Significance of the autoantibody assay in predicting the development of immune-related adverse events in patients receiving atezolizumab plus bevacizumab combination therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

AIM: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (AB) combination therapy is the first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC). The management of immune-related adverse events (irAEs) is an important issue associated with achieving a good therapeutic response in patients receiving AB therapy. However, few studies have reported irAE development in patients receiving AB therapy. This study focused on the association between irAE development and autoantibodies at baseline in patients receiving AB therapy. METHODS: Sixty-one patients receiving AB therapy were enrolled. For autoantibodies, the following antibodies were tested before the start of AB therapy: antinuclear antibodies, rheumatoid factor (RF), anti-thyroglobulin antibodies, thyroid peroxidase antibodies, anti-thyroid stimulating hormone receptor antibodies, and acetylcholine receptor antibodies. A patient was considered to have pre-existing antibodies if any of the listed antibodies were present at baseline. RESULTS: Ten patients (16%) developed irAEs during the observation period. The irAEs included liver injury, hypothyroidism, adrenal insufficiency, adrenocorticotropic hormone deficiency, and rhabdomyolysis. Patients with irAE (n = 10) were more likely to be positive for any autoantibody (hazard ratio [HR] 3.7, p = 0.047) and RF at baseline (HR 5.4, p = 0.035) and to achieve complete response (HR 5.8, p = 0.027) than those without. The presence of autoantibodies at baseline was an independent factor associated with irAE development. CONCLUSION: In the real world, 16% of patients receiving AB therapy for u-HCC developed irAEs. Patients with autoantibodies at baseline are at high risk of developing irAEs and require cautious follow-up.

Prediction of Therapeutic Response Using Contrast-Enhanced Ultrasound in Japanese Patients Treated with Atezolizumab and Bevacizumab for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Atezolizumab and bevacizumab (AB) therapy was the first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC). However, the predictive marker of therapeutic response that can be easily used in clinical practice is still unknown. We prospectively investigated the utility of time-intensity curve (TIC) analysis using contrast-enhanced ultrasound (CEUS) as a predictive indicator of therapeutic response after the start of AB therapy. METHODS: Thirty-five patients who received AB therapy for u-HCC were included in this study. TIC analysis was performed in 28 patients who were able to undergo CEUS before and 3-7 days after administration. We analyzed prognostic factors related to the initial therapeutic response and long progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS: The initial therapeutic response using dynamic computed tomography or Gd-EOB magnetic resonance imaging at 8-12 weeks after administration was partial response/stable disease/progressive disease (PD) in 14/12/9 cases (40/34/26%). Cases with PD (n = 9) had more cases without decreased blood flow in TIC analysis compared with cases with non-PD (100 vs. 18%, p = 0.001). Cases without decreased blood flow in TIC analysis (n = 10) had more cases with PD compared with cases with decreased blood flow (60 vs. 0%, p = 0.001). PFS in patients without decreased blood flow early after the administration was shorter than that in those with decreased blood flow (9.1 vs. 28 weeks, p = 0.0051). CONCLUSION: Early evaluation by TIC analysis using CEUS may be useful in predicting the therapeutic response in patients treated with AB therapy for u-HCC.

