Clinical care pathway to detect advanced liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes through automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminder messages: a randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to test the hypothesis that automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminder messages could increase the detection of advanced liver disease in patients with type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: In this pragmatic randomised controlled trial at five general medical or diabetes clinics in Hong Kong and Malaysia, we randomly assigned patients in a 1:1 ratio to the intervention group with Fibrosis-4 index and aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index automatically calculated based on routine blood tests, followed by electronic reminder messages to alert clinicians of abnormal results, or the control group with usual care. The primary outcome was the proportion of patients with increased fibrosis scores who received appropriate care (referred for hepatology care or specific fibrosis assessment) within 1 year. RESULTS: Between May 2020 and Oct 2021, 1379 patients were screened, of whom 533 and 528 were assigned to the intervention and control groups, respectively. A total of 55 out of 165 (33.3%) patients with increased fibrosis scores in the intervention group received appropriate care, compared with 4 of 131 (3.1%) patients in the control group (difference 30.2% (95% CI 22.4% to 38%); p<0.001). Overall, 11 out of 533 (2.1%) patients in the intervention group and 1 out of 528 (0.2%) patients in the control group were confirmed to have advanced liver disease (difference 1.9% (95% CI 0.61% to 3.5%); p=0.006). CONCLUSION: Automated fibrosis score calculation and electronic reminders can increase referral of patients with type 2 diabetes and abnormal fibrosis scores at non-hepatology settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT04241575.

Fatty Pancreas Is Independently Associated With Subsequent Diabetes Mellitus Development: A 10-Year Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although the association between fatty pancreas and metabolic syndrome has been suggested in retrospective studies, long-term prospective data on the effect of fatty pancreas on various metabolic outcomes are lacking. We aimed to prospectively investigate the association between fatty pancreas and the development of major metabolic outcomes. METHODS: A total of 631 subjects from a population study using fat-water magnetic resonance imaging to quantify pancreatic and liver fat content during 2008 to 2010 were followed up prospectively until December 2020 (mean follow-up time, 11.1 ± 1.1 y). Subjects with significant alcohol intake and diabetes mellitus (DM) at baseline were excluded. Incidence of newly diagnosed DM, hypertension, dyslipidemia, ischemic heart disease, cardiovascular accidents, pancreatic cancer, and mortality were evaluated. RESULTS: Among the 631 subjects (mean age, 48 ± 11 y), 93 (14.7%) had fatty pancreas. The fatty pancreas group had a higher incidence of DM (33.3% vs 10.4%; P < .001), hypertension (37.7% vs 22.7%; P = .003), and dyslipidemia (37.7% vs 14.6%; P < .001) during long-term follow-up evaluation. Individuals with both fatty liver and pancreas had the highest DM incidence, followed by fatty liver only and fatty pancreas only groups (P < .001). Fatty pancreas was associated independently with DM (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.10-3.00; P = .020), but not hypertension or dyslipidemia on multivariate analysis. Each percentage increase of pancreatic fat increased the risk of incident DM by 7% (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.07; 95% CI, 1.01-1.13; P = .016). No participants developed pancreatic cancer during the follow-up period. CONCLUSIONS: Fatty pancreas is associated independently with subsequent DM development, but not hypertension or dyslipidemia.

Impact of the New Definition of Metabolic Associated Fatty Liver Disease on the Epidemiology of the Disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Recently, a group of hepatologists proposed to rename non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as metabolic associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) with modified diagnostic criteria. We aimed to study the impact of the new definition on the epidemiology of fatty liver disease. METHODS: We randomly selected 1013 adults from the Hong Kong census database for clinical assessment, proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy, and transient elastography. Five hundred sixty-five subjects without fatty liver at baseline underwent follow-up assessment. MAFLD was diagnosed as intrahepatic triglyceride content (IHTG) ≥5% and the presence of overweight/obesity, diabetes, or two other metabolic risk factors, with and without concomitant liver diseases. The diagnosis of NAFLD required the exclusion of concomitant liver diseases; metabolic factors were not considered. RESULTS: The population prevalence of MAFLD and NAFLD was 25.9% (95% CI 23.2-28.7%) and 25.7% (95% CI 23.1-28.5%), respectively. Among 277 subjects with IHTG ≥5%, 247 (89.2%) fulfilled both the definitions of MAFLD and NAFLD. Fourteen subjects (5.1%) had IHTG ≥5% but did not meet the metabolic criteria of MAFLD. The incidence of MAFLD was 2.8 per 100 person-years at a median interval of 47 months (range 34-60 months). Among 78 subjects with incident NAFLD, 59 (75.6%) met the criteria of MAFLD; only one of the latter, a regular drinker, had liver stiffness ≥10 kPa. CONCLUSIONS: The new definition of MAFLD does not significantly change the prevalence compared with NAFLD, but it may reduce the incidence by 25%. People with hepatic steatosis but not fulfilling the definition of MAFLD unlikely have significant liver disease.

