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BACKGROUND: An improved understanding of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is needed to identify predictors of outcomes among older adults with COVID-19. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to examine patient and health system factors predictive of in-hospital mortality, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and readmission among patients with COVID-19. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: A cohort study of patients aged 18 years and older with COVID-19 discharged from 5 New York hospitals within the Mount Sinai Health System (March 1, 2020-June 30, 2020). MEASURES: Patient-level characteristics (age, sex, race/ethnicity, comorbidities/serious illness, transfer from skilled nursing facility, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 viral load, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score, treatments); hospital characteristics. OUTCOMES: All-cause in-hospital mortality; ICU admission; 30-day readmission. RESULTS: Among 7556 subjects, mean age 61.1 (62.0) years; 1556 (20.6%) died, 949 (12.6%) had an ICU admission, and 227 (9.1%) had a 30-day readmission. Increased age [aged 55-64: odds ratio (OR), 3.28; 95% confidence interval (CI), 2.41-4.46; aged 65-74: OR, 4.67; 95% CI, 3.43-6.35; aged 75-84: OR, 10.73; 95% CI, 7.77-14.81; aged 85 y and older: OR, 20.57; 95% CI, 14.46-29.25] and comorbidities (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.16, 2.13) were independent risk factors for in-hospital mortality. Yet older adults (aged 55-64 y: OR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.40-0.77; aged 65-74: OR, 0.46; 95% CI, 0.33-0.65; aged 75-84: OR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.18-0.40; aged above 85 y: OR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.13-0.34) and those with Medicaid (OR, 0.74; 95% CI, 0.56-0.99) were less likely to be admitted to the ICU. Race/ethnicity, crowding, population density, and health system census were not associated with study outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Increased age was the single greatest independent risk factor for mortality. Comorbidities and serious illness were independently associated with mortality. Understanding these risk factors can guide medical decision-making for older adults with COVID-19. Older adults and those admitted from a skilled nursing facility were half as likely to be admitted to the ICU. This finding requires further investigation to understand how age and treatment preferences factored into resource allocation.
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COVID-19 , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Atención a la Salud , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Unidades de Cuidados Intensivos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Pandemias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de RiesgoRESUMEN
Background: Home health agencies (HHAs) are often affiliated with hospice agencies and commonly care for patients with serious illness within the Medicare program. HHAs may therefore provide a potential opportunity to facilitate timely referral to hospice when appropriate. Objectives: To determine if patients cared for by HHAs affiliated with hospice agencies experience differential hospice use and care patterns. Design: Nationally representative cohort study. Setting/Subjects: 1431 decedents in the 2002 to 2017 Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey who received home health in the last year of life in the United States. Measurements: Primary independent variable was HHA hospice affiliation. Primary dependent variable was hospice enrollment; secondary dependent variables were hospice live discharge and length of stay. Results: The 27.3% of decedents cared for by a HHA affiliated with a hospice had greater education levels and wealth and were more likely to live in the Midwest and Northeast. In adjusted models, HHA-hospice affiliated decedents had greater odds of enrolling in hospice compared to those cared for by HHAs not affiliated with a hospice, corresponding to a hospice enrollment rate of 51.0% for those cared for by HHAs affiliated with hospices versus 39.7% for HHAs not affiliated (p = 0.004). There were no differences in hospice length of stay or live discharge rate by hospice affiliation. Conclusion: Medicare beneficiaries cared for by HHAs affiliated with hospices are more likely to enroll in hospice at the end of life. This has implications for improving hospice access through home health incentives and models of care.
