Deep terminal negative of the P wave in V1 and incidence of ischemic stroke: The atherosclerosis risk in communities (ARIC) study.

BACKGROUND: Deep terminal negative of the P wave in V1 (DTNPV1) is a marker of left atrial remodeling. We aimed to evaluate the association of DTNPV1 with incident ischemic stroke. METHODS: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study is a prospective community-based cohort study. All participants at visit 4 (1996-1998) except those with prevalent stroke, missing covariates, and missing or uninterpretable ECG were included. DTNPV1 was defined as the absolute value of the depth of the terminal negative phase >100 µV in the presence of biphasic P wave in V1. Association between DTNPV1 as a time-dependent exposure variable and incident ischemic stroke was evaluated. The accuracy of the prediction model consisting of DTNPV1 and CHA2DS2-VASc variables in predicting ischemic stroke was analyzed. RESULTS: Among 10,605 participants (63 ± 6 years, 56% women, 20% Black), 803 cases of ischemic stroke occurred over a median follow-up of 20.19 years. After adjusting for demographics, DTNPV1 was associated with an increased risk of stroke (HR 1.96, [95% CI 1.39-2.77]). After further adjusting for stroke risk factors, use of aspirin and anticoagulants, and time-dependent atrial fibrillation, DTNPV1 was associated with a 1.50-fold (95% CI 1.06-2.13) increased risk of stroke. When added to the CHA2DS2-VASc variables, DTNPV1 did not significantly improve stroke prediction as assessed by C-statistic. However, there was improvement in risk classification for participants who did not develop stroke. CONCLUSION: DTNPV1 is significantly associated with higher risk of ischemic stroke. Since DTNPV1 is a simplified electrocardiographic parameter, it may help stroke prediction, a subject for further research.

Predictors of pacemaker implantation within three months after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: It is inevitable for patients to have a temporary or permanent pacemaker implanted during or after radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF) in some cases. The aim of our study was to evaluate the incidence of pacemaker implantation (PMI) during or within 3 months of RFCA for AF and to identify the risk factors that were associated with PMI. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of consecutive AF patients who underwent RFCA between August 2018 and October 2020 at our center. The incidence of PMI within 3 months during or after RFCA were assessed. A multivariate logistic regression model was performed to identify predictors of PMI. RESULTS: One thousand and five patients (mean age, 60.2 ± 10.3 years; 37.6% women) were included in this analysis. PVI was performed in all patients. A total of 23 (2.3%) patients had a pacemaker implanted within 3 months during or after ablation. Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that older age (OR: 1.08 [95% CI 1.03-1.13], p = .003), female sex (OR: 3.08 [95% CI 1.28-7.45], p = .012), paroxysmal AF (OR: 4.71 [95% CI 1.09-20.45], p = .038) and repeated ablation (OR: 2.78 [95% CI 1.04-7.40], p = .041) were the independent predictors for PMI. CONCLUSIONS: Older age, female sex, paroxysmal AF and repeated ablation were identified as predictive risk factors for PMI after RFCA in patients with AF. A "watch and wait" strategy could be taken for patients with temporary PMI after ablation, especially for those with prolonged sinus pause after AF termination.

Deep terminal negativity of the P-wave in V1 and stroke risk: The National Health and Nutrition Examination survey III.

BACKGROUND: Deep terminal negativity of the P-wave in V1 (DTNPV1) was considered if the absolute value of the depth of the negative phase was >100 µV in the presence of a biphasic P-wave in V1. In this study, we aimed to determine the association between DTNPV1, a simpler P-wave index, and the risk of stroke. METHODS: We compared P-wave indices between participants with and without a self-reported history of stroke in the United States Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III). The association between DTNPV1 and stroke was quantified with logistic regression models. RESULTS: In total, 7732 participants were included (307 with a history of stroke). Patients with stroke had deeper terminal negativity of the P-wave in V1 (52.3 ± 33.9 µV vs. 41.4 ± 27.0 µV, p < .001). After adjustment, DTNPV1 was associated with an increased risk of stroke (OR: 1.63, 95% CI: 1.03-2.60, p = .038). This association appeared to be stronger in people aged <75 years (interaction p = .023), and in those without heart failure (interaction p = .018) or ischemic heart disease (interaction p = .014). In contrast to the participants with 0 or ≥2 risk factors, in those with 1 risk factor, stroke prevalence was significantly different among the three categories of terminal negativity of the P-wave (0 µV, >0 µV but ≤100 µV and > 100 µV) in V1 (2.8%, 3.3%, and 10.3%, respectively, p = .005). CONCLUSION: In NHANES III, DTNPV1 was associated with a higher prevalence of stroke, suggesting that DTNPV1 might be a convenient marker to distinguish the risk of stroke.

Changes in Renal Function in Patients with Recurrence of Atrial Arrhythmia after an Initial Catheter Ablation.

