The Cognitive Neuroscience of Placebo Effects: Concepts, Predictions, and Physiology.

Placebos have been used ubiquitously throughout the history of medicine. Expectations and associative learning processes are important psychological determinants of placebo effects, but their underlying brain mechanisms are only beginning to be understood. We examine the brain systems underlying placebo effects on pain, autonomic, and immune responses. The ventromedial prefrontal cortex (vmPFC), insula, amygdala, hypothalamus, and periaqueductal gray emerge as central brain structures underlying placebo effects. We argue that the vmPFC is a core element of a network that represents structured relationships among concepts, providing a substrate for expectations and a conception of the situation-the self in context-that is crucial for placebo effects. Such situational representations enable multidimensional predictions, or priors, that are combined with incoming sensory information to construct percepts and shape motivated behavior. They influence experience and physiology via descending pathways to physiological effector systems, including the spinal cord and other peripheral organs.

Expectation effects in working memory training.

There is a growing body of research focused on developing and evaluating behavioral training paradigms meant to induce enhancements in cognitive function. It has recently been proposed that one mechanism through which such performance gains could be induced involves participants' expectations of improvement. However, no work to date has evaluated whether it is possible to cause changes in cognitive function in a long-term behavioral training study by manipulating expectations. In this study, positive or negative expectations about cognitive training were both explicitly and associatively induced before either a working memory training intervention or a control intervention. Consistent with previous work, a main effect of the training condition was found, with individuals trained on the working memory task showing larger gains in cognitive function than those trained on the control task. Interestingly, a main effect of expectation was also found, with individuals given positive expectations showing larger cognitive gains than those who were given negative expectations (regardless of training condition). No interaction effect between training and expectations was found. Exploratory analyses suggest that certain individual characteristics (e.g., personality, motivation) moderate the size of the expectation effect. These results highlight aspects of methodology that can inform future behavioral interventions and suggest that participant expectations could be capitalized on to maximize training outcomes.

Placebo Effects Are Small on Average in the 7.5% CO2 Inhalational Model of Generalized Anxiety.

BACKGROUND: Anxiety disorders are highly prevalent and socio-economically costly. Novel pharmacological treatments for these disorders are needed because many patients do not respond to current agents or experience unwanted side effects. However, a barrier to treatment development is the variable and large placebo response rate seen in trials of novel anxiolytics. Despite this, the mechanisms that drive placebo responses in anxiety disorders have been little investigated, possibly due to low availability of convenient experimental paradigms. We aimed to develop and test a novel protocol for inducing placebo anxiolysis in the 7.5% CO2 inhalational model of generalized anxiety in healthy volunteers. METHODS: Following a baseline 20-minute CO2 challenge, 32 healthy volunteers were administered a placebo intranasal spray labelled as either the anxiolytic "lorazepam" or "saline." Following this, participants surreptitiously underwent a 20-minute inhalation of normal air. Post-conditioning, a second dose of the placebo was administered, after which participants completed another CO2 challenge. RESULTS: Participants administered sham "lorazepam" reported significant positive expectations of reduced anxiety (P = .001), but there was no group-level placebo effect on anxiety following CO2 challenge post-conditioning (Ps > .350). Surprisingly, we found many participants exhibited unexpected worsening of anxiety, despite positive expectations. CONCLUSIONS: Contrary to our hypothesis, our novel paradigm did not induce a placebo response, on average. It is possible that effects of 7.5% CO2 inhalation on prefrontal cortex function or behavior in line with a Bayesian predictive coding framework attenuated the effect of expectations on subsequent placebo response. Future studies are needed to explore these possibilities.

Re-evaluating the placebo response in recent canine dietary epilepsy trials.

The placebo response is a common phenomenon. Limited evidence is available about its magnitude in canine epilepsy trials, even though it can significantly influence the efficacy evaluation of new treatments. It was hypothesised that the placebo response is diminished when epilepsy trials are conducted in a prospective crossover design. Seizure data spanning six months from three previous multicenter epilepsy studies were analysed. The monthly seizure frequency of 60 dogs diagnosed with idiopathic epilepsy was calculated, comparing baseline data with placebo treatment. Furthermore, differentiation was made between dogs randomised to the placebo group early (Phase 1: first 3 months) or later during the study (Phase 2: second 3 months).The analysis did not reveal any placebo response in terms of monthly seizure frequency. Instead, an increase was noted during the placebo treatment period, with a mean of 2.95 seizures per month compared to 2.30 seizures per month before study entry (p = 0.0378). Additionally, a notable phase effect was observed. Dogs receiving the placebo in the second study phase exhibited a significant increase in monthly seizure frequency compared to baseline (p = 0.0036). Conversely, no significant difference from baseline was observed for dogs receiving the placebo in the first study phase. These findings underscore the considerable variability in placebo responses observed in trials for canine epilepsy, contrasting with previous limited data. The identified phase effect should be carefully considered in the design and evaluation of canine epilepsy trials to ensure a more accurate assessment of efficacy for new treatments.

