Trends in mortality of hospitalised COVID-19 patients: A single centre observational cohort study from Spain.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to describe changes in characteristics and treatment strategies of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 and detail the mortality trend over time. METHODS: Observational cohort study of all consecutive patients admitted ≥ 48 h to Hospital Clinic of Barcelona for COVID-19 (1 March-30 September 2020). FINDINGS: A total of 1645 consecutive patients with COVID-19 were assessed over a 7-month period. Overall mortality (≤30 days) was 9.7% (159 patients), 7.7% in patients hospitalised in regular wards and 16.7 % in patients requiring ICU admission. Overall mortality decreased from 11.6% in the first month to 1.4% in the last month, reflecting a progressive, significant downward trend (p for trend <0.001). Patients' age changed over time, peaking in June. Most changes in the use of antivirals and anti-inflammatory treatments were documented. Age (OR 1.1, CI 1.1-1.12), chronic heart disease, (OR 1.7, CI 1.1-2.9), D-dimer>700 ng/mL (OR 2.3, CI 1.3-4.1), ferritin>489 ng/mL (OR 1.9; CI 1.5-3.2), C-RP>7 mg/dL (OR 2.6; CI 1.5-4.6), and shorter duration from symptom onset to hospital admission (OR 1.11; CI 1.04-1.17) were factors associated with 30-day mortality at hospital admission. Conversely, hospital admission in the last months (OR 0.80; CI 0.65-0.98) was significantly associated with lower mortality. INTERPRETATION: In-hospital mortality has decreased in patients with COVID-19 over the last, few months, even though main patient characteristics remain similar. Several changes made when managing patients may explain this decreasing trend. Our study provides current data on mortality of patients hospitalised with COVID-19 that might be useful in establishing quality of standard of care. FUNDING: EIT Health, European Union´s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme), EDRD. PPA [CM18/00132], NGP [FI19/00133], and CGV [FIS PI18/01061], have received grants from Ministerio de Sanidad y Consumo, ISCIII.

CONTEXTO: Nuestro objetivo es describir los cambios en las características y las estrategias de tratamiento de los pacientes hospitalizados por COVID-19, y detallar la tendencia de la mortalidad en el tiempo. MÉTODOS: Estudio observacional de cohortes de todos los pacientes consecutivos, ingresados por COVID-19 durante más de 48 horas, en el Hospital Clínic de Barcelona (del 1 de marzo al 30 de septiembre de 2020). RESULTADOS: Un total de 1645 pacientes consecutivos fueron evaluados durante un período de 7 meses. La mortalidad global (≤30 días) fue del 9.7% (159 pacientes): 7.7% en pacientes hospitalizados en salas convencionales, y 16.7% en pacientes que requirieron ingreso en UCI. La mortalidad global disminuyó del 11.6% en el primer mes al 1.4% en el último mes evaluado, reflejando una progresiva y significativa tendencia a la baja (p para la tendencia <0.001). La edad de los pacientes ha cambiado con el tiempo, habiendo alcanzado su pico en junio. La mayoría de cambios en el uso de antivirales y antiinflamatorios se han documentado. La edad (OR 1.1; CI 1.1­1.12), cardiopatía crónica (OR 1.7; CI 1.1­2.9), dímero-D>700 ng/mL (OR 2.3; CI 1.3­4.1), ferritina>489 ng/mL (OR 1.9; CI 1.5­3.2), PCR>7 mg/dL (OR 2.6; CI 1.5­4.6), y una menor duración desde el inicio de síntomas a la hospitalización (OR 1.11; CI 1.04­1.17) fueron factores asociados a la mortalidad intrahospitalaria a 30 días. Por el contrario, el ingreso hospitalario previo en los últimos meses (OR 0.80; CI 0.65­0.98) se asoció significativamente a una menor mortalidad. DISCUSIÓN: La mortalidad intrahospitalaria ha disminuido en los pacientes con COVID-19 durante los últimos meses, incluso siendo similares las características de los pacientes. Algunos cambios realizados en el manejo de estos pacientes podrían explicar esta tendencia decreciente. Nuestro estudio aporta datos actualizados en la mortalidad de los pacientes hospitalizados con COVID-19, que podrían ser útiles de cara a establecer unos cuidados estándar de calidad. FINANCIACIÓN: EIT Health, European Union´s Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme, EDRD. PPA [CM18/00132], NGP [FI19/00133] y CGV [FIS PI18/01061], han recibido becas del Ministerio de Sanidad y Consumo, ISCIII.

