Presence and extent of histological tumour necrosis is an adverse prognostic factor in papillary type 1 but not in papillary type 2 renal cell carcinoma.

AIMS: To date, only limited information is available on the prognostic significance of the presence and extent of histological tumour necrosis with regard to papillary renal cell carcinoma (RCC) types 1 and 2 subclassification. Thus, the aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of these pathological features on the clinical outcome in papillary subtypes. METHODS AND RESULTS: The influence of histological tumour necrosis on the clinical outcome in 177 patients with papillary RCC was evaluated. For papillary subtype 1, the presence of histological tumour necrosis was an independent negative prognostic factor for disease-free survival (P = 0.039), and a greater extent of necrosis (>20%) was significantly associated with both poor disease-free and overall survival (P = 0.033 and P = 0.041, respectively). Regarding papillary subtype 2, neither the presence nor extent of histological tumour necrosis was a statistically significant negative prognostic factor. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that the presence and extent of histological tumour necrosis are independent prognosticators in papillary RCC subtype 1, but not in papillary subtype 2. Thus, previously reported conflicting data regarding the prognostic impact of tumour necrosis in papillary RCC might be explained, in part, by heterogeneous subtypes.

Comparison of the 2002 and 2010 TNM classification systems regarding outcome prediction in clear cell and papillary renal cell carcinoma.

AIMS: A novel version of the tumour-node-metastasis (TNM) classification system for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) was introduced in 2010, although the prognostic significance with regard to different histological subtypes has not been explored. Therefore, the aim of our study was to compare the predictive ability of the 2002 and 2010 versions of the TNM classification system for clear cell and papillary RCC. METHODS AND RESULTS: Data from 2263 consecutive clear cell and 309 papillary RCC patients, operated at a single tertiary academic centre, were evaluated. According to TNM 2010, statistically significant differences for cancer-specific survival (CSS) were observed for pT1a versus pT1b (P < 0.001) and pT3a versus pT3b (P < 0.004) in clear cell RCC; and pT1b versus pT2a (P = 0.002) and pT3b versus pT3c (P = 0.046) in papillary RCC. The c-index for CSS in clear cell RCC was 0.74 and 0.73, and in papillary RCC 0.79 and 0.78, for the 2002 and 2010 versions of the TNM classification system, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: According to our data, the predictive ability of the 2010 version of the TNM classification system regarding CSS is not superior to the 2002 version, either in clear cell or in papillary RCC.

Tumour-associated macrophages might represent a favourable prognostic indicator in patients with papillary renal cell carcinoma.

AIMS: Tumour-associated macrophages (TAM) have been reported to be regulators of progression in various human cancers. We evaluated the prognostic relevance of TAM in a large series of patients with papillary renal cell carcinoma (PRCC). METHODS AND RESULTS: The impact of TAM on cancer-specific survival (CSS) in 177 patients with PRCC was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test. A multivariate Cox regression analysis was performed with respect to CSS. The presence of TAM was noted in 112 of 177 (63%) tumours and was associated statistically significantly with favourable pathological parameters, including low pathological T stage, node-negative tumours, low tumour grade, absence of vascular invasion and papillary subtype (all P < 0.05), respectively. Five-year CSS probabilities for patients with TAM-positive tumours were 93.5%, compared with 72.5% in patients with TAM-negative tumours, respectively (P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed node-positive tumours, distant metastases and UICC stage (I versus II-IV) as independent predictors of death from PRCC, whereas the presence of TAM was associated independently with favourable outcome (hazard ratio = 0.45, 95% confidence interval 0.24-0.84, P = 0.012). CONCLUSIONS: The presence of TAM was shown independently to reduce the risk of death from cancer by 55%. The presence of TAM should therefore become part of routine pathology reporting in PRCC.