Relationship between Plasma IP-10/CXCL10 Levels and the Initial Therapeutic Response in Patients Treated with Atezolizumab plus Bevacizumab for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Atezolizumab plus bevacizumab combination therapy (AB) was the first-line treatment for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC). IFN-γ-induced protein 10 (IP-10/CXCL10) is a chemokine to inhibit HCC proliferation by promoting the migration of cytotoxic T cells. We focused on the relationship between plasma IP-10/CXCL10 levels and the initial therapeutic response in patients receiving AB therapy. METHODS: Forty-six patients receiving AB therapy were enrolled. Plasma IP-10/CXCL10 levels were measured at baseline, 3-7 days, 3 weeks, 6 weeks, and 8-12 weeks after the start of AB therapy. The initial therapeutic response was evaluated at 8-12 weeks. RESULTS: The baseline IP-10/CXCL10 levels of partial response (PR) group was higher than that of stable disease (SD) or progressive disease (PD) group. Patients with the baseline IP-10/CXCL10 of 84 pg/mL or higher were likely to present PR than patients below (71 vs. 35%, p = 0.031), but prediction of PD using the baseline IP-10/CXCL10 levels was difficult. In contrast, IP-10/CXCL10 ratio of the PR group was lower than that of the SD/PD group at 3, 6, and 8-12 weeks. Patients with the 3, 6, and 8-12 weeks IP-10/CXCL10 ratio of 1.3, 0.4, and 0.4 or lower were likely to present PR than patients with ≥1.3, 0.4, and 0.4 (88, 35, 35 vs. 30, 3.8, 0%, p < 0.001, 0.011, 0.002). In other hand, the 3, 6, and 8-12 weeks IP-10/CXCL10 ratio for PD group was higher than that for non-PD group. Patients with the 3, 6, and 8-12 weeks IP-10/CXCL10 ratio of 1.3, 1.7, and 1.9 or higher were likely to present PD than patients below (85, 62, 57 vs. 32, 23, 14%, p = 0.002, 0.034, 0.009). CONCLUSION: High baseline IP-10/CXCL10 levels may be associated with better outcome, and high IP-10/CXCL10 ratio after 3-12 weeks may be associated with worse outcome in u-HCC patients receiving AB therapy.

Impact of Renal Function on the Prognosis of Patients Receiving Atezolizumab/Bevacizumab Combination Therapy and Lenvatinib Monotherapy for Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

INTRODUCTION: Several studies have reported kidney injury caused by immune checkpoint inhibitors, and proteinuria caused by vascular endothelial growth factor inhibitors for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (u-HCC). We investigated the relationship between renal function and prognosis in patients with u-HCC receiving atezolizumab and bevacizumab (AB) and lenvatinib (LEN) therapy. METHODS: Fifty-one patients who received AB and 50 patients who received LEN therapy were included. We analyzed prognostic factors related to the overall survival (OS), and characteristics related to renal function. RESULTS: In patients with AB therapy, OS was shorter in patients with baseline proteinuria of 1+ or higher, as assessed by urine dipstick test, compared to those with -/± (p = 0.024). There were many cases with two or more drugs with a high risk of renal dysfunction (p = 0.019) in patients with 1+ or higher. Furthermore, OS was shorter in the group with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) grade deterioration without urinary protein-creatinine ratio (UPCR) of 2 g/g·Cre or higher than in the other groups (p = 0.027). In the group where eGFR worsened without an increase in UPCR, there were many cases with a daily salt intake of 10 g or more (p = 0.027), three or more drugs with a high risk of renal dysfunction (p = 0.021), and a history of arteriosclerosis (p = 0.021). On the other hand, in patients with LEN therapy, OS tends to be shorter in patients with proteinuria of ± or higher, compared to those without (p = 0.074). There were many cases with a daily salt intake of 10 g or more in patients with ± or higher (p = 0.002). CONCLUSION: In patients receiving AB and LEN therapy, baseline proteinuria was associated with OS. Renal function deterioration without proteinuria was associated with a poor prognosis in AB therapy. Excessive salt intake, preexisting atherosclerotic disease, and drug with a high risk of renal dysfunction were risk factors for renal deterioration.

