Coronary artery bypass grafting vs. percutaneous coronary intervention in severe ischaemic cardiomyopathy: long-term survival.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The optimal revascularization strategy in patients with ischaemic cardiomyopathy remains unclear with no contemporary randomized trial data to guide clinical practice. This study aims to assess long-term survival in patients with severe ischaemic cardiomyopathy revascularized by either coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). METHODS: Using the Australian and New Zealand Society of Cardiac and Thoracic Surgeons and Melbourne Interventional Group registries (from January 2005 to 2018), patients with severe ischaemic cardiomyopathy [left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <35%] undergoing PCI or isolated CABG were included in the analysis. Those with ST-elevation myocardial infarction and cardiogenic shock were excluded. The primary outcome was long-term National Death Index-linked mortality up to 10 years following revascularization. Risk adjustment was performed to estimate the average treatment effect using propensity score analysis with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). RESULTS: A total of 2042 patients were included, of whom 1451 patients were treated by CABG and 591 by PCI. Inverse probability of treatment weighting-adjusted demographics, procedural indication, coronary artery disease extent, and LVEF were well balanced between the two patient groups. After risk adjustment, patients treated by CABG compared with those treated by PCI experienced reduced long-term mortality [adjusted hazard ratio 0.59, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.45-0.79, P = .001] over a median follow-up period of 4.0 (inter-quartile range 2.2-6.8) years. There was no difference between the groups in terms of in-hospital mortality [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 1.42, 95% CI 0.41-4.96, P = .58], but there was an increased risk of peri-procedural stroke (aOR 19.6, 95% CI 4.21-91.6, P < .001) and increased length of hospital stay (exponentiated coefficient 3.58, 95% CI 3.00-4.28, P < .001) in patients treated with CABG. CONCLUSIONS: In this multi-centre IPTW analysis, patients with severe ischaemic cardiomyopathy undergoing revascularization by CABG rather than PCI showed improved long-term survival. However, future randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm the effect of any such benefits.

Association between temperature and air pollutants with atrial fibrillation presentations to emergency departments.

INTRODUCTION: Understanding the impact of environmental exposures on disease incidence is important for environmental guidelines, health services management, and advising patients. We aimed to assess the relationship between daily mean temperature and common pollutants with atrial fibrillation (AF) presentations to emergency departments (EDs). METHODS: The study included consecutive adult patients presenting with AF to EDs from 1/1/2014 to 31/12/2020 with linkage to hospital and emergency discharge diagnosis data. A time series quasi-Poisson regression with a distributed lag nonlinear model was fitted to assess the association between AF with mean air temperature and five common pollutants, overall and according to sex and region, with adjustment for season, day of the week, long-term trend, and co-pollutants. RESULTS: In 82 575 AF presentations to EDs during the study period, mean (standard deviations [SD]) (SD) age was 69.6 (SD 14.7) years and 50.7% were female. AF presentations were associated with elevated levels of Particulate Matter (PM) 2.5 (≥57.7 µg/m3) and nitrous dioxide (NO2) (≥16.5 parts per billion), but not mean air temperature or other pollutants (carbon monoxide, sulphur dioxide, or ozone). The attributable fraction of AF presentations relating to above optimal NO2 and PM 2.5 levels was 7.24% and 3.81% resulting in 854 and 450 annual excess AF presentations, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: High levels of NO2 and PM 2.5 are associated with increased risk of AF presentations to EDs. These findings have important implications for environmental policies and advice to patients susceptible to AF presentations to EDs, especially in regions with higher baseline levels of PM 2.5 or NO2.

