Machine learning models are superior to noninvasive tests in identifying clinically significant stages of NAFLD and NAFLD-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We assessed the performance of machine learning (ML) models in identifying clinically significant NAFLD-associated liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We implemented ML models including logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network to predict histological stages of fibrosis using 17 demographic/clinical features in 1370 patients with NAFLD who underwent liver biopsy, FibroScan, and labs within a 6-month period at multiple U.S. centers. Histological stages of fibrosis (≥F2, ≥F3, and F4) were predicted using ML, FibroScan liver stiffness measurements, and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). NASH with significant fibrosis (NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2) was assessed using ML, FibroScan-AST (FAST) score, FIB-4, and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). We used 80% of the cohort to train and 20% to test the ML models. For ≥F2, ≥F3, F4, and NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2, all ML models, especially RF, had primarily higher accuracy and AUC compared with FibroScan, FIB-4, FAST, and NFS. AUC for RF versus FibroScan and FIB-4 for ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 were (0.86 vs. 0.81, 0.78), (0.89 vs. 0.83, 0.82), and (0.89 vs. 0.86, 0.85), respectively. AUC for RF versus FAST, FIB-4, and NFS for NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2 were (0.80 vs. 0.77, 0.66, 0.63). For NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2, all ML models had lower/similar percentages within the indeterminate zone compared with FIB-4 and NFS. Overall, ML models performed better in sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value compared with traditional noninvasive tests. CONCLUSIONS: ML models performed better overall than FibroScan, FIB-4, FAST, and NFS. ML could be an effective tool for identifying clinically significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with NAFLD.

HCC EV ECG score: An extracellular vesicle-based protein assay for detection of early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The sensitivity of current surveillance methods for detecting early-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is suboptimal. Extracellular vesicles (EVs) are promising circulating biomarkers for early cancer detection. In this study, we aim to develop an HCC EV-based surface protein assay for early detection of HCC. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Tissue microarray was used to evaluate four potential HCC-associated protein markers. An HCC EV surface protein assay, composed of covalent chemistry-mediated HCC EV purification and real-time immuno-polymerase chain reaction readouts, was developed and optimized for quantifying subpopulations of EVs. An HCC EV ECG score, calculated from the readouts of three HCC EV subpopulations ( E pCAM + CD63 + , C D147 + CD63 + , and G PC3 + CD63 + HCC EVs), was established for detecting early-stage HCC. A phase 2 biomarker study was conducted to evaluate the performance of ECG score in a training cohort ( n  = 106) and an independent validation cohort ( n  = 72).Overall, 99.7% of tissue microarray stained positive for at least one of the four HCC-associated protein markers (EpCAM, CD147, GPC3, and ASGPR1) that were subsequently validated in HCC EVs. In the training cohort, HCC EV ECG score demonstrated an area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of 0.95 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.90-0.99) for distinguishing early-stage HCC from cirrhosis with a sensitivity of 91% and a specificity of 90%. The AUROCs of the HCC EV ECG score remained excellent in the validation cohort (0.93; 95% CI, 0.87-0.99) and in the subgroups by etiology (viral: 0.95; 95% CI, 0.90-1.00; nonviral: 0.94; 95% CI, 0.88-0.99). CONCLUSION: HCC EV ECG score demonstrated great potential for detecting early-stage HCC. It could augment current surveillance methods and improve patients' outcomes.

