The Association of Frailty and Malnutrition With Dietary Intake and Gastrointestinal Symptoms in People With Kidney Failure: 2-Year Prospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Frailty and malnutrition are both associated with worsening morbidity and mortality and become more prevalent in the elderly and as kidney function declines. Anorexia and reduced oral intake are common features of both frailty and malnutrition. However, there are sparse data evaluating the impact of other gastrointestinal (GI) symptoms, such as taste changes, on rates of frailty and malnutrition in people with kidney failure. The aim of this study is to describe the prevalence of frailty and malnutrition and their association with dietary intake and nutrition-related symptoms in people with kidney failure. METHODS: This observational study recruited people with kidney failure who were commencing Conservative Kidney Management or elderly people (aged > 75 years) newly commenced on dialysis from 3 renal units. Participants underwent assessments of frailty, nutritional status, dietary intake, and GI symptom burden when they attended clinic appointments, approximately every 6 months. RESULTS: Of the 85 participants, 57% were assessed as being frail and 33% were assessed as being malnourished. Participants assessed as frail reported more GI symptoms (3 vs. 2, P < .001) that were more severe (1.75 vs. 1.0, P < .001) compared to nonfrail participants. Being malnourished was associated with a 5 times higher chance of being frail (odds ratio 5.8; 95% confidence interval 1.5, 21.8; P = .015) and having more severe symptoms was associated with a 2 times higher chance (odds ratio 2.8; 95% CI 1.1, 7.0; P = .026) of being frail. In addition to experiencing more GI symptoms, that were more severe, participants who were malnourished consumed significantly less energy (1234 kcal vs. 1400 kcal, P = .01) and protein (51 g vs. 74 g, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Frailty and malnutrition are common and are associated with a higher GI symptom burden and poorer dietary intake. Future research is needed to determine effective interventions targeting frailty and malnutrition, including nutrition-related symptoms and optimal protein intake.

Hematological and Other Cancers in People Using Clozapine: Analysis of Australian Spontaneous Reports Between 1995 and 2020.

BACKGROUND: Recent observational study evidence suggests that clozapine, unlike other antipsychotics, may be associated with a small increased risk of hematological malignancy. This study described characteristics of hematological and other cancers in those taking clozapine reported to the Australian Therapeutic Goods Administration. METHODS: We analyzed public case reports for "clozapine," "Clozaril," or "Clopine" from January 1995 to December 2020 classified as "neoplasm benign, malignant and unspecified" by the Australian Therapeutic Goods Administration. Data on age, sex, dose, clozapine start and cessation dates, Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities reaction terms, and date of cancer were extracted. RESULTS: Overall, 384 spontaneous reports of cancers in people taking clozapine were analyzed. The mean age of patients was 53.9 years (SD, 11.4 years), and 224 (58.3%) were male. The most frequent cancers were hematological (n = 104 [27.1%]), lung (n = 50 [13.0%]), breast (n = 37 [9.6%]), and colorectal (n = 28 [7.3%]). The outcome was fatal for 33.9% of cancer reports. Lymphoma comprised 72.1% of all hematological cancers (mean patient age, 52.1 years; SD, 11.6 years). The median daily dose of clozapine at the time of hematological cancer report was 400 mg (interquartile range, 300-543.8 mg), and the median duration of clozapine use before hematological cancer diagnosis was 7.0 years (interquartile range, 2.8-13.2 years). CONCLUSIONS: Lymphoma and other hematological cancers are overrepresented in spontaneous adverse event reports compared with other cancer types. Clinicians should be aware of the possible association with hematological cancers and monitor for and report any hematological cancers identified. Future studies should examine histology of lymphomas in people using clozapine and corresponding blood level of clozapine.

Comprehensive investigation of a structural variant in a bi-specific, N-and C-terminal Fc-fusion molecule, and its monitoring with LC-MS based method.

