RESUMEN
Calciphylaxis is a disorder that results in necrotic cutaneous lesions with a high rate of mortality. Due to its rarity and complexity, the risk factors for and the disease mechanism of calciphylaxis are not fully understood. This work focuses on the use of machine learning to both predict disease risk and model the contributing factors learned from an electronic health record data set. We present the results of four modeling approaches on several subpopulations of patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We find that modeling calciphylaxis risk with random forests learned from binary feature data produces strong models, and in the case of predicting calciphylaxis development among stage 4 CKD patients, we achieve an AUC-ROC of 0.8718. This ability to successfully predict calciphylaxis may provide an excellent opportunity for clinical translation of the predictive models presented in this paper.
RESUMEN
Electronic health record (EHR) algorithms for defining patient cohorts are commonly shared as free-text descriptions that require human intervention both to interpret and implement. We developed the Phenotype Execution and Modeling Architecture (PhEMA, http://projectphema.org) to author and execute standardized computable phenotype algorithms. With PhEMA, we converted an algorithm for benign prostatic hyperplasia, developed for the electronic Medical Records and Genomics network (eMERGE), into a standards-based computable format. Eight sites (7 within eMERGE) received the computable algorithm, and 6 successfully executed it against local data warehouses and/or i2b2 instances. Blinded random chart review of cases selected by the computable algorithm shows PPV ≥90%, and 3 out of 5 sites had >90% overlap of selected cases when comparing the computable algorithm to their original eMERGE implementation. This case study demonstrates potential use of PhEMA computable representations to automate phenotyping across different EHR systems, but also highlights some ongoing challenges.