Moderating Effects of Informal Care on the Relationship Between ADL Limitations and Adverse Outcomes in Stroke Survivors.

BACKGROUND: Stroke survivors with limitations in activities of daily living (ADL) have a greater risk of experiencing falls, hospitalizations, or physical function decline. We examined how informal caregiving received in hours per week by stroke survivors moderated the relationship between ADL limitations and adverse outcomes. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort, community-dwelling participants were extracted from the National Health and Aging Trends Study (2011-2020; n=277) and included if they had at least 1 formal or informal caregiver and reported an incident stroke in the prior year. Participants reported the amount of informal caregiving received in the month prior (low [<5.8], moderate [5.8-27.1], and high [27.2-350.4] hours per week) and their number of ADL limitations (ranging from 0 to 7). Participants were surveyed 1 year later to determine the number of adverse outcomes (ie, falls, hospitalizations, and physical function decline) experienced over the year. Poisson regression coefficients were converted to average marginal effects and estimated the moderating effects of informal caregiving hours per week on the relationship between ADL limitations and adverse outcomes. RESULTS: Stroke survivors were 69.7% White, 54.5% female, with an average age of 80.5 (SD, 7.6) years and 1.2 adverse outcomes at 2 years after the incident stroke. The relationships between informal caregiving hours and adverse outcomes and between ADL limitations and adverse outcomes were positive. The interaction between informal caregiving hours per week and ADL limitations indicated that those who received the lowest amount of informal caregiving had a rate of 0.12 more adverse outcomes per ADL (average marginal effect, 0.12 [95% CI, 0.005-0.23]; P=0.041) than those who received the highest amounts. CONCLUSIONS: Informal caregiving hours moderated the relationship between ADL limitations and adverse outcomes in this sample of community-based stroke survivors. Higher amounts relative to lower amounts of informal caregiving hours per week may be protective by decreasing the rate of adverse outcomes per ADL limitation.

A Segmented Regression Analysis of Household Income and Recurrent Falls Among Adults in a National Cohort Study.

Falls can have life-altering consequences for older adults, including extended recovery periods and compromised independence. Higher household income may mitigate the risk of falls by providing financial resources for mobility tools, remediation of environmental hazards, and needed supports, or it may buffer the impact of an initial fall on subsequent risk through improved assistance and care. Household income has not had a consistently observed association with falls in older adults; however, a segmented association may exist such that associations are attenuated above a certain income threshold. In this study, we utilized segmented negative binomial regression analysis to examine the association between household income and recurrent falls among 2,302 participants in the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) Study recruited between 2003 and 2007. Income-fall association segments separated by changes in slope were considered. Model results indicated a 2-segment association between household income and recurrent falls in the past year. In the range below the breakpoint, household income was negatively associated with the rate of recurrent falls across all age groups examined; in a higher income range (from $20,000-$49,999 to ≥$150,000), the association was attenuated (weaker negative trend) or reversed (positive trend). These findings point to potential benefits of ensuring that incomes for lower-income adults exceed the threshold needed to confer a reduced risk of recurrent falls.

Global Prevalence of Fecal Incontinence in Community-Dwelling Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Fecal incontinence (FI) can considerably impair quality of life. Through a systematic review and meta-analysis, we sought to determine the global prevalence and geographic distribution of FI and to characterize its relationship with sex and age. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library databases to identify population-based surveys of the prevalence of FI. RESULTS: Of the 5175 articles identified, the final analysis included 80 studies; the median response rate was 66% (interquartile range [IQR], 54%-74%). Among 548,316 individuals, the pooled global prevalence of FI was 8.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 6.8%-9.2%); by Rome criteria, it was 5.4% (95% CI, 3.1%-7.7%). FI prevalence was greater for persons aged 60 years and older (9.3%; 95% CI, 6.6%-12.0%) compared with younger persons (4.9%; 95% CI, 2.9%-6.9%) (odds ratio [OR], 1.75; 95% CI, 1.39-2.20), and it was more prevalent among women (9.1%; 95% CI, 7.6%-10.6%) than men (7.4%; 95% CI, 6.0%-8.8%]) (OR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.06-1.28). The prevalence was highest in Australia and Oceania, followed by North America, Asia, and Europe, but prevalence could not be estimated in Africa and the Middle East. The risk of bias was low, moderate, and high for 19 (24%), 46 (57%), and 15 (19%) studies, respectively. Exclusion of studies with high risk of bias did not affect the prevalence of FI or heterogeneity. In the meta-regression, the high study heterogeneity (I2 = 99.61%) was partly explained by age. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 1 in 12 adults worldwide have FI. The prevalence is greater among women and older people.

