The proportion of postmenopausal breast cancer cases in the Netherlands attributable to lifestyle-related risk factors.

We aimed to estimate the proportion of Dutch postmenopausal breast cancer cases in 2010 that is attributable to lifestyle-related risk factors. We calculated population attributable fractions (PAFs) of potentially modifiable risk factors for postmenopausal breast cancer in Dutch women aged >50 in 2010. First, age-specific PAFs were calculated for each risk factor, based on their relative risks for postmenopausal breast cancer (from meta-analyses) and age-specific prevalence in the population (from national surveys) around the year 2000, assuming a latency period of 10 years. To obtain the overall PAF, age-specific PAFs were summed in a weighted manner, using the age-specific breast cancer incidence rates (2010) as weights. 95 % confidence intervals for PAF estimates were derived by Monte Carlo simulations. Of Dutch women >40 years, in 2000, 51 % were overweight/obese, 55 % physically inactive (<5 days/week 30 min activity), 75 % regularly consumed alcohol, 42 % ever smoked cigarettes and 79 % had a low-fibre intake (<3.4 g/1000 kJ/day). These factors combined had a PAF of 25.7 % (95 % CI 24.2-27.2), corresponding to 2,665 Dutch postmenopausal breast cancer cases in 2010. PAFs were 8.8 % (95 % CI 6.3-11.3) for overweight/obesity, 6.6 % (95 % CI 5.2-8.0) for alcohol consumption, 5.5 % (95 % CI 4.0-7.0) for physical inactivity, 4.6 % (95 % CI 3.3-6.0) for smoking and 3.2 % (95 % CI 1.6-4.8) for low-fibre intake. Our findings imply that modifiable risk factors are jointly responsible for approximately one out of four Dutch postmenopausal breast cancer cases. This suggests that incidence rates can be lowered substantially by living a more healthy lifestyle.

Hazard assessment of nitrosamine and nitramine by-products of amine-based CCS: alternative approaches.

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) technologies are considered vital and economic elements for achieving global CO2 reduction targets, and is currently introduced worldwide (for more information on CCS, consult for example the websites of the International Energy Agency (http://www.iea.org/topics/ccs/) and the Global CCS Institute (http://www.globalccsinstitute.com/)). One prominent CCS technology, the amine-based post-combustion process, may generate nitrosamines and their related nitramines as by-products, the former well known for their potential mutagenic and carcinogenic properties. In order to efficiently assess the carcinogenic potency of any of these by-products this paper reviews and discusses novel prediction approaches consuming less time, money and animals than the traditionally applied 2-year rodent assay. For this, available animal carcinogenicity studies with N-nitroso compounds and nitramines have been used to derive carcinogenic potency values, that were subsequently used to assess the predictive performance of alternative prediction approaches for these chemicals. Promising cancer prediction models are the QSARs developed by the Helguera group, in vitro transformation assays, and the in vivo initiation-promotion, and transgenic animal assays. All these models, however, have not been adequately explored for this purpose, as the number of N-nitroso compounds investigated is yet too limited, and therefore further testing with relevant N-nitroso compounds is needed.

Long-term dietary sodium, potassium and fluid intake; exploring potential novel risk factors for renal cell cancer in the Netherlands Cohort Study on diet and cancer.

BACKGROUND: As sodium, potassium and fluid intake are related to hypertension, an established risk factor for renal cell cancer (RCC), they may be independent risk factors for RCC. METHODS: The Netherlands Cohort Study (NLCS) with case-cohort design included 120,852 participants aged 55-69 years. At baseline, diet and lifestyle were assessed with questionnaires. After 17.3 years of follow-up, 485 RCC cases and 4438 subcohort members were available for analyses. RESULTS: Sodium intake increased RCC risk (P-trend=0.03), whereas fluid and potassium intake did not. For high sodium and low fluid intake, the RCC risk additionally increased (P-interaction=0.02). CONCLUSION: Sodium intake is a potential risk factor for RCC, particularly if fluid consumption is low.

Dairy products and pancreatic cancer risk: a pooled analysis of 14 cohort studies.

