Sex-Based Differences in the Epidemiology, Clinical Characteristics, and Outcomes Associated with Worsening Heart Failure Events in a Learning Health System.

BACKGROUND: Differences in demographics, risk factors, and clinical characteristics may contribute to variations in men and women in terms of the prevalence, clinical setting, and outcomes associated with worsening heart failure (WHF) events. We sought to describe sex-based differences in the epidemiology, clinical characteristics, and outcomes associated with WHF events across clinical settings. METHODS AND RESULTS: We examined adults diagnosed with HF from 2010 to 2019 within a large, integrated health care delivery system. Electronic health record data were accessed for hospitalizations, emergency department (ED) visits and observation stays, and outpatient encounters. WHF was identified using validated natural language processing algorithms and defined as ≥1 symptom, ≥2 objective findings (including ≥1 sign), and ≥1 change in HF-related therapy. Incidence rates and associated outcomes for WHF were compared across care setting by sex. We identified 1,122,368 unique clinical encounters with a diagnosis code for HF, with 124,479 meeting WHF criteria. These WHF encounters existed among 102,116 patients, of whom 48,543 (47.5%) were women and 53,573 (52.5%) were men. Women experiencing WHF were older and more likely to have HF with preserved ejection fraction compared with men. The clinical settings of WHF were similar among women and men: hospitalizations (36.8% vs 37.7%), ED visits or observation stays (11.8% vs 13.4%), and outpatient encounters (4.4% vs 4.9%). Women had lower odds of 30-day mortality after an index hospitalization (adjusted odds ratio 0.88, 95% confidence interval 0.83-0.93) or ED visit or observation stay (adjusted odds ratio 0.86, 95% confidence interval 0.75-0.98) for WHF. CONCLUSIONS: Women and men contribute similarly to WHF events across diverse clinical settings despite marked differences in age and left ventricular ejection fraction.

Rationale and design of the KP ENRICH trial: A food is medicine intervention in low-income high-risk adults with diabetes within Kaiser Permanente.

BACKGROUND: Food insecurity is associated with poor glycemic control and increased risk for diabetes-related complications. The clinical benefit of addressing these challenges through a medically supportive grocery prescription (GRx) program in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) remains unclear. We report the aims and design of a randomized clinical trial to evaluate the effectiveness of a 6-month GRx intervention on hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) levels among low-income adults with T2D. METHODS: The Kaiser Permanente Evaluating Nutritional Interventions in Food-Insecure High-Risk Adults (KP ENRICH) Study is a pragmatic randomized trial enrolling 1100 participants within Kaiser Permanente Northern California and Southern California, two integrated health care delivery systems serving >9 million members. Medicaid-insured adults with T2D and baseline HbA1c ≥7.5% will be randomized at a 1:1 ratio to either GRx, delivered as $100 per month for select items from among a curated list of healthful food groups in an online grocery ordering and home-delivery platform along with biweekly digital nutrition educational materials, or control, consisting of free membership and deliveries from the online grocery platform but without curated food groups or purchasing dollars. The primary outcome is 6-month change in HbA1c. Secondary outcomes include 12-month change in HbA1c, and 6- and 12-month change in medical resource utilization, food security, nutrition security, dietary habits, diabetes-related quality of life, and dietary self-efficacy. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this large randomized clinical trial of GRx will help inform future policy and health system-based initiatives to improve food and nutrition security, disease management, and health equity among patients with T2D.

Developing Clinical Risk Prediction Models for Worsening Heart Failure Events and Death by Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction.

Background There is a need to develop electronic health record-based predictive models for worsening heart failure (WHF) events across clinical settings and across the spectrum of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Methods and Results We studied adults with heart failure (HF) from 2011 to 2019 within an integrated health care delivery system. WHF encounters were ascertained using natural language processing and structured data. We conducted boosted decision tree ensemble models to predict 1-year hospitalizations, emergency department visits/observation stays, and outpatient encounters for WHF and all-cause death within each LVEF category: HF with reduced ejection fraction (EF) (LVEF <40%), HF with mildly reduced EF (LVEF 40%-49%), and HF with preserved EF (LVEF ≥50%). Model discrimination was evaluated using area under the curve and calibration using mean squared error. We identified 338 426 adults with HF: 61 045 (18.0%) had HF with reduced EF, 49 618 (14.7%) had HF with mildly reduced EF, and 227 763 (67.3%) had HF with preserved EF. The 1-year risks of any WHF event and death were, respectively, 22.3% and 13.0% for HF with reduced EF, 17.0% and 10.1% for HF with mildly reduced EF, and 16.3% and 10.3% for HF with preserved EF. The WHF model displayed an area under the curve of 0.76 and mean squared error of 0.13, whereas the model for death displayed an area under the curve of 0.83 and mean squared error of 0.076. Performance and predictors were similar across WHF encounter types and LVEF categories. Conclusions We developed risk prediction models for 1-year WHF events and death across the LVEF spectrum using structured and unstructured electronic health record data and observed no substantial differences in model performance or predictors except for death, despite differences in underlying HF cause.