Housing Characteristics and Hospital Admissions due to Falls on Stairs: A National Birth Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess associations between housing characteristics and risk of hospital admissions related to falls on/from stairs in children, to help inform prevention measures. STUDY DESIGN: An existing dataset of birth records linked to hospital admissions up to age 5 for a cohort of 3 925 737 children born in England between 2008 and 2014, was linked to postcode-level housing data from Energy Performance Certificates. Association between housing construction age, tenure (eg, owner occupied), and built form and risk of stair fall-related hospital admissions was estimated using Poisson regression. We stratified by age (<1 and 1-4 years), and adjusted for geographic region, Index of Multiple Deprivation, and maternal age. RESULTS: The incidence was higher in both age strata for children in neighborhoods with homes built before 1900 compared with homes built in 2003 or later (incidence rate ratio [IRR], 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10-1.77 [age <1 year], 1.20; 95% CI, 1.05-1.36 [age 1-4 years]). For those aged 1-4 years, the incidence was higher for those in neighborhoods with housing built between 1900 and 1929, compared with 2003 or later (IRR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.13-1.41), or with predominantly social-rented homes compared with owner occupied (IRR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.13-1.29). Neighborhoods with predominantly houses compared with flats had higher incidence (IRR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.08-1.42 [<1 year] and IRR 1.16; 95% CI, 1.08-1.25 [1-4 years]). CONCLUSIONS: Changes in building regulations may explain the lower fall incidence in newer homes compared with older homes. Fall prevention campaigns should consider targeting neighborhoods with older or social-rented housing. Future analyses would benefit from data linkage to individual homes, as opposed to local area level.

A custom-built step exergame training programme to prevent falls in people with multiple sclerosis: A multicentre randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Cognitive-motor step training can improve stepping, balance and mobility in people with multiple sclerosis (MS), but effectiveness in preventing falls has not been demonstrated. OBJECTIVES: This multisite randomised controlled trial aimed to determine whether 6 months of home-based step exergame training could reduce falls and improve associated risk factors compared with usual care in people with MS. METHODS: In total, 461 people with MS aged 22-81 years were randomly allocated to usual care (control) or unsupervised home-based step exergame training (120 minutes/week) for 6 months. The primary outcome was rate of falls over 6 months from randomisation. Secondary outcomes included physical, cognitive and psychosocial function at 6 months and falls over 12 months. RESULTS: Mean (standard deviation (SD)) weekly training duration was 70 (51) minutes over 6 months. Fall rates did not differ between intervention and control groups (incidence rates (95% confidence interval (CI)): 2.13 (1.57-2.69) versus 2.24 (1.35-3.13), respectively, incidence rate ratio: 0.96 (95% CI: 0.69-1.34, p = 0.816)). Intervention participants performed faster in tests of choice-stepping reaction time at 6 months. No serious training-related adverse events were reported. CONCLUSION: The step exergame training programme did not reduce falls among people with MS. However, it significantly improved choice-stepping reaction time which is critical to ambulate safely in daily life environment.

A Narrative Review Investigating Practices and Disparities in Child Abuse Amongst United States Pediatric Trauma Patients & Associated Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: Although non-accidental trauma continues to be a leading cause of morbidity and mortality among children in the United States, the underlying factors leading to NAT are not well characterized. We aim to review reporting practices, clinical outcomes, and associated disparities among pediatric trauma patients experiencing NAT. METHODS: A literature search utilizing PubMed, Google Scholar, EMBASE, ProQuest, and Cochrane was conducted from database inception until April 6, 2023. This review includes studies that assessed pediatric (age <18) trauma patients treated for NAT in the United States emergency departments. The evaluated outcome was in-hospital mortality rates stratified by race, age, sex, insurance status, and socioeconomic advantage. RESULTS: The literature search yielded 2641 initial articles, and after screening and applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 15 articles remained. African American pediatric trauma patients diagnosed with NAT had higher mortality odds than white patients, even when adjusting for comparable injury severity. Children older than 12 mo experienced higher mortality rates compared to those younger than 12 mo, although some studies did not find a significant association between age and mortality. Uninsured insurance status was associated with the highest mortality rate, followed by Medicaid and private insurance. No significant association between sex and mortality or socioeconomic advantage and mortality was observed. CONCLUSIONS: Findings showed higher in-hospital mortality among African American pediatric trauma patients experiencing child abuse, and in patients 12 mo or older. Medicaid and uninsured pediatric patients faced higher mortality odds from their abuse compared to privately insured patients.