Predictive ability of the 2002 and 2010 versions of the Tumour-Node-Metastasis classification system regarding metastasis-free, cancer-specific and overall survival in a European renal cell carcinoma single-centre series.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the predictive ability of the Tumour-Node-Metastasis (TNM) classification systems for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) using three different endpoints: metastasis-free (MFS); overall (OS); and cancer-specific survival (CSS). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from 2739 consecutive patients with RCC, who underwent surgery at a single academic centre, were evaluated using multivariate Cox proportional models, Harrell's concordance (c)-index and by applying decision curve analysis (DCA) with regard to MFS, OS and CSS. RESULTS: According to TNM 2010, significant differences for MFS were observed for pT1a vs pT1b, pT1b vs pT2a, pT3a vs pT3b and pT3b vs pT3c stages, respectively (all P < 0.05). With regard to OS, significant differences could be observed in pT1a vs pT1b and pT3a vs pT3b stages, respectively (all P < 0.05). The c-index for CSS, OS and MFS was slightly higher for the 2002 than for the 2010 version of the TNM classification system. Non-inferiority of the 2002 TNM system is supported by the results of the DCA. CONCLUSION: According to our data, the predictive ability of the 2010 version of the TNM classification system regarding three different clinical endpoints is not superior to the 2002 version of this staging system.

Obesity is associated with worse oncological outcomes in patients treated with radical cystectomy.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association between body mass index (BMI) and oncological outcomes in patients after radical cystectomy (RC) for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB) in a large multi-institutional series. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data were collected from 4118 patients treated with RC and pelvic lymphadenectomy for UCB. Patients receiving preoperative chemotherapy or radiotherapy were excluded. Univariable and multivariable models tested the effect of BMI on disease recurrence, cancer-specific mortality and overall mortality. BMI was analysed as a continuous and categorical variable (<25 vs 25-29 vs ≥30 kg/m(2)). RESULTS: Median BMI was 28.8 kg/m(2) (interquartile range 7.9); 25.3% had a BMI <25 kg/m(2), 32.5% had a BMI between 25 and 29.9 kg/m(2), and 42.2% had a BMI ≥30 kg/m(2). Patients with a higher BMI were older (P < 0.001), had higher tumour grade (P < 0.001), and were more likely to have positive soft tissue surgical margins (P = 0.006) compared with patients with lower BMI. In multivariable analyses that adjusted for the effects of standard clinicopathological features, BMI >30 was associated with higher risk of disease recurrence (hazard ratio (HR) 1.67, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.46-1.91, P < 0.001), cancer-specific mortality (HR 1.43, 95% CI 1.24-1.66, P < 0.001), and overall mortality (HR 1.81, CI 1.60-2.05, P < 0.001). Themain limitation is the retrospective design of the study. CONCLUSIONS: Obesity is associated with worse cancer-specific outcomes in patients treated with RC for UCB. Focusing on patient-modifiable factors such as BMI may have significant individual and public health implications in patients with invasive UCB.

Assessing the accuracy and generalizability of the preoperative and postoperative Karakiewicz nomograms for renal cell carcinoma: results from a multicentre European and US study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the accuracy and generalizability of the pre- and postoperative Karakiewicz nomograms for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with renal cell carcinoma (RCC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: This retrospective study included 3231 patients from European and US centres, who were treated by radical or partial nephrectomy for RCC between 1992 and 2010. Prognostic scores for each patient were calculated and the primary endpoint was CSS. Discriminating ability was assessed by Harrell's c-index for censored data. The 'validation by calibration' method proposed by Van Houwelingen was used for checking the calibration of covariate effects. Calibration was graphically explored. RESULTS: Local and systemic symptoms were present in 23.2% and 9.1% of the patients, respectively. The median follow-up (FU) was 49 months. At the last FU, 408 cancer-related deaths were recorded, Kaplan-Meier estimates of CSS (with 95% confidence intervals [CIs]) at 5 and 10 years were 0.86 (0.84-0.87) and 0.77 (0.75-0.80), respectively. Both nomograms discriminated well. Stratified c-indices for CSS were 0.784 (95% CI 0.753-0.814) for the preoperative nomogram, and 0.842 (95% CI 0.816-0.867) for the postoperative one, with a significant difference between the two values (P < 0.001). The covariate-based predictions on our data for both nomograms were valid. The calibration plots showed no relevant departures from ideal predictions. CONCLUSIONS: The results suggest that the postoperative Karakiewicz nomogram discriminates substantially better than the preoperative one. These nomogram-based predictions may be used as benchmark data for pretreatment and postoperative decision-making in patients at various stages of RCC.

