Application of the ERS/ATS Spirometry Standards and Race-Neutral Equations in the COPDGene Study.

RATIONALE: The European Respiratory Society (ERS) and the American Thoracic Society (ATS) recommend using z-scores, and the ATS has recommended using Global Lung Initiative (GLI)- "Global" race-neutral reference equations for spirometry interpretation. However, these recommendations have been variably implemented and the impact has not been widely assessed, both in clinical and research settings. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the ERS/ATS airflow obstruction severity classification. METHODS: In the COPDGene Study (n = 10,108), airflow obstruction has been defined as a forced expiratory volume in one second to forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC) ratio <0.70, with spirometry severity graded from class 1 to 4 based on race-specific percent predicted (pp) FEV1 cut-points as recommended by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD). We compared the GOLD approach, using NHANES III race-specific equations, to the application of GLI-Global equations using the ERS/ATS definition of airflow obstruction as FEV1/FVC ratio < lower limit of normal (LLN) and z-FEV1 cut-points of -1.645, -2.5, and -4 ("zGLI Global"). We tested the four-tier severity scheme for association with COPD outcomes. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The lowest agreement between ERS/ATS with zGLI Global and the GOLD classification was observed in individuals with milder disease (56.9% and 42.5% in GOLD 1 and 2) and race was a major determinant of redistribution. After adjustment for relevant covariates, zGLI Global distinguished all-cause mortality risk between normal spirometry and the first grade of COPD (Hazard Ratio 1.23, 95% CI 1.04-1.44, p=0.014), and showed a linear increase in exacerbation rates with increasing disease severity, in comparison to GOLD. CONCLUSIONS: The zGLI Global severity classification outperformed GOLD in the discrimination of survival, exacerbations, and imaging characteristics.

Genetically Predicted Body Mass Index and Mortality in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Rationale: Body mass index (BMI) is associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) mortality, but the underlying mechanisms are unclear. The effect of genetic variants aggregated into a polygenic score may elucidate the causal mechanisms and predict risk. Objectives: To examine the associations of genetically predicted BMI with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in COPD. Methods: We developed a polygenic score (PGS) for BMI (PGSBMI) and tested for associations of the PGSBMI with all-cause, respiratory, and cardiovascular mortality in participants with COPD from the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of COPD), ECLIPSE (Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate End-points), and Framingham Heart studies. We calculated the difference between measured BMI and PGS-predicted BMI (BMIdiff) and categorized participants into groups of discordantly low (BMIdiff <20th percentile), concordant (BMIdiff between the 20th and 80th percentiles), and discordantly high (BMIdiff >80th percentile) BMI. We applied Cox models, examined potential nonlinear associations of the PGSBMI and BMIdiff with mortality, and summarized results with meta-analysis. Measurements and Main Results: We observed significant nonlinear associations of measured BMI and BMIdiff, but not PGSBMI, with all-cause mortality. In meta-analyses, a one-standard deviation increase in the PGSBMI was associated with an increased hazard for cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12-1.49), but not for respiratory or all-cause mortality. Compared with participants with concordant measured and genetically predicted BMI, those with discordantly low BMI had higher risks for all-cause mortality (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.41-1.74) and respiratory death (HR, 2.01; 95% CI, 1.61-2.51). Conclusions: In people with COPD, a higher genetically predicted BMI is associated with higher cardiovascular mortality but not respiratory mortality. Individuals with a discordantly low BMI have higher all-cause and respiratory mortality rates than those with a concordant BMI.

Early Evidence of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Obscured by Race-Specific Prediction Equations.

Rationale: The identification of early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is essential to appropriately counsel patients regarding smoking cessation, provide symptomatic treatment, and eventually develop disease-modifying treatments. Disease severity in COPD is defined using race-specific spirometry equations. These may disadvantage non-White individuals in diagnosis and care. Objectives: Determine the impact of race-specific equations on African American (AA) versus non-Hispanic White individuals. Methods: Cross-sectional analyses of the COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease) cohort were conducted, comparing non-Hispanic White (n = 6,766) and AA (n = 3,366) participants for COPD manifestations. Measurements and Main Results: Spirometric classifications using race-specific, multiethnic, and "race-reversed" prediction equations (NHANES [National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey] and Global Lung Function Initiative "Other" and "Global") were compared, as were respiratory symptoms, 6-minute-walk distance, computed tomography imaging, respiratory exacerbations, and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire. Application of different prediction equations to the cohort resulted in different classifications by stage, with NHANES and Global Lung Function Initiative race-specific equations being minimally different, but race-reversed equations moving AA participants to more severe stages and especially between the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage 0 and preserved ratio impaired spirometry groups. Classification using the established NHANES race-specific equations demonstrated that for each of GOLD stages 1-4, AA participants were younger, had fewer pack-years and more current smoking, but had more exacerbations, shorter 6-minute-walk distance, greater dyspnea, and worse BODE (body mass index, airway obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity) scores and St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire scores. Differences were greatest in GOLD stages 1 and 2. Race-reversed equations reclassified 774 AA participants (43%) from GOLD stage 0 to preserved ratio impaired spirometry. Conclusions: Race-specific equations underestimated disease severity among AA participants. These effects were particularly evident in early disease and may result in late detection of COPD.