Considering Adverse Effects of Common Antihypertensive Medications in the ED.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: To evaluate the adverse effects of common antihypertensive agents utilized or encountered in the Emergency Department. RECENT FINDINGS: All categories of antihypertensive agents may manifest adverse effects, inclusive of adverse drug reactions (ADRs), drug-to-drug interactions, or accidental overdose. Adverse effects, and specifically ADRs, may be stratified into the organ systems affected, might require specific time-sensitive interventions, could pose particular risks to vulnerable populations, and may result in significant morbidity, and potential mortality. Adverse effects of common antihypertensive agents may be encountered in the ED, necessitating that ED systems of care are poised to prevent, recognize, and intervene when adverse effects arise.

Effectiveness of low dose computed tomography to detect fractures in paediatric suspected physical abuse: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: The skeletal survey X-ray series is the current 'gold standard' when investigating suspected physical abuse (SPA) of children, in addition to a non-contrast computed tomography (CT) brain scan. This systematic literature review synthesised findings of published research to determine if low dose computed tomography (LDCT) could detect subtle fractures and therefore replace the skeletal survey X-ray series in the investigation of SPA in children aged under 3 years. METHODS: Five electronic databases and grey literature were systematically searched from their inception to 28 April 2022. Primary studies were included where the population comprised paediatric patients up to 16 years and LDCT was used to detect fractures associated with SPA. Studies involving imaging investigations of the head, standard dose CT examinations or accidental trauma were excluded. RESULTS: Three studies met the inclusion criteria, all of which were case series. These studies did not report many of the criteria required to compare the accuracy of LDCT to X-ray, i.e. they did not meet the criteria for a diagnostic accuracy test. Therefore, it is difficult to conclude from the case series if LDCT is accurate enough to replace X-rays. CONCLUSION: Due to the gap in current literature, a phantom study and subsequent post-mortem CT study are recommended as the primary investigative methods to assess the ability of low-dose CT to identify the subtle fractures associated with SPA and to calculate how low the achievable CT dose can be.

Challenges of regulating commercial use of marine elapid snakes in the Indo-Pacific.

Marine elapid snakes are a diverse, predominantly Indo-West Pacific species group. The persistent removal of some species has an unquantified but potentially dire impact on populations. We conducted the first comprehensive review of the trade in marine elapid snakes based on published literature (1974-2022) and trade data from the only species (i.e., Hydrophis [Lapemis] curtus) whose trade is monitored internationally. Some species and populations were subjected to targeted harvest for their meat and skins for at least the last century; fisheries are possibly the most significant threat to populations of marine elapids, with the highest numbers being exploited either accidentally, incidentally, or opportunistically in Southeast Asian fisheries targeting other seafood, including demersal trawl and squid fisheries. Southeast Asia is the core region for exploitation of marine elapids. Annual offtake is >225,000 individuals of at least 8 species in the Gulf of Thailand. Of 72 recognized marine elapids (all non-CITES [Convention on International Trade in Endangered Species of Wild Fauna and Flora] species), Hydrophis curtus and Hydrophis cyanocinctus dominate the skin trade. Skins of H. curtus are traded mainly in East and Southeast Asia and, to some extent, Europe. Despite some baseline information on the trade of these species, the sustainability of their harvests, particularly in the context of the burgeoning and unmanaged nature of fisheries in the region, remains the major challenge. In an era of declining fish stocks, there has been an increasing trend to commercialize the harvest and use marine elapids that were once considered accidental bycatch and discarded. This trend will continue to pose a significant risk to these snakes unless appropriate fisheries and trade regulations are enforced. Applying the precautionary principle to prevent the overexploitation of sea snakes is an indispensable measure in which trade in regional populations should be regulated through CITES. Accordingly, management plans to identify core distribution regions of exploited species would be crucial for assigning national responsibilities to sustain species and populations in the long term.

