A Prism Vote method for individualized risk prediction of traits in genotype data of Multi-population.

Multi-population cohorts offer unprecedented opportunities for profiling disease risk in large samples, however, heterogeneous risk effects underlying complex traits across populations make integrative prediction challenging. In this study, we propose a novel Bayesian probability framework, the Prism Vote (PV), to construct risk predictions in heterogeneous genetic data. The PV views the trait of an individual as a composite risk from subpopulations, in which stratum-specific predictors can be formed in data of more homogeneous genetic structure. Since each individual is described by a composition of subpopulation memberships, the framework enables individualized risk characterization. Simulations demonstrated that the PV framework applied with alternative prediction methods significantly improved prediction accuracy in mixed and admixed populations. The advantage of PV enlarges as genetic heterogeneity and sample size increase. In two real genome-wide association data consists of multiple populations, we showed that the framework considerably enhanced prediction accuracy of the linear mixed model in five-group cross validations. The proposed method offers a new aspect to analyze individual's disease risk and improve accuracy for predicting complex traits in genotype data.

Association of healthy lifestyle behaviours with incident irritable bowel syndrome: a large population-based prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the association between healthy lifestyle behaviours and the incidence of irritable bowel syndrome (IBS). DESIGN: Population-based prospective cohort study. SETTING: The UK Biobank. PARTICIPANTS: 64 268 adults aged 37 to 73 years who had no IBS diagnosis at baseline were enrolled between 2006 and 2010 and followed up to 2022. MAIN EXPOSURE: The five healthy lifestyle behaviours studied were never smoking, optimal sleep, high level of vigorous physical activity, high dietary quality and moderate alcohol intake. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: The incidence of IBS. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 12.6 years, 961 (1.5%) incident IBS cases were recorded. Among the 64 268 participants (mean age 55.9 years, 35 342 (55.0%) female, 7604 (11.8%) reported none of the five healthy lifestyle behaviours, 20 662 (32.1%) reported 1 behaviour, 21 901 (34.1%) reported 2 behaviours and 14 101 (21.9%) reported 3 to 5 behaviours at baseline. The multivariable adjusted hazard ratios associated with having 1, 2 and 3 to 5 behaviours for IBS incidence were 0.79 (95% confidence intervals 0.65 to 0.96), 0.64 (0.53 to 0.78) and 0.58 (0.46 to 0.72), respectively (P for trend <0.001). Never smoking (0.86, 0.76 to 0.98, P=0.02), high level of vigorous physical activity (0.83, 0.73 to 0.95, P=0.006) and optimal sleep (0.73, 0.60 to 0.88, P=0.001) demonstrated significant independent inverse associations with IBS incidence. No significant interactions were observed between these associations and age, sex, employment status, geographic location, gastrointestinal infection, endometriosis, family history of IBS or lifestyle behaviours. CONCLUSIONS: Adhering to a higher number of healthy lifestyle behaviours is significantly associated with a lower incidence of IBS in the general population. Our findings suggest the potential of lifestyle modifications as a primary prevention strategy for IBS.

Predictive utility of remnant cholesterol in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Remnant cholesterol (RC) is the cholesterol carried in lipoproteins derived from the catabolism of chylomicrons and very low-density lipoproteins. Evidence supporting the causal relationship of RC with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASVD) is accumulating rapidly. The number of impactful contributions to this field are increasing and provide a pathophysiological insight into the current residual cardiovascular risk beyond low-density cholesterol (LDL)-cholesterol (LDL-C). They also raise the question of whether RC should be used in prediction models and become the target of new therapeutic interventions. The intent of this review is to highlight the recent advances on the role of RC in atherogenesis and the validation of RC as a predictor of ASVD. RECENT FINDINGS: Numerous prospective and retrospective cohorts helped validate a significant causal relationship of RC with various forms of ASVD, independent of LDL-C. A recent large Mendelian randomization study reinforced the existence of this relationship and showed that the risk of atherosclerotic events was driven nearly entirely by a direct effect of RC. SUMMARY: Both available and accumulating evidence suggest that a lifelong reduction in RC could translate into a substantial reduction in ASVD risk. The data support a revision of current guidelines to incorporate RC as an independent risk factor for ASVD. We propose that early screening of RC should be implemented and that RC lowering should become the target of future drug developments.

