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1.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 119(35): e2205813119, 2022 08 30.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35998219

RESUMEN

The coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic triggered global declines in life expectancy. The United States was hit particularly hard among high-income countries. Early data from the United States showed that these losses varied greatly by race/ethnicity in 2020, with Hispanic and Black Americans suffering much larger losses in life expectancy compared with White people. We add to this research by examining trends in lifespan inequality, average years of life lost, and the contribution of specific causes of death and ages to race/ethnic life-expectancy disparities in the United States from 2010 to 2020. We find that life expectancy in 2020 fell more for Hispanic and Black males (4.5 and 3.6 y, respectively) compared with White males (1.5 y). These drops nearly eliminated the previous life-expectancy advantage for the Hispanic compared with the White population, while dramatically increasing the already large gap in life expectancy between Black and White people. While the drops in life expectancy for the Hispanic population were largely attributable to official COVID-19 deaths, Black Americans saw increases in cardiovascular diseases and "deaths of despair" over this period. In 2020, lifespan inequality increased slightly for Hispanic and White populations but decreased for Black people, reflecting the younger age pattern of COVID-19 deaths for Hispanic people. Overall, the mortality burden of the COVID-19 pandemic hit race/ethnic minorities particularly hard in the United States, underscoring the importance of the social determinants of health during a public health crisis.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Esperanza de Vida , Pandemias , Negro o Afroamericano , COVID-19/etnología , COVID-19/mortalidad , Hispánicos o Latinos , Humanos , Esperanza de Vida/etnología , Masculino , Factores Raciales , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Población Blanca
2.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1520, 2024 Jun 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38844906

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: This study addresses the persistent global burden of road traffic fatalities, particularly in middle-income countries like Malaysia, by exploring the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Road Traffic Accident (RTA) fatalities in Perak state, Malaysia, with a secondary focus on applying Years of Life Lost (YLL) to understand the implications of these premature deaths. METHODOLOGY: The cross-sectional study retrospectively reviewed certified RTA fatalities from 2018 to 2021, individually counting fatalities in accidents and excluding cases with incomplete death profiles. Data were collected from all Forensic Departments in the government hospitals in Perak. RTA fatalities were confirmed by medical officers/physicians following established procedures during routine procedures. A total of 2517 fatal accident and victim profiles were transcribed into data collection form after reviewing death registration records and post-mortem reports. Inferential analyses were used for comparison between pre- and during COVID-19 pandemic. The standard expected YLL was calculated by comparing the age of death to the external standard life expectancy curve taking into consideration of age and gender in Malaysia. RESULTS: This study included 2207 (87.7%) of the RTA fatalities in Perak State. The analysis revealed a decreasing trend in RTA deaths from 2018 to 2021, with a remarkable Annual Percent Change (APC) of -25.1% in 2020 compared to the pre-pandemic year in 2019 and remained stable with lower APC in 2021. Comparison between pre-pandemic (2018-2019) and pandemic years (2020-2021) revealed a difference in the fatality distribution with a median age rise during the pandemic (37.7 (IQR: 22.96, 58.08) vs. 41.0 (IQR: 25.08, 61.00), p = 0.002). Vehicle profiles remained consistent, yet changes were observed in the involvement of various road users, where more motorcycle riders and pedestrian were killed during pandemic (p = 0.049). During pandemic, there was a decline in vehicle collisions, but slight increase of the non-collision accidents and incidents involving pedestrians/animals (p = 0.015). A shift in accident from noon till midnight were also notable during the pandemic (p = 0.028). YLL revealed differences by age and gender, indicating a higher YLL for females aged 30-34 during the pandemic. CONCLUSION: The decline in RTA fatalities during COVID-19 pandemic underscores the influence of pandemic-induced restrictions and reduced traffic. However, demographic shifts, increased accident severity due to risky behaviors and gender-specific impacts on YLL, stress the necessity for improved safety interventions amidst evolving dynamics.