Does preoperative platelet count and thrombocytosis play a prognostic role in patients undergoing nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma? Results of a comprehensive retrospective series.

PURPOSE: To evaluate the still controversially discussed prognostic role of preoperative platelet level (PPL) and thrombocytosis (TC) in patients who undergo surgery for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) based on the largest patient series reported to date. METHODS: A total of 3,139 patients, who underwent radical or nephron-sparing nephrectomy at four centres, were subdivided based on a threshold for preoperative platelets of 400 × 10(9) cells/L. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses were applied to determine the prognostic influence of PPL and TC on cancer-specific survival (CSS) for patients with localized and metastatic disease at presentation. RESULTS: Group 1 (PPL ≤ 400/nl) and Group 2 (PPL > 400/nl) included 2,862 (91 %) and 277 patients (9 %), respectively. With a median follow-up (FU) of 69.5 months (IQR: 35-105), CSS of all patients after 5 years was 84.6 % in Group 1 versus 53.4 % in Group 2 (p < 0.001). At multivariable analysis, TC (HR:1.337; p = 0.007) and continuous PPL (HR:1.001; p = 0.002) independently predicted a decreased survival. However, integration of these parameters into multivariable models for the entire study group and for patients with localized tumours did only result in marginal improvement of the model quality (0.66 and 1.04 %, respectively). Interestingly, neither TC (p = 0.257) nor PPL (p = 0.132) significantly influenced survival in M1 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Preoperative TC turned out an independent predictor for decreased CSS in patients undergoing surgery for localized RCC. However, significant improvement of multivariable models comprising standard clinical and pathological parameters by the inclusion of TC is not achieved. In metastatic disease, TC did not reveal an independent influence on CSS.

Prognostic value of the Leibovich prognosis score supplemented by vascular invasion for clear cell renal cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We assessed whether supplementing the Leibovich prognosis score with vascular invasion would improve prognostic value to predict metastatic disease in patients with nonmetastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated the pathology records of 1,754 patients with nonmetastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma treated with surgery between 1984 and 2006 at a single tertiary academic center. The Leibovich prognosis score was supplemented by additional scoring for vascular invasion. Metastasis-free survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method for each score category. A Cox regression model was used for multivariate testing. Predictive accuracy was determined by the Harrell concordance index and decision curve analysis. RESULTS: Median followup was 84 months. Ten-year metastasis-free survival probability for a score of 0 to 1 and 2 to 8 or greater was 95%, 83%, 78%, 81%, 69%, 51%, 15% and 13%, respectively. The concordance index was 0.792 compared to 0.778 from our external validation of the Leibovich prognosis score using routine pathological findings (p <0.05). Decision curve analysis also favored the predictive ability of the novel model. CONCLUSIONS: Adding vascular invasion improved the predictive accuracy of our validation data by 1.4% over that of the Leibovich prognosis score. Patients with a score of 7 or greater had a more than 85% probability of metastatic disease at 10 years. Thus, they could be considered candidates for adjuvant treatment trials.

Risk stratification of organ confined bladder cancer after radical cystectomy using cell cycle related biomarkers.

