Association of polygenic scores with chronic kidney disease phenotypes in a longitudinal study of older adults.

Risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) is influenced by environmental and genetic factors and increases sharply in individuals 70 years and older. Polygenic scores (PGS) for kidney disease-related traits have shown promise but require validation in well-characterized cohorts. Here, we assessed the performance of recently developed PGSs for CKD-related traits in a longitudinal cohort of healthy older individuals enrolled in the Australian ASPREE randomized controlled trial of daily low-dose aspirin with CKD risk at baseline and longitudinally. Among 11,813 genotyped participants aged 70 years or more with baseline eGFR measures, we tested associations between PGSs and measured eGFR at baseline, clinical phenotype of CKD, and longitudinal rate of eGFR decline spanning up to six years of follow-up per participant. A PGS for eGFR was associated with baseline eGFR, with a significant decrease of 3.9 mL/min/1.73m2 (95% confidence interval -4.17 to -3.68) per standard deviation (SD) increase of the PGS. This PGS, as well as a PGS for CKD stage 3 were both associated with higher risk of baseline CKD stage 3 in cross-sectional analysis (Odds Ratio 1.75 per SD, 95% confidence interval 1.66-1.85, and Odds Ratio 1.51 per SD, 95% confidence interval 1.43-1.59, respectively). Longitudinally, two separate PGSs for eGFR slope were associated with significant kidney function decline during follow-up. Thus, our study demonstrates that kidney function has a considerable genetic component in older adults, and that new PGSs for kidney disease-related phenotypes may have potential utility for CKD risk prediction in advanced age.

Impact of donor kidney biopsy on kidney yield and posttransplant outcomes.

Procurement biopsy is performed to determine kidney quality, but evidence supporting such association is poor. We investigated the impact of glomerulosclerosis percentage (GS%) on kidney yield and patient outcomes. Information on deceased kidney donors from July 1, 2017, to June 30, 2019, was collected. Association between GS% and kidney yield (number of kidneys procured per donor) and posttransplant graft and patient outcomes were studied. Maximal GS% and minimal GS% were calculated to determine the relationship between GS% and kidney yield; minimal GS% only for correlation with posttransplant outcomes. Multinomial logistic regression and Cox models with least absolute shrinkage and selection operator were used to analyze the association of GS% with kidney yield and posttransplant outcomes, respectively. The kidney yield was 1.63 when maximal GS% and minimal GS% were <5%, but was 0.88 when both GS% were >20%. The hazard ratio for graft failure 1 year after transplant was 1.05 when minimal GS% was 16% to 20%, but was 1.3 for GS% of >20%. The hazard ratio for mortality increased from 1 to 1.2 when minimal GS% reached >20%. In summary, higher GS% was associated with lower kidney yield and inferior posttransplant outcomes. Incorporation of GS% into Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients models may reassure organ procurement organizations and transplant centers pursuing kidneys with relatively high GS% levels, thereby reducing kidney discard rates.

Apixaban Dosing Patterns Versus Warfarin in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Receiving Dialysis: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & OBJECTIVES: Comparison of clinical outcomes across anticoagulation regimens using different apixaban dosing or warfarin is not well-defined in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) who are receiving dialysis. This study compared these outcomes in a US national cohort of patients with kidney failure receiving maintenance dialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients receiving dialysis represented in the US Renal Data System database 2013-2018 who had AF and were treated with apixaban or warfarin. EXPOSURE: First prescribed treatment with apixaban dosed according to the label, apixaban dosed below the label, or warfarin. OUTCOME: Ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards models with inverse probability of treatment weighting. Analyses simulating an intention-to-treat (ITT) approach as well as those incorporating censoring at drug switch or discontinuation (CAS) were also implemented. Inverse probability of censoring weighting was used to account for possible informative censoring. RESULTS: Among 17,156 individuals, there was no difference in risk of stroke/systemic embolism among the label-concordant apixaban, below-label apixaban, and warfarin treatment groups. Both label-concordant (HR, 0.67 [95% CI, 0.55-0.81]) and below-label (HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.55-0.84]) apixaban dosing were associated with a lower risk of major bleeding compared with warfarin in ITT analyses. Compared with label-concordant apixaban, below-label apixaban was not associated with a lower bleeding risk (HR, 1.02 [95% CI, 0.78-1.34]). In the ITT analysis of mortality, label-concordant apixaban dosing was associated with a lower risk versus warfarin (HR, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.78-0.92]) while there was no significant difference in mortality between below-label dosing of apixaban and warfarin (HR, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.89-1.05]). Overall, results were similar for the CAS analyses. LIMITATIONS: Study limited to US Medicare beneficiaries; reliance on administrative claims to ascertain outcomes of AF, stroke, and bleeding; likely residual confounding. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with nonvalvular AF undergoing dialysis, warfarin is associated with an increased risk of bleeding compared with apixaban. The risk of bleeding with below-label apixaban was not detectably less than with label-concordant dosing. Label-concordant apixaban dosing is associated with a mortality benefit compared to warfarin. Label-concordant dosing, rather than reduced-label dosing, may offer the most favorable benefit-risk trade-off for dialysis patients with nonvalvular AF.