Significance of serum IP-10/CXCL10 measurement in predicting post-direct acting antiviral treatment liver function in patients with HCV-decompensated liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Recently, with the advent of sofosbuvir/velpatasvir therapy, sustained virological response (SVR) can now be achieved even in patients with decompensated cirrhosis (dLC). However, the prognosis after SVR does not always improve in dLC, and appropriate indicators enabling prediction of prognosis is desired. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Serum IP-10/CXCL10 levels were measured in 47 patients (15 chronic hepatitis [CH], 17 compensated cirrhosis [cLC], and 15 dLC) receiving direct acting antiviral (DAA) therapy, and their changes during the therapy were examined. RESULTS: All the patients achieved SVR. In patients with CH, the average IP-10 level was 367, 102, and 68 pg/ml respectively at baseline, at the end of therapy and at 12 weeks after SVR (SVR12), and was decreased upon DAA therapy (P < 0.001). In patients with cLC, IP-10 was respectively 215, 91, and 77 pg/ml, and was decreased upon DAA therapy (P < 0.001) while it was 283, 131, and 182 pg/ml in patients with dLC and there was no evident decrease (P = 0.55). When patients with dLC were further classified depending on the difference in Child-Pugh (CP) score improvement at SVR12, a significant decrease in IP-10 was observed after treatment in those with improvement (P = 0.023) while a significant increase was observed in those without improvement (P = 0.016). CONCLUSION: While serum IP-10 level was decreased in patients with CH/cLC and dLC with post-SVR-CP improvement following SVR, it was increased in patients with dLC without post-SVR CP improvement. The result indicates that IP-10 dynamics may be useful for predicting liver function after DAA therapy.

Early diagnosis of hepatic inflammation in Japanese nonalcoholic fatty liver disease patients using 3D MR elastography.

BACKGROUND: The damping ratio (DR) and the loss modulus (G″) obtained by 3D MR elastography complex modulus analysis has been reported recently to reflect early intrahepatic inflammation, and is expected to be a noninvasive biomarker of inflammation in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the role of the DR and the G″ in Japanese NAFLD patients remains unclear. METHODS: We enrolled 39 Japanese patients with NAFLD who underwent liver biopsy and 3D MR elastography within 1 month and analyzed the association between DR, G″, and histological activity. RESULTS: Regarding DR, no evident correlation was observed between the DR and histological activity (p = 0.14) when patients with all fibrosis stages were included. However, when patients were restricted up to stage F2 fibrosis, the association of the DR and inflammation became significant, the DR increasing with the degree of activity (p = 0.02). Among the constituents of fibrosis activity, ballooning correlated with the DR (p < 0.01) while lobular inflammation did not. Regarding G″, it was correlated with histological activity (p < 0.01), ballooning (p < 0.01), and lobular inflammation (p < 0.01) in patients with all fibrosis stages and in patients up to F2 fibrosis (p = 0.03 for activity and p = 0.04 for ballooning). The best cutoff value of DR for hepatitis activity in patients within the F2 stage was 0.094 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.775, 95% CI: 0.529-1.000) and G″ was 0.402 (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.825, 95% CI: 0.628-1.000). CONCLUSIONS: The DR and G″ reflected the histological activity in Japanese patients with NAFLD during the early stage, indicating these values for noninvasive diagnosis of inflammation in Japanese patients with NAFLD.

Effect of a combination of pemafibrate and a mild low-carbohydrate diet on obese and non-obese patients with metabolic-associated fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Recently, pemafibrate and a low-carbohydrate diet (LCD) have each been reported to improve fatty liver disease. However, it is unclear whether their combination improves fatty liver disease and is equally effective in obese and non-obese patients. METHODS: In 38 metabolic-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) patients, classified by baseline body mass index (BMI), changes in laboratory values, magnetic resonance elastography (MRE), and magnetic resonance imaging-proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) were studied after 1 year of combined pemafibrate plus mild LCD. RESULTS: The combination treatment resulted in weight loss (P = 0.002), improvement in hepatobiliary enzymes (γ-glutamyl transferase, P = 0.027; aspartate aminotransferase, P < 0.001; alanine transaminase [ALT], P < 0.001), and improvement in liver fibrosis markers (FIB-4 index, P = 0.032; 7 s domain of type IV collagen, P = 0.002; M2BPGi, P < 0.001). Vibration-controlled transient elastography improved from 8.8 to 6.9 kPa (P < 0.001) and MRE improved from 3.1 to 2.8 kPa (P = 0.017) in the liver stiffness. MRI-PDFF improved from 16.6% to 12.3% in liver steatosis (P = 0.007). In patients with a BMI of 25 or higher, improvements of ALT (r = 0.659, P < 0.001) and MRI-PDFF (r = 0.784, P < 0.001) were significantly correlated with weight loss. However, in patients with a BMI below 25, the improvements of ALT or PDFF were not accompanied by weight loss. CONCLUSIONS: Combined treatment with pemafibrate and a low-carbohydrate diet resulted in weight loss and improvements in ALT, MRE, and MRI-PDFF in MAFLD patients. Although such improvements were associated with weight loss in obese patients, the improvements were observed irrespective of weight loss in non-obese patients, indicating this combination can be effective both in obese and non-obese MAFLD patients.