Immune modulation by rural exposures and allergy protection.

BACKGROUND: Growing up on traditional farms protects children from the development of asthma and allergies. However, we have identified distinct asthma-protective factors, such as poultry exposure. This study aims to examine the biological effect of rural exposure in China. METHODS: We recruited 67 rural children (7.4 ± 0.9 years) and 79 urban children (6.8 ± 0.6 years). Depending on the personal history of exposure to domestic poultry (DP), rural children were further divided into those with DP exposure (DP+ , n = 30) and those without (DP- , n = 37). Blood samples were collected to assess differential cell counts and expression of immune-related genes. Dust samples were collected from poultry stables inside rural households. In vivo activities of nasal administration of DP dust extracts were tested in an ovalbumin-induced asthma model. RESULTS: There was a stepwise increase in the percentage of eosinophils (%) from rural DP+ children (median = 1.65, IQR = [1.28, 3.75]) to rural DP- children (3.40, [1.70, 6.50]; DP+ vs. DP- , p = .087) and to the highest of their urban counterparts (4.00, [2.00, 7.25]; urban vs. DP+ , p = .017). Similarly, rural children exhibited reduced mRNA expression of immune markers, both at baseline and following lipopolysaccharide (LPS) stimulation. Whereas LPS stimulation induced increased secretion of Th1 and proinflammatory cytokines in rural DP+ children compared to rural DP- children and urban children. Bronchoalveolar lavage of mice with intranasal instillation of dust extracts from DP household showed a significant decrease in eosinophils as compared to those of control mice (p < .05). Furthermore, DP dust strongly inhibited gene expression of Th2 signature cytokines and induced IL-17 expression in the murine asthma model. CONCLUSIONS: Immune responses of rural children were dampened compared to urban children and those exposed to DP had further downregulated immune responsiveness. DP dust extracts ameliorated Th2-driven allergic airway inflammation in mice. Determining active protective components in the rural environment may provide directions for the development of primary prevention of asthma.

Artificial Intelligence-Driven Morphology-Based Enrichment of Malignant Cells from Body Fluid.

Cell morphology is a fundamental feature used to evaluate patient specimens in pathologic analysis. However, traditional cytopathology analysis of patient effusion samples is limited by low tumor cell abundance coupled with the high background of nonmalignant cells, restricting the ability of downstream molecular and functional analyses to identify actionable therapeutic targets. We applied the Deepcell platform that combines microfluidic sorting, brightfield imaging, and real-time deep learning interpretations based on multidimensional morphology to enrich carcinoma cells from malignant effusions without cell staining or labels. Carcinoma cell enrichment was validated with whole genome sequencing and targeted mutation analysis, which showed a higher sensitivity for detection of tumor fractions and critical somatic variant mutations that were initially at low levels or undetectable in presort patient samples. Our study demonstrates the feasibility and added value of supplementing traditional morphology-based cytology with deep learning, multidimensional morphology analysis, and microfluidic sorting.

Multi-omic analysis suggests tumor suppressor genes evolved specific promoter features to optimize cancer resistance.

Tumor suppressor genes (TSGs) exhibit distinct evolutionary features. We speculated that TSG promoters could have evolved specific features that facilitate their tumor-suppressing functions. We found that the promoter CpG dinucleotide frequencies of TSGs are significantly higher than that of non-cancer genes across vertebrate genomes, and positively correlated with gene expression across tissue types. The promoter CpG dinucleotide frequencies of all genes gradually increase with gene age, for which young TSGs have been subject to a stronger evolutionary pressure. Transcription-related features, namely chromatin accessibility, methylation and ZNF263-, SP1-, E2F4- and SP2-binding elements, are associated with gene expression. Moreover, higher promoter CpG dinucleotide frequencies and chromatin accessibility are positively associated with the ability of TSGs to resist downregulation during tumorigenesis. These results were successfully validated with independent datasets. In conclusion, TSGs evolved specific promoter features that optimized cancer resistance through achieving high expression in normal tissues and resistance to downregulation during tumorigenesis.

