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1.
Pediatr Emerg Care ; 40(4): 307-310, 2024 Apr 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37678275

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The aim of the study is to assess diagnostic performance of cardiac point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) performed by pediatric emergency medicine (PEM) physicians in children with preexisting cardiac disease. METHODS: We evaluated the use of cardiac POCUS performed by PEM physicians among a convenience sample of children with preexisting cardiac disease presenting to a tertiary care pediatric ED. We assessed patient characteristics and the indication for POCUS. The test characteristics of the sonologist interpretation for the assessment of both pericardial effusion as well as left ventricular systolic dysfunction were compared with expert POCUS review by PEM physicians with POCUS fellowship training. RESULTS: A total of 104 children with preexisting cardiac disease underwent cardiac POCUS examinations between July 2015 and December 2017. Among children with preexisting cardiac disease, structural defects were present in 72%, acquired conditions in 22%, and arrhythmias in 13% of patients. Cardiac POCUS was most frequently obtained because of chest pain (55%), dyspnea (18%), tachycardia (17%), and syncope (10%). Cardiac POCUS interpretation compared with expert review had a sensitivity of 100% (95% confidence interval [CI], 85.7-100) for pericardial effusion and 100% (95% CI, 71.5-100) for left ventricular systolic dysfunction; specificity was 97.5% (95% CI, 91.3.1-99.7) for pericardial effusion and 98.9% (95% CI, 93.8-99.8) for left ventricular systolic dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac POCUS demonstrates good sensitivity and specificity in diagnosing pericardial effusion and left ventricular systolic dysfunction in children with preexisting cardiac conditions when technically adequate studies are obtained. These findings support future studies of cardiac POCUS in children with preexisting cardiac conditions presenting to the ED.


Asunto(s)
Derrame Pericárdico , Disfunción Ventricular Izquierda , Humanos , Niño , Derrame Pericárdico/diagnóstico por imagen , Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Ultrasonografía , Corazón , Disfunción Ventricular Izquierda/diagnóstico por imagen , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital
2.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 81(6): 815-822, 2022 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35241426

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of an oral selective tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor, deucravacitinib, in patients with active psoriatic arthritis (PsA). METHODS: In this double-blind, phase II trial, 203 patients with PsA were randomised 1:1:1 to placebo, deucravacitinib 6 mg once a day or 12 mg once a day. The primary endpoint was American College of Rheumatology-20 (ACR-20) response at week 16. RESULTS: ACR-20 response was significantly higher with deucravacitinib 6 mg once a day (52.9%, p=0.0134) and 12 mg once a day (62.7%, p=0.0004) versus placebo (31.8%) at week 16. Both deucravacitinib doses resulted in significant improvements versus placebo (p≤0.05) in the multiplicity-controlled secondary endpoints of change from baseline in Health Assessment Questionnaire-Disability Index and Short Form-36 Physical Component Summary score and in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index-75 response. Improvements were also seen in multiple exploratory endpoints with deucravacitinib treatment. The most common adverse events (AEs) (≥5%) in deucravacitinib-treated patients were nasopharyngitis, upper respiratory tract infection, sinusitis, bronchitis, rash, headache and diarrhoea. There were no serious AEs and no occurrence of herpes zoster, opportunistic infections and major adverse cardiovascular events, or differences versus placebo in mean changes in laboratory parameters with deucravacitinib treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Treatment with the selective TYK2 inhibitor deucravacitinib was well tolerated and resulted in greater improvements than placebo in ACR-20, multiplicity-controlled secondary endpoints and other exploratory efficacy measures in patients with PsA. Larger trials over longer periods of time with deucravacitinib are warranted to confirm its safety profile and benefits in PsA. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT03881059.