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Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Hospitales para Enfermos Terminales , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , Medicare , Alta del Paciente , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
Importance: Use of hospice has been demonstrated to be cost saving to the Medicare program and yet the extent to which hospice saves money across all payers, including whether it shifts costs to families, is unknown. Objective: To estimate the association between hospice use and total health care costs including family out-of-pocket health care spending. Design Setting and Participants: This retrospective cohort study of health care spending in the last 6 months of life used data from the nationally representative Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS) between the years 2002 and 2018. Participants were MCBS participants who resided in the community and died between 2002 and 2018. Exposures: Covariate balancing propensity scores were used to compare participants who used hospice (n = 2113) and those who did not (n = 3351), stratified by duration of hospice use. Main Outcomes and Measures: Total health care expenditures were measured across payers (family out-of-pocket, Medicare, Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, private insurance, private health maintenance organizations, Veteran's Administration, and other) and by expenditure type (inpatient care, outpatient care, medical visits, skilled nursing, home health, hospice, durable medical equipment, and prescription drugs). Results: The study population included 5464 decedents (mean age 78.7 years; 48% female) and 38% enrolled with hospice. Total health care expenditures were lower for those who used hospice compared with propensity score weighted non-hospice control participants for the last 3 days of life ($2813 lower; 95% CI, $2396-$3230); last week of life ($6806 lower; 95% CI, $6261-$7350); last 2 weeks of life ($8785 lower; 95% CI, $7971-$9600); last month of life ($11 747 lower; 95% CI, $10 072-$13 422); and last 3 months of life ($10 908 lower; 95% CI, $7283-$14 533). Family out-of-pocket expenditures were lower for hospice enrollees in the last 3 days of life ($71; 95% CI, $43-$100); last week of life ($216; 95% CI, $175-$256); last 2 weeks of life ($265; 95% CI, $149-$382); and last month of life ($670; 95% CI, $530-$811) compared with those who did not use hospice. Health care savings were associated with reductions in inpatient care. Conclusions and Relevance: In this population-based cohort study of community-dwelling Medicare beneficiaries, hospice enrollment was associated with lower total health care costs for the last 3 days to 3 months of life. Importantly, we found no evidence of cost shifting from Medicare to families related to hospice enrollment. The magnitude of lower out-of-pocket spending to families who enrolled with hospice is meaningful to many Americans, particularly those with lower socioeconomic status.
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Aseguradoras , Medicare , Anciano , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To identify and rank the importance of key determinants of end-of-life (EOL) health care costs, and to understand how the key factors impact different percentiles of the distribution of health care costs. METHOD: We applied a principled, machine learning-based variable selection algorithm, using Quantile Regression Forests, to identify key determinants for predicting the 10th (low), 50th (median), and 90th (high) quantiles of EOL health care costs, including costs paid for by Medicare, Medicaid, Medicare Health Maintenance Organizations (HMOs), private HMOs, and patient's out-of-pocket expenditures. RESULTS: Our sample included 7 539 Medicare beneficiaries who died between 2002 and 2017. The 10th, 50th, and 90th quantiles of EOL health care cost are $5 244, $35 466, and $87 241, respectively. Regional characteristics, specifically, the EOL-Expenditure Index, a measure for regional variation in Medicare spending driven by physician practice, and the number of total specialists in the hospital referral region were the top 2 influential determinants for predicting the 50th and 90th quantiles of EOL costs but were not determinants of the 10th quantile. Black race and Hispanic ethnicity were associated with lower EOL health care costs among decedents with lower total EOL health care costs but were associated with higher costs among decedents with the highest total EOL health care costs. CONCLUSIONS: Factors associated with EOL health care costs varied across different percentiles of the cost distribution. Regional characteristics and decedent race/ethnicity exemplified factors that did not impact EOL costs uniformly across its distribution, suggesting the need to use a "higher-resolution" analysis for examining the association between risk factors and health care costs.
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Medicare , Cuidado Terminal , Anciano , Muerte , Costos de la Atención en Salud , Gastos en Salud , Humanos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
Background: Palliative care (PC) services expanded rapidly to meet the needs of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients, yet little is known about which patients were referred for PC consultation during the pandemic. Objective: Examine factors predictive of PC consultation for COVID-19 patients. Design: Retrospective cohort study of COVID-19 patients discharged from four hospitals (March 1-June 30, 2020). Exposures: Patient demographic, socioeconomic, and clinical factors and hospital-level characteristics. Outcome Measurement: Inpatient PC consultation. Results: Of 4319 hospitalized COVID-19 patients, 581 (14%) received PC consultation. Increasing age, serious illness (cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and dementia), greater illness severity, and admission to the quaternary hospital were associated with receipt of PC consultation. There was no association between PC consultation and race/ethnicity, household crowding, insurance status, or hospital-factors, including inpatient, emergency department, and intensive care unit census. Conclusions: Although site variation existed, the highest acuity patients were most likely to receive PC consultation without racial/ethnic or socioeconomic disparities.
