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BACKGROUND: Sickle cell disease (SCD) and its complications contribute to high rates of morbidity and early mortality and high cost in the United States and African heritage community. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of gene therapy for SCD and its value-based prices (VBPs). DESIGN: Comparative modeling analysis across 2 independently developed simulation models (University of Washington Model for Economic Analysis of Sickle Cell Cure [UW-MEASURE] and Fred Hutchinson Institute Sickle Cell Disease Outcomes Research and Economics Model [FH-HISCORE]) using the same databases. DATA SOURCES: Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services claims data, 2008 to 2016; published literature. TARGET POPULATION: Persons eligible for gene therapy. TIME HORIZON: Lifetime. PERSPECTIVE: U.S. health care sector and societal. INTERVENTION: Gene therapy versus common care. OUTCOME MEASURES: Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), equity-informed VBPs, and price acceptability curves. RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS: At an assumed $2 million price for gene therapy, UW-MEASURE and FH-HISCORE estimated ICERs of $193 000 per QALY and $427 000 per QALY, respectively, under the health care sector perspective. Corresponding estimates from the societal perspective were $126 000 per QALY and $281 000 per QALY. The difference in results between models stemmed primarily from considering a slightly different target population and incorporating the quality-of-life (QOL) effects of splenic sequestration, priapism, and acute chest syndrome in the UW model. From a societal perspective, acceptable (>90% confidence) VBPs ranged from $1 million to $2.5 million depending on the use of alternative effective metrics or equity-informed threshold values. RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS: Results were sensitive to the costs of myeloablative conditioning before gene therapy, effect on caregiver QOL, and effect of gene therapy on long-term survival. LIMITATION: The short-term effects of gene therapy on vaso-occlusive events were extrapolated from 1 study. CONCLUSION: Gene therapy for SCD below a $2 million price tag is likely to be cost-effective when applying a societal perspective at an equity-informed threshold for cost-effectiveness analysis. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute.
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Anemia Falciforme , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Idoso , Masculino , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Qualidade de Vida , Análise Custo-Benefício , Medicare , Anemia Falciforme/genética , Anemia Falciforme/terapia , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de VidaRESUMO
IMPORTANCE: Central nervous system infection by flaviviruses such as Japanese encephalitis virus, Dengue virus, and West Nile virus results in neuroinflammation and neuronal damage. However, little is known about the role of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in flavivirus-induced neuroinflammation and neuronal cell death. Here, we characterized the role of a flavivirus-induced lncRNA named JINR1 during the infection of neuronal cells. Depletion of JINR1 during virus infection reduces viral replication and cell death. An increase in GRP78 expression by JINR1 is responsible for promoting virus replication. Flavivirus infection induces the expression of a cellular protein RBM10, which interacts with JINR1. RBM10 and JINR1 promote the proinflammatory transcription factor NF-κB activity, which is detrimental to cell survival.
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Morte Celular , Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie) , NF-kappa B , Neurônios , RNA Longo não Codificante , Proteínas de Ligação a RNA , Humanos , Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie)/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie)/patogenicidade , Doenças Neuroinflamatórias/patologia , Doenças Neuroinflamatórias/virologia , NF-kappa B/metabolismo , RNA Longo não Codificante/genética , Proteínas de Ligação a RNA/metabolismo , Neurônios/patologia , Neurônios/virologia , Replicação ViralRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Healthcare payers often implement coverage policies that restrict the utilization of costly new first-line treatments. Cost-effectiveness analysis can be conducted to inform these decisions by comparing the new treatment with an existing one. However, this approach may overlook important factors such as treatment effect heterogeneity and endogenous treatment selection, policy implementation costs, and diverse patient preferences across multiple treatment options. We aimed to develop a cost-effectiveness analysis framework that considers these real-world factors, facilitating the evaluation of alternative policies related to expanding or restricting first-line treatment choices. METHODS: We introduced a metric of incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) that compares an expanded choice set (CS) including the new first-line treatment with a restricted CS excluding the new treatment. ICER(CS) accounts for treatment selection influenced by heterogeneous treatment effects and policy implementation costs. We examined a basic scenario with 2 standard first-line treatment choices and a more realistic scenario involving diverse preferences toward multiple choices. To illustrate the framework, we conducted a retrospective evaluation of including versus excluding abiraterone acetate plus prednisone (AAP) (androgen deprivation therapy [ADT] + AAP) as a first-line treatment for metastatic hormone-sensitive prostate cancer. RESULTS: The traditional ICERs for ADT + AAP versus ADT alone and ADT+ docetaxel were $104 269 and $206 324/quality-adjusted life-year, respectively. The ICER(CS) for comparing an expanded CS with ADT + AAP with a restricted CS without ADT + AAP was $123 179/quality-adjusted life-year. CONCLUSIONS: The proposed framework provides decision makers with policy-relevant tools, enabling them to assess the cost-effectiveness of alternative policies of expanding versus restricting patients' and physicians' first-line treatment choices.