PURPOSE: We tested whether assessing the expression of cell cycle related proteins (p53, pRB, p21 and p27) could predict clinical outcomes after radical cystectomy in patients with organ confined urothelial carcinoma of the bladder. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Our study included a development cohort of 272 patients and an external testing cohort of 52 patients with chemotherapy naïve pT1-2N0M0 urothelial carcinoma of the bladder treated with radical cystectomy. Immunohistochemical staining of p53, p27, p21 and pRB was performed on the development cohort of 272 patients and the external testing cohort of 52 patients. RESULTS: Overall 260 (80.2%) patients had altered expression of at least 1 molecular marker and 105 (32.4%), 95 (29.3%), 44 (13.6%) and 16 (4.9%) had 1 to 4 altered molecular markers, respectively. Addition of the number of altered molecular markers increased the predictive accuracy of the base model for disease recurrence and cancer specific mortality by 15.6% and 14.8%, respectively (p <0.001). The base model included age, gender, pT1 vs pT2 stage, grade, number of lymph nodes removed, lymphovascular invasion and concomitant carcinoma in situ. The combination of molecular markers yielded a predictive accuracy superior to that of any single molecular marker. We developed nomograms for the prediction of recurrence-free and cancer specific survival. CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of the number of altered cell cycle regulatory proteins in the cystectomy specimen improves the prediction of urothelial carcinoma of the bladder recurrence and survival in patients with organ confined disease. A combination of multiple markers is needed to capture the complex biological behavior of urothelial carcinoma of the bladder.

Prognostic value of extranodal extension and other lymph node parameters in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

PURPOSE: We assessed the prognostic value of extranodal extension and other lymph node parameters in a large multicenter cohort of patients with lymph node metastasis after radical nephroureterectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the records of 222 patients with lymph node metastasis treated with radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma without neoadjuvant therapy. Each lymph node metastasis was microscopically evaluated for extranodal extension. RESULTS: A median of 4 lymph nodes (IQR 8) was removed. Two lymph nodes (IQR 2) were positive. Lymph node density was 51.3% (IQR 71.7%). Overall 110 patients (49.5%) had extranodal extension, which was associated with more advanced pT stage (p = 0.026). On multivariable analysis extranodal extension was associated with disease recurrence (p = 0.01) and cancer specific mortality (p = 0.013). When stratified by a 30% cutoff, lymph node density was associated with disease recurrence and cancer specific mortality on univariable but not multivariable analysis (p = 0.048 and 0.049, respectively). Adding extranodal extension to a multivariable model including pT stage and tumor architecture improved predictive accuracy for disease recurrence from 70.3% to 74.5% (p <0.001). Adding extranodal extension to a multivariable model including age, pT stage and tumor architecture improved predictive accuracy for cancer specific mortality from 70.6% to 74.4% (p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Extranodal extension is a powerful predictor of clinical outcomes in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma with lymph node metastasis. While other lymph node parameters seem to have limited clinical value, extranodal extension could help risk stratify patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma and lymph node metastasis for better counseling and clinical trial design.

Decision curve analysis assessing the clinical benefit of NMP22 in the detection of bladder cancer: secondary analysis of a prospective trial.

OBJECTIVE: • To employ decision curve analysis to determine the impact of nuclear matrix protein 22 (NMP22) on clinical decision making in the detection of bladder cancer using data from a prospective trial. PATIENTS AND METHODS: • The study included 1303 patients at risk for bladder cancer who underwent cystoscopy, urine cytology and measurement of urinary NMP22 levels. • We constructed several prediction models to estimate risk of bladder cancer. The base model was generated using patient characteristics (age, gender, race, smoking and haematuria); cytology and NMP22 were added to the base model to determine effects on predictive accuracy. • Clinical net benefit was calculated by summing the benefits and subtracting the harms and weighting these by the threshold probability at which a patient or clinician would opt for cystoscopy. RESULTS: • In all, 72 patients were found to have bladder cancer (5.5%). In univariate analyses, NMP22 was the strongest predictor of bladder cancer presence (predictive accuracy 71.3%), followed by age (67.5%) and cytology (64.3%). • In multivariable prediction models, NMP22 improved the predictive accuracy of the base model by 8.2% (area under the curve 70.2-78.4%) and of the base model plus cytology by 4.2% (area under the curve 75.9-80.1%). • Decision curve analysis revealed that adding NMP22 to other models increased clinical benefit, particularly at higher threshold probabilities. CONCLUSIONS: • NMP22 is a strong, independent predictor of bladder cancer. • Addition of NMP22 improves the accuracy of standard predictors by a statistically and clinically significant margin. • Decision curve analysis suggests that integration of NMP22 into clinical decision making helps avoid unnecessary cystoscopies, with minimal increased risk of missing a cancer.

