Association of Neighborhood Disadvantage with Short- and Long-Term Outcomes After Pancreatectomy for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: While lower socioeconomic status has been shown to correlate with worse outcomes in cancer care, data correlating neighborhood-level metrics with outcomes are scarce. We aim to explore the association between neighborhood disadvantage and both short- and long-term postoperative outcomes in patients undergoing pancreatectomy for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 243 patients who underwent resection for PDAC at a single institution between 1 January 2010 and 15 September 2021. To measure neighborhood disadvantage, the cohort was divided into tertiles by Area Deprivation Index (ADI). Short-term outcomes of interest were minor complications, major complications, unplanned readmission within 30 days, prolonged hospitalization, and delayed gastric emptying (DGE). The long-term outcome of interest was overall survival. Logistic regression was used to test short-term outcomes; Cox proportional hazards models and Kaplan-Meier method were used for long-term outcomes. RESULTS: The median ADI of the cohort was 49 (IQR 32-64.5). On adjusted analysis, the high-ADI group demonstrated greater odds of suffering a major complication (odds ratio [OR], 2.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.26-6.40; p = 0.01) and of an unplanned readmission (OR, 3.09; 95% CI, 1.16-9.28; p = 0.03) compared with the low-ADI group. There were no significant differences between groups in the odds of minor complications, prolonged hospitalization, or DGE (all p > 0.05). High ADI did not confer an increased hazard of death (p = 0.63). CONCLUSIONS: We found that worse neighborhood disadvantage is associated with a higher risk of major complication and unplanned readmission after pancreatectomy for PDAC.

The Top Ten Annals of Surgical Oncology Original Articles on Twitter/X: 2020-2023.

Social media has become omnipresent in society, especially given that it enables the rapid and widespread communication of news, events, and information. Social media platforms have become increasingly used by numerous surgical societies to promote meetings and surgical journals to increase the visibility of published content. In September 2020, Annals of Surgical Oncology (ASO) established its Social Media Committee (SMC), which has worked to steadily increase the visibility of published content on social media platforms, namely X (formerly known as Twitter). The purpose of this review is to highlight the 10 ASO original articles with the most engagement on X, based on total number of mentions, since the founding of the SMC. These articles encompass a wide variety of topics from various oncologic disciplines including hepatopancreatobiliary, breast, and gynecologic surgery.

Colon Cancer Survival Among South Asian Americans: A Cross-Sectional Analysis of a National Dataset.

INTRODUCTION: Colon cancer (CC) is one of the most common cancers among South Asian Americans (SAAs). The objective of this study was to measure differences in risk-adjusted survival among SAAs with CC compared to non-Hispanic Whites (NHWs) using a representative national dataset from the United States. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of patients with CC in the National Cancer Database (2004-2020) was performed. Differences in presentation, management, median overall survival (OS), three-year survival, and five-year survival between SAAs and NHWs were compared. Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox regression were used to assess differences in survival outcomes, adjusting for demographics, presentation, and treatments received. RESULTS: Data from 2873 SAA and 639,488 NHW patients with CC were analyzed. SAAs were younger at diagnosis (62.2 versus 69.5 y, P < 0.001), higher stage (stage III [29.0% versus 26.2%, P = 0.001] or Stage IV [21.4% versus 20.0%, P = 0.001]), and experienced delays to first treatment (SAA 5.9% versus 4.9%, P = 0.003). SAAs with CC had higher OS (median not achieved versus 68.1 mo for NHWs), three-year survival (76.3% versus 63.4%), and five-year survival (69.1% versus 52.9%). On multivariable Cox regression, SAAs with CC had a lower risk of death across all stages (hazard ratio: 0.64, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this national study, SAA patients with CC presented earlier in life with more advanced disease, and a higher proportion experienced treatment delay compared to NHW patients. Despite these differences, SAAs had better adjusted OS than NHW, warranting further exploration of tumor biology and socioeconomic determinants of cancer outcomes in SAAs.