There is an increasing interest in the generation of Fc-fusion molecules to exploit the effector functions of Fc and the fusion partner, towards improving the therapeutic potential. The Fc-fusion molecules have unique structural and functional attributes that impart various advantages. However, the manufacturing of Fc-fusion molecules possesses certain challenges in the biopharmaceutical development. The fusion of unnaturally occurring two or more domains in a construct can pose problems for proper folding and are prone to aggregation and degradation. Reshuffling of disulfide bridges represents a posttranslational event that affects folding. This can play a critical role in the correct structure of a molecule and leads to structural heterogeneity in biotherapeutics; it may also impact the in vivo biological activities, safety, and efficacy of the biopharmaceutical. Our work presents an investigation case of a doublet band, as observed only in nonreducing sodium dodecyl sulfate - polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis (SDS-PAGE) for a bi-specific, N- and C-terminal Fc-fusion molecule. Other characterization and orthogonal methods from the analytical panel did not indicate the presence of two distinct species, including the orthogonal CE-SDS (Caliper Lab Chip GXII). Therefore, it was necessary to determine if the phenomenon was an analytical artifact or a real variant of our Fc-fusion molecule. With the comprehensive mass spectrometry-based characterization, we were able to determine that the doublet band was related to the reshuffling of one disulfide bridge in one of the fused domains. Our work illustrates the application of nonreducing peptide mapping by mass spectrometry to characterize and identify disulfide variants in a complex N- and C-terminal Fc-fusion molecule, and further adoption to monitor the disulfide structural variants in the intermediate process samples to drive the manufacturing of a consistent product with the desired quality attributes.

Are Digital Health Technologies and Models of Nutrition Care the Future of Chronic Kidney Disease Management?

People living with chronic kidney disease (CKD) require long-term support at varying levels of individualization, intensity, and frequency. Mobile and digital models of nutrition care can facilitate long-term behavior change, address nutrition issues proactively, reduce travel burden, and reach people without access to health care more easily. However, while traditional health delivery continues to be digitally disrupted, there are many barriers to address before mobile and digitally supported models of nutrition care can become business as usual in nephrology and nutrition care practice. This paper overviews the current evidence base concerning the past and present mobile and digital health programs to improve nutrition in CKD and highlights the novel future trends in this field. The way nutrition and dietetic care can be feasible, safe, and potentially effective when delivered using various digital and virtual technologies, including consultations, assessments, establishment of diagnoses, formulation of plans, and monitoring/reviewing clinical progress is discussed. Of the available evidence to date, these modalities appear to improve dietary sodium intake and diet quality, self-efficacy, interdialytic weight gain, and body weight. Many barriers exist to sustaining the continued and widespread adoption of digital and mobile health-supported nutrition care in CKD. These include patient-, clinician-, and health system-specific and are discussed in detail. Mobile and digital-supported models of nutrition care present an exciting opportunity to assist kidney dietitians deliver patient-centred nutrition care in CKD.

Rapid cGMP manufacturing of COVID-19 monoclonal antibody using stable CHO cell pools.

Therapeutic proteins, including monoclonal antibodies, are typically manufactured using clonally derived, stable host cell lines, since consistent and predictable cell culture performance is highly desirable. However, selecting and preparing banks of stable clones takes considerable time, which inevitably extends overall development timelines for new therapeutics by delaying the start of subsequent activities, such as the scale-up of manufacturing processes. In the context of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, with its intense pressure for accelerated development strategies, we used a novel transposon-based Leap-In Transposase® system to rapidly generate high-titer stable pools and then used them directly for large scale-manufacturing of an anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 monoclonal antibody under cGMP. We performed the safety testing of our non-clonal cell bank, then used it to produce material at a 200L-scale for preclinical safety studies and formulation development work, and thereafter at 2000L scale for supply of material for a Phase 1 clinical trial. Testing demonstrated the comparability of critical product qualities between the two scales and, more importantly, that our final clinical trial product met all pre-set product quality specifications. The above expediated approach provided clinical trial material within 4.5 months, in comparison to 12-14 months for production of clinical trial material via the conventional approach.

Interventions for improving health literacy in people with chronic kidney disease.

