Temporal trends in antibiotic prescribing and serious and nonserious infections in children presenting to general practice: a registry-based longitudinal cohort study of 162 507 individuals.

BACKGROUND: It is crucial to understand the trends in paediatric antibiotic prescribing and serious and nonserious infections to improve antibiotic prescribing practices for children in ambulatory care. OBJECTIVES: Assessing trends in paediatric antibiotic prescribing and infection incidence in general practice from 2002 to 2022. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study using INTEGO network data from 162 507 patients in Flanders (Belgium), we calculated antibiotic prescribing rates and proportions alongside incidence rates of serious and nonserious infections, stratified by age (0-1, 2-6, 7-12 years) and municipality. We performed autoregressive moving average time-series analyses and seasonality analyses. RESULTS: From 2002 to 2022, antibiotic prescribing rate decreased significantly: 584/1000 person-years (PY) (95% CI 571-597) to 484/1000PY (95% CI 478-491); so did antibiotic overall prescribing proportion: 46.3% (95% CI 45.1-47.6) to 23.3% (95% CI 22.9-23.7) (59.3% amoxicillin and 17.8% broad spectrum). Prescribing proportions dropped significantly for nonserious (45.6% to 20.9%) and increased for serious infections (64.1% to 69.8%). Proportions significantly dropped for acute suppurative otitis media (74.7% to 64.1%), upper respiratory tract infections (44.9% to 16.6%), bronchitis/bronchiolitis (73.6% to 44.1%) and acute tonsillopharyngitis (59.5% to 21.7%), while significantly increasing for pneumonia (65.2% to 80.2%). Nonserious and serious infection incidence rates increased from 785/1000PY and 34.2/1000PY to 1223/1000PY and 64.1/1000PY, respectively. Blood and CRP testing proportions increased significantly. CONCLUSIONS: Antibiotic prescribing in general practice for children declined from 2002 to 2022. Further targeted antibiotic stewardship initiatives are needed to reduce the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics and antibiotic prescribing for conditions such as otitis media and bronchitis/bronchiolitis.

Effectiveness of safety netting approaches for acutely ill children: a network meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Safety netting advice (SNA) can help in the management of acutely ill children. AIM: Assess the effectiveness of different SNA methods for acutely ill children on antibiotic prescription and consumption. DESIGN AND SETTING: Systematic review and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials, non-randomised trials of interventions, and controlled before-after studies in ambulatory care. METHOD: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Web-Of-Science Core Collection, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (22 January 2024). We assessed the risk of bias (RoB) with the Cochrane Tool 2, Revised Cochrane Tool for Cluster-Randomised Trials, and ROBINS-I tool. Certainty of evidence was assessed using the CINeMA approach. We performed sensitivity analyses and network meta-regression. RESULTS: We included 30 studies (20 interventions). Compared to usual care, paper SNA may reduce antibiotic prescribing (OR=0.66 (95%CI: 0.53-0.85), I²=92%, very low certainty; 3 studies, 35,988 participants), especially when combined with oral SNA (OR=0.40 (95%CI: 0.08-2.00), P-score: 0.86), antibiotic consumption (OR=0.39 (95%CI: 0.27-0.58), low RoB; 1 study, 509 participants), and return visits (OR=0.74 , 95%CI 0.63-0.87). Paper SNA without antibiotics may reduce antibiotic consumption compared to paper SNA and delayed antibiotics (OR=0.27 (95%CI: 0.15-0.51, some RoB; 1 study, 206 participants). Video SNA, oral SNA, read-only websites, and web-based modules may increase parental knowledge (ORs 2.23-4.52). Video SNA and web-based modules may improve parental satisfaction (ORs 1.64-4.08). CONCLUSION: Paper SNA (with oral SNA) may reduce antibiotic use and return visits. Video, oral, and online SNA, may improve parental knowledge while video SNA and web-based modules may increase parental satisfaction.