Serial Transient Elastography Examinations to Monitor Patients With Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Type 2 diabetes is an important risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and advanced fibrosis. Current international guidelines recommend the use of noninvasive tests as initial assessments for NAFLD, but the role of noninvasive tests as monitoring tools has not been established. We aimed to study the role of transient elastography as a monitoring tool in patients with type 2 diabetes. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We recruited patients with type 2 diabetes without viral hepatitis or excessive alcohol intake from a complication screening facility in Hong Kong in 2013-2014 and repeated the assessments in 2016-2018. The primary endpoint was an increase of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) to ≥10 kPa. The secondary endpoint was the change in the controlled attenuation parameter (CAP). A total of 611 patients with type 2 diabetes and a valid LSM (mean age, 57.7 ± 10.9 years; 342 men [56.0%]) were included in this study (568 also had a valid CAP). Overall, there was moderate correlation between the baseline and follow-up LSM (r = 0.689, P < 0.001). Among 487 patients with a baseline LSM <10 kPa, 21 (4.3%) had a follow-up LSM ≥10 kPa. Baseline body mass index, alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and ∆ALT were independent factors associated with LSM increase. Among 124 patients with a baseline LSM ≥10 kPa, 70 (56.5%) had a follow-up LSM <10 kPa. Among 198 patients with a CAP <248 dB/m at baseline, 103 (52.0%) had a CAP increased to ≥248 dB/m. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence and incidence of NAFLD in patients with type 2 diabetes are high. Although advanced fibrosis is common in this population, few patients progress to advanced fibrosis in 3 years. Future studies should define the optimal surveillance interval in patients with diabetes.

Change in treatment paradigm in people who previously injected drugs with chronic hepatitis C in the era of direct-acting antiviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is highly prevalent among people who inject drugs but is often undiagnosed. The treatment paradigm for HCV patients has been changing since the availability of direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment. We aimed to evaluate the change in treatment paradigm of people who previously injected drugs (ex-PWID) in Hong Kong before and after the availability of DAA. METHOD: Consecutive ex-PWID referred from various nongovernmental organizations attended education talks at rehabilitation centers and received point-of-care rapid test for HCV antibody (anti-HCV) at the same session. Subjects tested positive for anti-HCV were invited to undergo further assessment. Afterwards, the patients were referred to the regional hospitals for follow-up and/or treatment. RESULTS: Three hundred sixty-five ex-PWID received HCV rapid test; 268 (73.4%) were found to be anti-HCV positive. Among these 268 HCV-positive ex-PWID, 234 (87.3%) attended the assessment session (mean age 52 years, 90.2% male, 45.5% genotype 1b, 41.1% genotype 6a, and median liver stiffness 5.9 kPa); 187 (69.8%) attended follow-up visits at regional hospitals. Seventy-one patients received antiviral treatment for HCV; 69 first received peginterferon and ribavirin (PegIFN/RBV), whereas 10 patients (eight PegIFN/RBV-treated patients) received DAA treatment. Fifty-two patients achieved sustained virologic response at 12 or 24 weeks. Treatment uptake rates of PegIFN/RBV and DAA treatment in the pre-DAA versus post-DAA era were 22.3% versus 48.5% and 0% versus 15.6%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted screening in ex-PWID is effective in identifying patients with HCV infection in the community. To improve treatment uptake, further improvements in the referral system and treatment regimens are needed.