Asunto(s)
Accidentes de Tránsito , COVID-19 , Mortalidad Prematura , Humanos , Malasia/epidemiología , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Accidentes de Tránsito/mortalidad , Accidentes de Tránsito/estadística & datos numéricos , Femenino , Masculino , Adulto , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Transversales , Mortalidad Prematura/tendencias , Adolescente , Estudios Retrospectivos , Anciano , Adulto Joven , Niño , Esperanza de Vida/tendencias , Preescolar , Lactante , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Pandemias , Recién Nacido
3.
BMC Public Health ; 24(1): 1188, 2024 Apr 27.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38678185

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Exposure to high levels of environmental air pollution causes several health outcomes and has been associated with increased mortality, premature mortality, and morbidity. Ambient exposure to PM2.5 is currently considered the leading environmental risk factor globally. A causal relationship between exposure to PM2.5 and the contribution of this exposure to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality was already demonstrated by the American Heart Association. METHODS: To estimate the burden of mortality attributable to environmental risk factors, a comparative risk assessment was performed, considering a "top-down" approach. This approach uses an existing estimate of mortality of the disease endpoint by all causes as a starting point. A population attributable fraction was calculated for the exposure to PM2.5the overall burden of IHD and stroke was multiplied by the PAF to determine the burden attributable to this risk factor. The avoidable burden was calculated using the potential impact fraction (PIF) and considering the WHO-AQG 2021 as an alternative scenario. RESULTS: Between 2011 and 2021, the ambient exposure to PM2.5 resulted in a total of 288,862.7 IHD YLL and a total of 420,432.3 stroke YLL in Portugal. This study found a decreasing trend in the mortality burden attributable to PM2.5 exposure, for both males and females and different age-groups. For different regions of Portugal, the same trend was observed in the last years. The mortality burden attributable to long-term exposure to PM2.5 was mainly concentrated in Lisbon Metropolitan Area, North and Centre. Changes in the exposure limits to the WHO recommended value of exposure (WHO-AQG 2021) have a reduction in the mortality burden due to IHD and stroke attributable to PM2.5 exposure, in Portugal. CONCLUSION: Between 2011 and 2021, approximately 22% and 23% of IHD and stroke deaths were attributable to PM2.5 exposure. Nevertheless, the mortality burden attributable to cardiovascular diseases has been decreasing in last years in Portugal. Our findings provide evidence of the impact of air pollution on human health, which are crucial for decision-making, at the national and regional level.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Material Particulado , Humanos , Portugal/epidemiología , Material Particulado/efectos adversos , Material Particulado/análisis , Masculino , Femenino , Anciano , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/mortalidad , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/epidemiología , Persona de Mediana Edad , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/efectos adversos , Adulto , Medición de Riesgo , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Adulto Joven , Costo de Enfermedad , Contaminación del Aire/efectos adversos , Adolescente , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/efectos adversos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Factores de Riesgo , Accidente Cerebrovascular/mortalidad , Accidente Cerebrovascular/epidemiología , Niño
4.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 118(11)2021 03 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33632802

RESUMEN

Many competing criteria are under consideration for prioritizing COVID-19 vaccination. Two criteria based on age are demographic: lives saved and years of future life saved. Vaccinating the very old against COVID-19 saves the most lives, but, since older age is accompanied by falling life expectancy, it is widely supposed that these two goals are in conflict. We show this to be mistaken. The age patterns of COVID-19 mortality are such that vaccinating the oldest first saves the most lives and, surprisingly, also maximizes years of remaining life expectancy. We demonstrate this relationship empirically in the United States, Germany, and South Korea and with mathematical analysis of life tables. Our age-risk results, under usual conditions, also apply to health risks.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la COVID-19/administración & dosificación , COVID-19/prevención & control , Esperanza de Vida , Modelos Biológicos , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacunación , Factores de Edad , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , COVID-19/mortalidad , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Factores de Riesgo
5.
J Korean Med Sci ; 39(7): e67, 2024 Feb 26.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38412612

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The measurement of health levels and monitoring of characteristics and trends among populations and subgroups are essential for informing evidence-based policy decisions. This study aimed to examine the burden of disease in Korea for both the total population and subgroups in 2020, as well as analyze changes in disease burden from 2008 to 2020. METHODS: We employed the methodology developed in the Korean National Burden of Disease and Injuries Study to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) by sex, causes, region, and income level from 2008 to 2020. DALYs were derived by combining years of life lost and years lived with disability. RESULTS: In 2020, the burden of disease for the Korean population was estimated to be 25,439 DALYs per 100,000 population, reflecting a 13.8% increase since 2008. The leading causes of DALYs were diabetes mellitus, followed by low back pain and ischemic stroke. A sex-specific gap reversal was observed, with the disease burden for men surpassing that of women starting in 2017. Furthermore, variations in disease burden were identified across 250 regions and income quintiles. CONCLUSION: It is imperative to establish appropriate health policies that prioritize the diseases with significantly increasing burdens and subgroups experiencing high disease burdens. The findings of this study are expected to serve as a foundation for developing healthcare policies aimed at improving the health levels of Koreans and achieving health equity.


