Prediction of Isolated Local Recurrence After Resection of Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: A Nationwide Study.

BACKGROUND: Distinguishing postoperative fibrosis from isolated local recurrence (ILR) after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is challenging. A prognostic model that helps to identify patients at risk of ILR can assist clinicians when evaluating patients' postoperative imaging. This nationwide study aimed to develop a clinically applicable prognostic model for ILR after PDAC resection. PATIENTS AND METHODS: An observational cohort study was performed, including all patients who underwent PDAC resection in the Netherlands (2014-2019; NCT04605237). On the basis of recurrence location (ILR, systemic, or both), multivariable cause-specific Cox-proportional hazard analysis was conducted to identify predictors for ILR and presented as hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). A predictive model was developed using Akaike's Information Criterion, and bootstrapped discrimination and calibration indices were assessed. RESULTS: Among 1194/1693 patients (71%) with recurrence, 252 patients (21%) developed ILR. Independent predictors for ILR were resectability status (borderline versus resectable, HR 1.42; 95% CI 1.03-1.96; P = 0.03, and locally advanced versus resectable, HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.68-1.82; P = 0.66), tumor location (head versus body/tail, HR 1.50; 95% CI 1.00-2.25; P = 0.05), vascular resection (HR 1.86; 95% CI 1.41-2.45; P < 0.001), perineural invasion (HR 1.47; 95% CI 1.01-2.13; P = 0.02), number of positive lymph nodes (HR 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.08; P = 0.02), and resection margin status (R1 < 1 mm versus R0 ≥ 1 mm, HR 1.64; 95% CI 1.25-2.14; P < 0.001). Moderate performance (concordance index 0.66) with adequate calibration (slope 0.99) was achieved. CONCLUSIONS: This nationwide study identified factors predictive of ILR after PDAC resection. Our prognostic model, available through www.pancreascalculator.com , can be utilized to identify patients with a higher a priori risk of developing ILR, providing important information in patient evaluation and prognostication.

Development of pancreatic diseases during long-term follow-up after acute pancreatitis: a post-hoc analysis of a prospective multicenter cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: More insight into the incidence of and factors associated with progression following a first episode of acute pancreatitis (AP) would offer opportunities for improvements in disease management and patient counseling. METHODS: A long-term post hoc analysis of a prospective cohort of patients with AP (2008-2015) was performed. Primary endpoints were recurrent acute pancreatitis (RAP), chronic pancreatitis (CP), and pancreatic cancer. Cumulative incidence calculations and risk analyses were performed. RESULTS: Overall, 1184 patients with a median follow-up of 9 years (IQR: 7-11) were included. RAP and CP occurred in 301 patients (25%) and 72 patients (6%), with the highest incidences observed for alcoholic pancreatitis (40% and 22%). Pancreatic cancer was diagnosed in 14 patients (1%). Predictive factors for RAP were alcoholic and idiopathic pancreatitis (OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.51-4.82 and OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.40-3.02), and no pancreatic interventions (OR 1.82, 95% CI 1.10-3.01). Non-biliary etiology (alcohol: OR 5.24, 95% CI 1.94-14.16, idiopathic: OR 4.57, 95% CI 2.05-10.16, and other: OR 2.97, 95% CI 1.11-7.94), RAP (OR 4.93, 95% CI 2.84-8.58), prior pancreatic interventions (OR 3.10, 95% CI 1.20-8.02), smoking (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.14-4.78), and male sex (OR 2.06, 95% CI 1.05-4.05) were independently associated with CP. CONCLUSION: Disease progression was observed in a quarter of pancreatitis patients. We identified several risk factors that may be helpful to devise personalized strategies with the intention to reduce the impact of disease progression in patients with AP.