Repeating measurements by transient elastography in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients with high liver stiffness.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The Baveno VI Consensus recommends repeating examination in patients with high liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography to reduce false-positive diagnosis of advanced liver disease. We tested whether repeating transient elastography can increase the overall diagnostic accuracy. METHODS: Ninety-seven patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease who underwent two FibroScan examinations within 6 months prior to liver biopsy were evaluated. An LSM cut-off of 7.9 kPa was used to exclude F3-4 fibrosis. RESULTS: Seventy-eight patients had high LSM at baseline, among whom 27 had low LSM on repeated testing; only four had F3 and none had cirrhosis. In contrast, 31 of 51 patients with high LSM at both examinations had F3-4. Nineteen patients had low LSM at baseline; none of them had F3-4 regardless of the second LSM results. If we took LSM <7.9 kPa at either examination as sufficient to exclude F3-4, the negative predictive value remained high at 91%. The positive predictive value for F3-4 increased from 45% in patients with high LSM at baseline to 61% in those with high LSM at both examinations. Sensitivity analysis using different cut-offs yielded similar results, with 76% of patients with LSM >12 kPa at both examinations having F3-4. CONCLUSIONS: Transient elastography is a highly sensitive screening test to exclude F3-4 fibrosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease patients. One-third of patients with high LSM may have normal results on repeated examination. By repeating examination in cases with high LSM, one may spare patients from unnecessary liver biopsy.

Beneficial effects of lifestyle intervention in non-obese patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Around 10-20% of patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are non-obese. The benefit of weight reduction in such patients is unclear. We aim to study the efficacy of lifestyle intervention in non-obese patients with NAFLD and to identify factors that predict treatment response. METHODS: A total of 154 community NAFLD patients were randomised to a 12-month lifestyle intervention programme involving regular exercise, or to standard care. The primary outcome was remission of NAFLD at Month 12 by proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy. After the programme, the patients were prospectively followed until Year 6. The Asian body mass index (BMI) cut-off of 25 kg/m2 was used to define non-obese NAFLD. RESULTS: Patients were assigned to the intervention (n = 77) and control (n = 77) groups (39 and 38 in each group had baseline BMI <25 and ≥25 kg/m2, respectively). More patients in the intervention group achieved the primary outcome than the control group regardless of baseline BMI (non-obese: 67% vs. 18%, p <0.001; obese: 61% vs. 21%, p <0.001). Lifestyle intervention, lower baseline intrahepatic triglyceride, and reduction in body weight and waist circumference were independent factors associated with remission of NAFLD in non-obese patients. Half of non-obese patients achieved remission of NAFLD with 3-5% weight reduction; the same could only be achieved in obese patients with 7-10% weight reduction. By Year 6, non-obese patients in the intervention group remained more likely to maintain weight reduction and alanine aminotransferase normalisation than the control group. CONCLUSIONS: Lifestyle intervention is effective in treating NAFLD in both non-obese and obese patients. Weight reduction predicts remission of NAFLD in non-obese patients, but a modest weight reduction may be sufficient in this population. LAY SUMMARY: Some patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are non-obese. The optimal management of such patients is unclear. In this long-term follow-up study of a clinical trial, we show that remission of NAFLD can be achieved in 67% of non-obese patients after lifestyle intervention. The majority of patients can achieve NAFLD remission with modest weight loss of 3-10%. Non-obese patients are also more likely than obese patients to maintain weight reduction and normal liver enzymes in the long run.

Histological severity and clinical outcomes of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in nonobese patients.

