A simple clinical risk score (ABCDMP) for predicting mortality in patients with AECOPD and cardiovascular diseases.

BACKGROUND: The morbidity and mortality among hospital inpatients with AECOPD and CVDs remains unacceptably high. Currently, no risk score for predicting mortality has been specifically developed in patients with AECOPD and CVDs. We therefore aimed to derive and validate a simple clinical risk score to assess individuals' risk of poor prognosis. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We evaluated inpatients with AECOPD and CVDs in a prospective, noninterventional, multicenter cohort study. We used multivariable logistic regression analysis to identify the independent prognostic risk factors and created a risk score model according to patients' data from a derivation cohort. Discrimination was evaluated by the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC), and calibration was assessed by the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The model was validated and compared with the BAP-65, CURB-65, DECAF and NIVO models in a validation cohort. RESULTS: We derived a combined risk score, the ABCDMP score, that included the following variables: age > 75 years, BUN > 7 mmol/L, consolidation, diastolic blood pressure ≤ 60 mmHg, mental status altered, and pulse > 109 beats/min. Discrimination (AUC 0.847, 95% CI, 0.805-0.890) and calibration (Hosmer‒Lemeshow statistic, P = 0.142) were good in the derivation cohort and similar in the validation cohort (AUC 0.811, 95% CI, 0.755-0.868). The ABCDMP score had significantly better predictivity for in-hospital mortality than the BAP-65, CURB-65, DECAF, and NIVO scores (all P < 0.001). Additionally, the new score also had moderate predictive performance for 3-year mortality and can be used to stratify patients into different management groups. CONCLUSIONS: The ABCDMP risk score could help predict mortality in AECOPD and CVDs patients and guide further clinical research on risk-based treatment. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: Chinese Clinical Trail Registry NO.:ChiCTR2100044625; URL: http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=121626 .

Associations of the Serum KL-6 with Severity and Prognosis in Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

BACKGROUND: As a biomarker of alveolar-capillary basement membrane injury, Krebs von den Lungen-6 (KL-6) is involved in the occurrence and development of pulmonary diseases. However, the role of the KL-6 in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) has yet to be elucidated. This prospective study was designed to clarify the associations of the serum KL-6 with the severity and prognosis in patients with AECOPD. METHODS: This study enrolled 199 eligible AECOPD patients. Demographic data and clinical characteristics were recorded. Follow-up was tracked to evaluate acute exacerbation and death. The serum KL-6 concentration was measured via an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. RESULTS: Serum KL-6 level at admission was higher in AECOPD patients than in control subjects. The serum KL-6 concentration gradually elevated with increasing severity of AECOPD. Pearson and Spearman analyses revealed that the serum KL-6 concentration was positively correlated with the severity score, monocyte count and concentrations of C-reactive protein, interleukin-6, uric acid, and lactate dehydrogenase in AECOPD patients during hospitalization. A statistical analysis of long-term follow-up data showed that elevated KL-6 level at admission was associated with longer hospital stays, an increased risk of future frequent acute exacerbations, and increased severity of exacerbation in COPD patients. CONCLUSION: Serum KL-6 level at admission is positively correlated with increased disease severity, prolonged hospital stay and increased risk of future acute exacerbations in COPD patients. There are positive dose-response associations of elevated serum KL-6 with severity and poor prognosis in COPD patients. The serum KL-6 concentration could be a novel diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in AECOPD patients.

Development and validation of a nomogram for assessing survival in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease patients.