Disparities in curative treatments and outcomes for early stage intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Curative surgical treatments afford the best prognosis for patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA); however, the comparative effectiveness of treatment options and factors associated with curative treatment receipt for early stage iCCA remain unknown. METHODS: The authors identified patients who were diagnosed with early stage iCCA, defined as a unifocal tumor <3 cm, during 2004-2018 from the National Cancer Database. Multivariable logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to identify the factors associated with curative treatment and overall survival (OS), respectively. RESULTS: The proportion of patients with early stage iCCA increased from 4.5% in 2004 to 7.3% in 2018, with the odds of early stage detection increasing by 3.1% per year (odds ratio [OR], 1.031; 95% CI, 1.015-1.049). Of 1093 patients who had early stage iCCA, 464 (42.5%) underwent resection, 113 (10.3%) underwent ablation, 62 (5.7%) underwent liver transplantation, and 454 (41.5%) received noncurative treatments. Hispanic patients (adjusted OR [aOR], 0.57; 95% CI, 0.33-0.97) and Black patients (aOR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.28-0.77) were less likely to receive curative treatments than White patients. Compared with patients who underwent surgical resection, those who underwent liver transplantation had a trend toward improved OS (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.63; 95% CI, 0.37-1.08), whereas those who underwent local ablation (aHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.01-1.92) and noncurative treatments (aHR, 3.97; 95% CI, 3.24-4.88) experienced worse OS. CONCLUSIONS: More than one third of patients with early stage iCCA did not receive curative treatment, with Hispanic and Black patients being less likely to receive curative treatments than White patients. Surgical resection and liver transplantation were associated with improved survival compared with local ablation. Future studies should investigate disparities in curative treatment receipt and outcomes for early stage iCCA.

MRI-based (MAST) score accurately identifies patients with NASH and significant fibrosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Among the large population of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), identifying those with fibrotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (Fibro-NASH) is a clinical priority, as these patients are at the highest risk of disease progression and will benefit most from pharmacologic treatment. MRI-based proton density fat fraction (MRI-PDFF) and MR elastography (MRE) can risk-stratify patients with NAFLD by assessing steatosis and fibrosis, respectively. We developed a highly specific MRI-based score to identify patients with Fibro-NASH. METHODS: This analysis included derivation (n = 103) and validation (n = 244) cohorts of patients who underwent MRI, liver biopsy, transient elastography, and laboratory testing for NAFLD from 2016-2020 in 2 tertiary care centers. To identify Fibro-NASH, a formula was developed based on MRI-PDFF, MRE, and a third variable with highest balanced accuracy per logistic regression. The MRI-aspartate aminotransferase (MAST) score was created and compared to NAFLD fibrosis (NFS), Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and FibroScan-aspartate aminotransferase (FAST) scores. RESULTS: The MAST score demonstrated high performance and discrimination in the validation cohort (AUC 0.93; 95% CI 0.88-0.97). In the validation cohorts, the 90% specificity cut-off of 0.242 corresponded to a sensitivity of 75.0%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 50.0% and negative predictive value (NPV) of 96.5%, whereas the 90% sensitivity cut-off of 0.165 corresponded to a specificity of 72.2%, PPV of 29.4%, and NPV of 98.1%. Compared to NFS and FIB-4, MAST resulted in fewer patients having indeterminate scores and an overall higher AUC. Compared to FAST, MAST exhibited a higher AUC and overall better discrimination. CONCLUSION: The MAST score is an accurate, MRI-serum-based score that outperforms previous scores in non-invasively identifying patients at higher risk of Fibro-NASH. LAY SUMMARY: Identifying patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and significant fibrosis - who need treatment and are at risk of clinical liver-related outcomes - is a clinical priority. We developed a more accurate score using MRI-based technologies and a laboratory blood test (aspartate aminotransferase) that outperforms previous non-invasive scores for the identification of patients at higher risk of liver disease progression.

Factors Associated With Detection and Survival of T1 Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the United States: National Cancer Database Analysis.

