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BACKGROUND: Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF), complications of portal hypertension, and disease recurrence determine the outcome for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing liver resection. This study aimed to evaluate the von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF-Ag) as a non-invasive test for clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH) and a predictive biomarker for time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS). METHODS: The study recruited 72 HCC patients with detailed preoperative workup from a prospective trial (NCT02118545) and followed for complications, TTR, and OS. Additionally, 163 compensated patients with resectable HCC were recruited to evaluate vWF-Ag cutoffs for ruling out or ruling in CSPH. Finally, vWF-Ag cutoffs were prospectively evaluated in an external validation cohort of 34 HCC patients undergoing liver resection. RESULTS: In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses, vWF-Ag (area under the curve [AUC], 0.828) was similarly predictive of PHLF as indocyanine green clearance (disappearance rate: AUC, 0.880; retention rate: AUC, 0.894), whereas computation of future liver remnant was inferior (AUC, 0.756). Cox-regression showed an association of vWF-Ag with TTR (per 10%: hazard ratio [HR], 1.056; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.017-1.097) and OS (per 10%: HR, 1.067; 95% CI 1.022-1.113). In the analyses, VWF-Ag yielded an AUC of 0.824 for diagnosing CSPH, with a vWF-Ag of 182% or lower ruling out and higher than 291% ruling in CSPH. Therefore, a highest-risk group (> 291%, 9.7% of patients) with a 57.1% incidence of PHLF was identified, whereas no patient with a vWF-Ag of 182% or lower (52.7%) experienced PHLF. The predictive value of vWF-Ag for PHLF and OS was externally validated. CONCLUSION: For patients with resectable HCC, VWF-Ag allows for simplified preoperative risk stratification. Patients with vWF-Ag levels higher than 291% might be considered for alternative treatments, whereas vWF-Ag levels of 182% or lower identify patients best suited for surgery.
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OBJECTIVE AND BACKGROUND: Clinically significant posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF B+C) remains the main cause of mortality after major hepatic resection. This study aimed to establish an APRI+ALBI, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio (APRI) combined with albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI), based multivariable model (MVM) to predict PHLF and compare its performance to indocyanine green clearance (ICG-R15 or ICG-PDR) and albumin-ICG evaluation (ALICE). METHODS: 12,056 patients from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database were used to generate a MVM to predict PHLF B+C. The model was determined using stepwise backwards elimination. Performance of the model was tested using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis and validated in an international cohort of 2,525 patients. In 620 patients, the APRI+ALBI MVM, trained in the NSQIP cohort, was compared with MVM's based on other liver function tests (ICG clearance, ALICE) by comparing the areas under the curve (AUC). RESULTS: A MVM including APRI+ALBI, age, sex, tumor type and extent of resection was found to predict PHLF B+C with an AUC of 0.77, with comparable performance in the validation cohort (AUC 0.74). In direct comparison with other MVM's based on more expensive and time-consuming liver function tests (ICG clearance, ALICE), the APRI+ALBI MVM demonstrated equal predictive potential for PHLF B+C. A smartphone application for calculation of the APRI+ALBI MVM was designed. CONCLUSION: Risk assessment via the APRI+ALBI MVM for PHLF B+C increases preoperative predictive accuracy and represents an universally available and cost-effective risk assessment prior to hepatectomy, facilitated by a freely available smartphone app.