Variation in Health Care Processes, Quality and Outcomes According to Day and Time of Chest Pain Presentation via Ambulance.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies examining temporal variations in cardiovascular care have largely been limited to assessing weekend and after-hours effects. We aimed to determine whether more complex temporal variation patterns might exist in chest pain care. METHODS: This was a population-based study of consecutive adult patients attended by emergency medical services (EMS) for non-traumatic chest pain without ST elevation in Victoria, Australia between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019. Multivariable models were used to assess whether time of day and week stratified into 168 hourly time periods was associated with care processes and outcomes. RESULTS: There were 196,365 EMS chest pain attendances; mean age 62.4 years (standard deviation [SD] 18.3) and 51% females. Presentations demonstrated a diurnal pattern, a Monday-Sunday gradient (Monday peak) and a reverse weekend effect (lower rates on weekends). Five temporal patterns were observed for care quality and process measures, including a diurnal pattern (longer emergency department [ED] length of stay), an after-hours pattern (lower angiography or transfer for myocardial infarction, pre-hospital aspirin administration), a weekend effect (shorter ED clinician review, shorter EMS off-load time), an afternoon/evening peak period pattern (longer ED clinician review, longer EMS off-load time) and a Monday-Sunday gradient (ED clinician review, EMS offload time). Risk of 30-day mortality was associated with weekend presentation (Odds ratio [OR] 1.15, p=0.001) and morning presentation (OR 1.17, p<0.001) while risk of 30-day EMS reattendance was associated with peak period (OR 1.16, p<0.001) and weekend presentation (OR 1.07, p<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Chest pain care demonstrates complex temporal variation beyond the already established weekend and after-hours effect. Such relationships should be considered during resource allocation and quality improvement programs to improve care across all days and times of the week.

The influence of ambulance offload time on 30-day risks of death and re-presentation for patients with chest pain.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether ambulance offload time influences the risks of death or ambulance re-attendance within 30 days of initial emergency department (ED) presentations by adults with non-traumatic chest pain. DESIGN, SETTING: Population-based observational cohort study of consecutive presentations by adults with non-traumatic chest pain transported by ambulance to Victorian EDs, 1 January 2015 - 30 June 2019. PARTICIPANTS: Adults (18 years or older) with non-traumatic chest pain, excluding patients with ST elevation myocardial infarction (pre-hospital electrocardiography) and those who were transferred between hospitals or not transported to hospital (eg, cardiac arrest or death prior to transport). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Primary outcome: 30-day all-cause mortality (Victorian Death Index data). SECONDARY OUTCOME: Transport by ambulance with chest pain to ED within 30 days of initial ED presentation. RESULTS: We included 213 544 people with chest pain transported by ambulance to EDs (mean age, 62 [SD, 18] years; 109 027 women [51%]). The median offload time increased from 21 (IQR, 15-30) minutes in 2015 to 24 (IQR, 17-37) minutes during the first half of 2019. Three offload time tertiles were defined to include approximately equal patient numbers: tertile 1 (0-17 minutes), tertile 2 (18-28 minutes), and tertile 3 (more than 28 minutes). In multivariable models, 30-day risk of death was greater for patients in tertile 3 than those in tertile 1 (adjusted rates, 1.57% v 1.29%; adjusted risk difference, 0.28 [95% CI, 0.16-0.42] percentage points), as was that of a second ambulance attendance with chest pain (adjusted rates, 9.03% v 8.15%; adjusted risk difference, 0.87 [95% CI, 0.57-1.18] percentage points). CONCLUSIONS: Longer ambulance offload times are associated with greater 30-day risks of death and ambulance re-attendance for people presenting to EDs with chest pain. Improving the speed of ambulance-to-ED transfers is urgently required.

Health-related quality of life following percutaneous coronary intervention during the COVID-19 pandemic.

PURPOSE: During the COVID-19 pandemic, widespread public health measures were implemented to control community transmission. The association between these measures and health-related quality of life (HRQOL) among patients following percutaneous coronary intervention has not been studied. METHODS: We included consecutive patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in the state-wide Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry between 1/3/2020 and 30/9/2020 (COVID-19 period; n = 5024), with a historical control group from the identical period one year prior (control period; n = 5041). HRQOL assessment was performed via telephone follow-up 30 days following PCI using the 3-level EQ-5D questionnaire and Australian-specific index values. RESULTS: Baseline characteristics were similar between groups, but during the COVID-19 period indication for PCI was more common for acute coronary syndromes. No patients undergoing PCI were infected with COVID-19 at the time of their procedure. EQ-5D visual analogue score (VAS), index score, and individual components were higher at 30 days following PCI during the COVID-19 period (all P < 0.01). In multivariable analysis, the COVID-19 period was independently associated with higher VAS and index scores. No differences were observed between regions or stage of restrictions in categorical analysis. Similarly, in subgroup analysis, no significant interactions were observed. CONCLUSION: Measures of HRQOL following PCI were higher during the COVID-19 pandemic compared to the previous year. These data suggest that challenging community circumstances may not always be associated with poor patient quality of life.