BACKGROUND: It remains unknown to what extent hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs) are detected very early (T1 stage; ie, unifocal <2 cm) in the United States. The aim of this study was to investigate the trends and factors associated with very early detection of HCC and resultant outcomes. METHODS: Patients with HCC diagnosed from 2004 through 2014 were identified from the National Cancer Database. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with T1 HCC detection, and Cox proportional hazard analyses identified factors associated with overall survival among patients with T1 HCC. RESULTS: Of 110,182 eligible patients, the proportion with T1 HCC increased from 2.6% in 2004 to 6.8% in 2014 (P<.01). The strongest correlate of T1 HCC detection was receipt of care at an academic institution (odds ratio, 3.51; 95% CI, 2.31-5.34). Older age, lack of insurance, high Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, high alpha-fetoprotein, increased Charlson-Deyo comorbidity score, and nonsurgical treatment were associated with increased mortality, and care at an academic center (hazard ratio [HR], 0.27; 95% CI, 0.15-0.48) was associated with reduced mortality in patients with T1 HCC. Liver transplantation (HR, 0.27; 95% CI, 0.20-0.37) and surgical resection (HR, 0.67; 95% CI, 0.48-0.93) were independently associated with improved survival compared with ablation. This is the first study to examine the trend of T1 HCC using the National Cancer Database, which covers approximately 70% of all cancer diagnoses in the United States, using robust statistical analyses. Limitations of the study include a retrospective study design using administrative data and some pertinent data that were not available. CONCLUSIONS: Despite increases over time, <10% of HCCs are detected at T1 stage. The strongest correlates of survival among patients with T1 HCC are receiving care at an academic institution and surgical treatment.

NASH Leading Cause of Liver Transplant in Women: Updated Analysis of Indications For Liver Transplant and Ethnic and Gender Variances.

OBJECTIVES: Chronic infection with hepatitis C virus (HCV) was previously the leading indication for liver transplant (LT) in the United States. However, since 2014 the use of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) has decreased the chronic HCV burden, while the prevalence of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has risen substantially through the last decade. Both gender and ethnic disparities in indications for LT have been shown in the past but no data on this have been reported since the implementation of DAAs. METHODS: We assessed changes in etiologies for LT listing and in gender and ethnic differences in those listed for LT. Adult patients registered for LT in the United Network for Organ Sharing/Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database between January 1, 2004 and December 31, 2016 were included. Multinomial logistic regression modeling was used to test for changes in waitlist or liver transplant rates. RESULTS: The study included 127,164 adult patients registered for LT. By 2016, alcoholic liver disease (ALD) was the leading etiology for waitlisting and LT; NASH was second; hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to chronic HCV and chronic HCV alone were 3rd and 4th. NASH was the leading cause for LT for women and the 2nd leading cause for men (following ALD). NASH increased as the cause in all ethnic subgroups and was the leading cause in 2016 among Asian, Hispanic, and non-Hispanic white females. We also found that although the indication for liver transplant for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) due to HCV has increased over the years, this indication decreased for the first time between 2015 and 2016 in both males and females. CONCLUSIONS: NASH is currently the second leading cause for LT waitlist registration/liver transplantation overall, and in females, the leading cause. Given the rate of increase, NASH will likely rise to become the leading indication for LT in males as well.

HCV infection is associated with lower survival in simultaneous liver kidney transplant recipients in the United States.

BACKGROUND: The frequency of simultaneous liver kidney transplantation (SLKT) has been increasing over the past decade. Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the most common indication for liver transplantation in the United States. Given the rising prevalence of HCV-related SLKT, it is important to understand the impact of HCV in this patient population. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using data from the United Network for Organ Sharing registry to assess adult patients undergoing SLKT in the United States from 2003 to 2012. Patient survival following SLKT was assessed using Kaplan-Meier methods and multivariate Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Patients infected with non-HCV have significantly lower survival following SLKT compared to non-HCV patients at three (three-yr survival: 71.0% vs. 78.9%, p < 0.01) and five yr (five-yr survival: 61.4% vs. 72.5%, p < 0.01). The results of multivariate regression analyses demonstrated that patients infected with HCV had significantly lower survival following SLKT than patients with non-HCV disease (HR 1.41, 95% CI, 1.19-1.67, p < 0.001). In addition, lower post-SLKT survival was noted among patients with diabetes (HR 1.34, 95% CI, 1.13-1.58, p < 0.001) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HR 1.60, 95% CI, 1.17-2.18, p < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Hepatitis C infection is associated with lower patient survival following SLKT.

Development and validation of a biomarker index for HCC treatment response.