Prognostic role of ECOG performance status in patients with urothelial carcinoma of the upper urinary tract: an international study.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prognostic role of ECOG Performance status (ECOG-PS) in a large multi-institutional international cohort of patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of 427 patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy at five international institutions in Asia, Europe and Northern America were collected retrospectively from 1987 to 2008. Logistic and Cox regression models were used for univariable and multivariable analyses. RESULTS: ECOG-PS was 0 in 272 of 427 (64%) patients. The median follow-up of the whole cohort was 32 months. The five-year recurrence-free (RFS), cancer-specific (CSS) and overall (OS) survival estimates were 71.7%, 74.9% and 68.5%, respectively, in patients with ECOG-PS 0 compared with 60.1%, 67.8%, and 51.4% respectively, in patients with ECOG-PS ≥1 (P value 0.08 for RFS, 0.43 for CSS, and <0.001 for OS, respectively). On multivariable Cox regression analyses, ECOG-PS was not an independent predictor of either RFS (hazard ratio 1.4; P = 0.107) or CSS (hazard ratio 1.2; P = 0.426) but was an independent predictor of OS (hazard ratio 1.5; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: In this large multicentre international study, ECOG-PS was not significantly associated with RFS and CSS. Conversely we find a strong association with survival 1-month after surgery and OS. Further research is needed to ascertain the additive prognostic role of ECOG-PS in well-designed prospective multicentre studies.

Prognostic value of insulin-like growth factor II mRNA binding protein 3 in patients treated with radical prostatectomy.

UNLABELLED: Study Type - Prognosis (case series) Level of Evidence 4 What's known on the subject? and What does the study add? Insulin-like growth factor II mRNA binding protein 3 (IMP3) is associated with poor outcomes in a variety of malignancies. The role of IMP3 in protate cancer remains poorly understood. IMP3 expression was associated with features of aggressive biology and aggressive prostate cancer recurrence after surgery. Although IMP3 is differentially expressed in patients with features of biologically aggressive prostate cancer, it does not have independent prognostic value in patients treated with RP. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the association of insulin-like growth factor II mRNA binding protein 3 (IMP3) with pathological features and outcomes in patients treated with radical prostatectomy (RP). PATIENTS AND METHODS: Immunohistochemical staining for IMP3 was performed on archival tissue microarray specimens from 232 consecutive patients treated with RP for clinically localized disease. None of the patients received neoadjuvant or adjuvant radiation or hormone therapy. IMP3 expression was histologically categorized as normal or abnormal. Disease recurrence was classified as aggressive if metastases were present, post-recurrence prostate-specific antigen (PSA) doubling time was less than 10 months, or if the patients failed to respond to salvage local radiation therapy. RESULTS: The median follow-up was 69.8 months (interquartile range [IQR]: 40.1-99.5). IMP3 expression was abnormal in 42 (18.1%) of 232 patients. IMP3 expression was associated with extracapsular extension (P= 0.020), seminal vesicle invasion (P= 0.024), lymphovascular invasion (P= 0.036) and a high pathological Gleason score (P= 0.009). The 5-year PSA recurrence-free survival for IMP3-negative patients was 83% (standard error [SE]= 3) vs 67% (SE = 8) in IMP3-positive patients (log-rank test, P= 0.015). In a multivariable analysis that adjusted for the effects of surgical margins, extracapsular extension and seminal vesicle invasion, PSA (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.04, P= 0.013), lymph node metastasis (HR: 16.7, P < 0.001) and a high pathological Gleason score (HR 4.3, P= 0.008) were significantly associated with PSA recurrence-free survival, whereas IMP3 expression was not (P= 0.11). Similarly, IMP3 expression was only associated with aggressive recurrence (HR 3.2, P= 0.006). CONCLUSION: IMP3 expression is abnormal in approximately one-fifth of prostate cancers. Although IMP3 is differentially expressed in patients with features of biologically aggressive prostate cancer, it does not have an independent prognostic value in patients treated with RP.