Learning Curve and Initial Experience With Implementation of a His-Bundle Pacing Program in an Australian Setting.

BACKGROUND: His-bundle pacing (HBP) has emerged as a promising technique to avoid pacing complications associated with dyssynchrony from right ventricular pacing, but data are limited to experienced operators and centres. We aimed to evaluate the implementation and outcomes of an HBP program in an Australian setting. METHODS: Data were retrospectively collected on 140 consecutive HBP procedures attempted at three centres from March 2018 to September 2019. The cohort was divided into three groups (early: procedures 1-47, middle: 48-94, late: 95-140) to determine changes in procedural success in relation to operator experience. RESULTS: Median age was 76 years (IQR 68-80 yrs); 69% were male. Atrial fibrillation was present in 59%, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤40% in 25%, and left and right bundle branch blocks present in 23% and 16% respectively, and atrioventricular (AV) block was present in 26%. Overall procedural success was 87%, median implant threshold 0.8V@1 ms, and QRS duration improved in 64% of procedures. Procedural success (early 83%, middle 89%, late 89%, p=0.58) was not different, while median procedural time (early 98 mins, middle 83 mins, late 70 mins, p<0.001) improved across operator experience groups. Lower success rates were identified for patients with AV block (73% vs. 92%, p<0.01), a previous device (69% vs. 89%, p=0.02), moderate-severe TR (69% vs. 88%, p=0.04), and when right-sided access was required (25% vs. 89%, p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: His-bundle pacing is a feasible procedure with continued improvement in procedural measures of success after an early learning period. The presence of AV block, a previous device, significant tricuspid regurgitation, or right-sided access may affect procedural success.

Medium-Term Bioresorbable Scaffold Outcomes Utilising Data From an Australian Clinical Quality Registry.

BACKGROUND: Bioresorbable scaffolds (BRS) are a novel technology in coronary intervention. However, recent trials demonstrate higher rates of device failure compared to contemporary drug-eluting stents. This study sought to utilise a clinical quality registry to assess the medium-term safety of the Abbott Absorb BRS (Abbott Vascular, Santa Clara, CA, USA), in an Australian context. METHODS: A prospective, observational study of 192 BRS percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) compared to 31,773 non-BRS PCIs entered in the Victorian Cardiac Outcomes Registry from 2013 to 2017. The main outcome measure was patient-oriented composite endpoint (POCE) events comprising all-cause mortality, any myocardial infarction (MI), and any revascularisation. RESULTS: Bioresorbable scaffolds patients (mean age 61.6±10.5 years, 79% male) were younger, had less comorbidity, less prior PCI, fewer ST elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) presentations, lower rates of multi-lesion disease and more adjuvant devices compared to non-BRS PCI (all p<0.01). All-cause mortality was 2.1%, myocardial infarction (MI) 2.1%, scaffold thrombosis 3.1% and any revascularisation 14.1% (mean follow-up 27.4±8.9 months). POCE events occurred in 11.5% at 1 year and 16.9% at 2 years, comparable to pooled-trial data. Multivariate predictors of POCE were >1 scaffold used (odds ratio [OR] 4.6, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.9-11.4, p<0.01) and scaffold diameter ≤2.5 mm (OR 3.3, 95% CI 1.4-7.6, p=0.02). Over 95% guideline adherence was achieved in six of eight patient selection criteria and four of six device deployment criteria. CONCLUSION: In an Australian setting, BRS were used in non-complex patients. Most guidelines for use were adhered to and outcomes were comparable to pooled trial data. Clinical quality registries are effective in assessing novel treatments and technologies when potential safety concerns develop.

Factors That Prevent Progression to Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation (TAVI).