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BACKGROUND: Micro-metastatic growth is considered the main source of early cancer recurrence. Nutritional and microenvironmental components are increasingly recognized to play a significant role in the liver. We explored the predictive potential of preoperative plasma metabolites for postoperative disease recurrence in colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRCLM) patients. METHODS: All included patients (n = 71) had undergone R0 liver resection for colorectal cancer liver metastasis in the years between 2012 and 2018. Preoperative blood samples were collected and assessed for 180 metabolites using a preconfigured mass-spectrometry kit (Biocrates Absolute IDQ p180 kit). Postoperative disease-free (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were prospectively recorded. Patients that recurred within 6 months after surgery were defined as "high-risk" and, subsequently, a three-metabolite model was created which can assess DFS in our collective. RESULTS: Multiple lysophosphatidylcholines (lysoPCs) and phosphatidylcholines (PCs) significantly predicted disease recurrence within 6 months (strongest: PC aa C36:1 AUC = 0.83, p = 0.003, PC ae C34:0 AUC = 0.83, p = 0.004 and lysoPC a C18:1 AUC = 0.8, p = 0.006). High-risk patients had a median DFS of 183 days versus 522 days in low-risk population (p = 0.016, HR = 1.98 95% CI 1.16-4.35) with a 6 months recurrence rate of 47.6% versus 4.7%, outperforming routine predictors of oncological outcome. CONCLUSION: Circulating metabolites identified CRCLM patients at highest risk for 6 months disease recurrence after surgery. Our data also suggests that circulating metabolites might play a significant pathophysiological role in micro-metastatic growth and concomitant early tumor recurrences after liver resection. However, the clinical applicability and performance of this proposed metabolomic concept needs to be independently validated in future studies.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Hepatectomía/efectos adversos , Humanos , Metabolómica , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/cirugía , Tasa de SupervivenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) is used for clinical decision-making and organ allocation for orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) and was previously upgraded through inclusion of serum sodium (Na) concentrations (MELD-Na). However, MELD-Na may underestimate complications arising from portal hypertension or infection. The von Willebrand factor (vWF) antigen (vWF-Ag) correlates with portal pressure and seems capable of predicting complications in patients with cirrhosis. Accordingly, this study aimed to evaluate vWF-Ag as an adjunct surrogate marker for risk stratification on the waiting list for OLT. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Hence, WF-Ag at time of listing was assessed in patients listed for OLT. Clinical characteristics, MELD-Na, and mortality on the waiting list were recorded. Prediction of 3-month waiting-list survival was assessed by receiver operating characteristics and net reclassification improvement. Interestingly, patients dying within 3 months on the waiting list displayed elevated levels of vWF-Ag (P < 0.001). MELD-Na and vWF-Ag were comparable and independent in their predictive potential for 3-month mortality on the waiting list (area under the curve [AUC], vWF-Ag = 0.739; MELD-Na = 0.764). Importantly, a vWF-Ag cutoff at 413% identified patients at risk for death within 3 months of listing with a higher odds ratio (OR) than the previously published cutoff at a MELD-Na of 20 points (vWF-Ag, OR = 10.873, 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.160, 36.084; MELD-Na, OR = 7.594, 95% CI, 2.578, 22.372; P < 0.001, respectively). Ultimately, inclusion of vWF-Ag into the MELD-Na equation significantly improved prediction of 3-month waiting-list mortality (AUC, MELD-Na-vWF = 0.804). CONCLUSIONS: A single measurement of vWF-Ag at listing for OLT predicts early mortality. Combining vWF-Ag levels with MELD-Na improves risk stratification and may help to prioritize organ allocation to decrease waiting-list mortality.
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Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/sangre , Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/mortalidad , Trasplante de Hígado , Listas de Espera/mortalidad , Factor de von Willebrand/análisis , Adolescente , Adulto , Anciano , Biomarcadores/sangre , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Modelos Teóricos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Tasa de Supervivencia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
The aim of the present study was to investigate retinal microcirculatory and functional metabolic changes in patients after they had recovered from a moderate to severe acute COVID-19 infection. Retinal perfusion was quantified using laser speckle flowgraphy. Oxygen saturation and retinal calibers were assessed with a dynamic vessel analyzer. Arterio-venous ratio (AVR) was calculated based on retinal vessel diameter data. Blood plasma samples underwent mass spectrometry-based multi-omics profiling, including proteomics, metabolomics and eicosadomics. A total of 40 subjects were included in the present study, of which 29 had recovered from moderate to severe COVID-19 within 2 to 23 weeks before inclusion and 11 had never had COVID-19, as confirmed by antibody testing. Perfusion in retinal vessels was significantly lower in patients (60.6 ± 16.0 a.u.) than in control subjects (76.2 ± 12.1 a.u., p = 0.006). Arterio-venous (AV) difference in oxygen saturation and AVR was significantly lower in patients compared to healthy controls (p = 0.021 for AVR and p = 0.023 for AV difference in oxygen saturation). Molecular profiles demonstrated down-regulation of cell adhesion molecules, NOTCH3 and fatty acids, and suggested a bisphasic dysregulation of nitric oxide synthesis after COVID-19 infection. The results of this study imply that retinal perfusion and oxygen metabolism is still significantly altered in patients well beyond the acute phase of COVID-19. This is also reflected in the molecular profiling analysis of blood plasma, indicating a down-regulation of nitric oxide-related endothelial and immunological cell functions.Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov ( https://clinicaltrials.gov ) NCT05650905.
