More reliable outcome measures can reduce sample size requirements.

In the design of a clinical trial, considerations of statistical power primarily involve the evaluation of prospective sample sizes. Another strategy for increasing statistical power that is rarely used focuses on the selection of the outcome measure. When an outcome measure is selected, its reliability and validity must be carefully evaluated. Here the relationship between reliability and statistical power is explored empirically. We show that as the number of related items in an outcome scale increases, the internal consistency reliability of the scale also increases. As a consequence, the within-group variability decreases and, in turn, the between-group effect size increases and sample size requirements decrease. As a result, sample size requirements can be reduced and research costs decreased. We recommend careful consideration of the psychometric properties of outcome measures prior to sample size determination in any statistical power analyses.

Aborted suicide attempts: a new classification of suicidal behavior.

OBJECTIVE: With the goal of ultimately finding early suicide predictors, the authors undertook a study of aborted suicide attempts. They defined such an attempt as an event in which an individual comes close to attempting suicide but does not complete the act and thus sustains no injury. METHODS: The authors interviewed a random sample of 135 adult psychiatric inpatients concerning their past suicidal behavior. Using standardized scales, they assessed suicidal intent for aborted suicide attempts and actual suicide attempts, as well as degree of injury for actual attempts. RESULTS: Over half of the 135 subjects reported making at least one aborted suicide attempt. Aside from younger age, no demographic characteristics were associated with aborted attempts. Aborted attempts were reported more often in subjects with a diagnosis of borderline personality disorder than in subjects with other diagnoses. Intent scores for aborted attempts were comparable to those for actual suicide attempts. Subjects who had made an aborted attempt were nearly twice as likely to have made an actual suicide attempt as subjects with no aborted attempts. Among subjects with both aborted and actual attempts, the first aborted attempt preceded the first actual attempt approximately half the time. CONCLUSIONS: Aborted suicide attempts were reported commonly by psychiatric inpatients, had a similar level of intent as actual attempts, and were highly associated with actual attempts. Thus, clinicians should specifically ask patients about aborted attempts as a part of the suicide history. Further study is needed to examine the association between aborted suicide attempts and suicide.

Violence by patients admitted to a private psychiatric hospital.

OBJECTIVE: The authors determined the rates and patterns of violence toward persons by psychiatric patients before admission to the inpatient service of the Payne Whitney Clinic and determined which factors were associated with a greater risk of violence. METHOD: During hospitalization, 763 patients were interviewed by a research assistant using a structured interview instrument. The interviewer inquired about demographic and socioeconomic information and about history of violence and alcohol and drug use. RESULTS: Having physically attacked another person in the month before admission was equally likely among male (13.6%) and female (14.7%) patients. The patterns of violence were similar for men and women in terms of target, severity of injuries, use of a weapon, and place of occurrence. Univariate analyses showed that only youth was associated with violence for male patients, while youth, low socioeconomic status, substance abuse, and axis II pathology were associated with a greater risk of violence for female patients. Logistic regression analyses showed that recent cocaine use was significantly associated with violence by female patients when age, socioeconomic status, and axis II pathology were controlled for. For male patients, recent heroin use was related to a greater risk of violence. CONCLUSIONS: The frequency of violence by female patients was 150% higher than it was in a study at the Payne Whitney Clinic a decade ago. The frequency of violence by male patients was 50% higher than it was a decade ago. In the current study, substance abuse was associated with greater risk of violence by patients.

Association of recurrent suicidal ideation with nonremission from acute mixed mania.

OBJECTIVE: The authors' goal was to examine suicidality in relation to acute symptom remission in inpatients with mixed and pure bipolar disorder. METHOD: Using chart review of 184 adult inpatients with bipolar I disorder, the authors assessed patients' past and current suicidality, other psychopathology, treatment, and remission. RESULTS: Past, current, and recurrent suicidality were significantly more common among patients with mixed mania than among those with pure mania. The probability of remission declined by 49% for every suicide attempt made before the index manic episode. Mixed mania, multiple previous hospitalizations, and previous suicide attempts were significantly associated with current suicidality. CONCLUSIONS: Suicidality is linked with mixed manic states and may be a clinical marker for recurrent dysphoric mania. Multiple suicide attempts are associated with nonremission from mixed manic episodes.

HIV seroprevalence among suicide victims in New York City, 1991-1993.