Retos para la regulación del uso comercial de serpientes elápidas marinas en el Indo­Pacífico Resumen Las serpientes elápidas marinas son un grupo diverso de especies, predominante en el Indo­Pacífico Occidental. La eliminación persistente de algunas especies tiene un impacto no cuantificado pero potencialmente negativo sobre las poblaciones. Realizamos la primera revisión exhaustiva del comercio de serpientes elápidas marinas con base en la bibliografía publicada (1974­2022) y en los datos comerciales de la única especie (Hydrophis [Lapemis] curtus) cuyo mercado tiene monitoreo internacional. Algunas especies y poblaciones fueron objeto de capturas selectivas por su carne y pieles durante al menos el siglo pasado, las pesquerías son posiblemente la amenaza más importante para las poblaciones de elápidos marinos, ya que el mayor número se explota de forma accidental, incidental u oportunista en las pesquerías del sudeste asiático enfocadas en otros mariscos, incluidas las pesquerías demersales de arrastre y de calamar. El sudeste asiático es la principal región de explotación de elápidos marinos. La captura anual es >225,000 individuos de al menos ocho especies en el Golfo de Tailandia. De los 72 elápidos marinos reconocidos (ninguna especie está en CITES [Convención sobre el Comercio Internacional de Especies Amenazadas de Fauna y Flora Silvestres]), Hydrophis curtus e H. cyanocinctus dominan el mercado de pieles. La piel de H. curtus se comercializa principalemnte en el este y sudeste asiático y, hasta cierto punto, en Europa. Aunque se dispone de cierta información de referencia sobre el comercio de estas especies, la sostenibilidad de sus capturas, sobre todo en el contexto del auge y la falta de gestión de la pesca en la región, sigue siendo el principal reto. En una época de disminución de las poblaciones de peces, ha aumentado la tendencia a comercializar la captura y el uso de elápidos marinos que antes se consideraban capturas accidentales y se descartaban. Esta tendencia seguirá representando un riesgo importante para estas serpientes a menos que se apliquen las regulaciones pesqueras y comerciales adecuadas. La aplicación del principio de precaución para evitar la sobreexplotación de las serpientes marinas es una medida indispensable para regular el comercio de las poblaciones regionales a través de CITES. Por lo tanto, los planes de gestión para identificar las regiones núcleo de distribución de las especies explotadas serían cruciales para asignar responsabilidades nacionales para mantener las especies y las poblaciones a largo plazo.

Simulating drifting fish aggregating device trajectories to identify potential interactions with endangered sea turtles.

Purse-seine fishers using drifting fish aggregating devices (dFADs), mainly built with bamboo, plastic buoys, and plastic netting, to aggregate and catch tropical tuna, deploy 46,000-65,000 dFADs per year in the Pacific Ocean. Some of the major concerns associated with this widespread fishing device are potential entanglement of sea turtles and other marine fauna in dFAD netting; marine debris and pollution; and potential ecological damage via stranding on coral reefs, beaches, and other essential habitats for marine fauna. To assess and quantify the potential connectivity (number of dFADs deployed in an area and arriving in another area) between dFAD deployment areas and important oceanic or coastal habitat of critically endangered leatherback (Dermochelys coriacea) and hawksbill (Eretmochelys imbricata) sea turtles in the Pacific Ocean, we conducted passive-drift Lagrangian experiments with simulated dFAD drift profiles and compared them with known important sea turtle areas. Up to 60% of dFADs from equatorial areas were arriving in essential sea turtle habitats. Connectivity was less when only areas where dFADs are currently deployed were used. Our simulations identified potential regions of dFAD interactions with migration and feeding habitats of the east Pacific leatherback turtle in the tropical southeastern Pacific Ocean; coastal habitats of leatherback and hawksbill in the western Pacific (e.g., archipelagic zones of Indonesia, Papua New Guinea, and Solomon Islands); and foraging habitat of leatherback in a large equatorial area south of Hawaii. Additional research is needed to estimate entanglements of sea turtles with dFADs at sea and to quantify the likely changes in connectivity and distribution of dFADs under new management measures, such as use of alternative nonentangling dFAD designs that biodegrade, or changes in deployment strategies, such as shifting locations.

