A Molecular Signature in Blood Reveals a Role for p53 in Regulating Malaria-Induced Inflammation.

Immunity that controls parasitemia and inflammation during Plasmodium falciparum (Pf) malaria can be acquired with repeated infections. A limited understanding of this complex immune response impedes the development of vaccines and adjunctive therapies. We conducted a prospective systems biology study of children who differed in their ability to control parasitemia and fever following Pf infection. By integrating whole-blood transcriptomics, flow-cytometric analysis, and plasma cytokine and antibody profiles, we demonstrate that a pre-infection signature of B cell enrichment, upregulation of T helper type 1 (Th1) and Th2 cell-associated pathways, including interferon responses, and p53 activation associated with control of malarial fever and coordinated with Pf-specific immunoglobulin G (IgG) and Fc receptor activation to control parasitemia. Our hypothesis-generating approach identified host molecules that may contribute to differential clinical outcomes during Pf infection. As a proof of concept, we have shown that enhanced p53 expression in monocytes attenuated Plasmodium-induced inflammation and predicted protection from fever.

Detection and Clearance of Type-Specific and Phylogenetically Related Genital Human Papillomavirus Infections in Young Women in New Heterosexual Relationships.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the natural history of human papillomavirus (HPV) infections is essential to cervical cancer prevention planning. We estimated HPV type-specific infection detection and clearance in young women. METHODS: The HPV Infection and Transmission among Couples through Heterosexual activity (HITCH) study is a prospective cohort of 502 college-age women who recently initiated a heterosexual relationship. We tested vaginal samples collected at 6 clinical visits over 24 months for 36 HPV types. Using rates and Kaplan-Meier analysis, we estimated time-to-event statistics with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for detection of incident infections and clearance of incident and present-at-baseline infections (separately). We conducted analyses at the woman- and HPV-levels, with HPV types grouped by phylogenetic relatedness. RESULTS: By 24 months, we detected incident infections in 40.4% (CI, 33.4%-48.4%) of women. Incident subgenus 1 (43.4; CI, 33.6-56.4), 2 (47.1; CI, 39.9-55.5), and 3 (46.6; CI, 37.7-57.7) infections cleared at similar rates per 1000 infection-months. We observed similar homogeny in HPV-level clearance rates among present-at-baseline infections. CONCLUSIONS: Our analyses provide type-specific infection natural history estimates for cervical cancer prevention planning. HPV-level analyses did not clearly indicate that high oncogenic risk subgenus 2 infections persist longer than their low oncogenic risk subgenera 1 and 3 counterparts.

Effectiveness of the 2023-2024 Formulation of the COVID-19 Messenger RNA Vaccine.

BACKGROUND: The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether the 2023-2024 formulation of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) messenger RNA vaccine protects against COVID-19. METHODS: Cleveland Clinic employees when the 2023-2024 formulation of the COVID-19 messenger RNA vaccine became available to employees were included. Cumulative incidence of COVID-19 over the following 17 weeks was examined prospectively. Protection provided by vaccination (analyzed as a time-dependent covariate) was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression, with time-dependent coefficients used to separate effects before and after the JN.1 lineage became dominant. The analysis was adjusted for the propensity to get tested, age, sex, pandemic phase when the last prior COVID-19 episode occurred, and the number of prior vaccine doses. RESULTS: Among 48 210 employees, COVID-19 occurred in 2462 (5.1%) during the 17 weeks of observation. In multivariable analysis, the 2023-2024 formula vaccinated state was associated with a significantly lower risk of COVID-19 before the JN.1 lineage became dominant (hazard ratio = .58; 95% confidence interval [CI] = .49-.68; P < .001), and lower risk but one that did not reach statistical significance after (hazard ratio = .81; 95% CI = .65-1.01; P = .06). Estimated vaccine effectiveness was 42% (95% CI = 32-51) before the JN.1 lineage became dominant, and 19% (95% CI = -1-35) after. Risk of COVID-19 was lower among those previously infected with an XBB or more recent lineage and increased with the number of vaccine doses previously received. CONCLUSIONS: The 2023-2024 formula COVID-19 vaccine given to working-aged adults afforded modest protection overall against COVID-19 before the JN.1 lineage became dominant, and less protection after.