Validation of the American Thoracic Society-Infectious Diseases Society of America guidelines for hospital-acquired pneumonia in the intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: The 2005 guidelines of the American Thoracic Society-Infectious Diseases Society of America Guidelines for Hospital for managing hospital-acquired pneumonia classified patients according to time of onset and risk factors for potentially drug-resistant microorganisms to select the empirical antimicrobial treatment. We assessed the microbial prediction and validated the adequacy of these guidelines for antibiotic strategy. METHODS: We prospectively observed 276 patients with intensive care unit-acquired pneumonia. We classified patients into group 1 (early onset without risk factors for potentially drug-resistant microorganisms; 38 patients) and group 2 (late onset or risk factors for potentially drug-resistant microorganisms; 238 patients). We determined the accuracy of guidelines to predict causative microorganisms and the influence of guidelines adherence in patients' outcome. RESULTS: Microbial prediction was lower in group 1 than in group 2 (12 [50%] of 24 vs 119 [92%] of 129; P < .001) mainly because of potentially drug-resistant microorganisms in 10 patients (26%) from group 1. Guideline adherence was higher in group 2 (153 [64%] vs 7 [18%]; P < .001). Guideline adherence resulted in more treatment adequacy than did nonadherence (69 [83%] vs 45 [64%]; P = .013) and a trend toward better response to empirical treatment in group 2 only but did not influence mortality. Reclassifying patients according to the risk factors for potentially drug-resistant microorganisms of the former 1996 American Thoracic Society guidelines increased microbial prediction in group 1 to 21 (88%; P = .014); all except 1 patient with potentially drug-resistant microorganisms were correctly identified by these guidelines. CONCLUSIONS: The 2005 guidelines predict potentially drug-resistant microorganisms worse than the 1996 guidelines. Adherence to guidelines resulted in more adequate treatment and a trend to a better clinical response in group 2, but it did not influence mortality.

The role of viruses in the aetiology of community-acquired pneumonia in adults.

BACKGROUND: The role of viruses in community-acquired pneumonia may have been previously underestimated. We aimed to study the incidence and clinical characteristics of community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) due to respiratory viruses in adults adding PCR to routine conventional laboratory tests. METHODS: Consecutive adult patients diagnosed of CAP from January 2003 to March 2004 were included. Conventional tests including cultures of blood, sputum, urine antigen detection of Streptococcus pneumoniae and Legionella pneumophila, and paired serologies were routinely performed. Nasopharyngeal swabs were processed for study of respiratory viruses through antigen detection by indirect immunofluorescence assay, isolation of viruses in cell culture and detection of nucleic acids by two independent multiplex RT-PCR assays. According to the aetiology, patients were categorized in 4 groups: group 1, only virus detected; group 2, only bacteria detected; group 3, viral and bacterial; and group 4, unkown aetiology. RESULTS: Of 340 patients diagnosed with CAP, 198 had nasopharyngeal swabs available and were included in this study. Aetiology was established in 112 (57%) patients: group 1, n=26 (13%); group 2, n=66 (33%); group 3, n=20 (10%). The most common aetiological agent was S. neumoniae (58 patients, 29%), followed by respiratory viruses (46 patients, 23%). Forty-eight respiratory viruses were identified: influenza virus A (n=16), respiratory syncytial virus A (n=5), adenovirus (n=8), parainfluenza viruses (n=5), enteroviruses (n=1), rhinoviruses (n=8) and coronavirus (n=5). There were two patients coinfected by two respiratory viruses. Serology detected 6 viruses, immunofluorescence 8, viral culture 12, and PCR 45. For the viruses that could be diagnosed with conventional methods, the sensitivity and specificity of RT-PCR was 85% and 92%, respectively. The only clinical characteristic that significantly distinguished viral from bacterial aetiology was a lower number of leukocytes (P=0.004). CONCLUSION: PCR revealed that viruses represent a common aetiology of CAP. There is an urgent need to reconsider routine laboratory tests for an adequate diagnosis of respiratory viruses, as clinical characteristics are unable to reliably distinguish viral from bacterial aetiology.