Although nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is closely linked to obesity, around 10%-20% of nonobese Americans and Asians still develop NAFLD. Data on this special group are limited. We therefore studied the severity and clinical outcomes of nonobese NAFLD patients. Consecutive NAFLD patients who underwent liver biopsy were prospectively recruited. We used the NASH Clinical Research Network system to score the histology. The Asian body mass index cutoff of 25 kg/m2 was used to define nonobese NAFLD. Among 307 recruited NAFLD patients, 72 (23.5%) were nonobese. Compared to obese patients, nonobese patients had lower NAFLD activity score (3.3 ± 1.3 vs. 3.8 ± 1.2; P = 0.019), mainly contributed by steatosis (1.7 ± 0.8 vs. 2.0 ± 0.8; P = 0.014) and presence of hepatocyte ballooning (60.9% vs. 73.4%; P = 0.045). Similarly, nonobese patients had lower fibrosis stage (1.3 ± 1.5 vs. 1.7 ± 1.4; P = 0.004), serum cytokeratin-18 fragments (283 vs. 404 U/L; P < 0.001) and liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography (6.3 vs. 8.6 kilopascals; P < 0.001). By multivariate analysis in nonobese patients, only elevated serum triglyceride level was independently associated with higher NAFLD activity score (adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.644; P = 0.021), whereas elevated creatinine level was the only factor associated with advanced fibrosis (adjusted OR, 1.044; P = 0.025). After a median follow-up of 49 months, 6 patients died, 2 developed hepatocellular carcinoma, and 1 had liver failure, all of whom were in the obese group. CONCLUSION: Nonobese NAFLD patients tend to have less-severe disease and may have a better prognosis than obese patients. Hypertriglyceridemia and higher creatinine are the key factors associated with advanced liver disease in nonobese patients. (Hepatology 2017;65:54-64).

Four-year Outcomes After Cessation of Tenofovir in Immune-tolerant Chronic Hepatitis B Patients.

GOALS: To study the long-term outcome after cessation of antiviral therapy in immune-tolerant patients. BACKGROUND: Experience in the treatment of immune-tolerant chronic hepatitis B is scanty. Some immune-tolerant patients may receive temporary antiviral therapy, such as for prevention of vertical transmission at pregnancy or prophylaxis for chemotherapy. STUDY: This was a follow-up study of a phase 2 trial at 2 centers. Immune-tolerant patients received tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and/or emtricitabine for 4 years and were followed for another 4 years after treatment cessation. Virological relapse was defined as hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA>2000 IU/mL; clinical relapse was defined as HBV DNA>2000 IU/mL; and alanine aminotransferase (ALT)>2 times the upper limit of normal. RESULTS: In total, 20 patients stopped treatment and were followed up for 206±14 weeks. All patients developed virological relapse at posttreatment week 4 (HBV DNA, 7.07±1.45 log IU/mL). A total of 10 (50%) patients developed clinical relapse at 15±11 weeks (highest ALT, 1149 U/L). In total, 11 (55%) patients were restarted on antiviral therapy; 4 achieved complete HBV DNA suppression and 1 achieved hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) seroconversion. Among the 9 patients not restarted on therapy, 2 patients had HBeAg seroconversion with normal ALT and HBV DNA of 7.12 and 1.62 IU/mL, respectively. The remaining 7 untreated patients continued to have positive HBeAg, high HBV DNA, and normal ALT. CONCLUSIONS: Rapid virological relapse is universal and clinical relapse is common after stopping antiviral therapy in patients with immune-tolerant chronic hepatitis B. HBeAg seroconversion is rare regardless of treatment reinitiation.

Metabolic syndrome increases cardiovascular events but not hepatic events and death in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

Metabolic syndrome is an independent risk factor of liver cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Whether metabolic syndrome affects the long-term prognosis of CHB patients in terms of hepatic events, cardiovascular events, and death remains unknown. We aimed to determine the incidences of hepatic events, cardiovascular events, and death in CHB patients with or without metabolic syndrome. From 2006 to 2008, we prospectively recruited 1,466 CHB patients for liver stiffness measurement (LSM) with transient elastography together with detailed metabolic profiling as baseline assessment. Patients were prospectively followed for any clinical events. The impact of LSM and metabolic syndrome on hepatic events, cardiovascular events, and death was evaluated. At baseline visit, the mean age was 46 ± 12 years, LSM value was 8.4 ± 6.3 kPa, and 188 patients (12.8%) had metabolic syndrome. At a mean follow-up of 88 ± 20 months, 93 and 44 patients developed hepatic and cardiovascular events, respectively; 70 patients died. Patients with baseline LSM >8.0 kPa had higher cumulative probability of hepatic events than those with LSM ≤8.0kPa at 8 years (12.3% versus 3.1%, P < 0.001). Patients with metabolic syndrome had higher cumulative probability of cardiovascular events than those without (8.0% versus 2.1%, P < 0.001). High LSM had no impact on cardiovascular events; neither did metabolic syndrome on hepatic events. LSM >8.0 kPa but not metabolic syndrome was an independent risk factor of death, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.9 (95% confidence interval 1.1-3.2, P = 0.023) and 1.3 (95% confidence interval 0.8-2.4, P = 0.310), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Metabolic syndrome increased the risk of cardiovascular events but not hepatic events and death; LSM was the important risk factor of hepatic events and death in CHB patients. (Hepatology 2016;64:1507-1517).

