RESUMEN
Risk assessment for natalizumab-associated progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (Nat-PML) comprises the anti-JC virus (JCV) antibody index (AI). The anti-JCV AI was longitudinally determined in a natalizumab-treated MS cohort (Nat-MS, n = 468) and samples of Nat-PML patients (n = 15). In Nat-MS, the median AI was 0.8 (25th to 75th percentile, 0.2-2.8) with an intra-individual coefficient of variation (CV) of 9.8% (4.8-17.6). Patients with an AI ≤ 0.9 exhibited higher CV. The AI was higher (3.4 (3.1-3.6)) in samples before Nat-PML diagnosis than in seropositive Nat-MS (2.4 (1.0-3.4), n = 298, p = 0.010). AIs ≥ 3.0 were associated with a 14.5-fold (95% CI 2.3-90.4) increased PML risk (p = 0.002). Groups with an AI below 1.5 exhibit higher variability or even serostatus fluctuation. AI dynamics require further investigation.
RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To investigate the rate of seropositivity of anti-JC virus (JCV) antibodies in a German multiple sclerosis (MS) cohort treated with natalizumab in the postmarketing setting and to assess anti-JCV serostatus in samples obtained before diagnosis of progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). METHODS: This was a blinded, retrospective cross-sectional and longitudinal analysis for anti-JCV antibodies using a confirmatory 2-step ELISA on 2,782 blood samples obtained from 2,253 patients nationwide for routine testing for anti-natalizumab antibodies during open-label treatment between 2007 and 2010. RESULTS: Of the natalizumab-treated patients with MS, 58.8% tested positive for anti-JCV antibodies. The rate of seropositivity was higher in males and increased with age, with a plateau between age intervals 20-29 and 30-39 years. In longitudinal analyses, 19 of 194 (9.8%) patients converted from anti-JCV antibody-negative to seropositive status over 7.7 months; 4.7% reverted from antibody-positive to seronegative status over 7.9 months. Antibody levels, especially in the latter group, were low, indicating fluctuations around the lower cut point of the assay. Neither anti-JCV serostatus nor antibody levels were associated with immunosuppressive pretreatment, duration of natalizumab treatment, or anti-natalizumab antibodies. All samples obtained from 10 patients who developed PML were seropositive (13 samples before PML diagnosis [2.0-37.6 months]; 2 samples at diagnosis). Antibody levels in these samples were higher than those in samples from seropositive patients who did not develop PML. CONCLUSIONS: These data argue for the potential clinical utility of JCV serology for PML risk stratification. However, further investigations of fluctuations in serostatus and of antibody levels for a more precise understanding of the predictive value are warranted.