Low-dose colchicine reduced risk for cardiovascular events in chronic coronary disease.

SOURCE CITATION: Nidorf SM, Fiolet ATL, Mosterd A, et al. Colchicine in patients with chronic coronary disease. N Engl J Med. 2020;383:1838-47. 32865380.

Prognostic Value of High-Sensitivity Troponin T in Chronic Heart Failure: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Most patients with chronic heart failure have detectable troponin concentrations when evaluated by high-sensitivity assays. The prognostic relevance of this finding has not been clearly established so far. We aimed to assess high-sensitivity troponin assay for risk stratification in chronic heart failure through a meta-analysis approach. METHODS: Medline, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Scopus were searched in April 2017 by 2 independent authors. The terms were "troponin" AND "heart failure" OR "cardiac failure" OR "cardiac dysfunction" OR "cardiac insufficiency" OR "left ventricular dysfunction." Inclusion criteria were English language, clinical stability, use of a high-sensitivity troponin assay, follow-up studies, and availability of individual patient data after request to authors. Data retrieved from articles and provided by authors were used in agreement with the PRISMA statement. The end points were all-cause death, cardiovascular death, and hospitalization for cardiovascular cause. RESULTS: Ten studies were included, reporting data on 11 cohorts and 9289 patients (age 66±12 years, 77% men, 60% ischemic heart failure, 85% with left ventricular ejection fraction <40%). High-sensitivity troponin T data were available for all patients, whereas only 209 patients also had high-sensitivity troponin I assayed. When added to a prognostic model including established risk markers (sex, age, ischemic versus nonischemic etiology, left ventricular ejection fraction, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and N-terminal fraction of pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), high-sensitivity troponin T remained independently associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio, 1.48; 95% confidence interval, 1.41-1.55), cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval, 1.33-1.48), and cardiovascular hospitalization (hazard ratio, 1.42; 95% confidence interval, 1.36-1.49), over a median 2.4-year follow-up (all P<0.001). High-sensitivity troponin T significantly improved risk prediction when added to a prognostic model including the variables above. It also displayed an independent prognostic value for all outcomes in almost all population subgroups. The area under the curve-derived 18 ng/L cutoff yielded independent prognostic value for the 3 end points in both men and women, patients with either ischemic or nonischemic etiology, and across categories of renal dysfunction. CONCLUSIONS: In chronic heart failure, high-sensitivity troponin T is a strong and independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and of hospitalization for cardiovascular causes, as well. This biomarker then represents an additional tool for prognostic stratification.

Heart Failure With Recovered Ejection Fraction in African Americans: Results From the African-American Heart Failure Trial.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have described the entity of heart failure with recovered ejection fraction (HFrecEF), but population-specific studies remain lacking. The aim of this study was to characterize patients enrolled in the African-American Heart Failure Trial (A-HeFT) who had significant improvement in their ejection fraction (EF) during the 1st 6 months of follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: Subjects with HFrecEF (improvement in EF from <35% to >40% in 6 months; n = 59) were compared with 259 subjects with heart failure and persistently reduced EF (HFrEF), defined as EF ≤40% at 6-month follow-up. The effects of improvement in EF on all-cause mortality and 1st and all hospitalizations were analyzed. Compared with HFrEF, subjects with HFrecEF had a nonsignificant trend toward lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.16, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.02-1.15; P = .068), fewer 1st HF hospitalizations (HR 0.22, 95% CI 0.07-0.71; P = .011), fewer recurrent HF hospitalizations (HR 0.13, 95% CI 0.05-0.37; P <.001), similar 1st all-cause hospitalizations (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.39-1.15; P = .150), and fewer recurrent all-cause hospitalizations (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.24-0.68; P <.001). CONCLUSIONS: These data confirm that, as in other populations, a small subgroup of black patients receiving standard care improve their EF with favorable outcomes. Further studies are required to determine whether myocardial recovery is permanent and the best management strategies in such patients.

