Heterologous vaccination interventions to reduce pandemic morbidity and mortality: Modeling the US winter 2020 COVID-19 wave.

COVID-19 remains a stark health threat worldwide, in part because of minimal levels of targeted vaccination outside high-income countries and highly transmissible variants causing infection in vaccinated individuals. Decades of theoretical and experimental data suggest that nonspecific effects of non-COVID-19 vaccines may help bolster population immunological resilience to new pathogens. These routine vaccinations can stimulate heterologous cross-protective effects, which modulate nontargeted infections. For example, immunization with Bacillus Calmette-Guérin, inactivated influenza vaccine, oral polio vaccine, and other vaccines have been associated with some protection from SARS-CoV-2 infection and amelioration of COVID-19 disease. If heterologous vaccine interventions (HVIs) are to be seriously considered by policy makers as bridging or boosting interventions in pandemic settings to augment nonpharmaceutical interventions and specific vaccination efforts, evidence is needed to determine their optimal implementation. Using the COVID-19 International Modeling Consortium mathematical model, we show that logistically realistic HVIs with low (5 to 15%) effectiveness could have reduced COVID-19 cases, hospitalization, and mortality in the United States fall/winter 2020 wave. Similar to other mass drug administration campaigns (e.g., for malaria), HVI impact is highly dependent on both age targeting and intervention timing in relation to incidence, with maximal benefit accruing from implementation across the widest age cohort when the pandemic reproduction number is >1.0. Optimal HVI logistics therefore differ from optimal rollout parameters for specific COVID-19 immunizations. These results may be generalizable beyond COVID-19 and the US to indicate how even minimally effective heterologous immunization campaigns could reduce the burden of future viral pandemics.

What can hospital emergency admissions prior to cancer diagnosis tell us about socio-economic inequalities in cancer diagnosis? Evidence from population-based data in England.

BACKGROUND: More deprived cancer patients are at higher risk of Emergency Presentation (EP) with most studies pointing to lower symptom awareness and increased comorbidities to explain those patterns. With the example of colon cancer, we examine patterns of hospital emergency admissions (HEAs) history in the most and least deprived patients as a potential precursor of EP. METHODS: We analysed the rates of hospital admissions and their admission codes (retrieved from Hospital Episode Statistics) in the two years preceding cancer diagnosis by sex, deprivation and route to diagnosis (EP, non-EP). To select the conditions (grouped admission codes) that best predict emergency admission, we adapted the purposeful variable selection to mixed-effects logistic regression. RESULTS: Colon cancer patients diagnosed through EP had the highest number of HEAs than all the other routes to diagnosis, especially in the last 7 months before diagnosis. Most deprived patients had an overall higher rate and higher probability of HEA but fewer conditions associated with it. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings point to higher use of emergency services for non-specific symptoms and conditions in the most deprived patients, preceding colon cancer diagnosis. Health system barriers may be a shared factor of socio-economic inequalities in EP and HEAs.

Use of Latent Class Analysis to Predict Intensive Care Unit Admission and Mortality in Children with a Major Congenital Anomaly.

OBJECTIVE: To define major congenital anomaly (CA) subgroups and assess outcome variability based on defined subgroups. STUDY DESIGN: This population-based cohort study used registries in Denmark for children born with a major CA between January 1997 and December 2016, with follow-up until December 2018. We performed a latent class analysis (LCA) using child and family clinical and sociodemographic characteristics present at birth, incorporating additional variables occurring until age of 24 months. Cox proportional hazards regression models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) of pediatric mortality and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions for identified LCA classes. RESULTS: The study included 27 192 children born with a major CA. Twelve variables led to a 4-class solution (entropy = 0.74): (1) children born with higher income and fewer comorbidities (55.4%), (2) children born to young mothers with lower income (24.8%), (3) children born prematurely (10.0%), and (4) children with multiorgan involvement and developmental disability (9.8%). Compared with those in Class 1, mortality and ICU admissions were highest in Class 4 (HR = 8.9, 95% CI = 6.4-12.6 and HR = 4.1, 95% CI = 3.6-4.7, respectively). More modest increases were observed among the other classes for mortality and ICU admissions (Class 2: HR = 1.7, 95% CI = 1.1-2.5 and HR = 1.3, 95% CI = 1.1-1.4, respectively; Class 3: HR = 2.5, 95% CI = 1.5-4.2 and HR = 1.5, 95% CI = 1.3-1.9, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Children with a major CA can be categorized into meaningful subgroups with good discriminative ability. These groupings may be useful for risk-stratification in outcome studies.