Lysosome activation in peripheral blood mononuclear cells and prognostic significance of circulating LC3B in COVID-19.

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has spread rapidly worldwide, causing significant mortality. There is a mechanistic relationship between intracellular coronavirus replication and deregulated autophagosome-lysosome system. We performed transcriptome analysis of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) from COVID-19 patients and identified the aberrant upregulation of genes in the lysosome pathway. We further determined the capability of two circulating markers, namely microtubule-associated proteins 1A/1B light chain 3B (LC3B) and (p62/SQSTM1) p62, both of which depend on lysosome for degradation, in predicting the emergence of moderate-to-severe disease in COVID-19 patients requiring hospitalization for supplemental oxygen therapy. Logistic regression analyses showed that LC3B was associated with moderate-to-severe COVID-19, independent of age, sex and clinical risk score. A decrease in LC3B concentration <5.5 ng/ml increased the risk of oxygen and ventilatory requirement (adjusted odds ratio: 4.6; 95% CI: 1.1-22.0; P = 0.04). Serum concentrations of p62 in the moderate-to-severe group were significantly lower in patients aged 50 or below. In conclusion, lysosome function is deregulated in PBMCs isolated from COVID-19 patients, and the related biomarker LC3B may serve as a novel tool for stratifying patients with moderate-to-severe COVID-19 from those with asymptomatic or mild disease. COVID-19 patients with a decrease in LC3B concentration <5.5 ng/ml will require early hospital admission for supplemental oxygen therapy and other respiratory support.

Excess risk for acute myocardial infarction mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic.

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a detrimental impact on the healthcare system. Our study armed to assess the extent and the disparity in excess acute myocardial infarction (AMI)-associated mortality during the pandemic, through the recent Omicron outbreak. Using data from the CDC's National Vital Statistics System, we identified 1 522 669 AMI-associated deaths occurring between 4/1/2012 and 3/31/2022. Accounting for seasonality, we compared age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) for AMI-associated deaths between prepandemic and pandemic periods, including observed versus predicted ASMR, and examined temporal trends by demographic groups and region. Before the pandemic, AMI-associated mortality rates decreased across all subgroups. These trends reversed during the pandemic, with significant rises seen for the youngest-aged females and males even through the most recent period of the Omicron surge (10/2021-3/2022). The SAPC in the youngest and middle-age group in AMI-associated mortality increased by 5.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6%-9.1%) and 3.4% (95% CI: 0.1%-6.8%), respectively. The excess death, defined as the difference between the observed and the predicted mortality rates, was most pronounced for the youngest (25-44 years) aged decedents, ranging from 23% to 34% for the youngest compared to 13%-18% for the oldest age groups. The trend of mortality suggests that age and sex disparities have persisted even through the recent Omicron surge, with excess AMI-associated mortality being most pronounced in younger-aged adults.

Comparing the incubation period, serial interval, and infectiousness profile between SARS-CoV-2 Omicron and Delta variants.

In January 2022, the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variants initiated major outbreaks and dominated the transmissions in Hong Kong, displacing an earlier outbreak seeded by the Delta variants. To provide insight into the transmission potential of the emerging variants, we aimed to compare the epidemiological characteristics of the Omicron and Delta variants. We analyzed the line-list clinical and contact tracing data of the SARS-CoV-2 confirmed cases in Hong Kong. Transmission pairs were constructed based on the individual contact history. We fitted bias-controlled models to the data to estimate the serial interval, incubation period and infectiousness profile of the two variants. Viral load data were extracted and fitted to the random effect models to investigate the potential risk modifiers for the clinical viral shedding course. Totally 14 401 confirmed cases were reported between January 1 and February 15, 2022. The estimated mean serial interval (4.4 days vs. 5.8 days) and incubation period (3.4 days vs. 3.8 days) were shorter for the Omicron than the Delta variants. A larger proportion of presymptomatic transmission was observed for the Omicron (62%) compared to the Delta variants (48%). The Omicron cases had higher mean viral load over an infection course than the Delta cases, with the elder cases appearing more infectious than the younger cases for both variants. The epidemiological features of Omicron variants were likely an obstacle to contact tracing measures, imposed as a major intervention in settings like Hong Kong. Continuously monitoring the epidemiological feature for any emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants in the future is needed to assist officials in planning measures for COVID-19 control.

