Educational influences on early retirement through disability in Ireland.

BACKGROUND: Studies suggest a higher prevalence of early retirement through disability among older people with lower educational attainment. There have been no national studies in Ireland on the factors that affect early withdrawal from the labour force through disability or long-term illness. AIMS: To identify and analyse potential impacts of education on early retirement through disability in the over 50 age cohort of the Irish Labour force. METHODS: We analysed the educational attainment of participants using The Irish Longitudinal Study of Ageing (TILDA). The group of interest were those aged 50-75 who had retired early. The sample was dichotomized on disability. Examination of interviewer-recorded information on background influences determining early retirement decisions included the following factors: age, gender, education, family and socio-economic circumstances, including parental education. RESULTS: A total of 334 of 1179 study subjects (28%) retired early through disability. Comparison of those retired early with and without disability showed a significantly higher frequency of lower educational attainment both personally and for parents. Men with lower educational attainment and from a non-professional background were more likely to retire early through disability. Non-professional disabled respondents with less well-educated parents had lower educational attainment than non-disabled respondents. CONCLUSIONS: Among TILDA participants, educational attainment appears to influence early retirement through disability. The sector of previous employment was also a significant factor. Behaviour, lifestyle and employment choice are influenced by educational level, which may affect cognitive ability to process health information. Factors affecting the education-disability relationship could include parental education, employment status and socio-economic characteristics.

Classical Galactosaemia in Ireland: incidence, complications and outcomes of treatment.

Newborn screening for the inborn error of metabolism, classical galactosaemia prevents life-threatening complications in the neonatal period. It does not however influence the development of long-term complications and the complex pathophysiology of this rare disease remains poorly understood. The objective of this study was to report the development of a healthcare database (using Distiller Version 2.1) to review the epidemiology of classical galactosaemia in Ireland since initiation of newborn screening in 1972 and the long-term clinical outcomes of all patients attending the National Centre for Inherited Metabolic Disorders (NCIMD). Since 1982, the average live birth incidence rate of classical galactosaemia in the total Irish population was approximately 1:16,476 births. This reflects a high incidence in the Irish 'Traveller' population, with an estimated birth incidence of 1:33,917 in the non-Traveller Irish population. Despite early initiation of treatment (dietary galactose restriction), the long-term outcomes of classical galactosaemia in the Irish patient population are poor; 30.6 % of patients ≥ 6 yrs have IQs <70, 49.6 % of patients ≥ 2.5 yrs have speech or language impairments and 91.2 % of females ≥ 13 yrs suffer from hypergonadotrophic hypogonadism (HH) possibly leading to decreased fertility. These findings are consistent with the international experience. This emphasizes the requirement for continued clinical research in this complex disorder.

Gastrointestinal diseases: projected burden of care on acute public hospitals.

The burden of care on acute public hospitals pertaining to Diseases of the digestive system and Procedures on the digestive system in Ireland was estimated using hospital discharge data for 2006 and population projections for 2021 and 2031. Age-specific rates derived from 2006 acute hospital discharge data and census figures for the same year were applied to population projections for 2021 and 2031 to estimates the case numbers. In 2031, the number of discharges for Diseases of the digestive system is estimated to increase by 69,978 (60%) while the number of procedures is estimated to increase by 86,228 (65%). For people aged 65+ years, episodes of discharges for diseases of the digestive system are estimated to increase by 38,535 (128%) in 2031 while the number of procedures is estimated to increase by 47,324 (125%). These will significantly increase the burden of care on acute hospitals and the cost of providing care.

Comparison of interferon {gamma} release assays and conventional screening tests before tumour necrosis factor {alpha} blockade in patients with inflammatory arthritis.