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Neoplasias da Próstata , Masculino , Humanos , Antagonistas de Androgênios , Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Docetaxel , Análise Custo-BenefícioRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Assessing the value of tumor-agnostic drugs (TAD) is challenging given the potential variability in treatment effects, trials with small sample sizes, different standards of care (SoC), and lack of comparative data from single-arm basket trials. Our study developed and applied novel methods to assess the value of pembrolizumab compared with SoC to inform coverage decisions. METHODS: We developed a partitioned survival model to evaluate the cost-utility of pembrolizumab for previously treated patients with 8 advanced or metastatic microsatellite instability-high or mismatch repair-deficient cancers from a US commercial payer perspective. Efficacy of pembrolizumab was based on data from trials directly or with adjustment using Bayesian hierarchical models. Eight chemotherapy-based external control arms were constructed from the TriNetX electronic health record databases. Tumor-specific health-state utility values were applied. All costs were adjusted to 2022 US dollars. RESULTS: At a lifetime horizon, pembrolizumab was associated with increased effectiveness compared with chemotherapies in colorectal (quality-adjusted life years [QALYs]: +0.64, life years [LYs]: +0.64), endometrial (QALYs: +3.79, LYs: +5.47), and small intestine cancers (QALYs: +1.73, LYs: +2.48), but not for patients with metastatic gastric, cholangiocarcinoma, pancreatic, ovarian, and brain cancers. Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios varied substantially across tumor types. Pembrolizumab was found to be cost-effective in treating colorectal and endometrial cancers (incremental cost-effectiveness ratios: $121 967 and $139 257, respectively), and not cost-effective for other assessed cancers at a $150 000 willingness-to-pay/QALY threshold, compared with SoC chemotherapies. CONCLUSIONS: The cost-effectiveness of TADs can vary by cancers. Using analytic tools such as external controls and Bayesian hierarchical models can tackle several challenges in assessing the value of TADs and uncertainties from basket trials.
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Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos , Teorema de Bayes , Análise Custo-Benefício , Anos de Vida Ajustados por Qualidade de Vida , Humanos , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/uso terapêutico , Anticorpos Monoclonais Humanizados/economia , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/economia , Antineoplásicos Imunológicos/uso terapêutico , Neoplasias/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias/economia , Estados Unidos , Instabilidade de Microssatélites , Feminino , Análise de Custo-EfetividadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Specialty drugs are used to treat complex or life-threatening conditions, often at high financial costs to both patients and health plans. Three states - Delaware, Louisiana, and Maryland - passed legislation to cap out-of-pocket payments for specialty drugs at $150 per prescription. A concern is that these caps could shift costs to health plans, increasing insurance premiums. Estimates of the effect of the caps on patient and health-plan spending could inform future policies. METHODS: We analyzed a sample that included 27,161 persons under 65 years of age who had rheumatoid arthritis, multiple sclerosis, hepatitis C, psoriasis, psoriatic arthritis, Crohn's disease, or ulcerative colitis and who were in commercial health plans from 2011 through 2016 that were administered by three large nationwide insurers. The primary outcome was the change in out-of-pocket spending among specialty-drug users who were in the 95th percentile for spending on specialty drugs. Other outcomes were changes in mean out-of-pocket and health-plan spending for specialty drugs, nonspecialty drugs, and nondrug health care and utilization of specialty drugs. We compared outcomes in the three states that enacted caps with neighboring control states that did not, 3 years before and up to 3 years after enactment of the spending cap. RESULTS: Caps were associated with an adjusted change in out-of-pocket costs of -$351 (95% confidence interval, -554 to -148) per specialty-drug user per month, representing a 32% reduction in spending, among users in the 95th percentile of spending on specialty drugs. This finding was supported by multiple sensitivity analyses. Caps were not associated with changes in other outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Caps for spending on specialty drugs were associated with substantial reductions in spending on specialty drugs among patients with the highest out-of-pocket costs, without detectable increases in health-plan spending, a proxy for future insurance premiums. (Funded by the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health Data for Action Program.).