The autonomic nervous system and heart failure.

The pathophysiology of heart failure (HF) is characterized by hemodynamic abnormalities that result in neurohormonal activation and autonomic imbalance with increase in sympathetic activity and withdrawal of vagal activity. Alterations in receptor activation from this autonomic imbalance may have profound effects on cardiac function and structure. Inhibition of the sympathetic drive to the heart through ß-receptor blockade has become a standard component of therapy for HF with a dilated left ventricle because of its effectiveness in inhibiting the ventricular structural remodeling process and in prolonging life. Several devices for selective modulation of sympathetic and vagal activity have recently been developed in an attempt to alter the natural history of HF. The optimal counteraction of the excessive sympathetic activity is still unclear. A profound decrease in adrenergic support with excessive blockade of the sympathetic nervous system may result in adverse outcomes in clinical HF. In this review, we analyze the data supporting a contributory role of the autonomic functional alterations on the course of HF, the techniques used to assess autonomic nervous system activity, the evidence for clinical effectiveness of pharmacological and device interventions, and the potential future role of autonomic nervous system modifiers in the management of this syndrome.

Serial measurement of cardiac troponin T using a highly sensitive assay in patients with chronic heart failure: data from 2 large randomized clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Cardiac troponins are emerging as important prognostic markers in chronic cardiovascular conditions like stable coronary artery disease or chronic heart failure (HF). Less is known about the relation between serial measurements of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) and future events in HF. We determined the association between changes over time in hs-cTnT and outcome in patients with chronic HF. METHODS AND RESULTS: We analyzed 5284 patients with chronic HF from 2 independent randomized clinical trials, the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT) (n=4053) and the Gruppo Italiano per lo Studio della Sopravvivenza nell'Insufficienza Cardiaca-Heart Failure (GISSI-HF) trial (n=1231). hs-cTnT was measured at randomization and after 3 months (GISSI-HF) or 4 months of follow-up (Val-HeFT). The association between changes over time of hs-cTnT and various outcomes was tested in multivariable models. In both studies, increases in hs-cTnT levels over time were associated with age, diabetes mellitus, worsening of renal function (reduction in estimated glomerular filtration rate), and baseline and increases in N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide concentrations. Increases in hs-cTnT concentrations were associated with all-cause mortality (incidence rates, 8.19 [7.51-8.88] and 6.79 [5.98-7.61] per 100 person-years in Val-HeFT and GISSI-HF, respectively, with hazard ratios [95% confidence intervals] of 1.59 [1.39-1.82] and 1.88 [1.50-2.35]) after adjustment for conventional risk factors and baseline levels of hs-cTnT and N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide. Changes in hs-cTnT concentration modestly improved prognostic discrimination beyond baseline values for fatal outcomes only. CONCLUSIONS: Despite very low circulating concentrations, changes in hs-cTnT concentrations over time are robust predictors of future cardiovascular events in patients with chronic HF but add limited prognostic discrimination. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00336336.

Identifying the risk and preventing the consequences of cardiovascular disease.

Efforts to prevent cardiovascular morbid events have focused predominantly on identification of population risk factors with intervention based on the level of these risk factors. Individualised care is now possible by identification of early, asymptomatic vascular or cardiac disease likely to progress to morbid events. Intervention aimed at slowing or reversing the progression of the vascular or cardiac abnormalities can then become the therapeutic target. Since early disease commonly occurs in the absence of abnormal threshold levels of risk factors, this approach is more sensitive and specific than risk factors in matching treatment to individual risk. Preliminary data with a series of 10 non-invasive tests and a unique scoring system developed at the University of Minnesota provides a quantitative assessment of the health of the small arteries, large arteries and left ventricle. This scoring system has been shown to be remarkably sensitive in identifying the risk and time course of future morbid events. Therapy aimed at restoring vascular and cardiac health shows great promise as an individualised approach to cardiovascular disease prevention.