Placebo effect in randomized controlled trials for Meniere's disease: A meta-analysis.

PURPOSE: Meniere's Disease is a condition known for its recurrent vertigo, fluctuating sensorineural hearing loss, aural fullness, and tinnitus. Previous studies have demonstrated significant influence of placebo treatments. Our objective was to quantify the magnitude of the placebo effect in randomized controlled trials for Meniere's Disease. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A systematic review was performed by searching PubMed, SCOPUS, CINAHL, and Cochrane databases from inception through September 27, 2022. Data extraction, quality rating, and risk of bias assessment were performed by two independent reviewers. A meta-analysis of mean differences with 95 % confidence interval, weighted summary proportions, and proportion differences were calculated using random and fixed effects models. RESULTS: A total of 15 studies (N = 892) were included in the review. Significant improvement was seen in the functional level scores of the pooled placebo groups, with a mean difference of -0.6 points, (95%CI: -1.2 to -0.1). There was no difference in pure tone audiometry, speech discrimination score, or vertigo frequency at 1 and 3 months for the placebo group. Patient-reported vertigo episodes were improved in 52.5 % (95%CI: 39.2 to 65.5) of the placebo group and was significantly less than the pooled experimental group (90.1 %, 95%CI: 39.2 to 65.5, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The placebo effect in Meniere's Disease trials is associated with some symptomatic improvement in subjective outcomes, such as patient reported vertigo episodes. However, the clinical significance is questionable across other outcomes measures, especially when analyzing objective data. The extent and strength of the placebo effect continues to be a hurdle in the search for better treatment options.

Efficacy of a stannous fluoride dentifrice for relieving dentinal hypersensitivity in Chinese population: an 8-week randomized clinical trial.

OBJECTIVES: To compare the effectiveness of using a 0.454% stannous fluoride-containing dentifrice twice daily in relieving dentinal hypersensitivity (DH) in a Chinese population. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a single-centre, randomized, controlled, examiner-blind, three-treatment-arm, parallel-group study in participants with clinically diagnosed DH. Subjects who met inclusion criteria (n = 197) were randomly allocated into 3 groups: test group (n = 66)-using a 0.454% stannous fluoride-containing dentifrice twice daily; positive control group (n = 64)-using a 5.0% calcium sodium phosphosilicate-containing dentifrice twice daily; negative control group (n = 67)-using a 1150 ppm of NaF dentifrice twice daily. Status of DH was assessed at week 4 and week 8 by the same independent examiner. Changes from baseline in Schiff sensitivity score, tactile threshold and Dentine Hypersensitivity Experience Questionnaire (DHEQ) score were analysed using analysis of covariance models. The DHEQ evaluated subject-perceived oral health-related quality of life (OHRQoL). RESULTS: Statistically significant improvements in mean Schiff scores (p < 0.0001 for all products at Weeks 4 and 8), tactile threshold (p < 0.0001 for test and negative control at Weeks 4 and 8: Week 4 p = 0.0040 and Week 8 p < 0.0001 for positive control) and all DHEQ scores (p < 0.01 for all groups) were observed. No statistically significant differences were observed in the adjusted mean between all dentifrices at both timepoints, potentially driven by a placebo effect. Forty-two treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs) were reported (n = 32 subjects), with 2 serious AEs (n = 1) in the test group. TEAEs were not considered treatment-related. CONCLUSIONS: All groups demonstrated statistically significant improvements in Schiff score, tactile threshold and OHRQoL. However, due to a possible placebo effect in the negative control, there were no statistically significant differences between the dentifrices. CLINICAL RELEVANCE: This study adds to the growing research exploring why the placebo effect is a common phenomenon in DH studies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04950465.

Optimizing placebo and minimizing nocebo effects through communication: e-learning and virtual reality training development.