BACKGROUND: Serum AFP-L3%, AFP, and DCP are useful biomarkers for HCC detection, but their utility in assessing treatment response remains unknown. We aim to evaluate the accuracy of a biomarker model in the detection of posttreatment viable tumors. METHODS: For model derivation, recipients with HCC undergoing liver transplant from 2018 to 2022 who had biomarkers collected within 3 months before transplant were included. We developed a generalized linear model for detecting posttreatment viable tumors with the 3 biomarkers as covariates, which we termed the "LAD Score." An independent cohort of 117 patients with HCC was used for external validation. RESULTS: Among 205 recipients of transplant, 70.2% had evidence of viable tumor on explant. The median LAD score was higher among patients with viable versus nonviable tumors (1.06 vs. 0.465, p < 0.001). The LAD score had a sensitivity of 55.6% and a specificity of 85.1% at the cutoff of 0.927, which was more accurate than imaging for detecting posttreatment viable tumors (AUROC 0.736 vs. 0.643, respectively; p = 0.045). The superior performance of the LAD score over imaging is primarily driven by its greater accuracy in detecting tumors <2 cm in diameter (AUROC of the LAD score 0.721 vs. imaging 0.595, p = 0.02). In the validation data set, the LAD score had an AUROC of 0.832 (95% CI: 0.753, 0.911) with a sensitivity of 72.5% and a specificity of 89.4% at the cutoff of 0.927. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest the utility of LAD score in treatment response assessment after locoregional therapy for HCC, particularly in detecting small tumors. A larger prospective study is in progress to validate its accuracy and evaluate its performance in recurrence monitoring.

Anti-CD3ε induces splenic B220lo B-cell expansion following anti-CD20 treatment in a mouse model of allosensitization.

Antibodies targeting T cells and B cells are increasingly used for immunosuppression in clinical transplantation. However, the impact of T-cell depletion by antibodies on B-cell homeostasis is poorly understood. Using a mouse model of allosensitization with skin allograft, we investigated whether targeting T cells by anti-CD3ε alters peripheral B-cell homeostasis and alloantibody responses following B-cell depletion by anti-CD20. We found that anti-CD3ε induced a discrete B220(lo), but not a conventional B220(hi) subset, in the spleens of the allosensitized mice 14 days after anti-CD20 treatment. The splenic B220(lo) cells were refractory to anti-CD20 depletion. Flow cytometry revealed that the splenic B220(lo) cells were phenotypically similar to the B220(lo) AA4.1(+) CD23(-) sIgM(lo) sIgD(-) developing B cells (pre-B to immature B) normally presented in the bone marrow. Despite the presence of the splenic B220(lo) cells, mice treated with combined anti-CD3ε/CD20 produced limited alloantibodies in response to the primary skin allografts. Alloantibody production increased significantly in the mice following re-immunization by donor-specific splenocytes. We conclude that anti-CD3ε can induce an expansion of B220(lo) B cells in the spleens after B-cell depletion by anti-CD20. These B cells are not producing alloantibodies, but re-immunization of the mice with alloantigen leads to risk of alloantibody response.

Children Are Not Small Adults: Similarities and Differences in Renal Transplantation Between Adults and Pediatrics.

Kidney transplantation is the treatment of choice for all patients with end-stage kidney disease, including pediatric patients. Graft survival in pediatrics was lagging behind adults, but now is comparable with the adult cohort. Although many of the protocols have been adopted from adults, there are issues unique to pediatrics that one should be aware of to take care of this population. These issues include recipient size consideration, increased incidence of viral infections, problems related to growth, common occurrence of underlying urological issues, and psychosocial issues. This article addresses the similarities and differences in renal transplantation, from preparing a patient for transplant, the transplant process, to post-transplant complications.

Eagle syndrome revisited: cerebrovascular complications.