Causes of and Clinical Features Associated with Death in Tobacco Cigarette Users by Lung Function Impairment.

Rationale: Cigarette smoking contributes to the risk of death through different mechanisms. Objectives: To determine how causes of and clinical features associated with death vary in tobacco cigarette users by lung function impairment. Methods: We stratified current and former tobacco cigarette users enrolled in Genetic Epidemiology of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPDGene) into normal spirometry, PRISm (Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry), Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) 1-2 COPD, and GOLD 3-4 COPD. Deaths were identified via longitudinal follow-up and Social Security Death Index search. Causes of death were adjudicated after a review of death certificates, medical records, and next-of-kin interviews. We tested associations between baseline clinical variables and all-cause mortality using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models. Measurements and Main Results: Over a 10.1-year median follow-up, 2,200 deaths occurred among 10,132 participants (age 59.5 ± 9.0 yr; 46.6% women). Death from cardiovascular disease was most frequent in PRISm (31% of deaths). Lung cancer deaths were most frequent in GOLD 1-2 (18% of deaths vs. 9-11% in other groups). Respiratory deaths outpaced competing causes of death in GOLD 3-4, particularly when BODE index ⩾7. St. George's Respiratory Questionnaire score ⩾25 was associated with higher mortality in all groups: Hazard ratio (HR), 1.48 (1.20-1.84) normal spirometry; HR, 1.40 (1.05-1.87) PRISm; HR, 1.80 (1.49-2.17) GOLD 1-2; HR, 1.65 (1.26-2.17) GOLD 3-4. History of respiratory exacerbations was associated with higher mortality in GOLD 1-2 and GOLD 3-4, quantitative emphysema in GOLD 1-2, and airway wall thickness in PRISm and GOLD 3-4. Conclusions: Leading causes of death vary by lung function impairment in tobacco cigarette users. Worse respiratory-related quality of life is associated with all-cause mortality regardless of lung function.

Prevalence and mortality associations of interstitial lung abnormalities in rheumatoid arthritis within a multicentre prospective cohort of smokers.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prevalence and mortality impact of interstitial lung abnormalities (ILAs) in RA and non-RA comparators. METHODS: We analysed associations between ILAs, RA, and mortality in COPDGene, a multicentre prospective cohort study of current and past smokers, excluding known interstitial lung disease (ILD) or bronchiectasis. All participants had research chest high-resolution CT (HRCT) reviewed by a sequential reading method to classify ILA as present, indeterminate or absent. RA cases were identified by self-report RA and DMARD use; non-RA comparators had neither an RA diagnosis nor used DMARDs. We examined the association and mortality risk of RA and ILA using multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression. RESULTS: We identified 83 RA cases and 8725 non-RA comparators with HRCT performed for research purposes. ILA prevalence was 16.9% in RA cases and 5.0% in non-RA comparators. After adjusting for potential confounders, including genetics, current/past smoking and other lifestyle factors, ILAs were more common among those with RA compared with non-RA [odds ratio 4.76 (95% CI 2.54, 8.92)]. RA with ILAs or indeterminate for ILAs was associated with higher all-cause mortality compared with non-RA without ILAs [hazard ratio (HR) 3.16 (95% CI 2.11, 4.74)] and RA cases without ILA [HR 3.02 (95% CI 1.36, 6.75)]. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort of smokers, RA was associated with ILAs and this persisted after adjustment for current/past smoking and genetic/lifestyle risk factors. RA with ILAs in smokers had a 3-fold increased all-cause mortality, emphasizing the importance of further screening and treatment strategies for preclinical ILD in RA.

Rheumatoid arthritis, quantitative parenchymal lung features, and mortality among smokers.