Effect of climate on emergency department admissions for renal colic: a comparative analysis of sedentary and non-sedentary lifestyles.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the impact of climate and seasonal variations on emergency department (ED) admissions for renal colic, while specifically comparing the differences between individuals with sedentary and non-sedentary lifestyles. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A retrospective, single center study was conducted. Between the years 2017- 2020, medical records of patients admitted to the ED with renal colic, found to harbor ureteric stones on CT scans, were examined. Data on patients' occupational activities was collected through telephone questionnaires. Patients were categorized into two groups: sedentary and active. Precise weather data was obtained from the Israeli Meteorological Service website. The monthly average daily maximum temperatures were calculated. RESULTS: In the final sample of 560 participants, 285 were in the sedentary group, and 275 were in the active group. The study population consisted of 78.1% males and 21.9% females, with consistent gender ratios in both occupational groups. Prevalence of uric acid stones was higher in the sedentary group (p < 0.05). While there was a slight increase in admissions during the summer, seasonal distribution did not significantly differ among occupational groups. The study found no significant differences in admissions across different temperature ranges. Both groups exhibited a pattern of increased referrals during the summer and reduced referrals in the colder winter months. The baseline data revealed notable differences between the sedentary and active groups, particularly in the prevalence of uric acid stones. CONCLUSIONS: Climate factors, including temperature and seasonal variations, had limited impact on ED admissions for renal colic in patients with kidney stones, irrespective of their sedentary or active lifestyles. Both groups exhibited similar admission patterns, with a higher rate of admissions during the summer and a lower rate of admissions during the winter.

Geriatric Trauma Intensive Care Unit Admission Guideline Is Associated With Reduction in Unplanned Intensive Care Unit Admissions.

INTRODUCTION: Geriatric trauma patients experience disproportionate adverse outcomes compared to younger patients with similar injuries and represent an important target for quality improvement. Our institution created a Geriatric Trauma Intensive Care Unit (ICU) Admission Guideline to identify high-risk patients and elevate their initial level of care. The goal of implementation was reducing unplanned ICU admissions (UIAs), a recognized surrogate marker for adverse outcomes. METHODS: The Geriatric Trauma ICU Admission Guideline was implemented on July 1, 2020, at a large academic level-1 trauma center. Using trauma registry data, we retrospectively analyzed geriatric patients who met the criteria for ICU admission 2 y preimplementation and postimplementation. The main outcome was UIAs in the target geriatric population. Secondary outcomes included hospital length of stay, ICU length of stay, ventilator days, mortality, and 30-d readmissions. Characteristics between groups were compared with t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, or chi-square test. Risk-adjusted logistic and negative binomial regressions were used for the categorical and continuous outcomes, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 1075 patients were identified with 476 in the preimplementation and 599 in the postimplementation group. The groups were similar across most demographic and physiologic characteristics, with the exception of a higher incidence of hypertension in the preimplementation group (77.7% versus 71.6%, P = 0.02) and COVID in the postimplementation group (3.8% versus 0.4%, P < 0.001). While mechanism of injury was similar, there was a higher incidence of traumatic brain injury in the preimplementation group (35.1% versus 26.2%, P = 0.002). In the postimplementation group, there was a higher incidence ≥3 rib fractures (68% versus 61.3%, P = 0.02) and an expected increase in initial ICU level of care (69.5% versus 37.1%, P < 0.001). The odds of a UIA after guideline implementation were reduced by half (adjusted odds ratio 0.52, 95% confidence interval 0.3-0.92). There was not a significant difference in the secondary outcomes of mortality, 30-d readmission, hospital-free days, ICU-free days, or ventilator-free days. CONCLUSIONS: Implementation of the Geriatric Trauma ICU Admission Guideline was associated with a reduction in UIAs by half in the target population. There was not a significant change in hospital-free days, ICU-free days, ventilator-free days, mortality, 30-d readmission, or venous thromboembolism. Further research is needed to better refine admission guidelines, examine the association of preventative admission on delirium, and determination of criteria that would allow safe, earlier downgrade.