OBJECTIVE: To compare the performance of two interferon gamma release assays (IGRAs) and conventional screening tests in patients with inflammatory arthritis undergoing screening for latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) before treatment with anti-tumour necrosis factor alpha (anti-TNFalpha) compounds. METHODS: Successive patients were subjected to conventional LTBI screening, including a tuberculin skin test (TST). The T-SPOT.TB test was performed on all patients and the QuantiFERON-TB Gold test was performed on a large subset. The results of the IGRAs were compared with the results of conventional screening tests. RESULTS: A total 150 patients were evaluated. The majority (57.9%) had rheumatoid arthritis. Previous vaccination with Bacille Calmette-Guerin was confirmed in 82% of patients. No patient had received prior anti-TB treatment. A total of 57 patients (38.0%) had at least one positive conventional risk factor. In contrast, an unequivocally positive T-SPOT.TB test was seen in only 14/143 (9.8%). There was 98.2% agreement between the two IGRAs. Statistically significant associations were found between each of the IGRAs and both TST and risk history, but not chest x-ray (CXR). A positive IGRA result was significantly associated with increased age. TB was not reactivated in any patient during the follow-up period. INTERPRETATION: This study suggests that IGRAs may be useful when screening for LTBI before anti-TNFalpha therapy in patients with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases. The observations reported here also highlight the inadequate performance of CXR as a marker of LTBI.

Incidence of hip fracture in the Republic of Ireland and future projections: a population-based study.

SUMMARY: There are no previously published data for hip fracture incidence rates in the Republic of Ireland. The rates of fracture for the total population aged 50 years and over were 407 and 140 per 100,000 for females and males, respectively. Assuming a stable incidence rate, the absolute number of hip fractures occurring on an annual basis is expected to increase by 100% by the year 2026. Health care providers should accommodate these increases into future strategies. INTRODUCTION: Hip fractures are an important cause of morbidity in the elderly and represent an increasing burden on health service providers. Significant regional and international variation in incidence rates of hip fracture exists. In order for health service providers to be able to commit adequate resources to the care of hip fracture patients, accurate estimates of hip fracture numbers are required now and for the future. To date, there have been no reported incidence rates for hip fracture in the Republic of Ireland. METHODS: We performed a search of the national hospital in-patient enquiry database for all hip fractures occurring in the Republic of Ireland between 2000 and 2004. Population data was obtained from the 2002 national census data. Population projections were made for the years 2016 and 2026 to allow determination of expected hip fracture numbers for those years. RESULTS: The rates of hip fracture in the Irish population aged 50 years and over were 407 and 140 per 100,000 for females and males, respectively. Annual hip fracture numbers are expected to increase by 100% by the year 2026, assuming a stable incidence rate. CONCLUSION: Health service providers should take into account the expected increase in hip fracture numbers when allocating resources for the care of these patients in the mid-term future.

Incidence of hip fractures in Dublin's north inner city.

Hip fractures are an important cause of morbidity and mortality in the elderly and represent an increasing burden on health service providers. There is significant regional and international variation in the incidence rates of such injuries, depending on age, sex and ethnic variations in populations. To date, there are no reported incidence rates for hip fractures in Ireland. Over a five year period, 717 low energy hip fractures were treated in the orthopaedic trauma unit of the Mater Misericordiae hospital. For this population, the female to male ratio was 3.3:1 (549 females and 166 males), the gender specific incidences were 470 per 100,000 and 179 per 100,000 for females and males, respectively. The overall age standardized rate was 341 per 100,000. This study quantifies the burden of hip fracture on a local population. With this knowledge, health service providers should be able to allocate appropriate resources for these patients in terms of acute and step-down care facilities.

Role of rapid virological response in prediction of sustained virological response to Peg-IFN plus ribavirin in HCV / HIV co-infected individuals.

The objective of the study was to evaluate the role of rapid virological response (RVR) in predicting sustained virological response (SVR) rates to hepatitis C virus (HCV) therapy. 65 HIV / HCV co-infected patients commenced HCV treatment per protocol. HIV / HCV patients with a mean CD4 count of 502 were treated for 24-48 weeks depending on genotype. Virological response was assessed at weeks 4 (RVR), 12 [early virological response (EVR)], 24, at end of treatment (EOTR) and 24 weeks post-completion of treatment (SVR). Primary end-point was defined as undetectable HCV RNA at 24 weeks post-treatment completion. Fifty-five per cent of co-infected patients were on highly active anti-retroviral therapy. A majority of patient group were male. 60% of HIV / HCV patients achieved SVR (35% genotype 1 / 4; 77% genotype 2 / 3). 24 HIV / HCV patients achieved undetectable HCV levels compared with baseline by week 4. The positive predictive value (PPV) of RVR at week 4 for subsequent SVR in HIV-HCV co-infected patients was 100%; the negative predictive value (NPV) was 57%. Significant variables associated with SVR were: (i) lower median pre-treatment HCV viral load, (ii) genotype 2 / 3 disease and (iii) achievement of RVR. Independent variables associated with RVR were low pre-treatment HCV viral load and genotype 2 / 3 disease. Achievement of RVR, a negative HCV-PCR, at week 4 of treatment is predictive of SVR in this cohort of patients. This may be used to guide optimal treatment duration in patient groups. More significantly, the data serve to highlight the subgroup of patients who, on achieving RVR, should be actively supported to complete HCV treatment with full dose therapy, especially patients co-infected with G2 / 3 disease for whom 6 months' full dose therapy may be sufficient to obtain a SVR.