BACKGROUND: Early prediction of survival of hospitalized acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) patients is vital. We aimed to establish a nomogram to predict the survival probability of AECOPD patients. METHODS: Retrospectively collected data of 4601 patients hospitalized for AECOPD. These patients were randomly divided into a training and a validation cohort at a 6:4 ratio. In the training cohort, LASSO-Cox regression analysis and multivariate Cox regression analysis were utilized to identify prognostic factors for in-hospital survival of AECOPD patients. A model was established based on 3 variables and visualized by nomogram. The performance of the model was assesed by AUC, C-index, calibration curve, decision curve analysis in both cohorts. RESULTS: Coexisting arrhythmia, invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) usage and lower serum albumin values were found to be significantly associated with lower survival probability of AECOPD patients, and these 3 predictors were further used to establish a prediction nomogram. The C-indexes of the nomogram were 0.816 in the training cohort and 0.814 in the validation cohort. The AUC in the training cohort was 0.825 for 7-day, 0.807 for 14-day and 0.825 for 21-day survival probability, in the validation cohort this were 0.796 for 7-day, 0.831 for 14-day and 0.841 for 21-day. The calibration of the nomogram showed a good goodness-of-fit and decision curve analysis showed the net clinical benefits achievable at different risk thresholds were excellent. CONCLUSION: We established a nomogram based on 3 variables for predicting the survival probability of AECOPD patients. The nomogram showed good performance and was clinically useful.

Study on predictive models for swallowing risk in patients with AECOPD.

BACKGROUND: Dysphagia is considered a complication in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). However, AECOPD may have risk factors for dysphagia. METHODS: Through a cross-sectional study, which included 100 patients with AECOPD. General information, Pulmonary function, COPD assessment test (CAT) and modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) were collected by questionnaire. The questionnaires were administered by uniform-trained investigators using standard and neutral language, and swallowing risk was assessed by using a water swallow test (WST) on the day of patient admission. RESULTS: Among the 100 included patients, 50(50%) were at risk of swallowing. Multivariate analysis using logistic regression analysis showed that age ≥ 74 years old, mMRC ≥ level 2, hospitalization days ≥ 7 days and the use of BIPAP assisted ventilation were important influencing factors for swallowing risk in patients with AECOPD. CONCLUSION: Patients with AECOPD are at risk for dysphagia, assessing age, mMRC, hospitalization days and the use of BIPAP assisted ventilation can be used to screen for swallowing risk, thus contributing to the implementation of early prevention measures.

Social support mediates social frailty with anxiety and depression.

BACKGROUND: Anxiety and depression are prevalent comorbidities in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, existing research has yielded conflicting findings regarding the effects of social frailty on anxiety and depression. The primary aim of this study is to validate the relationship between social frailty and social support with anxiety and depression in patients with acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) and to investigate whether social support could explain the variations in prior study outcomes for patients with AECOPD. METHODS: Of the 315 patients hospitalized with AECOPD at the respiratory intensive care unit of a large tertiary care institution in Sichuan Province of China, between August 2022 and June 2023 who were surveyed, 306 were included in the analysis after excluding missing data. We conducted a logistic regression analysis to examine the associations of social frailty and social support with anxiety and depression and performed mediation analyses to examine whether social support mediates the relationship of social frailty with anxiety and depression. RESULTS: The logistic regression analysis revealed that social frailty did not associate anxiety or depression in patients with AECOPD. The mediation analysis supported this idea and indicated that while social frailty does not directly influence anxiety or depression, it can through social support. CONCLUSIONS: The findings suggest that while social frailty may not directly impact anxiety or depression in patients with AECOPD, social support plays a crucial mediating role. Enhancing social support can indirectly alleviate anxiety and depression among these patients. Enhancing social support networks should thus be prioritized by healthcare providers and family members to improve mental health outcomes in this patient population.

Self-management intervention for patients following hospitalization for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD): A pilot randomized controlled trial.

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the handoff guidance (HG) self-management intervention for multimorbid chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) patients following hospitalization for acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) using HG self-management intervention compared to a control group on COPD self-management outcomes (self-care, self-efficacy, health engagement) and assess feasibility, acceptability, and healthcare utilization. A randomized pilot study used a 2-group with repeated measures design. Adults with COPD who had been hospitalized for AECOPD were recruited. After discharge, the HG self-management intervention employed health coaching delivered at: 1-3, 10-12, and 20-22 days after hospital discharge. Follow-up data collected was collected at 1-3, 10-12, 20-22, 30, 60, and 90 days after hospital discharge. A total of 29 subjects participated, with a mean age of 66 (+8.7) years old, the majority were females (n = 18). Intervention participants reported the acceptability of the HG self-management intervention. Participants in both groups continued to report COPD symptoms after discharge, which decreased over time, although not significantly different by group. The use of COPD maintenance, monitoring, and management behaviors was higher in the treatment group, although not significantly different.