Novel therapeutics for the management of castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC).

Androgen-deprivation therapy is the initial treatment for metastatic prostate cancer. Although highly effective, all men who live long enough will eventually experience disease progression and develop castration resistance. Patients who have castration-resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) have a median survival of ≈1-3 years. When evaluating novel therapies for CRPC, one must consider the endpoints measured for determination of response. We will discuss PSA, circulating tumour cells, progression-free survival, overall survival, and other endpoints used in clinical trials. Docetaxel and sipuleucel-T are currently the preferred first-line treatment options for patients with CRPC; cabazitaxel is a new option for patients after docetaxel failure. Patients with CRPC historically have very poor survival, underscoring the unmet need for novel therapeutics. Although many agents appear promising, well-designed randomized phase III trials are necessary to establish their impact on survival and health-related quality of life. Promising new therapies include hormonal agents, such as abiraterone and MDV3100, as well as other novel immunotherapeutics and anti-prostate-specific membrane antigen therapies. In the future, we anticipate therapies tailored to individual patients' malignancies using various molecular analyses.

International validation of the prognostic value of subclassification for AJCC stage pT3 upper tract urothelial carcinoma of the renal pelvis.

UNLABELLED: What's known on the subject? and What does the study add? Tumour stage is a powerful predictor of clinical outcomes and the most important factor driving clinical decision-making after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) in upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC). It has been suggested that renal pelvic pT3 subclassification into microscopic infiltration of the renal parenchyma (pT3a) versus macroscopic infiltration or invasion of peripelvic adipose tissue (pT3b) has strong prognostic value. This is an external validation study of the prognostic value of pT3 subclassification of renal pelvic UTUC in a large international cohort of patients treated with RNU. pT3b UTUC is associated with features of aggressive tumour biology, disease recurrence and cancer-specific mortality. However, pT3 subclassification is not an independent predictor of clinical outcomes. OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the prognostic value of subclassification of pT3 renal pelvic upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) in a large international cohort of patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy (RNU). PATIENTS AND METHODS: The RNU specimens with pT3 UTUC of the renal pelvis from 284 patients at 11 centres located in Asia, North America and Europe were retrospectively evaluated. All specimens were reviewed by genitourinary pathologists at each institution. Tumours were categorized as pT3a (microscopic infiltration of the renal parenchyma) or pT3b (macroscopic infiltration of the renal parenchyma and/or infiltration of peripelvic adipose tissue). RESULTS: Overall, 148 (52%) tumours were classified as pT3a and 136 (48%) as pT3b. Patients with pT3b disease were more likely to have high-grade tumours and sessile tumour architecture (all P ≤ 0.02). Patients with pT3b tumours were at increased risk of disease recurrence (5-year estimates: 55% versus 42%, P = 0.012) and cancer-specific mortality (CSM) (5-year estimates: 48% versus 40%, P = 0.04). Lymph node status, tumour architecture and tumour grade were independently associated with disease recurrence, whereas lymph node status, tumour architecture and lymphovascular invasion were independently associated with CSM. Subclassification of pT3 tumours was not associated with recurrence or CSM in multivariable analyses. CONCLUSION: Patients with pT3b UTUC were more likely to have tumours with aggressive pathological features and were at higher risk of disease recurrence and CSM after RNU compared with patients with pT3a disease. However, the pT3 subclassification did not remain an independent predictor of disease recurrence or CSM after controlling for tumour grade, lymph node status, tumour architecture and lymphovascular invasion.

Multicenter validation of the prognostic value of patient age in patients treated with radical cystectomy.