Pancreatic cancer has few early symptoms, is usually diagnosed at late stages, and has a high case-fatality rate. Identifying modifiable risk factors is crucial to reducing pancreatic cancer morbidity and mortality. Prior studies have suggested that specific foods and nutrients, such as dairy products and constituents, may play a role in pancreatic carcinogenesis. In this pooled analysis of the primary data from 14 prospective cohort studies, 2212 incident pancreatic cancer cases were identified during follow-up among 862 680 individuals. Adjusting for smoking habits, personal history of diabetes, alcohol intake, body mass index (BMI), and energy intake, multivariable study-specific hazard ratios (MVHR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards models and then pooled using a random effects model. There was no association between total milk intake and pancreatic cancer risk (MVHR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.82-1.18 comparing ≥500 with 1-69.9 g/day). Similarly, intakes of low-fat milk, whole milk, cheese, cottage cheese, yogurt, and ice-cream were not associated with pancreatic cancer risk. No statistically significant association was observed between dietary (MVHR = 0.96, 95% CI = 0.77-1.19) and total calcium (MVHR = 0.89, 95% CI = 0.71-1.12) intake and pancreatic cancer risk overall when comparing intakes ≥1300 with <500 mg/day. In addition, null associations were observed for dietary and total vitamin D intake and pancreatic cancer risk. Findings were consistent within sex, smoking status, and BMI strata or when the case definition was limited to pancreatic adenocarcinoma. Overall, these findings do not support the hypothesis that consumption of dairy foods, calcium, or vitamin D during adulthood is associated with pancreatic cancer risk.

WITHDRAWN: Hazard assessment of nitrosamine and nitramine by-products of amine-based CCS: an alternative approach.

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The etiology of uterine sarcomas: a pooled analysis of the epidemiology of endometrial cancer consortium.

BACKGROUND: Uterine sarcomas are characterised by early age at diagnosis, poor prognosis, and higher incidence among Black compared with White women, but their aetiology is poorly understood. Therefore, we performed a pooled analysis of data collected in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium. We also examined risk factor associations for malignant mixed mullerian tumours (MMMTs) and endometrioid endometrial carcinomas (EECs) for comparison purposes. METHODS: We pooled data on 229 uterine sarcomas, 244 MMMTs, 7623 EEC cases, and 28,829 controls. Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for risk factors associated with uterine sarcoma, MMMT, and EEC were estimated with polytomous logistic regression. We also examined associations between epidemiological factors and histological subtypes of uterine sarcoma. RESULTS: Significant risk factors for uterine sarcoma included obesity (body mass index (BMI)≥30 vs BMI<25 kg m(-2) (OR: 1.73, 95% CI: 1.22-2.46), P-trend=0.008) and history of diabetes (OR: 2.33, 95% CI: 1.41-3.83). Older age at menarche was inversely associated with uterine sarcoma risk (≥15 years vs <11 years (OR: 0.70, 95% CI: 0.34-1.44), P-trend: 0.04). BMI was significantly, but less strongly related to uterine sarcomas compared with EECs (OR: 3.03, 95% CI: 2.82-3.26) or MMMTs (OR: 2.25, 95% CI: 1.60-3.15, P-heterogeneity=0.01). CONCLUSION: In the largest aetiological study of uterine sarcomas, associations between menstrual, hormonal, and anthropometric risk factors and uterine sarcoma were similar to those identified for EEC. Further exploration of factors that might explain patterns of age- and race-specific incidence rates for uterine sarcoma are needed.

Red and processed meat consumption and the risk of esophageal and gastric cancer subtypes in The Netherlands Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Prospective data on red and processed meat in relation to risk of subtypes of esophageal and gastric cancer are scarce. We present analyses of association between red and processed meat and the risk of esophageal and gastric cancer subtypes within The Netherlands Cohort Study on Diet and Cancer. DESIGN: 120 852 individuals aged 55-69 years were recruited in 1986, and meat intake was assessed using a 150-item food frequency questionnaire. After 16.3 years of follow-up, 107 esophageal squamous cell carcinomas, 145 esophageal adenocarcinomas, 163 gastric cardia adenocarcinomas, 489 gastric non-cardia adenocarcinomas, and 3923 subcohort members were included in a case-cohort analysis. RESULTS: Processed as well as red meat intake was positively associated with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in men. Hazard ratios for highest versus lowest quintile of processed and red meat were 3.47 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.21-9.94; P for trend: 0.04] and 2.66 (95% CI: 0.94-7.48; P for trend: 0.06), respectively. No association was seen for adenocarcinomas or gastric cancer subtypes or for any of the four subtypes among women. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that red and processed meat consumption is associated with increased risk of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma in men but not with cancers of other esophageal and gastric subtypes.

