Estimating the annual dengue force of infection from the age of reporting primary infections across urban centres in endemic countries.

BACKGROUND: Stratifying dengue risk within endemic countries is crucial for allocating limited control interventions. Current methods of monitoring dengue transmission intensity rely on potentially inaccurate incidence estimates. We investigated whether incidence or alternate metrics obtained from standard, or laboratory, surveillance operations represent accurate surrogate indicators of the burden of dengue and can be used to monitor the force of infection (FOI) across urban centres. METHODS: Among those who reported and resided in 13 cities across the Philippines, we collected epidemiological data from all dengue case reports between 2014 and 2017 (N 80,043) and additional laboratory data from a cross-section of sampled case reports (N 11,906) between 2014 and 2018. At the city level, we estimated the aggregated annual FOI from age-accumulated IgG among the non-dengue reporting population using catalytic modelling. We compared city-aggregated FOI estimates to aggregated incidence and the mean age of clinically and laboratory diagnosed dengue cases using Pearson's Correlation coefficient and generated predicted FOI estimates using regression modelling. RESULTS: We observed spatial heterogeneity in the dengue average annual FOI across sampled cities, ranging from 0.054 [0.036-0.081] to 0.249 [0.223-0.279]. Compared to FOI estimates, the mean age of primary dengue infections had the strongest association (ρ -0.848, p value<0.001) followed by the mean age of those reporting with warning signs (ρ -0.642, p value 0.018). Using regression modelling, we estimated the predicted annual dengue FOI across urban centres from the age of those reporting with primary infections and revealed prominent spatio-temporal heterogeneity in transmission intensity. CONCLUSIONS: We show the mean age of those reporting with their first dengue infection or those reporting with warning signs of dengue represent superior indicators of the dengue FOI compared to crude incidence across urban centres. Our work provides a framework for national dengue surveillance to routinely monitor transmission and target control interventions to populations most in need.

A serological framework to investigate acute primary and post-primary dengue cases reporting across the Philippines.

BACKGROUND: In dengue-endemic countries, targeting limited control interventions to populations at risk of severe disease could enable increased efficiency. Individuals who have had their first (primary) dengue infection are at risk of developing more severe secondary disease, thus could be targeted for disease prevention. Currently, there is no reliable algorithm for determining primary and post-primary (infection with more than one flavivirus) status from a single serum sample. In this study, we developed and validated an immune status algorithm using single acute serum samples from reporting patients and investigated dengue immuno-epidemiological patterns across the Philippines. METHODS: During 2015/2016, a cross-sectional sample of 10,137 dengue case reports provided serum for molecular (anti-DENV PCR) and serological (anti-DENV IgM/G capture ELISA) assay. Using mixture modelling, we re-assessed IgM/G seroprevalence and estimated functional, disease day-specific, IgG:IgM ratios that categorised the reporting population as negative, historical, primary and post-primary for dengue. We validated our algorithm against WHO gold standard criteria and investigated cross-reactivity with Zika by assaying a random subset for anti-ZIKV IgM and IgG. Lastly, using our algorithm, we explored immuno-epidemiological patterns of dengue across the Philippines. RESULTS: Our modelled IgM and IgG seroprevalence thresholds were lower than kit-provided thresholds. Individuals anti-DENV PCR+ or IgM+ were classified as active dengue infections (83.1%, 6998/8425). IgG- and IgG+ active dengue infections on disease days 1 and 2 were categorised as primary and post-primary, respectively, while those on disease days 3 to 5 with IgG:IgM ratios below and above 0.45 were classified as primary and post-primary, respectively. A significant proportion of post-primary dengue infections had elevated anti-ZIKV IgG inferring previous Zika exposure. Our algorithm achieved 90.5% serological agreement with WHO standard practice. Post-primary dengue infections were more likely to be older and present with severe symptoms. Finally, we identified a spatio-temporal cluster of primary dengue case reporting in northern Luzon during 2016. CONCLUSIONS: Our dengue immune status algorithm can equip surveillance operations with the means to target dengue control efforts. The algorithm accurately identified primary dengue infections who are at risk of future severe disease.

Factors influencing healthcare utilization among children with pneumonia in Muntinlupa City, the Philippines.