BACKGROUND: Low health literacy affects 25% of people with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and is associated with increased morbidity and death. Improving health literacy is a recognised priority, but effective interventions are not clear. OBJECTIVES: This review looked the benefits and harms of interventions for improving health literacy in people with CKD. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Kidney and Transplant Register of Studies up to 12 July 2022 through contact with the Information Specialist using search terms relevant to this review. Studies in the Register are identified through searches of CENTRAL, MEDLINE, and EMBASE, conference proceedings, the International Clinical Trials Register (ICTRP) Search Portal and ClinicalTrials.gov. We also searched MEDLINE (OVID) and EMBASE (OVID) for non-randomised studies. SELECTION CRITERIA: We included randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and non-randomised studies that assessed interventions aimed at improving health literacy in people with CKD. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two authors independently assessed studies for eligibility and performed risk of bias analysis. We classified studies as either interventions aimed at improving aspects of health literacy or interventions targeting a population of people with poor health literacy. The interventions were further sub-classified in terms of the type of intervention (educational, self-management training, or educational with self-management training). Results were expressed as mean difference (MD) or standardised mean difference (SMD) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for continuous outcomes and risk ratios (RR) with 95% CI for dichotomous outcomes. MAIN RESULTS: We identified 120 studies (21,149 participants) which aimed to improve health literacy. There were 107 RCTs and 13 non-randomised studies. No studies targeted low literacy populations. For the RCTs, selection bias was low or unclear in 94% of studies, performance bias was high in 86% of studies, detection bias was high in 86% of studies reporting subjective outcomes and low in 93% of studies reporting objective outcomes. Attrition and other biases were low or unclear in 86% and 78% of studies, respectively. Compared to usual care, low certainty evidence showed educational interventions may increase kidney-related knowledge (14 RCTs, 2632 participants: SMD 0.99, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.32; I² = 94%). Data for self-care, self-efficacy, quality of life (QoL), death, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and hospitalisations could not be pooled or was not reported. Compared to usual care, low-certainty evidence showed self-management interventions may improve self-efficacy (5 RCTs, 417 participants: SMD 0.58, 95% CI 0.13 to 1.03; I² = 74%) and QoL physical component score (3 RCTs, 131 participants: MD 4.02, 95% CI 1.09 to 6.94; I² = 0%). There was moderate-certainty evidence that self-management interventions probably did not slow the decline in eGFR after one year (3 RCTs, 855 participants: MD 1.53 mL/min/1.73 m², 95% CI -1.41 to 4.46; I² = 33%). Data for knowledge, self-care behaviour, death and hospitalisations could not be pooled or was not reported. Compared to usual care, low-certainty evidence showed educational with self-management interventions may increase knowledge (15 RCTs, 2185 participants: SMD 0.65, 95% CI 0.36 to 0.93; I² = 90%), improve self-care behaviour scores (4 RCTs, 913 participants: SMD 0.91, 95% CI 0.00 to 1.82; I² =97%), self-efficacy (8 RCTs, 687 participants: SMD 0.50, 95% CI 0.10 to 0.89; I² = 82%), improve QoL physical component score (3 RCTs, 2771 participants: MD 2.56, 95% CI 1.73 to 3.38; I² = 0%) and may make little or no difference to slowing the decline of eGFR (4 RCTs, 618 participants: MD 4.28 mL/min/1.73 m², 95% CI -0.03 to 8.85; I² = 43%). Moderate-certainty evidence shows educational with self-management interventions probably decreases the risk of death (any cause) (4 RCTs, 2801 participants: RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.53 to 1.02; I² = 0%). Data for hospitalisation could not be pooled. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Interventions to improve aspects of health literacy are a very broad category, including educational interventions, self-management interventions and educational with self-management interventions. Overall, this type of health literacy intervention is probably beneficial in this cohort however, due to methodological limitations and high heterogeneity in interventions and outcomes, the evidence is of low certainty.

Digital health technologies to support medication adherence in chronic kidney disease.

Non-adherence to medications is a critical challenge in the management of people with chronic kidney disease (CKD). This review explores the complexities of adherence in this population, the unique barriers and enablers of good adherence behaviours, and the role of emerging digital health technologies in bridging the gap between evidence-based treatment plans and the real-world standard of care. We present the current evidence supporting the use of digital health interventions among CKD populations, identifying the key research questions that remain unanswered, and providing practical strategies for clinicians to support medication adherence in a digital age.

Fatal poisonings involving clozapine: A 16-year review of Australian coronial investigations.