Asunto(s)
Antirreumáticos , Artritis Psoriásica , Antirreumáticos/uso terapéutico , Artritis Psoriásica/inducido químicamente , Artritis Psoriásica/tratamiento farmacológico , Método Doble Ciego , Compuestos Heterocíclicos , Humanos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , TYK2 Quinasa , Resultado del Tratamiento
3.
J Pediatr ; 243: 193-199.e2, 2022 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34968499

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the rates of radiographic pneumonia and clinical outcomes of children with suspected pneumonia and subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations on point-of-care lung ultrasound. STUDY DESIGN: We enrolled a prospective convenience sample of children aged 6 months to 18 years undergoing chest radiography (CXR) for pneumonia evaluation in a single tertiary-care pediatric emergency department. Point-of-care lung ultrasound was performed by an emergency medicine physician with subsequent expert review. We determined rates of radiographic pneumonia and clinical outcomes in the children with subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations, stratified by the presence of larger (>1 cm) sonographic consolidations. The children were followed prospectively for 2 weeks to identify a delayed diagnosis of pneumonia. RESULTS: A total of 188 patients, with a median age of 5.8 years (IQR, 3.5-11.0 years), were evaluated. Of these patients, 62 (33%) had subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations on lung ultrasound, and 23 (37%) also had larger (>1 cm) consolidations. Patients with subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations and larger consolidations had the highest rates of definite radiographic pneumonia (61%), compared with 21% among children with isolated subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations. Overall, 23 children with isolated subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations (59%) had no evidence of pneumonia on CXR. Among 16 children with isolated subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations and not treated with antibiotics, none had a subsequent pneumonia diagnosis within the 2-week follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: Children with subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations often had radiographic pneumonia; however, this occurred most frequently when subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations were identified in combination with larger consolidations. Isolated subcentimeter, subpleural consolidations in the absence of larger consolidations should not be viewed as synonymous with pneumonia; CXR may provide adjunctive information in these cases.


Asunto(s)
Medicina de Emergencia , Neumonía , Niño , Preescolar , Humanos , Pulmón/diagnóstico por imagen , Neumonía/diagnóstico por imagen , Neumonía/epidemiología , Estudios Prospectivos , Ultrasonografía
4.
J Emerg Med ; 63(6): 729-737, 2022 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36289021

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Foreign body ingestions are a common presentation in the emergency department (ED), particularly in young children. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine whether the COVID-19 pandemic lockdowns had an effect on the proportion of foreign body ingestions. METHODS: We performed a retrospective review of the Pediatric Health Information System for patients younger than 19 years who were identified by International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision codes for foreign body ingestion. We analyzed patients in the following three groups: young children (younger than 5 years), school-aged children (5-12 years), and adolescents (13 years and older), using an interrupted time series analysis. Our primary outcome was the difference in proportion of foreign body ingestions. We compared 1 year after the declaration of the COVID-19 pandemic (March 13, 2020 to March 31, 2021) with the previous 3 years (March 1, 2017 to March 12, 2020). RESULTS: Total pediatric ED encounters decreased in the post period (p < 0.01); 4902 patients per year presented for foreign body ingestion pre-COVID-19 shutdown vs. 5235 patients per year post-COVID-19 shutdown. In all three age groups (young children, school-age children, and adolescents), there was a higher proportion of foreign body ingestions post-COVID-19 shutdown (p < 0.01, p < 0.01, and p = 0.028, respectively), driven primarily by the decrease in total ED encounters. In the youngest age group (younger than 5 years), there was also a significant increase in slope for foreign body ingestions post-COVID-19 (p = 0.010). CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of foreign body ingestions increased after the declaration of the COVID-19 pandemic, primarily driven by an overall decrease in total ED volume.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Cuerpos Extraños , Adolescente , Niño , Humanos , Preescolar , Pandemias , COVID-19/epidemiología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Cuerpos Extraños/epidemiología , Cuerpos Extraños/terapia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Ingestión de Alimentos
5.
Emerg Med J ; 39(12): 924-930, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35256458