Food security, diet quality, nutritional knowledge, and attitudes towards research in adults with heart failure during the COVID-19 pandemic.

BACKGROUND: The impact of the novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on diet and nutrition among older adults with chronic medical conditions have not been well-described. METHODS: We conducted a survey addressing (1) food access, (2) diet quality and composition, (3) nutritional understanding, and (4) attitudes towards research among adults with heart failure (HF) within an integrated health system. Adults (≥18 years) with diagnosed HF and at least one prior hospitalization for HF within the last 12 months were approached to complete the survey electronically or by mail. Outcomes included all-cause and HF-specific hospitalizations and all-cause death was ascertained via the electronic health record. RESULTS: Among 1212 survey respondents (32.5% of eligible patients) between May 18, 2020 and September 30, 2020, mean ± SD age was 77.9 ± 11.4 years, 50.1% were women, and median (25th-75th) left ventricular ejection fraction was 55% (40%-60%). Overall, 15.1% of respondents were food insecure, and only 65% of participants answered correctly more than half of the items assessing nutritional knowledge. Although most respondents were willing to participate in future research, that number largely declined for studies requiring blood draws (32.2%), study medication (14.4%), and/or behavior change (27.1%). Food security, diet quality, and nutritional knowledge were not independently associated with outcomes at 90 or 180 days. CONCLUSION: In a cohort of older adults with HF and multiple comorbidities, a significant proportion reported issues with food access, diet quality, and nutritional knowledge during the COVID-19 pandemic. Future research should evaluate interventions targeting these domains in at-risk individuals.

Global assessment improves risk stratification for major adverse cardiac events across a wide range of triglyceride levels: Insights from the KP REACH study.

OBJECTIVE: Patients with risk factors for or established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) remain at high risk for subsequent ischemic events despite statin therapy. Triglyceride (TG) levels may contribute to residual ASCVD risk, and the performance of global risk assessment calculators across a broad range of TG levels is unknown. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of Kaiser Permanente Northern California members aged ≥45 years with ≥1 ASCVD risk factor (primary prevention cohort) or established ASCVD (secondary prevention cohort) between 2010 and 2017 who were receiving statin therapy and had a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol between 41-100 mg/dL. Global ASCVD risk assessment was performed using both the Kaiser Permanente ASCVD Risk Estimator (KPARE) and the ACC/AHA ASCVD Pooled Cohort Equation (PCE). Outcomes included major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) defined as myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral artery disease, and expanded MACE (MACE + coronary revascularization + hospitalization for unstable angina). RESULTS: Among 373,389 patients in the primary prevention cohort, median TG was 122 mg/dL (IQR 88-172 mg/dL) and there were 0.2 MACE events and 0.3 expanded MACE events per 100-person years. Among 97,832 patients in the secondary prevention cohort, median TG level was 116 mg/dL (IQR 84-164 mg/dL) and there were 9.6 MACE events and 22.0 expanded MACE events per 100-person years. KPARE and the ACC/AHA PCE stratified patients for MACE and expanded MACE over the entire range of TGs. CONCLUSION: In a cohort receiving statin therapy for primary or secondary prevention, we found global assessment further improves risk stratification for initial and/or recurrent ASCVD events irrespective of baseline TG level.

Triglyceride Levels and Residual Risk of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Events and Death in Adults Receiving Statin Therapy for Primary or Secondary Prevention: Insights From the KP REACH Study.

Background Patients with risk factors or established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease remain at high-risk for ischemic events. Triglyceride levels may play a causal role. Methods and Results We performed a retrospective study of adults aged ≥45 years receiving statin therapy, with a low-density lipoprotein cholesterol of 41 to 100 mg/dL, and ≥1 risk factor or established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease between 2010 and 2017. Outcomes included death, all-cause hospitalization, and major adverse cardiovascular events (myocardial infarction, stroke, or peripheral artery disease). The study sample included 373 389 primary prevention patients and 97 832 secondary prevention patients. The primary prevention cohort had a mean age of 65±10 years, with 51% women and 44% people of color, whereas the secondary prevention cohort had a mean age of 71±11 years, with 37% women and 32% people of color. Median triglyceride levels for the primary and secondary prevention cohorts were 122 mg/dL (interquartile range, 88-172 mg/dL) and 116 mg/dL (interquartile range, 84-164 mg/dL), respectively. In multivariable analyses, primary prevention patients with triglyceride levels ≥150 mg/dL were at lower adjusted risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.91; 95% CI, 0.89-0.94) and higher risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.05-1.24). In the secondary prevention cohort, patients with triglyceride levels ≥150 mg/dL were at lower adjusted risk of death (HR, 0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.97) and higher risk of all-cause hospitalization (HR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.01-1.05) and major adverse cardiovascular events (HR, 1.04; 95% CI, 1.05-1.24). Conclusions In a contemporary cohort receiving statin therapy, elevated triglyceride levels were associated with a greater risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease events and lower risk of death.