The Puerto Rico Young Adults' Stress, Contextual, Behavioral & Cardiometabolic Risk (PR-OUTLOOK) Study: Design and Methods.

The Puerto Rico (PR) Young Adults' Stress, Contextual, Behavioral & Cardiometabolic Risk Study (PR-OUTLOOK) is investigating overall and component-specific cardiovascular health (CVH) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors in a sample of young (age 18-29) Puerto Rican adults in PR (target n=3,000) and examining relationships between individual-, family/social- and neighborhood-level stress and resilience factors and CVH and CVD risk factors. The study is conducting standardized measurements of CVH and CVD risk factors and demographic, behavioral, psychosocial, neighborhood, and contextual variables and establishing a biorepository of blood, saliva, urine, stool, and hair samples. The assessment methods are aligned with other National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute funded studies: the Puerto Rico Observational Study of Psychosocial, Environmental, and Chronic Disease Trends (PROSPECT) of adults 30-75 years, the Hispanic Community Health Study/Study of Latinos (HCHS/SOL), the Boston Puerto Rican Health Study (BPRHS), and the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA). PR-OUTLOOK data and its biorepository will facilitate future longitudinal studies of the temporality of associations between stress and resilient factors and CVH and CVD risk factors among young Puerto Ricans, with remarkable potential for advancing the scientific understanding of these conditions in a high-risk but understudied young population.

Sleep and liver function biomarkers in relation to risk of incident liver cancer: a nationwide prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: To assess the largely undetermined separate and joint effects of sleep and liver function biomarkers on liver cancer. METHODS: Data of 356,894 participants without cancer at baseline in the UK Biobank were analyzed. Sleep score was evaluated using five sleep traits (sleep duration, chronotype, insomnia, snoring, and excessive daytime sleepiness) and dichotomized into healthy or unhealthy sleep. Circulating liver function biomarkers were measured. Cox proportional hazard model was performed to investigate the independent and joint associations of sleep and liver function biomarkers with liver cancer incidence. RESULTS: After a median follow-up time of 13.1 years, 394 cases of incident liver cancer were documented. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) for liver cancer was 1.46 (95% confidence interval: 1.15-1.85) associated with unhealthy sleep (vs. healthy sleep), and was 1.17 (1.15-1.20), 1.20 (1.18-1.22), 1.69 (1.47-1.93), 1.06 (1.06-1.07), 1.08 (1.07-1.09), 1.81 (1.37-2.39), or 0.29 (0.18-0.46) associated with each 10-unit increase in alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), total bilirubin (TBIL), gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), total protein (TP), or albumin (ALB), respectively. Individuals with unhealthy sleep and high (≥ median) ALT, AST, TBIL, GGT, ALP, or TP or low (< median) ALB level had the highest HR of 3.65 (2.43-5.48), 4.03 (2.69-6.03), 1.97 (1.40-2.77), 4.69 (2.98-7.37), 2.51 (1.75-3.59), 2.09 (1.51-2.89), or 2.22 (1.55-3.17) for liver cancer, respectively. Significant additive interaction of unhealthy sleep with high TP level on liver cancer was observed with relative excess risk due to an interaction of 0.80 (0.19-1.41). CONCLUSIONS: Unhealthy sleep was associated with an increased risk of liver cancer, especially in participants with lower ALB levels or higher levels of ALT, AST, TBIL, GGT, ALP, or particularly TP.