Long-term clinical outcomes after fatty liver screening in patients undergoing coronary angiogram: A prospective cohort study.

UNLABELLED: There is ongoing debate on whether screening for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is worthwhile in high-risk groups. Because of shared risk factors, NAFLD is highly prevalent in patients with coronary artery disease. We aimed to test the hypothesis that NAFLD screening in patients requiring coronary angiogram would identify high-risk patients and predict long-term clinical outcomes. This was a prospective cohort study. NAFLD screening was performed by abdominal ultrasonography before coronary angiogram in 612 consecutive patients. At baseline, 356 (58.2%) patients had NAFLD. NAFLD patients, compared with those without, were more likely to have >50% stenosis in one or more coronary arteries (84.6% vs. 64.1%; P < 0.001) and therefore require percutaneous coronary intervention (68.3% vs. 43.4%; P < 0.001). During 3,679 patient-years of follow-up, 47 (13.2%) NAFLD patients and 59 (23.0%) patients without NAFLD died (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 0.36; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.18-0.70; P = 0.003). Composite cardiovascular outcomes (cardiovascular deaths, nonfatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, or secondary interventions) were similar between groups (36.5% vs. 37.1%; aHR, 0.90; 95% CI: 0.69-1.18). Older age and diabetes were the only independent factors associated with cardiovascular events. Only 2 patients, both in the NAFLD group, died of primary liver cancer. No other patients developed liver-related complications. CONCLUSION: In patients with clinical indications for coronary angiogram, the presence of NAFLD is associated with coronary artery stenosis and need for coronary intervention, but not increased mortality or cardiovascular complications. Liver cancer and cirrhotic complications are rare. Our data do not support NAFLD screening in this patient group at present, but studies with a longer duration of follow-up are needed.

Application of the combined FibroMeter vibration-controlled transient elastography algorithm in Chinese patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The FibroMeter vibration-controlled transient elastography (FM VCTE) is a new formula combining the serum test FM and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by VCTE. We tested the accuracy and utility of FM VCTE for fibrosis staging in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: Two hundred fifteen NAFLD patients with LSM, FM NAFLD, FM VCTE, and other serum tests (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index, fibrosis-4 index, BARD score, NAFLD fibrosis score, and aspartate aminotransferase-to-alanine aminotransferase ratio) performed 1 day before liver biopsy were evaluated. RESULTS: Sixty-nine (32.1%) and 43 (20.0%) patients had F2-4 and F3-4, respectively. LSM had higher diagnostic accuracy (area under receiver-operating characteristics curves [AUROC] 0.851 for F2-4, 0.940 for F3-4; Obuchowski index 0.937 ± 0.007) than all evaluated serum tests, while FM NAFLD was the most accurate serum test (AUROC 0.775 and 0.774; Obuchowski index 0.891 ± 0.013). FM VCTE had similar accuracy to LSM (AUROC 0.855 and 0.901; Obuchowski index 0.927 ± 0.009). LSM had excellent negative predictive values of 92.4% and 99.2% to exclude F2-4 and F3-4, but the positive predictive values (PPV) were only 71.4% and 61.0%, respectively. In patients with high LSM, the use of FM VCTE improved the PPV from 71.4% to 84.4% for F2-4 and from 61.0% to 88.9% for F3-4. Liver biopsy could be spared in around 50-65% of patients. CONCLUSIONS: Liver stiffness measurement alone can confidently exclude significant and advanced fibrosis in NAFLD patients. Using FM VCTE in patients with high liver stiffness can increase the positive predictive value to rule in F2-4 and F3-4.