Cinacalcet and gastrointestinal bleeding risk in patients receiving hemodialysis.

PURPOSE: Secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) is common among dialysis patients, and calcimimetics are a mainstay of treatment. This study assessed whether cinacalcet use is associated with gastrointestinal bleeding in a large hemodialysis cohort. METHODS: A linked database of clinical records and medical claims for patients receiving hemodialysis in a large dialysis organization, 2007-2010, was used. A nested case-control study was performed among patients aged ≥18 years who had received hemodialysis for ≥90 days, had Medicare Parts A, B, and D coverage for ≥1 year, and had clinical evidence of SHPT (parathyroid hormone >300 pg/mL). Cases were those who experienced death or hospitalization caused by gastrointestinal bleeding. Each case was matched to up to four controls. Exposure was measured by any cinacalcet use, current use, past use, cumulative exposure days, and cumulative dosage. Conditional logistic models were used to assess the association. RESULTS: Of 48 437 patients included, 2570 experienced gastrointestinal bleeding events (2498 non-fatal, 72 fatal), and 2465 (2397 non-fatal, 68 fatal) were matched to 9500 controls; 17.2% of cases and 15.8% of controls had cinacalcet exposure and 11.1% of both cases and controls had current use. The adjusted odds ratios (95% CI) of gastrointestinal bleeding for any use, current use, and past use of cinacalcet were 1.04 (0.91-1.19), 0.97 (0.83-1.13), and 1.22 (0.99-1.50), respectively, with no use as the reference. CONCLUSION: The results do not suggest an elevated risk of gastrointestinal bleeding resulting in hospitalization or death for hemodialysis patients exposed to cinacalcet.

Initial Effects of COVID-19 on Patients with ESKD.

BACKGROUND: Reports from around the world have indicated a fatality rate of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the range of 20%-30% among patients with ESKD. Population-level effects of COVID-19 on patients with ESKD in the United States are uncertain. METHODS: We identified patients with ESKD from Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services data during epidemiologic weeks 3-27 of 2017-2020 and corresponding weeks of 2017-2019, stratifying them by kidney replacement therapy. Outcomes comprised hospitalization for COVID-19, all-cause death, and hospitalization for reasons other than COVID-19. We estimated adjusted relative rates (ARRs) of death and non-COVID-19 hospitalization during epidemiologic weeks 13-27 of 2020 (March 22 to July 4) versus corresponding weeks in 2017-2019. RESULTS: Among patients on dialysis, the rate of COVID-19 hospitalization peaked between March 22 and April 25 2020. Non-Hispanic Black race and Hispanic ethnicity associated with higher rates of COVID-19 hospitalization, whereas peritoneal dialysis was associated with lower rates. During weeks 13-27, ARRs of death in 2020 versus 2017-2019 were 1.17 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.16 to 1.19) and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.24 to 1.36) among patients undergoing dialysis or with a functioning transplant, respectively. Excess mortality was higher among non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and Asian patients. Among patients on dialysis, the rate of non-COVID-19 hospitalization during weeks 13-27 in 2020 was 17% lower versus hospitalization rates for corresponding weeks in 2017-2019. CONCLUSIONS: During the first half of 2020, the clinical outcomes of patients with ESKD were greatly affected by COVID-19, and racial and ethnic disparities were apparent. These findings should be considered in prioritizing administration of COVID-19 vaccination.