Recurrence of idiopathic acute pancreatitis after cholecystectomy: systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Occult biliary disease has been suggested as a frequent underlying cause of idiopathic acute pancreatitis (IAP). Cholecystectomy has been proposed as a strategy to prevent recurrent IAP. The aim of this systematic review was to determine the efficacy of cholecystectomy in reducing the risk of recurrent IAP. METHODS: PubMed, Embase and Cochrane Library databases were searched systematically for studies including patients with IAP treated by cholecystectomy, with data on recurrence of pancreatitis. Studies published before 1980 or including chronic pancreatitis and case reports were excluded. The primary outcome was recurrence rate. Quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Meta-analyses were undertaken to calculate risk ratios using a random-effects model with the inverse-variance method. RESULTS: Overall, ten studies were included, of which nine were used in pooled analyses. The study population consisted of 524 patients with 126 cholecystectomies. Of these 524 patients, 154 (29·4 (95 per cent c.i. 25·5 to 33·3) per cent) had recurrent disease. The recurrence rate was significantly lower after cholecystectomy than after conservative management (14 of 126 (11·1 per cent) versus 140 of 398 (35·2 per cent); risk ratio 0·44, 95 per cent c.i. 0·27 to 0·71). Even in patients in whom IAP was diagnosed after more extensive diagnostic testing, including endoscopic ultrasonography or magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography, the recurrence rate appeared to be lower after cholecystectomy (4 of 36 (11 per cent) versus 42 of 108 (38·9 per cent); risk ratio 0·41, 0·16 to 1·07). CONCLUSION: Cholecystectomy after an episode of IAP reduces the risk of recurrent pancreatitis. This implies that current diagnostics are insufficient to exclude a biliary cause.

ANTECEDENTES: Se ha sugerido que la enfermedad biliar oculta es una causa subyacente frecuente de pancreatitis aguda idiopática (idiopathic acute pancreatitis, IAP). La colecistectomía se ha propuesto como una estrategia para prevenir la IAP recidivante. El objetivo de esta revisión sistemática era determinar la eficacia de la colecistectomía para reducir el riesgo de la IAP recidivante. MÉTODOS: Se realizó una búsqueda sistemática en PubMed, Embase y Cochrane de estudios que incluían pacientes con IAP tratados con colecistectomía, y con datos sobre la recidiva de la pancreatitis. Se excluyeron los estudios anteriores a 1980, los que incluían pancreatitis crónica y los casos clínicos. El resultado principal fue la tasa de recidiva. La calidad se evaluó utilizando la escala de Newcastle-Ottawa. Se realizaron metaanálisis para calcular la tasa de riesgo utilizando un modelo de efectos aleatorios con el método de varianza inversa. RESULTADOS: En total, se incluyeron 10 estudios, de los cuales 9 se utilizaron para realizar análisis agrupados. La población de estudio incluyó 524 pacientes en los que se habían efectuado 126 colecistectomías. De estos 524 pacientes, 154 (29% (i.c. del 95% 25,5-33,3)) presentaron recidiva de la enfermedad. La tasa de recidiva fue significativamente menor después de la colecistectomía que después del tratamiento conservador (14/126 (11%) versus 140/398 (35)); tasa de riesgo 0,44 (i.c. del 95% 0,27-0,71)). Incluso en pacientes en los que se diagnosticó IAP tras haber efectuado pruebas diagnósticas más extensas, incluyendo ultrasonografía endoscópica o colangiopancreatografía por resonancia magnética, la tasa de recidiva después de la colecistectomía era menor (4/36 (11%) versus 42/108 (39%); tasa de riesgo 0,41 (i.c. del 95% 0,16-1,07)). CONCLUSIÓN: La práctica de una colecistectomía después de un episodio de IAP disminuye el riesgo de pancreatitis recidivante. Esto implica que los diagnósticos actuales son insuficientes para excluir una causa biliar (PROSPERO CRD42017055275).

HLA-DRB1*03:01 and HLA-DRB1*04:01 modify the presentation and outcome in autoimmune hepatitis type-1.

The classical human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-DRB1*03:01 and HLA-DRB1*04:01 alleles are established autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) risk alleles. To study the immune-modifying effect of these alleles, we imputed the genotypes from genome-wide association data in 649 Dutch AIH type-1 patients. We therefore compared the international AIH group (IAIHG) diagnostic scores as well as the underlying clinical characteristics between patients positive and negative for these HLA alleles. Seventy-five percent of the AIH patients were HLA-DRB1*03:01/HLA-DRB1*04:01 positive. HLA-DRB1*03:01/HLA-DRB1*04:01-positive patients had a higher median IAIHG score than HLA-DRB1*03:01/HLA-DRB1*04:01-negative patients (P<0.001). We did not observe associations between HLA alleles and alanine transaminase levels (HLA-DRB1*03:01: P=0.2; HLA-DRB1*04:01; P=0.5); however, HLA-DRB1*03:01 was independently associated with higher immunoglobulin G levels (P=0.04). The HLA-DRB1*04:01 allele was independently associated with presentation at older age (P=0.03) and a female predominance (P=0.04). HLA-DRB1*03:01-positive patients received immunosuppressive medication and liver transplantation. In conclusion, the HLA-DRB1*03:01 and HLA-DRB1*04:01 alleles are both independently associated with the aggregate diagnostic IAIHG score in type-1 AIH patients, but are not essential for AIH development. HLA-DRB1*03:01 is the strongest genetic modifier of disease severity in AIH.