Controlled attenuation parameter for the diagnosis of steatosis in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) evaluated with transient elastography (FibroScan) is a recent method for non-invasive assessment of steatosis. Its usefulness in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is unknown. We prospectively investigated the performance of CAP for the diagnosis of steatosis in NAFLD, factors associated with discordances between CAP and steatosis grades, and relationships between CAP and clinical or biological parameters. METHODS: All CAP examinations performed in NAFLD patients with a liver biopsy performed within 1 week of CAP measurement were included. Liver biopsies were assessed for activity and fibrosis stage, NAFLD activity score, and steatosis graded as follows: S0, steatosis < 5%; S1, 5-33%; S2, 34-66%; S3, >66%. RESULTS: Two hundred sixty-one patients (59% male, age 56 years) from two ethnic groups were included. No patient had steatosis < 5%. The area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve of CAP for steatosis ≥S2 and S3 was 0.80 and 0.66, respectively. At a cut-off value of 310 dB/m, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values for ≥S2 steatosis were 79%, 71%, 86%, and 71%, respectively. Discordance of at least one grade between CAP and steatosis was observed in 81 patients. By multivariate analysis, only steatosis S2S3 was associated with no discordance. By multivariate analysis, only BMI ≥ 30 kg/m(2) was significantly associated with CAP > 310 dB/m. CONCLUSION: The association of CAP with steatosis, especially in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, and with elevated BMI could be useful for the diagnosis and follow-up of NAFLD patients.

Incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in Hong Kong: a population study with paired proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Because abdominal ultrasonography cannot reliably quantify hepatic steatosis, accurate data on the incidence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) are lacking. We aimed to study the population incidence of NAFLD with state-of-the-art non-invasive tests. METHODS: This was a prospective cohort study. The intrahepatic triglyceride (IHTG) content was measured serially with proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy in community subjects. Transient elastography was performed to assess liver fibrosis. RESULTS: 565 subjects (mean age 48 years, 62.7% women) without NAFLD at baseline underwent follow-up assessment after a median interval of 47 months (range 34-60 months). 78 (13.8%) subjects developed incident fatty liver with a mean IHTG content of 8.9% (SD 5.3%). 16 (20.5%) subjects had an IHTG content ⩾ 11.0% suggestive of moderate to severe steatosis. After excluding 2 men with significant alcohol consumption, the population incidence of NAFLD at 3-5 years was 13.5% (95% CI 10.6-16.3%; 3.4% per year). Only 1 subject with incident NAFLD had high liver stiffness (11.1 kPa) suggestive of advanced fibrosis. Metabolic syndrome at baseline was the strongest predictor of incident fatty liver. Incident central obesity developed in 31.0% of subjects with incident fatty liver and 5.6% of those without (p<0.001). No subject with incident fatty liver had regression of impaired fasting glucose, which occurred in 51.1% of those without incident fatty liver (p=0.001). CONCLUSIONS: 13.5% of the Hong Kong Chinese adult population develop NAFLD in 3-5 years, but few have severe steatosis or advanced fibrosis. Metabolic syndrome is the most important risk factor of incident NAFLD.

Adverse effects of vitamin D deficiency on outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Vitamin D is an immunomodulator that might be involved in the pathogenesis of viral hepatitis. We investigated the effects of vitamin D deficiency on long-term outcomes of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). METHODS: We performed a prospective cohort study of 426 patients with CHB (65% male; mean age, 41 ± 13 years), who were enrolled from 1997 through 2000. Serum levels of 25-hydroxycholecalciferol (25(OH)D3) were measured on study enrollment (baseline). Patients were followed for 159 ± 46 months until last clinic visit or death; approximately 33% received antiviral therapy during the follow-up period. The primary outcome was a clinical event (hepatocellular carcinoma, complications of cirrhosis, or death). RESULTS: At baseline, the patients' mean serum level of hepatitis B virus DNA was 5.0 ± 2.1 log10 IU/mL; their mean level of 25(OH)D3 was 24.3 ± 9.4 ng/mL, and 348 patients (82%) had vitamin D deficiency (<32 ng/mL). Serum levels of 25(OH)D3 did not correlate with cirrhosis or viral load. Ninety-seven patients (22.8%) developed clinical events by a mean time of 118 ± 60 months after study enrollment. Patients who developed clinical events had lower baseline serum levels of 25(OH)D3 (23.2 ± 10.4 ng/mL) than patients who did not (28.2 ± 9.3 ng/mL, P < .001). Low baseline serum 25(OH)D3 was an independent factor associated with clinical events after adjustment for sex, age, and cirrhosis. The adjusted hazard ratio of vitamin D deficiency for clinical events was 1.90 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.06-2.43; P = .04). The 15-year cumulative incidence rate of clinical events among patients with vitamin D deficiency was 25.5% (95% CI, 23.1%-27.9%), compared with 11.1% (95% CI, 7.4%-14.8%) in patients with normal serum levels of 25(OH)D3. CONCLUSIONS: Vitamin D deficiency is common among patients with CHB and is associated with adverse clinical outcomes.