Changes in Treatment of Patients with Incident ESKD during the Novel Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic caused major disruptions to care for patients with advanced CKD. METHODS: We investigated the incidence of documented ESKD, ESKD treatment modalities, changes in eGFR at dialysis initiation, and use of incident central venous catheters (CVCs) by epidemiologic week during the first half of 2020 compared with 2017-2019 historical trends, using Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services data. We used Poisson and logistic regression for analyses of incidence and binary outcomes, respectively. RESULTS: Incidence of documented ESKD dropped dramatically in 2020 compared with the expected incidence, particularly during epidemiologic weeks 15-18 (April, incidence rate ratio [IRR], 0.75; 95% CI, 0.73 to 0.78). The decrease was most pronounced for individuals aged ≥75 years (IRR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.66 to 0.73). Pre-emptive kidney transplantation decreased markedly during weeks 15-18 (IRR, 0.56; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.67). Mean eGFR at dialysis initiation decreased by 0.33 ml/min per 1.73 m2 in weeks 19-22; non-Hispanic Black patients exhibited the largest decrease, at 0.61 ml/min per 1.73 m2. The odds of initiating dialysis with eGFR <10 ml/min per 1.73 m2 were highest during weeks 19-22 (May, OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.17), corresponding to an absolute increase of 2.9%. The odds of initiating peritoneal dialysis (versus hemodialysis) were 24% higher (OR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.34) in weeks 11-14, an absolute increase of 2.3%. Initiation with a CVC increased by 3.3% (OR, 1.30; 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.41). CONCLUSIONS: During the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of patients starting treatment for ESKD fell to a level not observed since 2011. Changes in documented ESKD incidence and other aspects of ESKD-related care may reflect differential access to care early in the pandemic.

Subgroup analysis of the ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly randomized clinical trial suggests aspirin did not improve outcomes in older adults with chronic kidney disease.

The role of aspirin for primary prevention in older adults with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unclear. Therefore, post hoc analysis of the randomized controlled trial ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) was undertaken comparing 100 mg of enteric-coated aspirin daily against matching placebo. Participants were community dwelling adults aged 70 years and older in Australia, 65 years and older in the United States, all free of a history of dementia or cardiovascular disease and of any disease expected to lead to death within five years. CKD was defined as present at baseline if either eGFR under 60mL/min/1.73m2 or urine albumin to creatinine ratio 3 mg/mmol or more. In 4758 participants with and 13004 without CKD, the rates of a composite endpoint (dementia, persistent physical disability or death), major adverse cardiovascular events and clinically significant bleeding in the CKD participants were almost double those without CKD. Aspirin's effects as estimated by hazard ratios were generally similar between CKD and non-CKD groups for dementia, persistent physical disability or death, major adverse cardiovascular events and clinically significant bleeding. Thus, in our analysis aspirin did not improve outcomes in older people while increasing the risk of bleeding, with mostly consistent effects in participants with and without CKD.

Development and outcomes of hyperkalemia in hospitalized patients: potential implications for care.

INTRODUCTION: While severe hyperkalemia is commonly encountered, its manifestation in hospitalized patients and related outcomes are unclear. We aimed to examine development of hyperkalemia in hospitalized patients and associated outcomes. METHODS: Data from a county hospital electronic health record were used to assess all inpatient admissions, 2012-2016, for non-dialysis-dependent patients with ≥1 K value for development of hyperkalemia. Unadjusted odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for associations of the maximum K value with in-hospital mortality and adjusted ORs were calculated for death associated with hyperkalemia. RESULTS: In 47,018 individual patient hospitalizations, 1.3% had a maximum K ≥6.0 mEq/L and 4.2% <3.5 mEq/L. Fifth and 95th percentiles for maximum K values were 3.5 and 5.3 mEq/L. For high-K patients with a prior K value, the mean (SD) of the immediate pre-maximum K value was 5.0 ± 1.0 mEq/L, and the mean difference in K values (immediate pre-maximum to maximum) was 1.5 ± 1.1 mEq/L; mean duration between these two K tests was 10.7 ± 14.9 hours. Compared with maximum K values 3.5 to 4.0 mEq/L, ORs for death were 37.1 (95% confidence intervals, 25.8-53.3) for K 6.0 to <6.5, 88.6 (56.8-138.2) for K ≥7.0, and 18.9 (4.3-82.2) for K <3.0 mEq/L. In adjusted models, the OR for death for K ≥6.0 mEq/L was 4.9 (3.7-6.4). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: Peak K values ≥6.0 mEq/L were associated with mortality. Values tended to increase rapidly, limiting opportunities for detection and treatment. Systems-based approaches to detect life-threatening hyperkalemia should be studied.