BACKGROUND: The effects of many treatments in healthcare are determined by factors other than the treatment itself. Patients' expectations and the relationship with their healthcare provider can significantly affect treatment outcomes and thereby play a major role in eliciting placebo and nocebo effects. We aim to develop and evaluate an innovative communication training, consisting of an e-learning and virtual reality (VR) training, for healthcare providers across all disciplines, to optimize placebo and minimize nocebo effects through healthcare provider-patient communication. The current paper describes the development, mid-term evaluation, optimization, and final evaluation of the communication training, conducted in The Netherlands. METHODS: The development of both the e-learning and the VR training consisted of four phases: 1) content and technical development, 2) mid-term evaluation by healthcare providers and placebo/communication researchers, 3) optimization of the training, and 4) final evaluation by healthcare providers. To ensure the success, applicability, authenticity, and user-friendliness of the communication training, there was ongoing structural collaboration with healthcare providers as future end users, experts in the field of placebo/communication research, and educational experts in all phases. RESULTS: Placebo/communication researchers and healthcare providers evaluated the e-learning positively (overall 7.9 on 0-10 scale) and the content was perceived as useful, accessible, and interesting. The VR training was assessed with an overall 6.9 (0-10 scale) and was evaluated as user-friendly and a safe method for practicing communication skills. Although there were some concerns regarding the authenticity of the VR training (i.e. to what extent the virtual patient reacts like a real patient), placebo and communication researchers, as well as healthcare providers, recognized the significant potential of the VR training for the future. CONCLUSIONS: We have developed an innovative and user-friendly communication training, consisting of an e-learning and VR training (2D and 3D), that can be used to teach healthcare providers how to optimize placebo effects and minimize nocebo effects through healthcare provider-patient communication. Future studies can work on improved authenticity, translate the training into other languages and cultures, expand with additional VR cases, and measure the expected effects on providers communication skills and subsequently patient outcomes.

A Fictionalist Account of Open-Label Placebo.

The placebo effect is now generally defined widely as an individual's response to the psychosocial context of a clinical treatment, as distinct from the treatment's characteristic physiological effects. Some researchers, however, argue that such a wide definition leads to confusion and misleading implications. In response, they propose a narrow definition restricted to the therapeutic effects of deliberate placebo treatments. Within the framework of modern medicine, such a scope currently leaves one viable placebo treatment paradigm: the non-deceptive and non-concealed administration of "placebo pills" or open-label placebo (OLP) treatment. In this paper, I consider how the placebo effect occurs in OLP. I argue that a traditional, belief-based account of OLP is paradoxical. Instead, I propose an account based on the non-doxastic attitude of pretence, understood within a fictionalist framework.

Double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled study to evaluate erenumab-specific central effects: an fMRI study.

OBJECTIVE: Given the findings of central effects of erenumab in the literature, we aimed to conduct a rigorous placebo-controlled, double-blind, randomized study to elucidate whether the observed changes are directly attributable to the drug. METHODS: We recruited 44 patients with migraine, randomly assigning them to either the erenumab 70 mg or the placebo group. 40 patients underwent fMRI scanning using a trigeminal nociceptive paradigm both, pre- and four weeks post-treatment. Participants kept a headache diary throughout the whole study period of two months in total. A clinical response was defined as a ≥30% reduction in headache frequency at follow-up. Details of this study have been preregistered in the open science framework: https://osf.io/ygf3t . RESULTS: Seven participants of the verum group (n=33.33%) and 4 of the placebo group (21.05%) experienced improvements in migraine activity, characterized by a minimum of 30% reduction in monthly headache frequency compared to baseline. The imaging data show an interaction between the verum medication and the response. Whilst numbers were too small for individual analyses (Verum vs. Placebo and Responder vs. Non-Responder), the variance-weighted analysis (Verum vs Placebo, scan before vs after weighted for response) revealed specific decrease in thalamic, opercular and putamen activity. INTERPRETATION: The central effects of erenumab could be reproduced in a placebo randomized design, further confirming its central role in migraine modulation. The mechanism, whether direct or secondary to peripheral mode of action, needs further exploration. It is important to note that the response rate to erenumab 70mg in this study was not as substantial as anticipated in 2019, when this study was planned. This resulted in a too small sample size for a subgroup analysis based on the responder status was associated with both the verum drug and the relative reduction in headache days.