OBJECTIVES: There have been limited investigations of the prevalence and mortality impact of quantitative computed tomography (QCT) parenchymal lung features in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). We examined the cross-sectional prevalence and mortality associations of QCT features, comparing RA and non-RA participants. METHODS: We identified participants with and without RA in COPDGene, a multicentre cohort study of current or former smokers. Using a k-nearest neighbor quantifier, high resolution CT chest scans were scored for percentage of normal lung, interstitial changes, and emphysema. We examined associations between QCT features and RA using multivariable linear regression. After dichotomizing participants at the 75th percentile for each QCT feature among non-RA participants, we investigated mortality associations by RA/non-RA status and quartile 4 vs quartiles 1-3 of QCT features using Cox regression. We assessed for statistical interactions between RA and QCT features. RESULTS: We identified 82 RA cases and 8820 non-RA comparators. In multivariable linear regression, RA was associated with higher percentage of interstitial changes (ß = 1.7 ± 0.5, p= 0.0008) but not emphysema (ß = 1.3 ± 1.7, p= 0.44). Participants with RA and >75th percentile of emphysema had significantly higher mortality than non-RA participants (HR 5.86, 95%CI 3.75-9.13) as well as RA participants (HR 5.56, 95%CI 2.71-11.38) with ≤75th percentile of emphysema. There were statistical interactions between RA and emphysema for mortality (multiplicative p= 0.014; attributable proportion 0.53, 95%CI 0.30-0.70). CONCLUSIONS: Using machine learning-derived QCT data in a cohort of smokers, RA was associated with higher percentage of interstitial changes. The combination of RA and emphysema conferred >5-fold higher mortality.

Principal component analysis of flow-volume curves in COPDGene to link spirometry with phenotypes of COPD.

BACKGROUND: Parameters from maximal expiratory flow-volume curves (MEFVC) have been linked to CT-based parameters of COPD. However, the association between MEFVC shape and phenotypes like emphysema, small airways disease (SAD) and bronchial wall thickening (BWT) has not been investigated. RESEARCH QUESTION: We analyzed if the shape of MEFVC can be linked to CT-determined emphysema, SAD and BWT in a large cohort of COPDGene participants. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: In the COPDGene cohort, we used principal component analysis (PCA) to extract patterns from MEFVC shape and performed multiple linear regression to assess the association of these patterns with CT parameters over the COPD spectrum, in mild and moderate-severe COPD. RESULTS: Over the entire spectrum, in mild and moderate-severe COPD, principal components of MEFVC were important predictors for the continuous CT parameters. Their contribution to the prediction of emphysema diminished when classical pulmonary function test parameters were added. For SAD, the components remained very strong predictors. The adjusted R2 was higher in moderate-severe COPD, while in mild COPD, the adjusted R2 for all CT outcomes was low; 0.28 for emphysema, 0.21 for SAD and 0.19 for BWT. INTERPRETATION: The shape of the maximal expiratory flow-volume curve as analyzed with PCA is not an appropriate screening tool for early disease phenotypes identified by CT scan. However, it contributes to assessing emphysema and SAD in moderate-severe COPD.

Use of the Spirometric "Fixed-Ratio" Underdiagnoses COPD in African-Americans in a Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: COPD diagnosis is tightly linked to the fixed-ratio spirometry criteria of FEV1/FVC < 0.7. African-Americans are less often diagnosed with COPD. OBJECTIVE: Compare COPD diagnosis by fixed-ratio with findings and outcomes by race. DESIGN: Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) (2007-present), cross-sectional comparing non-Hispanic white (NHW) and African-American (AA) participants for COPD diagnosis, manifestations, and outcomes. SETTING: Multicenter, longitudinal US cohort study. PARTICIPANTS: Current or former smokers with ≥ 10-pack-year smoking history enrolled at 21 clinical centers including over-sampling of participants with known COPD and AA. Exclusions were pre-existing non-COPD lung disease, except for a history of asthma. MEASUREMENTS: Subject diagnosis by conventional criteria. Mortality, imaging, respiratory symptoms, function, and socioeconomic characteristics, including area deprivation index (ADI). Matched analysis (age, sex, and smoking status) of AA vs. NHW within participants without diagnosed COPD (GOLD 0; FEV1 ≥ 80% predicted and FEV1/FVC ≥ 0.7). RESULTS: Using the fixed ratio, 70% of AA (n = 3366) were classified as non-COPD, versus 49% of NHW (n = 6766). AA smokers were younger (55 vs. 62 years), more often current smoking (80% vs. 39%), with fewer pack-years but similar 12-year mortality. Density distribution plots for FEV1 and FVC raw spirometry values showed disproportionate reductions in FVC relative to FEV1 in AA that systematically led to higher ratios. The matched analysis demonstrated GOLD 0 AA had greater symptoms, worse DLCO, spirometry, BODE scores (1.03 vs 0.54, p < 0.0001), and greater deprivation than NHW. LIMITATIONS: Lack of an alternative diagnostic metric for comparison. CONCLUSIONS: The fixed-ratio spirometric criteria for COPD underdiagnosed potential COPD in AA participants when compared to broader diagnostic criteria. Disproportionate reductions in FVC relative to FEV1 leading to higher FEV1/FVC were identified in these participants and associated with deprivation. Broader diagnostic criteria for COPD are needed to identify the disease across all populations.