Cervical pain caused by the elongation of the styloid process (Eagle syndrome) is well known to otolaryngologists but is rarely considered by vascular surgeons. We report two patients with cerebrovascular symptoms of Eagle syndrome treated in our medical center in the past year. Case 1: an 80-year-old man with acromegaly presented with dizziness and syncope with neck rotation. The patient was noted to have bilateral elongated styloid processes impinging on the internal carotid arteries. After staged resections of the styloid processes through cervical approaches, the symptoms resolved completely. Case 2: a 57-year-old man presented with acute-onset left-sided neck pain radiating to his head immediately after a vigorous neck massage. Hospital course was complicated by a 15-minute transient ischemic attack resulting in aphasia. Angiography revealed bilateral dissections of his internal carotid arteries, with a dissecting aneurysm on the right. Both injuries were immediately adjacent to the bilateral elongated styloid processes. Despite immediate anticoagulation therapy, he experienced aphasia and right hemiparesis associated with an occlusion of his left carotid artery. He underwent emergent catheter thrombectomy and carotid stent placement, with near-complete resolution of his symptoms. Elongated styloid processes characteristic of Eagle syndrome can result in both temporary impingement and permanent injury to the extracranial carotid arteries. Although rare, Eagle syndrome should be considered in the differential diagnosis in patients with cerebrovascular symptoms, especially those induced by positional change.

A Clinical Tool to Guide Selection and Utilization of Marginal Donor Livers With Graft Steatosis in Liver Transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Donor liver biopsy (DLBx) in liver transplantation provides information on allograft quality; however, predicting outcomes from these allografts remains difficult. METHODS: Between 2006 and 2015, 16 691 transplants with DLBx were identified from the Standard Transplant Analysis and Research database. Cox proportional hazard regression analyses identified donor and recipient characteristics associated with 30-d, 90-d, 1-y, and 3-y graft survival. A composite model, the Liver Transplant After Biopsy (LTAB) score, was created. The Mini-LTAB was then derived consisting of only donor age, macrosteatosis on DLBx, recipient model for end-stage liver disease score, and cold ischemic time. Risk groups were identified for each score and graft survival was evaluated. P values <0.05 were considered significant. RESULTS: The LTAB model used 14 variables and 5 risk groups and identified low-, mild-, moderate-, high-, and severe-risk groups. Compared with moderate-risk recipients, severe-risk recipients had increased risk of graft loss at 30 d (hazard ratio, 3.270; 95% confidence interval, 2.568-4.120) and at 1 y (2.258; 1.928-2.544). The Mini-LTAB model identified low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups. Graft survival in Mini-LTAB high-risk transplants was significantly lower than moderate- or low-risk transplants at all time points. CONCLUSIONS: The LTAB and Mini-LTAB scores represent guiding principles and provide clinically useful tools for the successful selection and utilization of marginal allografts in liver transplantation.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease prevalence and severity in Asian Americans from the national health and nutrition examination surveys 2017-2018.

Studies have examined nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) prevalence and severity in Asians; however, this is not well understood in Asian Americans (both East and South Asian Americans) as few studies have analyzed this population. We aimed to describe characteristics, prevalence of NAFLD, and its severity in Asian Americans in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) from 2017 to 2018. Respondents 18 years and older with interview, laboratory testing, and transient elastography data were included. Other causes of liver disease were excluded. Controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) cutoff ≥ 274 dB/m, as published in the literature, defined NAFLD. Sensitivity analysis for CAP cutoffs ≥ 248 and ≥302 dB/m were performed. We found that 450 out of 3639 respondents were Asian Americans, and prevalence using CAP ≥ 274 dB/m was 43.23%. Using sensitivity analysis cutoffs of CAP ≥ 248 dB/m and CAP ≥ 302 dB/m, the prevalence was 57.38% and 28.03%, respectively. Compared with non-Asian Americans with NAFLD, Asian Americans with NAFLD had significantly lower body mass index (BMI) and less prevalent smoking history. Comorbidities, such as prediabetes, diabetes, and hypertension, were not significantly different between Asian and non-Asian Americans with NAFLD. Compared to non-Asian Americans with NAFLD, Asian Americans with NAFLD exhibited higher aminotransferases and triglycerides. Fibrosis assessed by transient elastography was not significantly different between Asian and non-Asian Americans with NAFLD. Despite decreased prevalence of BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2 , Asian Americans experienced similar NAFLD prevalence with increased hepatocellular injury and triglyceridemia compared to non-Asian Americans. Fibrosis stages were similar to non-Asian Americans.

