Ultrasound-based radiomic analysis of the peripheral nerves for differentiation between CIDP and POEMS syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Demyelinating peripheral neuropathy is characteristic of both polyneuropathy, organomegaly, endocrinopathy, M-protein, and skin changes (POEMS) syndrome and chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP). We hypothesized that the different pathogeneses underlying these entities would affect the sonographic imaging features. PURPOSE: To investigate whether ultrasound (US)-based radiomic analysis could extract features to describe the differences between CIDP and POEMS syndrome. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In this retrospective study, we evaluated nerve US images from 26 with typical CIDP and 34 patients with POEMS syndrome. Cross-sectional area (CSA) and echogenicity of the median and ulnar nerves were evaluated in each US image of the wrist, forearm, elbow, and mid-arm. Radiomic analysis was performed on these US images. All radiomic features were examined using receiver operating characteristic analysis. Optimal features were selected using a three-step feature selection method and were inputted into XGBoost to build predictive machine-learning models. RESULTS: The CSAs were more enlarged in patients with CIDP than in those with POEMS syndrome without significant differences, except for that of the ulnar nerve at the wrist. Nerve echogenicity was significantly more heterogeneous in patients with CIDP than in those with POEMS syndrome. The radiomic analysis yielded four features with the highest area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.83. The machine-learning model showed an AUC of 0.90. CONCLUSION: US-based radiomic analysis has high AUC values in differentiating POEM syndrome from CIDP. Machine-learning algorithms further improved the discriminative ability.

Cerebral large artery stenosis and occlusion in POEMS syndrome.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate the frequency and risk factors for cerebral artery stenosis and occlusion in patients with polyneuropathy, organomegaly, endocrinopathy, M-protein, and skin changes (POEMS) syndrome. METHODS: We reviewed results of magnetic resonance angiography (MRA) or computed tomography angiography (CTA) in 61 patients with POEMS syndrome seen between 2010 and 2017. Stenosis or occlusion was assessed in the initial MRA/CTA. Multivariate analysis was used to identify risk factors for artery stenosis/occlusion. In an autopsy case, pathologic examination was conducted of the occluded middle cerebral arteries. RESULTS: Stenosis (> 50 %) or occlusion of the major cerebral arteries was found in 29 (47.5 %) patients on the initial MRA/CTA. The internal carotid artery was involved most frequently (32.8 %), followed by the anterior (21.3 %) and middle (16.4 %) cerebral arteries. The basilar (1.3 %) and vertebral (3.6 %) arteries were rarely affected. Cerebral infarction developed in eight (13.1 %) patients. The serum vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) level was an independent predictor for stenosis/occlusion (odds ratio, 1.228; 95 % confidence interval, 1.042-1.447; P = 0.014). An autopsy study showed occluded middle cerebral arteries by fibrous and myxomatous thickening of intima with splitting of the internal elastic lamina. Follow-up MRA in 23 patients showed improved, worsened, and unchanged stenosis in 20.7 %, 8.7 %, and 69.6 %, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Cerebral large-vessel stenosis or occlusion is frequently seen in approximately half of patients with POEMS syndrome. Vasculopathy was related to serum VEGF levels and thereby disease activity. Assessment of cerebral vessels is recommended in these patients to improve management.

Membrane property changes in most distal motor axons in chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy.

INTRODUCTION: Distal nerve terminals, where the blood-nerve barrier is anatomically deficient, are preferentially affected in immune-mediated neuropathies. Excitability alterations near the motor nerve terminals may be more prominent than the nerve trunk in typical chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP). METHODS: In 20 patients with typical CIDP, motor nerve excitability testing was performed at the motor point and wrist of the ulnar nerve, and results were compared with those in 20 healthy persons. RESULTS: Chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy patients showed greater threshold changes in hyperpolarizing threshold electrotonus at the motor point (P < .05) but not at the wrist. Strength-duration time constant did not show significant differences between CIDP and controls at both sites. DISCUSSION: Axonal property changes in CIDP are more prominent in distal portions of axons compared with the nerve trunk, presumably due to salient demyelination near the distal nerve terminals. Motor point excitability measurements could elucidate underlying pathophysiology in immune-mediated neuropathies.