Underuse of cardiovascular preventive pharmacotherapy in patients presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction.

BACKGROUND: Multiple medications have proven efficacy for the primary prevention of coronary heart disease (CHD), but the appropriate patient population remains controversial. Even in the presence of multiple cardiovascular risk factors, many patients are not considered high risk and are not offered preventive medications despite proven efficacy. METHODS: We analyzed a prospective cohort of 1,710 consecutive ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) patients treated in a regional STEMI system from May 2007 to July 2010 and enrolled in a comprehensive database that includes preadmission medications. RESULTS: Of the 1,707 patients analyzed, 1,180 (69.1%) did not have known CHD before their event; and 482 (41.7%) of those patients had premature events (men <55 years old, women <65 years old). In patients without known CHD, cardiovascular risk factors were abundant (52.1% had hypertension, 43.6% had dyslipidemia, 41.4% had a family history of CHD, 58.5% were current or former smokers, and 14.9% were diabetic). Despite the high prevalence of risk factors, only 24.1% were on aspirin, 16.1% were on a statin, and only 7.8% were taking an aspirin and statin. Use of preventive medications was even less common in patients with premature events, including aspirin (15.2% vs 30.2%, P value < .001), statins (11.1% vs 19.5%, P value < .001), and the combination (5.6% vs 9.4%, P value < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Approximately 70% of a contemporary STEMI population did not have known CHD before their event, and >40% of those events would be considered premature. Despite the significant burden of cardiovascular risk factors, use of preventive therapy was alarmingly low in patients presenting with STEMI.

Effect of fixed-dose combined isosorbide dinitrate/hydralazine in elderly patients in the African-American heart failure trial.

BACKGROUND: Fixed-dose combined isosorbide dinitrate/hydralazine (FDC I/H) significantly improved outcomes in patients with advanced heart failure (HF) receiving background neurohormonal therapy in the African-American Heart Failure Trial (A-HeFT). In this analysis, we investigated treatment effects by age <65 or ≥65 years. METHODS AND RESULTS: Time-to-event curves were produced by the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios were calculated with the Cox proportional hazards model. Baseline characteristics showed that patients ≥65 years old had less hypertensive and more ischemic HF, better quality of life (QoL) scores, higher plasma B-type natriuretic peptide and creatinine levels, and received less background neurohormonal therapy. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that FDC I/H improved mortality and event-free survival in elderly patients. The hazard ratios for mortality, first heart failure hospitalization, and event-free survival (both unadjusted and adjusted for baseline differences), were similar quantitatively and in direction of effect in both age groups. CONCLUSIONS: In A-HeFT, FDC I/H improved outcomes in HF patients aged <65 or ≥65 years, despite significant baseline differences between these age groups. Patients aged ≥65 years, a group at greater mortality risk, had the greatest survival benefit from FDC I/H.

Circulating levels and prognostic cut-offs of sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP in women vs. men with chronic heart failure.

AIMS: To define plasma concentrations, determinants, and optimal prognostic cut-offs of soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2), high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT), and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in women and men with chronic heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual data of patients from the Biomarkers In Heart Failure Outpatient Study (BIOS) Consortium with sST2, hs-cTnT, and NT-proBNP measured were analysed. The primary endpoint was a composite of 1 year cardiovascular death and HF hospitalization. The secondary endpoints were 5 year cardiovascular and all-cause death. The cohort included 4540 patients (age 67 ± 12 years, left ventricular ejection fraction 33 ± 13%, 1111 women, 25%). Women showed lower sST2 (24 vs. 27 ng/mL, P < 0.001) and hs-cTnT level (15 vs. 20 ng/L, P < 0.001), and similar concentrations of NT-proBNP (1540 vs. 1505 ng/L, P = 0.408). Although the three biomarkers were confirmed as independent predictors of outcome in both sexes, the optimal prognostic cut-off was lower in women for sST2 (28 vs. 31 ng/mL) and hs-cTnT (22 vs. 25 ng/L), while NT-proBNP cut-off was higher in women (2339 ng/L vs. 2145 ng/L). The use of sex-specific cut-offs improved risk prediction compared with the use of previously standardized prognostic cut-offs and allowed to reclassify the risk of many patients, to a greater extent in women than men, and for hs-cTnT than sST2 or NT-proBNP. Specifically, up to 18% men and up to 57% women were reclassified, by using the sex-specific cut-off of hs-cTnT for the endpoint of 5 year cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with chronic HF, concentrations of sST2 and hs-cTnT, but not of NT-proBNP, are lower in women. Lower sST2 and hs-cTnT and higher NT-proBNP cut-offs for risk stratification could be used in women.