Comparison of Surgical Resection and Systemic Treatment for Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Vascular Invasion: National Cancer Database Analysis.

INTRODUCTION: Small studies from outside of the USA suggest excellent outcomes after surgical resection for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with vascular invasion. The study aims to (1) compare overall survival after surgical resection and systemic therapy among patients with HCC and vascular invasion and (2) determine factors associated with receipt of surgical resection in a US population. METHODS: HCC patients with AJCC clinical TNM stage 7th T3BN0M0 diagnosed between 2010 and 2017 from the National Cancer Database were analyzed. Cox and logistic regression analyses identified factors associated with overall survival and receipt of surgical resection. RESULTS: Of 11,259 patients with T3BN0M0 HCC, 325 (2.9%) and 4,268 (37.9%) received surgical resection and systemic therapy, respectively. In multivariable analysis, surgical resection was associated with improved survival compared to systemic therapy (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.496, 95% confidence interval: 0.426-0.578) with a median survival of 21.4 and 8.1 months, respectively. Superiority of surgical resection was observed in noncirrhotic and cirrhotic subgroups and propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting adjusted analysis. Asians were more likely to receive surgical resection, whereas Charlson comorbidity ≥3, elevated alpha-fetoprotein, smaller tumor size, care in a community cancer program, and the South or West region were associated with a lower likelihood of surgical resection. CONCLUSION: HCC patients with vascular invasion may benefit from surgical resection compared to systemic therapies. Demographic and clinical features of HCC patients and region and type of treating facility were associated with surgical resection versus systemic treatment.

Clinical considerations in the management of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis cirrhosis pre- and post-transplant: A multi-system challenge.

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide, and the fastest growing indication for liver transplantation in the United States. NASH is now the leading etiology for liver transplantation in women, the second leading indication for men, and the most common cause amongst recipients aged 65 years and older. Patients with end-stage liver disease related to NASH represent a unique and challenging patient population due the high incidence of associated comorbid diseases, including obesity, type 2 diabetes (T2D), and hypertension. These challenges manifest in the pre-liver transplantation period with increased waitlist times and waitlist mortality. Furthermore, these patients carry considerable risk of morbidity and mortality both before after liver transplantation, with high rates of T2D, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, poor nutrition, and disease recurrence. Successful transplantation for these patients requires identification and management of their comorbidities in the face of liver failure. Multidisciplinary evaluations include a thorough pre-transplant workup with a complete cardiac evaluation, control of diabetes, nutritional support, and even, potentially, consultation with a bariatric surgeon. This article provides a comprehensive review of the conditions and challenges facing patients with NASH cirrhosis undergoing liver transplantation and provides recommendations for evaluation and management to optimize them before liver transplantation to produce successful outcomes.

Higher thresholds for the utilization of steatotic allografts in liver transplantation: Analysis from a U.S. national database.

BACKGROUND: Historically, liver allografts with >30% macrosteatosis (MaS) on donor biopsy have been associated with early allograft dysfunction and worse graft survival; however, successful outcomes have been reported in small cohorts. This study proposes an elevated MaS threshold for organ utilization without detriment to graft survival. METHODS: The UNOS Standard Transplant Analysis and Research database was evaluated for transplants between 2006-2015. Graft survival up to 1-year was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival analyses, and by univariate and multivariable logistic regression analyses, including donor and recipient characteristics. Odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for risk of graft loss are reported. RESULTS: Thirty-day risk of graft loss was increased with MaS as low as 10-19% (OR [95% CI] 1.301 [1.055-1.605], p<0.0001) and peaked with MaS 50-59% (2.921 [1.672-5.103]). At 1-year, risk of graft loss remained elevated with MaS 40-49% (1.465 [1.002-2.142]) and MaS 50-59% (1.978 [1.281-3.056], p = 0.0224). Multivariable models were created for Lower and Higher MELD recipients and MaS cutoffs were established. In Lower MELD recipients, organs with ≥50% MaS had increased risk of graft loss at 30 days (2.451 [1.541-3.897], p = 0.0008) and 1-year post-transplant (1.720 [1.224-2.418], p = 0.0125). Higher MELD recipients had increased risk of graft loss at 30 days with allografts showing MaS ≥40% (4.204 [1.440-5.076], p = 0.0016). At 1-year the risk remained increased, but MaS was not significant predictor of graft loss.048 [1.131-3.710], p = 0.0616). In both MELD cohorts, organs with MaS levels below threshold had similar survival to those transplanted without a donor biopsy. CONCLUSIONS: In conjunction with recipient selection, organs with MaS up to 50% may be safely used without detriment to outcomes.