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: Appendiceal diameter is a primary sonographic determinant of paediatric appendicitis. We sought to determine if the diagnostic performance of outer appendiceal diameter differs based on age or with the addition of secondary sonographic findings. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed patients aged less than 19 years who presented to the Boston Children's Hospital ED and had an ultrasound (US) for the evaluation of appendicitis between November 2015 and October 2018. Our primary outcome was the presence of appendicitis. We analysed the cases to evaluate the optimal outer appendiceal diameter as a predictor for appendicitis stratified by age (<6, 6 to <11, 11 to <19 years), and with the addition of one or more secondary sonographic findings. RESULTS: Overall, 945 patients met criteria for inclusion, of which 43.9% had appendicitis. Overall, appendiceal diameter as a continuous measure demonstrated excellent test performance across all age groups (area under the curve (AUC) >0.95) but was most predictive of appendicitis in the youngest age group (AUC=0.99 (0.98-1.00)). Although there was no significant difference in optimal diameter threshold between age groups, both 7- and 8-mm thresholds were more predictive than 6 mm across all groups (p<0.001). The addition of individual (particularly appendicolith or echogenic fat) or combinations of secondary sonographic findings increased the diagnostic value for appendicitis above diameter alone. CONCLUSIONS: Appendiceal diameter as a continuous measure was more predictive of appendicitis in the youngest group. Across all age groups, the optimal diameter threshold was 7 mm for the diagnosis of paediatric appendicitis. The addition of individual or combination secondary sonographic findings increases diagnostic performance.


Asunto(s)
Apendicitis , Apéndice , Niño , Humanos , Apendicitis/diagnóstico por imagen , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Apéndice/diagnóstico por imagen , Ultrasonografía
6.
Pediatr Emerg Care ; 38(1): e300-e305, 2022 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33122503

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We sought to describe the test characteristics of cardiac point-of-care ultrasound (POCUS) performed by pediatric emergency medicine (PEM) physicians after structured cardiac POCUS training. METHODS: We evaluated the use of clinically indicated cardiac POCUS by PEM physicians in a single tertiary care pediatric emergency department after implementation of a focused cardiac POCUS training curriculum. The test characteristics of the sonologist interpretation were compared with expert POCUS review, by PEM physicians who have completed PEM POCUS fellowship training, for the assessment of both pericardial effusion and left ventricular systolic dysfunction. RESULTS: A total of 1241 cardiac POCUS examinations were performed between July 2015 and December 2017, of which 456 were clinically indicated and underwent expert POCUS review and comprised the study sample. These examinations were performed by 33 different PEM attending sonologists. Chest pain (52%), dyspnea (20%), and tachycardia (18%) were the most common indications for cardiac POCUS. Prevalence of pericardial effusion and global systolic dysfunction based on expert POCUS review were 11% (48/443) and 4% (16/435), respectively. Real-time cardiac POCUS interpretation had a sensitivity and specificity of 100% and 99.5%, respectively, for both pericardial effusion and left ventricular systolic dysfunction when compared with expert POCUS review. CONCLUSIONS: Cardiac POCUS is both sensitive and specific for identifying pericardial effusion and left ventricular systolic dysfunction when performed by PEM attendings with focused training.


Asunto(s)
Medicina de Emergencia , Medicina de Urgencia Pediátrica , Niño , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Humanos , Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Ultrasonografía
7.
Pediatr Radiol ; 51(11): 2018-2026, 2021 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34046706

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Secondary sonographic findings of appendicitis can aid image analysis and support diagnosis with and without visualization of an appendix. OBJECTIVE: We sought to determine if age affected the test performance of secondary findings for pediatric appendicitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a medical record review of emergency department patients younger than 19 years of age who had a sonogram for suspected appendicitis. Our primary patient outcome was appendicitis, as determined by pathology or by image-confirmed perforation/abscess. Our primary analysis was test performance of secondary sonographic findings as recorded by sonographers on the final diagnosis of appendicitis stratified by age (<6 years, 6 to <11 years, 11 to <19 years). RESULTS: A total of 1,219 patients with suspected appendicitis were evaluated by ultrasound, and 1,147 patients met the criteria for analysis. Of the 1,147 patients, 431 (37.6%) had a final diagnosis of appendicitis. Across all age groups, echogenic fat was the most accurate secondary finding (92.5% [95% confidence interval (CI): 91.0, 94.0]) and free fluid was the least accurate secondary finding (54.7% [95% CI: 51.8, 57.5]). There was no significant difference in the age-stratified test performance of secondary sonographic findings except that (1) appendicolith was a more accurate predictor in patients <6 years old than in the middle group (P<0.001) or the oldest group (P<0.001), and (2) free fluid was a more accurate predictor in the middle group than in the oldest group (P=0.02). CONCLUSION: There are no significant differences in the age-stratified test performance of secondary sonographic findings in the prediction of pediatric appendicitis except that appendicolith is more predictive in younger patients.


