An evaluation of the user-friendliness of Bayesian forecasting programs in a clinical setting.

AIMS: To evaluate 3 Bayesian forecasting (BF) programs-TDMx, InsightRx and DoseMe-on their user-friendliness and common liked and disliked features through a survey of hospital pharmacists. METHODS: Clinical pharmacists across 3 Australian hospitals that did not use a BF program were invited to a BF workshop and complete a survey on programs they trialled. Participants were given 4 case scenarios to work through and asked to complete a 5-point Likert scale survey evaluating the program's user-friendliness. Liked and disliked features of each program were ascertained through written responses to open-ended questions. Survey results were compared using a χ2 test of equal or given proportions to identify significant differences in response. RESULTS: Twenty-seven pharmacists, from hospitals, participated. BF programs were rated overall as user-friendly with 70%, 41% and 37% (P = .02) of participants recording a Likert score of 4 or 5 for DoseMe, TDMx and InsightRx, respectively. Participants found it easy to access all required information to use the programs, understood dosing recommendations and visualisations given by each program, and thought programs supported decision-making with >50% of participants scoring a 4 or 5 across the programs in these categories. Common liked features across all programs were the graphical displays and ease of data entry, while common disliked features were related to the units, layout and information display. CONCLUSION: Although differences exist between programs, all 3 programs were most commonly rated as user-friendly across all themes evaluated, which provides useful information for healthcare facilities wanting to implement a BF program.

Evaluation of Tobramycin Exposure Predictions in Three Bayesian Forecasting Programmes Compared with Current Clinical Practice in Children and Adults with Cystic Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Bayesian forecasting (BF) methods for tobramycin dose individualisation has not seen widespread clinical adoption, despite being endorsed by clinical practice guidelines. Several freeware and commercial programmes using BF methods are available to support personalised dosing. This study evaluated exposure estimates, dose recommendations, and predictive performance compared with current clinical practice. METHODS: Data from 105 patients (50 adults and 55 children) with cystic fibrosis who received intravenous tobramycin treatment and had paired concentration-time measurements were analysed using (1) log-linear regression analysis, and (2) three BF programmes: TDMx, InsightRX, and DoseMe. Exposure estimates and dose recommendations were compared using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test and Bland-Altman analysis. Predictive performance of BF programmes was compared based on bias and imprecision. RESULTS: Median estimated tobramycin exposure with current clinical practice was significantly lower (87.8 vs. 92.5, 94.0 and 90.3 mg h l-1; p ≤ 0.01), hence median subsequent dose recommendations were significantly higher (10.1 vs. 9.4, 9.4 and 9.2 mg kg-1; p ≤ 0.01) compared with BF programmes. Furthermore, median relative dose-adjustment differences were higher in adults (> 10%) compared with children (4.4-7.8%), and differences in individual dose recommendations were > 20% on 19.1-27.4% of occasions. BF programmes showed low bias (< 7%) and imprecision (< 20%), and none of the programmes made consistently significantly different recommendations compared with each other. CONCLUSIONS: On average, the predictions made by the BF programmes were similar, however substantial individual differences were observed for some patients. This suggests the need for detailed investigations of true tobramycin exposure.