Plasma Renin Activity Predicts Prognosis and Liver Disease-Related Events in Liver Cirrhosis Patients with Ascites Treated by Tolvaptan.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A retrospective study was to analyze the association of plasma renin activity (PRA) with overall survival and liver disease-related events in decompensated liver cirrhosis with ascites treated by tolvaptan. METHODS: We included 196 patients with decompensated cirrhosis treated with tolvaptan and for whom hepatic ascites had remained uncontrolled by conventional diuretics. Factors associated with prognosis and appearance of liver disease-related events were investigated, including vasopressin, sympathetic nervous system hormones (adrenaline, noradrenaline, and dopamine), and the renin-angiotensin system (PRA and aldosterone) at the beginning of tolvaptan treatment. RESULTS: Age, history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and PRA were identified as independent factors for prognosis after tolvaptan treatment. The median survival time in patients with PRA ≥9.5 ng/mL/h at the beginning of tolvaptan treatment was significantly shorter than in patients with PRA <9.5 ng/mL/h (193 vs. 893 days, p < 0.001). PRA and a history of HCC were independent factors for the occurrence of liver disease-related events. The median event-free period in patients with PRA ≥3.2 ng/mL/h was significantly shorter than that of patients with PRA <3.2 ng/mL/h (89 vs. 222 days, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: PRA is an independent predictor of prognosis and appearance of liver disease-related events in patients with decompensated cirrhosis who have started tolvaptan treatment.

Dynamic evaluation of hepatocellular carcinoma prediction models in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving nucleotide/nucleoside analogue treatment.

Carcinogenesis risk scores for chronic hepatitis B have been proposed, but it remains unclear whether these scores during nucleoside/nucleotide analogue (NA) therapy are useful for risk assessment. In this study, we examined changes of these scores and the predictability during NA treatment. 432 patients with no history of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) treated with NA were enrolled. PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B (mPAGE-B), and REACH-B scores were calculated at NA administration, 1 and 2 years after administration. The median follow-up duration was 5.1 years, during which 37 patients (8.6%) developed HCC. Cumulative incidence HCC development in patients with high risk of PAGE at NA administration, and 1 and 2 years after NA administration was significantly higher than those with intermediate and low-risk groups (p < .05 for all time points), whereas HCC incidence in patients with high risk of mPAGE-B and REACH-B at 2 years after NA administration were equivalent to those with intermediate and low-risk groups (p = .2 for mPAGE-B, and p = .1 for REACH-B). The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) for HCC development of PAGE-B at NA administration, and 1 and 2 years after administration were 0.773, 0.803 and 0.737, respectively. The AUROCs of PAGE-B at each point were continuously higher than those of REACH-B (0.646, 0.725, and 0.653, respectively) and mPAGE-B (0.754, 0.734, and 0.678, respectively).PAGE-B score has a high diagnostic accuracy for HCC development at any time point during NA treatment, indicating its potential use as a real-time monitor of HCC development.

Changes of liver stiffness measured by magnetic resonance elastography during direct-acting antivirals treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

Almost all patients achieved sustained virological response (SVR) by direct-acting antivirals (DAA) therapy, but it is not clear as to what extent DAA therapy affects changes in liver fibrosis after achieving SVR. In this study, we investigated the changes of liver stiffness by magnetic resonance elastogaraphy (MRE) during DAA therapy. A total of 308 patients were enrolled in the study. Liver stiffness was measured twice before and after DAA treatment using MRE and time-course change of liver stiffness was investigated. The median (interquartile range) values for liver stiffness were 4.2 (3.2-6.1) kPa at baseline and 3.3 (2.6-4.8) kPa at SVR, demonstrating a significant improvement (p < .01). A total of 44% of patients had no improvement in liver stiffness despite achieving SVR. In patients with advanced fibrosis (lower level of albumin [Alb] or histological fibrosis stage F4), it was difficult to improve liver stiffness. Except for Alb, there were no blood tests associated with nonimprovement in liver stiffness, making these cases difficult to predict. In conclusion, despite obtaining SVR, improvement in liver stiffness could not be obtained in some cases, especially in patients with advanced fibrosis. In these patients, liver stiffness must be followed even if SVR is obtained.