Asunto(s)
Años de Vida Ajustados por Discapacidad , Esperanza de Vida , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Costo de Enfermedad , Política de Salud , República de Corea/epidemiología , Carga Global de Enfermedades , Salud Global
6.
Public Health ; 226: 152-156, 2024 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38064778

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: Emissions from road traffic, power generation and industry were substantially reduced during pandemic lockdown periods globally. Thus, we analysed reductions in traffic-related air pollution in Australian capital cities during March-April 2020 and then modelled the mortality benefits that could be realised if similar reductions were sustained by structural policy interventions. STUDY DESIGN: Satellite, air pollution monitor and land use observations were used to estimate ground-level nitrogen dioxide (NO2) concentrations in all Australian capital cities during: (a) a typical year with no prolonged air pollution events; (b) a hypothetical sustained reduction in NO2 equivalent to the COVID-19 lockdowns. METHODS: We use the WHO recommended NO2 exposure-response coefficient for mortality (1.023, 95 % CI: 1.008-1.037, per 10 µg/m3 annual average) to assess gains in life expectancy and population-wide years of life from reduced exposure to traffic-related air pollution. RESULTS: We attribute 1.1 % of deaths to anthropogenic NO2 exposures in Australian cities, corresponding to a total of 13,340 years of life lost annually. Although COVID-19-related reductions in NO2 varied widely between Australian cities during April 2020, equivalent and sustained reductions in NO2 emissions could reduce NO2-attributable deaths by 27 %, resulting in 3348 years of life gained annually. CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 mobility restrictions reduced NO2 emissions and population-wide exposures in Australian cities. When sustained to the same extent by policy interventions that reduce fossil fuel consumption by favouring the uptake of electric vehicles, active travel and public transport, the health, mortality and economic benefits will be measurable in Australian cities.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Contaminación del Aire , COVID-19 , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Ciudades , Emisiones de Vehículos , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , COVID-19/prevención & control , Australia/epidemiología , Control de Enfermedades Transmisibles , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis , Monitoreo del Ambiente/métodos
7.
Biom J ; 66(5): e202300386, 2024 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39001703

RESUMEN

The concept of (potential) years of life lost is a measure of premature mortality that can be used to compare the impacts of different specific causes of death. However, interpreting a given number of years of life lost at face value is more problematic because of the lack of a sensible reference value. In this paper, we propose three denominators to divide an excess years of life lost, thus obtaining three indicators, called average life lost, increase of life lost, and proportion of life lost, which should facilitate interpretation and comparisons. We study the links between these three indicators and classical mortality indicators, such as life expectancy and standardized mortality rate, introduce the concept of weighted standardized mortality rate, and calculate them in 30 countries to assess the impact of COVID-19 on mortality in the year 2020. Using any of the three indicators, a significant excess loss is found for both genders in 18 of the 30 countries.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Esperanza de Vida , COVID-19/mortalidad , COVID-19/epidemiología , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Biometría/métodos , Anciano
8.
BMC Oral Health ; 24(1): 938, 2024 Aug 14.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39143610

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Oral cancer is one of the most common cancers in China and seriously threaten life and health of Chinese people. We analysed the trends and disparities of oral cancer mortality rates and the disease burden of oral cancer in China from 2006 to 2021 to provide a reference for its prevention and control. METHODS: Annual death data for oral cancer was gleaned from the China Death Surveillance Database. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR), annual percentage change (APC), and average APC (AAPC) were used to analyze the trend of mortality. Loss of life expectancy (LLE) and years of life lost (YLL) were adopted to assess disease burden. RESULTS: From 2006 to 2021, the overall ASMR of oral cancer lightly declined (AAPC: - 0.97%; 95% CI: - 1.89%, - 0.04%), and the similar trend was observed among females (AAPC: - 1.22%; 95% CI: - 1.89%, - 0.55%). The ASMR of males was 2.31-3.16 times higher than that of females per year. The median of LLE for overall, males and females caused by oral cancer from 2006 to 2021 were 0.05, 0.06 and 0.03 years, respectively. There was a decrease of standardized YLL rate from 2006 to 2021 for overall (AAPC: - 1.31%, 95% CI: - 2.24% ~ - 0.37%) and for female (AAPC: - 1.63%, 95% CI: - 2.30% ~ - 0.95%). ASMR in urban areas was 1.02-1.28 times higher than that in rural areas from 2006 to2011, but 0.85-0.97 times lower in urban areas than that in rural areas from 2018 to 2021. The disease burden was higher in urban areas than in rural areas in 2006, whereas the reverse was observed in 2021. CONCLUSIONS: There are severe health gaps and disparities in trends between sexes and different areas in China. Males and rural populations need to be focused on targeted interventions for the main influencing factors.