OBJECTIVE: The authors sought to determine the HIV seroprevalence among suicide victims in New York City. METHOD: All suicides of city residents from 1991 through 1993 were studied. The crude proportion of all suicide victims who were HIV positive and the proportion adjusted to the age, gender, and racial/ethnic characteristics of the New York City population were determined. The demographically adjusted proportion was then contrasted with HIV seroprevalence estimates for the New York City general population. HIV-seropositive suicide victims were assessed for pathological findings suggestive of HIV-related illnesses. RESULTS: The crude proportion of all suicide victims who were HIV seropositive was 0.088, and the demographically adjusted proportion was 0.049. Over 90% of all HIV-positive suicide victims were aged 25 to 54 years, and almost 90% were men. Among black and Hispanic men aged 35 to 54 years who committed suicide, the proportion who were HIV seropositive was 0.252--the highest seropositive rate of any demographic group. More than two-thirds of HIV-seropositive suicide victims had no HIV-related pathology or AIDS-indicator conditions at autopsy. CONCLUSIONS: The demographically adjusted proportion of suicide victims who were HIV positive (approximately 0.038 to 0.059), contrasted with the HIV seroprevalence estimates for the New York City general population (approximately 0.014 to 0.032), the absence of HIV-related pathology among suicide victims, and the likelihood that many HIV-positive individuals had other risk factors for suicide, such as substance abuse, suggests that a positive HIV serostatus is associated, at most, with a modest elevation in suicide risk.

Sexual functioning in chronically depressed patients treated with SSRI antidepressants: a pilot study.

OBJECTIVE: This prospective study assessed changes in depression and sexual functioning in chronically depressed men and women during treatment with selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors (SSRIs). METHOD: Twenty-five subjects (14 women, 11 men) with DSM-III-R dysthymia, chronic major depression, or double depression were administered the Arizona Sexual Experience Scale and the Hamilton Depression Rating Scale before and after 6 weeks of treatment with sertraline or paroxetine. RESULTS: As measured by scores on the Arizona Sexual Experience Scale, desire, psychological arousal, and overall sexual functioning significantly improved in women; orgasm delay, orgasm satisfaction, and overall sexual functioning significantly worsened in men. CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that after SSRI treatment, difficulties with desire and psychological arousal in depressed women tend to remit, whereas in men orgasmic dysfunction appears to be a side effect to medication.

Lower risk of suicide during pregnancy.

OBJECTIVE: The authors determined the risk of suicide during pregnancy. METHOD: The autopsy reports of all female residents of New York City, 10-44 years old, who committed suicide from 1990 to 1993 were assessed for pregnancy. These data were compared with age-adjusted and race-adjusted standardized mortality ratios for women, which were calculated by using population data from the 1990 U.S. Census as well as data obtained from the New York City Health Department on the number of live births, spontaneous abortions, and induced abortions. RESULTS: The standardized mortality ratio for suicide during pregnancy was 0.33; that is, the number of suicides of pregnant women was only one-third of that expected. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the mood swings and stresses associated with pregnancy and impending childbirth, pregnant women have a significantly lower risk of suicide than women of childbearing age who are not pregnant.

False positive results: a challenge for psychiatric screening in primary care.

OBJECTIVE: The goal of this study was to characterize primary care patients with false positive results on screens for mental disorders. METHOD: A sample of 1,001 primary care patients completed self-administered screens and structured interviews for DSM-IV diagnoses. RESULTS: A substantial proportion of the patients with false positive screen results for at least one diagnosis met the diagnostic criteria for other psychiatric disorders. They also had significantly greater functional impairment and higher rates of recent use of mental health services than the subjects with true negative results on the screens. CONCLUSIONS: Although the positive predictive values of screens for specific mental disorders are in line with those of other medical screens, false positive results are not uncommon. This may be due in part to the sensitivity of brief screening instruments to nonspecific symptoms. The results suggest that as with other screens used in primary care, patients with false positive results on screens for mental disorders should receive clinical attention.

Use of prescription psychotropic drugs among suicide victims in New York City.

OBJECTIVE: The authors examined the rate of prescription psychotropic drug use among suicide victims at the time of their death. METHOD: From a total of 1,970 suicides that occurred in New York City from 1990 to 1992, 1,635 cases that had a complete toxicologic analysis and an injury-death interval of 48 hours or less were assessed at autopsy for the presence of commonly prescribed antidepressants and neuroleptics. RESULTS: Prescription psychotropic medications were detected in only 16.4% (N = 268) of the suicide victims studied. Demographic factors associated with use of these drugs included female gender and white race. Poisoning accounted for 17.9% (N = 293) of all suicides studied, but antidepressants or neuroleptics were detected in less than half of these victims. Among all suicide victims in whom an antidepressant or neuroleptic was detected, almost half had used lethal methods other than poisoning. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, most individuals who committed suicide in New York City were not taking prescription psychotropic medications at the time of their death and either were not receiving pharmacotherapy or were noncompliant.