Recurrent disease detection after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma using a recurrence-focused surveillance strategy (RADAR-PANC): protocol of an international randomized controlled trial according to the Trials within Cohorts design.

BACKGROUND: Disease recurrence remains one of the biggest concerns in patients after resection of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Despite (neo)adjuvant systemic therapy, most patients experience local and/or distant PDAC recurrence within 2 years. High-level evidence regarding the benefits of recurrence-focused surveillance after PDAC resection is missing, and the impact of early detection and treatment of recurrence on survival and quality of life is unknown. In most European countries, recurrence-focused follow-up after surgery for PDAC is currently lacking. Consequently, guidelines regarding postoperative surveillance are based on expert opinion and other low-level evidence. The recent emergence of more potent local and systemic treatment options for PDAC recurrence has increased interest in early diagnosis. To determine whether early detection and treatment of recurrence can lead to improved survival and quality of life, we designed an international randomized trial. METHODS: This randomized controlled trial is nested within an existing prospective cohort in pancreatic cancer centers in the Netherlands (Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Project; PACAP) and the United Kingdom (UK) (Pancreas Cancer: Observations of Practice and survival; PACOPS) according to the "Trials within Cohorts" (TwiCs) design. All PACAP/PACOPS participants with a macroscopically radical resection (R0-R1) of histologically confirmed PDAC, who provided informed consent for TwiCs and participation in quality of life questionnaires, are included. Participants randomized to the intervention arm are offered recurrence-focused surveillance, existing of clinical evaluation, serum cancer antigen (CA) 19-9 testing, and contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CT) of chest and abdomen every three months during the first 2 years after surgery. Participants in the control arm of the study will undergo non-standardized clinical follow-up, generally consisting of clinical follow-up with imaging and serum tumor marker testing only in case of onset of symptoms, according to local practice in the participating hospital. The primary endpoint is overall survival. Secondary endpoints include quality of life, patterns of recurrence, compliance to and costs of recurrence-focused follow-up, and the impact on recurrence-focused treatment. DISCUSSION: The RADAR-PANC trial will be the first randomized controlled trial to generate high level evidence for the current clinical equipoise regarding the value of recurrence-focused postoperative surveillance with serial tumor marker testing and routine imaging in patients after PDAC resection. The Trials within Cohort design allows us to study the acceptability of recurrence-focused surveillance among cohort participants and increases the generalizability of findings to the general population. While it is strongly encouraged to offer all trial participants treatment at time of recurrence diagnosis, type and timing of treatment will be determined through shared decision-making. This might reduce the potential survival benefits of recurrence-focused surveillance, although insights into the impact on patients' quality of life will be obtained. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov, NCT04875325 . Registered on May 6, 2021.

The revised Atlanta criteria more accurately reflect severity of post-ERCP pancreatitis compared to the consensus criteria.

Background and objective: Post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) pancreatitis (PEP) is the most prevalent complication after ERCP with an incidence of 3.5%. PEP severity is classified according to either the consensus criteria or the revised Atlanta criteria. In this international cohort study we investigated which classification is the strongest predictor of PEP-related mortality. Methods: We reviewed 13,384 consecutive ERCPs performed between 2012 and 2017 in eight hospitals. We gathered data on all pancreatitis-related adverse events and compared the predictive capabilities of both classifications. Furthermore, we investigated the correlation between the two classifications and identified reasons underlying length of stay. Results: The total sample consisted of 387 patients. The revised Atlanta criteria have a higher sensitivity (100 vs. 55%), specificity (98 vs. 72%) and positive predictive value (58 vs. 5%). There is a significant difference (p < 0.001) between the two classifications. In 124 patients (32%), the length of stay was influenced by concomitant diseases. Conclusion: The revised Atlanta classification is superior in predicting mortality and better reflects PEP severity. This has important implications for researchers, clinicians and patients. For the diagnosis of PEP pancreatitis, the consensus criteria remain the golden standard. However, the revised Atlanta criteria are preferable for defining PEP severity.