Asunto(s)
Costo de Enfermedad , Esperanza de Vida , Neoplasias de la Boca , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Masculino , Neoplasias de la Boca/mortalidad , Neoplasias de la Boca/epidemiología , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Esperanza de Vida/tendencias , Anciano , Adulto , Bases de Datos Factuales , Mortalidad/tendencias , Población Rural/estadística & datos numéricos , Vigilancia de la Población , Anciano de 80 o más Años
9.
Artículo en Ruso | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39003555

RESUMEN

One of modern methods of estimating health losses under malignant neoplasms in economic terms, characterizing number of deaths and age of death are lost years of potential life. The cumulative losses from premature cancer mortality made up to 29 217.5 man-years in 2013 and 39 710 man-years in 2021. The number of years lost over 9 years increased by 10 492.5 man-years despite decreasing of mortality across all ages. The rate of lost years of potential life during this period increased from 5.3 to 6.2 years. The maximal contribution to lost years of potential life was made by population groups 45-59 years old. Total losses from premature mortality from cervical cancer were 2682.5 man-years and 2411 man-years in 2013 in 2021. The number of years lost decreased by 271.5 man-years. The rate of lost years of potential life during this period increased from 0.5 to 3.7 years. The greatest contribution to lost years of potential life was made by population groups 60-64 and 40-49 years old. The calculation demonstrated that there are significant reserves for reducing population mortality from malignant neoplasms in most vulnerable age population groups that is important for organization of oncological care and planning of target prevention programs.


Asunto(s)
Esperanza de Vida , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Adulto , Esperanza de Vida/tendencias , Kirguistán/epidemiología , Masculino , Anciano , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/epidemiología , Neoplasias del Cuello Uterino/mortalidad , Mortalidad Prematura/tendencias , Neoplasias Uterinas/epidemiología
10.
BMC Cancer ; 23(1): 893, 2023 Sep 21.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37735368

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer is a growing public health concern in China, and depicting it from different perspectives would provide a comprehensive understanding of its epidemiological characteristics. METHODS: Data from the National Mortality Surveillance System (NMSS) in China was used to estimate the number of deaths, years of life lost (YLL), age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age-standardized YLL rate in China, its provinces and urban-rural areas from 2005 to 2020. Joinpoint regression analysis was employed to explore the temporal trends of ASMR and age-standardized YLL rate. Decomposition analysis was conducted to assess the contribution of population growth, population aging and cause-specific mortality rate to the increment of pancreatic cancer deaths. RESULTS: A total of 100,427 pancreatic cancer deaths and 2,166,355 pancreatic cancer related YLL were estimated in China in 2020. The overall ASMR significantly increased from 6.6/100 000 in 2005 to 7.4/100 000 in 2020, and was higher in men than that in women. Age-standardized YLL rate showed a similar trend. The mortality rates of pancreatic cancer were generally higher in northeast China than in southwest China. The highest ASMRs were found in Jilin, Zhejiang, Inner Mongolia and Anhui, and the lowest ones in Guangxi, Yunnan, Tibet, and Hainan. The disease burden due to pancreatic cancer presented a significant upward trend in rural areas and a downward trend in urban areas. CONCLUSIONS: The burden associated with pancreatic cancer had been increasing in China from 2005 to 2020. The escalating disease burden of pancreatic cancer in rural areas necessitates the implementation of effective control and prevention measures. Relevant provinces should pay greater attention to the prevailing of pancreatic cancer, particularly those exhibiting higher mortality rates.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias Pancreáticas , Masculino , Femenino , Humanos , China/epidemiología , Neoplasias Pancreáticas/epidemiología , Tibet , Páncreas , Envejecimiento
11.
Environ Sci Technol ; 57(13): 5349-5357, 2023 04 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36959739