Prevalence and Severity of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in Non-Obese Patients: A Population Study Using Proton-Magnetic Resonance Spectroscopy.

OBJECTIVES: Some studies suggest that non-obese patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) may have more severe disease. We aim to study the epidemiology and severity of non-obese NAFLD. METHODS: A total of 911 community subjects were randomly recruited from the census database of the Hong Kong Government. Intrahepatic triglycerides (IHTG) and liver fibrosis were assessed by proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy and transient elastography, respectively. The Asian body mass index cutoff of 25 kg/m(2) was used to define non-obese NAFLD. RESULTS: The prevalence of NAFLD was 19.3% in non-obese subjects and 60.5% in obese subjects (P<0.001). Compared with obese NAFLD patients, non-obese NAFLD patients had similar IHTG content (median 9.8% vs. 9.9%; P=0.100) but lower cytokeratin-18 fragments (149 vs. 182 IU/l; P=0.019) and liver stiffness (4.6 vs. 5.6 kPa; P<0.001). The G allele at the patatin-like phospholipase domain-containing protein 3 gene (PNPLA3 rs738409) was more common in non-obese than obese NAFLD patients (78.4% vs. 59.8%; P=0.001). Obesity, high hemoglobin A1c, insulin resistance, hyperferritinemia, and the PNPLA3 G allele were independent factors associated with NAFLD in non-obese subjects. Even among non-obese subjects with normoglycemia, those with NAFLD were more insulin resistant (mean homeostasis model assessment of insulin resistance: 2.0±1.0 vs. 1.1±1.1; P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: One-fifth of the general non-obese Chinese population has NAFLD. Non-obese patients with NAFLD do not have a higher risk of steatohepatitis or advanced fibrosis. Patients with risk factors of advanced fibrosis such as metabolic syndrome and PNPLA3 G allele carriage should be assessed for severe NAFLD.

Noninvasive assessments of liver fibrosis with transient elastography and Hui index predict survival in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The prognostic role of noninvasive assessments of liver fibrosis has been evolving. Our aim was to investigate the prognostic value of liver stiffness measurement (LSM) with transient elastography and serum-based Hui index to predict hepatic events and deaths in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. METHODS: The main prospective cohort included 1555 consecutive CHB patients referred for transient elastography examination; a subgroup of 980 patients underwent follow-up assessments at least 3 years later formed the serial cohort. Cox proportional hazard model was performed to determine the relationship of LSM, Hui index and other clinical variables with hepatic events and deaths. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 69 ± 9 months, 119 patients (7.6%) developed hepatic events or deaths. Hepatic event-free survival was significantly decreased with increasing stages of LSM and Hui index. The 5-year cumulative probability of hepatic event-free survival of patients of Stage 1-7 of LSM were 99.3%, 98.8%, 95.7%, 90.9%, 89.6%, 74.6%, and 50.0%, respectively; that of Stage 1 to 3 of Hui index were 98.2%, 93.1%, and 77.5%, respectively. Independent predictors of hepatic event-free survival were age, baseline LSM, and follow-up Hui index. Serum ALT and body mass index affected the accuracy of prediction by LSM. Patients remained early stages of LSM or Hui index at follow-up visit had better survival compared to those remained at late stages. CONCLUSION: Baseline and change in noninvasive parameters of liver fibrosis, LSM and Hui index, are accurate to predict hepatic event-free survival in CHB patients.