OBJECTIVE: Concerns about intentional and unintentional poisoning present a barrier to wider use of clozapine in treatment-resistant schizophrenia. The objective of this study was to investigate decedent demographics and trends in fatal poisonings in Australia involving clozapine. METHODS: This was a retrospective case series of all fatal drug toxicity reported to an Australian coroner between 1 May 2000 and 31 December 2016 where toxicological analysis detected clozapine. Cases were identified using the National Coronial Information System. Demographics extracted included age and gender of the decedent, year and location of death, cause and manner of death and drugs detected in post-mortem samples. RESULTS: There were 278 poisoning deaths where clozapine was detected in toxicological analyses. Three-quarters of all cases (n = 207) involved men and the median age at death was 38.5 years (interquartile range: 16 years). Three-quarters of the deaths occurred in the home. Overall, 15.8% of deaths were deemed intentional, 57.5% unintentional and 24.5% of unknown intent. While the annual number of intentional self-poisonings remained constant with <5 per year, the overall number of fatalities increased due to an increase in unintentional poisonings. Multiple drug toxicity was reported in 55.0% of cases and clozapine alone in 45.0% of cases. The most common co-reported medications were antidepressants, benzodiazepines and opioids detected in 47.1%, 44.4% and 41.2% of multiple drug toxicities, respectively. CONCLUSION: This was the first Australia-wide review of all fatal drug poisonings reported to a coroner involving clozapine. Fatalities were most common in men and occurred at home. Multiple drug toxicity generally involved psychotropic, sedative or opioid analgesic medications. Despite increasing clozapine use, rates of intentional poisoning have remained constant and low. Developing a better knowledge of unintentional fatalities presents an opportunity to minimise harm.

Cost-effectiveness of a mobile phone text messaging program (KIDNEYTEXT) targeting dietary behaviours in people receiving haemodialysis.

BACKGROUND: There is little information available to inform the cost-effectiveness of eHealth interventions in improving patient health outcomes. A trial-based economic evaluation was undertaken aiming to inform the feasibility of conducting a mobile phone text messaging programme targeting dietary behaviours in people receiving haemodialysis. METHODS: A trial-based economic evaluation from a health system perspective of a 6-month pilot randomised controlled trial was undertaken. One hundred and thirty patients receiving haemodialysis from six dialysis units across Sydney, Australia, were enrolled into the KIDNEYTEXT study. Usual care (inperson dietary counselling) was compared with usual care plus three semi-personalised dietary mobile phone text messages per week over a 6-month period. The outcomes of this economic evaluation included: cost of intervention, cost-effectiveness and marginal effects on total costs. RESULTS: The cost of developing and maintaining the KIDNEYTEXT intervention was US $110 per participant. Total costs were US $1418 higher in the usual care arm compared to the intervention arm. The incremental benefits for quality-adjusted life adjusted years were 0.01 [95% confidence interval (CI) = -0.03 to 0.06] and dietary adherence (i.e., adherent to three or more dietary guidelines at 6 months) being 0.04 (95% CI = -0.15 to 0.24). The largest component of total costs was related to unplanned admissions to hospital. CONCLUSIONS: Mobile phone text messages targeting dietary behaviours may be cost saving, at the same time as maintaining similar or improved dietary behaviours. A larger trial with a longer follow-up time is warranted.

A Novel Clinical Tool for the Management of Taste Changes in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease: The Chronic Kidney Disease Taste Plate.

Taste alteration is a common, but poorly understood, symptom in end-stage kidney disease. The pathophysiology of taste alteration is complex; to date, management has been largely empirical. As our understanding of pathophysiology grows so does the evidence base for its management. This article introduces a clinical tool-the CKD Taste Plate-to assist clinicians in directing management to the underlying pathophysiology of taste alterations in chronic kidney disease.