Sex Differences in Airways at Chest CT: Results from the COPDGene Cohort.

Background The prevalence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in women is fast approaching that in men, and women experience greater symptom burden. Although sex differences in emphysema have been reported, differences in airways have not been systematically characterized. Purpose To evaluate whether structural differences in airways may underlie some of the sex differences in COPD prevalence and clinical outcomes. Materials and Methods In a secondary analyses of a multicenter study of never-, current-, and former-smokers enrolled from January 2008 to June 2011 and followed up longitudinally until November 2020, airway disease on CT images was quantified using seven metrics: airway wall thickness, wall area percent, and square root of the wall thickness of a hypothetical airway with internal perimeter of 10 mm (referred to as Pi10) for airway wall; and lumen diameter, airway volume, total airway count, and airway fractal dimension for airway lumen. Least-squares mean values for each airway metric were calculated and adjusted for age, height, ethnicity, body mass index, pack-years of smoking, current smoking status, total lung capacity, display field of view, and scanner type. In ever-smokers, associations were tested between each airway metric and postbronchodilator forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)-to-forced vital capacity (FVC) ratio, modified Medical Research Council dyspnea scale, St George's Respiratory Questionnaire score, and 6-minute walk distance. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were created to evaluate the sex-specific association between each airway metric and mortality. Results In never-smokers (n = 420), men had thicker airway walls than women as quantified on CT images for segmental airway wall area percentage (least-squares mean, 47.68 ± 0.61 [standard error] vs 45.78 ± 0.55; difference, -1.90; P = .02), whereas airway lumen dimensions were lower in women than men after accounting for height and total lung capacity (segmental lumen diameter, 8.05 mm ± 0.14 vs 9.05 mm ± 0.16; difference, -1.00 mm; P < .001). In ever-smokers (n = 9363), men had greater segmental airway wall area percentage (least-squares mean, 52.19 ± 0.16 vs 48.89 ± 0.18; difference, -3.30; P < .001), whereas women had narrower segmental lumen diameter (7.80 mm ± 0.05 vs 8.69 mm ± 0.04; difference, -0.89; P < .001). A unit change in each of the airway metrics (higher wall or lower lumen measure) resulted in lower FEV1-to-FVC ratio, more dyspnea, poorer respiratory quality of life, lower 6-minute walk distance, and worse survival in women compared with men (all P < .01). Conclusion Airway lumen sizes quantified at chest CT were smaller in women than in men after accounting for height and lung size, and these lower baseline values in women conferred lower reserves against respiratory morbidity and mortality for equivalent changes compared with men. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Optimism is associated with respiratory symptoms and functional status in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Optimism is the general belief that good things will occur in the future; optimism is modifiable by cognitive behavioral therapy (CBT). Previous studies have associated higher optimism with improved health outcomes and lower all-cause mortality. RESEARCH QUESTION: Investigate association between optimism and disease-related characteristics in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Current and former smokers with/without COPD and Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry (PRISm) from the 10-year follow-up visit for the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) study were included. Optimism was assessed at the 10-year visit using the Life Orientation Test-Revised. Models of optimism as a predictor of lung function, COPD-associated phenotypes including exacerbations, and functional assessments, were adjusted for demographic confounders, smoking status, and comorbidities. RESULTS: Among 1967 subjects, higher optimism was significantly associated with older age, non-Hispanic white race, marital status, quitting smoking status, absence of COPD, and absence of depression. In multivariable analysis, higher optimism was independently associated with fewer prior exacerbations of COPD (coef = - 0.037, P < 0.001). Higher optimism was also related to better MMRC scores (coef = - 0.041, P < 0.001), CAT scores (coef = - 0.391, P < 0.001), SGRQ scores (coef = - 0.958, P < 0.001), BODE index (coef = - 0.059, P < 0.001), and longer 6-min walk distance (coef = 10.227, P < 0.001). After stratification by severity of COPD, these associations with optimism were still significant in all groups. No significant association was observed for cross-sectional FEV1 (%) or FVC (%) with optimism score. INTERPRETATION: Fewer exacerbations and less severe respiratory symptoms and higher functional capacity were associated with higher optimism, which may impact health outcomes in current and former smokers with and without COPD. Optimism is a modifiable trait and these results may further support a role for CBT to improve outcomes in COPD.