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COVID-19 , Oxígeno , Humanos , Oxígeno/metabolismo , Microcirculación , Óxido Nítrico , Oximetría/métodos , Vasos Retinianos , Perfusión , Proteínas Sanguíneas , LípidosRESUMEN
INTRODUCTION: Posthepatectomy liver failure (PHLF) remains the main reason for short-term mortality after liver surgery. APRI+ALBI, aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio (APRI) combined with albumin-bilirubin grade (ALBI), score and the liver function maximum capacity test (LiMAx) are both established preoperative (preop) liver function tests. The aim of this study was to compare both tests for their predictive potential for clinically significant PHLF grade B and C (B+C). MATERIALS AND METHODS: 352 patients were included from 4 European centers. Patients had available preop APRI+ALBI scores and LiMAx results. Predictive potential for PHLF, PHLF B+C and 90-day mortality was compared using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and calculation of the area under the curve (AUC). Published cutoffs of ≥ -2.46 for APRI+ALBI and of <315 for LiMAx were assessed using chi-squared test. RESULTS: APRI+ALBI showed superior predictive potential for PHLF B+C (N = 34; AUC = 0.766), PHLF grade C (N = 20; AUC = 0.782) and 90-day mortality (N = 15; AUC = 0.750). When comparing the established cutoffs of both tests, APRI+ALBI outperformed LiMAx in prediction of PHLF B+C (APRI+ALBI ≥2.46: Positive predictive value (PPV) = 19%, negative predictive value (NPV) = 97%; LiMAx <315: PPV = 3%, NPV = 90%) and 90-day mortality (APRI+ALBI ≥2.46: PPV = 12%, NPV = 99%; LiMAx <315: PPV = 0%, NPV = 94%) CONCLUSION: In our analysis, APRI+ALBI outperformed LiMAx measurement in the preop prediction of PHLF B+C and postoperative mortality, at a fraction of the costs, manual labor and invasiveness.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Fallo Hepático , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/cirugía , Neoplasias Hepáticas/cirugía , Hepatectomía/métodos , Pronóstico , Albúmina Sérica , Medición de Riesgo , Curva ROC , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
We aimed to assess the systemic and hepatic renin-angiotensin-system (RAS) fingerprint in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD). This prospective study included 13 compensated (cACLD) and 12 decompensated ACLD (dACLD) patients undergoing hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurement. Plasma components (all patients) and liver-local enzymes (n = 5) of the RAS were analyzed using liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Patients with dACLD had significantly higher angiotensin (Ang) I, Ang II and aldosterone plasma levels. Ang 1-7, a major mediator of the alternative RAS, was almost exclusively detectable in dACLD (n = 12/13; vs. n = 1/13 in cACLD). Also, dACLD patients had higher Ang 1-5 (33.5 pmol/L versus cACLD: 6.6 pmol/L, p < 0.001) and numerically higher Ang III and Ang IV levels. Ang 1-7 correlated with HVPG (ρ = 0.655; p < 0.001), von Willebrand Factor (ρ = 0.681; p < 0.001), MELD (ρ = 0.593; p = 0.002) and interleukin-6 (ρ = 0.418; p = 0.047). Considerable activity of ACE, chymase, ACE2, and neprilysin was detectable in all liver biopsies, with highest chymase and ACE2 activity in cACLD patients. While liver-local classical and alternative RAS activity was already observed in cACLD, systemic activation of alternative RAS components occurred only in dACLD. Increased Ang 1-7 was linked to severe liver disease, portal hypertension, endothelial dysfunction and inflammation.