An International Validation of the "DECAF Score" to Predict Disease Severity and Hospital Mortality in Acute Exacerbation of COPD in the UAE.

The DECAF score (the Dyspnea, Eosinopenia, Consolidation, Academia, and Atrial fibrillation score) has been adopted in some hospitals to predict the severity of Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (AECOPD). However, DECAF score has not been widely evaluated or used in Middle Eastern countries. The present study aimed to validate the DECAF score for predicting in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD in the United Arab Emirates (UAE). This was a retrospective, observational study conducted in 19 hospitals in the UAE. Data were retrieved from the electronic records of patients admitted for AECOPD in 17 hospitals across the country. Patients aged more than 35 years who were diagnosed with AECOPD were included in the study. The validation of the DECAF Score for inpatient death, 30-days death, and 90-day readmission was conducted using the Area Under the Receiver Operator curve (AUROC). The AUROCDECAF curves for inpatient death, 30-days death, and 90-day readmission were 0.8 (95% CI: 0.8-0.9), 0.8 (95% CI: 0.7-0.8), and 0.8 (95% CI: 0.8-0.8), respectively. The model was a satisfactory fit to the data (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic = 0.195, Nagelkerke R2 = 31.7%). There were significant differences in means of length of stay across patients with different DECAF score (P = .008). Patients with a DECAF score of 6 had the highest mean length of stay, which was 29.8 ± 31.4 days. Patients with a DECAF score of 0 had the lowest mean length of stay, which was 3.6 ± 2.0 days. The DECAF score is a strong predictive tool for inpatient death, 30 days mortality and 90-day readmission in UAE hospital settings. The DECAF score is an effective tool for predicating mortality and other disease outcomes in patients with AECOPD in the UAE; hence, clinicians would be more empowered to make appropriate clinical decisions by using the DECAF score.

Value of inferior vena cava collapsibility index as marker of heart failure in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation.

INTRODUCTION: Inferior vena cava (IVC) diameter variability with respiration measured by ultrasound was found to be useful for the diagnosis of heart failure (HF) in ED patients with acute dyspnea. Its value in identifying HF in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease exacerbation (AECOPD) was not specifically demonstrated. OBJECTIVE: To determine the value of ΔIVC in the diagnosis of HF patients with AECOPD. METHODS: This is a prospective study conducted in the ED of three Tunisian university hospitals including patients with AECOPD. During this period, 401 patients met the inclusion criteria. The final diagnosis of HF is based on the opinion of two emergency experts after consulting the data from clinical examination, cardiac echocardiography, and BNP level. The ΔIVC was calculated by two experienced emergency physicians who were blinded from the patient's clinical and laboratory data. A cut off of 15% was used to define the presence (< 15%) or absence of HF (≥ 15%). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was also measured. The area under the ROC curve, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated to determine the diagnostic and predictive accuracy of the ΔIVC in predicting HF. RESULTS: The study population included 401 patients with AECOPD, mean age 67.2 years with male (68.9%) predominance. HF was diagnosed in 165 (41.1%) patients (HF group) and in 236 patients (58.9%) HF was excluded (non HF group). The assessment of the performance of the ΔIVC in the diagnosis of HF showed a sensitivity of 37.4% and a specificity of 89.7% using the threshold of 15%. The positive predictive value was 70.9% and the negative predictive value was 66.7%. The area under the ROC curve was 0.71(95%, CI 0.65-0.76). ΔIVC values were not different between HF patients with reduced LVEF and those with preserved LVEF. CONCLUSION: Our results showed that ΔIVC has a good value for ruling out HF in ED patients consulting for AECOPD.