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COVID-19 , Adulto , Aglomeración , Composición Familiar , Humanos , Cuidados Paliativos , Pandemias , Derivación y Consulta , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Salud UrbanaRESUMEN
The sudden and unprecedented increase in seriously ill patients with COVID-19, coupled with both the lack of core palliative care training and expertise among frontline providers and the specialty-trained palliative care workforce shortage, produced immediate challenges to meet the needs of this novel seriously ill patient population. In this article, we describe the rapid expansion and creation of new specialty palliative care services across a health system to meet demands of the COVID-19 surge in New York City. During April 2020, 1019 patients received inpatient specialty palliative care consultations across the Mount Sinai Health System. This overview demonstrates how palliative care services can be titrated up rapidly to meet the acute increase in hospitalized persons with serious illness due to COVID-19, and how these services tailored to the changing needs across a health system.
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COVID-19 , Cuidados Paliativos/tendencias , Pandemias , Anciano , Femenino , Hospitales , Humanos , Masculino , Ciudad de Nueva YorkRESUMEN
Objective: To examine the relationship between admission Karnofsky Performance Status (KPS) and discharge disposition. Background: Little is known about the relationship between functional status before hospitalization and discharge disposition. Methods: In a retrospective cohort study of patients seen by Mount Sinai Hospital Medicine Primary Palliative Care Program (HPPC), we used demographic and clinical data to compare discharge disposition by patients' functional status before admission into the hospital. Results: Overall, 596 patients received HPPC consults (286 [48%] female, mean age 68.4 years, median admission KPS 40% [requires hospital level care]). Of the 33 patients with a KPS ≥60% (unable to work) 30 (91%) were discharged home, whereas those 262 patients with KPS ≤30% (severely disabled) 52 (20%) were discharged home, 40 (15%) enrolled in hospice, 130 (49.5%) discharged to a facility, and 32 (12%) died in hospital. Conclusions: Worse functional status was associated with a hospice or facility discharge and better functional status was associated with discharge home. Key Message: This retrospective cohort study examined the relationship between KPS before hospital admission and discharge disposition in hospitalized seriously ill patients admitted to the hospital medicine service who received a HPPC consultation. The results suggest that those with a higher admission KPS (more functional) are more likely to be discharged home, whereas those with a lower KPS (less functional) are more likely to be discharged to a facility or hospice. KPS before hospital admission could guide palliative care resource allocation and discharge needs.
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Cuidados Paliativos , Alta del Paciente , Anciano , Femenino , Hospitalización , Humanos , Estado de Ejecución de Karnofsky , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
Background: In the United States, the percentage of hospitals over 50 beds with palliative care programs has risen substantially from 7% of hospitals in 2001 to 72% in 2017. Yet the dynamic nature of program adoption and closure over time is not known. Objective: To examine the rate of palliative care program adoption and closure and associated hospital and geographic characteristics in a national sample of U.S. hospitals. Design: Adoption and closure rates were calculated for 3696 U.S. hospitals between 2009 and 2017. We used multivariable logistic regression models to examine the association between adoption and closure status and hospital, geographic, and community characteristics. Setting/Subjects: All nonfederal general medical and surgical, cancer, heart, and obstetric or gynecological hospitals, of all sizes, in the United States in operation in both 2009 and 2017. Results: By 2017, 34.9% (812/2327) of the hospitals without palliative care in 2009 had adopted palliative care programs, and 15.0% (205/1369) of the hospitals with programs had closed them. In multivariable models, hospitals in metropolitan areas, nonprofit and public hospitals (compared to for-profit hospitals), and those with residency training approval by the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education were significantly more likely to adopt and significantly less likely to close palliative care programs during the study period. Conclusions: This study indicates that palliative care is not equitably adopted nor sustained by hospitals in the United States. Federal and state interventions may be required to ensure that high-quality care is available to our nation's sickest patients.
