Hepatocellular carcinoma in Stockholm, Sweden 2003-2018: a population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Available epidemiological data on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) originate mainly from centre-based or disease-specific cohorts and may not reflect the general population. This population-based register study presents the incidence, aetiologies, treatments, survival, and differences related to sex or socioeconomic status in patients with HCC from Stockholm, which constitutes more than a fifth of the Swedish population. METHODS: ICD-10 codes identified incident HCC cases in the regional administrative health care database 2003-2018. Administrative coding on diseases, socioeconomic status, and dispensed drugs were used to identify risk factors and therapies. Two validation analyses 2014-2015 studied the correctness of register-based aetiologies and reasons for providing only best supportive care (BSC). RESULTS: We identified 2,245 incident cases of HCC. The incidence increased from 6 to 7.5 per 100,000 inhabitants over the time-period. The most common aetiologies were hepatitis C (26%), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (22%), and alcohol-related liver disease (19%). Five-year survival probability was 79% after liver transplantation, 60% after resection, and 35% after ablation but <10% for chemoembolization, Sorafenib, and BSC. The proportion receiving any treatment increased but half of the patients only received BSC. At least 14% of potentially treatable HCC (surveillance indicated but not performed) received only BSC 2014-2015. We found no significant differences in treatments or outcomes between socioeconomic groups. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of HCC is rising in Stockholm, Sweden but is still low by global comparison. Near half of all patients still receive only BSC and study data suggest that surveillance practices are incomplete.

Etiologies and outcomes of cirrhosis in a large contemporary cohort.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Patients with liver cirrhosis have high mortality, often estimated by the Child-Pugh or MELD scores. Etiologies of cirrhosis are rapidly shifting, and it is unclear if these scores perform similarly across subgroups of patients. Here, we describe the characteristics and outcomes of a large contemporary cohort of patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: This was a cohort study with retrospectively collected data. All patients with a verified diagnosis of cirrhosis during 2004-2017 at the Karolinska University Hospital, Sweden, were identified. Data at baseline to calculate Child-Pugh, MELD and confounders for mortality was collected. Competing risk regression was used to estimate risk for outcomes, adjusted for age, sex, baseline Child-Pugh score, etiology of cirrhosis and type 2 diabetes. RESULTS: We identified 2609 patients, with a median age of 61 years, and 68% men. Etiologies of cirrhosis shifted during the study period, with a -29% relative decrease in hepatitis C-cirrhosis and a + 154% increase in cirrhosis due to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. The highest overall mortality was seen in patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis. MELD and Child-Pugh scores predicted 3-month and 1 to 2-year mortality reasonably well, but with a lower predictive performance in alcohol-related cirrhosis. Men were more likely than women to receive a liver transplant (sHR = 1.39, 95%CI = 1.08-1.78). CONCLUSIONS: We confirm previous findings of a rapid shift in the etiologies of cirrhosis. Differences in sex in regard to access to liver transplantation deserve further attention.

Validity of administrative codes associated with cirrhosis in Sweden.

OBJECTIVES: Although cirrhosisis a major cause of liver-related mortality globally, validation studies of the administrative coding for diagnoses associated with cirrhosis are scarce. We aimed to determine the validity of the International Classification of Diseases, 10th revision (ICD-10) codes corresponding to cirrhosis and its complications in the Swedish National Patient Register (NPR). METHODS: We randomly selected 750 patients with ICD codes for either alcohol-related cirrhosis (K70.3), unspecified cirrhosis (K74.6) oesophageal varices (I85.0/I85.9), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC, C22.0) or ascites (R18.9) registered in the NPR from 72 healthcare centres in 2000-2016. Hospitalisation events and outpatient visits in specialised care were included. Positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated using the information in the patient charts as the gold standard. RESULTS: Complete data were obtained for 630 (of 750) patients (84%). For alcohol-related cirrhosis, 126/136 cases were correctly coded, corresponding to a PPV of 93% (95% confidence interval, 95%CI: 87-96). The PPV for cirrhosis with unspecified aetiology was 91% (121/133, 95%CI: 85-95) and 96% for oesophageal varices (118/123, 95%CI: 91-99). The PPV was lower for HCC, 84% (91/109, 95%CI: 75-90). The PPV for liver-related ascites was low, 43% (56/129, 95%CI: 35-52), as this category often consisted of non-hepatic ascites. When combining the ascites code with a code for chronic liver disease, the PPV for liver-related ascites increased to 93% (50/54, 95%CI: 82-98). CONCLUSIONS: The validity of ICD-10 codes for cirrhosis, oesophageal varices and HCC is high. However, coding for ascites should be combined with a code of chronic liver disease to have an acceptable validity.