Bimekizumab efficacy and safety in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis who switched from adalimumab, ustekinumab or secukinumab: results from phase III/IIIb trials.

BACKGROUND: Discontinuation of biologics is common among patients with psoriasis due to treatment failure or adverse events. To achieve improvements in disease management, patients and clinicians may choose to switch biologics. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of switching to bimekizumab from adalimumab, ustekinumab and secukinumab. METHODS: Data are reported for up to 80 weeks after patients switched to bimekizumab from adalimumab at week 24 in BE SURE, ustekinumab at week 52 in BE VIVID [upon entry into the BE BRIGHT open-label extension (OLE)] and secukinumab at week 48 in BE RADIANT (upon entry into the BE RADIANT OLE). Efficacy outcomes are reported by number of weeks after switching to bimekizumab and were split based on whether patients had achieved a ≥ 90% improvement from baseline in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 90) at the time of switch. Treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) are reported using exposure-adjusted incidence rates (EAIRs) per 100 patient-years. Trial registration: BE SURE (NCT03412747), BE VIVID (NCT03370133), BE BRIGHT (NCT03598790), BE RADIANT (NCT03536884). RESULTS: Rapid and durable improvements in clinical responses and benefits in health-related quality of life were observed among PASI 90 nonresponders who switched to bimekizumab. Most PASI 90 nonresponders achieved PASI 90 4 weeks after switching to bimekizumab from adalimumab (67%), ustekinumab (79%) and secukinumab (53%). After 48 weeks of bimekizumab, 91%, 90% and 79% of PASI 90 nonresponders had achieved PASI 90 after switching from adalimumab, ustekinumab or secukinumab, respectively. Durable improvements were also observed for PASI 100, Investigator's Global Assessment score 0/1, body surface area affected by psoriasis ≤ 1%, absolute PASI ≤ 2, and Dermatology Life Quality Index 0/1. Among PASI 90 responders, existing treatment responses were maintained or improved after switching to bimekizumab. The majority of TEAEs were mild or moderate. EAIRs were generally similar between active-comparator treatment periods and after switching to bimekizumab. EAIRs typically decreased with a longer duration of bimekizumab exposure. CONCLUSIONS: High proportions of patients who did not adequately respond to adalimumab, ustekinumab or secukinumab achieved high levels of skin clearance after switching to bimekizumab. Bimekizumab was well tolerated and there were no new safety findings.

Bimekizumab maintenance of response through 3†years in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis: results from the BE BRIGHT open-label extension trial.

BACKGROUND: Given the chronic nature of psoriasis and the loss of response that can be observed with therapies over time, it is important to understand the long-term efficacy of new treatments. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate maintenance of Week 16 responses with bimekizumab (BKZ) treatment through Year 3, in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. METHODS: Data were pooled from BKZ-treated patients in the 52-week (BE VIVID) and 56-week (BE READY and BE SURE) phase III studies, and their ongoing open-label extension (OLE), BE BRIGHT. Efficacy outcomes are reported through 3 years of BKZ treatment in patients with an efficacy response at Week 16. Missing data were imputed primarily using modified nonresponder imputation (mNRI), with nonresponder imputation and observed case data also reported. RESULTS: A total of 989 patients were randomized to BKZ at baseline in BE VIVID, BE READY and BE SURE. At Week 16, 693 patients achieved ≥ 90% reduction from baseline in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI 90), 503 achieved 100% reduction from baseline in PASI (PASI 100), 694 achieved absolute PASI ≤ 2 and 597 achieved body surface area (BSA) ≤ 1%, and continued into the OLE. Of these, 93.0% maintained PASI 90, 80.8% maintained PASI 100, 94.0% maintained PASI ≤ 2 and 90.3% maintained BSA ≤ 1% responses through to 3 years of BKZ treatment (mNRI). Among Week 16 PASI 90 responders, 96.8% and 72.5% also achieved Investigator's Global Assessment 0/1 and PASI 100 at Week 16, respectively, and 92.2% and 73.4% achieved these responses at Year 3 (mNRI). Among Week 16 PASI 100 responders, 76.3% also achieved Dermatology Life Quality Index (DLQI) 0/1 at Week 16, and DLQI 0/1 response increased with continuous BKZ treatment to 89.0% at Year 3 (mNRI). CONCLUSIONS: High levels of clinical response were maintained through to 3 years of BKZ treatment in the vast majority of Week 16 responders. Long-term treatment with BKZ was efficacious, with important benefits for health-related quality of life, in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis.

