Genetics of circulating inflammatory proteins identifies drivers of immune-mediated disease risk and therapeutic targets.

Circulating proteins have important functions in inflammation and a broad range of diseases. To identify genetic influences on inflammation-related proteins, we conducted a genome-wide protein quantitative trait locus (pQTL) study of 91 plasma proteins measured using the Olink Target platform in 14,824 participants. We identified 180 pQTLs (59 cis, 121 trans). Integration of pQTL data with eQTL and disease genome-wide association studies provided insight into pathogenesis, implicating lymphotoxin-α in multiple sclerosis. Using Mendelian randomization (MR) to assess causality in disease etiology, we identified both shared and distinct effects of specific proteins across immune-mediated diseases, including directionally discordant effects of CD40 on risk of rheumatoid arthritis versus multiple sclerosis and inflammatory bowel disease. MR implicated CXCL5 in the etiology of ulcerative colitis (UC) and we show elevated gut CXCL5 transcript expression in patients with UC. These results identify targets of existing drugs and provide a powerful resource to facilitate future drug target prioritization.

Proteogenomic Data Integration Reveals CXCL10 as a Potentially Downstream Causal Mediator for IL-6 Signaling on Atherosclerosis.

BACKGROUND: Genetic and experimental studies support a causal involvement of IL-6 (interleukin-6) signaling in atheroprogression. Although trials targeting IL-6 signaling are underway, any benefits must be balanced against an impaired host immune response. Dissecting the mechanisms that mediate the effects of IL-6 signaling on atherosclerosis could offer insights about novel drug targets with more specific effects. METHODS: Leveraging data from 522 681 individuals, we constructed a genetic instrument of 26 variants in the gene encoding the IL-6R (IL-6 receptor) that proxied for pharmacological IL-6R inhibition. Using Mendelian randomization, we assessed its effects on 3281 plasma proteins quantified with an aptamer-based assay in the INTERVAL cohort (n=3301). Using mediation Mendelian randomization, we explored proteomic mediators of the effects of genetically proxied IL-6 signaling on coronary artery disease, large artery atherosclerotic stroke, and peripheral artery disease. For significant mediators, we tested associations of their circulating levels with incident cardiovascular events in a population-based study (n=1704) and explored the histological, transcriptomic, and cellular phenotypes correlated with their expression levels in samples from human atherosclerotic lesions. RESULTS: We found significant effects of genetically proxied IL-6 signaling on 70 circulating proteins involved in cytokine production/regulation and immune cell recruitment/differentiation, which correlated with the proteomic effects of pharmacological IL-6R inhibition in a clinical trial. Among the 70 significant proteins, genetically proxied circulating levels of CXCL10 (C-X-C motif chemokine ligand 10) were associated with risk of coronary artery disease, large artery atherosclerotic stroke, and peripheral artery disease, with up to 67% of the effects of genetically downregulated IL-6 signaling on these end points mediated by decreases in CXCL10. Higher midlife circulating CXCL10 levels were associated with a larger number of cardiovascular events over 20 years, whereas higher CXCL10 expression in human atherosclerotic lesions correlated with a larger lipid core and a transcriptomic profile reflecting immune cell infiltration, adaptive immune system activation, and cytokine signaling. CONCLUSIONS: Integrating multiomics data, we found a proteomic signature of IL-6 signaling activation and mediators of its effects on cardiovascular disease. Our analyses suggest the interferon-γ-inducible chemokine CXCL10 to be a potentially causal mediator for atherosclerosis in 3 vascular compartments and, as such, could serve as a promising drug target for atheroprotection.

