Predictors of long-term clinical outcomes after TIPS: An ALTA group study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: While transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) is traditionally considered a bridge to liver transplant (LT), some patients achieve long-term transplant-free survival (TFS) with TIPS alone. Prognosis and need for LT should not only be assessed at time of procedure, but also re-evaluated in patients with favorable early outcomes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Adult TIPS recipients in the multicenter Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches retrospective cohort study were included (N=1,127 patients; 2,040 person-years follow-up). Adjusted competing risk regressions were used to assess factors associated with long-term post-TIPS clinical outcomes at time of procedure and at 6 months post-TIPS. MELD-Na at TIPS was significantly associated with post-TIPS mortality (sHR of death 1.1 [p=0.42], 1.3 [p=0.04], and 1.7 [p<0.01] for MELD-Na 15-19, 20-24, and ≥25 relative to MELD-Na <15, respectively). MELD 3.0 was also associated with post-TIPS outcomes. Among the 694 (62%) patients who achieved early (6 mo) post-TIPS TFS, rates of long-term TFS were 88% at 1-year and 57% at 3-years post-TIPS. Additionally, a within-individual increase in MELD-Na score of >3 points from TIPS to 6 months post-TIPS was significantly associated with long-term mortality, regardless of initial MELD-Na score (sHR of death 1.8, p<0.01). For patients with long-term post-TIPS TFS, rates of complications of the TIPS or portal hypertension were low. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with early post-TIPS TFS, prognosis and need for LT should be reassessed, informed by post-procedure changes in MELD-Na and clinical status. For selected patients, "destination TIPS" without LT may offer long-term survival with freedom from portal hypertensive complications.

Liver transplantation provides survival benefit at all levels of frailty: From the Multicenter Functional Assessment in Liver Transplantation Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Offering LT to frail patients may reduce waitlist mortality but may increase post-LT mortality. LT survival benefit is the concept of balancing these risks. We sought to quantify the net survival benefit with LT by liver frailty index (LFI). APPROACH AND RESULTS: We analyzed data in the multicenter Functional Assessment in LT (FrAILT) study from 2012 to 2021. Pre-LT cohort included ambulatory patients with cirrhosis awaiting LT, without HCC; the post-LT cohort included those who underwent LT. Primary outcomes were pre-LT and post-LT mortality. We computed 1-, 3-, and 5-year restricted mean survival times (RMSTs) from adjusted Cox models. The survival benefit was calculated as a net gain in life-years with LT. Pre-LT cohort included 2628 patients: median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium was 18 (IQR: 14-22); 731 (28%) were frail; 440 (17%) died before LT. Post-LT cohort included 1335 patients: median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium was 20 (IQR: 14-24); 325 (24%) were frail; 103 (8%) died after LT. Pre-LT RMST decreased substantially as LFI increased. Post-LT RMST also decreased as LFI increased but only modestly. There was no LFI threshold at which pre-LT and post-LT RMST intersected-patients had net survival benefits at all LFI values. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-LT and, to a lesser degree, post-LT mortality increased as LFI increased. Transplant offered a survival benefit at all LFI values, driven by a reduction in pre-LT mortality. No threshold of LFI was identified at which the risk of post-LT mortality exceeded pre-LT mortality. LT offers net survival benefits even in the presence of advanced frailty among those selected for LT.

Serum aryl hydrocarbon receptor activity is associated with survival in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) have an altered fecal metabolome, including reduced microbiota-derived tryptophan metabolites, which function as ligands for aryl hydrocarbon receptor (AhR). The aim of this study was to assess serum AhR ligand activity in patients with AH. APPROACH AND RESULTS: The study included 74 controls without AUD, 97 patients with AUD, and 330 patients with AH from 2 different multicenter cohorts (InTeam: 134, AlcHepNet: 196). Serum AhR activity was evaluated using an AhR reporter assay with HepG2-Lucia cells incubated with serum for 24 hours. Serum AhR activity was significantly higher in patients with AH compared with both controls (1.59 vs. 0.96-fold change, p < 0.001) and patients with AUD (1.59 vs. 0.93, p < 0.001). In both AH cohorts, patients with AhR activity ≥ 2.09 had significantly lower cumulative survival rates at 30, 60, 90, and 180 days compared to those with AhR activity < 2.09. When serum AhR activity was used to further stratify patients with severe AH, the cumulative 30, 60, 90, and 180-day survival rates for patients with severe AH and the AhR activity ≥ 2.09 group were all significantly lower than those with an AhR activity < 2.09 group. CONCLUSIONS: Serum AhR activity was significantly higher in patients with AH compared with controls and individuals with AUD, and this increased activity was associated with higher mortality. Consequently, serum AhR activity holds potential as a prognostic marker.