Simulación de las trayectorias de dispositivos de concentración de peces a la deriva para identificar las interacciones potenciales con las tortugas marinas en peligro de extinción Resumen Los pescadores que usan redes de cerco con dispositivos de concentración de peces a la deriva (dFADs), hechos principalmente con bambú, boyas de plástico y redes de plástico, para concentrar y capturar atún, instalan entre 46,000 y 65,000 dFADs al año en el Océano Pacífico. Algunas de las problemáticas principales asociadas con este dispositivo de pesca de uso extenso son el enredamiento potencial de tortugas marinas y otras especies marinas en las redes de los dFADs; los desechos marinos y la contaminación; y el potencial daño ecológico por el varamiento en los arrecifes de coral, playas y otros hábitats esenciales para la fauna marina. Realizamos experimentos lagrangianos de deriva pasiva con la simulación de perfiles de deriva de los dFADs y los comparamos con áreas conocidas de importancia para las tortugas marinas. Esto fue con el objetivo de evaluar y cuantificar la conectividad potencial (número de dFADs instalados en un área que llegan a otra área) entre las áreas de instalación de dFADs y los hábitats oceánicos o costeros importantes para la tortuga laúd (Dermochelys coriacea) y la tortuga de carey (Eretmochelys imbricata), ambas en peligro crítico de extinción, en el Océano Pacífico. Hasta el 60% de los dFADs de las áreas ecuatoriales llegaron a los hábitats esenciales para las tortugas marinas. La conectividad fue menor sólo cuando se usaron áreas en donde actualmente hay dFADs instalados. Nuestras simulaciones identificaron regiones potenciales de interacción entre los dFADs y los hábitats de migración y alimentación de la tortuga laúd en el sureste tropical del Océano Pacífico; los hábitats costeros de ambas especies en el Pacífico occidental (p. ej.: zonas de archipiélagos en Indonesia, Papúa Nueva Guinea y en las Islas Salomón); y en el hábitat de forrajeo de la tortuga laúd en una gran área ecuatorial al sur de Hawái. Se requiere de mayor investigación para estimar el enredamiento de las tortugas marinas con los dFADs en el mar y para cuantificar los cambios probables en la conectividad y la distribución de los dFADs bajo nuevas medidas de manejo, como el uso alternativo de diseños que eviten el enredamiento y sean biodegradables, o cambios en las estrategias de instalación, como la reubicación.

Natural Attenuation Potential of Vinyl Chloride and Butyl Acrylate Released in the East Palestine, Ohio Train Derailment Accident.

The East Palestine, Ohio train derailment released toxic vinyl chloride (VC) and butyl acrylate (BA), which entered the watershed. Streambed sediment, surface water, and private well water samples were collected 128 and 276 days postaccident to assess the natural attenuation potential of VC and BA by quantifying biodegradation biomarker genes and conducting microcosm treatability studies. qPCR detected the aerobic VC degradation biomarkers etnC in ∼40% and etnE in ∼27% of sediments collected in both sampling campaigns in abundances reaching 105 gene copies g-1. The 16S rRNA genes of organohalide-respiring Dehalococcoides and Dehalogenimonas were, respectively, detected in 50 and 64% of sediment samples collected 128 days postaccident and in 63 and 88% of sediment samples collected 276 days postaccident, in abundances reaching 107 cells g-1. Elevated detection frequencies of VC degradation biomarker genes were measured immediately downstream of the accident site (i.e., Sulphur Run). Aerobic VC degradation occurred in all sediment microcosms and coincided with increases of etnC/etnE genes and Mycobacterium, a genus comprising aerobic VC degraders. The conversion of VC to ethene and an increased abundance of VC reductive dechlorination biomarker genes were observed in microcosms established with sediments collected from Sulphur Run. All anoxic microcosms rapidly degraded BA to innocuous products with intermediate formation of n-butanol and acrylate. The results indicate that microbiomes in the East Palestine watershed have natural attenuation capacity for VC and BA. Recommendations are made to improve first-response actions in future contaminant release accidents of this magnitude.

In vivo video microscopy of the rupturing process of thin blood vessels to clarify the mechanism of bruising caused by blunt impact: an animal study.

BACKGROUND: The thresholds of mechanical inputs for bruising caused by blunt impact are important in the fields of machine safety and forensics. However, reliable data on these thresholds remain inadequate owing to a lack of in vivo experiments, which are crucial for investigating the occurrence of bruising. Since experiments involving live human participants are limited owing to ethical concerns, finite-element method (FEM) simulations of the bruising mechanism should be used to compensate for the lack of experimental data by estimating the thresholds under various conditions, which requires clarifying the mechanism of formation of actual bruises. Therefore, this study aimed to visualize the mechanism underlying the formation of bruises caused by blunt impact to enable FEM simulations to estimate the thresholds of mechanical inputs for bruising. METHODS: In vivo microscopy of a transparent glass catfish subjected to blunt contact with an indenter was performed. The fish were anesthetized by immersing them in buffered MS-222 (75-100 mg/L) and then fixed on a subject tray. The indenter, made of transparent acrylic and having a rectangular contact area with dimensions of 1.0 mm × 1.5 mm, was loaded onto the lateral side of the caudal region of the fish. Blood vessels and surrounding tissues were examined through the transparent indenter using a microscope equipped with a video camera. The contact force was measured using a force-sensing table. RESULTS: One of the processes of rupturing thin blood vessels, which are an essential component of the bruising mechanism, was observed and recorded as a movie. The soft tissue surrounding the thin blood vessel extended in a plane perpendicular to the compressive contact force. Subsequently, the thin blood vessel was pulled into a straight configuration. Next, it was stretched in the axial direction and finally ruptured. CONCLUSION: The results obtained indicate that the extension of the surrounding tissue in the direction perpendicular to the contact force as well as the extension of the thin blood vessels are important factors in the bruising mechanism, which must be reproduced by FEM simulation to estimate the thresholds.