C-reactive protein modifies lipoprotein(a)-related risk for coronary heart disease: the BiomarCaRE project.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Recent investigations have suggested an interdependence of lipoprotein(a) [Lp(a)]-related risk for cardiovascular disease with background inflammatory burden. The aim the present analysis was to investigate whether high-sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) modulates the association between Lp(a) and coronary heart disease (CHD) in the general population. METHODS: Data from 71 678 participants from 8 European prospective population-based cohort studies were used (65 661 without/6017 with established CHD at baseline; median follow-up 9.8/13.8 years, respectively). Fine and Gray competing risk-adjusted models were calculated according to accompanying hsCRP concentration (<2 and ≥2 mg/L). RESULTS: Among CHD-free individuals, increased Lp(a) levels were associated with incident CHD irrespective of hsCRP concentration: fully adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratios [sHRs (95% confidence interval)] for the highest vs. lowest fifth of Lp(a) distribution were 1.45 (1.23-1.72) and 1.48 (1.23-1.78) for a hsCRP group of <2 and ≥2 mg/L, respectively, with no interaction found between these two biomarkers on CHD risk (Pinteraction = 0.82). In those with established CHD, similar associations were seen only among individuals with hsCRP ≥ 2 mg/L [1.34 (1.03-1.76)], whereas among participants with a hsCRP concentration <2 mg/L, there was no clear association between Lp(a) and future CHD events [1.29 (0.98-1.71)] (highest vs. lowest fifth, fully adjusted models; Pinteraction = 0.024). CONCLUSIONS: While among CHD-free individuals Lp(a) was significantly associated with incident CHD regardless of hsCRP, in participants with CHD at baseline, Lp(a) was related to recurrent CHD events only in those with residual inflammatory risk. These findings might guide adequate selection of high-risk patients for forthcoming Lp(a)-targeting compounds.

Population-based reference values for kidney function and kidney function decline in 25- to 95-year-old Germans without and with diabetes.

Understanding normal aging of kidney function is pivotal to help distinguish individuals at particular risk for chronic kidney disease. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is typically estimated via serum creatinine (eGFRcrea) or cystatin C (eGFRcys). Since population-based age-group-specific reference values for eGFR and eGFR-decline are scarce, we aimed to provide such reference values from population-based data of a wide age range. In four German population-based cohorts (KORA-3, KORA-4, AugUR, DIACORE), participants underwent medical exams, interview, and blood draw up to five times within up to 25 years. We analyzed eGFRcrea and eGFRcys cross-sectionally and longitudinally (12,000 individuals, age 25-95 years). Cross-sectionally, we found age-group-specific eGFRcrea to decrease approximately linearly across the full age range, for eGFRcys up to the age of 60 years. Within age-groups, there was little difference by sex or diabetes status. Longitudinally, linear mixed models estimated an annual eGFRcrea decline of -0.80 [95% confidence interval -0.82, -0.77], -0.79 [-0.83, -0.76], and -1.20 mL/min/1.73m2 [-1.33, -1.08] for the general population, "healthy" individuals, or individuals with diabetes, respectively. Reference values for eGFR using cross-sectional data were shown as percentile curves for "healthy" individuals and for individuals with diabetes. Reference values for eGFR-decline using longitudinal data were presented as 95% prediction intervals for "healthy" individuals and for individuals with diabetes, obesity, and/or albuminuria. Thus, our results can help clinicians to judge eGFR values in individuals seen in clinical practice according to their age and to understand the expected range of annual eGFR-decline based on their risk profile.

Association of plasma proteomics with mortality in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes: Results from two population-based KORA cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Protein biomarkers may contribute to the identification of vulnerable subgroups for premature mortality. This study aimed to investigate the association of plasma proteins with all-cause and cause-specific mortality among individuals with and without baseline type 2 diabetes (T2D) and evaluate their impact on the prediction of all-cause mortality in two prospective Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) studies. METHODS: The discovery cohort comprised 1545 participants (median follow-up 15.6 years; 244 with T2D: 116 total, 62 cardiovascular, 31 cancer-related and 23 other-cause deaths; 1301 without T2D: 321 total, 114 cardiovascular, 120 cancer-related and 87 other-cause deaths). The validation cohort comprised 1031 participants (median follow-up 6.9 years; 203 with T2D: 76 total, 45 cardiovascular, 19 cancer-related and 12 other-cause deaths; 828 without T2D: 169 total, 74 cardiovascular, 39 cancer-related and 56 other-cause deaths). We used Cox regression to examine associations of 233 plasma proteins with all-cause and cause-specific mortality and Lasso regression to construct prediction models for all-cause mortality stratifying by baseline T2D. C-index, category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were conducted to evaluate the predictive performance of built prediction models. RESULTS: Thirty-five and 62 proteins, with 29 overlapping, were positively associated with all-cause mortality in the group with and without T2D, respectively. Out of these, in the group with T2D, 35, eight, and 26 were positively associated with cardiovascular, cancer-related, and other-cause mortality, while in the group without T2D, 55, 41, and 47 were positively associated with respective cause-specific outcomes in the pooled analysis of both cohorts. Regulation of insulin-like growth factor (IGF) transport and uptake by IGF-binding proteins emerged as a unique pathway enriched for all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with T2D. The combined model containing the selected proteins (five and 12 proteins, with four overlapping, in the group with and without T2D, respectively) and clinical risk factors improved the prediction of all-cause mortality by C-index, cfNRI, and IDI. CONCLUSIONS: This study uncovered shared and unique mortality-related proteins in persons with and without T2D and emphasized the role of proteins in improving the prediction of mortality in different T2D subgroups.