Bacteriophage targeting of gut bacterium attenuates alcoholic liver disease.

Chronic liver disease due to alcohol-use disorder contributes markedly to the global burden of disease and mortality1-3. Alcoholic hepatitis is a severe and life-threatening form of alcohol-associated liver disease. The gut microbiota promotes ethanol-induced liver disease in mice4, but little is known about the microbial factors that are responsible for this process. Here we identify cytolysin-a two-subunit exotoxin that is secreted by Enterococcus faecalis5,6-as a cause of hepatocyte death and liver injury. Compared with non-alcoholic individuals or patients with alcohol-use disorder, patients with alcoholic hepatitis have increased faecal numbers of E. faecalis. The presence of cytolysin-positive (cytolytic) E. faecalis correlated with the severity of liver disease and with mortality in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. Using humanized mice that were colonized with bacteria from the faeces of patients with alcoholic hepatitis, we investigated the therapeutic effects of bacteriophages that target cytolytic E. faecalis. We found that these bacteriophages decrease cytolysin in the liver and abolish ethanol-induced liver disease in humanized mice. Our findings link cytolytic E. faecalis with more severe clinical outcomes and increased mortality in patients with alcoholic hepatitis. We show that bacteriophages can specifically target cytolytic E. faecalis, which provides a method for precisely editing the intestinal microbiota. A clinical trial with a larger cohort is required to validate the relevance of our findings in humans, and to test whether this therapeutic approach is effective for patients with alcoholic hepatitis.

Faecal proteomics links neutrophil degranulation with mortality in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) have a high mortality. Alcohol exacerbates liver damage by inducing gut dysbiosis, bacterial translocation and inflammation, which is characterised by increased numbers of circulating and hepatic neutrophils. DESIGN: In this study, we performed tandem mass tag (TMT) proteomics to analyse proteins in the faeces of controls (n=19), patients with alcohol-use disorder (AUD; n=20) and AH (n=80) from a multicentre cohort (InTeam). To identify protein groups that are disproportionately represented, we conducted over-representation analysis using Reactome pathway analysis and Gene Ontology to determine the proteins with the most significant impact. A faecal biomarker and its prognostic effect were validated by ELISA in faecal samples from patients with AH (n=70), who were recruited in a second and independent multicentre cohort (AlcHepNet). RESULT: Faecal proteomic profiles were overall significantly different between controls, patients with AUD and AH (principal component analysis p=0.001, dissimilarity index calculated by the method of Bray-Curtis). Proteins that showed notable differences across all three groups and displayed a progressive increase in accordance with the severity of alcohol-associated liver disease were predominantly those located in neutrophil granules. Over-representation and Reactome analyses confirmed that differentially regulated proteins are part of granules in neutrophils and the neutrophil degranulation pathway. Myeloperoxidase (MPO), the marker protein of neutrophil granules, correlates with disease severity and predicts 60-day mortality. Using an independent validation cohort, we confirmed that faecal MPO levels can predict short-term survival at 60 days. CONCLUSIONS: We found an increased abundance of faecal proteins linked to neutrophil degranulation in patients with AH, which is predictive of short-term survival and could serve as a prognostic non-invasive marker.

Outcomes of early vs late treatment initiation in solid organ transplantation from hepatitis C virus nucleic acid test-positive donors to hepatitis C virus-uninfected recipients: Results from the HCV-TARGET study.