A history of substance abuse complicates remission from acute mania in bipolar disorder.

BACKGROUND: Substance abuse frequently complicates the course of bipolar illness, promotes mixed states, and contributes to poor outcome in mania. Preliminary open trials suggest that anticonvulsant mood stabilizers may enhance remission rates and outcome for bipolar patients with substance abuse. This study compared remission patterns for mixed or pure manic episodes among bipolar inpatients with or without substance abuse histories. METHOD: Hospital records were retrospectively reviewed for 204 DSM-III-R bipolar I inpatients. Clinical features were compared for those with or without substance abuse/dependence histories predating the index manic episode. Time until remission was analyzed by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Naturalistic treatment outcome with lithium or anticonvulsant mood stabilizers was compared for those with or without past substance abuse. RESULTS: Past substance abuse was evident in 34% of the bipolar sample and comprised most often alcoholism (82%), followed by cocaine (30%), marijuana (29%), sedative-hypnotic or amphetamine (21%), and opiate (13%) abuse. Substance abuse was more common among men (p < .05) and those with mixed rather than pure mania (p < .05). Remission during hospitalization was less likely among patients with prior substance abuse (p < .05), especially alcohol or marijuana abuse, and among mixed manic patients with past substance abuse (p < .05). Bipolar patients with substance abuse histories who received divalproex or carbamazepine remitted during hospitalization more often than did those who received lithium as the sole mood stabilizer (p < .05). CONCLUSION: These findings support previous reports suggesting that bipolar patients with past substance abuse have poorer naturalistic treatment outcomes, but may show a better response to anticonvulsant mood stabilizers than lithium.

Rapid titration of mood stabilizers predicts remission from mixed or pure mania in bipolar patients.

BACKGROUND: Recent investigations have suggested that the antimanic agents divalproex sodium and carbamazepine may each hasten hospital discharge and be especially beneficial in treating mixed-state mania. This study retrospectively compared the time to remission for pure versus mixed manic bipolar inpatients who were taking lithium, divalproex, or carbamazepine, or their combination, under naturalistic conditions. METHOD: Records were reviewed for 120 bipolar inpatients from 1991 to 1995. Research DSM-III-R diagnoses of pure or mixed mania were assigned along standardized guidelines. Data were obtained on daily symptoms, medication doses, and blood levels. Weekly improvement was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis of Clinical Global Impressions scale scores. Variables associated with "remission" versus "nonremission" were examined by logistic regression. RESULTS: Mixed mania (N = 70) was more common than pure mania (N = 50). No significant differences were observed in the time to remission for mixed or pure manic bipolar patients who took lithium compared with those who took divalproex or carbamazepine. In patients who remained symptomatic with lithium as a single-agent mood stabilizer despite therapeutic serum lithium levels, the addition of a second mood stabilizer led to rapid symptom improvement. Among all medication subgroups, the speed with which patients achieved therapeutic blood levels of any of these agents significantly affected the time to remission. CONCLUSION: Mixed manic bipolar patients taking lithium, divalproex, or carbamazepine under naturalistic conditions remit at comparable rates. Those failing to respond to single-agent mood stabilizers often receive combinations of mood stabilizers. However, delays in optimizing a medication regimen may attenuate short-term outcome, regardless of the mood stabilizer selected. Rapid achievement of therapeutic blood levels of any antimanic agent appears to be strongly related to swift symptom remission.

Gate questions in psychiatric interviewing: the case of suicide assessment.

Gate questions are commonly used to shorten structured interviews, by not probing negative responses with more detailed questions. This study quantified cases of aborted suicide attempts that would have been missed, if we had skipped detailed questions following a gate. To accomplish this, we interviewed a random sample of 135 adult psychiatric inpatients concerning their past suicidal behavior. Using our structured interview, subjects were asked a general question about aborted suicide attempts, and then asked method-specific questions regardless of their response to the general "gate" question. Of the seventy subjects who were found to have histories of aborted attempts, 44.3% answered "no" to the gate question. Comparing these "false negative" subjects to "true positives," who had answered "yes" to the gate question and reported bona fide aborted attempts yielded no significant associations with demographics, psychiatric diagnoses, or reported histories of actual suicide attempts. Thus, a large number of subjects with aborted attempts would have been missed if a negative response to the gate question had not been probed. Clinical and reasearch implications generally, as well as implications for suicide assessment, are discussed.