We evaluated the factors influencing healthcare utilization among children aged < 5 years with pneumonia symptoms in Muntinlupa City, the Philippines. We interviewed 1,330 caregivers from 190 households per district in seven districts from March to April, 2009 using a standardized questionnaire to obtain information about demographic characteristics, access to healthcare facilities, and potential barriers to healthcare utilization. The mean age of the children was 32 months; 54.7% were boys. Seventy-four point three percents (n = 972) of caregivers stated when their child had pneumonia symptoms they brought them to a government health center, 14.1% (n = 184) went to a private clinic, 8.0% (n = 104) went to a hospital, 3% (n = 40) were treated at home and 0.5% (n = 7) received traditional medicine from a local healer. Caregivers required an average of 12 minutes to reach a healthcare facility. Reasons given by caregivers for their choice of healthcare facility were low cost (47.5%), availability and accessibility to transportation (29.6%) and perceived good quality of care (16.5%). In conclusion, nearly three quarters of caregivers interviewed brought their child with pneumonia symptoms to a government health center for treatment. Cost was the main factor influencing choice, followed by transportation availability and quality of care.

Safety, efficacy, and impact on gut microbial ecology of a Bifidobacterium longum subspecies infantis LMG11588 supplementation in healthy term infants: a randomized, double-blind, controlled trial in the Philippines.

Introduction: Bifidobacterium longum subspecies infantis (B. infantis) may play a key role in infant gut development. This trial evaluated safety, tolerability, and efficacy of B. infantis LMG11588 supplementation. Methods: This randomized, placebo-controlled, double-blind study conducted in the Philippines included healthy breastfed and/or formula-fed infants (14-21 days old) randomized for 8 weeks to a control group (CG; n = 77), or any of two B. infantis experimental groups (EGs): low (Lo-EG; 1*108 CFU/day; n = 75) or high dose (Hi-EG; 1.8*1010 CFU/day; n = 76). Primary endpoint was weight gain; secondary endpoints included stooling patterns, gastrointestinal symptoms, adverse events, fecal microbiome, biomarkers, pH, and organic acids. Results: Non-inferiority in weight gain was demonstrated for Hi-EG and Lo-EG vs. CG. Overall, probiotic supplementation promoted mushy-soft stools, fewer regurgitation episodes, and increased fecal acetate production, which was more pronounced in the exclusively breastfed infants (EBF) and positively correlated with B. infantis abundance. In EBF, fecal pro-inflammatory cytokines (IL-1 beta, IL-8) were reduced. Strain-level metagenomic analysis allowed attributing the increased abundance of B. infantis in EGs versus CG, to LMG11588 probiotic colonization. Colonization by autochthonous B. infantis strains was similar between groups. Discussion: B. infantis LMG11588 supplementation was associated with normal infant growth, was safe and well-tolerated and promoted a Bifidobacterium-rich microbiota driven by B. infantis LMG11588 colonization without disturbing the natural dispersal of autochthonous B. infantis strains. In EBF, supplementation stimulated microbial metabolic activity and beneficially modulated enteric inflammation.

Safety of primary immunization with a DTwP-HBV/Hib vaccine in healthy infants: a prospective, open-label, interventional, phase IV clinical study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the safety of a fully liquid DTwP-HBV/Hib pentavalent vaccine (EupentaTM) based on the occurrence of adverse events (AEs) following vaccination. METHODS: This was a prospective, open-label, single-arm, interventional phase IV study. A single intramuscular injection of the study vaccine was administered to infants at approximately 6, 10, and 14 weeks of age, and an end-of-study follow-up visit was scheduled at 18 weeks. RESULTS: In all, 3000 subjects were enrolled and received at least one dose of the study vaccine. Of these, 2717 (90.6%) experienced at least one AE. Immediate reactions, solicited and unsolicited AEs were respectively identified in 224 (7.5%), 2,652 (88.4%), and 1,099 (36.6%) subjects. The most prevalent solicited and unsolicited AEs comprised pain/tenderness and upper respiratory tract infection, respectively. Most AEs were mildly or moderately severe. Forty-one (1.4%) subjects had at least one serious AE (SAE); of these, two (0.1%) had two SAEs each, considered related to the study vaccine. Six (0.2%) subjects died due to unsolicited AEs, none of which were considered related to the study vaccine. No AEs were reported at the end-of-study follow-up visit. CONCLUSIONS: The study vaccine  had a safety profile similar to that reported in a previous clinical study, and did not result in an increased risk of AEs known to be associated with DTwP-based vaccines or previously unrecognized SAEs.

A Narrative Review of Pneumococcal Disease in Children in the Philippines.