Reliability of a Measure of Admission Intensity for Emergency Physicians.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We assess the stability of a measure of emergency department (ED) admission intensity for value-based care programs designed to reduce variation in ED admission rates. Measure stability is important to accurately assess admission rates across sites and among physicians. METHODS: We sampled data from 358 EDs in 41 states (January 2018 to December 2021), separate from sites where the measure was derived. The measure is the ED admission rate per 100 ED visits for 16 clinical conditions and 535 included International Classification of Disease 10 diagnosis codes. We used descriptive plots and multilevel linear probability models to assess stability over time across EDs and among physicians. RESULTS: Across included 3,571 ED-quarters, the average admission rate was 27.6% (95% confidence interval [CI] 26.0% to 28.2%). The between-facility standard deviation was 9.7% (95% CI 9.0% to 10.6%), and the within-facility standard deviation was 3.0% (95% CI 2.95% to 3.10%), with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.91. At the physician-quarter level, the average admission rate was 28.3% (95% CI 28.0% to 28.5%) among 7,002 physicians. Relative to their site's mean in each quarter, the between-physician standard deviation was 6.7% (95% CI 6.6% to 6.8%), and the within-physician standard deviation was 5.5% (95% CI 5.5% to 5.6%), with an intraclass correlation coefficient of 0.59. Moreover, 2.9% of physicians were high-admitting in 80%+ of their practice quarters relative to their peers in the same ED and in the same quarter, whereas 3.9% were low-admitting. CONCLUSION: The measure exhibits stability in characterizing ED-level admission rates and reliably identifies high- and low-admitting physicians.

Measurement of Cost of Boarding in the Emergency Department Using Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Boarding admitted patients in emergency departments (EDs) is a national crisis that is worsening despite potential financial disadvantages. The objective of this study was to assess costs associated with boarding. METHODS: We conducted a prospective, observational investigation of patients admitted through an ED for management of acute stroke at a large, urban, academic, comprehensive stroke center hospital. We employed time-driven activity-based costing methodology to estimate cost for patient care activities during admission and aggregated results to estimate the total cost of boarding versus inpatient care. Primary outcomes were total daily costs per patient for medical-surgical (med/surg) boarding, med/surg inpatient care, ICU boarding, and ICU inpatient care. RESULTS: The total daily cost per patient with acute stroke was US$1856, for med/surg boarding versus US$993 for med/surg inpatient care and US$2267, for ICU boarding versus US$2165, for ICU inpatient care. These differences were even greater when accounting for costs associated with traveler nurses. ED nurses spent 293 min/d (mean) caring for each med/surg boarder; inpatient nurses spent 313 min/d for each med/surg inpatient. ED nurses spent 419 min/d caring for each ICU boarder; inpatient nurses spent 787 min/d for each ICU inpatient. Neurology attendings and residents spent 25 and 52 min/d caring for each med/surg boarder versus 62 minutes and 90 minutes for each med/surg inpatient, respectively. CONCLUSION: Using advanced cost-accounting methods, our investigation provides novel evidence that boarding of admitted patients is financially costly, adding greater urgency for elimination of this practice.

Characteristics and preventability of medication-related admissions for acute kidney injury and dehydration in elderly patients.