BACKGROUND: Transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) is increasingly used for intermediate- and high-risk patients with severe symptomatic aortic stenosis (AS). However, safe undertaking of the procedure may be precluded by various anatomic factors. This study sought to identify prevalence of factors that prevent progression to TAVI. METHODS: TAVI candidates with severe AS undergoing workup coronary angiography and iliac vessel angiography (±cardiac-gated CT) were identified and factors precluding TAVI were reviewed retrospectively from a single-centre cardiac database over a 10-year period. RESULTS: 197 patients were included; mean age was 81.5±6.5years (±SD); 46.2% were male. 26.9% of TAVI candidates could not proceed to femoral access TAVI due to various factors including unsuitable peripheral vasculature (13.2%), untreated coronary artery disease (CAD) deemed high risk for TAVI (8.1%), unfavourable aortic characteristics (4.1%), and low-lying coronary ostia (1.5%). Factors associated with unsuitable femoral vasculature included female gender (p<0.01) and any CAD (p=0.03). Factors associated with the presence of unrevascularised CAD included male gender (p<0.01), estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR)<30mL/min/1.73m2 (p=0.02), history of CAD (p<0.01), while prior percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) or bypass surgery were protective (both p<0.01). Rates of progression to TAVI have increased over the last 10 years (p<0.01) from 58.3% prior to 2012 to 83.7% in 2016 and 2017, while incidence of unsuitable peripheral vasculature preventing TAVI (p=0.01) and CAD deemed unsuitable for TAVI (p=0.04) have both decreased. CONCLUSIONS: Non-progression to TAVI among higher risk patients with severe AS has become less common over the last 10 years with improvements in operator experience, lower profile devices, and wider ranges of valve sizes.

Trends and Clinical Outcomes in Patients Undergoing Primary Percutaneous Revascularisation for ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction: A Single Centre Experience.

BACKGROUND: Primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI) is the preferred therapy for patients presenting with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI). We reviewed patients undergoing PCI for STEMI over a 6-year period to evaluate changes in procedural characteristics and clinical outcomes given recent changes to STEMI guidelines. METHODS: All patients presenting to the Alfred Hospital, a tertiary referral hospital, between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2015 undergoing PCI for STEMI were identified. Detailed review of their procedure reports was performed and 30-day and 12-month clinical outcomes were recorded including major adverse cardiac events (MACE). RESULTS: There was a total of 445 patients aged 60.6±12.4 years with 369 (82.9%) male. There was a significant increase in radial access use over the 6-year period 0/49 (0%) in 2010 vs 56/113 (49.6%) in 2015 (p<0.01). There was a significant reduction in the use of IIb/IIIa receptor antagonists during the period 29/49 (59%) in 2010 vs 24/113 (21%) in 2015 (p<0.01) and use of aspiration thrombectomy 15/49 (31%) in 2010 vs 19/113 (17%) in 2015 (p<0.01). There was no significant reduction in major bleeding over this period with 2/49 (4%) in 2010 vs 5/108 (5%) in 2015 (p=0.32). Thirty-day and 12-month mortality was also unchanged. CONCLUSION: Between 2010 and 2015 there has been a significant increase in the use of radial access and a reduction in the use of glycoprotein IIb/IIIa antagonists and aspiration thrombectomy in patients undergoing PPCI. This was not associated with changes in major bleeding or 30-day or 12-month mortality.

Paravalvular Leak Closure After Self-Expanding Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement Using a Steerable Sheath.

We present the case of an 82-year-old woman with persistent fatigue, exertional dyspnea, and dizziness related to a paravalvular leak following a self-expanding transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Successful closure was performed using a steerable sheath to negotiate a vascular plug closure device through the self-expanding valve structure.

Association of socioeconomic status in the incidence, quality-of-care metrics, and outcomes for patients with cardiogenic shock in a pre-hospital setting.

AIMS: The relationship between lower socioeconomic status (SES) and poor cardiovascular outcomes is well described; however, there exists a paucity of data exploring this association in cardiogenic shock (CS). This study aimed to investigate whether any disparities exist between SES and the incidence, quality of care or outcomes of CS patients attended by emergency medical services (EMS). METHODS AND RESULTS: This population-based cohort study included consecutive patients transported by EMS with CS between 1 January 2015 and 30 June 2019 in Victoria, Australia. Data were collected from individually linked ambulance, hospital, and mortality datasets. Patients were stratified into SES quintiles using national census data produced by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.A total of 2628 patients were attended by EMS for CS. The age-standardized incidence of CS amongst all patients was 11.8 [95% confidence interval (95% CI), 11.4-12.3] per 100 000 person-years, with a stepwise increase from the highest to lowest SES quintile (lowest quintile 17.0 vs. highest quintile 9.7 per 100 000 person-years, P-trend < 0.001). Patients in lower SES quintiles were less likely to attend metropolitan hospitals and more likely to be received by inner regional and remote centres without revascularization capabilities. A greater proportion of the lower SES groups presented with CS due to non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) or unstable angina pectoris (UAP), and overall were less likely to undergo coronary angiography. Multivariable analysis demonstrated an increased 30-day all-cause mortality rate in the lowest three SES quintiles when compared with the highest quintile. CONCLUSION: This population-based study demonstrated discrepancies between SES status in the incidence, care metrics, and mortality rates of patients presenting to EMS with CS. These findings outline the challenges in equitable healthcare delivery within this cohort.

