Predicting Mortality in COPD with Validated and Sensitive Biomarkers; Fibrinogen and Mid-Range-Proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM).

Although fibrinogen is a FDA qualified prognostic biomarker in COPD, it still lacks sufficient resolution to be clinically useful. Next to replication of findings in different cohorts also the combination with other validated biomarkers should be investigated. Therefore, the aim of this study was to confirm in a large well-defined population of COPD patients whether fibrinogen can predict mortality and whether a combination with the biomarker MR-proADM can increase prognostic accuracy. From the COMIC cohort study we included COPD patients with a blood sample obtained in stable state (n = 640) and/or at hospitalization for an acute exacerbation of COPD (n = 262). Risk of death during 3 years of follow up for the separate and combined biomarker models was analyzed with Cox regression. Furthermore, logistic regression models for death after one year were constructed. When both fibrinogen and MR-proADM were included in the survival model, a doubling in fibrinogen and MR-proADM levels gave a 2.2 (95% CI 1.3-3.7) and 2.1 (95% CI 1.5-3.0) fold increased risk of dying, respectively. The prediction model for death after 1 year improved significantly when MR-proADM was added to the model with fibrinogen (AUC increased from 0.78 to 0.83; p = 0.02). However, the combined model was not significantly more adequate than the model with solely MR-proADM (AUC 0.83 vs 0.82; p = 0.34). The study suggests that MR-proADM is more promising than fibrinogen in prediciting mortality. Adding fibrinogen to a model containing MR-proADM does not significantly increase the predictive capacity of the model.

Stable State Proadrenomedullin Level in COPD Patients: A Validation Study.

In patients with stable COPD, proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) has been shown to be a good predictor for mortality. This study aims to provide an external validation of earlier observed cut-off values used by Zuur-Telgen et al. and Stolz.et al. in COPD patients in stable state and at hospitalization for an acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD). From the COMIC cohort study we included 545 COPD patients with a blood sample obtained in stable state (n = 490) and/or at hospitalization for an AECOPD (n = 101). Time to death was compared between patients with MR-proADM cut-off scores 0.71 and 0.75 nmol/L for stable state or 0.79 and 0.84 nmol/l for AECOPD. The predictive value of MR-proADM for survival was represented by the C statistic. Risk ratios were corrected for sex, age, BMI, presence of heart failure, and GOLD stage. Patients above the cut-off of 0.75 nmol/l had a 2-fold higher risk of dying than patient below this cut-off (95% CI: 1.20-3.41). The cut-off of 0.71 nmol/l showed only a borderline significantly higher risk of 1.67 (95% CI: 0.98-2.85). The corrected odds ratios for one-year mortality were 3.15 (95% CI 1.15-8.64) and 3.70 (95% CI 1.18-11.6) in patients with MR-proADM levels above versus below the cut-off of respectively 0.75 and 0.71 nmol/l measured in stable state. MR-proADM levels in samples at hospitalization for an AECOPD were not predictive for mortality in this validation cohort. MR-proADM in stable state is a powerful predictor for mortality.

Association between poor therapy adherence to inhaled corticosteroids and tiotropium and morbidity and mortality in patients with COPD.

Aim: The aim of this study was to analyze the association between therapy adherence to inhaled corticosteroids (ICSs) and tiotropium on the one hand and morbidity and mortality in COPD on the other hand. Methods: Therapy adherence to ICSs and tiotropium over a 3-year period of, respectively, 635 and 505 patients was collected from pharmacy records. It was expressed as percentage and deemed optimal at ≥75-≤125%, suboptimal at ≥50%-<75%, and poor at <50% (underuse) or >125% (overuse). The association between adherence and time to first hospital admission for an acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD), community acquired pneumonia (CAP), and mortality was analyzed, with optimal use as the reference category. Results: Suboptimal use and underuse of ICSs and tiotropium were associated with a substantial increase in mortality risk: hazard ratio (HR) of ICSs was 2.9 (95% CI 1.7-5.1) and 5.3 (95% CI 3.3-8.5) and HR of tiotropium was 3.9 (95% CI 2.1-7.5) and 6.4 (95% CI 3.8-10.8) for suboptimal use and underuse, respectively. Suboptimal use and overuse of tiotropium were also associated with an increased risk of CAP, HR 2.2 (95% CI 1.2-4.0) and HR 2.3 (95% CI 1.2-4.7), respectively. Nonadherence to tiotropium was also associated with an increased risk of severe AECOPD: suboptimal use HR 3.0 (95% CI 2.01-4.5), underuse HR 1.9 (95% CI 1.2-3.1), and overuse HR 1.84 (95% CI 1.1-3.1). Nonadherence to ICSs was not related to time to first AECOPD or first CAP. Conclusion: Poor adherence to ICSs and tiotropium was associated with a higher mortality risk. Furthermore, nonadherence to tiotropium was associated with a higher morbidity. The question remains whether improving adherence can reduce morbidity and mortality.