PURPOSE: Patients with impaired renal function using medication that affects glomerular filtration rate are at increased risk of developing acute kidney injury (AKI) leading to hospital admissions. The risk increases during periods of dehydration due to diarrhoea, vomiting or fever (so-called "sick days"), or high environmental temperatures (heat wave). This study aims to gain insight into the characteristics and preventability of medication-related admissions for AKI and dehydration in elderly patients. METHODS: Retrospective case series study in patients aged ≥ 65 years with admission for acute kidney injury, dehydration or electrolyte imbalance related to dehydration that was defined as medication-related. General practitioner's (GP) patient records including medication history and hospital discharge letters were available. For each admission, patient and admission characteristics were collected to review the patient journey. A case-by-case assessment of preventability of hospital admissions was performed. RESULTS: In total, 75 admissions were included. Most prevalent comorbidities were hypertension, diabetes, and known impaired renal function. Diuretics and RAS-inhibitors were the most prevalent medication combination. Eighty percent of patients experienced non-acute onset of symptoms and 60% had contacted their GP within 2 weeks prior to admission. Around 40% (n = 29) of admissions were considered potentially preventable if pharmacotherapy had been timely and adequately adjusted. CONCLUSION: A substantial proportion of patients admitted with AKI or dehydration experience non-acute onset of symptoms and had contacted their GP within 2 weeks prior to admission. Timely adjusting of medication in these patients could have potentially prevented a considerable number of admissions.

Improving 1-Year Mortality Following Intensive Care Unit Admission in Adults with HIV: A 20-Year Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Despite widespread use of combination antiretroviral therapy, people with HIV (PWH) continue to have an increased risk of admission to and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU). Mortality risk after hospital discharge is not well described. Using retrospective data on adult PWH (≥18 years) admitted to ICU from 2000-2019 in an HIV-referral centre, we describe trends in 1-year mortality after ICU admission. METHODS: One-year mortality was calculated from index ICU admission to date of death; with follow-up right-censored at day 365 for people remaining alive at 1 year, or day 7 after ICU discharge if lost-to-follow-up after hospital discharge. Cox regression was used to describe the association with calendar year before and after adjustment for patient characteristics (age, sex, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II [APACHE II] score, CD4+ T-cell count, and recent HIV diagnosis) at ICU admission. Analyses were additionally restricted to those discharged alive from ICU using a left-truncated design, with further adjustment for respiratory failure at ICU admission in these analyses. RESULTS: Two hundred and twenty-one PWH were admitted to ICU (72% male, median [interquartile range] age 45 [38-53] years) of whom 108 died within 1-year (cumulative 1-year survival: 50%). Overall, the hazard of 1-year mortality was decreased by 10% per year (crude hazard ratio (HR): 0.90 (95% confidence interval: 0.87-0.93)); the association was reduced to 7% per year (adjusted HR: 0.93 (0.89-0.98)) after adjustment. Conclusions were similar among the subset of 136 patients discharged alive (unadjusted: 0.91 (0.84-0.98); adjusted 0.92 (0.84, 1.02)). CONCLUSIONS: Between 2000 and 2019, 1-year mortality after ICU admission declined at this ICU. Our findings highlight the need for multi-centre studies and the importance of continued engagement in care after hospital discharge among PWH.

Ferritin Levels on Hospital Admission Predict Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy in Patients After Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: A Prospective Observational Single-Center Study.

AIM: Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a major health concern in Western societies. Poor outcome after OHCA is determined by the extent of hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy (HIE). Dysregulation of iron metabolism has prognostic relevance in patients with ischemic stroke and sepsis. The aim of this study was to determine whether serum iron parameters help to estimate outcomes after OHCA. METHODS: In this prospective single-center study, 70 adult OHCA patients were analyzed. Serum ferritin, iron, transferrin (TRF), and TRF saturation (TRFS) were measured in blood samples drawn on day 0 (admission), day 2, day 4, and 6 months after the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). The association of 4 iron parameters with in-hospital mortality, neurological outcome (cerebral performance category [CPC]), and HIE was investigated by receiver operating characteristics and multivariate regression analyses. RESULTS: OHCA subjects displayed significantly increased serum ferritin levels on day 0 and lowered iron, TRF, and TRFS on days 2 and 4 after ROSC, as compared to concentrations measured at a 6-month follow-up. Iron parameters were not associated with in-hospital mortality or neurological outcomes according to the CPC. Ferritin on admission was an independent predictor of features of HIE on cranial computed tomography and death due to HIE. CONCLUSION: OHCA is associated with alterations in iron metabolism that persist for several days after ROSC. Ferritin on admission can help to predict HIE.