Randomized controlled trial of honey versus mupirocin to decolonize patients with nasal colonization of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus.

BACKGROUND: Mupirocin is used specifically for the eradication of nasal meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), but increasing mupirocin resistance restricts its repeated use. The antibacterial effects of manuka honey have been established in vitro; antibacterial activity of other honeys has also been reported. AIM: To describe the learning experience from a randomized controlled trial (RCT) comparing the efficacy of medical-grade honey (MGH) with mupirocin 2% for the eradication of nasal MRSA. METHODS: Patients colonized in the nose with MRSA and age ≥18 years were recruited. Participants received either one or two courses of MGH or mupirocin 2%, three times per day for five consecutive days. FINDINGS: The proportion of patients who were decolonized after one or two courses of treatment was not significantly different between MGH [18/42; 42.8%; 95% confidence interval (CI): 27.7-59.0] and mupirocin 2% (25/44; 56.8%; 95% CI: 41.0-71.7). Non-nasal MRSA colonization was significantly associated with persistent nasal colonization (odds ratio: 5.186; 95% CI: 1.736-5.489; P = 0.003). The rate of new acquisition of mupirocin resistance was 9.75%. CONCLUSION: Although not significant, a decolonization rate of 42.8% for MGH was impressive. Our findings suggest that this strategy, which has the potential to combat antimicrobial resistance, should be assessed in similar but larger studies.

Prognostic significance of c-erbB-2 and estrogen receptor status in human breast cancer.

Using the 21N polyclonal antibody, we immunohistochemically stained 314 primary breast carcinomas to identify those tumors overexpressing the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein and to ascertain the prognostic significance of this expression on disease-free and overall survival. Positive membrane staining was present in 52 (17%) of these carcinomas of which 7 (13%) were ductal carcinomas in situ. There was no significant relationship between c-erbB-2 positivity and (a) age at diagnosis, (b) menopausal status, (c) tumor size, (d) lymph node status, (e) estrogen receptor status, or (f) whether or not the patient had disseminated disease outside the axillary fields. However, c-erbB-2-positive tumors were significantly associated with poorer grade (P = 0.02). Patients who were positive for this oncoprotein had a shorter disease-free survival (P = 0.002) and reduced overall survival (P = 0.0001). Overexpression of this oncoprotein was predictive of a worse prognosis in lymph node-positive disease (P = 0.003) and in patients presenting with grade II tumors (P = 0.001). Stratifying the patients on the basis of estrogen receptor status suggested that c-erbB-2+/estrogen receptor-negative status was predictive of a poorer prognosis when compared with the other subgroups (P less than 0.001). Primary and recurrent tumor tissues were available from 42 of the 314 patients. Identical patterns of c-erbB-2 expression occurred in 95% of cases, arguing against a direct role for c-erbB-2 expression in the process of tumor dissemination. The high incidence of staining in ductal carcinomas in situ suggests that expression of this oncoprotein is an early event in tumorigenesis. Finally, multivariate analysis indicated that the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein was an independent prognostic indicator for overall survival in breast carcinoma patients.