Safety and efficacy of bimekizumab through 2 years in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis: longer-term results from the BE SURE randomized controlled trial and the open-label extension from the BE BRIGHT trial.

BACKGROUND: BE SURE 1-year results demonstrated the superior efficacy of bimekizumab compared with adalimumab with no unexpected safety findings. OBJECTIVES: To provide efficacy and safety data over 2 years of bimekizumab treatment compared with adalimumab from BE SURE and the BE BRIGHT open-label extension (OLE) in patients with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis. METHODS: The 56-week double-blinded BE SURE phase III randomized controlled trial randomized patients 1 : 1 : 1 to bimekizumab 320 mg every 4 weeks (Q4W), bimekizumab 320 mg Q4W to week 16 then every 8 weeks (Q8W), or adalimumab 40 mg every 2 weeks to week 24 then bimekizumab 320 mg Q4W. After completing BE SURE, patients could enter the ongoing BE BRIGHT OLE, with possible dosing adjustments based on Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI). The primary outcome in BE BRIGHT was incidence of treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs); safety data are reported by study period through week 104. Efficacy data are reported for the intention-to-treat population through week 104 by initial randomization group, with ≥ 90% improvement from baseline PASI (PASI 90) and 100% improvement (PASI 100) as key outcomes. RESULTS: Of the patients randomized to bimekizumab, 158 were assigned to Q4W, and 161 to Q4W/Q8W. At week 104, PASI 90 was achieved by 91.2% and 89.7%, and PASI 100 was achieved by 72.3% and 68.1%, for Q4W and Q4W/Q8W, respectively; comparable to week 16 results. Among the 159 patients randomized to adalimumab, responses rapidly and substantially increased after the week 24 bimekizumab switch; at week 104, 96.9% and 70.2% of patients achieved PASI 90 and PASI 100 respectively. Through weeks 24-104, the three most common TEAEs in any bimekizumab-treated group were nasopharyngitis, oral candidiasis and upper respiratory tract infection. Rates of serious TEAEs were low. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical responses observed through week 16 of BE SURE in patients randomized to bimekizumab were sustained through 104 weeks of treatment, regardless of Q4W or Q8W maintenance dosing. Response rates were also sustained through week 104 in patients who switched from adalimumab to bimekizumab at week 24, and were similar to those observed in the bimekizumab groups. Bimekizumab was well tolerated with no new safety signals.

Characterizing superspreading potential of infectious disease: Decomposition of individual transmissibility.

In the context of infectious disease transmission, high heterogeneity in individual infectiousness indicates that a few index cases can generate large numbers of secondary cases, a phenomenon commonly known as superspreading. The potential of disease superspreading can be characterized by describing the distribution of secondary cases (of each seed case) as a negative binomial (NB) distribution with the dispersion parameter, k. Based on the feature of NB distribution, there must be a proportion of individuals with individual reproduction number of almost 0, which appears restricted and unrealistic. To overcome this limitation, we generalized the compound structure of a Poisson rate and included an additional parameter, and divided the reproduction number into independent and additive fixed and variable components. Then, the secondary cases followed a Delaporte distribution. We demonstrated that the Delaporte distribution was important for understanding the characteristics of disease transmission, which generated new insights distinct from the NB model. By using real-world dataset, the Delaporte distribution provides improvements in describing the distributions of COVID-19 and SARS cases compared to the NB distribution. The model selection yielded increasing statistical power with larger sample sizes as well as conservative type I error in detecting the improvement in fitting with the likelihood ratio (LR) test. Numerical simulation revealed that the control strategy-making process may benefit from monitoring the transmission characteristics under the Delaporte framework. Our findings highlighted that for the COVID-19 pandemic, population-wide interventions may control disease transmission on a general scale before recommending the high-risk-specific control strategies.