PURPOSE: Small studies have suggested that older patients have worse outcomes following radical cystectomy (RC) for urothelial carcinoma of the bladder (UCB). We evaluated the association of patient age with clinical outcomes in a large multi-institutional RC series. METHODS: Data were collected from 4,429 patients treated with RC and lymphadenectomy for UCB without neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Age at RC was analyzed both as a continuous and categorical variable. RESULTS: Higher age at RC, analyzed as a continuous or categorical variable, was associated with advanced pathologic stage (P < 0.001), higher tumor grade (P = 0.045), presence of lymphovascular invasion (P = 0.018), and positive soft-tissue surgical margin status (P = 0.004). Elderly patients were less likely to receive postoperative chemotherapy (P < 0.001). In multivariable analyses, higher age was associated with disease recurrence, cancer-specific, and overall mortality (P < 0.001). Patients ≥ 80 years had a significantly greater risk of cancer-specific mortality than patients <50 years (HR 1.763, P < 0.001). Age minimally improved the accuracy of a base model that included standard pathologic features for prediction of disease recurrence (+0.2-0.3%) and cancer-specific survival (+0.3%). Conversely, age improved the predictive accuracy for overall survival by a sizeable margin (+4.2-4.5%). CONCLUSIONS: This large external validation study confirms that advanced patient age is minimally but significantly associated with worse prognosis after RC. Nevertheless, a large proportion of elderly patients benefitted from RC with curative intent. We need to improve our understanding of the reasons for the worse UCB outcomes in this growing segment of the population and to develop strategies to improve cancer care in the elderly.

Assessing the clinical benefit of nuclear matrix protein 22 in the surveillance of patients with nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer and negative cytology: a decision-curve analysis.

BACKGROUND: Several studies have demonstrated that abnormal levels of nuclear matrix protein 22 (NMP22) are associated with bladder cancer and have led to the approval of NMP22 as a urinary biomarker by the US Food and Drug Administration. Nonetheless, the clinical significance of NMP22 remains unclear. The objective of this study was to use decision analysis to determine whether NMP22 improves medical decision-making. METHODS: The current study included 2222 patients who had a history of nonmuscle-invasive bladder cancer and current negative cytology. The authors developed models to predict cancer recurrence or progression to muscle-invasive disease using voided NMP22 levels, cystoscopy, age, and sex. Clinical net benefit was calculated by summing the benefits (true-positives), subtracting the harms (false-positives), and weighting these values by the threshold probability at which a patient or clinician would opt for cytoscopy. RESULTS: After cystoscopy, 581 patients (26%) had cancer identified. The NMP22 level was associated significantly with bladder cancer recurrence and progression (P < .001 for both). The use of NMP22 in a model with age and sex was associated with better patient outcomes than performing cystoscopy on everyone and produced threshold probabilities > 8% for recurrence and > 3% for progression. Only offering cystoscopy to those who had a risk > 15% reduced the number of cystoscopies by 229 while missing only 25 cancer recurrences per 1000 men with negative cytology. The current study was limited by its multicenter design. CONCLUSIONS: For clinicians who would perform a cystoscopy at a threshold of 5% for recurrence or 1% for progression, NMP22 did not aid clinical decision-making. For less risk-averse clinicians who would only perform a cystoscopy at a threshold probability >thinsp;8% for recurrence or > 3% for progression, NMP22 helped to indicate which patients required cystoscopy and which could be spared this procedure.

External validation of the Leibovich prognosis score for nonmetastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma at a single European center applying routine pathology.

PURPOSE: The Leibovich prognosis score was developed as a prognostic tool for metastatic disease after radical nephrectomy for clear cell renal cell carcinoma using pathology review. However, this scoring system has never been externally validated. We externally validated its prognostic accuracy using routine pathology reports. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively evaluated data from the routine pathology records of 1,754 consecutive patients with nonmetastatic clear cell renal cell carcinoma operated on between 1984 and 2006 at a single tertiary academic center. Clear cell renal cell carcinoma cases were categorized as 0 to 11 by the Leibovich prognosis score and further stratified into low, intermediate and high risk groups. Metastasis-free survival was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method. To evaluate the prognostic impact a multivariate Cox regression model was used and prognostic accuracy was determined using Harrell's concordance index. RESULTS: Median followup was 82 months (IQR 39-142). Metastasis developed in 375 of the 1,754 patients (21.4%). The 10-year metastasis-free survival rate for Leibovich scores in our study ranged from 95% for scores of 0 and 1 to 12% for scores of 8 or greater. Pathological T stage, N stage, low tumor grade, large tumor diameter and histological tumor necrosis were independent predictors of metastasis-free survival (p <0.001). Harrell's concordance index was 0.778. CONCLUSIONS: Risk prediction by the Leibovich prognosis score using routine pathological results was comparable to that of the original data based on pathology review. Our data support using the Leibovich prognosis score in clinical practice for followup decisions and patient selection for adjuvant treatment trials.