Curative hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy has increased transplantation from HCV-infected nucleic acid test-positive donors to HCV-uninfected recipients (D+/R-). We evaluated outcomes of early and late HCV treatment among D+/R- nonliver organ transplants. Patients received HCV regimens per local standard (n = 10 sites). Outcomes were compared between early and late treatments. Early treatment regimens (ETR) (n = 56) were initiated pretransplantation to day 7 posttransplant. Late treatment regimens (LTRs) (n = 102) began median 31 (range, 8-114) days posttransplant. There were 79 kidney, 50 lung, 23 heart, and 6 mixed transplants, similar between groups. HCV RNA was quantifiable in 98% of LTR versus 44.6% of ETR recipients (P < .001). Mean (range) days on treatment were 28 (7-93) ETR and 81 (51-111) LTR (P < .0001). There were no virological failures with ETR, but relapse (n = 3) and nonresponse (n = 2) in LTR (P = .16), including fibrosing cholestatic hepatitis postrelapse (n = 1). Sustained virological response was 100% (95% confidence interval, 93.4-100.0) in ETR (n = 54) and 94.9% (95% confidence interval, 88.5-98.3) in LTR (n = 98). Acute rejection occurred in 11 (19.6%) ETR and 25 (24.5%) LTR. In total, 11 HCV-unrelated deaths occurred: 8 ETR and 3 LTR. Organ transplantation from HCV-infected nucleic acid test-positive donors to HCV-uninfected recipients was safe. ETR led to fewer virological failures with shorter treatment duration, supporting recommendations to initiate treatment promptly posttransplant.

Acute kidney injury in patients with cirrhosis: Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) and International Club of Ascites (ICA) joint multidisciplinary consensus meeting.

Patients with cirrhosis are prone to developing acute kidney injury (AKI), a complication associated with a markedly increased in-hospital morbidity and mortality, along with a risk of progression to chronic kidney disease. Whereas patients with cirrhosis are at increased risk of developing any phenotype of AKI, hepatorenal syndrome (HRS), a specific form of AKI (HRS-AKI) in patients with advanced cirrhosis and ascites, carries an especially high mortality risk. Early recognition of HRS-AKI is crucial since administration of splanchnic vasoconstrictors may reverse the AKI and serve as a bridge to liver transplantation, the only curative option. In 2023, a joint meeting of the International Club of Ascites (ICA) and the Acute Disease Quality Initiative (ADQI) was convened to develop new diagnostic criteria for HRS-AKI, to provide graded recommendations for the work-up, management and post-discharge follow-up of patients with cirrhosis and AKI, and to highlight priorities for further research.

Statins Are Associated With a Decreased Risk of Severe Liver Disease in Individuals With Noncirrhotic Chronic Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Little is known about the potential impact of statins on the progression of noncirrhotic chronic liver diseases (CLDs) to severe liver disease. METHODS: Using liver histopathology data in a nationwide Swedish cohort, we identified 3862 noncirrhotic individuals with CLD and statin exposure, defined as a statin prescription filled for 30 or more cumulative defined daily doses. Statin users were matched to 3862 (statin) nonusers with CLD through direct 1:1 matching followed by propensity score matching. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for the primary outcome of incident severe liver disease (a composite of cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and liver transplantation/liver-related mortality). RESULTS: A total of 45.3% of CLD patients had nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, 21.9% had alcohol-related liver disease, 17.7% had viral hepatitis, and 15.1% had autoimmune hepatitis. During follow-up evaluation, 234 (6.1%) statin users vs 276 (7.1%) nonusers developed severe liver disease. Statin use was associated with a decreased risk of developing severe liver disease (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.48-0.74). Statistically significantly lower rates of severe liver disease were seen in alcohol-related liver disease (HR, 0.30; 95% CI, 0.19-0.49) and in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (HR, 0.68; 95% CI, 0.45-1.00), but not in viral hepatitis (HR, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.51-1.14) or autoimmune hepatitis (HR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.48-1.58). Statin use had a protective association in both prefibrosis and fibrosis stages at diagnosis. Statin use was associated with lower rates of progression to cirrhosis (HR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.49-0.78), hepatocellular carcinoma (HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.27-0.71), and liver-related mortality (HR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.36-0.82). CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals with noncirrhotic CLD, incident statin use was linked to lower rates of severe liver disease, suggesting a potential disease-modifying role.