Prognosis of intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma stratified by albumin-bilirubin grade.

AIM: Intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) is a highly aggressive malignancy. However, the characteristics and prognosis of ICC is not well known. This study aims to reveal the relationship between liver function and prognosis of ICC. METHODS: A total of 83 ICC patients were recruited retrospectively from March 2009 to August 2020. Child-Pugh (CP) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores were used to assess liver function. The extent of portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT) was classified from Vp0 to Vp4. The end-point for this analysis was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: The median age was 72 (44-88) years, 48 patients were male (57.8%), and 70 patients were classified as CP grade A (84.3%). At baseline, chronic liver disease (hepatitis B, 9.6%; hepatitis C, 15.7%; alcoholic liver disease, 9.6%; and nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 4.8%) were diagnosed. The median OS of all ICC patients was 21.2 months. A total of 27 patients underwent surgical resection; these patients showed a longer median OS compared to those who did not undergo surgery (50.8 months vs. 5.5 months, p < 0.001). The prognosis of patients with ICC can be stratified by ALBI grade (grade 1, 54.3 months; grade 2a, 8.4 months; grade 2b, 3.9 months; and grade 3, 1.4 months; p < 0.001) and the extent of PVTT (Vp0, 54.3 months; Vp1/2, 8.4 months; and Vp3/4, 3.9 months; p = 0.0039). CONCLUSION: In this study, viral hepatitis (25.3%) was identified as the most prevalent background liver disease of ICC. Assessing liver function using ALBI grade is useful for stratifying the prognosis of patients with ICC.

Hepatitis B core-related antigen predicts disease progression and hepatocellular carcinoma in hepatitis B e antigen-negative chronic hepatitis B patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The serum hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) is considered a surrogate marker of the amount and activity of intrahepatic covalently closed circular DNA. This study aims to investigate the virological characteristics of HBcrAg in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients and to reveal the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk factors of hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients. METHODS: Hepatitis B core-related antigen was measured in 245 naive CHB patients before receiving nucleoside/nucleotide analog (NA) therapy. All patients were receiving NA (entecavir, tenofovir disoproxil fumarate, and tenofovir alafenamide) continuously for more than 1 year until the end of follow-up, and they did not have a history of HCC. Hepatitis B viral status was compared between 106 HBeAg-positive and 139 HBeAg-negative patients. RESULTS: Median HBcrAg levels were significantly higher in HBeAg-positive patients than in HBeAg-negative patients (> 6.8 vs 3.7 log U/mL, P < 0.01). In HBeAg-negative patients, higher HBcrAg levels were associated with cirrhosis (119 chronic hepatitis/20 cirrhosis = 3.5/4.7 log U/mL, P = 0.03) and higher serum hepatitis B virus DNA. During a median follow-up of 5.28 (1.03-12.0) years, the 5-year cumulative HCC incidence rate was 5.4% in the HBeAg-negative cohort. In the multivariate Cox regression analysis, higher HBcrAg levels at 1 year were independent predictive factors for HCC development in HBeAg-negative patients who received NA therapy (cutoff value, 4.1 log U/mL; hazard ratio, 6.749; 95% confidence interval, 1.334-34.15, P < 0.01) and even in non-cirrhosis patients. CONCLUSION: Hepatitis B core-related antigen was useful for understanding disease progression in CHB patients and for stratifying the risk for carcinogenesis in HBeAg-negative patients receiving NA therapy.

