.816 log creatinine + 0.0044 warm ischemia (in minutes) + 0.659 (if second transplant) + 0.10 log bilirubin + 0.0087 PT + 0.01 cold ischemia (in hours). Thus, this model is applicable to first or second liver transplants. Patient survival rates based on model-predicted risk scores for death and observed posttransplant survival rates were similar. Additionally, the model accurately predicted survival outcomes for HCV and non-HCV patients. CONCLUSIONS: Posttransplant patient survival can be accurately predicted based on eight straightforward factors. The balanced application of a model for liver transplant survival estimate, in addition to disease severity, as estimated by the model for end-stage liver disease, would markedly improve survival outcomes and maximize patients' benefits following OLT.

Liver transplantation for fulminant hepatic failure: experience with more than 200 patients over a 17-year period.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze outcomes after liver transplantation (LT) in patients with fulminant hepatic failure (FHF) with emphasis on pretransplant variables that can potentially help predict posttransplant outcome. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA: FHF is a formidable clinical problem associated with a high mortality rate. While LT is the treatment of choice for irreversible FHF, few investigations have examined pretransplant variables that can potentially predict outcome after LT. METHODS: A retrospective review was undertaken of all patients undergoing LT for FHF at a single transplant center. The median follow-up was 41 months. Thirty-five variables were analyzed by univariate and multivariate analysis to determine their impact on patient and graft survival. RESULTS: Two hundred four patients (60% female, median age 20.2 years) required urgent LT for FHF. Before LT, the majority of patients were comatose (76%), on hemodialysis (16%), and ICU-bound. The 1- and 5-year survival rates were 73% and 67% (patient) and 63% and 57% (graft). The primary cause of patient death was sepsis, and the primary cause of graft failure was primary graft nonfunction. Univariate analysis of pre-LT variables revealed that 19 variables predicted survival. From these results, multivariate analysis determined that the serum creatinine was the single most important prognosticator of patient survival. CONCLUSIONS: This study, representing one of the largest published series on LT for FHF, demonstrates a long-term survival of nearly 70% and develops a clinically applicable and readily measurable set of pretransplant factors that determine posttransplant outcome.