Trait impulsivity is associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes incidence in adults over 8 years of follow-up: results from the NutriNet-Santé cohort.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes is one of the most prevalent and preventable diseases worldwide and impulsivity, a psychological trait characterized by making quick decisions without forethought, has been suggested as a key feature for health-related conditions. However, there have been no studies examining the relationships between impulsivity and the incidence of type 2 diabetes and our aim was to assess the prospective association between trait impulsivity and the risk of developing type 2 diabetes. METHODS: A prospective observational study design was conducted between May 2014 and February 2023 within the NutriNet-Santé cohort. A web-based platform was used to collect data from the French adult population, with voluntary enrollment and participation. Of the 157,591 adults (≥ 18 years old) participating in the NutriNet-Santé study when impulsivity was assessed, 109,214 participants were excluded due to prevalent type 1 or 2 diabetes or missing data for impulsivity or follow-up data for type 2 diabetes. Trait impulsivity, and the attention, motor, and non-planning subfactors, were assessed at baseline using the Barratt Impulsiveness Scale 11. Incident type 2 diabetes was ascertained through follow-up. Medical information was reviewed by NutriNet-Santé physician experts to ascertain incident diabetes cases based on the ICD-10. Cox regression models, using hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (HR [95% CI]), were performed to evaluate associations between impulsivity per 1 standard deviation increment and type 2 diabetes risk, adjusting by recognized confounders. RESULTS: Of the 48,377 individuals studied (women 77.6%; age at baseline = 50.6 year ± 14.5 years), 556 individuals developed type 2 diabetes over a median follow-up of 7.78 (IQR: 3.97-8.49) years. Baseline impulsivity was associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes incidence (HR = 1.10 [1.02, 1.20]). The motor impulsivity subfactor was positively associated with type 2 diabetes risk (HR = 1.14 [1.04, 1.24]), whereas no associations were found for attention and non-planning impulsivity subfactors. CONCLUSIONS: Trait impulsivity was associated with an increased type 2 diabetes risk, mainly driven by the motor impulsivity subfactor. If these results are replicated in other populations and settings, trait impulsivity may become an important psychological risk factor to be considered in the prevention of type 2 diabetes. COHORT REGISTRATION: Name of registry: The NutriNet-Santé Study. A Web-based Prospective Cohort Study of the Relationship Between Nutrition and Health and of Dietary Patterns and Nutritional Status Predictors. Cohort registration number: NCT03335644. Date of registration: October 11, 2017. URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03335644.

Air pollution and risk of 32 health conditions: outcome-wide analyses in a population-based prospective cohort in Southwest China.

BACKGROUND: Uncertainty remains about the long-term effects of air pollutants (AP) on multiple diseases, especially subtypes of cardiovascular disease (CVD). We aimed to assess the individual and joint associations of fine particulate matter (PM2.5), along with its chemical components, nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O3), with risks of 32 health conditions. METHODS: A total of 17,566 participants in Sichuan Province, China, were included in 2018 and followed until 2022, with an average follow-up period of 4.2 years. The concentrations of AP were measured using a machine-learning approach. The Cox proportional hazards model and quantile g-computation were applied to assess the associations between AP and CVD. RESULTS: Per interquartile range (IQR) increase in PM2.5 mass, NO2, O3, nitrate, ammonium, organic matter (OM), black carbon (BC), chloride, and sulfate were significantly associated with increased risks of various conditions, with hazard ratios (HRs) ranging from 1.06 to 2.48. Exposure to multiple air pollutants was associated with total cardiovascular disease (HR 1.75, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) 1.62-1.89), hypertensive diseases (1.49, 1.38-1.62), cardiac arrests (1.52, 1.30-1.77), arrhythmia (1.76, 1.44-2.15), cerebrovascular diseases (1.86, 1.65-2.10), stroke (1.77, 1.54-2.03), ischemic stroke (1.85, 1.61-2.12), atherosclerosis (1.77, 1.57-1.99), diseases of veins, lymphatic vessels, and lymph nodes (1.32, 1.15-1.51), pneumonia (1.37, 1.16-1.61), inflammatory bowel diseases (1.34, 1.16-1.55), liver diseases (1.59, 1.43-1.77), type 2 diabetes (1.48, 1.26-1.73), lipoprotein metabolism disorders (2.20, 1.96-2.47), purine metabolism disorders (1.61, 1.38-1.88), anemia (1.29, 1.15-1.45), sleep disorders (1.54, 1.33-1.78), renal failure (1.44, 1.21-1.72), kidney stone (1.27, 1.13-1.43), osteoarthritis (2.18, 2.00-2.39), osteoporosis (1.36, 1.14-1.61). OM had max weights for joint effects of AP on many conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to increased levels of multiple air pollutants was associated with risks of multiple health conditions. OM accounted for substantial weight for these increased risks, suggesting it may play an important role in these associations.

Daytime napping and the risk of gastric cancer: the JACC Study.