Liver fibrosis and fatty liver as independent risk factors for cardiovascular disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The association between liver fibrosis, fatty liver, and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk is unknown. Hence, this study aimed to investigate the association of liver fibrosis and fatty liver with CVD risk independent of already known CVD risk comorbidities. METHODS: This is a prospective study registered with the University Hospital Medical Information Network clinical trial registry (UMIN000036175). Liver fibrosis was assessed by serum fibrosis markers including FIB-4, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS), and Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive Mac-2 binding protein (WFA+ -M2BP), whereas fatty liver was diagnosed by ultrasonography. CVD risk was evaluated using the Framingham risk score (FRS), and a high CVD risk was defined as an FRS ≥ 20%. RESULTS: A total of 3512 subjects were enrolled, and high CVD risk (FRS ≥ 20%) was observed in 17.5%. Advanced fibrosis (FIB-4 ≥ 2.67, NFS ≥ 0.675, and WFA+ -M2BP ≥ 1.0) and the presence of fatty liver were significantly associated with high CVD risk independent of diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia, and hypertension. When subjects were stratified by liver fibrosis and fatty liver, subjects with advanced fibrosis and fatty liver have the highest odds for high CVD risk (odds ratio [OR]: 5.90-35.6), followed by subjects with advanced fibrosis and without fatty liver (OR: 2.53-9.62) using subjects without advanced fibrosis and fatty liver as a reference. CONCLUSIONS: Liver fibrosis and fatty liver were associated with CVD risk independent of already known CVD risk comorbidities. The assessment of liver fibrosis and fatty liver may be useful to identify high CVD risk subjects.

Comparison of medication adherence and satisfaction between entecavir and tenofovir alafenamide therapy in chronic hepatitis B.

Adherence to nucleotide/nucleoside analog therapy is important in improving prognosis in chronic hepatitis B. We aimed to compare medical adherence and satisfaction with entecavir (ETV) and tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) and to assess the effect of switching from ETV to TAF. Patients taking ETV (n = 114) and TAF (n = 35), and who switched from ETV to TAF (n = 15) were included. Medication adherence and satisfaction were assessed using a questionnaire. There was no significant difference in adherence between the ETV and TAF groups, but the medication satisfaction rates (0-10, prefer-dislike) were 1.72 ± 2.2 and 0.69 ± 1.5, respectively (P = .01; significantly higher in the TAF group). In patients who switched from ETV to TAF, medication adherence significantly improved (P = .04) as follows: never forgetting, from 40% to 87%; forgetting once every 2 to 3 months, from 33% to 7%; forgetting once every 2 months, from 20% to 7%, and forgetting once every 4 weeks, from 7% to 0%. Similarly, the medication satisfaction rate significantly improved from 4.53 ± 3.2 to 1.27 ± 2.4 after switching (P = .008). In conclusion, switching from ETV to TAF can be a useful approach to improve medication adherence and satisfaction.

Validation of albumin, bilirubin, and platelet criteria for avoiding screening endoscopy in patients with advanced fibrosis.

AIM: The albumin, bilirubin, and platelet (ABP) criteria was proposed to avoid screening endoscopy for detecting high-risk varices (HRV) and it has high diagnostic accuracy. We carried out a retrospective cross-sectional study to verify the diagnostic accuracy. METHODS: A total of 610 patients with advanced fibrosis were enrolled in the study. ABP criteria are defined as follows: albumin >4.0 g/dL, bilirubin <22 µmol/L, and platelets >114 000/µL. RESULTS: Background liver disease were hepatitis C/hepatitis B/non-alcoholic fatty liver disease/others:405 (66.4%)/67 (10.5%)/78 (12.8%)/60 (10.3%). A total of 105 patients (17.2%) had HRV. In multivariate analysis, serum bilirubin <22 µmol/L (HR 2.00, 95% CI 1.2-3.4), albumin >4.0 g/dL (HR 2.56, 95% CI 1.7-3.8), and platelets >114 000/µL (HR 3.52, 95% CI 2.1-5.8) levels were independently associated with no presence of HRV. When the ABP criteria were examined, 200 patients (32.8%) fulfilled the criteria, and 194 patients had no HRV (positive predictive value 97.0%) When classified by etiologies (hepatitis C/hepatitis B/non-alcoholic fatty liver disease), positive predictive value were 97.7/100/92.0%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The ABP criteria are easy to examine, because they use only standard laboratory tests, and they are available for screening patients who might avoid endoscopy regardless of etiologies.