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Doença Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Custo Compartilhado de Seguro/legislação & jurisprudência , Custos de Medicamentos/legislação & jurisprudência , Gastos em Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Seguro de Serviços Farmacêuticos/economia , Governo Estadual , Adulto , Doença Crônica/economia , Custo Compartilhado de Seguro/economia , Delaware , Humanos , Seguro de Serviços Farmacêuticos/legislação & jurisprudência , Louisiana , Maryland , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Honorários por Prescrição de Medicamentos/legislação & jurisprudência , Estados UnidosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Japanese Encephalitis Virus (JEV) is a neurotropic virus which has the propensity to infect neuronal and glial cells of the brain. Astrocyte-microglia crosstalk leading to the secretion of various factors plays a major role in controlling encephalitis in brain. This study focused on understanding the role of astrocytic mediators that further shaped the microglial response towards JEV infection. METHODS: After establishing JEV infection in C8D1A (mouse astrocyte cell line) and primary astrocyte enriched cultures (PAEC), astrocyte supernatant was used for preparation of conditioned media. Astrocyte supernatant was treated with UV to inactivate JEV and the supernatant was added to N9 culture media in ratio 1:1 for preparation of conditioned media. N9 microglial cells post treatment with astrocyte conditioned media and JEV infection were checked for expression of various inflammatory genes by qRT-PCR, levels of secreted cytokines in N9 cell supernatant were checked by cytometric bead array. N9 cell lysates were checked for expression of proteins - pNF-κß, IBA-1, NS3 and RIG-I by western blotting. Viral titers were measured in N9 supernatant by plaque assays. Immunocytochemistry experiments were done to quantify the number of infected microglial cells after astrocyte conditioned medium treatment. Expression of different antioxidant enzymes was checked in N9 cells by western blotting, levels of reactive oxygen species (ROS) was detected by fluorimetry using DCFDA dye. RESULTS: N9 microglial cells post treatment with JEV-infected astrocyte conditioned media and JEV infection were activated, showed an upsurge in expression of inflammatory genes and cytokines both at the transcript and protein levels. These N9 cells showed a decrease in quantity of viral titers and associated viral proteins in comparison to control cells (not treated with conditioned media but infected with JEV). Also, N9 cells upon conditioned media treatment and JEV infection were more prone to undergo oxidative stress as observed by the decreased expression of antioxidant enzymes SOD-1, TRX-1 and increased secretion of reactive oxygen species (ROS). CONCLUSION: Astrocytic mediators like TNF-α, MCP-1 and IL-6 influence microglial response towards JEV infection by promoting inflammation and oxidative stress in them. As a result of increased microglial inflammation and secretion of ROS, viral replication is lessened in conditioned media treated and JEV infected microglial cells as compared to control cells with no conditioned media treatment but only JEV infection.
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Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie) , Encefalite Japonesa , Camundongos , Animais , Microglia/metabolismo , Espécies Reativas de Oxigênio/metabolismo , Astrócitos/metabolismo , Antioxidantes/metabolismo , Encefalite Japonesa/genética , Inflamação/metabolismo , Citocinas/metabolismo , Estresse OxidativoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Japanese Encephalitis Virus (JEV) and West Nile Viruses (WNV) are neurotropic flaviviruses which cause neuronal death and exaggerated glial activation in the central nervous system. Role of host long non coding RNAs in shaping microglial inflammation upon flavivirus infections has been unexplored. This study attempted to decipher the role of lncRNA Gm20559 in regulating microglial inflammatory response in context of flaviviruses. METHODS: Antisense oligonucleotide LNA Gapmers designed against lncRNA Gm20559 and non-specific site (negative control) were used for Gm20559 knockdown in JEV and WNV-infected N9 microglial cells. Upon establishing successful Gm20559 knockdown, expression of various proinflammatory cytokines, chemokines, interferon-stimulated genes (ISGs) and RIG-I were checked by qRT-PCR and cytometric bead array. Western Blotting was done to analyse the phosphorylation level of various inflammatory markers and viral non-structural protein expression. Plaque Assays were employed to quantify viral titres in microglial supernatant upon knocking down Gm20559. Effect of microglial supernatant on HT22 neuronal cells was assessed by checking expression of apoptotic protein and viral non-structural protein by Western Blotting. RESULTS: Upregulation in Gm20559 expression was observed in BALB/c pup brains, primary microglia as well as N9 microglia cell line upon both JEV and WNV infection. Knockdown of Gm20559 in JEV and WNV-infected N9 cell led to the reduction of major proinflammatory cytokines - IL-1ß, IL-6, IP-10 and IFN-ß. Inhibition of Gm20559 upon JEV infection in N9 microglia also led to downregulation of RIG-I and OAS-2, which was not the case in WNV-infected N9 microglia. Phosphorylation level of P38 MAPK was reduced in case of JEV-infected N9 microglia and not WNV-infected N9 microglia. Whereas phosphorylation of NF-κB pathway was unchanged upon Gm20559 knockdown in both JEV and WNV-infected N9 microglia. However, treating HT22 cells with JEV and WNV-infected microglial supernatant with and without Gm20559 could not trigger cell death or influence viral replication. CONCLUSION: Knockdown studies on lncRNA Gm20559 suggests its pivotal role in maintaining the inflammatory milieu of microglia in flaviviral infection by modulating the expression of various pro-inflammatory cytokines. However, Gm20559-induced increased microglial proinflammatory response upon flavivirus infection fails to trigger neuronal death.