BACKGROUND: Gastric cancer is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in Japan and worldwide. Emerging literature has suggested unfavorable health outcomes associated with daytime napping. Herein, we aimed to investigate the association between daytime napping and the risk of gastric cancer among Japanese people. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 49,037 participants, aged 40-79 years, from the Japan Collaborative Cohort Study (JACC Study). Participants with positive cancer history and those who reported night or rotational shift work were excluded. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of incident gastric cancer among daytime nappers. RESULTS: Within 650,040 person-years (median = 13.7 years) of follow-up, 1,164 participants developed gastric cancer. Daytime napping was associated with the increased risk of gastric cancer in the multivariable-adjusted model: HR (95% CI) = 1.14 (1.01, 1.29). The excess risk did not significantly differ across sexes, age groups (<65 and ≥65 years), and employment status (employed and unemployed) (p-interactions > 0.40). However, sleep duration modified this effect: HRs (95% CIs) = 1.66 (1.23, 2.23) in sleep duration ≤6 h/night versus 1.06 (0.93, 1.21) in sleep duration >6 h/night (p-interaction = 0.006). CONCLUSION: Daytime napping was associated with increased gastric cancer risk, especially among those who reported short sleep duration.

Association between the cumulative average triglyceride glucose-body mass index and cardiovascular disease incidence among the middle-aged and older population: a prospective nationwide cohort study in China.

BACKGROUND: Findings from earlier research have established that insulin resistance (IR) is implicated in atherosclerosis progression, representing a noteworthy risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Recently, the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) has been introduced as a straightforward and robust alternative indicator for early detection of IR. Nevertheless, there is a scarcity of studies that have examined the capability of TyG-BMI for predicting incident CVD. Consequently, the core objective of this study was to determine whether the cumulative average TyG-BMI correlated with CVD incidence. METHODS: All data was sourced from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). The exposure was the cumulative average TyG-BMI, determined by the average of TyG-BMI values for the baseline and follow-up investigations (Wave 1 in 2011, Wave 3 in 2015, respectively). The calculation of TyG-BMI involved a combination of triglyceride, fasting blood glucose, and body mass index. The primary outcome was incident CVD. Logistic regression analyses as well as restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression analyses were performed for examining the association between the cumulative average TyG-BMI and CVD incidence. RESULTS: In all, 5,418 participants were enrolled in our analysis, with 2,904 (53.6%) being female, and a mean (standard deviation, SD) age of 59.6 (8.8) years. The mean (SD) cumulative average TyG-BMI among all participants was 204.9 (35.7). Totally, during a 4-year follow-up, 543 (10.0%) participants developed CVD. The fully adjusted logistic regression analysis revealed a significant association between the cumulative average TyG-BMI and incident CVD [odds ratio (OR), 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.168, 1.040-1.310, per 1 SD increase]. The RCS regression analysis displayed a positive, linear association of the cumulative average TyG-BMI with CVD incidence (P for overall = 0.038, P for nonlinear = 0.436). CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed a noteworthy correlation between the cumulative average TyG-BMI and incident CVD among the middle-aged and older population. The cumulative average TyG-BMI emerges as a valuable tool that may enhance the primary prevention and treatment of CVD.

Longitudinal cardiovascular health measured by life's essential 8 metrics with incident diabetes: A 13-year prospective cohort study.

AIMS: To investigate the associations of baseline and longitudinal cardiovascular health (CVH) measured by 'Life's Essential 8' (LE8) metrics with the risk of diabetes in Chinese people with normoglycaemia or prediabetes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total 86,149 participants without diabetes were enroled from the Kailuan study and were stratified by baseline glycaemic status (normoglycaemia or prediabetes). Cardiovascular health score ranged from 0 to 100 points was categorised into low (0-49), middle (50-79), and high (80-100) CVH status. Cox regressions were used to assess the associations of baseline and time-updated CVH status with incident diabetes in the overall cohort and across baseline glycaemic statuses. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 12.94 (interquartile rage: 12.48-13.16) years, we identified 13,097 (15.20%) cases of incident diabetes. Baseline and time-updated high CVH status was associated with a lower risk of diabetes, the corresponding hazard ratio (HR) versus low CVH status was 0.27 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.23-0.31) and 0.26 (95% CI, 0.23-0.30) in the overall cohort, respectively. Additionally, the effect of high CVH on diabetes was more prominent in participants with normoglycaemia than those with prediabetes (P < 0.0001), with an HR of 0.26 (95% CI, 0.22-0.31) versus 0.50 (95% CI, 0.41-0.62) for baseline CVH, and 0.25 (95% CI, 0.21-0.30) versus 0.39 (95% CI, 0.32-0.48) for time-updated CVH. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated baseline and longitudinal CVH score assessed by LE8 metrics is associated with a lower risk of subsequent diabetes, especially in normoglycaemic adults.