Serial measurement of growth-differentiation factor-15 in heart failure: relation to disease severity and prognosis in the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial.

BACKGROUND: Growth-differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15) is emerging as a prognostic biomarker in patients with coronary artery disease. Little is known about GDF-15 as a biomarker in patients with heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: The circulating concentration of GDF-15 was measured at baseline (n=1734) and at 12 months (n=1517) in patients randomized in the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT). GDF-15 levels at baseline ranged from 259 to 25 637 ng/L and were abnormally high (>1200 ng/L) in 85% of patients. Higher levels were associated with features of worse heart failure and biomarkers of neurohormonal activation, inflammation, myocyte injury, and renal dysfunction. Baseline GDF-15 levels (per 100 ng/L) were associated with the risks of mortality (hazard ratio, 1.017; 95% confidence interval, 1.014 to 1.019; P<0.001) and first morbid event (hazard ratio, 1.020; 95% confidence interval, 1.017 to 1.023; P<0.001). In a comprehensive multiple-variable Cox regression model that included clinical prognostic variables, B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T, GDF-15 remained independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio, 1.007; 95% confidence interval, 1.001 to 1.014; P=0.02) but not first morbid event. At 12 months, the GDF-15 levels had increased by a similar amount in the placebo and valsartan groups (P=0.94). Increases in GDF-15 over 12 months were independently associated with the risks of future mortality and first morbid event also after adjustment for clinical prognostic variables, B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein, and high-sensitivity troponin T and their changes. CONCLUSIONS: GDF-15 reflects information from several pathological pathways and provides independent prognostic information in heart failure. GDF-15 levels increase over time, suggesting that GDF-15 reflects a pathophysiological axis that is not completely addressed by the therapies prescribed in Val-HeFT.

Atrial fibrillation and mortality in African American patients with heart failure: results from the African American Heart Failure Trial (A-HeFT).

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in patients with heart failure (HF) and portends a worsened prognosis. Because of the low enrollment of African American subjects (AAs) in randomized HF trials, there are little data on AF in AAs with HF. This post hoc analysis reviews characteristics and outcomes of AA patients with AF in A-HeFT. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1,050 AA patients with New York Heart Association class III/IV systolic HF, well treated with neurohormonal blockade (87% ß-blockers, 93% angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor and/or angiotensin receptor blocker), were randomized to an added fixed-dose combination of isosorbide dinitrate/hydralazine (FDC I/H) or placebo. Atrial fibrillation was confirmed in 174 (16.6%) patients at baseline and in an additional 9 patients who developed AF during the study, for a final cohort of 183 (17.4%). Comparison of patients with AF versus no AF revealed the following: mean age 61 ± 12 versus 56 ± 13 years (P < .001), systolic blood pressure (BP) 124 ± 18 versus 127 ± 18 mm Hg (P = .044), diastolic BP 74 ± 11 versus 77 ± 10 mm Hg (P = .002), creatinine level 1.4 ± 0.5 versus 1.2 ± 0.5 mg/dL (P < .001), and brain natriuretic peptide 431 ± 443 versus 283 ± 396 pg/mL (P < .001). No significant difference was observed in ejection fraction, left ventricular end-diastolic diameter, or quality-of-life scores. However, AF increased the risk of mortality significantly among AA patients (P = .018), and the use of FDC I/H reduced the risk of mortality in patients with AF (HR 0.21, P = .002). CONCLUSION: African Americans with HF and AF (vs no AF) were older, had lower BP, and had higher creatinine and brain natriuretic peptide levels. Mortality and morbidity were worse when AF was present, and these data suggest that there may be an enhanced survival benefit with the use of FDC I/H in AA patients with HF and AF.