Increased chest CT derived bone and muscle measures capture markers of improved morbidity and mortality in COPD.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a disease of accelerated aging and is associated with comorbid conditions including osteoporosis and sarcopenia. These extrapulmonary conditions are highly prevalent yet frequently underdiagnosed and overlooked by pulmonologists in COPD treatment and management. There is evidence supporting a role for bone-muscle crosstalk which may compound osteoporosis and sarcopenia risk in COPD. Chest CT is commonly utilized in COPD management, and we evaluated its utility to identify low bone mineral density (BMD) and reduced pectoralis muscle area (PMA) as surrogates for osteoporosis and sarcopenia. We then tested whether BMD and PMA were associated with morbidity and mortality in COPD. METHODS: BMD and PMA were analyzed from chest CT scans of 8468 COPDGene participants with COPD and controls (smoking and non-smoking). Multivariable regression models tested the relationship of BMD and PMA with measures of function (6-min walk distance (6MWD), handgrip strength) and disease severity (percent emphysema and lung function). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationship between sex-specific quartiles of BMD and/or PMA derived from non-smoking controls with all-cause mortality. RESULTS: COPD subjects had significantly lower BMD and PMA compared with controls. Higher BMD and PMA were associated with increased physical function and less disease severity. Participants with the highest BMD and PMA quartiles had a significantly reduced mortality risk (36% and 46%) compared to the lowest quartiles. CONCLUSIONS: These findings highlight the potential for CT-derived BMD and PMA to characterize osteoporosis and sarcopenia using equipment available in the pulmonary setting.

Respiratory exacerbations are associated with muscle loss in current and former smokers.

OBJECTIVES: Muscle wasting is a recognised extra-pulmonary complication in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and has been associated with increased risk of death. Acute respiratory exacerbations are associated with reduction of muscle function, but there is a paucity of data on their long-term effect. This study explores the relationship between acute respiratory exacerbations and long-term muscle loss using serial measurements of CT derived pectoralis muscle area (PMA). DESIGN AND SETTING: Participants were included from two prospective, longitudinal, observational, multicentre cohorts of ever-smokers with at least 10 pack-year history. PARTICIPANTS: The primary analysis included 1332 (of 2501) participants from Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) and 4384 (of 10 198) participants from Genetic Epidemiology of COPD (COPDGene) who had complete data from their baseline and follow-up visits. INTERVENTIONS: PMA was measured on chest CT scans at two timepoints. Self-reported exacerbation data were collected from participants in both studies through the use of periodic longitudinal surveys. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-related and excess muscle loss over time. RESULTS: Age, sex, race and body mass index were associated with baseline PMA. Participants experienced age-related decline at the upper end of reported normal ranges. In ECLIPSE, the exacerbation rate over time was associated with an excess muscle area loss of 1.3% (95% CI 0.6 to 1.9, p<0.001) over 3 years and in COPDGene with an excess muscle area loss of 2.1% (95% CI 1.2 to 2.8, p<0.001) over 5 years. Excess muscle area decline was absent in 273 individuals who participated in pulmonary rehabilitation. CONCLUSIONS: Exacerbations are associated with accelerated skeletal muscle loss. Each annual exacerbation was associated with the equivalent of 6 months of age-expected decline in muscle mass. Ameliorating exacerbation-associated muscle loss represents an important therapeutic target.

Visual Emphysema at Chest CT in GOLD Stage 0 Cigarette Smokers Predicts Disease Progression: Results from the COPDGene Study.

Background The clinical significance of visually evident emphysema on CT images in individuals without spirometric evidence of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) by current diagnostic criteria is, to the knowledge of the authors, unknown. Purpose To evaluate whether participants with visually evident emphysema at CT were more likely to have progressive disease and increased mortality at 5 years compared with those without visual emphysema. Materials and Methods This secondary analysis of the prospective Genetic Epidemiology of COPD study evaluated current or former smokers enrolled between 2008 and 2011 who did not meet current criteria for COPD (defined as Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease stage 0). Statistical analysis was performed by using linear mixed models to estimate mean physiologic, imaging, and clinical outcomes for those with and without visual emphysema. Hazard ratios for mortality were calculated by using Cox regression models with emphysema as the main predictor. Results Of the 4095 participants, 48.3% (1979 participants; 1096 men and 883 women; mean age, 57 years ± 8 [standard deviation]) had trace or greater visual emphysema at CT and 51.7% (2116 participants; 1068 men and 1048 women; mean age, 56 years ± 8) had no emphysema at CT. At 5 years, participants with visual emphysema at CT demonstrated progressive airflow obstruction with lower values of ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1)-to-functional vital capacity (FVC) ratio (-1.7 vs -0.7) and greater progression in quantitative emphysema measured by 15th percentile lung density (-3.3 vs -0.3 HU), adjusted lung density (-3.1 vs -0.2 g/L), and percentage of lung voxels with CT attenuation less than -950 HU (0.17 vs -0.20) than participants without emphysema (P < .001 for each). The rate of quantitative emphysema progression increased with greater grades of emphysema severity within the emphysema group. Conclusion The presence of visual emphysema at CT in current and former Global Initiative for Obstructive Lung Disease stage 0 smokers predicted structural and physiologic disease progression. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Grenier in this issue.