Increase in Alcoholic Hepatitis as an Etiology for Liver Transplantation in the United States: A 2004-2018 Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Changing opinions on the alcohol abstinence requirement have led to increased liver transplantation (LT) for alcoholic hepatitis (AH). We aimed to determine the trend in LT for AH in the United States and overall and graft survival rates. METHODS: Adult liver-alone and liver-kidney registrations added to the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network waiting list between 2004 and 2018 were divided into 3 periods (2004-2009, 2010-2013, 2014-2018). Kaplan-Meier survival models illustrated patient and graft survival. RESULTS: Between 2004 and 2018, 529 AH patients were registered for and 254 received LT. By periods, 116, 73, and 340 patients were registered for and 49, 17, and 188 patients received LT, respectively, indicating a increase in LT for AH from 2014 to 2018. Yearly registrants from 2014 to 2018 were 32, 47, 51, 70, and 140, and recipients were 16, 24, 24, 38, and 88, respectively, indicating increases of 338% and 450% in registrants and recipients, respectively, since 2014. AH patients had the highest 1- and 3-year posttransplant survival (93.2% and 87.3%, respectively) and graft survival (90.4% and 84.8%, respectively) comparing to other LT recipients. CONCLUSIONS: LT for AH in the United States is at an all-time high with an increased overall patient and graft survival.

Liver Transplant Survival Index for Patients with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Score ≥ 35: Modeling Risk and Adjusting Expectations in the Share 35 Era.

BACKGROUND: The Share 35 policy for liver allocation prioritizes patients with Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores ≥ 35 for regional sharing of liver allografts. To better assess donor-recipient interactions and inform expectations, this study identified factors affecting graft survival independent of MELD score and derived a risk index for transplantation in the MELD ≥ 35 population. STUDY DESIGN: The United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) STAR database was evaluated for deceased donor liver transplants with recipients' MELD ≥ 35, between January 2006 and June 2016. Data were randomly split into test and validate cohorts. Four individual models of graft survival spanning 90 days to 5 years were evaluated with univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards analyses against donor- and recipient-specific characteristics. Significant factors were compiled to generate the Liver Transplant Survival Index (LTSI-35), and survival analyses were performed. RESULTS: Five risk groups (very low, low, moderate, high, and severe) were identified, with 1-year graft survival rates of 90.8% ± 0.2%, 89.3% ± 0.3%, 85.0% ± 0.3%, 79.8% ± 0.3%, and 70.3% ± 0.4% (p < 0.001 across groups), respectively. The greatest risk of graft loss was associated with donation after circulatory death (DCD) donors (1-year hazard ratio [HR] = 1.61 [95% CI 1.26 to 2.05], p = 0.001), recipients' requiring ventilator support (HR 1.32 [95% CI 1.17 to 1.51], p < 0.001), and recipient portal vein thrombosis (HR 1.21 [95% CI 1.03 to 1.42], p = 0.003). Subgroup analysis revealed increased risk of graft loss with graft macrosteatosis ≥ 30% on pre-donation biopsy at 90 days (HR 1.64 [1.33 to 1.99], p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The LTSI-35 identifies risk factors for graft loss in a high-MELD population which, when combined, may portend worse outcomes. The LTSI-35 may be used to influence donor selection, organ allocation, and to inform expectations for allograft survival.