Electrodiagnostic accuracy in polyneuropathies: supervised learning algorithms as a tool for practitioners.

OBJECTIVE: The interpretation of electrophysiological findings may lead to misdiagnosis in polyneuropathies. We investigated the electrodiagnostic accuracy of three supervised learning algorithms (SLAs): shrinkage discriminant analysis, multinomial logistic regression, and support vector machine (SVM), and three expert and three trainee neurophysiologists. METHODS: We enrolled 434 subjects with the following diagnoses: chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (99), Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease type 1A (124), hereditary neuropathy with liability to pressure palsy (46), diabetic polyneuropathy (67), and controls (98). In each diagnostic class, 90% of subjects were used as training set for SLAs to establish the best performing SLA by tenfold cross validation procedure and 10% of subjects were employed as test set. Performance indicators were accuracy, precision, sensitivity, and specificity. RESULTS: SVM showed the highest overall diagnostic accuracy both in training and test sets (90.5 and 93.2%) and ranked first in a multidimensional comparison analysis. Overall accuracy of neurophysiologists ranged from 54.5 to 81.8%. CONCLUSIONS: This proof of principle study shows that SVM provides a high electrodiagnostic accuracy in polyneuropathies. We suggest that the use of SLAs in electrodiagnosis should be exploited to possibly provide a diagnostic support system especially helpful for the less experienced practitioners.

Proposal of new clinical diagnostic criteria for POEMS syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: To propose the optimal diagnostic criteria for polyneuropathy, organomegaly, endocrinopathy, M-protein and skin changes (POEMS) syndrome using appropriate statistical methods and disease controls. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included 104 consecutive patients with suspected POEMS syndrome, among whom a gold standard group of 60 patients with definitive POEMS syndrome diagnosis were followed for at least 12 months to strictly exclude other disorders mimicking POEMS syndrome and to confirm response to POEMS syndrome-specific treatment. Thirty patients with chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy (demyelinating polyradiculoneuropathy controls) and 30 with multiple myeloma or immunoglobulin light chain amyloidosis (monoclonal plasma cell proliferation controls) were also included. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine optimal combination of clinical and laboratory abnormalities, characteristic of POEMS syndrome. RESULTS: The diagnostic criteria were statistically defined as the presence of the three major criteria (polyneuropathy (typically demyelinating), monoclonal plasma cell proliferative disorder and elevated vascular endothelial growth factor) and at least two of the four minor criteria (oedema/effusion, skin changes, organomegaly and sclerotic bone lesions), based on best performance by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. The sensitivity and specificity were 100% and 100%, respectively; the diagnostic accuracy of the proposed criteria was equivalent to somewhat complicated previous criteria. CONCLUSIONS: The statistically defined, simple diagnostic criteria for POEMS syndrome could accelerate early diagnosis and treatment, thereby contribute to better outcome in patients with this serious disease. Prospective larger studies are required to confirm the validity.

Altered cerebral blood flow in the anterior cingulate cortex is associated with neuropathic pain.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the cerebral blood flow (CBF) in patients with diabetic neuropathic pain, and its changes after duloxetine therapy. METHODS: Using iodine-123-N-isopropyl-p-iodoamphetamine single-photon emission computed tomography (IMP-SPECT), we performed a cross-sectional study of 44 patients with diabetes, and compared CBF in those with (n = 24) and without neuropathic pain (n = 20). In patients with neuropathic pain, we also longitudinally assessed changes in CBF 3 months after treatment with duloxetine. RESULTS: IMP-SPECT with voxel-based analyses showed a significant increase in cerebral blood flow in the right anterior cingulate cortex and a decrease in the left ventral striatum in patients with neuropathic pain, compared with those without pain. After duloxetine treatment, volume of interest analyses revealed a decrease in cerebral blood flow in the anterior cingulate cortex in patients with significant pain relief but not in non-responders. Furthermore, voxel-based whole brain correlation analyses demonstrated that greater baseline CBF in the anterior cingulate cortex was associated with better pain relief on the numerical rating scale. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that the development of neuropathic pain is associated with increased activity in the anterior cingulate cortex, and greater baseline activation of this region may predict treatment responsiveness to pharmacological intervention. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000017130;Results.