[Should fire cutters be thrown into the fire ?] / Faut-il jeter au feu les coupeurs de feu ?

Spirituality (in addition to laughter) is inherent to humans. When their health deteriorates, especially in the field of oncology, people often seek help through it. Prayer is the most commonly used tool and is sometimes entrusted to a particular person believed to possess certain powers referred to as a «fire cutter¼. It is then used in a targeted manner against specific symptoms such as burns. No biophysical effects are known. This intercession brings secondary benefits (positive effects on anxiety, stress, placebo effect) that can improve the patients' health. It is not the healthcare provider's mission to prescribe these spiritual practices, but they should be able to recognize them and openly discuss with patient who choose to use them, knowing that a benefit is likely to be reached.

La spiritualité (en plus du rire) est le propre de l'homme. Quand son état de santé se dégrade, en particulier en cancérologie, il y cherche souvent une aide. La prière est l'outil le plus souvent utilisé. Elle est parfois confiée à une personne particulière dotée de certains pouvoirs appelée «coupeur de feu¼. La prière est alors utilisée de manière ciblée contre une symptomatologie spécifique type brûlure. Aucun effet biophysique n'est connu. Cette intercession amène des bénéfices secondaires (effet sur l'anxiété, le stress, effet placebo) à même d'améliorer l'état de santé des patients. Le soignant n'a pas pour mission de prescrire ces accompagnements qui relèvent du spirituel, mais doit savoir les reconnaître et en discuter de manière ouverte avec le patient y ayant recours, sachant qu'un bénéfice sera vraisemblablement au rendez-vous.

Therapeutic Misestimation in Patients with Degenerative Ataxia: Lessons from a Randomized Controlled Trial.

BACKGROUND: The absence of effective treatments may render patients with degenerative cerebellar ataxias susceptible to a placebo response, which could affect the outcome of clinical trials. OBJECTIVE: To retrospectively examine expectations of benefit in participants of an ataxia trial and identify determinants of possible therapeutic misestimation. METHODS: Individuals with spinocerebellar ataxia type 3 who participated in a randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled trial received a custom-designed questionnaire about short-term and long-term treatment expectations, allocation preferences, and interpretation of treatment arm assignment based on the presence or absence of clinical improvement. To evaluate whether expectations were specifically related to the application of cerebellar transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) or more generally reflect an overly positive attitude of patients with ataxia toward trial participation and results, the last questions involved a hypothetical scenario in which an oral drug was tested against placebo with an aim identical to that of our tDCS study. RESULTS: All 20 trial participants completed the questionnaire. If allocated to the active treatment arm, 75% of patients expected short-term health benefits and 55% thought they would still have less severe ataxia at 1-year follow-up compared with baseline. After 2 weeks, an average reduction in ataxia severity of 31.5% (standard deviation, 22.2%) was anticipated. Conversely, 65% associated a lack of improvement with probable or definite allocation to the placebo group. High expectations of benefit were neither related to the type of intervention nor to clinical or demographic characteristics. CONCLUSION: Therapeutic misestimation is common in patients with degenerative ataxia and requires special attention in future trials. © 2022 The Authors. Movement Disorders published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Parkinson and Movement Disorder Society.

Placebo effect on gait: a way to reduce the dual-task cost in older adults.

The ability to perform two tasks simultaneously is essential for daily activities. In older adults, this ability is markedly reduced, as evidenced by the dual-task cost on gait. Preliminary evidences indicate that the dual-task cost can be influenced by different types of manipulations. Here, we explored the effectiveness of a new approach to reduce the dual-task cost, based on the placebo effect, a psychobiological phenomenon whereby a positive outcome follows the administration of an inert device thought to be effective. Thirty-five healthy older adults were asked to walk on a sensorized carpet (single-task condition) and to walk while counting backward (dual-task condition) in two sessions (pre-test and post-test). A placebo group, randomly selected, underwent sham transcranial direct current stimulation over the supraorbital areas between sessions, along with information about its positive effects on concentration and attention. A control group did not receive any intervention between sessions. The dual-task cost was significantly reduced in the placebo group at the post-test session compared to the pre-test for several gait parameters (Cohen's d > 1.43). At the post-test session, the dual-task cost was also lower in the placebo group than in the control group (d > 0.73). Cognitive (number of subtractions and number of errors) and subjective (perceived mental fatigability) variables remained stable across sessions. The reduced dual-task cost in the placebo group could indicate the ability to re-establish the allocation of attentional resources between tasks. These findings could contribute to the development of cognitive strategies that leverage positive expectations to boost motor control in older adults.