Clinical features of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis according to the El Escorial and Airlie House diagnostic criteria: A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The El Escorial and the revised Airlie House diagnostic criteria for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) classify patients into categories reflecting different levels of diagnostic certainty. We conducted a prospective, population-based study of the natural course of ALS in the Republic of Ireland during a 6-year period to examine the utility of these ALS diagnostic criteria. METHODS: Using data from the Irish ALS Register, we studied the clinical features of all patients diagnosed as having ALS in Ireland throughout their illness. RESULTS: Between 1993 and 1998, 388 patients were diagnosed as having ALS. Forty percent of patients reported bulbar-onset symptoms. Disease progression occurred over time: at last follow-up, 75% of all patients had bulbar signs, compared with 59% at diagnosis. When the El Escorial criteria were applied, more than half of patients (218 [56%]) had definite or probable ALS at diagnosis. Of the 165 possible and suspected ALS cases at diagnosis (trial ineligible), 110 (67%) were trial eligible at last follow-up. Of the 254 patients who had died, 229 (90%) had definite or probable ALS, whereas 25 patients (10%) remained trial ineligible at death. El Escorial category at diagnosis was not a significant prognostic indicator. Use of the Airlie House criteria had no effect on the median time from symptom onset to trial eligibility (12.9 vs 12.8 months). CONCLUSIONS: The El Escorial and Airlie House diagnostic criteria are excessively restrictive. Furthermore, levels of diagnostic certainty cannot be used as prognostic indicators. Arch Neurol. 2000;57:1171-1176

Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis mimic syndromes: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: The Irish ALS Register is a population-based register of the epidemiological characteristics of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in the republic of Ireland. OBJECTIVE: To describe the clinical and demographic details of those patients included in the Irish ALS Register who were incorrectly diagnosed as having ALS (patients who were ultimately rediagnosed as having an "ALS mimic syndrome"). METHODS: The medical records of each patient referred to the register are routinely reviewed and, where possible, patients are examined by our group during their illness. RESULTS: Between January 1, 1993, and December 31, 1997, 32 patients (representing 7.3% of 437 referrals) were rediagnosed as having a condition other than ALS. The median age at onset for these 32 patients was 56.0 years (range, 19.5-85.8 years) for men and 53.5 years (range, 39.5-70.4 years) for women. Twenty-nine patients (91%) presented with symptoms referable to the limbs, and the remainder presented with symptoms involving the bulbar musculature. Multifocal motor neuropathy was the most common condition mistaken for ALS, accounting for 7 cases (22%), followed closely by Kennedy disease (4 cases [13%]). Factors leading to diagnostic revision included evolution of atypical symptoms, results of specific investigations, and failure of symptoms to progress. Twenty-seven (84%) of the patients with an ALS mimic syndrome fulfilled the El Escorial criteria for either "suspected" or "possible" ALS, 4 (13%) met the criteria for probable ALS, and 1 (3%) had definite ALS. CONCLUSIONS: The application of the El Escorial diagnostic criteria may facilitate early recognition of non-ALS cases. Misdiagnosis of ALS remains a common clinical problem despite the increased availability of investigations and a greater awareness among neurologists of potential diagnostic pitfalls.

Incidence and prevalence of ALS in Ireland, 1995-1997: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: We conducted a prospective, population-based study of ALS in the Republic of Ireland for the 3-year period 1995 to 1997. METHODS: To ensure complete case ascertainment, multiple sources of information were used, including consultant neurologists, neurophysiologists, primary care physicians, and the Irish Motor Neuron Disease Association. The El Escorial diagnostic criteria for ALS were applied to all cases enrolled on the register and each patient was regularly followed up during his or her illness. RESULTS: Between January 1, 1995, and December 31, 1997, 231 patients were diagnosed with possible, probable, or definite ALS, including 133 men (57.6%) and 98 women (42.4%). The average annual incidence rate was 2.1 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI, 1.8 to 2.4), and 2.8 per 100,000 person-years for the population older than 15 years (95% CI, 2.4 to 3.1). The incidence rate was higher for men, being 2.5 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI, 2.0 to 2.9), than for women, at 1.8 per 100,000 person-years (95% CI, 1.5 to 2.2), and increased with age for both sexes. The median age at onset was 64.2 years for men and 67.8 years for women. On December 31, 1996, the crude prevalence was 4.7 per 100,000 of the total population (95% CI, 4.0 to 5.5), and 6.2 per 100,000 for the population older than 15 years (95% CI, 5.3 to 7.1). Adjusting to the 1996 Irish population as standard, the incidence of ALS in Ireland during the 3-year study period is the third highest reported to date. CONCLUSIONS: There was a trend toward a higher incidence of ALS in the northwestern region of Ireland, although the numbers of cases involved were small and further study is required.

Late effects of paralytic poliomyelitis in Olmsted County, Minnesota.