Strategy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma based on liver function and portal vein tumor thrombosis.

AIM: Tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) therapy resulted in better prognosis for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, some cases with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C disease still had poor prognosis. This study aimed to investigate prognosis and characteristics of patients with HCC treated with TKI based on liver function and the extent of portal vein tumor thrombosis (PVTT). METHODS: Patients receiving TKI therapy (n = 345) were recruited retrospectively. Child-Pugh score and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score were used for assessment of liver function. The extent of PVTT was classified from Vp0 to Vp4. Radiotherapy or hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy were carried out as additional therapy to TKI. The end-point for this analysis was overall survival (OS). RESULTS: A total of 291 and 54 patients received sorafenib and lenvatinib as first-line TKI therapy, respectively. The median OS of patients treated with TKI were significantly stratified by ALBI grade (grade 1, 20.1 months; grade 2a, 16.3 months; grades 2b and 3, 9.8 months; P = 0.0003). The classification of PVTT significantly stratified the prognosis of patients treated with TKI (median OS: Vp0, 18.5 months; Vp1/2, 14.4 months; Vp3/4, 5.5 months; P < 0.0001). In the ALBI 2b/3 and Vp3/4 groups, the median OS of patients treated with TKI and additional therapies was significantly longer than those treated with TKI only (9.2 months vs.. 3.6 months; P = 0.0129). CONCLUSION: Liver function and PVTT are useful for stratifying prognosis of HCC patients treated with TKI. The applicative classification could lead to appropriate therapy and better prognosis.

Three criteria for radiological response on survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib.

AIM: Lenvatinib (LEN) is a newly approved, multikinase inhibitor for treating unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. In the present study, we investigated the impact of three different criteria for evaluating radiological objective response (OR) on overall survival in real-world data. METHODS: Consent for LEN therapy was obtained from 51 patients from April 2018 to March 2019. A total of 40 patients who received a minimal cumulative duration of 4 weeks of LEN were included in the analysis. Enhanced computed tomography scan was performed at baseline and every 4-8 weeks after LEN administration. Overall survival and OR were assessed with three different evaluations, as follows: Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors 1.1, modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, and Choi criteria. RESULTS: The average observation period for all participants after LEN introduction was 209.4 ± 77.5 days. The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors 1.1, modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, and Choi criteria identified 10 of 40 (25.0%), 15 of 40 (37.5%), and 18of 40 (45.0%) patients with OR, respectively. The median overall survival in progressive disease evaluated by each criterion was 227 days. This result was significantly shorter than OR. Furthermore, the cumulative duration of LEN administration (>150 days) represented a significant prognostic factor (HR 0.160. 95% CI 0.039-0.646, P = 0.001). CONCLUSION: The Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors 1.1, modified Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors, and Choi criteria were useful therapeutic evaluation methods in LEN therapy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma. LEN's appropriate effect evaluation and management might lead to a better prognosis.

Validation of hepatocellular carcinoma risk scores in Japanese chronic hepatitis B cohort receiving nucleot(s)ide analog.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development during nucleotide/nucleoside analog (NA) therapy is clinically important in patients with chronic hepatitis B. Although several useful models for HCC prediction have been previously reported, their usefulness in the Japanese population is unclear. Therefore, this study examines the applicability of these models in Japanese patients. METHODS: Four hundred forty-three patients with no history of HCC who were treated with entecavir, tenofovir alafenamide, or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate were enrolled. PAGE-B, modified-PAGE-B, and REACH-B scores were calculated, and subsequent HCC development was investigated. RESULTS: The mean follow-up duration was 5.1 years, and a total of 33 patients (7.4%) developed HCC during the follow-up period. Multivariate analysis revealed that old age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-1.09, P = 0.011), male gender (HR 2.62, 95% CI 1.06-6.49, P = 0.037), and low platelet count (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.77-0.91, P < 0.001) were independent predictors of HCC development. These factors are the same as the factors identified in the PAGE-B model. Time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve revealed that the AUROCs for 3 and 7 years of PAGE-B (AUROC: 0.786 and 0.744 at 3 and 7 years, respectively) were continuously higher than those of REACH-B (0.658 and 0.543) and modified PAGE-B AUROC (0.772 and 0.731). CONCLUSIONS: PAGE-B, which can easily identify high-risk cases, can be useful for predicting HCC development in Japanese patients treated with NA therapy.

Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein as a Screening Tool for Significant Liver Fibrosis in Health Checkup.

Chronic liver disease is generally widespread, and a test for screening fibrotic subjects in a large population is needed. The ability of Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein (WFA+-M2BP) to detect significant fibrosis was investigated in health checkup subjects in this research. Of 2021 health checkup subjects enrolled in this prospective cross-sectional study, those with WFA+-M2BP ≥ 1.0 were defined as high risk. Liver fibrosis was evaluated using magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) in subjects with high risk. The primary outcome was the positive predictive value (PPV) of WFA+-M2BP for significant fibrosis (liver stiffness ≥ 2.97 kPa by MRE). This trial was registered with the UMIN clinical trial registry, UMIN000036175. WFA+-M2BP ≥ 1.0 was observed in 5.3% of the 2021 subjects. The PPV for significant fibrosis with the threshold of WFA+-M2BP at ≥1.0, ≥1.1, ≥1.2, ≥1.3, ≥1.4, and ≥1.5 was 29.2%, 36.4%, 43.5%, 42.9%, 62.5%, and 71.4%, respectively. A WFA+-M2BP of 1.2 was selected as the optimal threshold for significant fibrosis among high-risk subjects, and the PPV, negative predictive value, sensitivity, and specificity for significant fibrosis were 43.5%, 84.0%, 71.4%, and 61.8%, respectively. WFA+-M2BP ≥ 1.2 was significantly associated with significant fibrosis, with an odds ratio (OR) of 4.04 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.1-16, p = 0.04), but not FIB-4 ≥ 2.67 (OR: 2.40, 95%CI: 0.7-8.6, p-value = 0.2). In conclusion, WFA+-M2BP is associated with significant fibrosis and could narrow down potential subjects with liver fibrosis. The strategy of narrowing down fibrosis subjects using WFA+-M2BP may be used to screen for fibrotic subjects in a large population.

Wisteria floribunda Agglutinin-Positive Mac-2 Binding Protein but not α-fetoprotein as a Long-Term Hepatocellular Carcinoma Predictor.

Identification of high-risk patients for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after sustained virological responses (SVR) is necessary to define candidates for long-term surveillance. In this study, we examined whether serum markers after 1 year of SVR could predict subsequent HCC development. Total 734 chronic hepatitis C patients without a history of HCC who achieved SVR with direct-acting antivirals were included. The regular surveillance for HCC started from 24 weeks after the end of treatment (SVR24). Factors at SVR24 and 1 year after SVR24 were analyzed for predicting HCC development. During the mean observation period of 19.7 ± 10 months, 24 patients developed HCC. At SVR24, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive mac-2 binding protein (WFA±M2BP) ≥ 1.85 and α-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 6.0 ng/mL were independent factors of HCC development. However, at 1 year after SVR24, WFA±M2BP ≥ 1.85 was associated with subsequent HCC development (hazard ratio: 23.5, 95% confidence interval: 2.68-205) but not AFP. Among patients with WFA±M2BP ≥ 1.85 at SVR24, 42% had WFA±M2BP < 1.85 at 1 year after SVR24 (WFA±M2BP declined group). Subsequent HCC development was significantly lower in the declined group than in the non-declined group (1 year HCC rate: 0% vs. 9.4%, p = 0.04). In conclusion, WFA±M2BP but not AFP could identify high and no-risk cases of HCC at 1 year after SVR. Therefore, it was useful as a real-time monitoring tool to identify the candidates for continuous surveillance for HCC.