Seeing Through the Blind: Belief about Treatment Randomization and Smoking Cessation Outcome among People with Current or Past Major Depressive Disorder who Smoke in a Placebo-Controlled Trial of Varenicline.

INTRODUCTION: Blinding participants to randomization is a cornerstone of science. However, participant beliefs about their allocation can influence outcomes. We examined blind integrity, the association between trial arm belief and cessation, and potential mechanisms linking treatment arm and treatment arm belief among people with major depressive disorder (MDD) who smoke receiving varenicline in a placebo-controlled trial. METHODS: 175 participants were asked at the end of treatment (EOT) if they thought they received placebo, varenicline, or were not sure. We assessed the relationship between treatment arm belief and actual treatment allocation, examined the association between treatment arm belief and EOT cessation, and evaluated changes in craving, withdrawal, side effects, depression symptoms, and smoking reward as mediators through which treatment arm was believed. RESULTS: Treatment arm belief was significantly associated with actual arm assignment (χ2(2)=13.0, p=0.002). Participants in the varenicline arm were >3 times as likely to believe they were taking varenicline, vs. "not sure" (RR=3.05 [1.41-6.60], p=0.005). Participants in the placebo arm were just as likely to believe they were taking placebo vs. "not sure" (χ2[2]=0.75, p=0.69). Controlling for treatment arm, belief that one received varenicline was significantly associated with an increase in cessation rate (OR=5.91 [2.06-16.92], p=0.001). Change in the rewarding experience of smoking may mediate participant ability to discern getting varenicline B=0.077 [0.002-0.192], p <0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Participants receiving varenicline can discern that they received varenicline and this belief is associated with higher cessation rates. Research is needed to continue to examine how participants correctly identify their allocation to varenicline.

Can placebo or nocebo pills improve or impair cognition performance?

OBJECTIVE: Although the placebo effect is well known to affect many behaviors, the effects on cognitive performance are less well investigated. METHODS: In this study, the effects of a placebo and a nocebo manipulation on cognitive performance was investigated in healthy young participants in an unblinded between-subjects study. In addition, the participants were asked about their subjective experience in the placebo and nocebo condition. RESULTS: The data suggested that the placebo condition induced the feeling of being more attentive and more motivated and the nocebo condition induced a feeling of being less attentive and alert and that they performed less well than normal. However, no placebo or nocebo effects were found on the actual performance on word learning, working memory, Tower of London task, or spatial pattern separation. CONCLUSIONS: These findings further support the notion that placebo or nocebo effects are not likely to occur in young healthy volunteers. However, other studies suggest that placebo effects can be found in implicit memory tasks and in participants with memory problems. Further placebo/nocebo studies are indicated using different experimental designs and different populations in order to better understand the placebo effect on cognitive performance.

Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Placebo Effect and its Correlates in Obsessive Compulsive Disorder.

BACKGROUND: Obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD) is a major mental health condition with a lifetime prevalence rate of 1.3% among adults. While placebo effects are well described for conditions such as depressive and anxiety disorders, they have not been systematically characterized in OCD. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to determine the impact of placebos in improving different symptom domains in patients with OCD. METHODS: We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, Ovid, the Cochrane Library, and Google Scholar databases/search engine from inception to January 2021 for randomized controlled trials of treatments for OCD with a placebo arm. A modified Cohen's effect size (ES) was calculated using change in baseline to endpoint scores for different measurement scales within placebo arms to estimate placebo effects and to investigate their correlates by random-effects model meta-analyses. RESULTS: Forty-nine clinical trials (placebo group n = 1993), reporting 80 OCD specific (153 measures in general) were included in the analysis. Overall placebo ES (95% confidence interval [CI]) was 0.32 (0.22-0.41) on OCD symptoms, with substantial heterogeneity (I-square = 96.1%). Among secondary outcomes, general scales, ES: 0.27 (95%CI: 0.14-0.41), demonstrated higher ES than anxiety and depression scales, ES: 0.14 (95%CI: -0.4 to 0.32) and 0.05 (95%CI: -0.05 to 0.14), respectively. Clinician-rated scales, ES: 0.27(95%CI: 0.20-0.34), had a higher ES than self-reported scales, ES: 0.07 (95%CI: -0.08 to 0.22). More recent publication year, larger placebo group sample size, shorter follow-up duration, and younger age of participants were all associated with larger placebo ES. Egger's test reflected possible small-study effect publication bias (P = 0.029). CONCLUSION: Placebo effects are modest in OCD trials and are larger in clinician ratings, for younger patients, and early in the treatment course. These findings underscore the need for clinicians and scientists to be mindful of placebo effects when formulating treatments or research trials for OCD. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION NUMBER: PROSPERO CRD42019125979.