HIV infection among victims of accidental fatal drug overdoses in New York City.

AIMS: To determine the factors associated with HIV seroprevalence rates for victims of drug overdoses. DESIGN: Descriptive epidemiologic survey of a complete 3-year sample of accidental fatal drug overdoses. SETTING: New York City (population 7,322,564). PARTICIPANTS: All people over 15 years of age (n = 2159) who died of accidental fatal drug overdoses during 1991-93. MEASUREMENTS: Using medical examiner data and logistic regression analyses were conducted to examine the association between HIV seroprevalence and gender, race, age and type of drug overdose. FINDINGS: There were 646 (29.9%) victims who were HIV positive. Women (37.5%) were more likely than men (27.9%) to be HIV positive. African-Americans (39.4%) had a higher rate of HIV infection than Latinos (27.5%), whites (19.2%) or Asians (8.3%). Victims residing in communities with higher levels of poverty had higher rates of HIV infection but poverty did not account for the high rates of HIV infection among African-Americans. The highest rates of HIV infection were found among victims aged 35-44 years (38.8%) and 45-54 years (33.7%). Dying from an opiate overdose was associated with a 2.4 times increase in the likelihood of being HIV positive. CONCLUSION: If opiate abuse continues to rise in the United States, HIV infection will increase in the next few years. Women who abuse drugs participate in risky sexual practices and are more likely than men to develop HIV infection from receptive sex as well as sharing of needles. Harm reduction programs should address risky sex as well as needle programs. There should be further study of why African-Americans who died of drug overdoses have the highest rates of HIV infection.

Maintenance desipramine for dysthymia: a placebo-controlled study.

BACKGROUND: This study examines the efficacy of maintenance pharmacotherapy in dysthymia without concurrent major depression, i.e. 'pure dysthymia'. No published data exist on this topic. METHODS: Responders to a 10-week open trial of desipramine (DMI) whose therapeutic response persisted during a 4-month continuation phase were eligible to begin a 2-year placebo-controlled maintenance phase. We analyzed the subgroup with DSM-III-R pure dysthymia (n=27) that entered maintenance. Time to recurrence during maintenance therapy was compared between the two treatment groups. RESULTS: Six of 13 patients receiving placebo and none of 14 patients receiving ongoing DMI experienced a recurrence. Risk of recurrence was significantly greater for placebo patients. Five of six placebo recurrences occurred within the first 6 months of maintenance. LIMITATIONS: Larger replication studies are needed. CONCLUSION: Desipramine was efficacious as a maintenance treatment in patients with pure dysthymia who responded to 7 months of acute and continuation DMI.

Correlates of suicidal ideation in dysphoric mania.

BACKGROUND: Previous investigations have reported that suicidal ideation and behavior are more prevalent during mixed than pure mania. Uncertainties exist about whether suicidality in mania arises from multiple concurrent depressive symptoms, or rather, as a categorical phenomenon, reflecting dysphoria without necessarily a full major depression. To elucidate the relationship between suicidal ideation and dysphoric mania, we analyzed clinical and demographic features associated with suicidal versus nonsuicidal dysphoric manic inpatients. METHODS: Records were reviewed for 100 DSM-III-R bipolar I manic inpatients at the Payne Whitney Clinic of New York Hospital from 1991-1995. All had > or = 2 concomitant depressive symptoms (other than suicidality). Affective and psychotic symptoms, past suicide attempts, prior illness, and related clinical/demographic variables were assessed by a standardized protocol. RESULTS: Suicidal ideation was significantly more common among dysphoric manics who were caucasian, took antidepressant medications in the week prior to admission, had histories of alcohol abuse/dependence, and made past suicide attempts. Suicidal ideation was evident for nearly half of dysphoric manic patients with < or = 3 depressive symptoms who did not meet DSM criteria for a mixed state. No individual manic or depressive symptoms other than dysphoric mood were more common among suicidal than nonsuicidal patients. LIMITATIONS: Findings from this retrospective study require confirmation using a prospective assessment. Treatments were naturalistic and may have differentially influenced hospital course and illness characteristics. Factors related to suicide attempts (rare in this cohort) or completions (not a focus of this study) may differ from those related only to suicidal ideation. CONCLUSIONS: Caucasian dysphoric manic patients with past suicide attempts and substance abuse may have a significantly elevated risk for suicidality, even when full major depression does not accompany mania. Suicidality is a clinically important consideration in a majority of dysphoric manic patients.

Service utilization and expenditures for the treatment of panic disorder.

