Sustained post-rituximab B-cell depletion is common in ANCA-associated vasculitis and is affected by sex and renal function.

OBJECTIVE: Despite the increasing use of rituximab in anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV), it remains unclear what the optimal dosing is, especially for maintenance of remission. A deeper understanding of post-rituximab B-cell repopulation patterns may aid better-tailored treatment. METHODS: This is a monocentric, retrospective study including ANCA-positive AAV patients receiving a single course of rituximab induction. CD19+ B cells were longitudinally monitored with flow cytometry. B-cell repopulation was defined as CD19+ >10 cells/µL. RESULTS: Seventy-one patients were included, the majority with microscopic polyangiitis (75%), myeloperoxidase-ANCA positivity (75%) and with renal involvement (79%). During a median follow-up of 54 months since the first rituximab infusion, 44 patients (62%) repopulated B cells, with a median time to repopulation of 39 months (range 7-102). Patients experiencing B-cell depletion lasting longer than the overall median time to repopulation (39 months) exhibited a lower risk of flare and higher risk of serious infection. In multivariate Cox regression, higher estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) [hazard ratio (HR) 1.84, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.13-2.98 per 30 mL/min/1.73 m2 eGFR] and female sex (HR 2.70, 95% CI 1.37-5.31) were independent predictors of increased rate of B-cell repopulation. CONCLUSION: A subset of AAV patients develop sustained post-rituximab B-cell depletion, which associates with reduced risk of flare and increased risk of serious infection in the long term. Preserved renal function and female sex are associated with faster B-cell repopulation. These observations further highlight the need to personalize immunosuppression to improve clinical outcomes.

Anti-carbamylated protein antibodies as a clinical response predictor in rheumatoid arthritis patients treated with abatacept.

OBJECTIVES: Carbamylation is an irreversible post-translational modification of proteins. The presence of anti-carbamylated protein antibodies (anti-CarP) has been observed in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). This study was focused to verify whether anti-CarP antibodies can be used as a predictive factor of clinical response to abatacept (CTLA4-Ig) in RA patients. METHODS: Sixty RA patients treated with abatacept were enrolled. A home-made ELISA for anti-CarP and a commercial anti-CCP3.1 kit for anti-citrullinated proteins antibodies (anti-CCP) were applied to determine serum levels every six months of therapy. Rheumatoid factor (RF) was also tested. RESULTS: Anti-CarP positive patients (n=18) were younger (p=0.01) and with a longer disease duration (p=0.05) when compared to anti-CarP negative patients (n=42) at baseline. Considering the entire cohort, a significant reduction of anti-CarP titre after twelve-months of treatment was shown (p<0.01). A significant reduction of Disease Activity Score (DAS) 28-C-reactive protein (CRP) in the first six months of therapy was found in the subgroup of anti-CarP positive patients in comparison with the negative ones (p=0.003). No significant results were found by dividing the cohort using the positivity to anti-CCP and/or RF. CONCLUSIONS: Earlier onset and a longer disease duration in anti-CarP positive patients might suggest they are specific risk factors for RA in this subgroup of patients. The correlation between the anti-CarP positivity at baseline and the reduction of disease activity during the first six months of treatment with abatacept allowed us to hypothesise that anti-CarP antibodies, but not anti-CCP and/or RF, could be used as a good clinical response predictor.

Plasma Cystatin C Correlates with Plasma NfL Levels and Predicts Disease Progression in Parkinson's Disease.

INTRODUCTION: Previous studies reported increased plasma levels of cystatin C (Cys-C) in Parkinson's disease (PD) and claimed for a possible association with disease severity and progression. The aim of this study was to evaluate plasma Cys-C in PD and healthy controls (HC) and test its association with markers of peripheral inflammation, neurodegeneration, and clinical progression in a longitudinal study. METHODS: Plasma Cys-C, high-sensitive C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, and neurofilament light chain (NfL) were assessed at the baseline in 71 consecutive non-demented PD and 69 HC. PD patients underwent an extensive motor and cognitive assessment at baseline and after 2 years of follow-up. The association of Cys-C with disease severity was evaluated in a multilinear model adjusted for the effect of age, sex, disease duration, and peripheral inflammation. RESULTS: Cys-C levels appeared to be higher in PD compared to controls and correlated with the plasma neuronal marker NfL (r = 0.204, p = 0.046). In longitudinal analyses, PD patients with higher Cys-C levels exhibited faster motor progression at 2 years of follow-up independently from the peripheral inflammatory profile. CONCLUSIONS: Cys-C was associated with higher NfL levels and a remarkably faster motor progression in PD independently from peripheral inflammation. Further studies are needed in order to understand the mechanisms underpinning the association of Cys-C with higher neuronal damage markers in neurodegenerative diseases.