Sodium bicarbonate induces alkalosis, but improves high-intensity cycling performance only when participants expect a beneficial effect: a placebo and nocebo study.

The study aimed to investigate the effects of sodium bicarbonate (NaHCO3) intake with divergent verbal and visual information on constant load cycling time-to-task failure, conducted within the severe intensity domain. Fifteen recreational cyclists participated in a randomized double-blind, crossover study, ingesting NaHCO3 or placebo (i.e., dextrose), but with divergent information about its likely influence (i.e., likely to induce ergogenic, inert, or harmful effects). Performance was evaluated using constant load cycling time to task failure trial at 115% of peak power output estimated during a ramp incremental exercise test. Data on blood lactate, blood acid-base balance, muscle electrical activity (EMG) through electromyography signal, and the twitch interpolation technique to assess neuromuscular indices were collected. Despite reduced peak force in the isometric maximal voluntary contraction and post-effort peripheral fatigue in all conditions (P < 0.001), neither time to task failure, EMG nor, blood acid-base balance differed between conditions (P > 0.05). Evaluation of effect sizes of all conditions suggested that informing participants that the supplement would be likely to have a positive effect (NaHCO3/Ergogenic: 0.46; 0.15-0.74; Dextrose/Ergogenic: 0.45; 0.04-0.88) resulted in improved performance compared to control. Thus, NaHCO3 ingestion consistently induced alkalosis, indicating that the physiological conditions to improve performance were present. Despite this, NaHCO3 ingestion did not influence performance or indicators of neuromuscular fatigue. In contrast, effect size estimates indicate that participants performed better when informed that they were ingesting an ergogenic supplement. These findings suggest that the apparently ergogenic effect of NaHCO3 may be due, at least in part, to a placebo effect.

The Interplay Between Expected Psychological Responses to Exercise and Physical Activity in Analogue Generalized Anxiety Disorder: a Cross-sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Expectations for psychological responses to exercise are not well characterized, particularly in people at risk for anxiety-related illnesses. Given the substantial evidence for salutary effects of exercise on anxiety symptoms and emerging recognition for expectations as a critical mechanism of placebo/nocebo effects, this study explored the interplay between expectations and physical activity in young adults with and without analogue generalized anxiety disorder. METHODS: Participants (N=470, 23.2±4.8 years, 63% female) completed a physical activity and mood survey, including a 7-day physical activity recall questionnaire, and a 20-item questionnaire designed to measure positive and negative expectations for psychological and perceptual responses to exercise, particularly expectations for symptoms in the generalized anxiety disorder symptom profile. Analogue generalized anxiety disorder status was determined using the Generalized Anxiety Disorder subscale of the Psychiatric Diagnostic Screening Questionnaire. RESULTS: For select outcomes, expected exercise-induced changes significantly differed according to analogue generalized anxiety disorder (whole-body pain, sleep quality, psychological well-being, stress, relaxation) and active versus inactive (anxious mood, depressed mood, concentration, physical function, psychological well-being, relaxation) status. However, these findings did not survive corrections for multiple comparisons and the magnitude of these differences was small, approximating 0.25 standard deviations. Expectations for anxious (Spearman's ρ=-0.14, p≤0.002) and depressed mood (ρ=-0.15, p≤0.002), and psychological well-being (ρ=0.15, p≤0.001) were significantly associated with higher physical activity levels. Exercise expectations for anxious mood explained a significant, but small (+1.5%, p≤0.03), amount of variance in physical activity. CONCLUSIONS: Expectations for exercise-induced improvements did not significantly differ between young adults based on analogue generalized anxiety disorder or physical activity status.

Placebo effects on all-cause mortality of patients with COVID-19 in randomized controlled trials of interleukin 6 antagonists: A systematic review and network meta-analysis.