Five-year Progression of Emphysema and Air Trapping at CT in Smokers with and Those without Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease: Results from the COPDGene Study.

Background CT is used to quantify abnormal changes in the lung parenchyma of smokers that might overlap chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), but studies on the progression of expiratory air trapping in smokers are scarce. Purpose To evaluate the relationship between longitudinal changes in forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) and CT-quantified emphysema and air trapping in smokers. Materials and Methods Cigarette smokers with and those without COPD participating in the multicenter observational COPDGene study were evaluated. Subjects underwent inspiratory and expiratory chest CT and spirometry at baseline and 5-year follow-up. Emphysema was quantified by using adjusted lung density (ALD). Air trapping was quantified by using mean lung density at expiratory CT and CT-measured functional residual capacity-to-total lung volume ratio. Linear models were used to regress quantitative CT measurements taken 5 years apart, and models were fit with and without adding FEV1 as a predictor. Analyses were stratified by Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) stage (GOLD 0, no COPD; GOLD 1, mild COPD; GOLD 2, moderate COPD; GOLD 3, severe COPD; GOLD 4, very severe COPD). Subjects with preserved FEV1-to-forced vital capacity ratio and reduced FEV1 percentage predicted were categorized as having preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm). Results A total of 4211 subjects (503 with PRISm; 2034 with GOLD 0, 388 with GOLD 1, 816 with GOLD 2, 381 with GOLD 3, 89 with GOLD 4) were evaluated. ALD decreased by 1.7 g/L (95% confidence interval [CI]: -2.5, -0.9) in subjects with GOLD 0 at baseline and by 5.3 g/L (95% CI: -6.2, -4.4) in those with GOLD 1-4 (P < .001 for both). When adjusted for changes in FEV1, corresponding numbers were -2.2 (95% CI: -3.0, -1.3) and -4.6 g/L (95% CI: -5.6, -3.4) (P < .001 for both). Progression in air trapping was identified only in GOLD stage 2-4. Approximately 33%-50% of changes in air trapping in GOLD stages 2-4 were accounted for by changes in FEV1. Conclusion CT measures of emphysema and air trapping increased over 5 years in smokers. Forced expiratory volume in one second accounted for less than 10% of emphysema progression and less than 50% of air trapping progression detected at CT. © RSNA, 2020 Online supplemental material is available for this article.

Validation of a method to assess emphysema severity by spirometry in the COPDGene study.

BACKGROUND: Standard spirometry cannot identify the predominant mechanism underlying airflow obstruction in COPD, namely emphysema or airway disease. We aimed at validating a previously developed methodology to detect emphysema by mathematical analysis of the maximal expiratory flow-volume (MEFV) curve in standard spirometry. METHODS: From the COPDGene population we selected those 5930 subjects with MEFV curve and inspiratory-expiratory CT obtained on the same day. The MEFV curve descending limb was fit real-time using forced vital capacity (FVC), peak expiratory flow, and forced expiratory flows at 25, 50 and 75% of FVC to derive an emphysema severity index (ESI), expressed as a continuous positive numeric parameter ranging from 0 to 10. According to inspiratory CT percent lung attenuation area below - 950 HU we defined three emphysema severity subgroups (%LAA-950insp < 6, 6-14, ≥14). By co-registration of inspiratory-expiratory CT we quantified persistent (%pLDA) and functional (%fLDA) low-density areas as CT metrics of emphysema and airway disease, respectively. RESULTS: ESI differentiated CT emphysema severity subgroups increasing in parallel with GOLD stages (p < .001), but with high variability within each stage. ESI had significantly higher correlations (p < .001) with emphysema than with airway disease CT metrics, explaining 67% of %pLDA variability. Conversely, standard spirometric variables (FEV1, FEV1/FVC) had significantly lower correlations than ESI with emphysema CT metrics and did not differentiate between emphysema and airways CT metrics. CONCLUSIONS: ESI adds to standard spirometry the power to discriminate whether emphysema is the predominant mechanism of airway obstruction. ESI methodology has been validated in the large multiethnic population of smokers of the COPDGene study and therefore it could be applied for clinical and research purposes in the general population of smokers, using a readily available online website.

Omics and the Search for Blood Biomarkers in Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease. Insights from COPDGene.