We identified a cohort of 300 individuals who had paralytic polio between 1935 and 1955. All lived in Olmsted County, Minnesota. From the 247 survivors, we selected 50 subjects for detailed historical, functional, psychological, clinical, and electrophysiologic evaluation. Sixty-four percent of these 50 survivors complained of new symptoms of muscle pain, fatigue, and weakness after a period of prolonged stability. This led to changes in lifestyle or activity in only 18%. The likelihood of expressing new complaints was not related to present age or interval since polio, and electrophysiologic testing did not distinguish between those with or without new problems. The development of new difficulties in a limb was most strongly predicted by significant paralysis of that limb at the time of the acute illness. Patients with leg weakness were twice as likely to complain of new problems compared to those with arm weakness. Elevated creatine kinase levels were present only in those with new complaints.

Gender differences in the management and outcome of acute myocardial infarction in unselected patients in the thrombolytic era.

This study compares the clinical features, management, and outcome in men and women from a consecutive, unselected series of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) who were admitted to a university cardiac center over a 3-year period. It is a retrospective observational study of 1,059 admissions with AMI identified through the Hospital In-Patient Enquiry (HIPE) registry, validated according to Minnesota Manual criteria, and followed for a period of up to 5 years (median 36 months). Women comprised 40% of all admissions, had a higher hospital mortality (24% vs. 16%, p<0.001), and were less likely to receive thrombolysis (23% vs. 33%, p<0.01), admission to coronary care (65% vs. 77%, p<0.001), or subsequent invasive or noninvasive investigations (55% vs. 63%, p<0.01). However, women with AMI were older than men with AMI (71 vs. 65 years, p<0.001). After adjusting for age, differences that remained significant were prevalence of hypertension (odds ratio [OR] 2.12, 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.56 to 2.88) and cigarette smoking (OR 0.47, 95% CI 0.35 to 0.65), management in coronary care (OR 0.66, 95% CI 0.49 to 0.88), and hospital mortality (OR 1.48, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.04). Excess mortality occurred predominantly in women <65 years old (18% vs. 8%, OR [multivariate] 2.35, 95% CI 1.19 to 4.56), among whom multivariate analysis demonstrated a significantly lower thrombolysis rate (OR 0.48, 95% CI 0.27 to 0.86). In this group, lack of thrombolysis independently predicted hospital mortality (OR 5.37, 95% CI 1.45 to 19.82). Female gender was not an independent predictor of mortality following AMI (OR 1.42, 95% CI 0.90 to 2.26). Thus, among unselected patients, female gender is associated with, but not an independent predictor of, reduced survival after AMI. Gender differences in mortality are greatest in younger patients, who are less likely to receive thrombolysis and in whom lack of thrombolysis is independently associated with mortality after AMI.

Breast cancer screening programmes in 22 countries: current policies, administration and guidelines. International Breast Cancer Screening Network (IBSN) and the European Network of Pilot Projects for Breast Cancer Screening.

BACKGROUND: Currently there are at least 22 countries worldwide where national, regional or pilot population-based breast cancer screening programmes have been established. A collaborative effort has been undertaken by the International Breast Cancer Screening Network (IBSN), an international voluntary collaborative effort administered from the National Cancer Institute in the US for the purposes of producing international data on the policies, funding and administration, and results of population-based breast cancer screening. METHODS: Two surveys conducted by the IBSN in 1990 and 1995 describe the status of population-based breast cancer screening in countries which had or planned to establish breast cancer screening programmes in their countries. The 1990 survey was sent to ten countries in the IBSN and was completed by nine countries. The 1995 survey was sent to and completed by the 13 countries in the organization at that time and an additional nine countries in the European Network. RESULTS: The programmes vary in how they have been organized and have changed from 1990 to 1995. The most notable change is the increase in the number of countries that have established or plan to establish organized breast cancer screening programmes. A second major change is in guidelines for the lower age limit for mammography screening and the use of the clinical breast examination and breast self-examination as additional detection methods. CONCLUSION: As high quality population-based breast cancer screening programmes are implemented in more countries, they will offer an unprecedented opportunity to assess the level of coverage of the population for initial and repeat screening, evaluation of performance, and, in the longer term, outcome of screening in terms of reduction in the incidence of late-stage disease and in mortality.