A Text Messaging Intervention for Dietary Behaviors for People Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis: A Feasibility Study of KIDNEYTEXT.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: An important component of hemodialysis management involves delivery of complex dietary recommendations. The aim of this study was to determine the feasibility of a mobile phone text-message intervention to improve dietary behavior in people undergoing hemodialysis. STUDY DESIGN: Six-month randomized feasibility study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis across 2 health districts in Sydney, Australia. INTERVENTIONS: Participants randomized to the intervention received 3 text messages per week in addition to standard dietary care for 6 months. The usual care group received standard dietary care. OUTCOMES: The primary outcomes were feasibility measured using recruitment and retention rates, acceptability of the intervention, and adherence to dietary recommendations. Secondary exploratory outcomes included information on certain clinical parameters related to dietary management of patients receiving maintenance hemodialysis. RESULTS: 130 people were recruited; 48% of eligible patients (130 of 272) consented to participate, and 88% (115 of 130) completed the study. Semistructured interviews evaluating acceptability identified 5 themes: clear and comprehensive, engaging with consistent and relevant content, maintaining attention with timely reminders, sustaining interest through ongoing care, and generic messages inadequate to prompt dietary change. There was no difference in adherence to dietary recommendations across treatment groups (odds ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 0.55-2.72]; P = 0.6). Secondary exploratory analyses suggested reductions in dietary intake of single nutrients (potassium, phosphorus, sodium, protein), interdialytic weight gain, and phosphate binder use among intervention participants compared with participants assigned to standard care. LIMITATIONS: Our feasibility study was of short duration. Adherence was based on self-reported data. Generalizability to populations receiving maintenance hemodialysis outside of an urban, Australian setting is unknown. CONCLUSIONS: A simple mobile phone text-messaging intervention was feasible and acceptable to patients. Further investigation of the impact on patient-reported and clinical outcomes is warranted. FUNDING: Funding for the study was provided by a Sydney Medical School Foundation Grant and the Centre for Transplant and Renal Research at Westmead Hospital. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Registered at Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry with study number ACTRN12617001084370.

Incorporating digital platforms into nutritional care in chronic kidney disease.

Digital health is increasingly recognized for its value to enhance patient care and clinical care processes. People with chronic kidney disease often find dietary self-management challenging. There is promising evidence that digital health interventions can support people with chronic kidney disease to self-manage their diet, by providing more frequent access to nutritional information and dietitians and by facilitating regular monitoring and feedback. There is some emerging evidence of the impact of digital interventions in chronic kidney disease; however, more research is needed to provide meaningful interpretation of how digital interventions can enhance current practice. Importantly, a number of factors need to be considered when designing, developing, implementing, and evaluating the impact of digital interventions. Consideration of the nutrition service and patients' needs, motivation and digital literacy, type of digital intervention, and the ability to embed the digital intervention into current care processes are critical. This paper overviews the current literature on digital health and self-management, factors to consider when embedding digital interventions and platforms into nutrition care and practical considerations for designing and implementing digital health interventions to enhance the nutritional care of people with chronic kidney disease.

Prevalence of Taste Changes and Association with Other Nutrition-Related Symptoms in End-Stage Kidney Disease Patients.

OBJECTIVES: Gastrointestinal symptoms are common in end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and have been associated with reduced health-related quality of life and malnutrition. The aim of this study is to describe the prevalence of taste changes in an ESKD population and to evaluate whether taste changes are associated with the presence or severity of other nutrition-related symptoms and malnutrition. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective audit of people with ESKD on conservative, nondialysis management or renal replacement therapy who had completed a taste change assessment. Taste change was assessed on a Likert scale from none to overwhelming. Descriptions of taste changes were also collected. Other outcomes included gastrointestinal symptoms collected using the iPOS-renal symptom inventory, nutritional status, and biochemical parameters. RESULTS: In total, 298 patients were included in our analysis. Taste changes were reported in 38% of this cohort. Taste changes were significantly associated with upper gastrointestinal symptoms (nausea, vomiting, anorexia, and dry/sore mouth) and malnutrition. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings indicate that taste changes are highly prevalent and probably under-recognized in ESKD. Further investigation of the association with malnutrition is needed. Future trials are needed to evaluate strategies to manage taste changes in this population.

A carbon footprint study of the Canadian medical residency interview tour.

BACKGROUND: Each spring, thousands of Canadian medical students travel across the country to interview for residency positions, a process known as the CaRMS tour. Despite the large scale of travel, the CaRMS tour has received little environmental scrutiny. PURPOSE: To estimate the national carbon footprint of flights associated with the CaRMS tour, as well as reductions in emissions achievable by transitioning to alternative models. METHODS: We developed a three-question online commuter survey to collect the unique travel itineraries of applicants in the 2020 CaRMS tour. We calculated the emissions associated with all flights and modelled expected emissions for two alternative in-person interview models, and two virtual interview models. RESULTS: We collected 960 responses out of 2943 applicants across all 17 Canadian medical schools. We calculated the carbon footprint of flights for the 2020 CaRMS as 4239 tCO2e (tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalents), averaging 1.44 tCO2e per applicant. The average applicant's tour emissions represent 35.1% of the average Canadian's annual household carbon footprint, and the emissions of 26.7% of respondents exceeded their entire annual '2050 carbon budget.' Centralized in-person interviews could reduce emissions by 13.7% to 74.7%, and virtual interviews by at least 98.4% to 99.9%. CONCLUSIONS: Mandatory in-person residency interviews in Canada contribute significant emissions and reflect a culture of emissions-intensive practices. Considerable decarbonization of the CaRMS tour is possible, and transitioning to virtual interviews could eliminate the footprint almost entirely.