[Diagnostics and treatment of cholangiocarcinoma]. / Diagnostiek en behandeling van het cholangiocarcinoom.

--Cholangiocarcinoma is a rare malignancy originating from the biliary epithelium. The disease can arise anywhere in the biliary tract: intrahepatic, perihilar or distal. The overall prognosis for cholangiocarcinoma is poor. --The treatment necessitates a multidisciplinary approach. --Radical resection of the extrahepatic bile ducts, usually in combination with concomitant partial liver resection, remains the only curative treatment. --Liver transplantation in combination with neoadjuvant chemoradiation therapy seems to be promising in a highly selected group of patients. --Palliative treatment should be targeted at adequate biliary drainage, preferably by stenting. --Radiotherapy and systemic chemotherapy are not standard treatment and should be applied in an experimental setting only. --New options such as photodynamic therapy and tyrosine kinase inhibitors are promising, but still experimental treatments.

Effects of different immunosuppressive regimens on regulatory T-cells in noninflamed colon of liver transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Regulatory T-cells (Treg) are natural suppressors of autoimmunity. Previous studies indicate that immunosuppressive drugs, especially calcineurin-inhibitors, may interfere with Treg homeostasis. Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) can relapse or develop de novo after liver transplantation. IBD is associated with a relative deficiency of Treg. The aim of this study was to determine the effect of long-term immunosuppression on the presence of Treg in the noninflamed colonic mucosa of liver transplant recipients. METHODS: Colonic biopsies of normal mucosa of 36 liver transplant recipients on different types of immunosuppression and 11 controls were studied. Treg marker Foxp3 and Treg products transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-beta) and interleukin-10 (IL-10) were studied by quantitative polymerase chain reaction (Q-PCR) and immunohistochemistry. TGF-beta-induced Smad-protein 3 and 7 were studied by Q-PCR. RESULTS: No significant differences between controls and patients were observed in IL-10, TGF-beta, and Smad expression. Mucosal Foxp3 mRNA levels and Foxp3+CD3+ cells were significantly reduced in transplant recipients using prednisone/azathioprine/tacrolimus compared with controls but no direct relationship between Foxp3 expression and 1 specific drug was detected. CONCLUSIONS: These results challenge the hypothesis that calcineurin-induced reduction of Treg or TGF-beta expression predisposes nontransplanted tissue to inflammation, but indicate that combined immunosuppression hampers Treg development in the intestine.

Liver transplantation: an update.

Liver transplantation has been an accepted treatment for end-stage liver disease since the 1980s. Currently it is a highly successful treatment for this indication. The aim of this review is to give a general update on recent developments in the field of liver transplantation. In the last decades considerable progress has been made in the care of liver transplant candidates and recipients. At present the one- and five-year patient survival rates are approximately 85 and 75%. The indications for liver transplantation are shifting and the number of absolute contraindications is decreasing. In the coming years, an increase in the number of transplant candidates can be expected. An important problem is the shortage of donor organs, for which many solutions are being explored. A recently introduced method for recipient selection is the MELD score using simple laboratory measurements. Perioperative care at the present time is characterised by a high degree of standardisation and rapidly declining blood loss during transplantation. Long-term care includes awareness and management of recurrent disease. Important causes of morbidity and mortality such as de novo malignancies and cardiovascular disease should be adequately screened for and managed. With the increasing success of liver transplantation, physicians should aim at reaching a normal life expectancy and quality of life for transplant recipients.

Inflammatory bowel disease after liver transplantation: risk factors for recurrence and de novo disease.

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is associated with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) and can recur or develop de novo after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT). The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence and severity of IBD after liver transplantation and to perform a multivariate analysis for possible risk factors. In this retrospective study, 91 patients transplanted for PSC or AIH, without prior colectomy, were included. Sixty patients were transplanted for PSC, 31 for AIH. IBD activity before and after OLT and other possible risk factors were analysed in a multivariate model. Forty-nine patients (54%) had IBD before OLT. Forty patients (44%) had active IBD after transplantation: recurrence in 32 and de novo in 8. Cumulative risk for IBD after OLT was 15, 39 and 54% after 1, 5 and 10 years, respectively. In 59% of patients with IBD prior to OLT the disease was more active after transplantation. Risk factors for recurrent disease were: symptoms at time of OLT, short interval of IBD before OLT and use of tacrolimus. 5-aminosalicylates were protective. A cytomegalovirus positive donor/negative recipient combination increased the risk for de novo IBD.