Association of plasma proteomics with incident coronary heart disease in individuals with and without type 2 diabetes: results from the population-based KORA study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is a major global health concern, especially among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Given the crucial role of proteins in various biological processes, this study aimed to elucidate the aetiological role and predictive performance of protein biomarkers on incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D. METHODS: The discovery cohort included 1492 participants from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4 study with 147 incident CHD cases (45 vs. 102 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 15.6 years of follow-up. The validation cohort included 888 participants from the KORA-Age1 study with 70 incident CHD cases (19 vs. 51 cases in the group with T2D and without T2D, respectively) during 6.9 years of follow-up. We measured 233 plasma proteins related to cardiovascular disease and inflammation using proximity extension assay technology. Associations of proteins with incident CHD were assessed using Cox regression and Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Predictive models were developed using priority-Lasso and were evaluated on top of Framingham risk score variables using the C-index, category-free net reclassification index (cfNRI), and relative integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). RESULTS: We identified two proteins associated with incident CHD in individuals with and 29 in those without baseline T2D, respectively. Six of these proteins are novel candidates for incident CHD. MR suggested a potential causal role for hepatocyte growth factor in CHD development. The developed four-protein-enriched model for individuals with baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.017; cfNRI: 0.253; IDI: 0.051) and the 12-protein-enriched model for individuals without baseline T2D (ΔC-index: 0.054; cfNRI: 0.462; IDI: 0.024) consistently improved CHD prediction in the discovery cohort, while in the validation cohort, significant improvements were only observed for selected performance measures (with T2D: cfNRI: 0.633; without T2D: ΔC-index: 0.038; cfNRI: 0.465). CONCLUSIONS: This study identified novel protein biomarkers associated with incident CHD in individuals with and without T2D and reaffirmed previously reported protein candidates. These findings enhance our understanding of CHD pathophysiology and provide potential targets for prevention and treatment.

Associations between multiple neurological biomarkers and distal sensorimotor polyneuropathy: KORA F4/FF4 study.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to assess associations between neurological biomarkers and distal sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSPN). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Cross-sectional analyses were based on 1032 participants aged 61-82 years from the population-based KORA F4 survey, 177 of whom had DSPN at baseline. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes was 20%. Prospective analyses used data from 505 participants without DSPN at baseline, of whom 125 had developed DSPN until the KORA FF4 survey. DSPN was defined based on the examination part of the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument. Serum levels of neurological biomarkers were measured using proximity extension assay technology. Associations between 88 biomarkers and prevalent or incident DSPN were estimated using Poisson regression with robust error variance and are expressed as risk ratios (RR) and 95% CI per 1-SD increase. Results were adjusted for multiple confounders and multiple testing using the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. RESULTS: Higher serum levels of CTSC (cathepsin C; RR [95% CI] 1.23 (1.08; 1.39), pB-H = 0.044) and PDGFRα (platelet-derived growth factor receptor A; RR [95% CI] 1.21 (1.08; 1.35), pB-H = 0.044) were associated with prevalent DSPN in the total study sample. CDH3, JAM-B, LAYN, RGMA and SCARA5 were positively associated with DSPN in the diabetes subgroup, whereas GCP5 was positively associated with DSPN in people without diabetes (all pB-H for interaction <0.05). None of the biomarkers showed an association with incident DSPN (all pB-H>0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study identified multiple novel associations between neurological biomarkers and prevalent DSPN, which may be attributable to functions of these proteins in neuroinflammation, neural development and myelination.

Association of transketolase polymorphisms with diabetic polyneuropathy in the general population: The KORA F4 study.