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Hipertensión Portal , Enfermedades Vasculares , Humanos , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina/fisiología , Quimasas , Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina 2 , Estudios Prospectivos , Cirrosis Hepática , Angiotensina II/metabolismo , Inflamación , Peptidil-Dipeptidasa A/metabolismoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has undergone different molecular changes, sprouting genetic variants of the original wildtype. Clinical comparisons between patients infected with alpha versus delta are scarce. METHODS: In this retrospective observational study, adult patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to confirmed SARS-CoV2 alpha or delta infection were included. Patient characteristics, virologic and laboratory parameters, as well as the clinical course were compared in patients infected with alpha vs. delta variants. RESULTS: A total of 106 patients infected with alpha and 215 patients infected with delta were included. Patients infected with the delta variant were admitted to hospital earlier after symptom onset (6 vs. 7 days, pâ¯< 0.001). Blood levels of Creactive protein (43.3 vs. 62.9â¯mg/l, pâ¯= 0.02) and neutrophil count (3.81 vs. 4.53â¯G/l, pâ¯= 0.06) were lower in delta patients. Furthermore, at hospital admission cycle threshold (CT) values were significantly lower in patients infected with the delta variant (22.3 vs. 24.9, pâ¯< 0.001). Patients infected with the delta variant needed supplemental oxygen less often during disease course (50% vs. 64%, pâ¯= 0.02). Furthermore, there was a statistically non-significant trend towards a lower ICU admission rate among delta patients (16% vs. 24%, pâ¯= 0.08) CONCLUSION: Patients diagnosed with the delta variant were admitted to the hospital earlier, had a less severe course of disease and a higher viral replication on admission. This may provide a window of opportunity for antivirals in the hospital setting.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , Hospitalización , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
AXL and its corresponding ligand growth arrest-specific 6 (GAS-6) are critically involved in hepatic immunomodulation and regenerative processes. Pleiotropic inhibitory effects on innate inflammatory responses might essentially involve the shift of macrophage phenotype from a pro-inflammatory M1 to an anti-inflammatory M2. We aimed to assess the relevance of the AXL/GAS-6-pathway in human liver regeneration and, consequently, its association with clinical outcome after hepatic resection. Soluble AXL (sAXL) and GAS-6 levels were analyzed at preoperative and postoperative stages in 154 patients undergoing partial hepatectomy and correlated with clinical outcome. Perioperative dynamics of interleukin (IL)-6, soluble tyrosine-protein kinase MER (sMerTK), soluble CD163 (sCD163), and cytokeratin (CK) 18 were assessed to reflect pathophysiological processes. Preoperatively elevated sAXL and GAS-6 levels predicted postoperative liver dysfunction (area under the curve = 0.721 and 0.722; P < 0.005) and worse clinical outcome. These patients failed to respond with an immediate increase of sAXL and GAS-6 upon induction of liver regeneration. Abolished AXL pathway response resulted in a restricted increase of sCD163, suggesting a disrupted phenotypical switch to regeneratory M2 macrophages. No association with sMerTK was observed. Concomitantly, a distinct association of IL-6 levels with an absent increase of AXL/GAS-6 signaling indicated pronounced postoperative inflammation. This was further supported by increased intrahepatic secondary necrosis as reflected by CK18M65. sAXL and GAS-6 represent not only potent and easily accessible preoperative biomarkers for the postoperative outcome but also AXL/GAS-6 signaling might be of critical relevance in human liver regeneration. Refractory AXL/GAS-6 signaling, due to chronic overactivation/stimulation in the context of underlying liver disease, appears to abolish their immediate release following induction of liver regeneration, causing overwhelming immune activation, presumably via intrahepatic immune regulation.