Regular use of paracetamol and risk of liver cancer: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Paracetamol induces hepatotoxicity and subsequent liver injury, which may increase the risk of liver cancer, but epidemiological evidence remains unclear. We conducted this study to evaluate the association between paracetamol use and the risk of liver cancer. METHODS: This prospective study included 464,244 participants free of cancer diagnosis from the UK Biobank. Incident liver cancer was identified through linkage to cancer and death registries and the National Health Service Central Register using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-10 codes (C22). An overlap-weighted Cox proportional hazards model was utilized to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for the risk of liver cancer associated with paracetamol use. The number needed to harm (NNH) was calculated at 10 years of follow-up. RESULTS: During a median of 12.6 years of follow-up, 627 cases of liver cancer were identified. Paracetamol users had a 28% higher risk of liver cancer than nonusers (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.06-1.54). This association was robust in several sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses, and the quantitative bias analysis indicated that the result remains sturdy to unmeasured confounding factors (E-value 1.88, lower 95% CI 1.31). The NNH was 1106.4 at the 10 years of follow-up. CONCLUSION: The regular use of paracetamol was associated with a higher risk of liver cancer. Physicians should be cautious when prescribing paracetamol, and it is recommended to assess the potential risk of liver cancer to personalize the use of paracetamol.

Insomnia symptoms and risk for atrial fibrillation - The HUNT study.

Studies on the effect of insomnia on atrial fibrillation risk in the general population are limited, therefore we investigated the association between insomnia and the risk of atrial fibrillation in a large-scale population-based study with valid atrial fibrillation measure. A total of 33,983 participants (55% women) reported their insomnia symptoms in the third wave of the HUNT study (between 2006 and 2008) in Norway, and they were followed for their first atrial fibrillation diagnosis until 2020 using hospital registers. Atrial fibrillation diagnoses were validated by physicians based on medical records and electrocardiograms. Insomnia symptoms were assessed by four questions, and analysed both individually and as cumulative symptoms. Cox regression, adjusted for age, sex, social and marital status, working in shiftwork, alcohol consumption, smoking, physical activity, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, and symptoms of anxiety and depression, was conducted. Overall, 1592 atrial fibrillation cases were identified during the follow-up and 31.6% of individuals reported at least one insomnia symptom. In our analysis, we did not detect meaningful associations between insomnia symptoms and the risk of atrial fibrillation. In conclusion, in this population there was no evidence for an association between insomnia symptoms and the risk of subsequent atrial fibrillation.

The Ecology of Human Sleep (EcoSleep) Cohort Study: Protocol for a longitudinal repeated measurement burst design study to assess the relationship between sleep determinants and outcomes under real-world conditions across time of year.

The interplay of daily life factors, including mood, physical activity, or light exposure, influences sleep architecture and quality. Laboratory-based studies often isolate these determinants to establish causality, thereby sacrificing ecological validity. Furthermore, little is known about time-of-year changes in sleep and circadian-related variables at high resolution, including the magnitude of individual change across time of year under real-world conditions. The Ecology of Human Sleep (EcoSleep) cohort study will investigate the combined impact of sleep determinants on individuals' daily sleep episodes to elucidate which waking events modify sleep patterns. A second goal is to describe high-resolution individual sleep and circadian-related changes across the year to understand intra- and inter-individual variability. This study is a prospective cohort study with a measurement-burst design. Healthy adults aged 18-35 years (N = 12) will be enrolled for 12 months. Participants will continuously wear actimeters and pendant-attached light loggers. A subgroup will also measure interstitial fluid glucose levels (six paticipants). Every 4 weeks, all participants will undergo three consecutive measurement days of four ecological momentary assessments each day ('bursts') to sample sleep determinants during wake. Participants will also continuously wear temperature loggers (iButtons) during the bursts. Body weight will be captured before and after the bursts in the laboratory. The bursts will be separated by two at-home electroencephalogram recordings each night. Circadian phase and amplitude will be estimated during the bursts from hair follicles, and habitual melatonin onset will be derived through saliva sampling. Environmental parameters (bedroom temperature, humidity, and air pressure) will be recorded continuously.