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Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie) , Encefalite Japonesa , Flavivirus , RNA Longo não Codificante , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental , Humanos , Microglia/metabolismo , RNA Longo não Codificante/genética , RNA Longo não Codificante/metabolismo , Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie)/genética , Encefalite Japonesa/genética , Inflamação/genética , Inflamação/metabolismo , Citocinas/metabolismo , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/genética , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/metabolismoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine the extent to which counting observation stays changes hospital performance on 30-day readmission measures. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of inpatient admissions and observation stays among fee-for-service Medicare enrollees in 2017. We generated 3 specifications of 30-day risk-standardized readmissions measures: the hospital-wide readmission (HWR) measure utilized by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services, which captures inpatient readmissions within 30 days of inpatient discharge; an expanded HWR measure, which captures any unplanned hospitalization (inpatient admission or observation stay) within 30 days of inpatient discharge; an all-hospitalization readmission (AHR) measure, which captures any unplanned hospitalization following any hospital discharge (observation stays are included in both the numerator and denominator of the measure). Estimated excess readmissions for hospitals were compared across the 3 measures. High performers were defined as those with a lower-than-expected number of readmissions whereas low performers had higher-than-expected or excess readmissions. Multivariable logistic regression identified hospital characteristics associated with worse performance under the measures that included observation stays. RESULTS: Our sample had 2586 hospitals with 5,749,779 hospitalizations. Observation stays ranged from 0% to 41.7% of total hospitalizations. Mean (SD) readmission rates were 16.6% (5.4) for the HWR, 18.5% (5.7) for the expanded HWR, and 17.9% (5.7) in the all-hospitalization readmission measure. Approximately 1 in 7 hospitals (14.9%) would switch from being classified as a high performer to a low performer or vice-versa if observation stays were fully included in the calculation of readmission rates. Safety-net hospitals and those with a higher propensity to use observation would perform significantly worse. CONCLUSIONS: Fully incorporating observation stays in readmission measures would substantially change performance in value-based programs for safety-net hospitals and hospitals with high rates of observation stays.
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BACKGROUND: Bladder cancer poses a significant public health burden, with high recurrence and progression rates in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC). Current treatment options include bladder-sparing therapies (BST) and radical cystectomy, both with associated risks and benefits. However, evidence supporting optimal management decisions for patients with recurrent high-grade NMIBC remains limited, leading to uncertainty for patients and clinicians. The CISTO (Comparison of Intravesical Therapy and Surgery as Treatment Options) Study aims to address this critical knowledge gap by comparing outcomes between patients undergoing BST and radical cystectomy. METHODS: The CISTO Study is a pragmatic, prospective observational cohort trial across 36 academic and community urology practices in the US. The study will enroll 572 patients with a diagnosis of recurrent high-grade NMIBC who select management with either BST or radical cystectomy. The primary outcome is health-related quality of life (QOL) at 12 months as measured with the EORTC-QLQ-C30. Secondary outcomes include bladder cancer-specific QOL, progression-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and financial toxicity. The study will also assess patient preferences for treatment outcomes. Statistical analyses will employ targeted maximum likelihood estimation (TMLE) to address treatment selection bias and confounding by indication. DISCUSSION: The CISTO Study is powered to detect clinically important differences in QOL and cancer-specific survival between the two treatment approaches. By including a diverse patient population, the study also aims to assess outcomes across the following patient characteristics: age, gender, race, burden of comorbid health conditions, cancer severity, caregiver status, social determinants of health, and rurality. Treatment outcomes may also vary by patient preferences, health literacy, and baseline QOL. The CISTO Study will fill a crucial evidence gap in the management of recurrent high-grade NMIBC, providing evidence-based guidance for patients and clinicians in choosing between BST and radical cystectomy. The CISTO study will provide an evidence-based approach to identifying the right treatment for the right patient at the right time in the challenging clinical setting of recurrent high-grade NMIBC. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT03933826. Registered on May 1, 2019.