Asunto(s)
Apendicitis , Apéndice , Apendicitis/diagnóstico por imagen , Apéndice/diagnóstico por imagen , Niño , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Ultrasonografía
8.
J Emerg Med ; 61(4): 376-380, 2021 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34176687

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Children with limp or hip pain often undergo radiographs and ultrasound as part of their initial evaluation. Previous research suggests that hip radiography may have limited utility, and early use of ultrasound may safely reduce the use of radiographs. OBJECTIVES: We sought to assess the utility of radiography in addition to ultrasound by evaluating the rate of bony abnormalities present on hip radiographs among children with and without effusion on ultrasound. We also assessed the agreement of point-of-care and Radiology-performed ultrasounds for the detection of effusion. METHODS: This is a retrospective cohort study of children presenting to a pediatric emergency department with acute atraumatic limp or hip pain. Data from patients who received both hip ultrasound and hip radiography as part of their evaluation were analyzed. We included both point-of-care and Radiology-performed hip ultrasounds. RESULTS: We identified 134 patients who received both hip ultrasound and hip radiographs. Sixty-eight patients (51%) had a hip effusion present on ultrasound and none of these had bony abnormalities on radiography (0%, 95% confidence interval 0-5.3%). Of the 66 patients (49%) who had no effusion on hip ultrasound, 2 patients were found to have a bony abnormality (3%, 95% confidence interval 0.4-10.5%). For patients who received both point-of-care and Radiology-performed ultrasound, the overall agreement for diagnosis of effusion was 92.6% (kappa = 0.82). CONCLUSIONS: We observed that no children with an effusion on ultrasound had bony pathology on plain radiography, suggesting that the routine performance of hip radiography may not be indicated in all children. Future studies are needed to evaluate the negative predictive value of effusion in larger numbers of patients with known bony abnormalities.


Asunto(s)
Dolor , Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Niño , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Humanos , Radiografía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Ultrasonografía
9.
Ann Emerg Med ; 69(5): 610-619.e1, 2017 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27856020

RESUMEN

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Lumbar puncture is a commonly performed procedure, although previous studies have documented low rates of successful completion in infants. Ultrasonography can visualize the anatomic landmarks for lumbar puncture and has been shown in some studies to reduce the failure rate of lumbar puncture in adults. We seek to determine whether ultrasonography-assisted site marking increases success for infant lumbar punctures. METHODS: This was a prospective, randomized, controlled trial in an academic pediatric emergency department (ED). We enrolled a convenience sample of infants younger than 6 months between June 2014 and February 2016 and randomized them to either a traditional lumbar puncture arm or an ultrasonography-assisted lumbar puncture arm. Infants in the ultrasonography arm received bedside ultrasonography of the spine by one of 3 study sonographers before lumbar puncture, during which the conus medullaris and most appropriate intervertebral space were identified and marked. The lumbar puncture was then performed by the predetermined ED provider. Our primary outcome was successful first-attempt lumbar puncture. Subjects were considered to have a successful lumbar puncture if cerebrospinal fluid was obtained and RBC counts were less than 1,000/mm3. All outcomes were assessed by intention-to-treat analysis. RESULTS: One hundred twenty-eight patients were enrolled, with 64 in each arm. No differences between the 2 arms were found in the baseline characteristics of the study subjects and providers, except for sex and first-attempt position. The first-attempt success rate was higher for the ultrasonography arm (58%) versus the traditional arm (31%) (absolute risk difference 27% [95% CI 10% to 43%]). Success within 3 attempts was also higher for the ultrasonography arm (75%) versus the traditional arm (44%) (absolute risk difference 31% [95% CI 15% to 47%]). On average, performing bedside ultrasonography on 4 patients (95% CI 2.1 to 6.6) resulted in 1 additional successful lumbar puncture. CONCLUSION: Ultrasonography-assisted site marking improved infant lumbar puncture success in a tertiary care pediatric teaching hospital. This method has the potential to reduce unnecessary hospitalizations and exposures to antibiotics in this vulnerable population.