Associations between Chinese visceral adiposity index and risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality: A population-based cohort study.

AIM: To determine the associations between the Chinese visceral adiposity index (CVAI) and the risks of all-cause and cause-specific mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 3 916 214 Chinese adults were enrolled in a nationwide population cohort covering all 31 provinces of mainland China. The CVAI was calculated based on age, body mass index, waist circumference, and triglyceride and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations. We used a Cox proportional hazards regression model to determine the hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for risk of mortality associated with different CVAI levels. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration was 3.8 years. A total of 86 158 deaths (34 867 cardiovascular disease [CVD] deaths, 29 884 cancer deaths, and 21 407 deaths due to other causes) were identified. In general, after adjusting for potential confounding factors, a U-shaped relationship between CVAI and all-cause mortality was observed by restricted cubic spline (RCS). Compared with participants in CVAI quartile 1, those in CVAI quartile 4 had a 23.0% (95% CI 20.0%-25.0%) lower risk of cancer death, but a 23.0% (95% CI 19.0-27.0) higher risk of CVD death. In subgroup analysis, a J-shaped and inverted U-shaped relationship for all-cause mortality and cancer mortality was observed in the group aged < 60 years. CONCLUSIONS: The CVAI, an accessible indicator reflecting visceral obesity among Chinese adults, has predictive value for all-cause, CVD, and cancer mortality risks. Moreover, the CVAI carries significance in the field of health economics and secondary prevention. In the future, it could be used for early screening purposes.

Dietary intake of dicarbonyl compounds and changes in body weight over time in a large cohort of European adults.

Dicarbonyl compounds are highly reactive precursors of advanced glycation end products (AGE), produced endogenously, present in certain foods and formed during food processing. AGE contribute to the development of adverse metabolic outcomes, but health effects of dietary dicarbonyls are largely unexplored. We investigated associations between three dietary dicarbonyl compounds, methylglyoxal (MGO), glyoxal (GO) and 3-deoxyglucosone (3-DG), and body weight changes in European adults. Dicarbonyl intakes were estimated using food composition database from 263 095 European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition-Physical Activity, Nutrition, Alcohol, Cessation of Smoking, Eating Out of Home in Relation to Anthropometry participants with two body weight assessments (median follow-up time = 5·4 years). Associations between dicarbonyls and 5-year body-weight changes were estimated using mixed linear regression models. Stratified analyses by sex, age and baseline BMI were performed. Risk of becoming overweight/obese was assessed using multivariable-adjusted logistic regression. MGO intake was associated with 5-year body-weight gain of 0·089 kg (per 1-sd increase, 95 % CI 0·072, 0·107). 3-DG was inversely associated with body-weight change (-0·076 kg, -0·094, -0·058). No significant association was observed for GO (0·018 kg, -0·002, 0·037). In stratified analyses, GO was associated with body-weight gain among women and older participants (above median of 52·4 years). MGO was associated with higher body-weight gain among older participants. 3-DG was inversely associated with body-weight gain among younger and normal-weight participants. MGO was associated with a higher risk of becoming overweight/obese, while inverse associations were observed for 3-DG. No associations were observed for GO with overweight/obesity. Dietary dicarbonyls are inconsistently associated with body weight change among European adults. Further research is needed to clarify the role of these food components in overweight and obesity, their underlying mechanisms and potential public health implications.

Associations of childhood diet quality scores with arterial stiffness and carotid artery intima-media thickness in adolescence/early adulthood: findings from the ALSPAC cohort.