Liver stiffness-based optimization of hepatocellular carcinoma risk score in patients with chronic hepatitis B.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: CU-HCC score is accurate to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, diagnosis of cirrhosis may be incorrect based on ultrasonography, leading to some errors in HCC prediction. This study aimed to evaluate the accuracy of LSM-HCC score, refined from CU-HCC score with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) using transient elastography to predict HCC. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of 1555 consecutive CHB patients referred for transient elastography examination; 1035 and 520 patients randomly assigned to training and validation cohorts, respectively. Clinical cirrhosis of CU-HCC score was substituted by LSM and analyzed with multivariable Cox regression analysis with other parameters. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 69 months, 38 patients (3.7%) in the training cohort and 17 patients (3.4%) in the validation cohort developed HCC. A new LSM-HCC score composed of LSM, age, serum albumin and hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels were derived, which ranges from 0 to 30. Areas under receiver operating characteristic curves of LSM-HCC score were higher than those of CU-HCC score (0.83-0.89 vs. 0.75-0.81). By applying the cutoff value of 11, the score excluded future HCC with high negative predictive value (99.4%-100%) at 5 years. CONCLUSIONS: LSM-HCC score constructed from LSM, age, serum albumin and HBV DNA level is accurate to predict HCC in CHB patients.

Fatty pancreas, insulin resistance, and ß-cell function: a population study using fat-water magnetic resonance imaging.

OBJECTIVES: Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is the most common chronic liver disease. Fatty pancreas has also been described but is difficult to assess. It is now possible to measure pancreatic and liver fat accurately with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). We aimed to define the normal range of pancreatic fat and identify factors associated with fatty pancreas. In addition, the effect of fatty liver and fatty pancreas on insulin resistance (IR) and pancreatic ß-cell function was studied. METHODS: Fat-water MRI and proton-magnetic resonance spectroscopy were performed on 685 healthy volunteers from the general population to measure pancreatic and liver fat, respectively. On the basis of fasting plasma glucose and insulin levels, the IR and ß-cell function were assessed using the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA). RESULTS: Among subjects without significant alcohol consumption or any component of metabolic syndrome, 90% had pancreatic fat between 1.8 and 10.4%. Using the upper limit of normal of 10.4%, 110 (16.1%; 95% confidence interval 13.3-18.8%) subjects had fatty pancreas. On multivariable analysis, high serum ferritin, central obesity, and hypertriglyceridemia were independent factors associated with fatty pancreas. Subjects with both fatty pancreas and fatty liver had higher HOMA-IR than did those with either condition alone. Fatty pancreas was not associated with HOMA-ß after adjusting for liver fat and body mass index. CONCLUSIONS: In all, 16.1% of this community cohort of adult Hong Kong Chinese volunteers had a fatty pancreas by our definition. Central obesity, hypertriglyceridemia, and hyperferritinemia are associated with fatty pancreas. Individuals with fatty pancreas have increased IR.

Targeted hepatitis C screening among ex-injection drug users in the community.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is one of the leading causes of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide. It is highly prevalent among injection drug users (IDUs) but is often undiagnosed because they represent an underprivileged group that faces multiple barriers to medical care. Here, we report the results of the New Life New Liver Project, which provides targeted HCV screening and education for ex-IDUs in the community. METHODS: Patients were recruited through the social worker networks and referrals by fellow ex-IDUs, and rapid diagnosis was based on point-of-care anti-HCV testing at rehabilitation centers. RESULTS: From 2009 to 2012, we served 234 subjects. One hundred thirty (56%) subjects were anti-HCV positive. The number needed to screen to detect one patient with positive anti-HCV was 1.8 (95% confidence interval, 1.6-2.0). However, only 69 (53%) HCV patients attended subsequent follow-up at regional hospitals, and 26 (20%) received antiviral therapy. Patients who attended follow-up were older, had higher education level and more active disease as evidenced by higher alanine aminotransferase, HCV RNA, and liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography. CONCLUSIONS: Targeted screening in ex-IDUs is effective in identifying patients with HCV infection in the community. Improvement in the referral system and introduction of interferon-free regimens are needed to increase treatment uptake.