AIMS: We recently reported that genetic variability in the TKT gene encoding transketolase, a key enzyme in the pentose phosphate pathway, is associated with measures of diabetic sensorimotor polyneuropathy (DSPN) in recent-onset diabetes. Here, we aimed to substantiate these findings in a population-based KORA F4 study. MATERIALS AND METHODS: In this cross-sectional study, we assessed seven single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the transketolase gene in 952 participants from the KORA F4 study with normal glucose tolerance (NGT; n = 394), prediabetes (n = 411), and type 2 diabetes (n = 147). DSPN was defined by the examination part of the Michigan Neuropathy Screening Instrument (MNSI) using the original MNSI > 2 cut-off and two alternative versions extended by touch/pressure perception (TPP) (MNSI > 3) and by TPP plus cold perception (MNSI > 4). RESULTS: After adjustment for sex, age, BMI, and HbA1c, in type 2 diabetes participants, four out of seven transketolase SNPs were associated with DSPN for all three MNSI versions (all p ≤ 0.004). The odds ratios of these associations increased with extending the MNSI score, for example, OR (95% CI) for SNP rs62255988 with MNSI > 2: 1.99 (1.16-3.41), MNSI > 3: 2.27 (1.26-4.09), and MNSI > 4: 4.78 (2.22-10.26); SNP rs9284890 with MNSI > 2: 2.43 (1.42-4.16), MNSI > 3: 3.46 (1.82-6.59), and MNSI > 4: 4.75 (2.15-10.51). In contrast, no associations were found between transketolase SNPs and the three MNSI versions in the NGT and prediabetes groups. CONCLUSIONS: The link of genetic variation in transketolase enzyme to diabetic polyneuropathy corroborated at the population level strengthens the concept suggesting an important role of pathways metabolising glycolytic intermediates in the evolution of diabetic polyneuropathy.

Association of serum magnesium with metabolic syndrome and the role of chronic kidney disease: A population-based cohort study with Mendelian randomization.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association of serum magnesium with prevalent and incident metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its individual components in the general population and to examine any effect modification by chronic kidney disease (CKD) status. METHODS: We analysed longitudinal data from the population-based KORA F4/FF4 study, including 2996 participants (387 with CKD) for cross-sectional analysis and 1446 participants (88 with CKD) for longitudinal analysis. Associations with MetS, as well as single components of MetS, were assessed by adjusted regression models. Nonlinearity was tested by restricted cubic splines and analyses were stratified by CKD. Causality was evaluated by two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR). RESULTS: Serum magnesium (1 SD) was inversely associated with prevalent MetS (odds ratio [OR] 0.90, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.83, 0.98). The association was more pronounced in individuals with CKD (OR 0.75, 95% CI 0.59, 0.94). Among MetS components, serum magnesium was negatively associated with elevated fasting glucose (OR 0.78, 95% CI 0.71, 0.88) and, again, this association was more pronounced in individuals with CKD (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.53, 0.84). Serum magnesium was not associated with incident MetS or its components. Restricted cubic spline analysis revealed a significant nonlinear inverse relationship of serum magnesium with MetS and elevated fasting glucose. MR analysis suggested an inverse causal effect of serum magnesium on MetS (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.85, 0.97). CONCLUSION: Serum magnesium is associated with prevalent, but not incident MetS, and this effect is stronger in individuals with CKD. MR analysis implies a potential, albeit weak, causal role of magnesium in MetS.

Subphenotypes of adult-onset diabetes: Data-driven clustering in the population-based KORA cohort.

AIMS: A data-driven cluster analysis in a cohort of European individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) has previously identified four subgroups based on clinical characteristics. In the current study, we performed a comprehensive statistical assessment to (1) replicate the above-mentioned original clusters; (2) derive de novo T2D subphenotypes in the Kooperative Gesundheitsforschung in der Region Augsburg (KORA) cohort and (3) describe underlying genetic risk and diabetes complications. METHODS: We used data from n = 301 individuals with T2D from KORA FF4 study (Southern Germany). Original cluster replication was assessed forcing k = 4 clusters using three different hyperparameter combinations. De novo clusters were derived by open k-means analysis. Stability of de novo clusters was assessed by assignment congruence over different variable sets and Jaccard indices. Distribution of polygenic risk scores and diabetes complications in the respective clusters were described as an indication of underlying heterogeneity. RESULTS: Original clusters did not replicate well, indicated by substantially different assignment frequencies and cluster characteristics between the original and current sample. De novo clustering using k = 3 clusters and including high sensitivity C-reactive protein in the variable set showed high stability (all Jaccard indices >0.75). The three de novo clusters (n = 96, n = 172, n = 33, respectively) adequately captured heterogeneity within the sample and showed different distributions of polygenic risk scores and diabetes complications, that is, cluster 1 was characterized by insulin resistance with high neuropathy prevalence, cluster 2 was defined as age-related diabetes and cluster 3 showed highest risk of genetic and obesity-related diabetes. CONCLUSION: T2D subphenotyping based on its sample's own clinical characteristics leads to stable categorization and adequately reflects T2D heterogeneity.