Outcome of patients with solid malignancies considered for intensive care unit admission: a single-center prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: To identify the predictors and outcomes of ICU triage decisions in patients with solid malignancies (SM) and to investigate the usefulness of the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) and quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score at triage. METHODS: All patients with SM for whom ICU admission was requested between July 2019 and December 2021 in a French university-affiliated hospital were included prospectively. RESULTS: Of the 6262 patients considered for ICU admission, 410 (6.5%) had SM (age, 66 [58-73] years; metastases, 60.1%; and performance status 0-2, 81%). Of these 410 patients, 176 (42.9%) were admitted to the ICU, including 141 (80.1%) subsequently discharged alive. Breast cancer, hemoptysis, and pneumothorax were associated with ICU admission; whereas older age, performance status 3-4, metastatic disease, and request at night were associated with denial of ICU admission. The NEWS, and the qSOFA score in patients with suspected infection, determined at triage performed poorly for predicting hospital mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve, 0.52 and 0.62, respectively). Performance status 3-4 was independently associated with higher 6-month mortality and first-line anticancer treatment with lower 6-month mortality. Hospital mortality was 33.3% in patients admitted to the ICU after refusal of the first request. CONCLUSION: Patients with SM were frequently denied ICU admission despite excellent in-ICU survival. Poor performance status was associated with ICU admission denial and higher 6-month mortality, but none of the other reasons for denying ICU admission predicted 6-month mortality. Physiological scores had limited usefulness in this setting.

Predicting short- to medium-term care home admission risk in older adults: a systematic review of externally validated models.

INTRODUCTION: Predicting risk of care home admission could identify older adults for early intervention to support independent living but require external validation in a different dataset before clinical use. We systematically reviewed external validations of care home admission risk prediction models in older adults. METHODS: We searched Medline, Embase and Cochrane Library until 14 August 2023 for external validations of prediction models for care home admission risk in adults aged ≥65 years with up to 3 years of follow-up. We extracted and narratively synthesised data on study design, model characteristics, and model discrimination and calibration (accuracy of predictions). We assessed risk of bias and applicability using Prediction model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool. RESULTS: Five studies reporting validations of nine unique models were included. Model applicability was fair but risk of bias was mostly high due to not reporting model calibration. Morbidities were used as predictors in four models, most commonly neurological or psychiatric diseases. Physical function was also included in four models. For 1-year prediction, three of the six models had acceptable discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)/c statistic 0.70-0.79) and the remaining three had poor discrimination (AUC < 0.70). No model accounted for competing mortality risk. The only study examining model calibration (but ignoring competing mortality) concluded that it was excellent. CONCLUSIONS: The reporting of models was incomplete. Model discrimination was at best acceptable, and calibration was rarely examined (and ignored competing mortality risk when examined). There is a need to derive better models that account for competing mortality risk and report calibration as well as discrimination.

Development and validation of a prenatal predictive nomogram for the risk of NICU admission in infants born to Chinese mothers over 35 years of age: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The rising number of women giving birth at advanced maternal age has posed significant challenges in obstetric care in recent years, resulting in increased incidence of neonatal transfer to the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU). Therefore, identifying fetuses requiring NICU transfer before delivery is essential for guiding targeted preventive measures. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to construct and validate a nomogram for predicting the prenatal risk of NICU admission in neonates born to mothers over 35 years of age. STUDY DESIGN: Clinical data of 4218 mothers aged ≥ 35 years who gave birth at the Department of Obstetrics of the Second Hospital of Shandong University between January 1, 2017 and December 31, 2021 were reviewed. Independent predictors were identified by multivariable logistic regression, and a predictive nomogram was subsequently constructed for the risk of neonatal NICU admission. RESULTS: Multivariate logistic regression demonstrated that the method of prenatal screening, number of implanted embryos, preterm premature rupture of the membranes, preeclampsia, HELLP syndrome, fetal distress, premature birth, and cause of preterm birth are independent predictors of neonatal NICU admission. Analysis of the nomogram decision curve based on these 8 independent predictors showed that the prediction model has good net benefit and clinical utility. CONCLUSION: The nomogram demonstrates favorable performance in predicting the risk of neonatal NICU transfer after delivery by mothers older than 35 years. The model serves as an accurate and effective tool for clinicians to predict NICU admission in a timely manner.