Social networks and health status in the elderly: the 'ANZIANI IN-RETE' population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Certain features of the social environment could maintain and even improve not only psychological well-being, but also health and cognition of the elderly. AIMS: We tested the association between social network characteristics and the number of chronic diseases in the elderly. METHODS: A randomized sample of the elderly population of Brescia, Italy, was evaluated (N = 200, age ≥65 years). We performed a comprehensive geriatric assessment, including information on socio-demographic variables (family, friendships, and acquaintance contacts). We measured each person's social network, i.e., degree, efficiency, and variety. RESULTS: The sample included 118 women and 82 men, mean age 77.7 years. The mean number of chronic diseases was 3.5. A higher social network degree, i.e., more social connections, was associated with fewer diseases. We also found that having more contacts with people similar to each other or intense relationships with people who do not know each other were associated with fewer diseases. CONCLUSION: More healthy people tend to share certain characteristics of social networks. Our study indicates that it is important to look at diseases and health as complex phenomena, which requires integrating different levels of analysis.

The interplay between hypoxia, endothelial and melanoma cells regulates vascularization and cell motility through endothelin-1 and vascular endothelial growth factor.

Reciprocal growth factor exchanges between endothelial and malignant cells within the hypoxic microenvironment determine tumor progression. However, the nature of these exchanges has not yet been fully explored. We studied the mutual regulation between endothelial cells (EC), melanoma cells and hypoxia that dictate tumor aggressiveness and angiogenic activity. Here, we investigated the presence of bidirectional autocrine/paracrine endothelin (ET)-1/ET receptor (ETBR) signaling in melanoma cells, blood and lymphatic EC. In all these cells, hypoxia enhanced ET-1 expression, which in turn induced vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF)-A and VEGF-C secretion, through the hypoxia-inducible growth factor (HIF)-1α and HIF-2α. Autocrine/paracrine exchanges of ET-1, VEGF-A and VEGF-C promoted tumor aggressiveness and morphological changes in blood and lymphatic EC. Furthermore, conditioned media from EC enhanced melanoma cell migration and vessel-like channel formation. This regulation was inhibited by ETBR blockade, by using the selective ETBR antagonist, or ETBR small interfering RNA (siRNA), and by VEGFR-2/-3 antibodies, indicating that ET-1, VEGF-A/VEGF-C, produced by melanoma cells or EC mediated inter-regulation between these cells. Interestingly, HIF-1α/HIF-2α siRNA, impaired this reciprocal regulation, demonstrating the key role of these transcriptional factors in signaling exchanges. In melanoma xenografts, the ETBR antagonist reduced tumor growth and the number of blood and lymphatic vessels. These results reveal an interplay between melanoma cells and EC mediated by ET-1 and VEGF-A/-C and coordinated by the hypoxic microenvironment through HIF-1α/2α transcriptional programs. Thus, targeting ETBR may improve melanoma treatment for tumor and EC, by inhibiting autocrine/paracrine signaling that sustains melanoma progression.

Profile of toll-like receptors on peripheral blood cells in relation to acute graft-versus-host disease after allogeneic stem cell transplantation.

Toll-like receptors (TLRs) play a key role in the cross-talk between the innate and adaptive immune systems. Previous studies investigating associations between certain TLRs and acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) have reported contrasting results, and no studies relating aGVHD to the expression and function of all human TLRs together have been published to date. We prospectively evaluated the expression of 9 TLRs on T lymphocytes and monocytes by flow cytometry in relation to aGVHD in 34 patients. Induction of TNF-α, IL-4, IFN-γ, and monocyte chemotactic protein 1 on TLR activation was assessed by ELISA on cell supernatants. Nineteen patients developed aGVHD, at a median time of 28 days (range, 20-50 days) after transplantation. A 2-step multivariate analysis was performed using principal component analysis and multifactor analysis of variance. The levels of TLR-5 expression on monocytes and T lymphocytes were positively correlated to aGVHD (P = .01), whereas levels of TLR-1 and -9 were negative predictors (P = .03 and .01, respectively). This profile of TLR-1, -5, and -9 can promote an overall immunostimulatory/proinflammatory response. If our findings are confirmed by further studies, this TLR profile could be a useful biomarker of aGVHD.