Reconstruction magnetic resonance neurography in chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy.

To study distribution and patterns of nerve hypertrophy in chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP), magnetic resonance neurography with 3-dimensional reconstruction of short tau inversion recovery images was performed in 33 patients. This technique clearly showed longitudinal morphological changes from the cervical roots to the nerve trunks in the proximal arm. Nerve enlargement was detected in 88% of the patients. According to the clinical subtype of CIDP, typical CIDP patients showed symmetric and root-dominant hypertrophy, whereas Lewis-Sumner syndrome patients had multifocal fusiform hypertrophy in the nerve trunks. The patterns of nerve hypertrophy presumably reflect the different pathophysiology of each CIDP subtype.

Different electrophysiological profiles and treatment response in 'typical' and 'atypical' chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy.

BACKGROUND: Chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP) is currently classified into 'typical' CIDP and 'atypical' subtypes such as multifocal acquired demyelinating sensory and motor neuropathy (MADSAM). OBJECTIVES: To assess the frequency of CIDP subtypes, and to elucidate clinical and electrophysiological features, and treatment response in each subtype. METHODS: We reviewed data from 100 consecutive patients fulfilling criteria for CIDP proposed by the European Federation of Neurological Societies and the Peripheral Nerve Society. The Kaplan-Meier curve was used to estimate long-term outcome. RESULTS: Patients were classified as having typical CIDP (60%), MADSAM (34%), demyelinating acquired distal symmetric neuropathy (8%) or pure sensory CIDP (1%). Compared with patients with MADSAM, patients with typical CIDP showed more rapid progression and severe disability, and demyelination predominant in the distal nerve segments. MADSAM was characterised by multifocal demyelination in the nerve trunks. Abnormal median-normal sural sensory responses were more frequently found for typical CIDP (53% vs 13%). Patients with typical CIDP invariably responded to corticosteroids, immunoglobulin or plasmapheresis, whereas patients with MADSAM were more refractory to these treatments. The Kaplan-Meier analyses showed that 64% of patients with typical CIDP and 41% of patients with MADSAM had a clinical remission 5 years later (p=0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Among the CIDP spectrum, typical CIDP and MADSAM are the major subtypes, and their pathophysiology appears to be distinct. In typical CIDP, the distal nerve terminals and possibly the nerve roots, where the blood-nerve barrier is anatomically deficient, are preferentially affected, raising the possibility of antibody-mediated demyelination, whereas cellular immunity with breakdown of the barrier may be important in MADSAM neuropathy.

Delayed facial weakness in Guillain-Barré and Miller Fisher syndromes.

INTRODUCTION: Dr. C. Miller Fisher described the appearance of unilateral facial palsy after resolution of ataxia in a patient with the eponymic Miller Fisher syndrome (MFS). However, there have been very few reports of delayed appearance of facial weakness in Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) and MFS when the other neurological signs reached nadir or started improving. METHODS: In this study we reviewed the clinical and laboratory findings of consecutive patients with GBS (n=195) and MFS (n=68). RESULTS: Delayed facial weakness occurred in 12 (6%) GBS and 4 (6%) MFS patients and was unilateral in 5 (42%) GBS and 2 (50%) MFS patients. In those patients with delayed facial weakness, neither limb weakness nor ataxia progressed, and facial weakness disappeared without immunotherapy. CONCLUSIONS: Because facial weakness can lead to further morbidity, it would be prudent for clinicians to warn patients of this possibility, although additional immunotherapy is usually not required.

Split hand syndrome in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: different excitability changes in the thenar and hypothenar motor axons.