Admission indications, initial diagnoses, Interventions, and patient outcomes within the sole obstetric high-dependency unit in Ethiopia.

BACKGROUND: Obstetric high-dependency care offers holistic care to critically ill obstetric patients while maintaining the potential for early mother-child bonding. Little is known about the obstetric high-dependency unit (HDU) in Ethiopia. Therefore, the objective of the study was to review the admission indications, initial diagnoses, interventions, and patient outcomes in the obstetric high-dependency unit at St.Paul's Hospital. METHODS: A retrospective observational study was carried out at St. Paul's Hospital in Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, between September 2021 and September 2022, targeting patients in the obstetric high-dependency unit during pregnancy or with in 42 days of termination or delivery. A checklist was used to compile sociodemographic and clinical data. Epidata-4.2 for data entry and SPSS-26 for data analysis were employed. Chi-square tests yielded significant results at p < 0.05. RESULT: Records of 370 obstetric patients were reviewed and analyzed. The study enlisted participants aged 18 to 40, with a mean age of 27.6 ± 5.9. The obstetric high-dependency unit received 3.5% (95% CI, 3.01-4.30) of all obstetric admissions. With the HDU in place, only 0.42% of obstetric patients necessitated adult intensive care unit (ICU) admission. The predominant motive behind HDU admissions (63.2%) was purely for observation. Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (48.6%) and obstetric hemorrhage (18.9%) were the two top admission diagnoses. Ten pregnant mothers (2.7%) were admitted to HDU: 2 with antepartum hemorrhages, and 8 with cardiac diseases. Maternal mortality and transfer to the ICU were both 1.4 per 100 HDU patients. CONCLUSION: Our study found that the most frequent indication for admission to the HDU was just for observational monitoring. Hypertensive disorders of pregnancy and obstetric hemorrhage were the two leading admission diagnoses. Expanding HDUs nationwide is key for mitigating the ICU burden from obstetric admissions. Strategies for early prenatal screening, predicting preeclampsia, and addressing postpartum hemorrhage should be reinforced. Future studies should focus on a broader array of factors affecting fetomaternal outcomes in such a unit.

Outpatient Surgery and Unplanned Overnight Admission in Bilateral Inguinal Hernia Repair: A Population-based Study.

PURPOSE: The use of outpatient surgery in inguinal hernia is heterogeneous despite clinical recommendations. This study aimed to analyze the utilization trend of outpatient surgery for bilateral inguinal hernia repair (BHIR) in Spain and identify the factors associated with outpatient surgery choice and unplanned overnight admission. METHODS: A retrospective observational study of patients undergoing BIHR from 2016 to 2021 was conducted. The clinical-administrative database of the Spanish Ministry of Health RAE-CMBD was used. Patient characteristics undergoing outpatient and inpatient surgery were compared. A multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to identify factors associated with outpatient surgery choice and unplanned overnight admission. RESULTS: A total of 30,940 RHIBs were performed; 63% were inpatient surgery, and 37% were outpatient surgery. The rate of outpatient surgery increased from 30% in 2016 to 41% in 2021 (p < 0.001). Higher rates of outpatient surgery were observed across hospitals with a higher number of cases per year (p < 0.001). Factors associated with outpatient surgery choice were: age under 65 years (OR: 2.01, 95% CI: 1.92-2.11), hospital volume (OR: 1.59, 95% CI: 1.47-1.72), primary hernia (OR: 1.89, 95% CI: 1.71-2.08), and laparoscopic surgery (OR: 1.47, 95% CI: 1.39-1.56). Comorbidities were negatively associated with outpatient surgery. Open surgery was associated (OR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.09-1.47) with unplanned overnight admission. CONCLUSIONS: Outpatient surgery for BHIR has increased in recent years but is still low. Older age and comorbidities were associated with lower rates of outpatient surgery. However, the laparoscopic repair was associated with increased outpatient surgery and lower unplanned overnight admission.

Effect of access block on emergency department crowding calculated by NEDOCS score.