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Péptidos y Proteínas de Señalización Intercelular , Regeneración Hepática , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas , Proteínas Tirosina Quinasas Receptoras , Biomarcadores , Humanos , Inflamación , Péptidos y Proteínas de Señalización Intercelular/inmunología , Interleucina-6 , Proteínas Proto-Oncogénicas/inmunología , Proteínas Tirosina Quinasas Receptoras/inmunología , Transducción de Señal , Tirosina Quinasa del Receptor AxlRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is a worldwide challenge. The CRIT-CoV-U pilot study generated a urinary proteomic biomarker consisting of 50 peptides (COV50), which predicted death and disease progression from SARS-CoV-2. After the interim analysis presented for the German Government, here, we aimed to analyse the full dataset to consolidate the findings and propose potential clinical applications of this biomarker. METHODS: CRIT-CoV-U was a prospective multicentre cohort study. In eight European countries (Austria, France, Germany, Greece, North Macedonia, Poland, Spain, and Sweden), 1012 adults with PCR-confirmed COVID-19 were followed up for death and progression along the 8-point WHO scale. Capillary electrophoresis coupled with mass spectrometry was used for urinary proteomic profiling. Statistical methods included logistic regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with a comparison of the area under curve (AUC) between nested models. Hospitalisation costs were derived from the care facility corresponding with the Markov chain probability of reaching WHO scores ranging from 3 to 8 and flat-rate hospitalisation costs adjusted for the gross per capita domestic product of each country. FINDINGS: From June 30 to Nov 19, 2020, 228 participants were recruited, and from April 30, 2020, to April 14, 2021, 784 participants were recruited, resulting in a total of 1012 participants. The entry WHO scores were 1-3 in 445 (44%) participants, 4-5 in 529 (52%) participants, and 6 in 38 (4%) participants; and of all participants, 119 died and 271 had disease progression. The odds ratio (OR) associated with COV50 in all 1012 participants for death was 2·44 (95% CI 2·05-2·92) unadjusted and 1·67 (1·34-2·07) when adjusted for sex, age, BMI, comorbidities, and baseline WHO score; and for disease progression, the OR was 1·79 (1·60-2·01) when unadjusted and 1·63 (1·41-1·91) when adjusted (p<0·0001 for all). The predictive accuracy of the optimised COV50 thresholds was 74·4% (71·6-77·1%) for mortality (threshold 0·47) and 67·4% (64·4-70·3%) for disease progression (threshold 0·04). When adjusted for covariables and the baseline WHO score, these thresholds improved AUCs from 0·835 to 0·853 (p=0·033) for death and from 0·697 to 0·730 (p=0·0008) for progression. Of 196 participants who received ambulatory care, 194 (99%) did not reach the 0·04 threshold. The cost reductions associated with 1 day less hospitalisation per 1000 participants were million Euro (M) 0·887 (5-95% percentile interval 0·730-1·039) in participants at a low risk (COV50 <0·04) and M2·098 (1·839-2·365) in participants at a high risk (COV50 ≥0·04). INTERPRETATION: The urinary proteomic COV50 marker might be predictive of adverse COVID-19 outcomes. Even in people with mild-to-moderate PCR-confirmed infections (WHO scores 1-4), the 0·04 COV50 threshold justifies earlier drug treatment, thereby potentially reducing the number of days in hospital and associated costs. FUNDING: German Federal Ministry of Health.
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COVID-19 , Adulto , Biomarcadores , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Estudios de Cohortes , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Humanos , Proyectos Piloto , Estudios Prospectivos , Proteómica , SARS-CoV-2RESUMEN
SARS-CoV-2 gains cell entry via angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) 2, a membrane-bound enzyme of the "alternative" (alt) renin-angiotensin system (RAS). ACE2 counteracts angiotensin II by converting it to potentially protective angiotensin 1-7. Using mass spectrometry, we assessed key metabolites of the classical RAS (angiotensins I-II) and alt-RAS (angiotensins 1-7 and 1-5) pathways as well as ACE and ACE2 concentrations in 159 patients hospitalized with COVID-19, stratified by disease severity (severe, n = 76; non-severe: n = 83). Plasma renin activity (PRA-S) was calculated as the sum of RAS metabolites. We estimated ACE activity using the angiotensin II:I ratio (ACE-S) and estimated systemic alt-RAS activation using the ratio of alt-RAS axis metabolites to PRA-S (ALT-S). We applied mixed linear models to assess how PRA-S and ACE/ACE2 concentrations affected ALT-S, ACE-S, and angiotensins II and 1-7. Median angiotensin I and II levels were higher with severe versus non-severe COVID-19 (angiotensin I: 86 versus 30 pmol/L, p < 0.01; angiotensin II: 114 versus 58 pmol/L, p < 0.05), demonstrating activation of classical RAS. The difference disappeared with analysis limited to patients not taking a RAS inhibitor (angiotensin I: 40 versus 31 pmol/L, p = 0.251; angiotensin II: 76 versus 99 pmol/L, p = 0.833). ALT-S in severe COVID-19 increased with time (days 1-6: 0.12; days 11-16: 0.22) and correlated with ACE2 concentration (r = 0.831). ACE-S was lower in severe versus non-severe COVID-19 (1.6 versus 2.6; p < 0.001), but ACE concentrations were similar between groups and correlated weakly with ACE-S (r = 0.232). ACE2 and ACE-S trajectories in severe COVID-19, however, did not differ between survivors and non-survivors. Overall RAS alteration in severe COVID-19 resembled severity of disease-matched patients with influenza. In mixed linear models, renin activity most strongly predicted angiotensin II and 1-7 levels. ACE2 also predicted angiotensin 1-7 levels and ALT-S. No single factor or the combined model, however, could fully explain ACE-S. ACE2 and ACE-S trajectories in severe COVID-19 did not differ between survivors and non-survivors. In conclusion, angiotensin II was elevated in severe COVID-19 but was markedly influenced by RAS inhibitors and driven by overall RAS activation. ACE-S was significantly lower with severe COVID-19 and did not correlate with ACE concentrations. A shift to the alt-RAS axis because of increased ACE2 could partially explain the relative reduction in angiotensin II levels.