Shedding Light on Hidden Methamphetamine Abuse: A Nation-wide 7-year Post-mortem Study in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: The number of methamphetamine-related deaths has been increasing in recent decades. However, current data primarily rely on a few large-scale national surveys, highlighting the need for diverse data sources. Post-mortem studies offer advantages that compensate for the limitations of cohort studies. In this study, we aimed to (1) examine mortality rates and years of potential life lost, (2) compare proportionate mortality with previous cohort studies, and (3) quantitatively investigate causes of death as potential risk factors associated with each manner of death. METHODS: We analyzed 740 cases from 2013 to 2019 in Taiwan. RESULTS: The mean age of cases was 38.4 years, with a notable loss of 30 or more years of potential life, and 79.6% were male. The crude mortality rate was 0.45 per 100,000 person-years. The proportionate mortality indicated that autopsy dataset, compared to cohort studies, provided more accurate estimations for accidental deaths, equivalent suicides, underestimated natural deaths, and overestimated homicides. Accidental deaths were evident in 67% of cases with 80% attributed to drug intoxication. Multiple substances were detected in 61% of cases, with psychiatric medications detected in 43% of cases. Higher methamphetamine concentrations and a greater proportion of multiple substances and benzodiazepines were detected in suicidal deaths. Among accidental deaths, traffic accidents (7.9%) were the second most common cause, particularly motorcycle riders. CONCLUSION: Using autopsy dataset as a secondary source, we identified that over half of the cases involved drug intoxication-related accidental deaths. The significant proportion of cases involving multiple substances, psychiatric medications, and drug-impaired driving raises concerns.

Two simple modifications to the World Falls Guidelines algorithm improves its ability to stratify older people into low, intermediate and high fall risk groups.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a secondary analysis of a cohort study to examine the World Falls Guidelines algorithm's ability to stratify older people into sizable fall risk groups or whether minor modifications were necessary to achieve this. METHODS: Six hundred and ninety-three community-living people aged 70-90 years (52.4% women) were stratified into low, intermediate and high fall risk groups using the original algorithm and a modified algorithm applying broader Timed Up and Go test screening with a >10-s cut point (originally >15 s). Prospective fall rates and physical and neuropsychological performance among the three groups were compared. RESULTS: The original algorithm was not able to identify three sizable groups, i.e. only five participants (0.7%) were classified as intermediate risk. The modified algorithm classified 349 participants (50.3%) as low risk, 127 participants (18.3%) as intermediate risk and 217 participants (31.3%) as high risk. The sizable intermediate-risk group had physical and neuropsychological characteristics similar to the high-risk group, but a fall rate similar to the low-risk group. The high-risk group had a significantly higher rate of falls than both the low- [incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 2.52, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.99-3.20] and intermediate-risk groups (IRR = 2.19, 95% CI = 1.58-3.03). CONCLUSION: A modified algorithm stratified older people into three sizable fall risk groups including an intermediate group who may be at risk of transitioning to high fall rates in the medium to long term. These simple modifications may assist in better triaging older people to appropriate and tailored fall prevention interventions.

Considerations across multiple stakeholder groups when implementing fall prevention programs in the acute hospital setting: a qualitative study.

BACKGROUND: Falls in hospital remain a common and costly patient safety issue internationally. There is evidence that falls in hospitals can be prevented by multifactorial programs and by education for patients and staff, but these are often not routinely or effectively implemented in practice. Perspectives of multiple key stakeholder groups could inform implementation of fall prevention strategies. METHODS: Clinicians of different disciplines, patients and their families were recruited from wards at two acute public hospitals. Semi-structured interviews and focus groups were conducted to gain a broad understanding of participants' perspectives about implementing fall prevention programs. Data were analysed using an inductive thematic approach. RESULTS: Data from 50 participants revealed three key themes across the stakeholder groups shaping implementation of acute hospital fall prevention programs: (i) 'Fall prevention is a priority, but whose?' where participants agreed falls in hospital should be addressed but did not necessarily see themselves as responsible for this; (ii) 'Disempowered stakeholders' where participants expressed feeling frustrated and powerless with fall prevention in acute hospital settings; and (iii) 'Shared responsibility may be a solution' where participants were optimistic about the positive impact of collective action on effectively implementing fall prevention strategies. CONCLUSION: Key stakeholder groups agree that hospital fall prevention is a priority, however, challenges related to role perception, competing priorities, workforce pressure and disempowerment mean fall prevention may often be neglected in practice. Improving shared responsibility for fall prevention implementation across disciplines, organisational levels and patients, family and staff may help overcome this.