CKD Progression in Medicare Beneficiaries With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation Treated With Apixaban Versus Warfarin.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Comparing kidney disease progression among patients treated with direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) versus warfarin has not been well studied. We hypothesized that apixaban would be associated with lower risks of progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and progression to incident kidney failure than warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Medicare recipients with stage 3, 4, or 5 CKD and incident AF who received a new prescription for apixaban or warfarin from 2013 through 2017. EXPOSURE: Apixaban or warfarin. OUTCOMES: Progression to incident kidney failure or, separately, to a more advanced stage of CKD. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Marginal structural cause-specific proportional hazards models with inverse probability weighting to estimate marginal hazard ratios (HRs) for each outcome. HRs compared apixaban to warfarin in intention-to-treat and censored-at-drug-switch analyses. RESULTS: 12,816 individuals met inclusion criteria (50.3% received apixaban; 49.7% received warfarin). After weighting, the mean age of the cohort was 80 ± 7 years, 51% were women, and 88% were White. Approximately 84% had stage 3, 15% had stage 4, and 1% had stage 5 CKD. In the intention-to-treat analysis, apixaban, relative to warfarin, was associated with an HR of developing incident kidney failure of 0.98 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.79-1.22) and of CKD stage progression of 0.90 (95% CI, 0.82-0.99). Corresponding HRs for censored-at-drug-switch analyses were 0.81 (95% CI, 0.56-1.17) and 0.81 (95% CI, 0.70-0.92). Results were similar for a series of subgroup and sensitivity analyses. LIMITATIONS: CKD was defined based on diagnosis codes from claims; findings may not be generalizable to non-Medicare CKD populations. CONCLUSIONS: Apixaban, compared with warfarin, was associated with lower risk of CKD stage progression, but not with incident kidney failure.

Risk of hyperkalemia from renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors and factors associated with treatment discontinuities in a real-world population.

BACKGROUND: Hyperkalemia rates in renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) inhibitor users, and factors associated with treatment interruptions and cessations, have not been explored in a large, population-wide database. METHODS: RAAS inhibitor users were identified in the linked UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink-Hospital Episodes Statistics data set, 2009-15. Treatment interruptions (no active prescription followed by reappearance) and cessations were determined. Hyperkalemia (serum K+>5.5 mmol/L) rates were calculated and factors associated with interruptions and cessations modeled using time-varying Cox regression, including hyperkalemia (as a time-dependent variable). RESULTS: Among 434 027 RAAS inhibitor users, the hyperkalemia rate was 1.30 (95% confidence interval 1.28-1.32) per 100 patient-years. Of 73.7% of patients who experienced off-treatment periods, 57.6% experienced interruption only, 7.5% cessation only and 8.6% both. Within 1 year of initiating RAAS inhibitor treatment, approximately one-third of the patients experienced interruption or cessation. Hazard ratios for patients with severe hyperkalemia were 1.10 (10.5-1.16) for interruptions and 3.37 (3.25-3.50) for cessation. Compared with no chronic kidney disease (CKD), risk of interruption was 1.20 (1.16-1.25) and 1.57 (1.44-1.72) for Stages 4 and 5, respectively, and of cessation was 2.20 (2.07-2.33) and 2.87 (2.56-3.22). Risk of interruption increased for patients with heart failure or diabetes [1.04 (1.02-1.05); 1.13 (1.12-1.14), respectively] but the risk of cessation decreased [0.85 (0.82-0.87); 0.92 (0.90-0.94)]. CONCLUSIONS: Risk of RAAS inhibitor interruption and cessation increased as CKD stage progressed. Efforts targeting reasons for interruptions and, especially, cessations, such as hyperkalemia prevention, could decrease off-treatment periods for patients who would otherwise benefit, such as those with CKD, heart failure or diabetes.