AIM: Many randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have investigated the use of interleukin 6 antagonists for the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), yielding inconsistent results. This network meta-analysis (NMA) aimed to identify the source of these inconsistent results by reassessing whether participants treated with standard of care (SoC) plus placebo have different all-cause mortality from those treated with SoC alone and to reevaluate the efficacy of interleukin 6 antagonists in the treatment of COVID-19. METHODS: We conducted a systematic search for relevant RCTs from the inception of electronic databases through 1 September 2022. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. The secondary outcomes were the incidences of major medical events, secondary infections, all-cause discontinuation, and serious adverse events. RESULTS: The results of NMA of 33 RCTs showed that patients with COVID-19 treated with SoC plus placebo had lower odds of all-cause mortality than those who received SoC alone (OR, 0.75 [95% confidence interval, 0.58-0.97]). This finding remained consistent after excluding studies with no incident deaths. In addition, when we consider the impact of the widely promoted COVID-19 vaccination and newly developed antiviral treatment strategy, the results from the analysis of the RCT published in 2021 and 2022 remained similar. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest the potential influence of placebo effects on the treatment outcomes of COVID-19 in RCTs. When evaluating the efficacy of treatment strategies for COVID-19, it is crucial to consider the use of placebo in the design of clinical trials.

A meta-analysis on the characteristics of placebo effects on urinary function in placebo-controlled clinical trials among Japanese patients.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the effect sizes, changes over time, and ethnic differences in placebo effects on urinary function among Japanese patients participating in clinical trials. METHODS: A meta-analysis of 30 Japanese placebo-controlled clinical trials was conducted to determine the placebo effects on three functions: daily urinary frequency, nocturnal urinary frequency, and average urine volume per void. RESULTS: The I-square heterogeneity values for the basic values of the three functions ranged from 84.5% to 97.9%, with differences among trials. Longitudinal analysis (1 to 12 weeks) indicated an enhanced placebo effect for up to 8 weeks and no consistency among trials on nocturnal urinary frequency (p < 0.01), unlike those on daily urinary frequency and average urine volume per void (p = 1.0). Based on the random-effects model, the mean differences in urinary frequency at 4, 8, and 12 weeks were -0.70 (-0.80; -0.60), -1.06 (-1.16; -0.96), and -1.18 (-1.34; -1.01), respectively. Furthermore, the mean difference (95% confidence interval) in nocturnal urinary frequency and volume of urination per void at 12 weeks was -0.63 (-0.94; -0.31) and 9.67 (7.25; 12.1), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: My findings suggest an increase in the strength of placebo effects over time (up to 8 weeks). A comparison of my results to those published in previous global reports showed no meaningful differences in placebo effects among ethnic groups. The consistent placebo effect size on urinary function could be an external indicator in clinical trials.

Heterogeneity of placebo effects on urinary incontinence in overactive bladder syndrome: A meta-analysis of Japanese placebo-controlled clinical trials.

OBJECTIVES: The effect sizes, changes over time, and heterogeneity of placebo effects on frequency of urination for voiding disorders in Japanese clinical trials have been published. This study evaluated the characteristics of placebo effects on overall and urge incontinence in overactive bladder patients. METHODS: A meta-analysis of Japanese placebo-controlled clinical trials was conducted to determine placebo effects on the daily frequency of overall (n = 16) and urge (n = 11) incontinence and identify factors that should be considered in clinical trials. RESULTS: The between-study heterogeneity variance of placebo effects for overall and urge incontinence at 8 weeks was estimated as I2 = 70.3% and 64.2%, and the prediction interval for the ratio of means ranged from g = 0.31-0.91 and 0.32-0.81, respectively. Subgroup analysis using the random-effects model showed placebo effects in overall incontinence (p = 0.08) and urge incontinence (p < 0.0001). The ratio of means (95% confidence interval) of urge incontinence frequency from baseline to 4 (n = 10), 8 (n = 10), and 12 (n = 7) weeks were 0.65 (0.57, 0.74), 0.51 (0.42, 0.62), and 0.48 (0.36, 0.64), respectively, for the random-effects model. Regression analysis did not reveal any significant factors that influenced placebo effects. CONCLUSIONS: This meta-analysis confirmed the characterization of placebo effects on overall and urge incontinence, which demonstrates heterogeneity between trials. The impact of population, follow-up period, and endpoints on placebo effects should be considered when designing clinical trials for overactive bladder syndrome.