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COVID-19 , Hormonas Peptídicas , Humanos , Enzima Convertidora de Angiotensina 2 , Sistema Renina-Angiotensina , Angiotensina I , Angiotensina II , SARS-CoV-2 , Renina , AntihipertensivosRESUMEN
Objective: To develop and validate a prognostic model for in-hospital mortality after four days based on age, fever at admission and five haematological parameters routinely measured in hospitalized Covid-19 patients during the first four days after admission. Methods: Haematological parameters measured during the first 4 days after admission were subjected to a linear mixed model to obtain patient-specific intercepts and slopes for each parameter. A prediction model was built using logistic regression with variable selection and shrinkage factor estimation supported by bootstrapping. Model development was based on 481 survivors and 97 non-survivors, hospitalized before the occurrence of mutations. Internal validation was done by 10-fold cross-validation. The model was temporally-externally validated in 299 survivors and 42 non-survivors hospitalized when the Alpha variant (B.1.1.7) was prevalent. Results: The final model included age, fever on admission as well as the slope or intercept of lactate dehydrogenase, platelet count, C-reactive protein, and creatinine. Tenfold cross validation resulted in a mean area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.92, a mean calibration slope of 1.0023 and a Brier score of 0.076. At temporal-external validation, application of the previously developed model showed an AUROC of 0.88, a calibration slope of 0.95 and a Brier score of 0.073. Regarding the relative importance of the variables, the (apparent) variation in mortality explained by the six variables deduced from the haematological parameters measured during the first four days is higher (explained variation 0.295) than that of age (0.210). Conclusions: The presented model requires only variables routinely acquired in hospitals, which allows immediate and wide-spread use as a decision support for earlier discharge of low-risk patients to reduce the burden on the health care system. Clinical Trial Registration: Austrian Coronavirus Adaptive Clinical Trial (ACOVACT); ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier NCT04351724.
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COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Hospitalización , Humanos , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
AIMS: Anticoagulation was associated with improved survival of hospitalized coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients in large-scale studies. Yet, the development of COVID-19-associated coagulopathy (CAC) and the mechanism responsible for improved survival of anticoagulated patients with COVID-19 remain largely elusive. This investigation aimed to explore the effects of anticoagulation and low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) in particular on patient outcome, CAC development, thromboinflammation, cell death, and viral persistence. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data of 586 hospitalized COVID-19 patients from three different regions of Austria were evaluated retrospectively. Of these, 419 (71.5%) patients received LMWH and 62 (10.5%) received non-vitamin-K oral anticoagulants (NOACs) during hospitalization. Plasma was collected at different time points in a subset of 106 patients in order to evaluate markers of thromboinflammation (H3Cit-DNA) and the cell death marker cell-free DNA (cfDNA). Use of LMWH was associated with improved survival upon multivariable Cox regression (hazard ratio = 0.561, 95% confidence interval: 0.348-0.906). Interestingly, neither LMWH nor NOAC was associated with attenuation of D-dimer increase over time, or thromboinflammation. In contrast, anticoagulation was associated with a decrease in cfDNA during hospitalization, and curtailed viral persistence was observed in patients using LMWH leading to a 4-day reduction of virus positivity upon quantitative polymerase chain reaction [13 (interquartile range: 6-24) vs. 9 (interquartile range: 5-16) days, P = 0.009]. CONCLUSION: Time courses of haemostatic and thromboinflammatory biomarkers were similar in patients with and without LMWH, indicating either no effects of LMWH on haemostasis or that LMWH reduced hypercoagulability to levels of patients without LMWH. Nonetheless, anticoagulation with LMWH was associated with reduced mortality, improved markers of cell death, and curtailed viral persistence, indicating potential beneficial effects of LMWH beyond haemostasis, which encourages use of LMWH in COVID-19 patients without contraindications.