Early cardiovascular structural and functional abnormalities as a guide to future morbid events.

AIMS: Our aim was to evaluate the predictive value of a battery of 10 non-invasive tests of cardiovascular structural and functional health on the future risk of cardiovascular morbid events. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1900 asymptomatic adults concerned about their risk for cardiovascular disease underwent non-invasive assessment with 10 tests of vascular and cardiac structure and function. A disease score (DS) was calculated for each individual based on these 10 tests. Follow-up (mean 9.2 years) for cardiovascular morbidity and mortality was available for 1442 individuals (mean age 53.2 years, 48.2% women). Those in the lowest DS tertile (0-2) experienced 0.16 cardiovascular events per 100 patient-years (PY), those in the middle tertile (3-5) experienced 0.86 events per 100 PY, and those in the highest tertile (6+) experienced 1.3 events per 100 PY (p < .001). Sensitivity analysis, assuming a neutral effect of DS on projected events in subjects not followed, did not alter statistical significance. Risk assessment using the Framingham risk score (FRS) also predicted morbid events but the two methods differed in identifying individuals at high risk. The net reclassification index was improved by 0.11 (p = 0.01) when DS was added to FRS. CONCLUSIONS: Assessing the biological disease process in the arteries and heart of asymptomatic adults provides a guide to the risk of a future cardiovascular morbid event. Larger and longer studies are needed to determine whether risk factor algorithms, the severity of the biological process or some combination is the optimal method for identifying individuals in need of intervention to delay morbid events.

Re-appraisal of the obesity paradox in heart failure: a meta-analysis of individual data.

BACKGROUND: Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with better outcome compared with normal weight in patients with HF and other chronic diseases. It remains uncertain whether the apparent protective role of obesity relates to the absence of comorbidities. Therefore, we investigated the effect of BMI on outcome in younger patients without co-morbidities as compared to older patients with co-morbidities in a large heart failure (HF) population. METHODS: In an individual patient data analysis from pooled cohorts, 5,819 patients with chronic HF and data available on BMI, co-morbidities and outcome were analysed. Patients were divided into four groups based on BMI (i.e. ≤ 18.5 kg/m2, 18.5-25.0 kg/m2; 25.0-30.0 kg/m2; 30.0 kg/m2). Primary endpoints included all-cause mortality and HF hospitalization-free survival. RESULTS: Mean age was 65 ± 12 years, with a majority of males (78%), ischaemic HF and HF with reduced ejection fraction. Frequency of all-cause mortality or HF hospitalization was significantly worse in the lowest two BMI groups as compared to the other two groups; however, this effect was only seen in patients older than 75 years or having at least one relevant co-morbidity, and not in younger patients with HF only. After including medications and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin concentrations into the model, the prognostic impact of BMI was largely absent even in the elderly group with co-morbidity. CONCLUSIONS: The present study suggests that obesity is a marker of less advanced disease, but does not have an independent protective effect in patients with chronic HF. Categories of BMI are only predictive of poor outcome in patients aged > 75 years or with at least one co-morbidity (bottom), but not in those aged < 75 years without co-morbidities (top). The prognostic effect largely disappears in multivariable analyses even for the former group. These findings question the protective effect of obesity in chronic heart failure (HF).

NT-proBNP for Risk Prediction in Heart Failure: Identification of Optimal Cutoffs Across Body Mass Index Categories.