The outpatient service utilization and estimated expenditures for the treatment of panic disorder for patients prior to their enrollment in a large clinical trial were examined. Data were drawn from the Cross-National Collaborative Panic Study. The sample consists of 391 patients who met DSM-III criteria for panic disorder and were enrolled at one of the US sites of the trial. The rate and frequency of outpatient mental health visits to primary care and specially mental health providers for the current episode of panic disorder are examined. Estimates of direct expenditures for these services are presented (in 1993 US dollars). Over 70% of the patients used primary care for mental health services whereas about 47% of the patients used specialty mental health services. Nearly half of the patients (46.8%) saw a nonpsychiatrist medical specialist, most often a cardiologist (20.6%). Among all patients, those with more frequent panic attacks were more likely to use some form of outpatient mental health services for panic disorder. Among users of any services, those with more severe impairment were more likely to use specialized mental health services. The mean estimated expenditure for the panic episode was $3339, about half of which was accounted for by specialty mental health expenditures. Among users, the median estimated expenditures was $518 for primary care physicians and $2122 for specialty mental health services. In conclusion, the service utilization in this sample of patients with panic disorder is highly varied. Both the primary care and specialty mental health sectors play prominent roles in the community treatment of panic disorder.

Histoplasmosis: twenty years experience in a general hospital.

This report summarizes the clinical and laboratory data on 57 patients with histoplasmosis, including 13 with progressive disseminated disease. The experience in general is supportive of that of others in that although infection with Histoplasma capsulatum is prevalent, clinical disease is uncommon and disseminated disease actually rare. The data again emphasize the limitations of diagnostic methods, and in particular point up the need to obtain cultures of biopsy material from mucocutaneous lesions.

A profile of homicides on the streets and in the homes of New York City.

Although prior research has found that homes containing firearms and illicit drug and ethanol users are more likely to be the scene of a homicide than homes that do not contain these elements, the authors studied homicides on the streets as well as in homes so as to assess the role of firearms, cocaine, and ethanol in both settings. Using the files of the Chief Medical Examiner, the authors reviewed all 4,468 homicides occurring in New York City in 1990 and 1991. The most frequent places of occurrence were the streets and other outdoor places (49.6 percent) and the victims' homes (19.3 percent). Firearms were the cause of death for 49.6 percent of homicides in the home and 80.3 percent of those on the streets. Use of cocaine and ethanol was found more frequently among victims killed on the streets than those killed at home. In addition, victims killed on the streets were more likely to be male, ages 15-24 years, and African American. Further research in regard to prevention and intervention strategies is needed, keeping in mind the different patterns of homicide on the streets compared with those occurring in other settings.

A prospective study of violence by psychiatric patients after hospital discharge.

OBJECTIVE: The study assessed the frequency of violence by patients two weeks after discharge from a psychiatric hospital and identified characteristics of patients with an increased risk of violence after discharge. METHODS: A structured form was used to interview patients aged 18 to 59 years in a private university psychiatric hospital. Patients provided self-reports of past violence, and violence while in the hospital was assessed by routine nurse ratings. Patients were telephoned two weeks after discharge to assess violence since discharge. RESULTS: Sixteen of 430 patients who were interviewed by telephone two weeks after discharge reported violence against persons since their discharge. Patients who were violent in the month before admission were nine times more likely to be violent in the two weeks after discharge, compared with patients who were not violent just before admission. Patients with a personality disorder were four times more likely than patients without a personality disorder to be violent after discharge. The targets of violence were often family members or other intimates and often the same persons attacked before hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who were violent just before admission were more likely to be violent after discharge and to attack the same persons they had attacked in the past. Clinicians should routinely evaluate past violence and work with the patient and potential targets of violence to prevent future violence.

Predictors of missed appointments for psychiatric consultations in a primary care clinic.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study was to determine predictors of missed appointments for psychiatric consultations among patients in a general medical clinic. METHODS: The charts of 180 patients consecutively referred for psychiatric consultations at a university-affiliated primary care clinic were reviewed. Ninety patients missed appointments for these consultations. Parametric and nonparametric tests were used to compare patients who missed and did not miss appointments on demographic and clinical variables, as well as measures related to patients' interactions with the clinic and the referring clinician. RESULTS: Logistic regression analysis revealed three significant predictors of missed appointments. Patients with mild distress and those with significant resistance to seeing a psychiatrist were more likely to miss appointments, as were those who had to wait longer between the referral and the appointment date. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that shortening the wait for a psychiatric consultation, reserving consultation for more severe cases, and working to reduce patients' resistance to consultation will reduce the number of missed appointments.