RESUMEN

Nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is associated with mortality and many other adverse health outcomes. In 2021, the World Health Organization established a new NO2 air quality guideline (AQG) (annual average <10 µg/m3). However, the burden of diseases attributable to long-term NO2 exposure above the AQG is unknown in China. Nitrogen oxide is a major air pollutant in populous cities, which are disproportionately impacted by NO2; this represents a form of environmental inequality. We conducted a nationwide risk assessment of premature deaths attributable to long-term NO2 exposure from 2013 to 2020 based on the exposure-response relationship, high-resolution annual NO2 concentrations, and gridded population data (considering sex, age, and residence [urban vs rural]). We calculated health metrics including attributable deaths, years of life lost (YLL), and loss of life expectancy (LLE). Inequality in the distribution of attributable deaths and YLLs was evaluated by the Lorenz curve and Gini index. According to the health impact assessments, in 2013, long-term NO2 exposure contributed to 315,847 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 306,709-319,269) premature deaths, 7.90 (7.68-7.99) million YLLs, and an LLE of 0.51 (0.50-0.52) years. The high-risk subgroup (top 20%) accounted for 85.7% of all NO2-related deaths and 85.2% of YLLs, resulting in Gini index values of 0.81 and 0.67, respectively. From 2013 to 2020, the estimated health impact from NO2 exposure was significantly reduced, but inequality displayed a slightly increasing trend. Our study revealed a considerable burden of NO2-related deaths in China, which were disproportionally frequent in a small high-risk subgroup. Future clean air initiatives should focus not only on reducing the average level of NO2 exposure but also minimizing inequality.


Asunto(s)
Contaminantes Atmosféricos , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales , Disparidades en el Estado de Salud , Dióxido de Nitrógeno , Humanos , Contaminantes Atmosféricos/análisis , Contaminación del Aire/análisis , Pueblos del Este de Asia , Exposición a Riesgos Ambientales/análisis , Óxido Nítrico , Dióxido de Nitrógeno/análisis , Material Particulado/análisis
12.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 33(7): 1358-1366, 2023 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37169664

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to evaluate the life expectancy following the first cardiovascular disease (CVD) event by type 2 diabetes (T2D) status and ethnicity. METHODS AND RESULTS: We used the Clinical Practice Research Datalink database in England (UK), linked to the Hospital Episode Statistics information, to identify individuals with and without T2D who survived a first CVD event between 1st Jan 2007 and 31st Dec 2017; subsequent death events were extracted from the Office for National Statistics database. Ethnicity was categorised as White, South Asian (SA), Black, or other. Flexible parametric survival models were used to estimate survival and predict life expectancy. 59,939 individuals with first CVD event were included: 7596 (12.7%) with T2D (60.9% men; mean age at event: 69.7 years [63.2 years in SA, 65.9 in Black, 70.2 in White]) and 52,343 without T2D (56.7% men; 65.9 years [54.7 in Black, 58.2 in SA, 66.3 in White]). Accounting for potential confounders (sex, deprivation, lipid-lowering medication, current smoking, and pre-existing hypertension), comparing individuals with vs without T2D the mortality rate was 53% higher in White (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.53 [95% CI: 1.44, 1.62]), corresponding to a potential loss of 3.87 (3.30, 4.44) life years at the age of 50 years in individuals with T2D. No evidence of a difference in life expectancy was observed in individuals of SA (HR: 0.82 [0.52, 1.29]; -1.36 [-4.58, 1.86] life years), Black (HR: 1.26 [0.59, 2.70]; 1.21 [-2.99, 5.41] life years); and other (HR: 1.64 [0.80, 3.39]; 3.89 [-2.28, 9.99] life years) ethnic group. CONCLUSION: Following a CVD event, T2D is associated with a different prognosis and life years lost among ethnic groups.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Esperanza de Vida , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/complicaciones , Inglaterra/epidemiología , Población Blanca , Población Negra , Personas del Sur de Asia
13.
J Investig Allergol Clin Immunol ; 33(2): 119-125, 2023 Apr 18.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34896979