Association between human parainfluenza virus type 1 and smoking history in patients with an abdominal aortic aneurysm.

Several studies have suggested that infectious agents may induce the development of abdominal aortic aneurysms and/or accelerate their progression. The aim of this study was to evaluate the presence of the respiratory-transmitted viruses such as influenza A and B and parainfluenza type 1 genomes in bioptic fragments of abdominal aortic aneurysms. Furthermore, the association between viral infection and traditional risk factors for aneurysms was investigated employing multivariate logistic regression models. The genome of parainfluenza 1 was detected in 11 out of 57 patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm, influenza A only in one, whereas none of the specimens analyzed resulted positive for influenza B. After adjustment of age, gender, and clinical diagnosis, being current smokers was associated independently with parainfluenza 1 detection in aneurysms. The identification of parainfluenza 1 in aortic aneurysm biopsies supports previous observations of a possible role of viruses in the lesion development. Smoking, by interfering with the respiratory tract's ability to defend itself and predisposing to upper and lower respiratory tract infections may accelerate the onset and progression of abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Systemic Sclerosis-Specific Antibodies: Novel and Classical Biomarkers.

Disease-specific autoantibodies are considered the most important biomarkers for systemic sclerosis (SSc), due to their ability to stratify patients with different severity and prognosis. Anti-nuclear antibodies (ANA), occurring in subjects with isolated Raynuad's phenomenon, are considered the strongest independent predictors of definite SSc and digital microvascular damage, as observed by nailfold videocapillaroscopy. ANA are present in more than 90% of SSc, but ANA negativity does not exclude SSc diagnosis: a little rate of SSc ANA negative exists and shows a distinct subtype of disease, with less vasculopathy, but more frequent lower gastrointestinal involvement and severe disease course. Anti-centromere, anti-Th/To, and anti-Topoisomerase I antibodies could be considered as classical biomarkers, covering about 60% of SSc and defining patients with well-described cardio-pulmonary complications. In particular, anti-Topoisomerase I represent a risk factor for development of diffuse cutaneous involvement and digital ulcers in the first 3 years of disease, as well as severe interstitial lung disease (ILD). Anti-RNA polymerase III is a biomarker with new clinical implications: very rapid skin thickness progression, gastric antral vascular ectasia, the occurrence of synchronous cancers, and possible association with silicone breast implants rupture. Moreover, novel SSc specific autoantibodies have been globally described in about 10% of "seronegative" SSc patients: anti-elF2B, anti-RuvBL1/2 complex, anti-U11/U12 RNP, and anti-BICD2 depict specific SSc subtypes with severe organ complications. Many autoantibodies could be considered markers of overlap syndromes, including SSc. Anti-Ku are found in 2-7% of SSc, strictly defining the PM/SSc overlap. They are associated with synovitis, joint contractures, myositis, and negatively associated with vascular manifestation of disease. Anti-U3RNP are associated with a well-defined clinical phenotype: Afro-Caribbean male patients, younger at diagnosis, and higher risk of pulmonary hypertension and gastrointestinal involvement. Anti-PM/Scl define SSc patients with high frequency of ILD, calcinosis, dermatomyositis skin changes, and severe myositis. The accurate detection of autoantibodies SSc specific and associated with overlap syndromes is crucial for patients' stratification. ANA should be correctly identified using indirect immunofluorescent assay and a standardized way of patterns' interpretation. The gold-standard technique for autoantibodies' identification in SSc is still considered immunoprecipitation, for its high sensitivity and specificity, but other assays have been widely used in routine practice. The identification of SSc autoantibodies with high diagnostic specificity and high predictive value is mandatory for early diagnosis, a specific follow-up and the possible definition of the best therapy for every SSc subsets. In addition, the validation of novel autoantibodies is mandatory in wider cohorts in order to restrict the gap of so-called seronegative SSc patients.

Mitochondrial Dysfunction in Peripheral Blood Mononuclear Cells as Novel Diagnostic Tools for Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Visualizing Relationships with Known and Potential Disease Biomarkers.