Risk factors for hyponatremia in acute exacerbation chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD): a multicenter cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Hyponatremia is an independent predictor of poor prognosis, including increased mortality and readmission, in COPD patients. Identifying modifiable etiologies of hyponatremia may help reduce adverse events in patients with AECOPD. Therefore, the aim of this study was to explore the risk factors and underlying etiologies of hyponatremia in AECOPD patients. METHODS: A total of 586 AECOPD patients were enrolled in this multicenter cross-sectional study. Finally, 323 had normonatremia, and 90 had hyponatremia. Demographics, underlying diseases, comorbidities, symptoms, and laboratory data were collected. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was used to select potential risk factors, which were substituted into binary logistic regression to identify independent risk factors. Nomogram was built to visualize and validate binary logistics regression model. RESULTS: Nine potential hyponatremia-associated variables were selected by LASSO regression. Subsequently, a binary logistic regression model identified that smoking status, rate of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), anion gap (AG), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), and serum magnesium (Mg2+) were independent variables of hyponatremia in AECOPD patients. The AUC of ROC curve of nomogram was 0.756. The DCA curve revealed that the nomogram could yielded more clinical benefits if the threshold was between 10% and 52%. CONCLUSIONS: Collectively, our results showed that smoking status, CAP, AG, ESR, and serum Mg2+ were independently associated with hyponatremia in AECOPD patients. Then, these findings indicate that pneumonia, metabolic acidosis, and hypomagnesemia were the underlying etiologies of hyponatremia in AECOPD patients. However, their internal connections need further exploration.

Butyrate inhibits iILC2-mediated lung inflammation via lung-gut axis in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).

BACKGROUND: The study investigated the effects and underlying mechanisms of intestinal flora metabolite butyrate on inflammatory ILC2 cells (iILC2s)-mediated lung inflammation in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). METHODS: Mouse models of COPD and acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) were established. Flow cytometry was used to detect natural ILC2 cells (nILC2s) and iILC2s in lung and colon tissues. The 16s rRNA and GC-MS were used to detect microbial flora and short chain fatty acids (SCFAs) in feces. ELISA was used to detect IL-13 and IL-4. Western blot and qRT-PCR were used to detect the relative protein and mRNA levels, respectively. In vitro experiments were performed with sorted ILC2s from colon tissues of control mice. Mice with AECOPD were treated with butyrate. RESULTS: The nILC2s and iILC2s in lung and colon tissues of AECOPD mice were significantly higher than control groups. The abundance of the flora Clostridiaceae was significantly reduced, and the content of SCFAs, including acetate and butyrate, was significantly reduced. The in vitro experiments showed that butyrate inhibited iILC2 cell phenotype and cytokine secretion. Butyrate treatment reduced the proportion of iILC2 cells in the colon and lung tissues of mice with AECOPD. CONCLUSIONS: The nILC2s and iILC2s in the colon tissues are involved in the course of COPD. Decreased Clostridiaceae and butyrate in AECOPD mice caused the accumulation of iILC2 cells in the intestines and lungs. Supplementation of butyrate can reduce iILC2 in the intestine and lung tissues. Our data may provide new ideas for prevention and treatment of COPD.

Prognostic Value of Serum Cholinesterase Levels for In-Hospital Mortality among Patients with Acute Exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease.

Cholinesterase (ChE) is associated with the pathogenesis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), including chronic airway inflammation and oxidation/antioxidant imbalance. However, the relationship between serum ChE levels and survival outcomes of patients hospitalized with acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) is unknown. In this retrospective single-center study, we investigated the ability of the serum ChE level to predict in-hospital death in patients hospitalized with AECOPD. The clinicopathological data, including serum ChE levels as well as clinical and biochemical indicators were extracted for 477 patients from the hospital records and analyzed. Our results demonstrated that AECOPD patients with lower serum ChE levels were associated with increased mortality, frequent hospitalization due to acute exacerbations (AE) in the past year, and longer hospital stay. The optimal cutoff value for the serum ChE level was 4323 U/L. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) values for predicting in-hospital mortality based on the serum ChE level was 0.79 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.72-0.85). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that serum ChE level ≤ 4323 U/L (odds ratio (OR) 9.09, 95% CI 3.43-28.3, p < 0.001), age-adjusted Charlson comorbidity index (aCCI), and the number of hospitalizations due to AE in the past year were independent risk factors for predicting the in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients. In conclusion, our study demonstrated that low serum ChE levels were associated with significantly higher in-hospital mortality rates of patients hospitalized with AECOPD. Therefore, serum ChE level is a promising prognostic predictor of hospitalized AECOPD patients.