Background: Impaired renal function and atrial fibrillation (AF) can form a vicious cycle. Although there have been reports on improved renal function in patients who undergo successful AF ablation, renal function in patients with recurrence of AF has not been studied separately. We explored the changes in renal function in recurrent AF patients after catheter ablation with mild renal dysfunction and the influencing factors. Methods: We retrospectively recruited nonvalvular AF (NVAF) patients with mildly impaired renal function admitted for catheter ablation and readmitted due to recurrence of AF. The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated before the index procedure and during readmission. △eGFR was defined as the difference between eGFR readmission and eGFR baseline. The same calculation applied for △CHA2DS2-VASc score. The primary endpoint was improved renal function (△eGFR >0) after AF catheter ablation in patients with atrial arrhythmia recurrence. Results: A total of 132 NVAF patients were included in this study. The mean eGFR at readmission was significantly increased compared with the eGFR at baseline before the index ablation procedure (81.5 ± 1.1 vs. 78.0 ± 0.7 ml/min/1.73 m2, P < 0.001). The multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that a lower △CHA2DS2-VASc score (HR: 0.42, P=0.003) and paroxysmal recurrent atrial arrhythmia (HR: 2.97, P=0.001) were associated with better renal function. Conclusion: In NVAF patients with mildly impaired renal function, even those with recurrence after the initial catheter ablation, we observed improvements in renal function, which was associated with a lower △CHA2DS2-VASc score and paroxysmal recurrent arrhythmia.

A Simple Score to Predict New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation After Ablation of Typical Atrial Flutter.

BACKGROUND: New-onset atrial fibrillation (NeAF) is common after cavotricuspid isthmus-dependent counterclockwise atrial flutter (CCW-AFL) ablation. This study aimed to investigate a simple predictive model of NeAF after CCW-AFL ablation. METHODS: From January 2013, to December 2017, consecutive patients receiving CCW-AFL ablation were enrolled from 3 centres. Clinical, echocardiographic, and electrocardiographic data were collected and followed. Patients from 2 centres and another centre were assigned into the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. In the derivation cohort, logistic regression was performed to evaluate the ability of parameters to discriminate those with and without NeAF. A score system was developed and then validated. RESULTS: Two hundred seventy-one patients (mean 59.7 ± 13.6 age; 205 male) were analyzed. During follow-up (73.0 ± 6.5 months), 107 patients (39.5%) had NeAF; 190 and 81 patients were detected in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Hypertension, age ≥ 70 years, left atrial diameter ≥ 42 mm, P-wave duration ≥ 120 ms and the negative component of flutter wave in lead II ≥ 120 ms were selected as the final parameters. A weighted score was used to develop the HAD-AF score ranging from 0 to 9. In the derivation cohort, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.938 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.902-0.974), superior to those of currently used CHA2DS2-VASC (0.679, 95% CI, 0.600-0.757) and HATCH scores (0.651, 95% CI, 0.571-0.730) (P < 0.001). Performance maintained in the validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: Six years after CCW-AFL ablation, 39.5% of patients developed NeAF. HAD-AF score can reliably identify patients likely to develop NeAF after CCW-AFL ablation.

Is it high time to leave the chronic disease care of rural older people to village doctors in China: Insights from a population-based atrial fibrillation screening study.

OBJECTIVE: No study has systematically investigated the quality of long-term care delivered to the rural older people with chronic diseases, such as atrial fibrillation (AF) in China. This study aims to provide contemporary data on the prevalence and awareness of AF among the older population in rural China and to evaluate healthcare knowledge and delivery by village doctors. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study. SETTING: Rural villages in Daqiao and Xiaoji towns of Jiangsu Province, China. PARTICIPANTS: Rural population aged ≥65 years. OUTCOME MEASURES: AF was identified using 12-lead electrocardiography in the first-step (government-led health examination) and single-lead electrocardiography in the second-step (in-house AF screening). Questionnaire surveys were designed for the AF patients and their village doctors. RESULTS: Among 31,342 permanent residents, 12,630 (40.3 %) declined, 7,956 (25.3 %) participated in the first-step and 10,756 (34.3 %) in the second-step. The overall AF detection rate was 4.3 % (810/18,712). Of the 810 AF patients (mean age 76.1±5.9 years; 51.4 % female), 51.5 % were illiterate, only 2.6 % could use smartphone applications, and 8.1 % lived with their children. Common risk factors were older age, men, hypertension, diabetes, prior stroke, vascular disease, and congestive heart failure. Among the 402 patients with known AF, 367 were at high risk of stroke and 10.9 % (40/367) were anticoagulated. Only 17.6 % patients with known hypertension had blood pressure level <140/90 mmHg, and 6.0 % with known diabetes had a fasting blood glucose level ≤6.1 mmol/L. Only 7.3 % (9/122) village doctors reported having the knowledge of integrated care AF management. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified AF in 4.3 %, but AF management was suboptimal in rural China. The current village doctor-dominant rural healthcare system is far from delivering standardized AF management for older patients in rural China. There is an urgent need to empower the village doctors in optimising the care of AF patients.