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a health emergency worldwide due to its high prevalence and the lack of specific therapies. Noninvasive biomarkers supporting NAFLD diagnosis are urgently needed. Liver mitochondrial dysfunction is a central NAFLD pathomechanism that changes throughout disease progression. Blood-cell bioenergetics reflecting mitochondrial organ dysfunction is emerging for its potential applications in diagnostics. We measured real-time mitochondrial respirometry in peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs), anthropometric parameters, routine blood analytes, and circulating cytokines from a cohort of NAFLD patients (N = 19) and non-NAFLD control subjects (N = 18). PBMC basal respiration, ATP-linked respiration, maximal respiration, and spare respiratory capacity were significantly reduced in NAFLD compared to non-NAFLD cases. Correlation plots were applied to visualize relationships between known or potential NAFLD-related biomarkers, while non-parametric methods were applied to identify which biomarkers are NAFLD predictors. Basal and ATP-linked mitochondrial respiration were negatively correlated with triglycerides and fasting insulin levels and HOMA index. Maximal and spare respiratory capacity were negatively correlated with IL-6 levels. All the mitochondrial respiratory parameters were positively correlated with HDL-cholesterol level and negatively correlated with fatty liver index. We propose including blood cell respirometry in panels of NAFLD diagnostic biomarkers to monitor disease progression and the response to current and novel therapies, including mitochondrial-targeted ones.

Human iPSC-Derived 3D Hepatic Organoids in a Miniaturized Dynamic Culture System.

The process of identifying and approving a new drug is a time-consuming and expensive procedure. One of the biggest issues to overcome is the risk of hepatotoxicity, which is one of the main reasons for drug withdrawal from the market. While animal models are the gold standard in preclinical drug testing, the translation of results into therapeutic intervention is often ambiguous due to interspecies differences in hepatic metabolism. The discovery of human induced pluripotent stem cells (hiPSCs) and their derivatives has opened new possibilities for drug testing. We used mesenchymal stem cells and hepatocytes both derived from hiPSCs, together with endothelial cells, to miniaturize the process of generating hepatic organoids. These organoids were then cultivated in vitro using both static and dynamic cultures. Additionally, we tested spheroids solely composed by induced hepatocytes. By miniaturizing the system, we demonstrated the possibility of maintaining the organoids, but not the spheroids, in culture for up to 1 week. This timeframe may be sufficient to carry out a hypothetical pharmacological test or screening. In conclusion, we propose that the hiPSC-derived liver organoid model could complement or, in the near future, replace the pharmacological and toxicological tests conducted on animals.

Longitudinal Characterization of Immune Response in a Cohort of Children Hospitalized with Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Multisystem Inflammatory Syndrome in Children (MIS-C) is a severe complication of SARS-CoV-2 infection caused by hyperactivation of the immune system. METHODS: this is a retrospective analysis of clinical data, biochemical parameters, and immune cell subsets in 40 MIS-C patients from hospital admission to outpatient long-term follow-up. RESULTS: MIS-C patients had elevated inflammatory markers, associated with T- and NK-cell lymphopenia, a profound depletion of dendritic cells, and altered monocyte phenotype at disease onset, while the subacute phase of the disease was characterized by a significant increase in T- and B-cell counts and a rapid decline in activated T cells and terminally differentiated B cells. Most of the immunological parameters returned to values close to the normal range during the remission phase (20-60 days after hospital admission). Nevertheless, we observed a significantly reduced ratio between recently generated and more differentiated CD8+ T- and B-cell subsets, which partially settled at longer-term follow-up determinations. CONCLUSIONS: The characterization of lymphocyte distribution in different phases of MIS-C may help to understand the course of diseases that are associated with dysregulated immune responses and to calibrate prompt and targeted treatments.

Peripheral accumulation of newly produced T and B lymphocytes in natalizumab-treated multiple sclerosis patients.

The anti-α4 monoclonal antibody natalizumab inhibits lymphocyte extravasation into the central nervous system and increases peripheral T and B lymphocytes in multiple sclerosis patients. To investigate whether the lymphocyte accumulation was due to a higher lymphocyte production, an altered homeostasis, or a differential transmigration of lymphocyte subsets through endothelia, T-cell receptor excision circles and kappa-deleting recombination excision circles were quantified before and after treatment, T-cell receptor repertoire was analyzed by spectratyping, and T- and B-lymphocyte subset migration was studied using transwell coated with vascular and lymphatic endothelial cells. We found that the number of newly produced T and B lymphocytes is increased because of a high release and of a low propensity of naïve subsets to migrate across endothelial cells. In some patients this resulted in an enlargement of T-cell heterogeneity. Because new lymphocyte production ensures the integrity of immune surveillance, its quantification could be used to monitor natalizumab therapy safety.