Prognosis after Intensive Care for COPD Exacerbation in Relation to Long-Term Oxygen Therapy: A Nationwide Cohort Study.

Decisions to admit or refuse admission to intensive care for acute exacerbations of COPD (AECOPD) can be difficult, due to an uncertainty about prognosis. Few studies have evaluated outcomes after intensive care for AECOPD in patients with chronic respiratory failure requiring long-term oxygen therapy (LTOT). In this nationwide observational cohort study, we investigated survival after first-time admission for AECOPD in all patients aged ≥40 years admitted to Swedish intensive care units between January 2008 and December 2015, comparing patients with and without LTOT. Among the 4,648 patients enrolled in the study, 450 were on LTOT prior to inclusion. Respiratory support data was available for 2,631 patients; 73% of these were treated with noninvasive ventilation (NIV) only, 17% were treated with immediate invasive ventilation, and 10% were intubated after failed attempt with NIV. Compared to patients without LTOT, patients with LTOT had higher 30-day mortality (38% vs. 25%; p < 0.001) and one-year mortality (70% vs. 43%; p < 0.001). Multivariable logistic and Cox regression models adjusted for age, sex and SAPS3 score confirmed higher mortality in LTOT, odds ratio for 30-day mortality was 1.8 ([95% confidence interval] 1.5-2.3) and hazard ratio for one-year mortality was 1.8 (1.6-2.0). In summary, although need for LTOT is a negative prognostic marker for survival after AECOPD requiring intensive care, a majority of patients with LTOT survived the AECOPD and 30% were alive after one year.

Association between short-term ambient air pollution and outpatient visits for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in Lanzhou, 2013-19.

Evidence between air pollution and hospital visits for acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is inconsistent and limited in China. In this study, we constructed a time-series study to evaluate the association between air pollution and AECOPD outpatient visits. Daily hospital outpatient visits for AECOPD in three top level hospitals in Lanzhou from January 2013 to December 2019, as well as the air pollutants and meteorological data in the same period, were collected. Then, generalized additive models with quasi-Poisson regression were utilized to estimate the associations with single-day lags from lag0 to lag7 and cumulative-day lag from lag01 to lag07. For example, lag0 referred to the concentration of air pollutants at the current day and lag1 referred to the previous-day air pollutant concentration and so on. Lag01 meant the average concentration of air pollutants at the current and previous day, and lag07 corresponded to the eight-day moving average value of the current and previous 7 days. In addition, stratified analyses were performed by gender, age, and season. The risk estimates were expressed in terms of the percentage changes (PC) in AECOPD outpatient visits per 10 µg/m3 increment of air pollutants (except that CO was per 1 mg/m3) and their respective 95% confidence intervals (CIs). The strongest effect on AECOPD morbidity was found lag07 for PM2.5 (PC = 1.96, 95% CI 1.07, 2.86 per 10 µg/m3), lag03 for PM10 (PC = 0.25, 95% CI 0.01, 0.49 per 10 µg/m3), lag05 for SO2 (PC = 1.67, 95% CI 0.54, 3.93 per 10 µg/m3), and lag03 for NO2 (PC = 1.37, 95% CI 0.25, 2.51 per 10 µg/m3). No significant association of O3 and CO with AECOPD onset was found. In the subgroup analyses, the associations of PM2.5 and SO2 were more pronounced on males than female, the patients aged < 65 years were more vulnerable to PM2.5 and NO2, but 65-74 years old were more vulnerable to PM2.5, SO2, and NO2. Patients aged ≥ 75 years suffered more from PM2.5, PM10, and SO2. The associations between PM2.5, PM10, SO2, NO2, and AECOPD outpatients were stronger in the cold season than those in the hot season. From exposure-response curves, we observe linear relationships of PM2.5, SO2, NO2, O38h, and CO with hospital outpatient visits for AECOPD. The increase in PM2.5, PM10, SO2, and NO2 concentration will lead to an increase in the number of outpatient visits for AECOPD and have different influence patterns in different genders, ages, and seasons.