The Liver Cirrhosis Network Cohort Study: Cirrhosis Definition, Study Population, and Endpoints.

INTRODUCTION: One of the primary goals of the Liver Cirrhosis Network (LCN) is to develop a cohort study to better understand and predict the risk of hepatic decompensation and other clinical and patient-reported outcomes among patients with Child A cirrhosis. METHODS: The LCN consists of a Scientific Data Coordinating Center and 10 clinical centers whose investigators populate multiple committees. The LCN Definitions and Measurements Committee developed preliminary definitions of cirrhosis and its complications by literature review, expert opinion, and reviewing definition documents developed by other organizations. The Cohort Committee developed the study protocol with the input of the steering committee. RESULTS: The LCN developed a prospective cohort study to describe and predict the rates of incident clinical events pertaining to first decompensation and patient-reported outcomes. The LCN developed a pragmatic definition of compensated cirrhosis incorporating clinical, laboratory, imaging, and histological criteria. Definitions of incident and recompensated ascites, overt hepatic encephalopathy, variceal hemorrhage, bleeding because of portal gastropathy, and hepatocellular carcinoma were also codified. DISCUSSION: The LCN Cohort Study design will inform the natural history of cirrhosis in contemporary patients with compensated cirrhosis. The LCN Definitions and Measures Committee developed criteria for the definition of cirrhosis to standardize entry into this multicenter cohort study and standardized criteria for liver-related outcome measures. This effort has produced definitions intended to be both sensitive and specific as well as easily operationalized by study staff such that outcomes critical to the LCN cohort are identified and reported in an accurate and generalizable fashion. REGISTRATION: NCT05740358.

Cystatin C and the difference between cystatin C and serum creatinine: Improved metrics to predict waitlist mortality among patients with decompensated cirrhosis.

Among patients with decompensated cirrhosis, serum creatinine (sCr) is biased by sex, frailty, and hepatic synthetic function, while Cystatin C (cysC) is not. We found that sCr would better associate with waitlist mortality and that the difference between cysC and sCr (cysCsCr diff ) would quantify this bias and be independently associated with outcomes. We measured cysC levels at ambulatory liver transplant visits among 525 consecutive patients seen at our center. We defined the cysCsCr diff as the difference between cysC minus sCr. We compared demographics and clinical characteristics in patients with low, intermediate, and high cysCsCr diff , divided by tertile. We used Cox regression to compare the association between sCr and cysC and waitlist mortality and demonstrate the independent association between cysCsCr diff and waitlist mortality. In Cox regression, cysC was significantly more associated with waitlist mortality than sCr ( p < 0.001). We found that as compared to those with a low cysCsCr diff , those with an intermediate or high cysCsCr diff were more likely to be female, have ascites, have higher frailty, and have higher MELD 3.0 scores ( p < 0.05 for all). Compared to those with a low cysCsCr diff , we found that those in the intermediate and high groups were more likely to die during follow-up (low: 6% vs. intermediate: 8% vs. high: 11%, p = 0.007). We found that after adjusting for the components of the MELD 3.0 score, each 1-point increase in the cysCsCr diff was associated with 1.72× (1.27-2.32) the hazard of waitlist mortality. Our study demonstrates that not only is cysC more associated with waitlist mortality than sCr, but that cysCsCr diff represents a novel independent metric associated with waitlist mortality.

Clinically relevant cut-points for changes in the Liver Frailty Index are associated with waitlist mortality in patients with cirrhosis.