This narrative review describes the epidemiology of invasive pneumococcal diseases, nasopharyngeal carriage, and antibiotic resistance of Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes, and vaccination coverage in children in the Philippines. Epidemiological data show that, despite the availability of the free-of-cost 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for infants as part of the National Immunization Program, the burden of pneumococcal disease in young children remains high in the Philippines. The significant variability in data reported between studies highlights an urgent need for active and comprehensive disease surveillance for more accurate estimates of pneumococcal disease in the country. Although data from 2001 to 2013 show high rates of pneumococcal carriage in children in the Philippines aged < 5 years, contemporary data are lacking, again emphasizing the need for active surveillance programs. The introduction of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines has resulted in substantial declines in disease caused by pneumococcal serotypes included in the vaccines, but the emergence of pneumococcal disease due to nonvaccine serotypes is an ongoing concern. Surveillance of actively circulating serotypes is critical to better understand vaccine coverage. Antimicrobial resistance of S. pneumoniae remains a significant threat to public health worldwide; data regarding antibiotic resistance in young children in the Philippines are limited, but reports generally show low rates of antibiotic resistance in this group. National immunization rates have increased in recent years, yet many individuals are still unprotected from pneumococcal disease. Overall, there is a critical need for contemporary and accurate disease surveillance in the Philippines. Such data would provide better estimates of pneumococcal disease incidence, serotype distribution, and antibiotic resistance to better inform vaccination strategies and to ensure that children in the Philippines are best protected against pneumococcal disease.

Serological Evidence of Widespread Zika Transmission across the Philippines.

Zika virus (ZIKV) exposure across flavivirus-endemic countries, including the Philippines, remains largely unknown despite sporadic case reporting and environmental suitability for transmission. Using laboratory surveillance data from 2016, 997 serum samples were randomly selected from suspected dengue (DENV) case reports across the Philippines and assayed for serological markers of short-term (IgM) and long-term (IgG) ZIKV exposure. Using mixture models, we re-evaluated ZIKV IgM/G seroprevalence thresholds and used catalytic models to quantify the force of infection (attack rate, AR) from age-accumulated ZIKV exposure. While we observed extensive ZIKV/DENV IgG cross-reactivity, not all individuals with active DENV presented with elevated ZIKV IgG, and a proportion of dengue-negative cases (DENV IgG-) were ZIKV IgG-positive (14.3%, 9/63). We identified evidence of long-term, yet not short-term, ZIKV exposure across Philippine regions (ZIKV IgG+: 31.5%, 314/997) which was geographically uncorrelated with DENV exposure. In contrast to the DENV AR (12.7% (95%CI: 9.1-17.4%)), the ZIKV AR was lower (5.7% (95%CI: 3-11%)) across the country. Our results provide evidence of widespread ZIKV exposure across the Philippines and suggest the need for studies to identify ZIKV infection risk factors over time to better prepare for potential future outbreaks.

Efficacy and safety of a live attenuated, cold-adapted influenza vaccine, trivalent against culture-confirmed influenza in young children in Asia.

BACKGROUND: This study was designed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of cold-adapted influenza vaccine, trivalent (CAIV-T) against culture-confirmed influenza in children 12 to <36 months of age during 2 consecutive influenza seasons at multiple sites in Asia. METHODS: In year 1, 3174 children 12 to <36 months of age were randomized to receive 2 doses of CAIV-T (n = 1900) or placebo (n = 1274) intranasally > or =28 days apart. In year 2, 2947 subjects were rerandomized to receive 1 dose of CAIV-T or placebo. RESULTS: Mean age at enrollment was 23.5 +/- 7.4 months. In year 1, efficacy of CAIV-T compared with placebo was 72.9% [95% confidence interval (CI): 62.8-80.5%] against antigenically similar influenza subtypes, and 70.1% (95% CI: 60.9-77.3%) against any strain. In year 2, revaccination with CAIV-T demonstrated significant efficacy against antigenically similar (84.3%; 95% CI: 70.1-92.4%) and any (64.2%; 95% CI: 44.2-77.3%) influenza strains. In year 1, fever, runny nose/nasal congestion, decreased activity and appetite, and use of fever medication were more frequent with CAIV-T after dose 1. Runny nose/nasal congestion after dose 2 (year 1) and dose 3 (year 2) and use of fever medication after dose 3 (year 2) were the only other events reported significantly more frequently in CAIV-T recipients. CONCLUSIONS: CAIV-T was well tolerated and effective in preventing culture-confirmed influenza illness over multiple and complex influenza seasons in young children in Asia.