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Previous studies suggest that asthma mortality rates in Spain have been decreasing in recent years. However, this trend is not homogeneous across age groups. Objective: To analyze asthma mortality rates over a 40-year period, focusing on changes associated with the development of new therapeutic approaches. METHODS: Death records and mid-year population data were collected from the National Statistics Institute. Using the direct method, agestandardized mortality rates were calculated for the overall population and for each sex and age group. Significant changes in mortality trends were identified using joinpoint regression analysis. The independent effects of age, period, and cohort and potential years of life lost due to asthma were also analyzed. RESULTS: Age-standardized asthma mortality rates decreased in Spain from 7.38 to 2.03 deaths per 100 000 from the first to the last quinquennium of the study (1980-1984 to 2015-2019) for the whole population. This decrease was more intense among men, where a decrease from 10.37/100 000 to 0.91/100 000 was observed compared with 5.53 to 2.77/100 000 in women. Mortality decreased in all age groups. During the last 3 years, the decrease stabilized in patients aged >64 years but increased in those aged 35-64. Mortality has been decreasing rapidly since the 1990s in patients aged <35 years. CONCLUSION: Asthma mortality rates began to decline in 1980. The decrease was observed among younger cohorts starting in the 1990s, thus confirming earlier trends. Improved diagnosis and development of new therapies for asthma may have played a role in the changes observed. Close monitoring of asthma mortality rates is necessary to confirm these trends.


Asunto(s)
Asma , Masculino , Humanos , Femenino , España/epidemiología , Análisis de Regresión
14.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 547, 2023 03 23.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36949397

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The present study tries to provide a comprehensive estimate of gender differences in the years of life lost due to CVD across the major states of India during 2017-18. METHODS: The information on the CVD related data were collected from medical certification of causes of death (MCCD reports, 2018). Apart from this, information from census of India (2001, 2011), SRS (2018) were also used to estimate YLL. To understand the variation in YLL due to CVD at the state level, nine sets of covariates were chosen: share of elderly population, percentage of urban population, literacy rate, health expenditure, social sector expenditure, labour force participation, HDI Score and co-existence of other NCDs such as diabetes, & obesity. The absolute number of YLL and YLL rates were calculated. Further, Pearson's correlation had been calculated and to understand the effect of explanatory variables on YLL due to CVD, multiple linear regression analysis had been applied. RESULTS: Men have a higher burden of premature mortality in terms of Years of life lost (YLL) due to CVD than women in India, with pronounced differences at adult ages of 50-54 years and over. The age pattern of YLL rate suggests that the age group 85 + makes the highest contribution to the overall YLL rate due to CVD. YLL rate showed a J-shaped relationship with age, starting high at ages below 1 years, dropping to their lowest among children aged 1-4 years, and rising again to highest levels at 85 + years among both men and women. In all the states except Bihar men had higher estimated YLL due to CVD for all ages than women. Among men the YLL due to CVD was higher in Tamil Nadu followed by Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. On the other hand, the YLL due to CVD among men was lowest in Jharkhand followed by Assam. Similarly, among women the YLL due to CVD was highest in Tamil Nadu followed by Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. While, the YLL due to CVD among women was lowest in Jharkhand. Irrespective of gender, all factors except state health expenditure were positively linked with YLL due to CVD, i.e., as state health expenditure increases, the years of life lost (YLL) due to CVDs falls. Among all the covariates, the proportion of a state's elderly population emerges as the most significant predictor variable for YLL for CVDs (r = 0.42 for men and r = 0.50 for women). CONCLUSION: YLL due to cardiovascular disease varies among men and women across the states of India. The state-specific findings of gender differences in years of life lost due to CVD may be used to improve policies and programmes in India.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Cardiovasculares , Masculino , Adulto , Niño , Humanos , Anciano , Femenino , Lactante , Enfermedades Cardiovasculares/etiología , Factores Sexuales , Mortalidad Prematura , Esperanza de Vida , India/epidemiología , Mortalidad
15.
BMC Public Health ; 23(1): 1707, 2023 09 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37667264