Physical frailty is a critical determinant of mortality in patients with cirrhosis and can be objectively measured using the Liver Frailty Index (LFI), which is potentially modifiable. We aimed to identify LFI cut-points associated with waitlist mortality. Ambulatory adults with cirrhosis without HCC awaiting liver transplantation from 9 centers from 2012 to 2021 for ≥3 months with ≥2 pre-liver transplantation LFI assessments were included. The primary explanatory variable was the change in LFI from first to second assessments per 3 months (∆LFI); we evaluated clinically relevant ∆LFI cut-points at 0.1, 0.2, 0.3, and 0.5. The primary outcome was waitlist mortality (death or delisting for being too sick), with transplant considered as a competing event. Among 1029 patients, the median (IQR) age was 58 (51-63) years; 42% were female; and the median lab Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium at first assessment was 18 (15-22). For each 0.1 improvement in ∆LFI, the risk of overall mortality decreased by 6% (cause-specific hazard ratio: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.92-0.97, p < 0.001). ∆LFI was associated with waitlist mortality at cut-points as low as 0.1 (cause-specific hazard ratio: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.46-0.87) and 0.2 (HR: 0.61, 95% CI: 0.42-0.87). An improvement in LFI per 3 months as small as 0.1 in the pre-liver transplantation period is associated with a clinically meaningful reduction in waitlist mortality. These data provide estimates of the reduction in mortality risk associated with improvements in LFI that can be used to assess the effectiveness of interventions targeting physical frailty in patients with cirrhosis.

The impact of right atrial pressure on outcomes in patients undergoing TIPS, an ALTA group study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Single-center studies in patients undergoing TIPS suggest that elevated right atrial pressure (RAP) may influence survival. We assessed the impact of pre-TIPS RAP on outcomes using the Advancing Liver Therapeutic Approaches (ALTA) database. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Total 883 patients in ALTA multicenter TIPS database from 2010 to 2015 from 9 centers with measured pre-TIPS RAP were included. Primary outcome was mortality. Secondary outcomes were 48-hour post-TIPS complications, post-TIPS portal hypertension complications, and post-TIPS inpatient admission for heart failure. Adjusted Cox Proportional hazards and competing risk model with liver transplant as a competing risk were used to assess RAP association with mortality. Restricted cubic splines were used to model nonlinear relationship. Logistic regression was used to assess RAP association with secondary outcomes.Pre-TIPS RAP was independently associated with overall mortality (subdistribution HR: 1.04 per mm Hg, 95% CI, 1.01, 1.08, p =0.009) and composite 48-hour complications. RAP was a predictor of TIPS dysfunction with increased odds of post-90-day paracentesis in outpatient TIPS, hospital admissions for renal dysfunction, and heart failure. Pre-TIPS RAP was positively associated with model for end-stage liver disease, body mass index, Native American and Black race, and lower platelets. CONCLUSIONS: Pre-TIPS RAP is an independent risk factor for overall mortality after TIPS insertion. Higher pre-TIPS RAP increased the odds of early complications and overall portal hypertensive complications as potential mechanisms for the mortality impact.

The liver frailty index is a predictor of healthcare utilization after liver transplantation in older adults.

BACKGROUND: Older adults have higher healthcare utilization after liver transplantation (LT), yet objective risk stratification tools in this population are lacking. We evaluated the Liver Frailty Index (LFI) as one potential tool. METHODS: Ambulatory LT candidates ≥65 years without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) who underwent LT from 1/2012 to 6/2022 at 8 U.S. centers were included. Estimates of the difference in median using quantile regression were used to assess the adjusted association between LFI and hospitalized days within 90 days post-LT. RESULTS: Of 131 LT recipients, median (interquartile range [IQR]) (1st -3rd quartiles) age was 68 years (66-70); median pre-LT MELD-Na was 19 (15-24). Median LFI was 4.1 (3.6-4.7); 27% were frail (LFI≥4.5). Median hospitalized days within 90 days post-LT was 11 (7-20). Compared with non-frail patients, frail patients were hospitalized for a median of 5 days longer post-LT (95% CI .30-9.7, p = .04). Each .5 unit increase in pre-LT LFI was associated with an increase of 1.16 days (95%CI .42-2.69, p = .02) in hospitalized days post-LT. CONCLUSION: Among older adults undergoing LT, frailty was associated with more hospitalized days within 90 days after LT. The LFI can identify older adults who might benefit from pre-LT or early post-LT programs which may reduce post-LT healthcare utilization, such as early rehabilitation or post-hospital discharge programs.