Clinical and economic burden of comorbid coronary artery disease in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: sex differences in a nationwide cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a common comorbidity of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, data related to the impact of CAD on outcomes of acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) are limited and whether the relationship depends on sex remains unknown. Our aim was to determine the impact of comorbid CAD on clinical outcomes among men and women with AECOPD. METHODS: We used data from the acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease inpatient registry (ACURE) study, which is a nationwide observational real-world study conducted between September 2017 and February 2020 at 163 centers in patients admitted with AECOPD as their primary diagnosis. Patients were stratified according to the presence or absence of CAD in men and women. The primary outcomes were the length of hospital stay and economic burden during hospitalization. RESULTS: Among 3906 patients included in our study, the prevalence of CAD was 17.0%, and it was higher in women than in men (19.5% vs. 16.3%; P = 0.034). Age and other cardiovascular diseases were common factors associated with comorbid CAD in men and women, while body-mass index, cerebrovascular disease, and diabetes were determinants in men and pre-admission use of long-acting beta-adrenoceptor agonist and home oxygen therapy were protective factors in women. Only in men, patients with CAD had a longer length of hospital stay (median 10.0 vs. 9.0 days, P < 0.001), higher total cost during hospitalization (median $1502.2 vs. $1373.4, P < 0.001), and more severe COPD symptoms at day 30 compared to those without CAD. No significant difference was found in women. Comorbid CAD showed no relationship with 30-day readmission or death regardless of sex. In our real-world study, mortality/readmission risk within 30 days increased in patients with previous frequent hospitalizations and poorer pulmonary function. CONCLUSIONS: In hospitalized AECOPD patients, comorbid CAD was significantly associated with poorer short-term outcomes in men. Clinicians should have heightened attention for men with comorbid CAD to achieve an optimal management of AECOPD patients.

No evidence of harmful effects of steroids in severe exacerbations of COPD associated with influenza.

PURPOSE: COPD has large impact on patient morbidity and mortality worldwide. Acute exacerbations (AECOPD) are mostly triggered by respiratory infections including influenza. While corticosteroids are strongly recommended in AECOPD, they are potentially harmful during influenza. We aimed to evaluate if steroid treatment for AECOPD due to influenza may worsen outcomes. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of a Swiss nation-wide hospitalization database was conducted identifying all AECOPD hospitalisations between 2012 and 2017. In separate analyses, outcomes concerning length-of-stay (LOS), in-hospital mortality, rehospitalisation rate, empyema and aspergillosis were compared between AECOPD during and outside influenza season; AECOPD with and without laboratory-confirmed influenza; and AECOPD plus pneumonia with and without laboratory-confirmed influenza. RESULTS: Patients hospitalized for AECOPD during influenza season showed shorter LOS (11.3 vs. 11.6 day, p < 0.001) but higher rehospitalisation rates (33 vs 31%, p < 0.001) compared to those hospitalized outside influenza season. Patients with confirmed influenza infection had lower in-hospital mortality (3.3 vs. 5.5%, p = 0.010) and rehospitalisation rates (29 vs. 37%, p < 0.001) than those without confirmed influenza. CONCLUSION: Using different indicators for influenza as the likely cause of AECOPD, we found no consistent evidence of worse outcomes of AECOPD due to influenza for hospitalized patients. Assuming that most of these patients received corticosteroids, as it is accepted standard of care in Switzerland, this study gives no evidence to change the current practice of using corticosteroids for hospitalized AECOPD independent of the influenza status.

An observational study of the effects of smoking cessation earlier on the clinical characteristics and course of acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have focused on the negative effects of continued smoking on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, few studies have investigated the positive effects of long-term smoking cessation on patients suffering from acute exacerbations of COPD. METHODS: The study recruited and followed current or former smokers who had been hospitalized and diagnosed with AECOPD. An in-depth analysis of clinical and laboratory indicators was conducted. RESULTS: 125 patients were covered, including 72 short-term quitters and 53 long-term quitters. The results showed that long-term smoking cessation may result in milder dyspnea and cough, a higher oxygenation index, a lower arterial partial pressure of carbon dioxide, and milder pulmonary hypertension, airflow restriction, and gas retention in patients with AECOPD. However, despite the lower treatment intensity for long-term quitters, improvement in dyspnea and an increase in oxygenation index were comparable to those achieved by short-term quitters. Furthermore, patients with mild phlegm, which accounted for 84% of all subjects, showed greater improvement in phlegm in AECOPD patients with long-term cessation of smoking. CONCLUSION: It was found that in patients with AECOPD who quit smoking for a long period of time, there was a reduction in symptoms, improvement in lung function, reduction in treatment intensity, and better improvement in phlegm symptoms after therapy. It is beneficial and necessary to quit smoking early, even if you smoke a small amount of cigarettes.

Blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio: a good predictor of in-hospital and 90-day all-cause mortality in patients with acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies on acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) have found that those who died in hospital had higher blood urea nitrogen levels and a worse nutritional status compared to survivors. However, the association between the blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin ratio (BUN/ALB ratio) and in-hospital and short-term prognosis in patients with AECOPD remains unclear. The aim of this study was to explore the usefulness of BUN/ALB ratio in AECOPD as an objective predictor for in-hospital and 90-day all-cause mortality. METHODS: We recorded the laboratory and clinical data in patients with AECOPD on admission. By drawing the ROC curve for the patients, we obtained the cut-off point for the BUN/ALB ratio for in-hospital death. Multivariate logistic regression was used for analyses of the factors of in-hospital mortality and multivariate Cox regression was used to analyze the factors of 90-day all-cause mortality. RESULTS: A total of 362 patients were recruited and 319 patients were finally analyzed. Twenty-three patients died during hospitalization and the fatality rate was 7.2%. Furthermore, 14 patients died by the 90-day follow-up. Compared with in-hospital survivors, patients who died in hospital were older (80.78 ± 6.58 vs. 75.09 ± 9.73 years old, P = 0.001), had a higher prevalence of congestive heart failure(69.6% vs. 27.4%, P < 0.001), had a higher BUN/ALB ratio [0.329 (0.250-0.399) vs. 0.145 (0.111-0.210), P < 0.001], had higher neutrophil counts [10.27 (7.21-14.04) vs. 6.58 (4.58-9.04), P < 0.001], higher blood urea nitrogen levels [10.86 (7.10-12.25) vs. 5.35 (4.14-7.40), P < 0.001], a lower albumin level (32.58 ± 3.72 vs. 36.26 ± 4.53, P < 0.001) and a lower lymphocyte count [0.85 (0.58-1.21) vs. 1.22 (0.86-1.72), P = 0.001]. The ROC curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) of BUN/ALB ratio for in-hospital death was 0.87, (95%CI 0.81-0.93, P < 0.001), the best cut-off point value to discriminate survivors from non-survivors in hospital was 0.249, the sensitivity was 78.3%, the specificity was 86.5%, and Youden's index was 0.648. Having a BUN/ALB ratio ≥ 0.249 was an independent risk factor for both in-hospital and 90-day all-cause mortality after adjustment for relative risk (RR; RR = 15.08, 95% CI 3.80-59.78, P < 0.001 for a multivariate logistic regression analysis) and hazard ratio (HR; HR = 5.34, 95% CI 1.62-17.57, P = 0.006 for a multivariate Cox regression analysis). CONCLUSION: An elevated BUN/ALB ratio was a strong and independent predictor of in-hospital and 90-day all-cause mortality in patients with AECOPD.

Development and validation of a prognostic nomogram among patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbation of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (AECOPD) contributes significantly to mortality among patients with COPD in Intensive care unit (ICU). This study aimed to develop a nomogram to predict 30-day mortality among AECOPD patients in ICU. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we extracted AECOPD patients from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) database. Multivariate logistic regression based on Akaike information criterion (AIC) was used to establish the nomogram. Internal validation was performed by a bootstrap resampling approach with 1000 replications. The discrimination and calibration of the nomogram were evaluated by Harrell's concordance index (C-index) and Hosmer-Lemeshow (HL) goodness-of-fit test. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to evaluate its clinical application. RESULTS: A total of 494 patients were finally included in the study with a mean age of 70.8 years old. 417 (84.4%) patients were in the survivor group and 77 (15.6%) patients were in the non-survivor group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis based on AIC included age, pO2, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), prognostic nutritional index (PNI), invasive mechanical ventilation and vasopressor use to construct the nomogram. The adjusted C-index was 0.745 (0.712, 0.778) with good calibration (HL test, P = 0.147). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves revealed a significantly lower survival probability in the high-risk group than that in the low-risk group (P < 0.001). DCA showed that nomogram was clinically useful. CONCLUSION: The nomogram developed in this study could help clinicians to stratify AECOPD patients and provide appropriate care in clinical setting.