Sex hormone-binding globulin may explain sex differences for glucose homeostasis and incidence of type 2 diabetes: the KORA study.

Research has indicated that sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) is associated with glucose homeostasis and may play a role in the etiology of type 2 diabetes (T2D). While it is unclear whether SHBG may mediate sex differences in glucose control and subsequently, incidence of T2D. We used observational data from the German population-based KORA F4 study (n = 1937, mean age: 54 years, 41% women) and its follow-up examination KORA FF4 (median follow-up 6.5 years, n = 1387). T2D was initially assessed by self-report and validated by contacting the physicians and/ or reviewing the medical charts. Mediation analyses were performed to assess the role of SHBG in mediating the association between sex (women vs. men) and glucose- and insulin-related traits (cross-sectional analysis) and incidence of T2D (longitudinal analysis). After adjustment for confounders, (model 1: adjusted for age; model 2: model 1 + smoking + alcohol consumption + physical activity), women had lower fasting glucose levels compared to men (ß = -4.94 (mg/dl), 95% CI: -5.77, -4.11). SHBG levels were significantly higher in women than in men (ß = 0.47 (nmol/l), 95% CI:0.42, 0.51). Serum SHBG may mediate the association between sex and fasting glucose levels with a proportion mediated (PM) of 30% (CI: 22-41%). Also, a potential mediatory role of SHBG was observed for sex differences in incidence of T2D (PM = 95% and 63% in models 1 and 2, respectively). Our novel findings suggest that SHBG may partially explain sex-differences in glucose control and T2D incidence.

Associations of occupational and leisure-time physical activity with all-cause mortality: an individual participant data meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Health effects of different physical activity domains (ie, during leisure time, work and transport) are generally considered positive. Using Active Worker consortium data, we assessed independent associations of occupational and leisure-time physical activity (OPA and LTPA) with all-cause mortality. DESIGN: Two-stage individual participant data meta-analysis. DATA SOURCE: Published and unpublished cohort study data. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Working participants aged 18-65 years. METHODS: After data harmonisation, we assessed associations of OPA and LTPA with all-cause mortality. In stage 1, we analysed data from each study separately using Cox survival regression, and in stage 2, we pooled individual study findings with random-effects modelling. RESULTS: In 22 studies with up to 590 497 participants from 11 countries, during a mean follow-up of 23.1 (SD: 6.8) years, 99 743 (16%) participants died. Adjusted for LTPA, body mass index, age, smoking and education level, summary (ie, stage 2) hazard ration (HRs) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) for low, moderate and high OPA among men (n=2 96 134) were 1.01 (0.99 to 1.03), 1.05 (1.01 to 1.10) and 1.12 (1.03 to 1.23), respectively. For women (n=2 94 364), HRs (95% CI) were 0.98 (0.92 to 1.04), 0.96 (0.92 to 1.00) and 0.97 (0.86 to 1.10), respectively. In contrast, higher levels of LTPA were inversely associated with mortality for both genders. For example, for women HR for low, moderate and high compared with sedentary LTPA were 0.85 (0.81 to 0.89), 0.78 (0.74 to 0.81) and 0.75 (0.65 to 0.88), respectively. Effects were attenuated when adjusting for income (although data on income were available from only 9 and 6 studies, for men and women, respectively). CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that OPA may not result in the same beneficial health effects as LTPA.

Prognostic Value of Cardiovascular Biomarkers in the Population.