Understanding futility in pancreaticoduodenectomy: Insights from a national cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD), the only surgical option for right-sided pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), carries significant morbidity. Not all patients may be deriving a survival benefit from this operation. We sought to identify the rate of futile PD and its associated factors in a large national cohort. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis using the National Cancer Database (2004-2020), including all patients who underwent PD for non-metastatic PDAC. The primary outcome was operative futility, which was defined as death within 12 months of diagnosis despite PD. Multivariable regression was used to identify factors associated with futility. We performed a subgroup analysis on patients who received neoadjuvant systemic therapy. RESULTS: Data from 66 326 patients were analyzed, and 16 772 (25.3%) underwent PD that met criteria for futility. Macroscopically positive margins (odds ratio [OR]: 2.87; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.36-3.48), poor tumor differentiation (OR: 2.44; 95% CI: 2.25-2.65), and N2 nodal stage (OR: 2.09; 95% CI: 1.98-2.20) were associated with the greatest odds of futility. Meanwhile, receipt of any systemic therapy (OR: 0.33; 95% CI: 0.31-0.34), receipt of any radiation (OR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.57-0.63), and receipt of neoadjuvant systemic therapy (OR: 0.62; 95% CI: 0.57-0.66) were associated with the lowest odds of futility. In the neoadjuvant subgroup, a longer diagnosis-to-surgery interval was associated with lower odds of futility. CONCLUSION: PD was futile in about one quarter of patients. Futility was associated with higher age and worse tumor biology. Receipt of neoadjuvant therapy resulted in fewer futile operations.

Lymph node metrics following neoadjuvant therapy to refine patient selection for adjuvant chemotherapy in resected pancreatic cancer: A multi-institutional analysis.

BACKGROUND: In patients with localized pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) undergoing neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) and resection, selection of adjuvant chemotherapy (AC) is typically guided by high-risk features on histopathologic examination. We evaluated the interaction between post-NAT lymph node metrics and AC receipt on survival. METHODS: Patients who received NAT followed by pancreatectomy (2010-2020) at seven centers were reviewed. Overall survival (OS) in patients receiving AC or not was stratified by lymph node positivity (LNP) or lymph node ratio (LNR) dichotomized at 0.1. Cox models evaluated the independent association between these nodal metrics, AC receipt, and OS. RESULTS: Of 464 patients undergoing NAT and resection, 264 (57%) received AC. Patients selected for AC were younger (median 63 vs. 67 years; p < 0.001), received shorter duration of NAT (2.8 vs. 3.2 months; p = 0.01), had fewer postoperative complications (Clavien-Dindo grade > 3: 1.2% vs. 11.7%; p < 0.001), and lower rates of pathologic complete response (4% vs. 11%; p = 0.01). The median number of nodes evaluated was similar between cohorts (n = 20 in both; p = 0.9). Post-NAT LNP rates were not different, and median LNR was 0.1, in AC and non-AC cohorts. Both LNP (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.1, p < 0.001) and LNR (0 < LNR ≤ 0.1: HR: 1.98, p = 0.002; LNR > 0.1: HR 2.46, p < 0.001) were independently associated with OS on Cox modeling, although receipt of AC was not associated with improved OS (median 30.6 vs. 29.4 months; p = 0.2). In patients with LNR > 0.1, receipt of AC was associated with significantly longer OS compared to non-AC (24 vs. 20 months, respectively; p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: LNR following NAT, not simply nodal positivity, may be useful to refine selection of AC in resected PDAC.

Implementation of a perioperative registry in Ethiopia to enhance surgical quality improvement.

BACKGROUND: Despite a glaring need and proven efficacy, prospective surgical registries are lacking in low- and middle-income countries. The objective of this study was to design and implement a comprehensive prospective perioperative registry in a low-income country. METHODS: This study was conducted at Hawassa University Comprehensive Specialized Hospital in Hawassa, Ethiopia. Design of the registry occurred from June 2021 to May 2022 and pilot implementation from May 2022 to May 2023. All patients undergoing elective or emergent general surgery were included. Following one year, operability and fidelity of the registry were analyzed by assessing capture rate, incidence of missing data, and accuracy. RESULTS: A total of 67 variables were included in the registry including demographics, preoperative, operative, post-operative, and 30-day data. Of 440 eligible patients, 226 (51.4%) were successfully captured. Overall incidence of missing data and accuracy was 5.4% and 90.2% respectively. Post pilot modifications enhanced capture rate to 70.5% and further optimized data collection processes. CONCLUSION: The establishment of a low-cost electronic prospective perioperative registry in a low-income country represents a significant step forward in enhancing surgical care in under-resourced settings. The initial success of this registry highlights the feasibility of such endeavors when strong partnerships and local context are at the center of implementation. Continuous efforts to refine this registry are ongoing, which will ultimately lead to enhanced surgical quality, research output, and expansion to other sites.