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Anticoagulantes/uso terapéutico , Tratamiento Farmacológico de COVID-19 , Heparina de Bajo-Peso-Molecular/uso terapéutico , Tromboinflamación/virología , Anciano , Anticoagulantes/farmacología , Austria/epidemiología , Biomarcadores/sangre , COVID-19/sangre , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/mortalidad , Femenino , Hemostasis , Heparina de Bajo-Peso-Molecular/farmacología , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/efectos de los fármacos , Tromboinflamación/prevención & controlRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Sex differences are becoming of rising interest in many fields of medicine. It remains unknown whether sex has a role in postoperative and long-term outcome after hepatic resection (HR). The aim of this study was to investigate sex differences in disease presentation, surgical and oncological outcome after curative HR. METHODS: Retrospective analysis of 1010 patients who underwent HR between 2005 and 2018 at two tertiary hospitals in Austria. Demographics and survival data were obtained from a prospectively maintained database. Univariate analysis was used to identify sex differences for the entire cohort and for sub-cohorts. Disease-free- and overall survival was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier estimate and results were compared by log-rank tests. RESULTS: 436 females and 574 males were analyzed. Women were younger (p<0.001), had less liver cirrhosis (p<0.001), cardiac comorbidities (p<0.001), diabetes (28 (p<0.001) and obesity (p<0.001). Type of HR and surgical management did not vary by sex. Ninety-day morbidity (p = 0.179) and -mortality (p = 0.888) were comparable. In patients with malignant disease, no differences in disease-free- and overall survival was observed, neither for the entire cohort nor for the subgroups according to tumor entity or type of resection. Only in HCC patients, females showed an inferior OS (p = 0.029). CONCLUSION: This study delivers new insights on the impact of sex differences in liver surgery. Despite the fact that male patients have a higher incidence of preoperative morbidities, we did not observe specific disparities in terms of immediate postoperative as well as long term oncological outcome between sexes.
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Neoplasias Hepáticas/patología , Hígado/cirugía , Factores Sexuales , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/patología , Estudios de Cohortes , Supervivencia sin Enfermedad , Femenino , Hepatectomía/métodos , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Hígado/patología , Cirrosis Hepática/patología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Recurrencia Local de Neoplasia/patología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Resultado del TratamientoRESUMEN
Recently, von-Willebrand-Factor (vWF) has been shown to correlate with postoperative liver dysfunction (LD). Accordingly, "disintegrin-like metalloprotease with thrombospondin type1 motif" (ADAMTS13) is known to cleave vWF in less active fragments. Thus, we aimed to evaluate the diagnostic potential of ADAMTS13-activity (ADAMTS13-AC) to identify patients with postoperative LD after hepatectomy. Accordingly 37 patients undergoing hepatectomy for different neoplastic entities were included in this study. Plasma ADAMTS13-AC and vWF-Ag were measured 1 day prior to (preOP), 1 and 5 days (POD1/5) after hepatectomy. In accordance to the ISGLS-criteria LD was prospectively recorded. In this context, perioperative ADAMTS13-AC- and vWF-Ag/ADAMTS13-AC-ratio- levels revealed a significant increase after hepatectomy. Accordingly, elevated vWF-Ag/ADAMTS13-AC-ratio significantly predicted LD (preOP AUC: 0.75, p = 0.02; POD1 AUC: 0.80, p = 0.03). Patients who fulfilled our perioperative vWF-Ag/ADAMTS13-AC-ratio cut-off-levels (preOP: ≥116, POD1: ≥165) suffered from significantly higher incidences of LD (preOP: 70% vs. 30%, p = 0.01; POD1: 83% vs. 17%, p = 0.001). In conclusion, perioperative ADAMTS13-AC measurement may serve as a useful parameter to early detect high-risk patients developing postoperative LD prior to liver resection in patients suffering from hepatic malignancies. Indeed, further investigations have to be performed to consolidate its role as a predictive marker for LD.