Asunto(s)
Sistemas de Atención de Punto , Punción Espinal/métodos , Ultrasonografía Intervencional , Puntos Anatómicos de Referencia/diagnóstico por imagen , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Femenino , Humanos , Lactante , Masculino , Ultrasonografía Intervencional/métodos
10.
Ann Rheum Dis ; 75(4): 687-95, 2016 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25795907

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate tofacitinib's effect upon pneumococcal and influenza vaccine immunogenicity. METHODS: We conducted two studies in patients with rheumatoid arthritis using the 23-valent pneumococcal polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV-23) and the 2011-2012 trivalent influenza vaccine. In study A, tofacitinib-naive patients were randomised to tofacitinib 10 mg twice daily or placebo, stratified by background methotrexate and vaccinated 4 weeks later. In study B, patients already receiving tofacitinib 10 mg twice daily (with or without methotrexate) were randomised into two groups: those continuing ('continuous') or interrupting ('withdrawn') tofacitinib for 2 weeks, and then vaccinated 1 week after randomisation. In both studies, titres were measured 35 days after vaccination. Primary endpoints were the proportion of patients achieving a satisfactory response to pneumococcus (twofold or more titre increase against six or more of 12 pneumococcal serotypes) and influenza (fourfold or more titre increase against two or more of three influenza antigens). RESULTS: In study A (N=200), fewer tofacitinib patients (45.1%) developed satisfactory pneumococcal responses versus placebo (68.4%), and pneumococcal titres were lower with tofacitinib (particularly with methotrexate). Similar proportions of tofacitinib-treated and placebo-treated patients developed satisfactory influenza responses (56.9% and 62.2%, respectively), although fewer tofacitinib patients (76.5%) developed protective influenza titres (≥1:40 in two or more of three antigens) versus placebo (91.8%). In study B (N=183), similar proportions of continuous and withdrawn patients had satisfactory responses to PPSV-23 (75.0% and 84.6%, respectively) and influenza (66.3% and 63.7%, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients starting tofacitinib, diminished responsiveness to PPSV-23, but not influenza, was observed, particularly in those taking concomitant methotrexate. Among existing tofacitinib users, temporary drug discontinuation had limited effect upon influenza or PPSV-23 vaccine responses. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBERS: NCT01359150, NCT00413699.


Asunto(s)
Artritis Reumatoide/tratamiento farmacológico , Huésped Inmunocomprometido/inmunología , Inmunosupresores/uso terapéutico , Vacunas contra la Influenza/inmunología , Piperidinas/uso terapéutico , Vacunas Neumococicas/inmunología , Inhibidores de Proteínas Quinasas/uso terapéutico , Pirimidinas/uso terapéutico , Pirroles/uso terapéutico , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Método Doble Ciego , Quimioterapia Combinada , Femenino , Humanos , Vacunas contra la Influenza/uso terapéutico , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Masculino , Metotrexato/uso terapéutico , Persona de Mediana Edad , Infecciones Neumocócicas/prevención & control , Vacunas Neumococicas/uso terapéutico , Adulto Joven
13.
Water Resour Res ; 51(9): 7358-7381, 2015 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27594719