A guideline on guidelines: neuro-oncology guideline standards for low- and middle-income countries.

Guidelines for low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are needed in complex, multidisciplinary areas such as oncology, requiring mobilising considerable resources and specialists for coordinated care. Neuro-oncology guidelines have been primarily established in countries where technological advancements and robust care pathways facilitate broad resource utilisation. In contrast, LMICs require complex and region-specific interventions to provide equitable care. The present opinion paper is a culmination of our own centre's experience collaborating and developing loco-regional guidelines for brain tumour care, keeping in mind LMIC experiences and expertise available. We intend for the process and methodology to apply to a broader audience of other LMIC authors and clinicians collaborating with LMIC institutions to develop guidelines and clinical recommendations.

Global Cancer Surgery: pragmatic solutions to improve cancer surgery outcomes worldwide.

The first Lancet Oncology Commission on Global Cancer Surgery was published in 2015 and serves as a landmark paper in the field of cancer surgery. The Commission highlighted the burden of cancer and the importance of cancer surgery, while documenting the many inadequacies in the ability to deliver safe, timely, and affordable cancer surgical care. This Commission builds on the first Commission by focusing on solutions and actions to improve access to cancer surgery globally, developed by drawing upon the expertise from cancer surgery leaders across the world. We present solution frameworks in nine domains that can improve access to cancer surgery. These nine domains were refined to identify solutions specific to the six WHO regions. On the basis of these solutions, we developed eight actions to propel essential improvements in the global capacity for cancer surgery. Our initiatives are broad in scope, pragmatic, affordable, and contextually applicable, and aimed at cancer surgeons as well as leaders, administrators, elected officials, and health policy advocates. We envision that the solutions and actions contained within the Commission will address inequities and promote safe, timely, and affordable cancer surgery for every patient, regardless of their socioeconomic status or geographic location.

Barriers to Surgical Outcomes Research in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Scoping Review.

INTRODUCTION: Systematic collection and analysis of surgical outcomes data is a cornerstone of surgical quality improvement. Unfortunately, there remains a dearth of surgical outcomes data from low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). To improve surgical outcomes in LMICs, it is essential to have the ability to collect, analyze, and report risk-adjusted postoperative morbidity and mortality data. This study aimed to review the barriers and challenges to developing perioperative registries in LMIC settings. METHODS: We conducted a scoping review of all published literature on barriers to conducting surgical outcomes research in LMICs using PubMed, Embase, Scopus, and GoogleScholar. Keywords included 'surgery', 'outcomes research', 'registries', 'barriers', and synonymous Medical Subject Headings derivatives. Articles found were subsequently reference-mined. All relevant original research and reviews published between 2000 and 2021 were included. The performance of routine information system management framework was used to organize identified barriers into technical, organizational, or behavioral factors. RESULTS: Twelve articles were identified in our search. Ten articles focused specifically on the creation, success, and obstacles faced during the implementation of trauma registries. Technical factors reported by 50% of the articles included limited access to a digital platform for data entry, lack of standardization of forms, and complexity of said forms. 91.7% articles mentioned organizational factors, including the availability of resources, financial constraints, human resources, and lack of consistent electricity. Behavioral factors highlighted by 66.6% of the studies included lack of team commitment, job constraints, and clinical burden, which contributed to poor compliance and dwindling data collection over time. CONCLUSIONS: There is a paucity of published literature on barriers to developing and maintaining perioperative registries in LMICs. There is an immediate need to study and understand barriers and facilitators to the continuous collection of surgical outcomes in LMICs.

Peritoneal recurrence after resection for Stage I-III colorectal cancer: A population analysis.