The burden of atrial fibrillation on emergency medical services: A population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a growing burden on healthcare resources, despite improvements in prevention and management. AF is a common cause of hospitalisation, and Emergency Medical Services (EMS) use. However, there is a paucity of data describing the burden of AF on EMS. We aimed to determine the prevalence, characteristics, and outcomes of patients presenting with AF to EMS using a large population-based sample. METHODS: Consecutive attendances for AF in Victoria, Australia (January 2015-June 2019) were included if patients had a diagnosis of "AF" or "arrhythmia" with AF on electrocardiogram. Data were individually linked to emergency, hospital, and mortality records. RESULTS: Of 2,613,056 EMS attendances, 16,525 were a first attendance for AF and linked to hospital records. Median (IQR) age was 76 (67,84) years (43% female). Seventy-eight percent had high thromboembolic risk (CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2), and 72% had a heart rate ≥ 100 bpm. Forty-two percent of patients received no treatment by paramedics and 99.4% were transported to hospital. Fifty-three percent were discharged from ED. Median length of hospital stay was 2 days. Of 2542 cases reattended for AF, 19% occurred within 30 days, with increased odds for females and those of low socioeconomic status. Overall, 24% died during the study period, 12% within 30 days. Increasing age, heart failure, stroke, COPD, and low socioeconomic status increased the odds of 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS: EMS utilisation for AF is common and associated with frequent reattendance. Further studies are required to investigate novel pathways of care to reduce AF burden on healthcare systems.

Ten-Year Risk Equations for Incident Heart Failure in Established Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Populations.

BACKGROUND: Ten-year risk equations for incident heart failure (HF) are available for the general population, but not for patients with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), which is highly prevalent in HF cohorts. This study aimed to develop and validate 10-year risk equations for incident HF in patients with known ASCVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: Ten-year risk equations for incident HF were developed using the United Kingdom Biobank cohort (recruitment 2006-2010) including participants with established ASCVD but free from HF at baseline. Model performance was validated using the Australian Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute Biobank cohort (recruitment 2000-2011) and compared with the performance of general population risk models. Incident HF occurred in 13.7% of the development cohort (n=31 446, median 63 years, 35% women, follow-up 10.7±2.7 years) and in 21.3% of the validation cohort (n=1659, median age 65 years, 25% women, follow-up 9.4±3.7 years). Predictors of HF included in the sex-specific models were age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure (treated or untreated), glucose (treated or untreated), cholesterol, smoking status, QRS duration, kidney disease, myocardial infarction, and atrial fibrillation. ASCVD-HF equations had good discrimination and calibration in development and validation cohorts, with superior performance to general population risk equations. CONCLUSIONS: ASCVD-specific 10-year risk equations for HF outperform general population risk models in individuals with established ASCVD. The ASCVD-HF equations can be calculated from readily available clinical data and could facilitate screening and preventative treatment decisions in this high-risk group.

Outcomes According to Coronary Disease Complexity and Optimal Thresholds to Guide Revascularization Approach: FAME 3 Trial.