Importance: Identification of individuals at high risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease within the population is important to inform primary prevention strategies. Objective: To evaluate the prognostic value of routinely available cardiovascular biomarkers when added to established risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Individual-level analysis including data on cardiovascular biomarkers from 28 general population-based cohorts from 12 countries and 4 continents with assessments by participant age. The median follow-up was 11.8 years. Exposure: Measurement of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, B-type natriuretic peptide, or high-sensitivity C-reactive protein. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, which included all fatal and nonfatal events. The secondary outcomes were all-cause mortality, heart failure, ischemic stroke, and myocardial infarction. Subdistribution hazard ratios (HRs) for the association of biomarkers and outcomes were calculated after adjustment for established risk factors. The additional predictive value of the biomarkers was assessed using the C statistic and reclassification analyses. Results: The analyses included 164 054 individuals (median age, 53.1 years [IQR, 42.7-62.9 years] and 52.4% were women). There were 17 211 incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events. All biomarkers were significantly associated with incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (subdistribution HR per 1-SD change, 1.13 [95% CI, 1.11-1.16] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I; 1.18 [95% CI, 1.12-1.23] for high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T; 1.21 [95% CI, 1.18-1.24] for N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide; 1.14 [95% CI, 1.08-1.22] for B-type natriuretic peptide; and 1.14 [95% CI, 1.12-1.16] for high-sensitivity C-reactive protein) and all secondary outcomes. The addition of each single biomarker to a model that included established risk factors improved the C statistic. For 10-year incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in younger people (aged <65 years), the combination of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein resulted in a C statistic improvement from 0.812 (95% CI, 0.8021-0.8208) to 0.8194 (95% CI, 0.8089-0.8277). The combination of these biomarkers also improved reclassification compared with the conventional model. Improvements in risk prediction were most pronounced for the secondary outcomes of heart failure and all-cause mortality. The incremental value of biomarkers was greater in people aged 65 years or older vs younger people. Conclusions and Relevance: Cardiovascular biomarkers were strongly associated with fatal and nonfatal cardiovascular events and mortality. The addition of biomarkers to established risk factors led to only a small improvement in risk prediction metrics for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, but was more favorable for heart failure and mortality.

Associations of plasma proteomics with type 2 diabetes and related traits: results from the longitudinal KORA S4/F4/FF4 Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: This study aimed to elucidate the aetiological role of plasma proteins in glucose metabolism and type 2 diabetes development. METHODS: We measured 233 proteins at baseline in 1653 participants from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) S4 cohort study (median follow-up time: 13.5 years). We used logistic regression in the cross-sectional analysis (n=1300), and Cox regression accounting for interval-censored data in the longitudinal analysis (n=1143). We further applied two-level growth models to investigate associations with repeatedly measured traits (fasting glucose, 2 h glucose, fasting insulin, HOMA-B, HOMA-IR, HbA1c), and two-sample Mendelian randomisation analysis to investigate causal associations. Moreover, we built prediction models using priority-Lasso on top of Framingham-Offspring Risk Score components and evaluated the prediction accuracy through AUC. RESULTS: We identified 14, 24 and four proteins associated with prevalent prediabetes (i.e. impaired glucose tolerance and/or impaired fasting glucose), prevalent newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes and incident type 2 diabetes, respectively (28 overlapping proteins). Of these, IL-17D, IL-18 receptor 1, carbonic anhydrase-5A, IL-1 receptor type 2 (IL-1RT2) and matrix extracellular phosphoglycoprotein were novel candidates. IGF binding protein 2 (IGFBP2), lipoprotein lipase (LPL) and paraoxonase 3 (PON3) were inversely associated while fibroblast growth factor 21 was positively associated with incident type 2 diabetes. LPL was longitudinally linked with change in glucose-related traits, while IGFBP2 and PON3 were linked with changes in both insulin- and glucose-related traits. Mendelian randomisation analysis suggested causal effects of LPL on type 2 diabetes and fasting insulin. The simultaneous addition of 12 priority-Lasso-selected biomarkers (IGFBP2, IL-18, IL-17D, complement component C1q receptor, V-set and immunoglobulin domain-containing protein 2, IL-1RT2, LPL, CUB domain-containing protein 1, vascular endothelial growth factor D, PON3, C-C motif chemokine 4 and tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase type 5) significantly improved the predictive performance (ΔAUC 0.0219; 95% CI 0.0052, 0.0624). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: We identified new candidates involved in the development of derangements in glucose metabolism and type 2 diabetes and confirmed previously reported proteins. Our findings underscore the importance of proteins in the pathogenesis of type 2 diabetes and the identified putative proteins can function as potential pharmacological targets for diabetes treatment and prevention.