Adrenomedullin optimises mortality prediction in COPD patients.

BACKGROUND: Current multicomponent scores that predict mortality in COPD patients might underestimate the systemic component of COPD. Therefore, we evaluated the accuracy of circulating levels of proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) alone or combined with the ADO (Age, Dyspnoea, airflow Obstruction), updated ADO or BOD (Body mass index, airflow Obstruction, Dyspnoea) index to predict all-cause mortality in stable COPD patients. METHODS: This study pooled data of 1285 patients from the COMIC and PROMISE-COPD study. RESULTS: Patients with high MR-proADM levels (≥0.87 nmol/l) had a 2.1 fold higher risk of dying than those with lower levels (p < 0.001). Based on the C-statistic, the ADOA index (ADO plus MR-proADM) (C = 0.72) was the most accurate predictor followed by the BODA (BOD plus MR-proADM) (C = 0.71) and the updated ADOA index (updated ADO plus MR-proADM) (C = 0.70). Adding MR-proADM to ADO and BOD was superior in forecasting 1- and 2-year mortality. The net percentages of persons with events correctly reclassified (NRI+) within respectively 1-year and 2-year was 31% and 20% for ADO, 31% and 20% for updated ADO and 25% and 19% for BOD. The net percentages of persons without events correctly reclassified (NRI-) within respectively 1-year and 2-year was 26% and 27% for ADO, 27% and 28% for updated ADO and 34% and 34% for BOD. CONCLUSIONS: Adding MR-proADM increased the predictive power of BOD, ADO and updated ADO index.

Amoxicillin concentrations in relation to beta-lactamase activity in sputum during exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) are often treated with antibiotics. Theoretically, to be maximally effective, the antibiotic concentration at sites of infection should exceed the minimum inhibitory concentration at which 90% of the growth of potential pathogens is inhibited (MIC90). A previous study showed that most hospitalized COPD patients had sputum amoxicillin concentrations

Necessity of amoxicillin clavulanic acid in addition to prednisolone in mild-to-moderate COPD exacerbations.

BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of antibiotics in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) exacerbations is still a matter of debate, especially in outpatients with an intermediate probability of bacterial infection. METHODS: In this study, 35 COPD outpatients diagnosed by their chest physician with moderately severe COPD exacerbation, but without pneumonia, were randomised in a double blind, placebo-controlled study. Patients had one or two of the following characteristics: a positive Gram's stain of the sputum, 2 or more exacerbations in the previous year, a decrease in lung function of >200 mL and >12%. Patients received amoxicillin clavulanic acid (500/125 mg three times daily) or placebo for 7 days, always combined with a course of prednisolone (30 mg/day) for 7 days. Primary outcome was duration of the exacerbation. Additionally, we measured severity of the exacerbation, health-related quality of life, sputum parameters, number of relapses within 28 days and the number of re-exacerbations within 4 months after the study. RESULTS: There was no difference observed in time to resolution of the exacerbation between the two groups (HR=1.12; (95% CI 0.5 to 2.3; p=0.77)), nor in any other treatment parameter. CONCLUSIONS: We detected no evidence for the effectiveness of addition of antibiotics to prednisolone for COPD exacerbations of moderate severity and with intermediate probability of bacterial infection in this underpowered study. More placebo-controlled studies are needed to properly define subgroups of COPD outpatients in which antibiotics are of additional value. TRIALS REGISTRATION NUMBER: clinical trial registered with http://www.trialregister.nl/(NTR351).

Stable-State Midrange-Proadrenomedullin Level Is a Strong Predictor of Mortality in Patients With COPD.

BACKGROUND: Midrange-proadrenomedullin (MR-proADM) has been shown to be elevated in patients hospitalized for an acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) and in patients with community-acquired pneumonia. When measured during AECOPDs, MR-proADM has also been shown to be a predictor of mortality. We hypothesized that MR-proADM levels measured in a stable state could also predict mortality. METHODS: We included 181 patients in whom we had paired plasma samples for MR-proADM determinations during a stable state and at hospitalization for an AECOPD when they also produced sputum. Time to death or censoring was compared between patients with MR-proADM above or below the median of 0.71 nmol/L. The predictive value of MR-proADM for survival was determined by calculating the C statistic. RESULTS: Patients with COPD and MR-proADM levels > 0.71 nmol/L in the stable state had a threefold-higher risk of dying than did patients with MR-proADM levels < 0.71 nmol/L (hazard ratio, 2.98 [95% CI, 1.51-5.90]; C statistic, 0.76). The corrected OR for 1-year mortality was 8.90 (95% CI, 1.94-44.6) in patients with high MR-proADM levels measured in the stable state, compared with patients with low levels measured in the stable state. CONCLUSIONS: MR-proADM measured in the stable state appeared to be a strong predictor of mortality in patients with COPD. MR-proADM is far easier to measure than other predictors of mortality in COPD, such as BMI, airflow obstruction, dyspnea, and exercise capacity score.