Association of spirometric restriction with mortality in the silicotics: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Restrictive spirometry pattern (RSP), defined as reduced forced vital capacity (FVC) in absence of airflow obstruction (AFO), is associated with increased risk of mortality in general population. However, evidence in the patients with silicosis is limited. This study was aimed to investigate the relationship between RSP and the risk of death in a silicotic cohort. METHOD: This retrospective cohort study used data from the Pneumoconiosis Clinic, Hong Kong Department of Health that containing 4315 patients aged 18-80 years and diagnosed with silicosis during 1981-2019, with a follow-up till 31 December 2019. Spirometry was carried out at the diagnostic examination of silicosis. Lung function categories were classified as normal spirometry (FEV1/FVC ≥ 0.7, FVC ≥ 80% predicted), RSP only (FEV1/FVC ≥ 0.7, FVC < 80% predicted), AFO only (FEV1/FVC < 0.7, FVC ≥ 80% predicted), and RSP&AFO mixed (FEV1/FVC < 0.7, FVC < 80% predicted). The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were computed using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusting for age, body mass index, history of tuberculosis, smoking status, pack-years, and radiographic characteristics of silicotic nodules. RESULTS: Among the 4315 patients enrolled in the study, the prevalence of RSP was 24.1% (n = 1038), including 11.0% (n = 473) with RSP only and 13.1% (n = 565) with mixed RSP and AFO. During the follow-up period, a total of 2399 (55.6%) deaths were observed. Compared with the silicotics with normal spirometry, those with RSP only had significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR = 1.63, 95% CI 1.44-1.85) and respiratory-related mortality (HR = 1.56, 95% CI 1.31-1.85). Notably, a higher risk of mortality was observed in silicotics with mixed ventilatory defects of both RSP and AFO (all-cause mortality: HR = 2.22, 95% CI 1.95-2.52; respiratory-related mortality: HR = 2.59, 95% CI 2.18-3.07) than in those with RSP only. CONCLUSION: RSP is significantly associated with increased risk of all-cause and respiratory-related mortality in the silicotics, and patients with mixed restrictive and obstructive ventilatory defect have higher risk of mortality than those with single RSP or AFO. These findings emphasize the importance of recognizing RSP in the occupational settings, especially for the silicotic patients with mixed ventilatory defect.

Bimekizumab versus ustekinumab for the treatment of moderate to severe plaque psoriasis (BE VIVID): efficacy and safety from a 52-week, multicentre, double-blind, active comparator and placebo controlled phase 3 trial.