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Neoplasias não Músculo Invasivas da Bexiga , Neoplasias da Bexiga Urinária , Humanos , Adjuvantes Imunológicos/uso terapêutico , Administração Intravesical , Vacina BCG/uso terapêutico , Cistectomia , Estudos Multicêntricos como Assunto , Invasividade Neoplásica , Recidiva Local de Neoplasia/tratamento farmacológico , Estudos Observacionais como Assunto , Estudos Prospectivos , Qualidade de Vida , Neoplasias da Bexiga Urinária/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias da Bexiga Urinária/cirurgia , Ensaios Clínicos Pragmáticos como AssuntoRESUMO
AIMS: To assess any disparities in the initiation of second-line antidiabetic treatments prescribed among people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in England according to ethnicity and social deprivation level. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This cross-sectional study used linked primary (Clinical Practice Research Datalink) and secondary care data (Hospital Episode Statistics), and the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD). We included people aged 18 years or older with T2DM who intensified to second-line oral antidiabetic medication between 2014 and 2020 to investigate disparities in second-line antidiabetic treatment prescribing (one of sulphonylureas [SUs], dipeptidyl peptidase-4 [DPP-4] inhibitors, or sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 [SGLT2] inhibitors, in combination with metformin) by ethnicity (White, South Asian, Black, mixed/other) and deprivation level (IMD quintiles). We report prescriptions of the alternative treatments by ethnicity and deprivation level according to predicted percentages derived from multivariable, multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Among 36 023 people, 85% were White, 10% South Asian, 4% Black and 1% mixed/other. After adjustment, the predicted percentages for SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing by ethnicity were 21% (95% confidence interval [CI] 19-23%), 20% (95% CI 18-22%), 19% (95% CI 16-22%) and 17% (95% CI 14-21%) among people with White, South Asian, Black, and mixed/other ethnicity, respectively. After adjustment, the predicted percentages for SGLT2 inhibitor prescribing by deprivation were 22% (95% CI 20-25%) and 19% (95% CI 17-21%) for the least deprived and the most deprived quintile, respectively. When stratifying by prevalent cardiovascular disease (CVD) status, we found lower predicted percentages of people with prevalent CVD prescribed SGLT2 inhibitors compared with people without prevalent CVD across all ethnicity groups and all levels of social deprivation. CONCLUSIONS: Among people with T2DM, there were no substantial differences by ethnicity or deprivation level in the percentage prescribed either SGLT2 inhibitors, DPP-4 inhibitors or SUs as second-line antidiabetic treatment.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Inibidores do Transportador 2 de Sódio-Glicose , Humanos , Hipoglicemiantes/uso terapêutico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/tratamento farmacológico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Inibidores do Transportador 2 de Sódio-Glicose/uso terapêutico , Estudos Transversais , Disparidades Socioeconômicas em SaúdeRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: Information on how life expectancy, disability-free life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy varies across equity-relevant subgroups is required to conduct distributional cost-effectiveness analysis. These summary measures are not comprehensively available in the United States, given limitations in nationally representative data across racial and ethnic groups. METHODS: Through linkage of US national survey data sets and use of Bayesian models to address missing and suppressed mortality data, we estimate health outcomes across 5 racial and ethnic subgroups (non-Hispanic American Indian or Alaska Native, non-Hispanic Asian and Pacific Islander, non-Hispanic black, non-Hispanic white, and Hispanic). Mortality, disability, and social determinant of health data were combined to estimate sex- and age-based outcomes for equity-relevant subgroups based on race and ethnicity, as well as county-level social vulnerability. RESULTS: Life expectancy, disability-free life expectancy, and quality-adjusted life expectancy at birth declined from 79.5, 69.4, and 64.3 years, respectively, among the 20% least socially vulnerable (best-off) counties to 76.8, 63.6, and 61.1 years, respectively, among the 20% most socially vulnerable (worst-off) counties. Considering differences across racial and ethnic subgroups, as well as geography, gaps between the best-off (Asian and Pacific Islander; 20% least socially vulnerable counties) and worst-off (American Indian/Alaska Native; 20% most socially vulnerable counties) subgroups were large (17.6 life-years, 20.9 disability-free life-years, and 18.0 quality-adjusted life-years) and increased with age. CONCLUSIONS: Existing disparities in health across geographies and racial and ethnic subgroups may lead to distributional differences in the impact of health interventions. Data from this study support routine estimation of equity effects in healthcare decision making, including distributional cost-effectiveness analysis.