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer (CRC) often recurs in the peritoneum, although the pattern of peritoneal recurrence (PR) has received less attention. We sought to describe the presentation and risk factors for PR following CRC resection. METHODS: We performed a cohort study of patients undergoing resection of Stage I-III CRC from 2006 to 2007 using merged data from a Commission on Cancer Special Study and the National Cancer Database. We estimated the timing, method of detection, and risk factors for isolated PR. RESULTS: Here, 8991 patients were included and isolate PR occurred in 77 (0.9%) patients. The median time to PR was 16.2 months (intrquartile range = 9.3-28.0 months) and most patients were identified via new symptoms (36.4%). Pathologic factors associated with increased odds of PR included higher T stage (T3 vs. T2, odds ratio [OR] = 4.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.5-15.7), N stage (N1 vs. N0, OR = 2.00, CI = 1.1-3.7), and signet ring (OR = 8.2, CI = 3.0-22.3) or mucinous histology (OR = 2.6, CI = 1.5-4.7). CONCLUSIONS: The majority of PR was detected within 18 months and few were identified by surveillance. Advanced T/N stage and signet ring/mucinous histology were associated with increased odds of PR.

Accuracy of models to prognosticate survival after surgery for pancreatic cancer in the era of neoadjuvant therapy.

BACKGROUND: Outcomes for pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remain difficult to prognosticate. Multiple models attempt to predict survival following the resection of PDAC, but their utility in the neoadjuvant population is unknown. We aimed to assess their accuracy among patients that received neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). METHODS: We performed a multi-institutional retrospective analysis of patients who received NAC and underwent resection of PDAC. Two prognostic systems were evaluated: the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center Pancreatic Adenocarcinoma Nomogram (MSKCCPAN) and the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system. Discrimination between predicted and actual disease-specific survival was assessed using the Uno C-statistic and Kaplan-Meier method. Calibration of the MSKCCPAN was assessed using the Brier score. RESULTS: A total of 448 patients were included. There were 232 (51.8%) females, and the mean age was 64.1 years (±9.5). Most had AJCC Stage I or II disease (77.7%). For the MSKCCPAN, the Uno C-statistic at 12-, 24-, and 36-month time points was 0.62, 0.63, and 0.62, respectively. The AJCC system demonstrated similarly mediocre discrimination. The Brier score for the MSKCCPAN was 0.15 at 12 months, 0.26 at 24 months, and 0.30 at 36 months, demonstrating modest calibration. CONCLUSIONS: Current survival prediction models and staging systems for patients with PDAC undergoing resection after NAC have limited accuracy.

Venous thromboembolism prophylaxis following colorectal surgery: a survey of American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgery (ASCRS) member surgeons.

BACKGROUND: Postoperative venous thromboembolism (VTE) is associated with significant morbidity. Evidence from other surgical specialties demonstrate inadequate use of extended VTE prophylaxis following cancer surgery. While guidelines recommend extended VTE prophylaxis for patients undergoing surgery for colorectal cancer (CRC), it is unknown to what extent colon and rectal surgeons adhere to these recommendations. METHODS: An 18-question online survey was distributed to all surgeon members of the American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons (ASCRS). The survey was designed to capture knowledge, attitudes, and practices regarding ASCRS VTE prevention guidelines. Questions were also designed to elucidate barriers to adopting these guidelines. RESULTS: The survey was distributed to 2,316 ASCRS-member surgeons and there were 201 complete responses (8.7% response rate). Most respondents (136/201, 68%) reported that they were familiar with ASCRS VTE prevention guidelines and used them to guide their practice. Extended VTE prophylaxis was reported to be routinely prescribed by the majority of surgeons following CRC resection (109/201, 54%), with an additional 27% reporting selective prescribing (55/201). The most frequently reported reasons for not prescribing extended VTE chemoprophylaxis following CRC resection included patient compliance and insurance/copay issues. CONCLUSION: Most ASCRS-member surgeon respondents reported that they are familiar with ASCRS VTE prevention guidelines, though only 54% surgeons reported routinely prescribing extended VTE prophylaxis following CRC surgery. Patient compliance and insurance issues were identified as the most common barriers. Targeted interventions at the surgeon, patient, and payer level are required to increase the use of extended VTE prophylaxis following CRC resection.

Factors associated with lost to follow up in patients with brain tumours: A multi-centre study in Pakistan.