Obesity adversely impacts disease specific outcomes in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

PURPOSE: The relationship between body mass index and urothelial carcinoma is poorly understood. We investigated the association between body mass index and oncological outcomes in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the records of 520 patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma. Univariate Cox regression analysis was done to evaluate estimated recurrence-free, cancer specific and overall survival. We created a multivariate model based on preoperative and postoperative characteristics. RESULTS: Median patient body mass index was 27.9 kg/m(2) (IQR 6.7). Patients with a higher body mass index were more likely to have infiltrative architecture (p <0.001) and lymphovascular invasion (p = 0.012). In the preoperative model body mass index 25 to 29 (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.3-3.8, p = 0.003) and 30 kg/m(2) or greater (HR 3.72, 95% CI 2.2-6.3, p <0.001) was associated with disease recurrence. Body mass index 30 kg/m(2) or greater (HR 4.24, 95% CI 2.4-7.5, p <0.001) was associated with cancer specific death. In the postoperative model tumor stage (p <0.001), positive lymph nodes (HR 2.52, 95% CI 1.59-4.0, p <0.001), and body mass index 25 to 29 (HR 2.18, 95% CI 1.27-3.73, p = 0.005) and 30 kg/m(2) or greater (HR 3.52, 95% CI 2.08-5.95, p <0.001) were associated with disease recurrence. Tumor stage (p <0.001), positive lymph nodes (HR 3.1, 95% CI 1.84-5.21, p <0.001) and body mass index 30 kg/m(2) or greater (HR 4.13, 95% CI 2.32-7.36, p <0.001) were associated with worse cancer specific and overall survival. CONCLUSIONS: Higher body mass index is associated with worse recurrence-free, cancer specific and overall survival in patients treated with radical nephroureterectomy for upper tract urothelial carcinoma. Improving oncological outcomes by also focusing on patient modifiable factors such as body mass index has significant individual and public health implications in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma.

Soluble gp130 regulates prostate cancer invasion and progression in an interleukin-6 dependent and independent manner.

PURPOSE: Soluble gp130 is a regulator of interleukin-6/soluble interleukin-6 receptor signaling that influences prostate cancer progression. We determined the association of soluble gp130 with prostate cancer prognosis, invasiveness and epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 423 preoperative and 206 postoperative blood samples were available from patients treated with radical prostatectomy for clinically localized prostate cancer. Prostate cancer cell lines were used for in vitro studies. Plasma soluble gp130, interleukin-6 and soluble interleukin-6 receptor levels were measured using enzyme immunoassay. In vitro invasion assays and quantification of E-cadherin expression were done using modified Boyden chambers and Western blot, respectively. RESULTS: In patients treated with radical prostatectomy higher preoperative plasma soluble gp130 was significantly associated with higher biopsy and pathological Gleason sum, extraprostatic extension, seminal vesicle invasion, lymph node metastasis and biochemical recurrence. In a subset of 206 patients postoperative soluble gp130 levels were 18% lower than preoperative levels (p = 0.037). Soluble gp130 levels weakly correlated with preoperative plasma interleukin-6 and soluble interleukin-6 receptor levels. In vitro soluble gp130 alone increased the invasiveness of androgen responsive prostate cancer cells and induced a significant decrease in E-cadherin. In patients higher plasma soluble gp130 was associated with features of biologically aggressive prostate cancer. The decrease in postoperative plasma soluble gp130 after surgery suggests that the higher blood levels of soluble gp130 are produced by tumor cells. CONCLUSIONS: Data suggest that soluble gp130 has a role in prostate cancer invasion in an interleukin-6 dependent and independent manner.