Safety and immunogenicity of the killed bivalent (O1 and O139) whole-cell cholera vaccine in the Philippines.

The killed bivalent (O1 and O139) whole cell oral cholera vaccine (OCV) (Shanchol™) was first licensed in India in 2009 and World Health Organization pre-qualified in 2011. We assessed the safety and immunogenicity of this OCV in the Philippines. This was a phase IV, single-arm, descriptive, open-label study. We recruited 336 participants from 2 centers: 112 participants in each age group (1-4, 5-14 and ≥ 15 years). Participants received 2 OCV doses 14 d apart. Safety was monitored throughout the trial. Blood samples were collected at baseline (pre-vaccination) and 14 d after each dose. Serum vibriocidal antibody titers to V. cholerae O1 (El Tor Inaba and El Tor Ogawa) and O139 strains were assessed, with seroconversion defined as ≥ 4-fold increase from baseline in titers. No immediate unsolicited systemic adverse events/reactions were observed. Unsolicited systemic adverse events were mostly grade 1 intensity. One serious adverse event occurred after the first dose, but was unrelated to vaccination. High seroconversion rates (range 69-92%) were achieved against the O1 serotypes with a trend toward higher rates in the 1-4 y (86-92%) and 5-14 y (86-88%) age groups than the ≥ 15 y age group (69-83%). Lower seroconversion rates were achieved against the O139 serotype (35-70%), particularly in those aged ≥ 15 y (35-42%). The 2-dose regimen of the killed bivalent whole cell OCV was well-tolerated in this study conducted in the Philippines, a cholera-endemic country. Robust immune responses were observed even after a single-dose.

Comparison of the immunogenicity and safety of pentavalent vaccine Quinvaxem in a compact prefilled auto-disabled (cPAD) injection system versus single-dose vials in healthy infants: a phase 3, open-label, randomized, parallel-group, non-inferiority study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate non-inferiority of three doses of Quinvaxem in a compact prefilled auto-disabled (cPAD) injection system versus Quinvaxem in a single-dose vial administered with conventional syringe in terms of seroconversion/seroprotection rates for all antibodies (anti-hepatitis B (HB), anti-Haemophilus influenzae type b polyribosylribitol phosphate (Hib PRP), anti-diphtheria, anti-tetanus, anti-Bordetella pertussis) at 1 month after primary vaccination. METHODS: Four hundred healthy infants aged 42-65 days were randomized (1:1) to receive Quinvaxem in cPAD or single-dose vial at 6, 10, and 12 weeks of age. Blood samples were collected before vaccination and at 1 month after the third dose to determine seroconversion/seroprotection rates. Safety was assessed from solicited and unsolicited adverse events and serious adverse events (SAEs). RESULTS: Of the 400 infants randomized, 395 (98.8%) received all three vaccine doses. In the cPAD vs. single-dose vial groups, seroprotection rates against Hib PRP (both 98.5%), HB (92.9% vs. 93.4%), diphtheria (100% vs. 99%), and tetanus toxoids (both 100%), and seroconversion against B. pertussis (95.4% vs. 97%) were ≥92% at 1 month after the third vaccination (lower limits of 95% confidence intervals simultaneously greater than -10%). Geometric mean concentrations exceeded seroprotection/seroconversion thresholds by large margins. The incidences of induration and erythema were comparable between the groups; tenderness was slightly higher in the cPAD group (85.5% vs. 76.5%). No vaccine-related SAEs occurred. CONCLUSIONS: Quinvaxem in cPAD was non-inferior to single-dose vial with respect to seroprotection/seroconversion rates for all antibodies. Both presentations were well-tolerated.

Laboratory-confirmed Dengue in Children in Three Regional Hospitals in the Philippines in 2009-2010.