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Burden of disease estimates have become important population health metrics over the past decade to measure losses in health. In Belgium, the disease burden caused by COVID-19 has not yet been estimated, although COVID-19 has emerged as one of the most important diseases. Therefore, the current study aims to estimate the direct COVID-19 burden in Belgium, observed despite policy interventions, during 2020 and 2021, and compare it to the burden from other causes. METHODS: Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) are the sum of Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) and Years of Life Lost (YLLs) due to disease. DALYs allow comparing the burden of disease between countries, diseases, and over time. We used the European Burden of Disease Network consensus disease model for COVID-19 to estimate DALYs related to COVID-19. Estimates of person-years for (a) acute non-fatal disease states were calculated from a compartmental model, using Belgian seroprevalence, social contact, hospital, and intensive care admission data, (b) deaths were sourced from the national COVID-19 mortality surveillance, and (c) chronic post-acute disease states were derived from a Belgian cohort study. RESULTS: In 2020, the total number of COVID-19 related DALYs was estimated at 253,577 [252,541 - 254,739], which is higher than in 2021, when it was 139,281 [136,704 - 142,306]. The observed COVID-19 burden was largely borne by the elderly, and over 90% of the burden was attributable to premature mortality (i.e., YLLs). In younger people, morbidity (i.e., YLD) contributed relatively more to the DALYs, especially in 2021, when vaccination was rolled out. Morbidity was mainly attributable to long-lasting post-acute symptoms. CONCLUSION: COVID-19 had a substantial impact on population health in Belgium, especially in 2020, when COVID-19 would have been the main cause of disease burden if all other causes had maintained their 2019 level.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Anciano , Humanos , Bélgica/epidemiología , COVID-19/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Estudios Seroepidemiológicos , Costo de Enfermedad
16.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol ; 58(2): 319-330, 2023 Feb.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35639133

RESUMEN

PURPOSE: To estimate the mortality rates of a cohort of Brazilian patients after their first psychiatric admission and determine the possible risk factors associated with excess mortality. METHODS: The study included a cohort of psychiatric patients hospitalised from Jan 1, 2002 to Dec 31, 2007 in the catchment area of Ribeirão Preto, São Paulo state, Brazil. Data were linked to deaths that occurred between Jan 1, 2002 and Dec 31, 2016 from the SEADE Foundation (state data analysis system of São Paulo). The mortality rate (MR), age-sex-standardised mortality ratio (SMR), life expectancy at birth, and years of life lost (YLL) were computed. The factors associated with mortality were analysed by survival analysis using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. RESULTS: Of 4019 patients admitted (54.76% male), 803 died (69.74% male) during the follow-up (median = 11.25 years). Mortality rates were approximately three-fold higher than expected (SMR = 2.90, 95% CI 2.71-3.11). The highest mortality rate was noted in men with alcohol-related disorders (SMR = 5.50, 95% CI 4.87-6.19). Male sex (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.62, 95% CI 1.37-1.92), higher age (aHR = 21.47, 95% CI 13.48-34.17), and unemployment (aHR = 1.22, 95% CI 1.05-1.43) significantly increased the mortality risk from all causes. The average YLL was 27.64 years with the highest YLL noted in nonalcohol substance-related disorders (39.22 years). The life expectancy at birth in this cohort was 47.27 years. Unnatural causes of death were associated with nonwhite skin colour and substance-related disorders. CONCLUSION: An excess of mortality and a significant reduction in life expectancy of mentally disordered patients who were first admitted to psychiatric beds was noted, particularly patients admitted for substance-related disorders, which should represent a priority in mental health policies.


Asunto(s)
Hospitales Psiquiátricos , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Brasil/epidemiología , Estudios de Seguimiento , Factores de Riesgo , Causas de Muerte
17.
Aging Clin Exp Res ; 35(12): 3147-3156, 2023 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37985650

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Demographic shifts cause uncertain changes in the burden of coronary heart disease (CHD) in transitioning regions. We aimed to analyze the trends of CHD burden and its risk factors in Pudong, Shanghai, and explore prevention strategies for transitioning regions. METHODS: We analyzed CHD-related and CHD-specific deaths in Pudong from 2005 to 2020, including the crude mortality rate (CMR), age-standardized mortality rate worldwide (ASMRW), years of life lost (YLL), and age-specific proportions. We also examined the impact of population aging on the burden of CHD. The Joinpoint Regression Program was used to analyze trends, and the decomposition method was used to evaluate the impact of demographics on the mortality rate. RESULTS: Of the 86,171 CHD-related deaths, 52,152 (60.52%) were CHD-specific deaths. For both CHD-related and CHD-specific deaths, there was a significant increase in the CMR, ASMRW, and YLL rate, except in the 70-79-year age group, which exhibited a distinctive and statistically significant decline in these rates (all P < 0.05). There were steadily increasing trends in the rates caused by aging from 2005 to 2020, with average annual percent changes (AAPCs) of 42.59% and 41.43%, respectively (all P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that the CHD burden in Pudong has been persistently increasing, but in the age group of 70-79 years, substantial declines were observed. The quality of primary healthcare services may be a critical point in addressing the overwhelming CHD burden.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento , Enfermedad Coronaria , Humanos , Anciano , China/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo , Enfermedad Coronaria/epidemiología , Mortalidad
18.
J UOEH ; 45(4): 217-220, 2023.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38057110