Hospital to Home: A Quality Improvement Initiative to Implement High-fidelity Simulation Training for Caregivers of Children Requiring Long-term Mechanical Ventilation.

BACKGROUND: Preparing families of children requiring long-term mechanical ventilation (LTMV) to manage medical emergencies at home is challenging. Opportunities for family caregivers to rehearse crisis management in a controlled setting before discharge are limited. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to create a multimodal discharge preparedness curriculum, incorporating high-fidelity simulation training, to prepare family caregivers of children with complex medical conditions requiring long-term mechanical ventilation. We sought to determine which curricular elements were most helpful and whether this curriculum impacted the rate of readmissions within 7 days of hospital discharge. METHODS: The curriculum included instructional videos, printed handouts, cardiopulmonary resuscitation training, and two mandatory high fidelity simulation scenarios depicting tracheostomy- and ventilator-related emergencies. Teams of one to three family caregivers per patient managed each scenario. A video-based debriefing focused on identifying and closing performance gaps. Participants rated their perceptions regarding each curricular element and its relative impact on their preparedness for discharge. RESULTS: 87 family caregivers completed the curriculum. Simulation-enhanced curriculum was well-received by participants. Participants reported that post-simulation debriefing was the most beneficial component. We observed a trend toward reduced readmissions within 7 days of discharge since implementation of our revised curriculum. CONCLUSION: Simulation training can be incorporated into discharge training for families of children requiring LTMV. Rehearsal of emergency management in a simulated clinical setting increases caregiver confidence to assume care for their ventilator-dependent child.

Zinc supplementation protects human endostatin Fc fusion against proteolytic degradation during cell culture.

Endostatin is a potent anti-angiogenesis compound with efficacy in treating solid tumors and other diseases. However, its clinical application has been hampered by the susceptibility to proteolytic degradation during cell culture production. Here we describe a simple and effective strategy for stabilizing a CHO cell-derived human endostatin Fc fusion. Mass spectrometry analysis of the prominent clipped species revealed that the cleavage sites are located at the N-terminal zinc binding region, which is known to be critical for the structural stability of the molecule. Accordingly, we tested the effect of zinc supplementation on stabilizing the molecule and found that micromolar concentrations of zinc chloride significantly reduced the level of clipping. The protective effect appeared to be mediated via direct interaction between zinc and endostatin, as zinc protects purified endostatin spiked into conditioned medium. Interestingly, copper which is known to have high affinity to endostatin, also prevents degradation. The method provides a robust process for manufacturing Fc-endostatin.

Can lithium be used in the setting of clozapine commencement in patients with COVID-19 associated neutropenia: A case report.

COVID-19 infection may increase the likelihood of neutropenia in patients already on clozapine. In clozapine treated patients experiencing COVID-19 associated neutropenia, adjunct therapy with lithium can be considered.

Demand forecasting for platelet usage: From univariate time series to multivariable models.

Platelet products are both expensive and have very short shelf lives. As usage rates for platelets are highly variable, the effective management of platelet demand and supply is very important yet challenging. The primary goal of this paper is to present an efficient forecasting model for platelet demand at Canadian Blood Services (CBS). To accomplish this goal, five different demand forecasting methods, ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average), Prophet, lasso regression (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator), random forest, and LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) networks are utilized and evaluated via a rolling window method. We use a large clinical dataset for a centralized blood distribution centre for four hospitals in Hamilton, Ontario, spanning from 2010 to 2018 and consisting of daily platelet transfusions along with information such as the product specifications, the recipients' characteristics, and the recipients' laboratory test results. This study is the first to utilize different methods from statistical time series models to data-driven regression and machine learning techniques for platelet transfusion using clinical predictors and with different amounts of data. We find that the multivariable approaches have the highest accuracy in general, however, if sufficient data are available, a simpler time series approach appears to be sufficient. We also comment on the approach to choose predictors for the multivariable models.