Management and outcome of acute myocardial infarction in older patients in the thrombolytic era.

OBJECTIVE: Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) is an important cause of mortality and morbidity in older patients. The aim of this study was to determine the proportion of unselected admissions with AMI that is older than 75 years and to examine management and outcomes in this group. DESIGN: An historical cohort study of consecutive unselected admissions with AMI identified using the Hospital In Patient Enquiry (HIPE) database and validated according to MONICA criteria for definite or probable AMI. SETTING: An acute cardiac unit in a university teaching hospital/cardiac tertiary referral center. RESULTS: Of 1059 patients, 606 (57%) were older than 65 years and 309 (29.2%) were older than 75 years. Mean age in this group was 80.5 years. Hospital mortality was almost twice as high as in patients younger than 75 years (28% vs 15%, P < .001), and age was an independent predictor of short- and long-term mortality following AMI. Women constituted a significantly higher proportion of older patients. Family history of AMI and cigarette smoking were less prevalent in older patients. Mean cholesterol was lower and comorbidities were higher. Other baseline characteristics, including previous AMI, did not differ. However older patients were less likely to receive thrombolysis (13% vs 36%, P < .001), aspirin (76% vs 86%, P < .01), or beta-blockers (25% vs 51%, P < .001) and were less likely to undergo cardiac catheterization or revascularization. Only 53% were admitted to coronary care. CONCLUSION: Patients more than age 75 comprise almost one-third of patients with AMI and have a poor prognosis. Although age is an independent predictor of mortality following AMI, suboptimal management may contribute to the high mortality in these patients.

Idiopathic dilated cardiomyopathy: familial prevalence and HLA distribution.

OBJECTIVES: To compare HLA distribution in familial and non-familial dilated cardiomyopathy, because a serum marker that could identify families at risk of developing dilated cardiomyopathy should be of use in screening for the disease. PATIENTS: 100 patients with dilated cardiomyopathy. METHODS: 200 first degree relatives from 56 of the proband families were screened for dilated cardiomyopathy by echocardiography. The HLA profile of the patients with dilated cardiomyopathy, as well as of the familial and non-familial subgroups, was compared with that of 9000 normal controls. RESULTS: The familial prevalence of dilated cardiomyopathy in this patient group was "definite" in 14 of 56 (25%) and "possible" in 25 of 56 (45%). The HLA-DR4 frequency in the 100 patients with dilated cardiomyopathy was similar to that in the 9000 controls (39% v 32%). However, the DR4 subtype was significantly more common in the 25 probands with a familial tendency to dilated cardiomyopathy than in the 31 probands with non-familial dilated cardiomyopathy (68% v 32%; P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: The present finding supports an HLA linked predisposition to familial dilated cardiomyopathy. The HLA type DR4 was significantly more common in familial than in non-familial cases. The DR4 halotype was associated with two thirds of the families at risk for dilated cardiomyopathy.

Hospital mortality of acute myocardial infarction in the thrombolytic era.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the management and outcome of an unselected consecutive series of patients admitted with acute myocardial infarction to a tertiary referral centre. DESIGN: A historical cohort study over a three year period (1992-94) of consecutive unselected admissions with acute myocardial infarction identified using the HIPE (hospital inpatient enquiry) database and validated according to MONICA criteria for definite or probable acute myocardial infarction. SETTING: University teaching hospital and cardiac tertiary referral centre. RESULTS: 1059 patients were included. Mean age was 67 years; 60% were male and 40% female. Rates of coronary care unit (CCU) admission, thrombolysis, and predischarge angiography were 70%, 28%, and 32%, respectively. Overall in-hospital mortality was 18%. Independent predictors of hospital mortality by multivariate analysis were age, left ventricular failure, ventricular arrhythmias, cardiogenic shock, management outside CCU, and reinfarction. Hospital mortality in a small cohort from a non-tertiary referral centre was 14%, a difference largely explained by the lower mean age of these patients (64 years). Five year survival in the cohort was 50%. Only age and left ventricular failure were independent predictors of mortality at follow up. CONCLUSIONS: In unselected consecutive patients the hospital mortality of acute myocardial infarction remains high (18%). Age and the occurrence of left ventricular failure are major determinants of short and long term mortality after acute myocardial infarction.