Association of body mass index with post-liver transplant outcomes.

BACKGROUND: Patients with obesity have inferior outcomes after general surgery procedures, but studies evaluating post-liver transplant (LT) outcomes have been limited by small sample sizes or lack of granularity of outcomes. We evaluated the relationship between obesity and post-LT outcomes, including those observed in other populations to be obesity-related. METHODS: Included were 1357 LT recipients prospectively enrolled in the ambulatory pre-LT setting at 8 U.S. CENTERS: Recipient were categorized by body mass index (BMI, kg/m2 ): non-obese (BMI < 30), class 1 obesity (BMI 30-<35), and classes 2-3 obesity (BMI ≥ 35). Post-transplant complications were compared by BMI using Chi-square and rank-sum testing, logistic regression, Kaplan-Meier curves, and Cox regression. RESULTS: Classes 2-3 obesity was associated with higher adjusted odds than non-obesity of venous thrombosis [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 2.06, 95% CI 1.01-4.23, p = .047] and wound dehiscence (aOR 2.45, 95% CI 1.19-5.06, p = .02). Compared with non-obese recipients, post-LT hospital stay was significantly longer for recipients with classes 2-3 obesity [p = .01; median (Q1-Q3) 9 (6-14) vs. 8 (6-12) days) or class 1 obesity [p = .002; 9 (6-14) vs. 8 (6-11) days].  Likelihood of ICU readmission, infection, discharge to a non-home facility, rejection, 30-day readmission, and 1-year readmission were similar across BMI categories (all p > .05). CONCLUSION: Compared to non-obese recipients, obese recipients had similar post-LT survival but longer hospital stay and higher likelihood of wound dehiscence and venous thrombosis. These findings underscore that obesity alone should not preclude LT, but recipients with obesity should be monitored for obesity-related complications such as wound dehiscence and venous thrombosis.

Addressing sex-based disparities in solid organ transplantation in the United States - a conference report.

Solid organ transplantation provides the best treatment for end-stage organ failure, but significant sex-based disparities in transplant access exist. On June 25, 2021, a virtual multidisciplinary conference was convened to address sex-based disparities in transplantation. Common themes contributing to sex-based disparities were noted across kidney, liver, heart, and lung transplantation, specifically the existence of barriers to referral and wait listing for women, the pitfalls of using serum creatinine, the issue of donor/recipient size mismatch, approaches to frailty and a higher prevalence of allosensitization among women. In addition, actionable solutions to improve access to transplantation were identified, including alterations to the current allocation system, surgical interventions on donor organs, and the incorporation of objective frailty metrics into the evaluation process. Key knowledge gaps and high-priority areas for future investigation were also discussed.

Evaluation of recipients with significant comorbidity - Patients with cardiovascular disease.

Liver transplant(ation) (LT) is the most effective treatment for patients with decompensated liver disease. The increasing prevalence of obesity and type 2 diabetes and the growing number of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease being evaluated for LT, have resulted in a greater proportion of LT candidates presenting with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease. As cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality after LT, a thorough cardiovascular evaluation pre-LT is crucial. In this review, we discuss the latest evidence on the cardiovascular evaluation of LT candidates and we focus on the most prevalent conditions, namely ischaemic heart disease, atrial fibrillation and other arrhythmias, valvular heart disease, and cardiomyopathies. LT candidates undergo an electrocardiogram, a resting transthoracic echocardiography and an assessment of their cardiopulmonary functional ability as part of their standardised pre-LT work-up. Further diagnostic work-up is undertaken based on the results of the baseline evaluation and may include a coronary computed tomography angiography in patients with cardiovascular risk factors. The evaluation of potential LT candidates for cardiovascular disease requires a multidisciplinary approach, with input from anaesthetists, cardiologists, hepatologists and transplant surgeons.