U94 of human herpesvirus 6 inhibits in vitro angiogenesis and lymphangiogenesis.

Human herpesvirus 6 (HHV-6) is a lymphotropic virus, but recent observations showed that also vascular endothelial cells (ECs) are susceptible to infection, both in vivo and in vitro. The observation that lymph nodes are a site of viral persistence suggests that lymphatic ECs (LECs) might be even more relevant for HHV-6 biology than vascular ECs. Here, we provide evidence that HHV-6 can infect LECs in vitro and establish a latent infection. Thus HHV-6 infection induces the loss of angiogenic properties both in LECs and in vascular ECs, as shown by the inability to form capillary-like structures and to seal wound scratches. The antiangiogenic effects observed in infected cells are associated to the expression of HHV-6 U94/rep, a latency-associated gene. In fact, transfection of U94/rep or addition of recombinant U94/REP protein to ECs inhibits the formation of in vitro capillary-like structures, reduces migration of ECs, and blocks angiogenesis, rendering rat aortic rings insensitive to VEGF-induced vasculogenetic activity. The ability of U94/rep to block different angiogenetic steps may lead to approaches in the potential control of the proliferation of blood and lymphatic vessels.

Low-dose Lung Radiotherapy for COVID-19-related Pneumonia: Preliminary Results of the Italian Mono-institutional COLOR-19 Trial.

AIM: To evaluate the feasibility and tolerability of low-dose radiotherapy (LDRT) delivered to both lungs in the treatment of SARS-CoV-2-immune-mediated pneumonia in the COLOR-19 study (NCT0437747). PATIENTS AND METHODS: From May 2020 to April 2021 at Brescia University Radiation Oncology Department, three patients with COVID-19-related pneumonia were treated with LDRT according to the COLOR-19 protocol. All patients were treated with a single fraction at the average prescription dose of 0.7 Gy to both lungs. RESULTS: Three patients were enrolled (two males and one female, aged 61-81 years) and underwent LDRT. Despite LDRT being safely performed without significant side-effects, two patients died (one 81-year-old male due to septic shock secondary to Escherichia coli infection and one 79-year-old male, already in poor condition, due to worsening of COVID-19). The remaining female patient (61 years old) underwent LDRT for less severe COVID-19: her clinical condition and chest X-ray improved, and she was discharged home completely asymptomatic 27 days after hospital admission. Blood levels of C-reactive protein and ferritin generally decreased after LDRT. CONCLUSION: Early results of the COLOR-19 study demonstrate the feasibility of LDRT for therapy of COVID-19-related pneumonia; no conclusions on the efficacy have been reached due to poor accrual.

Predictive markers for clinical outcomes in a cohort of diabetic patients hospitalized for COVID-19.

INTRODUCTION: The role of glycemic control, both prior and during hospitalization, on mortality from COVID-19 in diabetic patients is debated. Furthermore, it is not clear whether hyperglycemia has a direct effect or requires inflammatory mechanisms. OBJECTIVE: To identify predictors of clinical outcomes (in-hospital mortality, length of hospitalization, respiratory failure, need for intensive care), considering hyperglycemia, inflammation markers and clinical history. METHODS: Retrospective observational study of 291 diabetic patients hospitalized with COVID-19 in the Spedali Civili di Brescia from February 1th 2020 to March 31th 2021, with also outpatient electronic records. Glucose, inflammatory parameters, creatinine were collected within 24 h after admission to the hospital. A causal mediation analysis allowed the estimation of the direct and indirect effects of hyperglycemia on mortality. RESULTS: Glucose at admission ≥ 165 mg/dL and reduced renal function were associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and length of hospitalization (all p < 0.001), while an increase in inflammatory parameters was significantly associated with an increased risk of all outcomes. High basophil count was associated with reduced mortality (p < 0.001). Hyperglycemia had a direct effect on mortality (p < 0.001); the indirect, through inflammatory markers, was significant only for absolute neutrophil count, C-Reactive protein and procalcitonin (p = 0.007, p = 0.029, p = 0.042). Patients with microvascular complications and with chronic kidney disease showed higher mortality (p = 0.03, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Hyperglycemia at admission, renal function and inflammatory parameters were found to be predictors of in-hospital mortality, while an increased basophil count was protective. Hyperglycemia had a direct effect on mortality, the indirect effect was only through few markers and markedly lower than the direct one.