Hospital falls clinical practice guidelines: a global analysis and systematic review.

BACKGROUND: Hospital falls continue to be a persistent global issue with serious harmful consequences for patients and health services. Many clinical practice guidelines now exist for hospital falls, and there is a need to appraise recommendations. METHOD: A systematic review and critical appraisal of the global literature was conducted, compliant with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. Web of Science, Embase, CINAHL, MEDLINE, Epistemonikos, Infobase of Clinical Practice Guidelines, Cochrane CENTRAL and PEDro databases were searched from 1 January 1993 to 1 February 2024. The quality of guidelines was assessed by two independent reviewers using Appraisal of Guidelines for Research and Evaluation Global Rating Scale and Appraisal of Guidelines of Research and Evaluation Recommendation Excellence (AGREE-REX). Certainty of findings was rated using Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation Confidence in Evidence from Reviews of Qualitative Research. Data were analysed using thematic synthesis. RESULTS: 2404 records were screened, 77 assessed for eligibility, and 20 hospital falls guidelines were included. Ten had high AGREE-REX quality scores. Key analytic themes were as follows: (i) there was mixed support for falls risk screening at hospital admission, but scored screening tools were no longer recommended; (ii) comprehensive falls assessment was recommended for older or frail patients; (iii) single and multifactorial falls interventions were consistently recommended; (iv) a large gap existed in patient engagement in guideline development and implementation; (v) barriers to implementation included ambiguities in how staff and patient falls education should be conducted, how delirium and dementia are managed to prevent falls, and documentation of hospital falls. CONCLUSION: Evidence-based hospital falls guidelines are now available, yet systematic implementation across the hospital sector is more limited. There is a need to ensure an integrated and consistent approach to evidence-based falls prevention for a diverse range of hospital patients.

Topic evolution before fall incidents in new fallers through natural language processing of general practitioners' clinical notes.

BACKGROUND: Falls involve dynamic risk factors that change over time, but most studies on fall-risk factors are cross-sectional and do not capture this temporal aspect. The longitudinal clinical notes within electronic health records (EHR) provide an opportunity to analyse fall risk factor trajectories through Natural Language Processing techniques, specifically dynamic topic modelling (DTM). This study aims to uncover fall-related topics for new fallers and track their evolving trends leading up to falls. METHODS: This case-cohort study utilised primary care EHR data covering information on older adults between 2016 and 2019. Cases were individuals who fell in 2019 but had no falls in the preceding three years (2016-18). The control group was randomly sampled individuals, with similar size to the cases group, who did not endure falls during the whole study follow-up period. We applied DTM on the clinical notes collected between 2016 and 2018. We compared the trend lines of the case and control groups using the slopes, which indicate direction and steepness of the change over time. RESULTS: A total of 2,384 fallers (cases) and an equal number of controls were included. We identified 25 topics that showed significant differences in trends between the case and control groups. Topics such as medications, renal care, family caregivers, hospital admission/discharge and referral/streamlining diagnostic pathways exhibited a consistent increase in steepness over time within the cases group before the occurrence of falls. CONCLUSIONS: Early recognition of health conditions demanding care is crucial for applying proactive and comprehensive multifactorial assessments that address underlying causes, ultimately reducing falls and fall-related injuries.

A systematic review of fall prediction models for community-dwelling older adults: comparison between models based on research cohorts and models based on routinely collected data.