Pregnancy Outcomes in Women With Autoimmune Hepatitis - A Nationwide Population-based Cohort Study With Histopathology.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) is a chronic inflammatory liver condition that predominantly affects women. However, pregnancy risks remain unclear. METHODS: A nationwide population-based cohort study (ESPRESSO) in Sweden from 1992 to 2016 including 309 singleton births in women with AIH and 1532 matched births in women from the general population was performed. AIH was diagnosed as a combination of administrative coding from medical diagnosis of AIH and liver biopsy data from Sweden's 28 pathology departments. Using conditional logistic regression, odds ratios (ORs) for adverse pregnancy outcomes were determined. RESULTS: Among 306 live births to women with AIH, 51 (16.7%) were preterm, compared with 70 of 1524 (4.6%) reference births. This corresponded to an OR of 5.10 for preterm birth (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.29-7.92), with similar odds using sibling comparators. Women with AIH with and without cirrhosis had similar odds for preterm birth. The AIH association was particularly strong with medically indicated preterm birth (OR, 13.01; 95% CI, 5.50-30.79). AIH was associated with low birth weight (OR, 5.31; 95% CI, 2.82-9.99) and low 5-minute Apgar score (OR, 3.46; 95% CI, 1.14-10.49) offspring, but we found no association with congenital malformations (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.68-1.91), small for gestational age (OR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.38-2.85), stillbirth (OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.02-18.88), or neonatal death (OR, 7.42; 95% CI, 0.65-84.25). Maternal AIH was linked to an increased odds of cesarean section (OR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.04-2.00) and preeclampsia (OR, 3.65; 95% CI, 2.01-6.64), but not to gestational diabetes. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal AIH was associated with a 5-fold higher odds of preterm birth, and cirrhosis at diagnosis did not add to the impact of AIH on preterm birth. Future studies are needed to understand how to reduce this risk.

Outcomes in liver transplant recipients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease-related HCC: results from the US multicenter HCC transplant consortium.

NAFLD will soon be the most common indication for liver transplantation (LT). In NAFLD, HCC may occur at earlier stages of fibrosis and present with more advanced tumor stage, raising concern for aggressive disease. Thus, adult LT recipients with HCC from 20 US centers transplanted between 2002 and 2013 were analyzed to determine whether NAFLD impacts recurrence-free post-LT survival. Five hundred and thirty-eight (10.8%) of 4981 total patients had NAFLD. Patients with NAFLD were significantly older (63 vs. 58, p<0.001), had higher body mass index (30.5 vs. 27.4, p<0.001), and were more likely to have diabetes (57.3% vs. 28.8%, p<0.001). Patients with NAFLD were less likely to receive pre-LT locoregional therapy (63.6% vs. 72.9%, p<0.001), had higher median lab MELD (15 vs. 13, p<0.001) and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (3.8 vs. 2.9, p<0.001), and were more likely to have their maximum pre-LT alpha fetoprotein at time of LT (44.1% vs. 36.1%, p<0.001). NAFLD patients were more likely to have an incidental HCC on explant (19.4% vs. 10.4%, p<0.001); however, explant characteristics including tumor differentiation and vascular invasion were not different between groups. Comparing NAFLD and non-NAFLD patients, the 1, 3, and 5-year cumulative incidence of recurrence (3.1%, 9.1%, 11.5% vs. 4.9%, 10.1%, 12.6%, p=0.36) and recurrence-free survival rates (87%, 76%, and 67% vs. 87%, 75%, and 67%, p=0.97) were not different. In competing risks analysis, NAFLD did not significantly impact recurrence in univariable (HR: 0.88, p=0.36) nor in adjusted analysis (HR: 0.91, p=0.49). With NAFLD among the most common causes of HCC and poised to become the leading indication for LT, a better understanding of disease-specific models to predict recurrence is needed. In this NAFLD cohort, incidental HCCs were common, raising concerns about early detection. However, despite less locoregional therapy and high neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, explant tumor characteristics and post-transplant recurrence-free survival were not different compared to non-NAFLD patients.

Development and validation of a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE) following liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: Analysis of the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium.