There is an unmet need for blood biomarkers in diagnosis and prognosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The search for these biomarkers has been revolutionized by high-throughput sequencing techniques and multiplex platforms that can measure thousands of gene transcripts, proteins, or metabolites. We review COPDGene (Genetic Epidemiology of COPD) project publications that include DNA methylation, transcriptomic, proteomic, and metabolomic blood biomarkers and discuss their impact on COPD. Key contributions from COPDGene include identification of DNA methylation effects from smoking and genetic variation, new transcriptomic signatures in the blood, identification of protein biomarkers associated with severity and progression (e.g., sRAGE [soluble receptor for advanced glycosylation end products], inflammatory cytokines IL-6 and IL-8), and identification of small molecules (ceramides and sphingomyelin) that may be pathogenic. COPDGene studies have revealed that some of the COPD genome-wide association study polymorphisms are strongly associated with blood biomarkers (e.g., rs2070600 in AGER is a pQTL [protein quantitative trait locus] for sRAGE), underscoring the importance of combining omics results. Investigators have developed molecular networks identifying lower CD4+ resting memory cells associated with COPD. Genes, proteins, and metabolite networks are particularly important because the explanatory value of any single molecule is small (1-10%) compared with panels of multiple markers. COPDGene has been a useful resource in the identification and validation of multiple biomarkers for COPD. These biomarkers, either combined in multiple biomarker panels or integrated with other omics data types, may lead to novel diagnostic and prognostic tests for COPD phenotypes and may be relevant for assessing novel therapies.

Criteria for Early-Phase Diffuse Idiopathic Skeletal Hyperostosis: Development and Validation.

Background Diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis (DISH) is a condition characterized by the formation of new bone along the anterolateral spinal column at four adjacent vertebral bodies. Purpose To propose and validate criteria for the early phase of DISH by using CT data from two large-scale retrospective cohorts, each with 5-year follow-up. Materials and Methods For this retrospective study, CT data at baseline and follow-up in 1367 patients (cohort I) from 2004 to 2011 were evaluated by two observers to define no DISH, early-stage DISH, and definite DISH on the basis of interval development of consecutive complete or incomplete bone bridges. An independent group of 2267 participants from the COPDGene cohort from 2008 to 2016 was used to validate the early DISH criteria (cohort II). The sensitivity and specificity of early DISH criteria were based on findings in the last CT study as the reference standard by using a nested case-control design. κ Values were calculated between seven readers and with a 3-month interval for one reader. Results Cohort I consisted of 100% men, with a mean age of 60.0 years ± 5.6 (standard deviation) and a mean time between baseline and follow-up CT of 5.0 years ± 1.1. Cohort II consisted of 51% men, with a mean age of 59.9 years ± 8.6 and a mean time between baseline and follow-up CT of 5.4 years ± 0.5. In the derivation cohort, 55 patients comprised the early DISH group. Early DISH was defined as the presence of a spinal segment with a complete bone bridge with an adjacent segment of at least a near-complete bone bridge and another adjacent segment with at least the presence of newly formed bone or when three or more adjacent segments were recorded as showing a near-complete bone bridge. In the validation cohort, sensitivity for early DISH (vs no DISH) was 96% (99 of 103 participants; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 90%, 99%). The corresponding specificity was 83% (1695 of 2034 participants; 95% CI: 82%, 85%). The Fleiss κ for interrater reliability was 0.78 (95% CI: 0.77, 0.78), and the κ for intrarater reliability was 0.89 (95% CI: 0.82, 0.96). Conclusion Early diffuse idiopathic skeletal hyperostosis (DISH) criteria had high sensitivity and specificity for predicting the development of DISH. © RSNA, 2019 Online supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Block in this issue.

Longitudinal Phenotypes and Mortality in Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry in the COPDGene Study.