OBJECTIVE: To identify populations at risk for lost to follow-up while undergoing management of brain tumours in a low-resource setting. Methods: A retrospective study was conducted at the neurosurgical centre on patients presenting with a brain tumour from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2019. Data on demographic characteristics, surgical characteristics, treatment, and outcomes such as mortality status, were collected by manual chart review. LTFU was defined as patients discontinuing clinical follow-up at the institute of surgical consultation within two years from the initial visit. Univariate (odds ratio) and multivariate (b-coefficient) logistic regression were used to determine factors' significance for LTFU. RESULTS: From a total of 2750 patients from 32 centres, 1140 (41.4%) were LTFU during the study period. Of these 1140 LTFU patients, 156 (13.7%) were LTFU without any intervention, 984 (86.3%) were LTFU after the primary surgery, and 872 (76.5%) patients were LTFU without any adjuvant treatment. On univariate analysis annual hospital case volume (p< 0.001), older age group (15-39 years (p=0.037) and ?40 years (p= 0.016)), and non-surgical treatment (p<=0.026) correlated with a higher risk of LTFU. Belonging to the middle-class cohort was correlated with a better chance of follow up (p=0.001). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that larger centres had the largest b-coefficient of 1.53 (95% CI= 1.3-1.8, p< 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrated that almost half of patients diagnosed with brain tumours were LTFU within two years of diagnosis. Larger centres, non-surgical treatment, and older age seem to be associated with higher LTFU. Identifying vulnerable populations will allow the need-based provision of care and follow-up to improve health outcomes.

Metastatic brain tumours in Pakistan: An epidemiological overview.

OBJECTIVE: To quantify the metastatic brain tumour burden presenting to tertiary care neurosurgical centres, the demographics and mortality rate, and the type of metastatic tumours commonly presenting to neurosurgical practice. Method: A cross-section retrospective study was conducted on patients diagnosed with brain tumours from 32 neurosurgical centres across Pakistan between January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2019. At least one neurosurgical resident and one neurosurgical faculty member were recruited from each centre as members of the Pakistan Brain tumour consortium. Mean with standard deviation or median with interquartile range was reported as variables. RESULTS: Of 2750 patients in this cohort, 77 (2.8%) were diagnosed with metastatic brain tumours. The median age of these patients was 52 (IQR= 43-60) years; 9 (14%) adults were aged 20-39 years, 37 (57%) were aged 40-59, and 19 (29%) were aged 60 and above. There were 62 (82.7%) married patients with 4% unmarried. The median KPS score both pre and post-surgery was 80 (IQR= 60-90, 70-90 respectively), and 43 (55.8%) patients were lost to follow-up. The mortality rate for patients that followed up was 50%, 17 patients were alive, and 17 were deceased at the end of the study period. The 30-day mortality rate amongst our patients was 11.8% (n=4). CONCLUSIONS: The number of patients presenting to neurosurgical care with brain metastases is much lower than the expected incidence of metastatic brain lesions. Multidisciplinary integration and the establishment of a registry to track patients diagnosed with brain tumours is the first step in ensuring better care for these patients.

Surgery as a Global Health Need.

Surgical care is now recognized as a fundamental component of universal health coverage. Unfortunately, most of the world is still without access to safe and timely surgical care, including 9 out of 10 people living in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Additionally, even in LMICs with sustainable surgical programs, surgical outcomes continue to lag behind those in high-income countries. In this article, we will provide a brief history and introduction to global surgery, an overview of the existing literature on global surgical outcomes, and a discussion surrounding the challenges to building surgical capacity and improving surgical outcomes in LMICs. In addition, we will discuss the existing frameworks for building surgical care into national universal healthcare plans and initiatives striving improve surgical outcomes in LMICs.

Marijuana use does not affect the outcomes of bariatric surgery.