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Enfermería de Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Cuidados Paliativos , Acreditación , Educación de Postgrado en Medicina , Hospitales , Humanos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
CONTEXT: Little is known about receipt of specialty-level palliative care by people with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) or its impact on health care utilization. OBJECTIVES: Identify patient characteristics associated with receipt of specialty-level palliative care among hospitalized HCC patients and measure association with time to readmission. METHODS: We used logistic regression to examine relationships between receipt of inpatient palliative care consultation by HCC patients at an academic center (N = 811; 2012-2016) and clinical and demographic covariates at index hospitalization. We used a survival analysis model accounting for competing risk of mortality to compare time to readmission among individuals who did or did not receive palliative care during the admission and performed a sensitivity analysis using kernel weights to account for selection bias. RESULTS: Overall, 16% received inpatient palliative care consults. Those who received consults had worse laboratory values than those who did not. In a multivariable model, higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Sodium, receipt of sorafenib, and higher pain scores were significantly associated with increased odds of palliative care, whereas liver transplantation and admission to a surgical service were associated with lower odds. For time to readmission (2076 hospitalizations for 811 individuals with 175 palliative care visits), the subhazard ratio for readmission for patients who received consults was 0.26 (95% CI = 0.18-0.38) and 0.35 (95% CI = 0.24-0.52) with a kernel-weighted sample. CONCLUSION: Inpatient palliative care consultation was received by individuals with more advanced disease and associated with lower readmission hazard. These findings support further research and the development of HCC-specific programs that increase access to specialty-level palliative care.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/terapia , Hospitalización , Humanos , Pacientes Internos , Neoplasias Hepáticas/terapia , Cuidados Paliativos , Readmisión del Paciente , Estudios Retrospectivos , Índice de Severidad de la EnfermedadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: The Medicare Advantage (MA) program insures a rapidly growing proportion of older adults, and may be more appealing due to lower cost sharing. However, the extent to which older adults are informed of their plan benefits and how plan knowledge has changed over time is unclear. We evaluated temporal trends and characteristics associated with not knowing MA coverage for dental, vision, and nursing home (NH) services. DESIGN: Longitudinal cohort study. SETTING: Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey (MCBS), 2010 to 2016. PARTICIPANTS: Adults aged 65 years or older enrolled in MA plans and not in Medicaid. MEASUREMENTS: Insurance knowledge was determined from separate items asking if individuals had coverage through their MA plan for dental, vision, and NH care. Responses were dichotomized between responding yes/no and not knowing. Demographic, clinical, and functional characteristics were assessed from the MCBS. RESULTS: The proportion of older adults in MA who did not know if their plan covered NH care increased from 38.0% in 2010 to 45.5% in 2016. However, proportions of not knowing dental benefits decreased from 6.4% in 2010 to 3.4% in 2016 and not knowing vision benefits decreased from 8.2% in 2010 to 5.9% in 2016. We found significant associations of race, education, income, region, and disability with knowledge of MA benefits. CONCLUSIONS: As enrollment in MA plans has grown, older adults in MA plans increasingly report that they know their plan's vision and dental benefits, although they decreasingly know about NH care. Older adults from racial and ethnic minority groups, with lower levels of education and income and who reside in certain regions or have functional disability, are less likely to know their plan benefits. This may imply decreasing preparedness for future long-term care needs. J Am Geriatr Soc 68:2343-2347, 2020.
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Etnicidad/psicología , Conocimientos, Actitudes y Práctica en Salud , Cobertura del Seguro , Medicare Part C , Grupos Minoritarios/psicología , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Hogares para Ancianos/economía , Humanos , Estudios Longitudinales , Masculino , Casas de Salud/economía , Factores de Tiempo , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
Objective: To increase earlier access to palliative care, and in turn increase documented goals of care and appropriate hospice referrals for seriously ill patients admitted to hospital medicine. Background: Due to the growing number of patients with serious illness and the specialty palliative care workforce shortage, innovative primary palliative care models are essential to meet this population's needs. Methods: Patients with serious illness admitted to hospital medicine at a quaternary urban academic medical center in New York City and received an embedded palliative care social worker consultation in 2017. We used univariate analyses of sociodemographic, clinical, and utilization data to describe the sample. Results: Overall, 232 patients received a primary palliative care consultation (mean age of 69 years, 44.8% female, 34% white, median Karnofsky Performance Status of 40%), and 159 (69%) had capacity to participate in a goals-of -are conversation. Referrals were from palliative care solid tumor oncology trigger program (113 [49%]), specialty palliative care consultation team (42[18%]), and hospital medicine (34[14.6%]). Before the consultation, 10(4.3%) had documented goals of care and 207 (89%) did after the consultation. The percentage of those referred to hospice was 24.1%. Of those transferred to specialty palliative care consultation service, nearly half required symptom management. Discussion: Patients who received a primary palliative care consultation were seen earlier in their illness trajectory, based on their higher functional impairment, and the majority had capacity to participate in goals-of-care discussions, compared with those who were seen by specialty palliative care. The consultation increased goals-of-care documentation and the hospice referral rate was comparable with that of the specialty palliative consultation team.