Characteristics and outcome of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with NAFLD without cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a growing cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In NAFLD, HCC occurs more commonly in the absence of cirrhosis compared with other liver diseases; yet, patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC are poorly characterized. Here, we characterized a large cohort of HCC cases and assessed the outcomes of patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC. METHODS: We identified all cases of HCC treated at the Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden from 2004 to 2017. Patient charts were manually reviewed for variable extraction. Cases were followed passively for all-cause and HCC-related mortality until the end of April 2018. Cox regression was performed to estimate mortality rates and identify mortality risk factors in patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC. RESULTS: Totally, 1562 cases with HCC were identified. Of these, 225 (14.4%) had NAFLD-HCC, of which 83 (37%) did not have cirrhosis. Compared with patients with cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC, patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC were older (74 vs 70 years, P < 0.001), had a lower prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2DM) (66% vs 80%, P = 0.02), larger tumours, less frequently underwent liver transplantation (0% vs 11%, P = 0.002), but more frequently underwent resection (35% vs 8%, P < 0.001). Mortality was similar (aHR for non-cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC vs cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC 0.93, 95% CI 0.58-1.51, P = 0.78). Parameters independently associated with increased mortality included the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage, number of tumours, lower albumin and presence of T2DM. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD-HCC differ from those with cirrhosis in age, tumour size and allocated treatments. Despite these differences, survival is similar.

Detection of pulmonary embolism using repeated MRI acquisitions without respiratory gating: a preliminary study.

Background Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a severe medical condition with non-specific clinical findings. Computed tomography angiography (CTA) using iodinated contrast agents is the golden standard for diagnosis, but many patients have contraindications for CTA. Purpose To investigate the diagnostic accuracy of repeated acquisitions of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), without respiratory gating or breath holding, in diagnosing PE using CTA as the reference standard. Material and Methods Thirty-three patients with clinically suspected PE underwent MRI within 48 h after diagnostic CTA. A control group of 37 healthy participants underwent MRI and was matched with an equal number of negative CTA exams. The MRI protocol was based on free-breathing steady-state free precession producing 4.5 mm slices in axial, sagittal, and coronal planes. Instead of respiratory or cardiac gating five repetitive slices were obtained in each anatomical position to compensate for movement and artifacts. Clinical assessment including d-dimer and Well's score was performed prior to imaging. One radiologist reviewed the CTA exams and two radiologists reviewed the MRI scans. Results All 70 MRI exams were of diagnostic quality and the total acquisition time for each MRI scan was 9 min 34 s. On CTA, 29 patients were diagnosed with PE and the MRI readers detected 26 and 27 of those, respectively. Specificity was 100% for both readers. Sensitivity was 90% and 93%, respectively. Inter-reader agreement using Cohen's kappa was 0.97. Conclusion Our unenhanced MRI protocol shows a high sensitivity and specificity for PE, but further studies are required before considering it as a safe diagnostic test.