Early symptom recognition and symptom management among exacerbation COPD patients: A qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: An acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) is the most cause of deaths in COPD patient. It induces COPD patients often end in unexpected or unpredictable death. OBJECTIVES: The purposes were to explore the lived experiences of symptom recognition and to explain the pattern of symptom management successfully among exacerbation COPD patients. DESIGN: A Heideggerian hermeneutic phenomenology approach. SETTING: The interviews took place in participants' home by using android or iOS (iPhone) phone. PARTICIPANTS: Twenty participants were recruited until saturation by purposive sampling technique. METHODS: The semi-structured interview was used to capture detailed experiences verbatim. Data analysis based on a seven-stage hermeneutical process. RESULTS: Two constitutive patterns with relational themes were identified. First, symptom recognition, consisted of four themes: meaning of AECOPD, pattern of AECOPD, warning signs and prodromal symptoms, and risk factors of AECOPD. Second, symptom management, consisted of four themes: methods of symptom management (during AECOPD state), methods of symptom management (during stable COPD state for helping to prevent AECOPD state), knowledge source of symptom management, and factors influencing symptom recognition and symptom management. CONCLUSIONS: The use of a Heideggerian hermeneutic phenomenology as a research methodology fulfilled the aims of this study. It will enable healthcare professionals to select and advise the strategies or methods that will be the most likely to appropriate within the limits set by individual capabilities for promoting the best quality of life in COPD patients.

Comparison of peak expiratory Flow(PEF) and COPD assessment test (CAT) to assess COPD exacerbation requiring hospitalization: A prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) resulting in hospitalization is significantly associated with the increased morbidity and mortality, but there is a lack of an effective method to assess it. This study aimed to compare the ability of peak expiratory flow (PEF) and COPD assessment test (CAT) to assess COPD exacerbations requiring hospitalization. METHODS: A cohort of 110 patients with moderate to severe COPD was studied over a period of 12 months, and their daily morning PEFs and CAT scores were recorded throughout the study. RESULTS: After 12 months of follow-up, 72 patients experienced 156 COPD exacerbations, 74 (47%) that resulted in hospitalization and 82 (53%) that did not result in hospitalization. Change in CAT score from baseline to exacerbation was significantly related to change in PEF and Spearman's rho =0.375 (95% CI, 0.227 to 0.506; p < .001). Change in PEF and CAT score from baseline to hospitalized exacerbation was significantly larger than that from baseline to non-hospitalized exacerbation (p < .05). Multivariable analysis indicated that ΔPEF (OR 1.11, 95% CI 1.06-1.16, p < .001) and ΔCAT (OR 1.64 95% CI 1.18-2.27, p = .003) were independently associated with risk of hospitalized exacerbation. ROC analysis indicated that the optimal cutoff value of ΔPEF for identifying hospitalized exacerbation was 49 L/min (27% from baseline), with a sensitivity and specificity of 82.7% and 76.7% (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.872 (95% CI 0.80-0.944, p < .05). The optimal cutoff value of ΔCAT score for identifying hospitalized exacerbation was 10.5 (63% from baseline), with a sensitivity and specificity of 67.3% and 77.4% [AUC]=0.763 (95% CI 0.67-0.857, p < .05). The AUC of ΔPEF and ΔCAT combined for the identification of hospitalized exacerbation was 0.900 (95% CI 0.841-0.959, p < .05), which was larger than that of ΔCAT or ΔPEF. CONCLUSIONS: ΔPEF and ΔCAT were independently associated with risk of hospitalized exacerbation. Compared with CAT, PEF was superior to identify hospitalized exacerbation. Identification via PEF and CAT combined is more effective than using PEF or CAT alone. These results help to assess the severity of COPD exacerbation and provide valuable information for clinical decision-making.