This study examined the relationship between childhood diet quality and arterial stiffness and thickness during adolescence/early adulthood. Participants were from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) with dietary data at ages 7, 10 and 13 years and pulse wave velocity (PWV) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) at ages 17 and/or 24 years. Diet quality (DQ) was assessed using five scores: a children's Mediterranean-style diet (C-rMED) Z-score, a children's Dietary Inflammatory Z-score (C-DIS), a DASH diet Z-score, a children's Eatwell Guide (C-EWG) Z-score reflecting UK dietary guidelines and a data-driven obesogenic Z-score. Adjusted regression models examined the associations between DQ scores at 7-13 years and PWV and cIMT at 17 and 24 years. In adjusted models, a high v. low Obesogenic Z-score at 7 and 10 years was associated with higher PWV at 17: ß 0.07 (95 % CI 0.01, 0.13) and ß 0.10 (95 % CI 0.04, 0.16), respectively. A high v. low C-rMED Z-score at 7 years was associated with lower PWV at 17 (ß -0.07; 95 % CI -0.14, -0.01). A high (more anti-inflammatory) vs low C-DIS Z-score at 10 years was associated with a lower PWV at 17 years: ß -0.06 (95 % CI -0.12, -0.01). No other associations were observed. In conclusion, an Obesogenic dietary pattern in childhood (7-10 years) was related to increased arterial stiffness, while Mediterranean-style and anti-inflammatory diets were related to decreased arterial stiffness in adolescence. This highlights the importance of establishing healthy dietary habits early in life to protect against vascular damage.

Predictive etiological classification of acute ischemic stroke through interpretable machine learning algorithms: a multicenter, prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis, recurrence rates, and secondary prevention strategies varied significantly among different subtypes of acute ischemic stroke (AIS). Machine learning (ML) techniques can uncover intricate, non-linear relationships within medical data, enabling the identification of factors associated with etiological classification. However, there is currently a lack of research utilizing ML algorithms for predicting AIS etiology. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to use interpretable ML algorithms to develop AIS etiology prediction models, identify critical factors in etiology classification, and enhance existing clinical categorization. METHODS: This study involved patients with the Third China National Stroke Registry (CNSR-III). Nine models, which included Natural Gradient Boosting (NGBoost), Categorical Boosting (CatBoost), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LGBM), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), Adaptive Boosting (AdaBoost), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and logistic regression (LR), were employed to predict large artery atherosclerosis (LAA), small vessel occlusion (SVO), and cardioembolism (CE) using an 80:20 randomly split training and test set. We designed an SFS-XGB with 10-fold cross-validation for feature selection. The primary evaluation metrics for the models included the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for discrimination and the Brier score (or calibration plots) for calibration. RESULTS: A total of 5,213 patients were included, comprising 2,471 (47.4%) with LAA, 2,153 (41.3%) with SVO, and 589 (11.3%) with CE. In both LAA and SVO models, the AUC values of the ML models were significantly higher than that of the LR model (P < 0.001). The optimal model for predicting SVO (AUC [RF model] = 0.932) outperformed the optimal LAA model (AUC [NGB model] = 0.917) and the optimal CE model (AUC [LGBM model] = 0.846). Each model displayed relatively satisfactory calibration. Further analysis showed that the optimal CE model could identify potential CE patients in the undetermined etiology (SUE) group, accounting for 1,900 out of 4,156 (45.7%). CONCLUSIONS: The ML algorithm effectively classified patients with LAA, SVO, and CE, demonstrating superior classification performance compared to the LR model. The optimal ML model can identify potential CE patients among SUE patients. These newly identified predictive factors may complement the existing etiological classification system, enabling clinicians to promptly categorize stroke patients' etiology and initiate optimal strategies for secondary prevention.

Comparison of post-COVID-19 symptoms in patients infected with the SARS-CoV-2 variants delta and omicron-results of the Cross-Sectoral Platform of the German National Pandemic Cohort Network (NAPKON-SUEP).