Evaluation of mucosal-associated invariant T-cells as a potential biomarker to predict infection risk in liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Infection is a serious complication in patients with cirrhosis. Mucosal-associated invariant T (MAIT) cells are involved in the immune defense against infections and known to be impaired in several chronic conditions, including cirrhosis. Here, we evaluated if MAIT cell levels in peripheral blood are associated with risk of bacterial infections in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: Patients with cirrhosis seen at the Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden, between 2016 and 2019 were included. Levels of MAIT cells in peripheral blood were determined using flow cytometry. Baseline and follow-up data after at least two years of follow-up were collected by chart review for the primary outcome (bacterial infection) and secondary outcomes (decompensation and death). Competing risk and Cox regression were performed. RESULTS: We included 106 patients with cirrhosis. The median MAIT cells fraction in the circulation was 0.8% in cirrhosis compared to 6.1% in healthy controls. In contrast to our hypothesis, we found an association in the adjusted analysis between relatively preserved MAIT cell levels, and a slightly higher risk to develop bacterial infections (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio (aSHR) 1.15 (95%CI = 1.01-1.31). However, MAIT cell levels were not associated with the risk of hepatic decompensation (aSHR 1.19 (95%CI = 0.91-1.56)) nor with death (adjusted hazard ratio 1.10 (95%CI = 0.97-1.22)). CONCLUSIONS: Relatively preserved MAIT cell levels in blood of patients with cirrhosis were associated with a somewhat higher risk of bacterial infections. The clinical relevance of this might not be strong. MAIT cells might however be an interesting biomarker to explore in future studies.

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in cirrhosis differs by etiology, age and sex: A Swedish nationwide population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Current risk estimates for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in individuals with cirrhosis vary between studies. The risk has mostly been evaluated for single etiologies separately. OBJECTIVES: We examined the risk of HCC in Swedish outpatients with a new diagnosis of cirrhosis, aiming to identify subgroups with a particularly high risk for incident HCC. METHODS: All patients with a first diagnosis of cirrhosis in the National Outpatient Register for whom the etiology of cirrhosis could be estimated were identified. Incident cases of HCC were ascertained until the end of 2016 using record linkage to national registers. The cumulative incidence of HCC across etiologies of cirrhosis, sex and age was calculated considering non-HCC death as a competing risk. RESULTS: We identified 15,215 individuals with cirrhosis. The incidence rate for HCC in cirrhosis was 23/1000 person-years (95%CI = 22-24). Stratified on gender, it was 29/1000 person-years (95%CI = 27-31) in men versus 14/1000 person-years (95%CI = 13-16) in women. The cumulative incidence of HCC in cirrhosis was 8.3% (95%CI = 7.8-8.8) at 5 years and 12.2% (95%CI = 11.6-13.0) at 10 years. At 10 years, the lowest cumulative incidence was seen in women with alcohol-related liver disease (4.3%) and the highest in men with viral hepatitis (26.6%). These figures also varied by age. CONCLUSIONS: The risk of HCC differs extensively across subgroups of etiologies of cirrhosis, age and sex, suggesting that initiation of HCC surveillance could be individually tailored.

A personalized treatment program in persons with type 2 diabetes is associated with a reduction in liver steatosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: It is unclear if improving glycemic control in persons with type 2 diabetes (T2D) also has liver-related effects. We aimed to evaluate if a personalized treatment program associates with improvement of liver-related parameters in persons with advanced T2D in a real-life setting. METHODS: Persons with advanced T2D underwent a 4-day personalized treatment program, with the aim of improving glycemic control by dietary advice, instructions on how to achieve optimal glucose control and individualized dosage of medications. Transient elastography was used to estimate liver steatosis and fibrosis. Persons with liver diseases other than non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were excluded. After 3 months, study participants were offered re-examination. RESULTS: Ninety-one persons were included. Of these, 75 persons (82%) had controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) measurements of acceptable quality at baseline. Of these, 57 (76%) had NAFLD (defined as >268 dB/m). Twenty-two persons (24%) had elevated liver stiffness (>7.9 kPa), and eight (9%) had liver stiffness above 13.9 kPa, indicating advanced fibrosis. Over a median follow-up of 101 days, mean CAP in persons with NAFLD was reduced by 18.33 dB/m (P = 0.035). In persons with elevated liver stiffness, mean stiffness was reduced by 2.6 kPa (P = 0.047). In linear regression, one-unit improvement in fasting glucose (mg/dl) was associated with a decrease in hepatic steatosis with 0.48 dB/m (adjusted R2 = 0.35, P < 0.01). CONCLUSION: The prevalence of NAFLD with advanced fibrosis is high in persons with advanced T2D. Improving glycemic control through a personalized treatment program is associated with a reduction in liver steatosis and stiffness in this cohort.