BACKGROUND: There is an unmet need for a treatment for psoriasis that results in complete skin clearance with a reliably quick response. Bimekizumab is a monoclonal IgG1 antibody that selectively inhibits interleukin (IL)-17F in addition to IL-17A. We aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of bimekizumab with placebo and ustekinumab in patients with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis over 52 weeks. METHODS: BE VIVID was a multicentre, randomised, double-blind, active comparator and placebo controlled phase 3 trial done across 105 sites (clinics, hospitals, research units, and private practices) in 11 countries in Asia, Australia, Europe, and North America. Adults aged 18 years or older with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis (Psoriasis Area and Severity Index [PASI] score ≥12, ≥10% body surface area affected by psoriasis, and Investigator's Global Assessment [IGA] score ≥3 on a five point scale) were included. Randomisation was stratified by geographical region and previous exposure to biologics; patients, investigators, and sponsors were masked to treatment assignment. Patients were randomly assigned (4:2:1) using an interactive response technology to bimekizumab 320 mg every 4 weeks, ustekinumab 45 mg or 90 mg (baseline weight-dependent dosing) at weeks 0 and 4, then every 12 weeks, or placebo every 4 weeks. At week 16, patients receiving placebo switched to bimekizumab 320 mg every 4 weeks. All study treatments were administered as two subcutaneous injections. Coprimary endpoints were the proportion of patients with 90% improvement in the PASI (PASI90) and the proportion of patients with an IGA response of clear or almost clear (score 0 or 1) at week 16 (non-responder imputation). Efficacy analyses included the intention-to-treat population; safety analysis included patients who received at least one dose of study treatment. This trial was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03370133 (completed). FINDINGS: Between Dec 6, 2017, and Dec 13, 2019, 735 patients were screened and 567 were enrolled and randomly assigned (bimekizumab 320 mg every 4 weeks n=321, ustekinumab 45 mg or 90 mg every 12 weeks n=163, placebo n=83). At week 16, 273 (85%) of 321 patients in the bimekizumab group had PASI90 versus 81 (50%) of 163 in the ustekinumab group (risk difference 35 [95% CI 27-43]; p<0·0001) and four (5%) of 83 in the placebo group (risk difference 80 [74-86]; p<0·0001). At week 16, 270 (84%) patients in the bimekizumab group had an IGA response versus 87 (53%) in the ustekinumab group (risk difference 30 [95% CI 22-39]; p<0·0001) and four (5%) in the placebo group (risk difference 79 [73-85]; p<0·0001). Over 52 weeks, serious treatment-emergent adverse events were reported in 24 (6%) of 395 patients in the bimekizumab group (including those who switched from placebo at week 16) and 13 (8%) of 163 in the ustekinumab group. INTERPRETATION: Bimekizumab was more efficacious than ustekinumab and placebo in the treatment of moderate to severe plaque psoriasis. The bimekizumab safety profile was consistent with that observed in previous studies. FUNDING: UCB Pharma.

Poultry exposure and environmental protection against asthma in rural children.

BACKGROUND: Asthma is one of the most common chronic diseases in childhood, and the prevalence has been increasing over the past few decades. One of the most consistent epidemiological findings is that children living in a farming or rural environment are protected from development of asthma and allergies, but the protective factors in rural China are not clear. METHODS: A community-based, cross-sectional epidemiological study was performed in a total of 17,587 children aged 5-8 years, 3435 from Hong Kong (urban) and 14,152 from Conghua (rural county in southern China). Asthma and allergic symptoms as well as environmental exposures were ascertained by using a standardized and validated questionnaire. RESULTS: The prevalence of current wheeze was significantly lower in rural Conghua than that of urban Hong Kong (1.7% vs. 7.7%, p < 0.001). A lower rate of asthma ever was also reported in rural children compared with their urban counterparts (2.5% vs. 5.3%, p < 0.001). After adjusting for confounding factors, exposure to agricultural farming (adjusted odds ratio 0.74, 95% confidence interval: 0.56-0.97) and poultry (0.75, 0.59-0.96) were the most important factors associated with the asthma-protective effect in the rural area. Further propensity score-adjusted analysis indicated that such protection conferred by living in the rural environment was mainly attributable to poultry exposure. CONCLUSIONS: We confirmed that the prevalence of asthma and atopic disorders was significantly lower in rural children when compared with their urban peers. Exposure to poultry and agricultural farming are the most important factors associated with asthma protection in the rural area.

The non-pharmaceutical interventions may affect the advantage in transmission of mutated variants during epidemics: A conceptual model for COVID-19.

As the COVID-19 pandemic continues, genetic mutations in SARS-CoV-2 emerge, and some of them are found more contagious than the previously identified strains, acting as the major mechanism for many large-scale epidemics. The transmission advantage of mutated variants is widely believed as an innate biological feature that is difficult to be altered by artificial factors. In this study, we explore how non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPI) may affect transmission advantage. A two-strain compartmental epidemic model is proposed and simulated to investigate the biological mechanism of the relationships among different NPIs, the changes in transmissibility of each strain and transmission advantage. Although the NPIs are effective in flattening the epidemic curve, we demonstrate that NPIs probably lead to a decline in transmission advantage, which is likely to occur if the NPIs become intensive. Our findings uncover the mechanistic relationship between NPIs and transmission advantage dynamically, and highlight the important role of NPIs not only in controlling the intensity of epidemics but also in slowing or even containing the growth of the proportion of variants.