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Análise de Custo-Efetividade , Etnicidade , Desigualdades de Saúde , Grupos Raciais , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Geografia , Estados UnidosRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: With the emerging use of machine learning (ML) techniques, there has been particular interest in using wearable data for health economics and outcomes research (HEOR). We aimed to understand the emerging patterns of how ML has been applied to wearable data in HEOR. METHODS: We identified studies published in PubMed between January 2016 and March 2021. Studies that included at least 1 HEOR-related Medical Subject Headings term, applied an ML, and used wearable data were eligible for inclusion. Two reviewers abstracted information including ML application types and data on which ML was applied and analyzed them using descriptive analyses. RESULTS: A total of 148 studies were identified from PubMed, among which 32 studies met the inclusion criteria. There has been an increase over time in the number of ML studies using wearable data. ML has been more frequently used for monitoring events in real time (78%) than to predict future events (22%). There has been a wide range of outcomes examined, ranging from general physical or mental health (24%) to more disease-specific outcomes (eg, disease incidence [19%] and progression [13%]) and treatment-related outcomes (eg, treatment adherence [9%] and outcomes [9%]). Data for ML models were more often derived from wearable devices with specific medical purposes (60%) than those without (40%). CONCLUSION: There has been a wide range of applications of ML to wearable data. Both medical and nonmedical wearable devices have been used as a data source, showing the potential for providing rich data for ML studies in HEOR.
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Economia Médica , Dispositivos Eletrônicos Vestíveis , Humanos , Avaliação de Resultados em Cuidados de Saúde , Aprendizado de Máquina , Saúde MentalRESUMO
Local instrumental variable (LIV) approaches use continuous/multi-valued instrumental variables (IV) to generate consistent estimates of average treatment effects (ATEs) and Conditional Average Treatment Effects (CATEs). There is little evidence on how LIV approaches perform according to the strength of the IV or with different sample sizes. Our simulation study examined the performance of an LIV method, and a two-stage least squares (2SLS) approach across different sample sizes and IV strengths. We considered four 'heterogeneity' scenarios: homogeneity, overt heterogeneity (over measured covariates), essential heterogeneity (unmeasured), and overt and essential heterogeneity combined. In all scenarios, LIV reported estimates with low bias even with the smallest sample size, provided that the instrument was strong. Compared to 2SLS, LIV provided estimates for ATE and CATE with lower levels of bias and Root Mean Squared Error. With smaller sample sizes, both approaches required stronger IVs to ensure low bias. We considered both methods in evaluating emergency surgery (ES) for three acute gastrointestinal conditions. Whereas 2SLS found no differences in the effectiveness of ES according to subgroup, LIV reported that frailer patients had worse outcomes following ES. In settings with continuous IVs of moderate strength, LIV approaches are better suited than 2SLS to estimate policy-relevant treatment effect parameters.
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Simulação por Computador , Humanos , Viés , Análise dos Mínimos QuadradosRESUMO
The anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective effects of short chain fatty acid (SCFA) butyrate have been explored in a wide array of neurological pathologies. It is a 4-carbon SCFA produced from the fermentation of dietary fibers by the gut-microbiota. As evident from previous literature, butyrate plays a wide array of functions in CNS and interestingly enhances the differentiation potential of Neural stem/Progenitor Cells (NSPCs). Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) is a well-known member of the Flaviviridae family and has been shown to alter neural stem cell pool of the brain, causing devastating consequences. In this study, we administered sodium butyrate (NaB) post JEV infection in BALB/c mouse model to examine any possible amelioration of the viral infection in NSPCs. In addition, ex vivo neurospheres and in vitro model of NSPCs were also used to study the effect of sodium butyrate in JEV infection. As an unprecedented finding, butyrate treated infected animals presented early onset of symptoms, as compared to their respective JEV infected groups. Alongside, we observed an increased viral load in NSPCs isolated from these animals as well as in cell culture models upon sodium butyrate treatment. Cytometric bead array analysis also revealed an increase in inflammatory cytokines, particularly, MCP-1 and IL-6. Further, increased expression of the key members of the canonical NF-κB pathway, viz-a-viz p-NF-κB, p-Iκ-Bα and p-IKK was observed. Overall, the increased inflammation and cell death caused early symptom progression in NaB-treated JEV infected animal model, which is contradictory to the well documented protective nature of NaB and therefore a better understanding of SCFA-based modulation of the gut-brain axis in viral infections is required.
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Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie) , Encefalite Japonesa , Células-Tronco Neurais , Animais , Camundongos , Encefalite Japonesa/metabolismo , Encefalite Japonesa/patologia , Ácido Butírico/farmacologia , NF-kappa B , Células-Tronco Neurais/metabolismo , Vírus da Encefalite Japonesa (Espécie)/fisiologia , Modelos TeóricosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Adherence to imatinib in chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) patients is estimated to be as low as 70% despite its clinical benefit, and our understanding of the impact of nonadherence in this population is limited. This study presents a novel application of the Alternating Conditional Estimation (ACE) algorithm in newly diagnosed CML patients to map the full dose-response curve (DRC) and determine how the strength of this curve varies over time. METHODS: We applied the ACE algorithm alongside a backward elimination procedure to detect the presence of time dependence and nonlinearity in the relationship between imatinib adherence and time-to-remission. An extended Cox model allowing for the flexible modeling of identified effects via unpenalized B-splines was subsequently fit and assessed. RESULTS: The substantial improvement in model fit associated with the extended Cox approach suggests that traditional Cox proportional hazards model assumptions do not hold in this setting. Results indicate that the DRC for imatinib is non-linearly increasing, with an attenuated effect above a 74% adherence rate. The strength of this effect on remission varied over time and was strongest in the initial months of treatment, reaching a peak around 90 days post-initiation (log hazard ratio: 2.12, 95% confidence interval: 1.47 to 2.66). CONCLUSION: Most patients that achieved remission did so by 4 months (120 days) with consistently high adherence, suggesting that this could be a critical time and duration for realizing treatment benefit and patient monitoring. Findings regarding the relationship between adherence and remission can additionally help guide the design of future studies.