Proteomic profiling of longitudinal changes in kidney function among middle-aged and older men and women: the KORA S4/F4/FF4 study.

BACKGROUND: Due to the asymptomatic nature of the early stages, chronic kidney disease (CKD) is usually diagnosed at late stages and lacks targeted therapy, highlighting the need for new biomarkers to better understand its pathophysiology and to be used for early diagnosis and therapeutic targets. Given the close relationship between CKD and cardiovascular disease (CVD), we investigated the associations of 233 CVD- and inflammation-related plasma proteins with kidney function decline and aimed to assess whether the observed associations are causal. METHODS: We included 1140 participants, aged 55-74 years at baseline, from the Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA) cohort study, with a median follow-up time of 13.4 years and 2 follow-up visits. We measured 233 plasma proteins using a proximity extension assay at baseline. In the discovery analysis, linear regression models were used to estimate the associations of 233 proteins with the annual rate of change in creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr). We further investigated the association of eGFRcr-associated proteins with the annual rate of change in cystatin C-based eGFR (eGFRcys) and eGFRcr-based incident CKD. Two-sample Mendelian randomization was used to infer causality. RESULTS: In the fully adjusted model, 66 out of 233 proteins were inversely associated with the annual rate of change in eGFRcr, indicating that higher baseline protein levels were associated with faster eGFRcr decline. Among these 66 proteins, 21 proteins were associated with both the annual rate of change in eGFRcys and incident CKD. Mendelian randomization analyses on these 21 proteins suggest a potential causal association of higher tumor necrosis factor receptor superfamily member 11A (TNFRSF11A) level with eGFR decline. CONCLUSIONS: We reported 21 proteins associated with kidney function decline and incident CKD and provided preliminary evidence suggesting a potential causal association between TNFRSF11A and kidney function decline. Further Mendelian randomization studies are needed to establish a conclusive causal association.

Trajectories of glycaemic traits exhibit sex-specific associations with hepatic iron and fat content: Results from the KORA-MRI study.

BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) represents a major disease burden in the population. While the bidirectional association between NAFLD and diabetes is established, little is known about the association of hepatic iron content and glycaemia. Moreover, analyses of sex-specific effects and of dynamic changes in glycaemia are scarce. METHODS: We investigated 7-year sex-specific trajectories of glycaemia and related traits (HbA1c, fasting glucose, fasting insulin, HOMA-IR, 2-h glucose and cross-sectional 2-h insulin) in a sample from a population-based cohort (N = 365; 41.1% female). Hepatic iron and fat content were assessed by 3T-Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI). Two-step multi-level models adjusted for glucose-lowering medication and confounders were applied. RESULTS: In women and men, markers of glucose metabolism correlated with hepatic iron and fat content. Deterioration of glycaemia was associated with increased hepatic iron content in men (normoglycaemia to prediabetes: beta = 2.21 s-1 , 95% CI [0.47, 3.95]). Additionally, deterioration of glycaemia (e.g. prediabetes to diabetes: 1.27 log(%), [0.84, 1.70]) and trajectories of glucose, insulin and HOMA-IR were significantly associated with hepatic fat content in men. Similarly, deterioration of glycaemia as well as trajectories of glucose, insulin and HOMA-IR was significantly associated with increased hepatic fat content in women (e.g. trajectory of fasting insulin: 0.63 log(%), [0.36, 0.90]). CONCLUSIONS: Unfavourable 7-year trajectories of markers of glucose metabolism are associated with increased hepatic fat content, particularly in women, whereas the association with hepatic iron content was less clear. Monitoring changes of glycaemia in the sub-diabetic range might enable early identification of hepatic iron overload and steatosis.