BACKGROUND: In amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), muscle wasting preferentially affects the abductor pollicis brevis (APB) and first dorsal interosseous over the abductor digit minimi (ADM), and this is termed 'split hand'. Previous axonal excitability studies have suggested increased nodal persistent sodium current and reduced potassium current in motor axons in ALS, but the extent of excitability changes in APB and ADM axons in ALS has never been compared. OBJECTIVE: To elucidate the peripheral axonal pathophysiology of split hand. METHODS: In both APB and ADM motor axons of 21 patients with ALS and 17 age-matched normal controls, threshold tracking was used to measure excitability indices such as strength-duration time constant (SDTC; a measure of persistent sodium current) and threshold electrotonus. RESULTS: In normal controls, SDTC was significantly longer for APB than ADM axons, suggesting that axonal excitability is physiologically higher in APB axons. Compared with normal controls, patients with ALS had longer SDTC and greater threshold changes in depolarising threshold electrotonus in both APB and ADM axons. Furthermore, the difference in extent of SDTC prolongation between normal subjects and patients with ALS was greater in APB than ADM axons. CONCLUSIONS: APB axons have physiologically higher excitability than ADM axons, and, in ALS, the hyperexcitability is more prominent in APB axons. Although cortical mechanisms would also be involved, more prominent hyperexcitability of APB axons may contribute to development of split hand, and the altered axonal properties are possibly associated with motor neuronal death in ALS.

Ambiguous effects of anti-VEGF monoclonal antibody (bevacizumab) for POEMS syndrome.

OBJECTIVE: Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) plays an essential role in the pathophysiology of polyneuropathy, organomegaly, endocrinopathy, M-protein and skin changes (POEMS) syndrome. Anti-VEGF antibody (bevacizumab) appears to be an attractive therapeutic option. The aim of this study is to investigate the effects of bevacizumab for patients with POEMS syndrome. METHODS: We reported six POEMS patients treated with bevacizumab and reviewed the literature. RESULTS: The serum VEGF levels decreased immediately after bevacizumab administration in all six patients. However, four patients had entirely no clinical response, and two of them died. The remaining two showed improvement that could be explained by combined treatments. We also reviewed the literature and found 11 patients treated with bevacizumab; of these, only one was treated with bevacizumab alone. 10 had combined treatments, and four died without any response. CONCLUSIONS: Both our experience and the literature suggest ambiguous effects of bevacizumab; inhibition of VEGF alone may be insufficient because multiple cytokines are upregulated, or aberrant neo-vascularization may have already fully developed in the advanced stage of POEMS syndrome.

Different neurological and physiological profiles in POEMS syndrome and chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy.

BACKGROUND: POEMS (polyneuropathy, organomegaly, endocrinopathy, M protein and skin changes) syndrome, a rare cause of demyelinating neuropathy associated with multiorgan involvement, has been increasingly recognised. Polyneuropathy is often an initial manifestation and therefore the disorder can be misdiagnosed as chronic inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (CIDP). Objective To elucidate whether POEMS syndrome and CIDP are differentiated based on profiles of neuropathy. METHODS: Clinical and electrophysiological data were reviewed in consecutive POEMS syndrome (n=51) and typical CIDP (n=46) patients in a single Japanese hospital between 2000 and 2010. RESULTS: Both POEMS and CIDP patients showed symmetric polyneuropathy, physiological evidence of demyelination (70% of POEMS patients fulfilled the electrodiagnostic criteria for definite CIDP) and albuminocytological dissociation; 49% of the POEMS syndrome patients had neuropathy onset and 60% of them were initially diagnosed as having CIDP by neurologists. Clinically, POEMS neuropathy more frequently showed severe leg pain (76% vs 7%; p<0.001), muscle atrophy (52% vs 24%; p=0.005) and distal dominant muscle weakness. Electrophysiologically, POEMS syndrome was characterised by less prolonged distal motor latency (mean 5.6 ms vs 8.1 ms; p<0.001) and higher terminal latency index (0.42 vs 0.33; p=0.006) in the median nerves, and unrecordable tibial and sural responses (p<0.001), suggesting demyelination predominant in the nerve trunk rather than in the distal nerve terminals, and axonal loss in the lower limb nerves. CONCLUSIONS: Before development of typical systemic manifestations, POEMS neuropathy can be distinguished from CIDP by the clinical profile and patterns of nerve conduction abnormalities. Recognition of these features leads to early diagnosis and proper treatment for POEMS syndrome.

Antiganglioside antibodies are associated with axonal Guillain-Barré syndrome: a Japanese-Italian collaborative study.