BACKGROUND: The burden of dengue is high in the Philippines but the prevalence of confirmed cases is unknown, and the disease is subject to underreporting because surveillance of suspected cases is passive. We conducted a prospective epidemiological study to estimate the proportion of laboratory-confirmed dengue among clinically suspected hospitalized cases in the pediatric wards of 3 regional hospitals in the Philippines and to describe the clinical and laboratory features, age distributions, case fatality rates and serotype distributions of these hospitalized cases. METHODS: Patients ≤18 years and hospitalized for suspected dengue were included if they had an axillary temperature ≥38°C for 2-7 days and 2 or more dengue-associated symptoms. Dengue infection was confirmed in acute blood samples by serotype-specific reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction and IgM immunoassay. RESULTS: We confirmed dengue infection in 1809 (86.1%) cases of 2103 suspected cases between November 2009 and November 2010. The 6- to 10-year-old age group had the highest proportion of cases overall (36.7%). Fever, anorexia, myalgia, abdominal pain and headache were the most common symptoms at admission. Hemorrhagic manifestations, signs of plasma leakage, thrombocytopenia and leucopenia were all significantly more common in confirmed than in nonconfirmed cases. Most cases (76.5%) developed dengue hemorrhagic fever or dengue shock syndrome, and the overall case fatality rate was 0.94%. Distributions of all 4 virus serotypes varied at each hospital. CONCLUSIONS: The clinical burden of pediatric dengue continues to be substantial in the Philippines. Most hospitalized cases of suspected pediatric dengue can be laboratory confirmed and most develop severe disease.

Interchangeability of Quinvaxem during primary vaccination schedules: results from a phase IV, single-blind, randomized, controlled, single-center, non-inferiority study.

Combination vaccines against diphtheria, tetanus and pertussis (DTP) represent the core of childhood vaccination programs. Quinvaxem, a fully-liquid, pentavalent combination vaccine containing inactivated hepatitis B (HepB), Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) and whole-cell pertussis (wP) antigens, and tetanus and diphtheria toxoids, has been shown to be suitable for boosting children primed in infancy with another DTwP-HepB-Hib vaccine. This single-blind, randomized, controlled study was designed to demonstrate non-inferiority of a primary vaccination course (6-10-14 week schedule) of Tritanrix HB+Hib (first dose) and Quinvaxem (second/third doses) versus three doses of Quinvaxem with respect to the seroprotection/seroconversion rates for all antigens one month after vaccination course completion. Four hundred healthy subjects eligible for the local Expanded Program on Immunization were enrolled and equally randomized to the two treatment regimens. All subjects achieved seroprotection for tetanus and Hib, all except one for diphtheria, and all except two achieved seroconversion against Bordetella pertussis. Seroprotection against hepatitis B was achieved by 97.4% of Tritanrix HB+Hib followed by Quinvaxem and 94.9% of Quinvaxem subjects. Therefore, one month after vaccination course completion, seroprotection rates (seroconversion rate for B. pertussis) of Tritanrix HB+Hib followed by Quinvaxem were non-inferior to those elicited by Quinvaxem only, thus meeting the primary objective. Adverse events were comparable between the groups and were in line with the safety profile of the vaccines. The switch of vaccine had no apparent effect on safety endpoints. Our results support the use of Quinvaxem interchangeably with Tritanrix HB+Hib in a primary vaccination course and provides further evidence for the interchangeability of pentavalent vaccines (Clinical Trials.gov registry: NCT01357720).

Correlation of cellular immune responses with protection against culture-confirmed influenza virus in young children.

The highly sensitive gamma interferon (IFN-gamma) enzyme-linked immunosorbent spot (ELISPOT) assay permits the investigation of the role of cell-mediated immunity (CMI) in the protection of young children against influenza. Preliminary studies of young children confirmed that the IFN-gamma ELISPOT assay was a more sensitive measure of influenza memory immune responses than serum antibody and that among seronegative children aged 6 to <36 months, an intranasal dose of 10(7) fluorescent focus units (FFU) of a live attenuated influenza virus vaccine (CAIV-T) elicited substantial CMI responses. A commercial inactivated influenza virus vaccine elicited CMI responses only in children with some previous exposure to related influenza viruses as determined by detectable antibody levels prevaccination. The role of CMI in actual protection against community-acquired, culture-confirmed clinical influenza by CAIV-T was investigated in a large randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled dose-ranging efficacy trial with 2,172 children aged 6 to <36 months in the Philippines and Thailand. The estimated protection curve indicated that the majority of infants and young children with >or=100 spot-forming cells/10(6) peripheral blood mononuclear cells were protected against clinical influenza, establishing a possible target level of CMI for future influenza vaccine development. The ELISPOT assay for IFN-gamma is a sensitive and reproducible measure of CMI and memory immune responses and contributes to establishing requirements for the future development of vaccines against influenza, especially those used for children.