RESUMO
AIMS: The definition of oligometastatic prostate cancer (OPCa) is currently based solely on the maximum number of detectable metastases, as there are no validated biomarkers available. The aim of this study was to identify novel predictive factors for OPCa patients who underwent metastases-directed therapy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This monocentre, retrospective study included consecutive OPCa patients with a maximum of five metastases in up to two organs, detected with choline- or PSMA-positron emission tomography, who were treated with metastases-directed stereotactic body radiation therapy. Endpoints were overall survival and progression-free survival, assessed with Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariate and multivariable Cox regression was carried out to evaluate the association between clinical factors and survival outcomes. RESULTS: Between 2009 and 2021, 163 patients and 320 metastases were treated with 226 stereotactic body radiation therapy courses. The median three-dimensional metastatic tumour volume was 4.1 cm3, with a range from 0.01 to 233.4 cm3. In total, 87 (53.4%), 21 (12.9%) and 55 (33.7%) metastases were classified as cN1, cM1a and cM1b, respectively. The median follow-up was 28.5 months. The rates of overall survival at 1, 3 and 5 years were 89.5% (95% confidence interval 83.4-93.4), 74.9% (95% confidence interval 66.1-81.7) and 57.2% (95% confidence interval 45.8-67.1), respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that overall survival reduced with the increase in three-dimensional total tumour volume (hazard ratio 1.93, 95% confidence interval 1.06-3.52; P = 0.030) and confirmed a significant difference between cN1 versus cM1a-b disease (hazard ratio 1.81, 95% confidence interval 1.01-3.25; P = 0.046). The cut-off value of total volume correlated with the highest risk of death was 20 cm3 (hazard ratio 2.37, 95% confidence interval 1.34-4.18; P = 0.003). The median progression-free survival was 17.8 months, with 1-, 3- and 5-year rates of 63.7% (95% confidence interval 55.4-70.9), 31.5% (95% confidence interval 22.8-40.6) and 24.7% (95% confidence interval 16.0-34.3). CONCLUSIONS: This study identified three-dimensional total tumour volume and the site of oligometastases as significant predictors of survival in OPCa patients treated with metastases-directed therapy. These parameters can potentially be used to personalised treatment and improve patient outcome.