OBJECTIVES: The goal of this study was to assess the predictive power of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and the decision cutoffs in heart failure (HF) across body mass index (BMI) categories. BACKGROUND: Concentrations of NT-proBNP predict outcome in HF. Although the influence of BMI to reduce levels of NT-proBNP is known, the impact of obesity on prognostic value remains uncertain. METHODS: Individual data from the BIOS (Biomarkers In Heart Failure Outpatient Study) consortium were analyzed. Patients with stable HF were classified as underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2), normal weight (BMI 18.5-24.9 kg/m2), overweight (BMI 25-29.9 kg/m2), and mildly (BMI 30-34.9 kg/m2), moderately (BMI 35-39.9 kg/m2), or severely (BMI ≥40 kg/m2) obese. The prognostic role of NT-proBNP was tested for the endpoints of all-cause and cardiac death. RESULTS: The study population included 12,763 patients (mean age 66 ± 12 years; 25% women; mean left ventricular ejection fraction 33% ± 13%). Most patients were overweight (n = 5,176), followed by normal weight (n = 4,299), mildly obese (n = 2,157), moderately obese (n = 612), severely obese (n = 314), and underweight (n = 205). NT-proBNP inversely correlated with BMI (ß = -0.174 for 1 kg/m2; P < 0.001). Adding NT-proBNP to clinical models improved risk prediction across BMI categories, with the exception of severely obese patients. The best cutoffs of NT-proBNP for 5-year all-cause death prediction were lower as BMI increased (3,785 ng/L, 2,193 ng/L, 1,554 ng/L, 1,045 ng/L, 755 ng/L, and 879 ng/L, for underweight, normal weight, overweight, and mildly, moderately, and severely obese patients, respectively) and were higher in women than in men. CONCLUSIONS: NT-proBNP maintains its independent prognostic value up to 40 kg/m2 BMI, and lower optimal risk-prediction cutoffs are observed in overweight and obese patients.

Proteinuria, chronic kidney disease, and the effect of an angiotensin receptor blocker in addition to an angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor in patients with moderate to severe heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an established risk factor for poor outcomes in heart failure (HF). Whether proteinuria provides additional prognostic information is not known. Renin-angiotensin blockade medications improve outcomes in HF but are underutilized in HF patients with renal dysfunction because of safety concerns and a lack of evidence of their effectiveness. METHODS AND RESULTS: In the Valsartan in Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT), 5010 patients with class II, III, or IV heart failure were randomly assigned to receive valsartan or placebo. The 2 primary outcomes were death and first morbid event, defined as death, sudden death with resuscitation, hospitalization for HF, or administration of intravenous inotropic or vasodilator drugs for 4 hours or more without hospitalization. The study cohort was divided into subgroups according to the presence of CKD (estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2)) and proteinuria (positive dipstick). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the relationships between study outcomes and proteinuria, including its interaction with CKD. The interaction between valsartan and CKD was also tested. The effect of valsartan on estimated glomerular filtration rate was estimated by generalized linear models, including tests of interactions between treatment and CKD. At baseline, CKD was found in 58% and dipstick-positive proteinuria in 8% of patients. Dipstick-positive proteinuria was independently associated with mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1.28, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01 to 1.62, P=0.05) and first morbid event (HR 1.28, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.55, P=0.01). The increased risk of death associated with dipstick-positive proteinuria was similar for those with and without CKD (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.66 versus HR 1.37, 95% CI 0.83 to 2.26; P=0.94), as was the hazard for first morbid event (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.57 versus HR 1.42, 95% CI 0.98 to 2.07; P=0.71). Valsartan reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate compared with placebo to a similar extent (P=0.52) in the subgroups with CKD (mean reduction -3.6 mL x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2)) and without CKD (mean reduction -4.0 mL x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2)) and by -3.8 mL x min(-1) x 1.73 m(-2) in both groups combined. The beneficial effect of valsartan on first morbid events was similar in those with and without CKD (HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.99 versus HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.73 to 1.12; P=0.23) and was significant in the subgroup with CKD. The effect of valsartan on mortality did not differ in patients with and without CKD (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.85 to 1.20 versus HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.25; P=0.08). CONCLUSIONS: CKD was common and dipstick-positive proteinuria was infrequent in this sample of patients with HF. After controlling for other risk factors, including CKD, the relatively small subgroup with dipstick-positive proteinuria did have worse outcomes. Valsartan reduced the estimated glomerular filtration rate by the same amount in patients with and without CKD and reduced the risk of the first morbid event in patients with CKD, which suggests its beneficial effects in patients with HF and CKD.