RATIONALE: Increasing awareness of the prevalence and significance of Preserved Ratio Impaired Spirometry (PRISm), alternatively known as restrictive or Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD)-unclassified spirometry, has expanded the body of knowledge on cross-sectional risk factors. However, longitudinal studies of PRISm remain limited. OBJECTIVES: To examine longitudinal patterns of change in lung function, radiographic characteristics, and mortality of current and former smokers with PRISm. METHODS: Current and former smokers, aged 45 to 80 years, were enrolled in COPDGene (phase 1, 2008-2011) and returned for a 5-year follow-up (phase 2, 2012-2016). Subjects completed questionnaires, spirometry, chest computed tomography scans, and 6-minute-walk tests at both study visits. Baseline characteristics, longitudinal change in lung function, and mortality were assessed by post-bronchodilator lung function categories: PRISm (FEV1/FVC < 0.7 and FEV1 < 80%), GOLD0 (FEV1/FVC > 0.7 and FEV1 > 80%), and GOLD1-4 (FEV1/FVC < 0.7). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Although the prevalence of PRISm was consistent (12.4-12.5%) at phases 1 and 2, subjects with PRISm exhibited substantial rates of transition to and from other lung function categories. Among subjects with PRISm at phase 1, 22.2% transitioned to GOLD0 and 25.1% progressed to GOLD1-4 at phase 2. Subjects with PRISm at both phase 1 and phase 2 had reduced rates of FEV1 decline (-27.3 ± 42.1 vs. -33.0 ± 41.7 ml/yr) and comparable proportions of normal computed tomography scans (51% vs. 52.7%) relative to subjects with stable GOLD0 spirometry. In contrast, incident PRISm exhibited accelerated rates of lung function decline. Subjects with PRISm at phase 1 had higher mortality rates relative to GOLD0 and lower rates relative to the GOLD1-4 group. CONCLUSIONS: PRISm is highly prevalent, is associated with increased mortality, and represents a transitional state for significant subgroups of subjects. Additional studies to characterize longitudinal progression in PRISm are warranted.

Common Genetic Polymorphisms Influence Blood Biomarker Measurements in COPD.

Implementing precision medicine for complex diseases such as chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD) will require extensive use of biomarkers and an in-depth understanding of how genetic, epigenetic, and environmental variations contribute to phenotypic diversity and disease progression. A meta-analysis from two large cohorts of current and former smokers with and without COPD [SPIROMICS (N = 750); COPDGene (N = 590)] was used to identify single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with measurement of 88 blood proteins (protein quantitative trait loci; pQTLs). PQTLs consistently replicated between the two cohorts. Features of pQTLs were compared to previously reported expression QTLs (eQTLs). Inference of causal relations of pQTL genotypes, biomarker measurements, and four clinical COPD phenotypes (airflow obstruction, emphysema, exacerbation history, and chronic bronchitis) were explored using conditional independence tests. We identified 527 highly significant (p < 8 X 10-10) pQTLs in 38 (43%) of blood proteins tested. Most pQTL SNPs were novel with low overlap to eQTL SNPs. The pQTL SNPs explained >10% of measured variation in 13 protein biomarkers, with a single SNP (rs7041; p = 10-392) explaining 71%-75% of the measured variation in vitamin D binding protein (gene = GC). Some of these pQTLs [e.g., pQTLs for VDBP, sRAGE (gene = AGER), surfactant protein D (gene = SFTPD), and TNFRSF10C] have been previously associated with COPD phenotypes. Most pQTLs were local (cis), but distant (trans) pQTL SNPs in the ABO blood group locus were the top pQTL SNPs for five proteins. The inclusion of pQTL SNPs improved the clinical predictive value for the established association of sRAGE and emphysema, and the explanation of variance (R2) for emphysema improved from 0.3 to 0.4 when the pQTL SNP was included in the model along with clinical covariates. Causal modeling provided insight into specific pQTL-disease relationships for airflow obstruction and emphysema. In conclusion, given the frequency of highly significant local pQTLs, the large amount of variance potentially explained by pQTL, and the differences observed between pQTLs and eQTLs SNPs, we recommend that protein biomarker-disease association studies take into account the potential effect of common local SNPs and that pQTLs be integrated along with eQTLs to uncover disease mechanisms. Large-scale blood biomarker studies would also benefit from close attention to the ABO blood group.

Identification of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Axes That Predict All-Cause Mortality: The COPDGene Study.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a syndrome caused by damage to the lungs that results in decreased pulmonary function and reduced structural integrity. Pulmonary function testing (PFT) is used to diagnose and stratify COPD into severity groups, and computed tomography (CT) imaging of the chest is often used to assess structural changes in the lungs. We hypothesized that the combination of PFT and CT phenotypes would provide a more powerful tool for assessing underlying morphologic differences associated with pulmonary function in COPD than does PFT alone. We used factor analysis of 26 variables to classify 8,157 participants recruited into the COPDGene cohort between January 2008 and June 2011 from 21 clinical centers across the United States. These factors were used as predictors of all-cause mortality using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Five factors explained 80% of the covariance and represented the following domains: factor 1, increased emphysema and decreased pulmonary function; factor 2, airway disease and decreased pulmonary function; factor 3, gas trapping; factor 4, CT variability; and factor 5, hyperinflation. After more than 46,079 person-years of follow-up, factors 1 through 4 were associated with mortality and there was a significant synergistic interaction between factors 1 and 2 on death. Considering CT measures along with PFT in the assessment of COPD can identify patients at particularly high risk for death.