Low plasma renin activity is associated with "Apparently" idiopathic atrial fibrillation.

Background: Previous studies have reported the direct or indirect relationship between the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) and atrial fibrillation (AF). However, in patients with "apparently" idiopathic AF without possible external influence, whether RAAS is dysregulated at an early stage of AF and its relationship with the recurrence of AF after ablation have not been studied. Methods: This single-center, prospective, case-control study included apparently healthy individuals with AF (the case group) or paroxysmal supraventricular tachycardia (PSVT, the control group) referred for catheter ablation at the same period. The primary outcome was RAAS activation in these two groups. The secondary outcome was the 1-year recurrence of AF after ablation. Results: This study included 51 "apparently" idiopathic AF and 91 patients with PSVT. A greater proportion of patients in the case group had plasma renin activity (PRA) levels < 1 ng/ml/h compared to the control group (25.5 % vs. 7.7 %, P = 0.003). PRA < 1 ng/ml/h was the only factor found to be associated with the diagnose of AF in both the univariate model (odds ratio [OR] 4.11, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.52-11.11, P = 0.005) and the model adjusted for age and sex (OR 3.98, 95 % CI 1.20-13.25, P = 0.024). A similar pattern was seen with paroxysmal AF. No significant difference in the components of RAAS was observed between 11 patients with the recurrence of AF and 40 without the recurrence at the 1-year follow-up. Conclusions: This observational study revealed an association between low renin activity and the diagnosis of "apparently" idiopathic AF, particularly paroxysmal AF.

Screening for Atrial Fibrillation by Village Doctors in Rural Areas of China: The Jiangsu Province Rural Community AF Project.

China has a large population of elderly in rural areas. Village doctors are acting as health-care gatekeepers for the rural elderly in China and are encouraged to provide more long-term care for patients with chronic diseases such as atrial fibrillation (AF). The data of AF registries from the rural elderly are limited. The present registry aims to provide contemporary data on the current AF-related health status of the rural elderly and the gaps in management of AF by village doctors. This study has two phases. The first phase is a cross-sectional study of AF screening in two rural towns of eastern China. All the residents aged ≥65 years are eligible and will be invited to attend a government-led health examination or an in-house AF screening program. The AF detection rate, the awareness of AF and the usage of oral anticoagulants and smartphones by AF patients, and the ability to diagnose and manage AF by village doctors will be assessed. Participants with AF detected in the first phase are eligible for the second phase. A variety of modes of intensified education will be provided to all AF patients and their family members to enrich their AF-related knowledge. Their village doctors will be offered a lecture-based training program focusing on Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway. Follow-up will be conducted for 1 year. The primary endpoint is the composite of all stroke and all-cause mortality. The first phase of AF screening was conducted between April 2019 and June 2019, and 18,712 participants with the mean age of 73.1±5.8 years were enrolled. The second phase that includes 810 patients with AF, started on 1 May 2019. This study will provide a perspective of primary care system and would indirectly reflect the current status of chronic disease care in rural China.

Factors associated with renal impairment in Chinese patients with non-valvular AF and without an established renal disease: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Renal impairment and atrial fibrillation (AF) often coexist. However, risk factors associated with renal impairment in AF patients have not been studied in a large population. Accordingly, this study investigated clinical factors associated with renal impairment in AF patients. METHODS: From January 2012 to December 2016, 2,298 inpatients with non-valvular AF (NVAF) mainly for catheter ablation were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. Data collection included past medical history, echocardiography measurements, current medicine use and biochemical results. The estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using the abbreviated Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation. Renal impairment was defined as a history of chronic kidney disease or an eGFR ≤90 ml/min/1.73 m2. Multivariate logistic regression was conducted to evaluate the relationship between the factors screened and eGFR. RESULTS: The mean eGFR was 88.6 ± 17.1 ml/min/1.73 m2. The overall prevalence of renal impairment was 47.4%. Multivariate logistic regression showed that factors associated with renal impairment were age (OR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.11-1.14), non-paroxysmal AF (OR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.04-1.58), use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEI)/angiotensin receptor blockers (ARB) (OR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.28-1.95), congestive heart failure (OR: 1.80; 95% CI: 1.05-3.07), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50% (OR: 2.39; 95% CI: 1.34-4.28), and prior transient ischemic attack (TIA)/stroke/systematic embolism (SE) (OR: 2.69; 95% CI: 1.68-4.29). CONCLUSIONS: Renal dysfunction is highly prevalent in Chinese NVAF patients and is significantly associated with older age, non-paroxysmal AF, use of ACEI/ARB, congestive heart failure, LVEF <50% and prior TIA/stroke/SE. Further studies on the mechanisms by which these risk factors affect renal function in NVAF patients need to be conducted.