BACKGROUND: The decriminalization of marijuana and legalization of derived products requires investigation of their effect on healthcare-related outcomes. Unfortunately, little data are available on the impact of marijuana use on surgical outcomes. We aimed to determine the effect of marijuana use on 30-day complications and 1-year weight loss following laparoscopic Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (LRYGB) and laparoscopic sleeve gastrectomy (LSG). METHODS: At a large academic center, 1176 consecutive patients undergoing primary bariatric surgery from 2012 to 2017 were identified and separated into cohorts according to marijuana use. The only exclusions were 19 patients lost to follow-up. Propensity score matching, using logistic regression according to preoperative age, gender, BMI, and comorbid conditions, yielded 73 patient pairs for the control and study arms. All patients were followed two years postoperatively. RESULTS: Excess BMI lost did not differ between marijuana users and controls at 3 weeks (23.0% vs 18.9%, p = 0.095), 3 months (42.0% vs 38.1%, p = 0.416), 6 months (60.6% vs 63.1%, p = 0.631), 1 year (78.2% vs 77.3%, p = 0.789), or 2 years (89.1% vs 74.5%, p = 0.604). No differences in the rate of major 30-day postoperative complications, including readmission, infection, thromboembolic events, bleeding events and reoperation rates, were found between groups. Follow-up rate at two years was lower in marijuana users (12.3% vs 27.4%, p = 0.023). CONCLUSION: This study suggests marijuana use has no impact on 30-day complications or weight loss following bariatric surgery, and should not be a contraindication to bariatric surgery.

Superior Mesenteric Vein-First Approach for Robotic Salvage Surgery with Indocyanine Green Fluorescence Angiography.

INTRODUCTION: Inadequate lymphadenectomy is still a major concern in colon cancer surgery. The superior mesenteric vein (SMV)-first approach is a novel, standardized, reproducible method for robotic complete mesocolic excision surgery. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to present the application of the SMV-first approach principles to facilitate robotic salvage surgery for recurrent disease within the mesocolon. METHODS: A 78-year-old female presented with a malignant lymph node deposit within residual right mesocolonic tissue, approximately 3 months following a laparoscopic right hemicolectomy for colon cancer. Dissection was initiated with a transverse curvilinear incision along the inferior aspect of the remaining ileocolic pedicle to identify the SMV. Dissection continued along the ventral aspect of the SMV in a cephalad direction to identify and expose the middle colic vessels at their origin. The use of idocyanine green (ICG) confirmed the vascular anatomy, demonstrating the right branch of the middle colic artery traversing the malignant deposit in the residual mesocolon. Following ligation at the origin of the right branch of the middle colic and ileocolic vessels, the retro-mesocolic plane dissection was completed to excise the malignant deposit and the residual mesocolon. RESULTS: The patient was discharged home the following day. The pathological specimen confirmed metastatic poorly differentiated adenocarcinoma in one of nine lymph nodes, and the vascular pedicle resection margin was negative for tumor. CONCLUSION: Following the SMV-first approach principles provides a safe plane for dissection, and, in conjunction with ICG, facilitates the delineation of the vascular anatomy, to enable robotic salvage surgery to be performed.1-3.

Predicting Risk of Recurrence After Colorectal Cancer Surgery in the United States: An Analysis of a Special Commission on Cancer National Study.

BACKGROUND: Several factors can affect the risk of recurrence after curative resection of colorectal cancer (CRC). We aimed to develop a risk model for recurrence after definitive treatment of Stage I-III CRC using data from a nationally representative database and to develop an individualized web-based risk calculator. METHODS: A random sample of patients who underwent resection for Stage I-III CRC between 2006 and 2007 at Commission on Cancer (CoC) accredited centers were included. Primary data regarding first recurrence was abstracted from medical records and merged with the National Cancer Database. Multivariable cox regression analysis was used to test for factors associated with cancer recurrence, stratified by stage. Model performance was tested by c statistic and calibration plots. Hazard Ratios were utilized to develop an individualized web-based recurrence prediction tool. RESULTS: A total of 8249 patients from 1175 CoC centers were included. Of these, 1656 (20.1%) patients had a recurrence during 5 years of follow-up. Median time to recurrence was 16 months. The final predictive models displayed excellent discrimination and calibration with concordance indexes of 0.7. The online calculator included 12 variables, including tumor site, stage, time since surgery, and surveillance intensity. Output is displayed numerically and graphically with an icon array. CONCLUSIONS: Using primarily abstracted recurrence data from a random sample of patients treated for CRC at CoC accredited centers across the United States, we successfully created an individualized CRC recurrence risk assessment tool. This web-based calculator can be used by physicians and patients in shared decision making to guide management discussions. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Registration Number: NCT02217865.