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Background: Over the past two decades, the number of hospitals with palliative care has increased significantly. Objective: This study analyzes the availability of palliative care in U.S. hospitals and examines the variation by hospital characteristics, community-level socioeconomic demographics, health care markets, and geographic characteristics. Methods: Data were obtained from the American Hospital Association Annual Survey Database for 2017 and supplemented with 2016 for nonresponders, the United States Census Bureau's 2017 American Community Survey, the Dartmouth Atlas of Health Care's 2016 Spending and 2011 Hospital and Physician Capacity datasets, the National Palliative Care Registry™, state-level directories on palliative care, and web-based searches. Multivariable logistic regression and average marginal effects were used to examine predictors of hospital palliative care programs. Results: Seventy-two percent of hospitals with 50 or more beds had palliative care programs. Hospital and geographic characteristics were significantly associated with the presence of palliative care. Most notably, nonprofit hospitals were 24.5 percentage points more likely than for-profit hospitals to have palliative care, and metropolitan areas were 15.4 percentage points more likely than rural areas, controlling for other variables. Conclusion: This study demonstrates that availability of palliative care in U.S. hospitals is determined by where patients live and the type of hospital to which they are admitted. Equitable and reliable availability to quality palliative care must improve across the nation.
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Enfermería de Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Cuidados Paliativos , Hospitales , Humanos , Prevalencia , Encuestas y Cuestionarios , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
As more people live and die in the community despite complex health needs and functional impairment, the need for hospice increases. We found high and increasing penetration of hospice in community-based residential settings, compared with hospice use in private residences and nursing homes.
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Cuidados Paliativos al Final de la Vida , Hospitales para Enfermos Terminales , Anciano , Muerte , Humanos , Medicare , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados UnidosRESUMEN
PURPOSE: Substantial research exists on the physical toxicities from radiation therapy (RT) for oropharyngeal cancers, but emotional quality of life is understudied. The purpose of this study is to map the effects and time course of radiation-related changes in mood and anxiety and to investigate the physical factors that drive these changes. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We prospectively collected University of Washington Quality of Life questionnaires and identified patients with oropharyngeal cancer who were treated with curative-intent RT between 2013 and 2016 and had completed questionnaires within 12 months after RT (n = 69). We analyzed swallow, saliva, taste, chewing, speech, pain, mood, and anxiety scores, using a scale from 0 to 100. We conducted a multivariate regression analysis to identify physical functioning predictors of worse emotional scores. RESULTS: Physical functioning scores declined from before RT to 3 months after RT and then began improving but did not rebound to baseline levels within 12 months. Patient mood slightly declined, but anxiety improved immediately after RT, with both generally improving such that scores were higher at the 12-month follow-up than at initial consult. Analysis showed that longer duration of treatment is associated with a higher likelihood of worse mood scores at 12 months (odds ratio [OR], 1.446; P < .01). Worse swallow score is associated with a greater likelihood of worse mood score at 3 months (OR, 0.971; P < .01) and 12 months (OR, 0.975; P < .01). A worse taste score is associated with a greater likelihood of worse anxiety score at 3 months (OR, 0.979; P < .05) and 12 months (OR, 0.982; P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: Emotional changes are associated with certain treatment-associated toxicities. A patient's emotional health is complex and likely multifactorial in nature. Our study identified key associations and time points to potentially intervene upon.