Elevated plasma renin activity predicts adverse outcome in chronic heart failure, independently of pharmacologic therapy: data from the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT).

BACKGROUND: The prognostic value of plasma renin activity (PRA) in chronic heart failure (HF) has been assessed before the widespread use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACEi) and beta-blockers, which exert opposite effects on renin secretion. We evaluated the association between PRA and outcome in patients with chronic HF treated with ACEi and beta-blockers. METHODS AND RESULTS: PRA was measured in 4,291 patients from the Valsartan Heart Failure Trial (Val-HeFT). The prognostic performance of PRA in patients who were or were not taking ACEi or beta-blockers was evaluated by multivariable Cox models. PRA was elevated in patients on ACEi (median 5.85 [interquartile range (IQR) 1.82-17.83] ng/mL/h) compared with those not on ACEi (1.57 [0.74-4.15] ng/mL/h), and lower in those on beta-blockers (3.89 [1.17-12.61] ng/mL/h) than in those not on beta-blockers (6.21 [1.97-19.24] ng/mL/h). Lower systolic blood pressure, higher plasma aldosterone, and ACEi were associated with high PRA. Higher PRA was a strong and independent predictor of mortality in the whole population and in patients who were or were not treated with ACEi or beta-blockers. CONCLUSIONS: PRA is a powerful prognostic marker of death over a wide range of concentrations in patients with chronic HF. Prescription of ACEi and/or beta-blockers does not influence the relation between PRA and outcome.

Circulating levels and prognostic value of soluble ST2 in heart failure are less influenced by age than N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T.

AIMS: N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hs-TnT) and soluble suppression of tumorigenesis-2 (sST2) predict outcome in chronic heart failure (HF). We assessed the influence of age on circulating levels and prognostic significance of these biomarkers. METHODS AND RESULTS: Individual data from 5301 patients with chronic HF and NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, and sST2 data were evaluated. Patients were stratified according to age: <60 years (n = 1332, 25%), 60-69 years (n = 1628, 31%), 70-79 years (n = 1662, 31%), and ≥ 80 years (n = 679, 13%). Patients (median age 66 years, 75% men, median left ventricular ejection fraction 28%, 64% with ischaemic HF) had median NT-proBNP 1564 ng/L, hs-TnT 21 ng/L, and sST2 29 ng/mL. Age independently predicted NT-proBNP and hs-TnT, but not sST2. The best NT-proBNP and hs-TnT cut-offs for 1-year and 5-year all-cause and cardiovascular mortality and 1- to 12-month HF hospitalization increased with age, while the best sST2 cut-offs did not. When stratifying patients according to age- and outcome-specific cut-offs, this stratification yielded independent prognostic significance over NT-proBNP levels only, or the composite of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT, and improved risk prediction for most endpoints. Finally, absolute NT-proBNP, hs-TnT, and sST2 levels predicted outcomes independent of age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction category, ethnic group, and other variables. CONCLUSIONS: Soluble ST2 is less influenced by age than NT-proBNP or hs-TnT; all these biomarkers predict outcome regardless of age. The use of age- and outcome-specific cut-offs of NT-proBNP, hs-TnT and sST2 allows more accurate risk stratification than NT-proBNP alone or the combination of NT-proBNP and hs-TnT.