RESUMEN

Floods are a natural hazard that affect communities worldwide, but to date the vast majority of flood hazard research and mapping has been undertaken by wealthy developed nations. As populations and economies have grown across the developing world, so too has demand from governments, businesses, and NGOs for modeled flood hazard data in these data-scarce regions. We identify six key challenges faced when developing a flood hazard model that can be applied globally and present a framework methodology that leverages recent cross-disciplinary advances to tackle each challenge. The model produces return period flood hazard maps at ∼90 m resolution for the whole terrestrial land surface between 56°S and 60°N, and results are validated against high-resolution government flood hazard data sets from the UK and Canada. The global model is shown to capture between two thirds and three quarters of the area determined to be at risk in the benchmark data without generating excessive false positive predictions. When aggregated to ∼1 km, mean absolute error in flooded fraction falls to ∼5%. The full complexity global model contains an automatically parameterized subgrid channel network, and comparison to both a simplified 2-D only variant and an independently developed pan-European model shows the explicit inclusion of channels to be a critical contributor to improved model performance. While careful processing of existing global terrain data sets enables reasonable model performance in urban areas, adoption of forthcoming next-generation global terrain data sets will offer the best prospect for a step-change improvement in model performance.

15.
Nat Commun ; 15(1): 3155, 2024 Apr 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38605032

RESUMEN

High-resolution global flood risk maps are increasingly used to inform disaster risk planning and response, particularly in lower income countries with limited data or capacity. However, current approaches do not adequately account for spatial variation in social vulnerability, which is a key determinant of variation in outcomes for exposed populations. Here we integrate annual average exceedance probability estimates from a high-resolution fluvial flood model with gridded population and poverty data to create a global vulnerability-adjusted risk index for flooding (VARI Flood) at 90-meter resolution. The index provides estimates of relative risk within or between countries and changes how we understand the geography of risk by identifying 'hotspots' characterised by high population density and high levels of social vulnerability. This approach, which emphasises risks to human well-being, could be used as a complement to traditional population or asset-centred approaches.

16.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 2801, 2023 May 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37193705

RESUMEN

Flooding is one of the most common natural hazards, causing disastrous impacts worldwide. Stress-testing the global human-Earth system to understand the sensitivity of floodplains and population exposure to a range of plausible conditions is one strategy to identify where future changes to flooding or exposure might be most critical. This study presents a global analysis of the sensitivity of inundated areas and population exposure to varying flood event magnitudes globally for 1.2 million river reaches. Here we show that topography and drainage areas correlate with flood sensitivities as well as with societal behaviour. We find clear settlement patterns in which floodplains most sensitive to frequent, low magnitude events, reveal evenly distributed exposure across hazard zones, suggesting that people have adapted to this risk. In contrast, floodplains most sensitive to extreme magnitude events have a tendency for populations to be most densely settled in these rarely flooded zones, being in significant danger from potentially increasing hazard magnitudes given climate change.

17.
Sci Data ; 10(1): 611, 2023 09 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37696836

RESUMEN

A large number of historical simulations and future climate projections are available from Global Climate Models, but these are typically of coarse resolution, which limits their effectiveness for assessing local scale changes in climate and attendant impacts. Here, we use a novel statistical downscaling model capable of replicating extreme events, the Bias Correction Constructed Analogues with Quantile mapping reordering (BCCAQ), to downscale daily precipitation, air-temperature, maximum and minimum temperature, wind speed, air pressure, and relative humidity from 18 GCMs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). BCCAQ is calibrated using high-resolution reference datasets and showed a good performance in removing bias from GCMs and reproducing extreme events. The globally downscaled data are available at the Centre for Environmental Data Analysis ( https://doi.org/10.5285/c107618f1db34801bb88a1e927b82317 ) for the historical (1981-2014) and future (2015-2100) periods at 0.25° resolution and at daily time step across three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP2-4.5, SSP5-3.4-OS and SSP5-8.5). This new climate dataset will be useful for assessing future changes and variability in climate and for driving high-resolution impact assessment models.