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Evidence is valuable because it informs decisions to produce better outcomes. However, the same evidence that is complete for some individuals or groups may be incomplete for others, leading to inefficiencies in decision making and growth in disparities in outcomes. Specifically, the presence of treatment effect heterogeneity across some measure of baseline risk, and noisy information about such heterogeneity, can induce self-selection into randomized clinical trials (RCTs) by patients with distributions of baseline risk different from that of the target population. Consequently, average results from RCTs can disproportionately affect the treatment choices of patients with different baseline risks. Using economic models for these sequential processes of RCT enrollment, information generation, and the resulting treatment choice decisions, we show that the dynamic consequences of such information flow and behaviors may lead to growth in disparities in health outcomes across racial and ethnic categories. These disparities arise due to either the differential distribution of risk across those categories at the time RCT results are reported or the different rate of change of baseline risk over time across race and ethnicity, even though the distribution of risk within the RCT matched that of the target population when the RCT was conducted. We provide evidence on how these phenomena may have contributed to the growth in racial disparity in diabetes incidence.
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Medicina Baseada em Evidências/normas , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Modelos Estatísticos , Ensaios Clínicos Controlados Aleatórios como Assunto/normas , Tomada de Decisão Clínica , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiologia , Medicina Baseada em Evidências/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Incidência , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: We estimate the spending attributable to Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRD) to the United States government for the first 5 years post-diagnosis. METHODS: Using data from the Health and Retirement Study matched to Medicare and Medicaid claims, we identify a retrospective cohort of adults with a claims-based ADRD diagnosis along with matched controls. RESULTS: The costs attributable to ADRD are $15,632 for traditional Medicare and $8833 for Medicaid per dementia case over the first 5 years after diagnosis. Seventy percent of Medicare costs occur in the first 2 years; Medicaid costs are concentrated among the longer-lived beneficiaries who are more likely to need long-term care and become Medicaid eligible. DISCUSSION: Because the distribution of the incremental costs varies over time and between insurance programs, when interventions occur and the effect on the disease course will have implications for how much and which program reaps the benefits.
Assuntos
Doença de Alzheimer , Idoso , Adulto , Humanos , Estados Unidos , Doença de Alzheimer/terapia , Medicare , Estudos Retrospectivos , Assistência de Longa Duração , MedicaidRESUMO
Infection by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) in humans is characterized by a plethora of symptoms varying in intensity, such as non-specific febrile illness, dry cough, dyspnea, hypoxemia to severe lung damage, and even death. In addition to pulmonary complications associated with coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19), perturbations in the physiology of multiple other organ systems have been reported, resulting in multiorgan failure (MoF) that is frequently observed in severe COVID-19 cases. Central nervous system (CNS) infection by SARS-CoV-2 is characterized by neurological impairments in patients with COVID-19, with the development of encephalopathy at the severe end of the spectrum. While mechanistic investigations of SARS-CoV-2-related encephalitis may reveal promising therapeutic candidates for reducing COVID-19-associated disease morbidity, the discovery of biomarkers capable of diagnosing and predicting prognosis in patients with encephalitis upon SARS-CoV-2 infection will afford significant value for the rapid detection of encephalitis and predicting disease outcomes. This will ultimately enable appropriate modifications of therapeutic regimens aimed at reducing disease morbidity and mortality. In this editorial, we highlight a study by Le Guennec and colleagues, entitled "Endothelial cell biomarkers in critically ill COVID-19-patients with encephalitis", reporting the association of increased serum angiopoietin-like 4 (ANGPTL4) abundance with COVID-19-related encephalitis. The study highlights ANGPTL4 as a potential molecular marker for this disease. These novel findings may catalyze developments in the field of COVID-19-associated encephalitis by facilitating accurate and rapid diagnosis of encephalitis and timely treatment initiation, thus improving patient outcomes by ameliorating disease burden.