PURPOSE: The influence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants on the post-COVID-19 condition (PCC) remains unanswered. Therefore, we examined the prevalence and predictors of PCC-related symptoms in patients infected with the SARS-CoV-2 variants delta or omicron. METHODS: We compared prevalences and risk factors of acute and PCC-related symptoms three months after primary infection (3MFU) between delta- and omicron-infected patients from the Cross-Sectoral Platform of the German National Pandemic Cohort Network. Health-related quality of life (HrQoL) was determined by the EQ-5D-5L index score and trend groups were calculated to describe changes of HrQoL between different time points. RESULTS: We considered 758 patients for our analysis (delta: n = 341; omicron: n = 417). Compared with omicron patients, delta patients had a similar prevalence of PCC at the 3MFU (p = 0.354), whereby fatigue occurred most frequently (n = 256, 34%). HrQoL was comparable between the groups with the lowest EQ-5D-5L index score (0.75, 95% CI 0.73-0.78) at disease onset. While most patients (69%, n = 348) never showed a declined HrQoL, it deteriorated substantially in 37 patients (7%) from the acute phase to the 3MFU of which 27 were infected with omicron. CONCLUSION: With quality-controlled data from a multicenter cohort, we showed that PCC is an equally common challenge for patients infected with the SARS-CoV-2 variants delta and omicron at least for the German population. Developing the EQ-5D-5L index score trend groups showed that over two thirds of patients did not experience any restrictions in their HrQoL due to or after the SARS-CoV-2 infection at the 3MFU. CLINICAL TRAIL REGISTRATION: The cohort is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov since February 24, 2021 (Identifier: NCT04768998).

Definition of the Post-COVID syndrome using a symptom-based Post-COVID score in a prospective, multi-center, cross-sectoral cohort of the German National Pandemic Cohort Network (NAPKON).

PURPOSE: The objective examination of the Post-COVID syndrome (PCS) remains difficult due to heterogeneous definitions and clinical phenotypes. The aim of the study was to verify the functionality and correlates of a recently developed PCS score. METHODS: The PCS score was applied to the prospective, multi-center cross-sectoral cohort (in- and outpatients with SARS-CoV-2 infection) of the "National Pandemic Cohort Network (NAPKON, Germany)". Symptom assessment and patient-reported outcome measure questionnaires were analyzed at 3 and 12 months (3/12MFU) after diagnosis. Scores indicative of PCS severity were compared and correlated to demographic and clinical characteristics as well as quality of life (QoL, EQ-5D-5L). RESULTS: Six hundred three patients (mean 54.0 years, 60.6% male, 82.0% hospitalized) were included. Among those, 35.7% (215) had no and 64.3% (388) had mild, moderate, or severe PCS. PCS severity groups differed considering sex and pre-existing respiratory diseases. 3MFU PCS worsened with clinical severity of acute infection (p = .011), and number of comorbidities (p = .004). PCS severity was associated with poor QoL at the 3MFU and 12MFU (p < .001). CONCLUSION: The PCS score correlated with patients' QoL and demonstrated to be instructive for clinical characterization and stratification across health care settings. Further studies should critically address the high prevalence, clinical relevance, and the role of comorbidities. TRAIL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The cohort is registered at www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov under NCT04768998.

Increased plasma AACT level as an indicator of poor prognosis in patients hospitalised with community-acquired pneumonia: a multicentre prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a common respiratory disease that frequently requires hospitalisation, and is a significant cause of death worldwide. This study aimed to evaluate the usefulness of alpha-1-antichymotrypsin (AACT) as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of CAP. METHODS: We conducted a multicentre prospective cohort study in patients hospitalised with CAP. Plasma AACT levels were measured using a quantitative enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Cox proportional hazards regression were used to assess the association between plasma AACT levels and CAP diagnosis and prognosis. RESULTS: A total of 274 patients with CAP were enrolled in the study. AACT levels were elevated in patients with CAP, especially those with severe CAP and non-survivors. The area under the curve (AUC) of AACT and CRP for diagnosing CAP was 0.755 and 0.843. Cox regression showed that CURB-65 and AACT levels were independent predictors of 30-day mortality. ROC curves showed that plasma AACT levels had the highest accuracy for predicting acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), with an AUC of 0.862. Combining AACT with Pneumonia Severity Index and CURB-65 significantly improved their predictive accuracy for predicting 30-day mortality. CONCLUSION: Plasma AACT levels are elevated in patients with CAP, but plasma AACT level is inferior to the C-reactive protein level for diagnosing CAP. The AACT level can reliably predict the occurrence of ARDS and 30-day mortality in patients with CAP.