Association between the fatty liver index and chronic kidney disease: the population-based KORA study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to evaluate the relationship of fatty liver, estimated by the fatty liver index (FLI), with kidney function and chronic kidney disease (CKD) in a German cohort study, given the lack of prospective evidence in Europeans. METHODS: We included 2920 participants (51.6% women, mean age 56.1 years) from the KORA study, of which 1991 were followed up for an average of 6.5 years (± 0.3). Kidney function was assessed using the glomerular filtration rate estimated by creatinine (eGFR-Cr) or cystatin C (eGFR-cC). We used multiple logistic or linear regressions to evaluate the associations between the FLI, kidney function and CKD (eGFR < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2) and mediation analysis to explore the mediation effects of metabolic factors. RESULTS: The prevalence of FLI ≥60 and CKD was 40.4% and 5.6% at baseline, respectively, and 182 participants developed CKD during the follow-up. Cross-sectionally, FLI was significantly inversely associated with eGFR-cC {ß = -1.14 [95% confidence interval (CI) -1.81 to -0.47]} and prevalent CKD based on eGFR-cC [OR 1.28 (95% CI 1.01-1.61)], but not with other markers. After adjusting for lifestyle factors, we found a positive association between FLI and incident CKD defined by eGFR-cC or/eGFR-Cr, which was attenuated after controlling for metabolic risk factors. Mediation analysis showed that the association was completely mediated by inflammation, diabetes and hypertension jointly. CONCLUSION: The positive association between FLI and CKD incidence was fully mediated by the joint effect of metabolic risk factors. Future longitudinal studies need to explore the chronological interplay between fatty liver, cardiometabolic risk factors and kidney function with repeated measurements.

Drinking alcohol in moderation is associated with lower rate of all-cause mortality in individuals with higher rather than lower educational level: findings from the MORGAM project.

The association between socioeconomic status (SES) and alcohol-related diseases has been widely explored. Less is known, however, on whether the association of moderate drinking with all-cause mortality is modified by educational level (EL). Using harmonized data from 16 cohorts in the MORGAM Project (N = 142,066) the association of pattern of alcohol intake with hazard of all-cause mortality across EL (lower = primary-school; middle = secondary-school; higher = university/college degree) was assessed using multivariable Cox-regression and spline curves. A total of 16,695 deaths occurred in 11.8 years (median). In comparison with life-long abstainers, participants drinking 0.1-10 g/d of ethanol had 13% (HR = 0.87; 95%CI: 0.74-1.02), 11% (HR = 0.89; 0.84-0.95) and 5% (HR = 0.95; 0.89-1.02) lower rate of death in higher, middle and lower EL, respectively. Conversely, drinkers > 20 g/d had 1% (HR = 1.01; 0.82-1.25), 10% (HR = 1.10; 1.02-1.19) and 17% (HR = 1.17; 1.09-1.26) higher rate of death. The association of alcohol consumption with all-cause mortality was nonlinear, with a different J-shape by EL levels. It was consistent across both sexes and in various approaches of measuring alcohol consumption, including combining quantity and frequency and it was more evident when the beverage of preference was wine. We observed that drinking in moderation (≤ 10 g/d) is associated with lower mortality rate more evidently in individuals with higher EL than in people with lower EL, while heavy drinking is associated with higher mortality rate more evidently in individuals with lower EL than in people with higher EL, suggesting that advice on reducing alcohol intake should especially target individuals of low EL.

Grip strength values and cut-off points based on over 200,000 adults of the German National Cohort - a comparison to the EWGSOP2 cut-off points.

BACKGROUND: The European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People (EWGSOP) updated in 2018 the cut-off points for low grip strength to assess sarcopenia based on pooled data from 12 British studies. OBJECTIVE: Comparison of the EWGSOP2 cut-off points for low grip strength to those derived from a large German sample. METHODS: We assessed the grip strength distribution across age and derived low grip strength cut-off points for men and women (peak mean -2.5 × SD) based on 200,389 German National Cohort (NAKO) participants aged 19-75 years. In 1,012 Cooperative Health Research in the Region of Augsburg (KORA)-Age participants aged 65-93 years, we calculated the age-standardised prevalence of low grip strength and time-dependent sensitivity and specificity for all-cause mortality. RESULTS: Grip strength increased in the third and fourth decade of life and declined afterwards. Calculated cut-off points for low grip strength were 29 kg for men and 18 kg for women. In KORA-Age, the age-standardised prevalence of low grip strength was 1.5× higher for NAKO-derived (17.7%) compared to EWGSOP2 (11.7%) cut-off points. NAKO-derived cut-off points yielded a higher sensitivity and lower specificity for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Cut-off points for low grip strength from German population-based data were 2 kg higher than the EWGSOP2 cut-off points. Higher cut-off points increase the sensitivity, thereby suggesting an intervention for more patients at risk, while other individuals might receive additional diagnostics/treatment without the urgent need. Research on the effectiveness of intervention in patients with low grip strength defined by different cut-off points is needed.