BACKGROUND: Coronary disease complexity is commonly used to guide revascularization strategy in patients with multivessel disease (MVD). OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess the interactive effects of coronary complexity on percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) outcomes and identify the optimal threshold at which PCI can be considered a reasonable option. METHODS: A total of 1,444 of 1,500 patients with MVD from the FAME (Fractional Flow Reserve versus Angiography for Multi-vessel Evaluation) 3 randomized trial were included in the analysis (710 CABG vs 734 PCI). SYNTAX (Synergy Between PCI With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) scores were transformed into restricted cubic splines, and logistic regression models were fitted, with multiplicative interaction terms for revascularization strategy. Optimal thresholds at which PCI is a reasonable alternative to CABG were determined on the basis of Cox regression model performance. RESULTS: The mean SYNTAX score (SS) was 25.9 ± 7.1. SS was associated with 1-year major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events among PCI patients and 3-year death, myocardial infarction, and stroke among CABG patients. Significant interactions were present between revascularization strategy and SS for 1- and 3-year composite endpoints (P for interaction <0.05 for all). In Cox regression models, outcomes were comparable between CABG and PCI for the 3-year primary endpoint for SS ≤24 (P = 0.332), with 44% of patients below this threshold and 32% below the conventional SS threshold of ≤22. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with MVD without left main disease, PCI and CABG outcomes remain comparable up to SS values in the mid- rather than low 20s, which allows the identification of a greater proportion of patients in whom PCI may be a reasonable alternative to CABG.

No-Reflow Prediction in Acute Coronary Syndrome During Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: The NORPACS Risk Score.

BACKGROUND: Suboptimal coronary reperfusion (no reflow) is common in acute coronary syndrome percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) and is associated with poor outcomes. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinical risk score for angiographic no reflow for use following angiography and before PCI. METHODS: We developed and externally validated a logistic regression model for prediction of no reflow among adult patients undergoing PCI for acute coronary syndrome using data from the Melbourne Interventional Group PCI registry (2005-2020; development cohort) and the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society PCI registry (2006-2020; external validation cohort). RESULTS: A total of 30 561 patients (mean age, 64.1 years; 24% women) were included in the Melbourne Interventional Group development cohort and 440 256 patients (mean age, 64.9 years; 27% women) in the British Cardiovascular Interventional Society external validation cohort. The primary outcome (no reflow) occurred in 4.1% (1249 patients) and 9.4% (41 222 patients) of the development and validation cohorts, respectively. From 33 candidate predictor variables, 6 final variables were selected by an adaptive least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression model for inclusion (cardiogenic shock, ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction with symptom onset >195 minutes pre-PCI, estimated stent length ≥20 mm, vessel diameter <2.5 mm, pre-PCI Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction flow <3, and lesion location). Model discrimination was very good (development C statistic, 0.808; validation C statistic, 0.741) with excellent calibration. Patients with a score of ≥8 points had a 22% and 27% risk of no reflow in the development and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The no-reflow prediction in acute coronary syndrome risk score is a simple count-based scoring system based on 6 parameters available before PCI to predict the risk of no reflow. This score could be useful in guiding preventative treatment and future trials.

Differences in predictors of incident heart failure according to atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease status.

AIMS: Heart failure (HF) is a common cause of morbidity and mortality, related to a broad range of sociodemographic, lifestyle, cardiometabolic, and comorbidity risk factors, which may differ according to the presence of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). We assessed the association between incident HF with baseline status across these domains, overall and separated according to ASCVD status. METHODS AND RESULTS: We included 5758 participants from the Baker Biobank cohort without HF at baseline enrolled between January 2000 and December 2011. The primary endpoint was incident HF, defined as hospital admission or HF-related death, determined through linkage with state-wide administrative databases (median follow-up 12.2 years). Regression models were fitted adjusted for sociodemographic variables, alcohol intake, smoking status, measures of adiposity, cardiometabolic profile measures, and individual comorbidities. During 65 987 person-years (median age 59 years, 38% women), incident HF occurred among 784 participants (13.6%) overall. Rates of incident HF were higher among patients with ASCVD (624/1929, 32.4%) compared with those without ASCVD (160/3829, 4.2%). Incident HF was associated with age, socio-economic status, alcohol intake, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, systolic blood pressure (SBP), and low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C and HDL-C), with non-linear relationships observed for age, alcohol intake, BMI, waist circumference, waist-hip ratio, SBP, LDL-C, and HDL-C. Risk factors for incident HF were largely consistent regardless of ASCVD status, although diabetes status had a greater association with incident HF among patients without ASCVD. CONCLUSIONS: Incident HF is associated with a broad range of baseline sociodemographic, lifestyle, cardiometabolic, and comorbidity factors, which are mostly consistent regardless of ASCVD status. These data could be useful in efforts towards developing risk prediction models that can be used in patients with ASCVD.