Atherosclerosis-associated hepatic secretion of VLDL but not PCSK9 is dependent on cargo receptor protein Surf4.

Plasma LDL is produced from catabolism of VLDL and cleared from circulation mainly via the hepatic LDL receptor (LDLR). Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9 (PCSK9) promotes LDLR degradation, increasing plasma LDL-C levels. Circulating PCSK9 is mainly secreted by the liver, whereas VLDL is exclusively secreted by hepatocytes. However, the mechanism regulating their secretion is not completely understood. Surfeit 4 (Surf4) is a cargo receptor localized in the ER membrane. It recruits cargos into coat protein complex II vesicles to facilitate their secretion. Here, we investigated the role of Surf4 in VLDL and PCSK9 secretion. We generated Surf4 liver-specific knockout mice and found that knockout of Surf4 did not affect PCSK9 secretion, whereas it significantly reduced plasma levels of cholesterol, triglyceride, and lipid-binding protein apolipoprotein B (apoB). In cultured human hepatocytes, Surf4 coimmunoprecipitated and colocalized with apolipoprotein B100, and Surf4 silencing reduced secretion of apolipoprotein B100. Furthermore, knockdown of Surf4 in LDLR knockout (Ldlr-/-) mice significantly reduced triglyceride secretion, plasma levels of apoB and non-HDL-C, and the development of atherosclerosis. However, Surf4 liver-specific knockout mice and Surf4 knockdown in Ldlr-/- mice displayed similar levels of liver lipids and plasma alanine aminotransferase activity as control mice, indicating that inhibition of Surf4 does not cause notable liver damage. Expression of stearoyl-CoA desaturase-1 was also reduced in the liver of these mice, suggesting a reduction in de novo lipogenesis. In summary, hepatic deficiency of Surf4 reduced VLDL secretion and the development of atherosclerosis but did not cause significant hepatic lipid accumulation or liver damage.

Spatial and temporal variations in Synechococcus microdiversity in the Southern California coastal ecosystem.

The Synechococcus cyanobacterial population at the Scripps Institution of Oceanography pier in La Jolla, CA, shows large increases in abundance, typically in the spring and summer followed, by rapid declines within weeks. Here we used amplicon sequencing of the ribosomal RNA internal transcribed spacer region to examine the microdiversity within this cyanobacterial genus during these blooms as well as further offshore in the Southern California coastal ecosystem (CCE). These analyses revealed numerous Synechococcus amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) and that clade and ASV composition can change over the course of blooms. We also found that a large bloom in August 2016 was highly anomalous both in its overall Synechococcus abundance and in terms of the presence of normally oligotrophic Synechococcus clade II. The dominant ASVs at the pier were found further offshore and in the California Current, but we did observe more oligotrophic ASVs and clades along with depth variation in Synechococcus diversity. We also observed that the dominant sequence variant switched during the peak of multiple Synechococcus blooms, with this switch occurring in multiple clades, but we present initial evidence that this apparent ASV switch is a physiological response rather than a change in the dominant population.

Shrinkage in serial intervals across transmission generations of COVID-19.

One of the key epidemiological characteristics that shape the transmission of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is the serial interval (SI). Although SI is commonly considered following a probability distribution at a population scale, recent studies reported a slight shrinkage (or contraction) of the mean of effective SI across transmission generations or over time. Here, we develop a likelihood-based statistical inference framework with truncation to explore the change in SI across transmission generations after adjusting the impacts of case isolation. The COVID-19 contact tracing surveillance data in Hong Kong are used for exemplification. We find that for COVID-19, the mean of individual SI is likely to shrink with a factor at 0.72 per generation (95%CI: 0.54, 0.96) as the transmission generation increases, where a threshold may exist as the lower boundary of this shrinking process. We speculate that one of the probable explanations for the shrinkage in SI might be an outcome due to the competition among multiple candidate infectors within the same case cluster. Thus, the nonpharmaceutical interventive strategies are crucially important to block the transmission chains, and mitigate the COVID-19 epidemic.