Multiparametric autoantibody analysis: a new paradigm for the diagnosis of connective tissue diseases.

BACKGROUND: In patients affected by connective tissue diseases (CTDs), the identification of wide autoantibody profiles may prove useful in early diagnosis, in the evaluation of prognosis (risk stratification), and in predicting response to therapy. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the utility of multiparametric autoantibody analysis performed by a new fully automated particle-based multi-analyte technology (PMAT) digital system in a large multicenter cohort of CTD patients and controls. METHODS: Serum samples from 787 patients with CTD (166 systemic lupus erythematosus; 133 systemic sclerosis; 279 Sjögren's syndrome; 106 idiopathic inflammatory myopathies; 103 undifferentiated CTD), 339 patients with other disorders (disease controls) (118 infectious diseases, 110 organ-specific autoimmune diseases, 111 other rheumatic diseases), and 121 healthy subjects were collected in 13 rheumatologic centers of the FIRMA group. Sera were analyzed with the Aptiva-PMAT instrument (Inova Diagnostics) for a panel of 29 autoantibodies. RESULTS: Multiparametric logistic regression showed that enlarged antibody profiles have a higher diagnostic efficiency than that of individual antibodies or of antibodies that constitute classification criteria for a given disease and that probability of disease increases with multiple positive autoantibodies. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first study that analyzes the clinical and diagnostic impact of autoantibody profiling in CTD. The results obtained with the new Aptiva-PMAT method may open interesting perspectives in the diagnosis and sub-classification of patients with autoimmune rheumatic diseases.

Heterogeneous expression of toll-like receptors in lymphatic endothelial cells derived from different tissues.

As lymphatic endothelial cells (LECs) express different lymphatic and vascular markers depending on the organ they are derived from, we analysed whether they also show a heterogeneity of response against pathogens. To this end we analysed, for the presence of mRNA encoding for all human toll-like receptor (TLR), LECs isolated from lymph nodes and thymuses. RNA for TLR1-6 and 9 was identified in thymus-derived cells, whereas cells derived from lymph nodes contained mRNA for TLR1-4, 6 and 9, but failed to express mRNA specific for TLR5. The differential expression of TLRs was confirmed by the phosphorylation of nuclear factor-κB p65 only when the two types of LECs were incubated with the appropriate TLR agonists. The stimulation with specific agonists gives rise to a heterogeneous pattern of cytokine and chemokine secretion: thymus-derived LECs produced preferentially interleukin-6, interferon-inducible protein (IP)-10 and tumour necrosis factor-α, whereas cells prepared from lymph nodes mainly released interleukin-8, monocyte chemotactic protein-1, RANTES and (IP)-10. Finally, cells purified from lymph nodes expressed a higher level of intercellular adhesion molecule-1 than did cells prepared from the thymus when stimulated with several TLR agonists. The expression of a large set of TLRs and the responsiveness to specific agonists suggest that LECs are able to respond to pathogens, and the observed differences reflect specialized functions, redundancy and/or roles of LECs of different origin.

Early prediction of in-hospital death of COVID-19 patients: a machine-learning model based on age, blood analyses, and chest x-ray score.

An early-warning model to predict in-hospital mortality on admission of COVID-19 patients at an emergency department (ED) was developed and validated using a machine-learning model. In total, 2782 patients were enrolled between March 2020 and December 2020, including 2106 patients (first wave) and 676 patients (second wave) in the COVID-19 outbreak in Italy. The first-wave patients were divided into two groups with 1474 patients used to train the model, and 632 to validate it. The 676 patients in the second wave were used to test the model. Age, 17 blood analytes, and Brescia chest X-ray score were the variables processed using a random forests classification algorithm to build and validate the model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess the model performances. A web-based death-risk calculator was implemented and integrated within the Laboratory Information System of the hospital. The final score was constructed by age (the most powerful predictor), blood analytes (the strongest predictors were lactate dehydrogenase, D-dimer, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive protein, lymphocyte %, ferritin std, and monocyte %), and Brescia chest X-ray score (https://bdbiomed.shinyapps.io/covid19score/). The areas under the ROC curve obtained for the three groups (training, validating, and testing) were 0.98, 0.83, and 0.78, respectively. The model predicts in-hospital mortality on the basis of data that can be obtained in a short time, directly at the ED on admission. It functions as a web-based calculator, providing a risk score which is easy to interpret. It can be used in the triage process to support the decision on patient allocation.