OBJECTIVE: Emergency department (ED) crowding poses a significant challenge in healthcare systems globally, leading to delays in patient care and threatening public health and staff well-being. Access block, characterized by delays in admitting patients awaiting hospitalization, is a primary contributor to ED overcrowding. To address this issue, the National Emergency Department Overcrowding Study (NEDOCS) score provides an objective framework for assessing ED crowding severity. This study aims to evaluate the impact of access block on ED crowding using the NEDOCS score and to explore strategies for mitigating overcrowding through scenarios over a 39-day period. METHODS: A single-center, prospective, observational study was conducted in an urban tertiary care referral center. The NEDOCS score was collected six times daily, including variables like total ED patients, ventilated patients, boarding patients, the longest waiting times, and durations of boarding patients. NEDOCS scores were recorded, and calculations were performed to assess the potential impact of eliminating access block in scenarios. RESULTS: NEDOCS scores ranged from 62.4 to 315, with a mean of 146, indicating consistent overcrowding. Analysis categorized ED conditions into different levels, revealing that over 81.2% of the time, the ED was at least overcrowded. The longest boarding patient's waiting duration was identified as the primary contributor to NEDOCS (48.8%). Scenarios demonstrated a significant decrease in NEDOCS when access block was eliminated through timely admissions. Shorter boarding times during non-working hours suggest the potential mitigating effect of external factors on the access barrier. Additionally, daytime measurements were associated with lower patient admissions and shorter wait times for initial assessment. CONCLUSION: Although ED crowding is a multifactorial problem, our study has shown that access block contribute significantly to this problem. The study emphasizes that eliminating access block through timely admissions could substantially alleviate crowding, highlighting the importance of addressing this issue to enhance ED efficiency and overall healthcare delivery.

The Brain Injury Guidelines (BIG) and emergency department observation and admission rates: A retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Emergency Department (ED) Observation Units (OU) can provide safe, effective care for low risk patients with intracranial hemorrhages. We compared current ED OU use for patients with subdural hematomas (SDH) to the validated Brain Injury Guidelines (BIG) to evaluate the potential impact of implementing this risk stratification tool. METHODS: Retrospective cohort of patients ≥18 years old with SDH of any cause from 2014 to 2020 to evaluate for potential missed OU cases. Missed OU cases were defined as patients with an initial Glasgow Coma Score (GCS) of 15 with hospital length of stays (LOS) <2 days, who did not meet the composite outcome and were not cared for in the OU or discharged from the ED. Composite outcome included in-hospital death or transition to hospice care, neurosurgical intervention, GCS decline, and worsening SDH size. Secondary outcomes were whether application of BIG would increase ED OU use or reduce CT use. RESULTS: 264 patients met inclusion criteria over 5.3 year study timeframe. Mean age was 61 years (range 19-93) and 61.4% were male. SDH were traumatic in 76.9% and 60.2% of the cohort had additional injuries. The admission rate was 81.4% (n = 215). Fourteen (6.5%) missed OU cases were identified (2.6/year). Retrospective application of BIG resulted in 82.6% (n = 217) at BIG 3, 10.2% (n = 27) at BIG 2 and 7.6% (n = 20) at BIG 1. Application of BIG would not have decreased admission rates (82.6% BIG 3) and BIG 1 and 2 admissions were often for medical co-morbidities. The composite outcome was met in 50% of BIG 3, 22% of BIG 2, and no BIG 1 patients. CONCLUSION: In a level 1 trauma center with an established observation unit, current clinical care processes missed very few patients who could be discharged or placed in ED OU for SDH. Hospital admissions in BIG 1/2 were driven by co-morbidities and/or injuries, limiting applicability of BIG to this population.