HCC recurrence following liver transplantation (LT) is highly morbid and occurs despite strict patient selection criteria. Individualized prediction of post-LT HCC recurrence risk remains an important need. Clinico-radiologic and pathologic data of 4981 patients with HCC undergoing LT from the US Multicenter HCC Transplant Consortium (UMHTC) were analyzed to develop a REcurrent Liver cAncer Prediction ScorE (RELAPSE). Multivariable Fine and Gray competing risk analysis and machine learning algorithms (Random Survival Forest and Classification and Regression Tree models) identified variables to model HCC recurrence. RELAPSE was externally validated in 1160 HCC LT recipients from the European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant study group. Of 4981 UMHTC patients with HCC undergoing LT, 71.9% were within Milan criteria, 16.1% were initially beyond Milan criteria with 9.4% downstaged before LT, and 12.0% had incidental HCC on explant pathology. Overall and recurrence-free survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 89.7%, 78.6%, and 69.8% and 86.8%, 74.9%, and 66.7%, respectively, with a 5-year incidence of HCC recurrence of 12.5% (median 16 months) and non-HCC mortality of 20.8%. A multivariable model identified maximum alpha-fetoprotein (HR = 1.35 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.22-1.50, p < 0.001), neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (HR = 1.16 per-log SD, 95% CI,1.04-1.28, p < 0.006), pathologic maximum tumor diameter (HR = 1.53 per-log SD, 95% CI, 1.35-1.73, p < 0.001), microvascular (HR = 2.37, 95%-CI, 1.87-2.99, p < 0.001) and macrovascular (HR = 3.38, 95% CI, 2.41-4.75, p < 0.001) invasion, and tumor differentiation (moderate HR = 1.75, 95% CI, 1.29-2.37, p < 0.001; poor HR = 2.62, 95% CI, 1.54-3.32, p < 0.001) as independent variables predicting post-LT HCC recurrence (C-statistic = 0.78). Machine learning algorithms incorporating additional covariates improved prediction of recurrence (Random Survival Forest C-statistic = 0.81). Despite significant differences in European Hepatocellular Cancer Liver Transplant recipient radiologic, treatment, and pathologic characteristics, external validation of RELAPSE demonstrated consistent 2- and 5-year recurrence risk discrimination (AUCs 0.77 and 0.75, respectively). We developed and externally validated a RELAPSE score that accurately discriminates post-LT HCC recurrence risk and may allow for individualized post-LT surveillance, immunosuppression modification, and selection of high-risk patients for adjuvant therapies.

Improving the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium by incorporating kidney dysfunction types.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We investigated the impact of the inclusion of kidney dysfunction type on the discrimination and calibration of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease with sodium (MELD-Na-KT) score. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We included all adults listed for ≥90 days without exception points from January 1, 2008, through December 31, 2018. We defined kidney dysfunction types as follows: acute kidney disease (AKD; an increase of ≥0.3 mg/dL or ≥50% in serum creatinine in the last 7 days or fewer than 72 days of hemodialysis), chronic kidney disease (CKD; an estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 ml/min/1.73 m2  for 90 days or ≥72 days of hemodialysis), AKD on CKD (met both definitions), or none (met neither definition). We then developed and validated a multivariable survival model with follow-up beginning at the first assessment after 90 days from waitlist registration and ending at the time of death, waitlist removal, or 90 days from enrollment in this study. The predictor variables were MELD-Na and the derived MELD-Na-KT model. In the derivation cohort, kidney dysfunction type was significantly associated with waitlist mortality after controlling for MELD-Na. There was a significant linear interaction between kidney dysfunction type and MELD-Na score. In the validation cohort, we saw an improvement in the discrimination of the model with an increase in the c-index from 0.76 with MELD-Na to 0.78 with MELD-Na-KT (p = 0.002) and a net reclassification index of 10.8% (95% CI, 1.9%-11.4%). The newly derived MELD-Na-KT model had lower Brier scores (MELD-Na-KT 0.042 vs. MELD-Na 0.053). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates the feasibility and the potential for objectively defined kidney dysfunction types to enhance the prognostication of waitlist mortality provided by the MELD-Na score.