BACKGROUND: Prediction models can identify fall-prone individuals. Prediction models can be based on either data from research cohorts (cohort-based) or routinely collected data (RCD-based). We review and compare cohort-based and RCD-based studies describing the development and/or validation of fall prediction models for community-dwelling older adults. METHODS: Medline and Embase were searched via Ovid until January 2023. We included studies describing the development or validation of multivariable prediction models of falls in older adults (60+). Both risk of bias and reporting quality were assessed using the PROBAST and TRIPOD, respectively. RESULTS: We included and reviewed 28 relevant studies, describing 30 prediction models (23 cohort-based and 7 RCD-based), and external validation of two existing models (one cohort-based and one RCD-based). The median sample sizes for cohort-based and RCD-based studies were 1365 [interquartile range (IQR) 426-2766] versus 90 441 (IQR 56 442-128 157), and the ranges of fall rates were 5.4% to 60.4% versus 1.6% to 13.1%, respectively. Discrimination performance was comparable between cohort-based and RCD-based models, with the respective area under the receiver operating characteristic curves ranging from 0.65 to 0.88 versus 0.71 to 0.81. The median number of predictors in cohort-based final models was 6 (IQR 5-11); for RCD-based models, it was 16 (IQR 11-26). All but one cohort-based model had high bias risks, primarily due to deficiencies in statistical analysis and outcome determination. CONCLUSIONS: Cohort-based models to predict falls in older adults in the community are plentiful. RCD-based models are yet in their infancy but provide comparable predictive performance with no additional data collection efforts. Future studies should focus on methodological and reporting quality.

Weight-adjusted waist index as a practical predictor for diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and non-accidental mortality risk.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Identifying a more suitable marker among various measures of adiposity, demonstrating strong associations and predictive ability for clinical use, remains a topic of debate. Weight-adjusted waist index (WWI) has been proposed as a novel index of adiposity, yet its exploration is limited, especially in Chinese populations. This study seeks to examine the associations between body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), waist-to-height ratio (WHTR), weight-adjusted waist index (WWI), waist circumference divided by body mass to the power of 0.333 (WC/M0.333), visceral adiposity index (VAI), lipid accumulation product (LAP), and the incidence of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and non-accidental mortality in Chinese populations. Furthermore, our goal is to compare the respective predictive values of these measures for these health outcomes. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospective cohort study included 21,750 subjects with a 9-year follow-up period. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate the relationship between eight anthropometric indexes and the incidence of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and non-accidental mortality. The predictive value of these eight indexes was compared using the area under the curve metric. Significant positive associations were found between WWI and the risk of diabetes. Using the first quartile (Q1) of WWI as the reference group, hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals for the risk of diabetes were 1.58 (0.98-2.55) for Q2, 2.18 (1.34-3.35) for Q3, and 2.27 (1.41-3.67) for Q4. Significant associations were observed with the highest quartile of WWI for the risk of cardiovascular disease [Q2: HR 1.45 (95% CI 1.06-1.98); Q3: 1.33 (0.97-1.83); Q4: 1.55 (1.13-2.14)] and risk of non-accidental mortality [Q2: 0.94 (0.80-1.11); Q3: 1.24 (1.04-1.48); Q4: 1.44 (1.16-1.79)]. Receiver operating characteristic analysis revealed that WWI exhibited superior discrimination and accuracy in predicting cardiovascular disease and non-accidental mortality compared to other adiposity indexes (BMI, WC, WHR, WHTR, WC/M0.333, VAI, and LAP). CONCLUSION: WWI exhibited the most robust and consistent association with the incidence of cardiovascular disease and non-accidental mortality. Given its simplicity and widespread use, WWI emerges as a novel and practical predictor of diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and non-accidental mortality among the eight adiposity indexes investigated in this study.

Validation of the Saga Fall Injury Risk Model.

Background: Predicting fall injuries can mitigate the sequelae of falls and potentially utilize medical resources effectively. This study aimed to externally validate the accuracy of the Saga Fall Injury Risk Model (SFIRM), consisting of six factors including age, sex, emergency transport, medical referral letter, Bedriddenness Rank, and history of falls, assessed upon admission. Methods: This was a two-center, prospective, observational study. We included inpatients aged 20 years or older in two hospitals, an acute and a chronic care hospital, from October 2018 to September 2019. The predictive performance of the model was evaluated by calculating the area under the curve (AUC), 95% confidence interval (CI), and shrinkage coefficient of the entire study population. The minimum sample size of this study was 2,235 cases. Results: A total of 3,549 patients, with a median age of 78 years, were included in the analysis, and men accounted for 47.9% of all the patients. Among these, 35 (0.99%) had fall injuries. The performance of the SFIRM, as measured by the AUC, was 0.721 (95% CI: 0.662-0.781). The observed fall incidence closely aligned with the predicted incidence calculated using the SFIRM, with a shrinkage coefficient of 0.867. Conclusions: The external validation of the SFIRM in this two-center, prospective study showed good discrimination and calibration. This model can be easily applied upon admission and is valuable for fall injury prediction.