BACKGROUND: Whether or not antiganglioside antibodies are related to axonal or demyelinating Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) is still a matter of controversy, as detailed in previous studies conducted in Western and Asian countries. OBJECTIVE: To clarify whether antiganglioside antibodies are associated with axonal dysfunction in Japanese and Italian GBS patient cohorts. METHODS: Clinical and electrophysiological profiles were reviewed for 156 GBS patients collected from Japan (n=103) and Italy (n=53). Serum IgG antibodies against GM1, GM1b, GD1a and GalNAc-GD1a were measured by ELISA in the same laboratory. Electrodiagnostic criteria and results of serial electrophysiological studies were used for classification of GBS subtypes: acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (AIDP) and acute motor axonal neuropathy (AMAN). RESULTS: In both Japanese and Italian cohorts, any of the antibodies were positive in 36% of the patients, and antibody positivity had a significant association with the AMAN electrodiagnosis. Approximately 30% of Japanese and Italian antiganglioside positive patients showed the AIDP pattern at the first examination whereas sequential studies showed that most finally showed the AMAN pattern. Clinically, seropositive patients more frequently had preceding diarrhoea and pure motor neuropathy in both Japanese and Italian cohorts; vibratory sensation was normal in 97% of Japanese and in 94% of Italian seropositive patients. CONCLUSIONS: In GBS, clinical and electrophysiological features appear to be determined by antiganglioside antibodies, and the antibodies are associated with motor axonal GBS in both Japan and Italy. Classification of the GBS subtypes as a disease entity should be made, combining the results of antiganglioside assays and serial electrodiagnostic studies.

Motor axonal excitability properties are strong predictors for survival in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to investigate whether axonal excitability indices are associated with survival in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). Previous nerve excitability studies suggested increased persistent sodium currents in motor axons of patients with ALS, which lead to axonal hyperexcitability and potentially enhance neuronal death. METHODS: 112 patients with sporadic ALS were followed up until endpoint (death or tracheostomy). Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model. Threshold tracking was used to measure multiple axonal excitability indices in median motor axons, such as strength-duration time constant (SDTC; a measure of nodal persistent sodium current). Latent addition was also used to estimate the magnitude of persistent sodium currents. RESULTS: The overall median tracheostomy-free survival from onset was 37 months. Prolonged SDTC was strongly associated with shorter survival (adjusted HR 4.07; 95% CI 1.7 to 9.8; p=0.0018) compared with older onset age (>60 years; HR=1.80) and bulbar onset (HR=1.80). Estimated median survival was 34 months in the longer SDTC group and 51 months in the shorter SDTC group. This index was highly statistically significant even after multiple testing adjustments with age and site of onset (bulbar or limb). Latent addition study results were consistent with these findings. CONCLUSIONS: Axonal persistent sodium currents, estimated by SDTC and latent addition, are strong and independent predictors for shorter survival in patients with ALS. Membrane hyperexcitability is possibly associated with motor neuronal death, and modulation of excessive sodium currents could be a novel therapeutic option for ALS.

Combined Therapy with Ixazomib, Lenalidomide, and Dexamethasone for Polyneuropathy, Organomegaly, Endocrinopathy, Monoclonal Gammopathy, and Skin Changes Syndrome.

Objective Immunomodulatory drugs and proteasome inhibitors are therapeutic options for polyneuropathy, organomegaly, endocrinopathy, monoclonal gammopathy, and skin changes (POEMS) syndrome. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of the combination of ixazomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (IRd) for POEMS syndrome. Methods Six consecutive patients with POEMS syndrome who were treated with the IRd regimen at Chiba University Hospital between April 2018 and August 2021 were included. Serum M-protein and serum vascular endothelial growth factor (sVEGF) levels, overall neuropathy limitation scales (ONLS), clinical symptoms, and adverse events were assessed. Results Of the six patients, five had received prior treatments. Patients received a median of 5 cycles (range, 3-28 cycles) of IRd. Following treatment, serum M-protein disappeared in two patients, sVEGF levels returned to normal in two patients, two patients showed a reduction in the ONLS of 1, and clinical symptoms improved in four patients. The median level of sVEGF decreased from 2,395 pg/mL (range, 802-6,120 pg/mL) to 1,428 pg/mL (range, 183-3,680 pg/mL) in three months. Adverse events, including rash, neutropenia, sensory peripheral neuropathy, and nausea, were observed in three patients, which necessitated dose reduction or discontinuation of treatment. Conclusion IRd can be a therapeutic option for POEMS syndrome, albeit with careful monitoring of adverse events.