19.
Pediatrics ; 149(6)2022 06 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35641470

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Prescription errors are a significant cause of iatrogenic harm in the health care system. Pediatric emergency department (ED) patients are particularly vulnerable to error. We sought to decrease prescription errors in an academic pediatric ED by 20% over a 24-month period by implementing identified national best practice guidelines. METHODS: From 2017 to 2019, a multidisciplinary, fellow-driven quality improvement (QI) project was conducted using the Model for Improvement. Four key drivers were identified including simplifying the electronic order entry into prescription folders, improving knowledge of dosing by indication, increasing error feedback to prescribers, and creating awareness of common prescription pitfalls. Four interventions were subsequently implemented. Outcome measures included prescription errors per 1000 prescriptions written for all medications and top 10 error-prone antibiotics. Process measures included provider awareness and use of prescription folders; the balancing measure was provider satisfaction. Differences in outcome measures were assessed by statistical process control methodology. Process and balancing measures were analyzed using 1-way analysis of variance and χ2 testing. RESULTS: Before our interventions, 8.6 errors per 1000 prescriptions written were identified, with 62% of errors from the top 10 most error-prone antibiotics. After interventions, error rate per 1000 prescriptions decreased from 8.6 to 4.5 overall and from 20.1 to 8.8 for top 10 error-prone antibiotics. Provider awareness of prescription folders was significantly increased. CONCLUSION: QI efforts to implement previously defined best practices, including simplifying and standardizing computerized provider order entry (CPOE), significantly reduced prescription errors. Synergistic effect of educational and technological efforts likely contributed to the measured improvement.


Asunto(s)
Sistemas de Entrada de Órdenes Médicas , Errores de Medicación , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Niño , Prescripciones de Medicamentos , Servicio de Urgencia en Hospital , Humanos , Errores de Medicación/prevención & control
20.
JAMA Netw Open ; 5(3): e222922, 2022 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35302632

RESUMEN

Importance: The wide variation in the accuracy and reliability of the Focused Assessment With Sonography for Trauma (FAST) and the extended FAST (E-FAST) for children after blunt abdominal trauma reflects user expertise. FAST and E-FAST that are performed by experts tend to be more complete, better quality, and more often clinically valuable. Objective: To develop definitions of a complete, high-quality, and accurate interpretation for the FAST and E-FAST in children with injury using an expert, consensus-based modified Delphi technique. Design, Setting, and Participants: This consensus-based qualitative study was conducted between May 1 to June 30, 2021. It used a scoping review and iterative Delphi technique and involved 2 rounds of online surveys and a live webinar to achieve consensus among a 26-member panel. This panel consisted of international experts in pediatric emergency point-of-care ultrasonography. Main Outcomes and Measures: Definitions of complete, high-quality, and accurate FAST and E-FAST studies for children after injury. Results: Of the 29 invited pediatric FAST experts, 26 (15 men [58%]) agreed to participate in the panel. All 26 panelists completed the 2 rounds of surveys, and 24 (92%) participated in the live and asynchronous online discussions. Consensus was reached on FAST and E-FAST study definitions, and the panelists rated these 5 anatomic views as important and appropriate for a complete FAST: right upper-quadrant abdominal view, left upper-quadrant abdominal view, suprapubic views (transverse and sagittal), and subxiphoid cardiac view. For E-FAST, the same FAST anatomic views with the addition of the lung or pneumothorax view were deemed appropriate and important. In addition, the panelists rated a total of 32 landmarks as important for assessing completeness. Similarly, the panelists rated 14 statements on quality and 20 statements on accurate interpretation as appropriate. Conclusions and Relevance: This qualitative study generated definitions for complete FAST and E-FAST studies with high image quality and accurate interpretation in children with injury. These definitions are similar to those in adults with injury and may be used for future education, quality assurance, and research. Future research may focus on interpretation of trace volumes of abdominal free fluid and the use of serial FAST.


Asunto(s)
Evaluación Enfocada con Ecografía para Trauma , Niño , Consenso , Técnica Delphi , Humanos , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Ultrasonografía
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