RESUMEN

In this technical note, we primarily demonstrate the computation of confidence limits for a novel measure of average lifespan shortened (ALSS). We identified women who had died from cervical and ovarian cancer between 2000 and 2020 from the Alberta cancer registry. Years of life lost (YLL) was calculated using the national life tables of Canada. We estimated the ALSS as a ratio of YLL in relation to the expected lifespan. We computed the confidence limits of the measure using various approaches, including the normal distribution, gamma distribution, and bootstrap method. The new ALSS measure shows a modest gain in lifespan of women, particularly women with ovarian cancer, over the study period.


Asunto(s)
Longevidad , Neoplasias Ováricas , Humanos , Femenino , Esperanza de Vida , Alberta , Tablas de Vida
19.
Int J Cancer ; 151(5): 684-691, 2022 09 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35285029

RESUMEN

To examine the trends of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) mortality and years of life lost (YLL) in China and its provinces from 2005 to 2020, our study used data from China National Mortality Surveillance System (NMSS) to estimate the number and rate of mortality and YLL of NPC by age and sex. We calculated average annual percent change (AAPC) to describe the trend of NPC mortality and YLL over time. We also analyzed the proportion of NPC deaths in all cancer deaths and explored the drivers of change in NPC deaths by decomposition analysis. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of NPC in China had a significant downward trend from 2.0/100 000 in 2005 to 1.4/100 000 in 2020 (AAPC = -2.4, P < .05). Age-standardized YLL rate also showed the similar trends (AAPC = -2.8, P < .05). Southern provinces including Guangdong (163.9/100 000), Guangxi (130.5/100 000), and Hainan (105.6/100 000) had the highest YLL rate in 2020. The mortality and YLL rate increased with age and males were higher than females. From 2005 to 2020, the proportion of NPC deaths in all cancer deaths remained stable at around 1.0% in China. The total number of deaths of NPC increased by 7.3%, of which age-specific mortality, population growth, and population aging accounted for -46.2%, 8.5% and 45.0%, respectively. NPC remains a significant public health issue in China southern provinces and tailored prevention and control strategies should be strengthened to reduce the burden of premature mortality of NPC in high risk areas.


Asunto(s)
Envejecimiento , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas , China/epidemiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Mortalidad , Carcinoma Nasofaríngeo/epidemiología , Neoplasias Nasofaríngeas/epidemiología , Salud Pública
20.
Int J Cancer ; 151(12): 2095-2106, 2022 Dec 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35946832

RESUMEN

State-specific information on lost earnings due to smoking-attributable cancer deaths to inform and advocate for tobacco control policies is lacking. We estimated person-years of life lost (PYLL) and lost earnings due to cigarette smoking-attributable cancer deaths in the United States nationally and by state. Proportions and numbers of cigarette smoking-attributable cancer deaths and associated PYLL among individuals aged 25 to 79 years in 2019 were calculated and combined with annual median earnings to estimate lost earnings attributable to cigarette smoking. In 2019, estimated total PYLL and lost earnings associated with cigarette smoking-attributable cancer deaths in ages 25 to 79 years in the United States were 2 188 195 (95% CI, 2 148 707-2 231 538) PYLL and $20.9 billion ($20.0 billion-$21.7 billion), respectively. States with the highest overall age-standardized PYLL and lost earning rates generally were in the South and Midwest. The estimated rate per 100 000 population ranged from 352 (339-366) in Utah to 1337 (1310-1367) in West Virginia for PYLL and from $4.3 million ($3.5 million-$5.2 million) in Idaho to $14.8 million ($10.6 million-$20.7 million) in Missouri for lost earnings. If age-specific PYLL and lost earning rates in Utah had been achieved by all states, 58.2% (57.0%-59.5%) of the estimated total PYLL (1 274 178; 1 242 218-1 306 685 PYLL) and 50.5% (34.2%-62.4%) of lost earnings ($10.5 billion; $7.1 billion-$13.1 billion) in 2019 nationally would have been avoided. Lost earnings due to smoking-attributable cancer deaths are substantial in the United States and are highest in states with weaker tobacco control policies.


Asunto(s)
Fumar Cigarrillos , Neoplasias , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Humanos , Nicotiana , Renta , Missouri , Neoplasias/etiología
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