Assuntos
Proteína 4 Semelhante a Angiopoietina , COVID-19 , Encefalite , Proteína 4 Semelhante a Angiopoietina/sangue , Biomarcadores , COVID-19/complicações , Estado Terminal , Encefalite/virologia , Células Endoteliais , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
Host factors provide critical support for every aspect of the virus life cycle. We recently identified the valosin-containing protein (VCP)/p97, an abundant cellular ATPase with diverse cellular functions, as a host factor important for Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV) replication. In cultured cells, using siRNA-mediated protein depletion and pharmacological inhibitors, we show that VCP is crucial for replication of three flaviviruses: JEV, Dengue, and West Nile viruses. An FDA-approved VCP inhibitor, CB-5083, extended survival of mice in the animal model of JEV infection. While VCP depletion did not inhibit JEV attachment on cells, it delayed capsid degradation, potentially through the entrapment of the endocytosed virus in clathrin-coated vesicles (CCVs). Early during infection, VCP-depleted cells showed an increased colocalization of JEV capsid with clathrin, and also higher viral RNA levels in purified CCVs. We show that VCP interacts with the JEV nonstructural protein NS5 and is an essential component of the virus replication complex. The depletion of the major VCP cofactor UFD-1 also significantly inhibited JEV replication. Mechanistically, thus, VCP affected two crucial steps of the JEV life cycle - nucleocapsid release and RNA replication. Our study establishes VCP as a common host factor with a broad antiviral potential against flaviviruses.ImportanceJEV is the leading cause of viral encephalitis epidemics in South-east Asia, affecting majorly children with high morbidity and mortality. Identification of host factors is thus essential for the rational design of anti-virals that are urgently need as therapeutics. Here we have identified the VCP protein as one such host-factor. This protein is highly abundant in cells and engages in diverse functions and cellular pathways by its ability to interact with different co-factors. Using siRNA mediated protein knockdown, we show that this protein is essential for release of the viral RNA into the cell so that it can initiate replication. The protein plays a second crucial role for the formation of the JEV replication complex. FDA-approved drugs targeting VCP show enhanced mouse survival in JE model of disease, suggesting that this could be a druggable target for flavivirus infections.
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Retinoic acid-inducible gene I-like receptors (RLRs) are important cytosolic pattern recognition receptors (PRRs) that sense viral RNA before mounting a response leading to the activation of type I IFNs. Several viral infections induce epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT), even as its significance remains unclear. Here, we show that EMT or an EMT-like process is a general response to viral infections. Our studies identify a previously unknown mechanism of regulation of an important EMT-transcription factor (EMT-TF) Snail during RNA viral infections and describe its possible implication. RNA viral infections, poly(I·C) transfection, and ectopic expression of RLR components induced Snail levels, indicating that RLR pathway could regulate its expression. Detailed examination using mitochondrial antiviral signaling protein knockout (MAVS-KO) cells established that MAVS is essential in this regulation. We identified two interferon-stimulated response elements (ISREs) in the SNAI1 promoter region and demonstrated that they are important in its transcriptional activation by phosphorylated IRF3. Increasing the levels of Snail activated RLR pathway and dramatically limited replication of the RNA viruses dengue virus, Japanese encephalitis virus (JEV), and vesicular stomatitis virus, pointing to their antiviral functions. Knockdown of Snail resulted in a considerable increase in the JEV titer, validating its antiviral functions. Finally, transforming growth factor ß-mediated IFNB activation was dependent on Snail levels, confirming its important role in type I IFN activation. Thus, EMT-TF Snail is transcriptionally coregulated with type I IFN by RLRs and, in turn, promotes the RLR pathway, further strengthening the antiviral state in the cell. Our work identified an interesting mechanism of regulation of Snail that demonstrates potential coregulation of multiple innate antiviral pathways triggered by RLRs. Identification of antiviral functions of Snail also provides an opportunity to expand the sphere of RLR signaling. IMPORTANCE RLRs sense viral genomic RNA or the double-stranded RNA intermediates and trigger the activation of type I IFNs. Snail transcription factor, commonly associated with epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT), has been reported to facilitate EMT in several viral infections. Many of these reports are based on oncoviruses, leading to the speculation that EMT induced during infection is an important factor in the oncogenesis triggered by these infections. However, our studies reveal that EMT or EMT-like processes during viral infections have important functions in antiviral response. We have characterized a new mechanism of transcriptional regulation of Snail by IRF3 through interferon-stimulated response elements in their promoters, and this finding could have importance in nonviral contexts as well. We also identify that EMT-TF Snail promotes antiviral status of the infected cells through the RLR pathway. This study characterizes a new regulatory mechanism of activation of Snail and establishes its unidentified function in antiviral response.