Association between glucose levels at admission and outcomes of pneumonia: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Elevated blood glucose at hospital admission is frequently observed and has been associated with adverse outcomes in various patient populations. This meta-analysis sought to consolidate existing evidence to assess the association between elevated blood glucose at admission and clinical outcomes amongst pneumonia patients. METHODS: We searched PubMed, Medline, Cochrane library, Web of Science (WoS), and Scopus databases for studies, published up to 31 August 2023, and reporting on the clinical outcomes and the blood glucose levels at admission. Data were extracted by two independent reviewers. Random-effects meta-analyses were used to pool odds ratios (ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for dichotomous outcomes and weighted mean differences (WMDs) for continuous outcomes. RESULTS: A total of 23 studies with 34,000 participants were included. Elevated blood glucose at admission was significantly associated with increased short-term (pooled OR: 2.67; 95%CI: 1.73-4.12) and long-term mortality (pooled OR: 1.70; 95%CI: 1.20-2.42). Patients with raised glucose levels were more likely to require ICU admission (pooled OR: 1.86; 95%CI: 1.31-2.64). Trends also suggested increased risks for hospital readmission and mechanical ventilation, though these were not statistically significant. Elevated blood glucose was linked with approximately 0.72 days longer duration of hospital stay. CONCLUSION: Elevated blood glucose level at the time of hospital admission is associated with several adverse clinical outcomes, especially mortality, in patients with pneumonia. These findings underscore the importance of recognizing hyperglycemia as significant prognostic marker in pneumonia patients. Further research is needed to determine whether targeted interventions to control glucose levels can improve these outcomes.

Impact of heat waves on human morbidity and hospital admissions in a city of the western mediterranean area.

PURPOSE: The effect of heat waves on mortality is well known, but current evidence on morbidity is limited. Establishing the consequences of these events in terms of morbidity is important to ensure communities and health systems can adapt to them. METHODS: We thus collected data on total daily emergency hospital admissions, admissions to critical care units, emergency department admissions, and emergency admissions for specific diagnoses to Hospital Universitario de Son Espases from 1 January 2005 to 31 December 2021. A heat wave was defined as a period of ≥ 2 days with a maximum temperature ≥ 35 °C, including a 7 day lag effect (inclusive). We used a quasi-Poisson generalized linear model to estimate relative risks (RRs; 95%CI) for heat wave-related hospital admissions. RESULTS: Results showed statistically significant increases in total emergency admissions (RR 1.06; 95%CI 1 - 1.12), emergency department admissions (RR 1.12; 95%CI 1.07 - 1.18), and admissions for ischemic stroke (RR 1.26; 95%CI 1.02 - 1.54), acute kidney injury (RR 1.67; 95%CI 1.16 - 2.35), and heat stroke (RR 18.73, 95%CI 6.48 - 45.83) during heat waves. CONCLUSION: Heat waves increase hospitalization risk, primarily for thromboembolic and renal diseases and heat strokes.

A multi-state analysis on the effect of deprivation and race on PICU admission and mortality in children receiving Medicaid in United States (2007-2014).

INTRODUCTION: In the United States (US), racial and socioeconomic disparities have been implicated in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admissions and outcomes, with higher rates of critical illness in more deprived areas. The degree to which this persists despite insurance coverage is unknown. We investigated whether disparities exist in PICU admission and mortality according to socioeconomic position and race in children receiving Medicaid. METHODS: Using Medicaid data from 2007-2014 from 23 US states, we tested the association between area level deprivation and race on PICU admission (among hospitalized children) and mortality (among PICU admissions). Race was categorized as Black, White, other and missing. Patient-level ZIP Code was used to generate a multicomponent variable describing area-level social vulnerability index (SVI). Race and SVI were simultaneously tested for associations with PICU admission and mortality. RESULTS: The cohort contained 8,914,347 children (23·0% Black). There was no clear trend in odds of PICU admission by SVI; however, children residing in the most vulnerable quartile had increased PICU mortality (aOR 1·12 (95%CI 1·04-1·20; p = 0·0021). Black children had higher odds of PICU admission (aOR 1·04; 95% CI 1·03-1·05; p < 0·0001) and higher mortality (aOR 1·09; 95% CI 1·02-1·16; p = 0·0109) relative to White children. Substantial state-level variation was apparent, with the odds of mortality in Black children varying from 0·62 to 1·8. CONCLUSION: In a Medicaid cohort from 2007-2014, children with greater socioeconomic vulnerability had increased odds of PICU mortality. Black children were at increased risk of PICU admission and mortality, with substantial state-level variation. Our work highlights the persistence of sociodemographic disparities in outcomes even among insured children.