Electrodiagnosis of Guillain-Barre syndrome in the International GBS Outcome Study: Differences in methods and reference values.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the heterogeneity of electrodiagnostic (EDx) studies in Guillain-Barré syndrome (GBS) patients collected as part of the International GBS Outcome Study (IGOS). METHODS: Prospectively collected clinical and EDx data were available in 957 IGOS patients from 115 centers. Only the first EDx study was included in the current analysis. RESULTS: Median timing of the EDx study was 7 days (interquartile range 4-11) from symptom onset. Methodology varied between centers, countries and regions. Reference values from the responding 103 centers were derived locally in 49%, from publications in 37% and from a combination of these in the remaining 15%. Amplitude measurement in the EDx studies (baseline-to-peak or peak-to-peak) differed from the way this was done in the reference values, in 22% of motor and 39% of sensory conduction. There was marked variability in both motor and sensory reference values, although only a few outliers accounted for this. CONCLUSIONS: Our study showed extensive variation in the clinical practice of EDx in GBS patients among IGOS centers across the regions. SIGNIFICANCE: Besides EDx variation in GBS patients participating in IGOS, this diversity is likely to be present in other neuromuscular disorders and centers. This underlines the need for standardization of EDx in future multinational GBS studies.

Elevated CSF TDP-43 levels in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: specificity, sensitivity, and a possible prognostic value.

TAR DNA binding protein of 43 kDa (TDP-43) is likely to be the major pathogenetic protein in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). A previous study has shown that levels of TDP-43 in CSF measured by an ELISA are significantly higher for ALS patients than for controls. The aim of this study was to investigate whether elevated CSF TDP-43 levels are specific to ALS, and are associated with clinical profiles in ALS patients. We measured CSF TDP-43 levels by the same ELISA in 27 ALS patients and 50 neurodegenerative or inflammatory disease controls such as Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, and Guillain-Barré syndrome. Results showed that the CSF TDP-43 levels were increased only in ALS patients. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses showed a sensitivity of 59.3% and a specificity of 96.0%. We also found that lower CSF TDP-43 levels may be associated with shorter survival time. In conclusion, the CSF TDP-43 is a potential biomarker that supports a diagnosis of ALS. Moreover, among ALS patients, lower levels of CSF TDP-43 may reflect the accumulation of TDP-43 in the cortical and spinal motor neurons and thereby shorter survival time, although this should be confirmed in larger prospective studies.

A model to predict the probability of acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to develop a model that can predict the probabilities of acute inflammatory demyelinating polyneuropathy (AIDP) based on nerve conduction studies (NCS) done within eight weeks. METHODS: The derivation cohort included 90 Malaysian GBS patients with two sets of NCS performed early (1-20days) and late (3-8 weeks). Potential predictors of AIDP were considered in univariate and multivariate logistic regression models to develop a predictive model. The model was externally validated in 102 Japanese GBS patients. RESULTS: Median motor conduction velocity (MCV), ulnar distal motor latency (DML) and abnormal ulnar/normal sural pattern were independently associated with AIDP at both timepoints (median MCV: p = 0.038, p = 0.014; ulnar DML: p = 0.002, p = 0.003; sural sparing: p = 0.033, p = 0.009). There was good discrimination of AIDP (area under the curve (AUC) 0.86-0.89) and this was valid in the validation cohort (AUC 0.74-0.94). Scores ranged from 0 to 6, and corresponded to AIDP probabilities of 15-98% at early NCS and 6-100% at late NCS. CONCLUSION: The probabilities of AIDP could be reliably predicted based on median MCV, ulnar DML and ulnar/sural sparing pattern that were determined at early and late stages of GBS. SIGNIFICANCE: A simple and valid model was developed which can accurately predict the probability of AIDP.