Alcohol consumption, cigarette smoking and risk of subtypes of oesophageal and gastric cancer: a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: Alcohol consumption and cigarette smoking may be differentially associated with oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC), oesophageal adenocarcinoma (OAC), gastric cardia adenocarcinoma (GCA) and gastric non-cardia adenocarcinoma (GNCA). However, because this was based on retrospective studies, these hypotheses were examined in a prospective cohort. METHODS: The prospective Netherlands Cohort Study consists of 120 852 participants who completed a baseline questionnaire on diet and other cancer risk factors in 1986. After 16.3 years of follow-up, 107 OSCC, 145 OAC, 164 GCA and 491 GNCA cases were available for analysis using Cox proportional hazards models and the case-cohort approach. RESULTS: The multivariable adjusted incidence rate ratio (RR) for OSCC was 4.61 (95% CI 2.24 to 9.50) for > or = 30 g ethanol/day compared with abstainers (p trend <0.001), while no associations with alcohol were found for OAC, GCA or GNCA. Compared with never smokers, current smokers had RRs varying from 1.60 for GCA to 2.63 for OSCC, and were statistically significant or borderline statistically significant. Frequency, duration and pack-years of smoking were independently associated with risk of all four cancers. A positive interaction was found between alcohol consumption and smoking status regarding OSCC risk. The RR for current smokers who consumed >15 g/day of ethanol was 8.05 (95% CI 3.89 to 16.60; p interaction = 0.65), when compared with never smokers who consumed <5 g/day of ethanol. CONCLUSIONS: This prospective study found alcohol consumption to be associated with increased risk of only OSCC. Cigarette smoking was associated with risk of all four cancers.

Reproductive and hormonal factors in association with ovarian cancer in the Netherlands cohort study.

Parity, oral contraceptive use, and hysterectomy are known to protect against ovarian cancer, whereas the effect of other reproductive factors remains unclear. The authors investigated the association between several reproductive and hormonal factors and the risk of epithelial invasive ovarian cancer among postmenopausal women participating in the Netherlands Cohort Study on Diet and Cancer. Information on reproductive history and exogenous hormone use was obtained through a self-administered questionnaire at baseline in 1986. After 16.3 years of follow-up, 375 cases and 2,331 subcohort members were available for case-cohort analysis. Ovarian cancer risk was reduced for parous women, with increasing parity, and for hysterectomized women. Moreover, the authors found evidence that oral contraceptive use is protective against ovarian cancer, even when initiated at an older age. In addition, a reduced risk was observed for each year reduction in age at natural menopause and per year reduction in total menstrual life span. A small increased risk was observed with prolonged time to pregnancy, but no difference was found between ever-married nulliparous women and never-married nulliparous women. Moreover, no associations were observed for age at first birth, age at menarche, age at first and last use of oral contraceptives, and use of hormone replacement therapy.

Associations of gestational exposure to famine with energy balance and macronutrient density of the diet at age 58 years differ according to the reference population used.

Individuals exposed to the Dutch Famine of 1944-45 during gestation have increased adiposity, which might be due to changes in energy intake, physical activity, or metabolic efficiency. We studied 357 persons born between January 1945 and March 1946 whose mothers experienced famine during or immediately preceding pregnancy, 298 persons born in the same 3 institutions during 1943 or 1947 (time controls), and 311 same-sex sibling controls. We obtained food frequency and physical activity data by questionnaire between 2003 and 2005 (mean age 58 y). We defined gestational exposure as exposure to a ration of <3762 kJ/d (<900 kcal/d) for at least 10 wk. For the whole study population, energy intake was 9225 +/- 2650 kJ/d and physical activity was 7380 +/- 4331 metabolic equivalents (MET).min/wk. Compared with time controls, gestational famine exposure was associated with 113 kJ/d (95% CI, -272, 502) higher energy intake, 0.01 percentage point (95% CI, -0.88, 0.89) higher fat density, 688 MET.min/wk (95% CI, -1398, 23) lower physical activity, and 63 kJ/d (95% CI, -130, 259) higher predicted energy expenditure (pEE). Compared with sibling controls, gestational famine exposure was associated with 4 kJ/d (95% CI, -702, 711) higher energy intake, 2.01 percentage points (95% CI, 0.38, 3.63) higher fat density, 97 MET.min/wk) (95% CI, -1243, 1050) lower physical activity score, and 188 kJ/d (95% CI, -163, 539) higher pEE. Gender-specific associations (P < 0.05 for heterogeneity) emerged for protein density and pEE using time controls and for energy intake using sibling controls. Associations were weak, differed by choice of control, and may reflect sampling variability or methodological differences. Persistent small energy imbalances could explain the increased weight of famine-exposed individuals.

The joint association of air pollution and noise from road traffic with cardiovascular mortality in a cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Associations between cardiovascular mortality and air pollution and noise together were investigated. METHODS: Data from the ongoing Netherlands Cohort Study on Diet and Cancer (120,852 subjects; follow-up 1987-1996) were used. Cox proportional hazard analyses were conducted for the association between cardiovascular mortality and exposure to black smoke, traffic intensity on the nearest road and road traffic noise at the home address. RESULTS: The correlations between traffic noise and background black smoke, and traffic intensity on the nearest road were moderate at 0.24 and 0.30, respectively. Traffic intensity was associated with cardiovascular mortality, with highest relative risk (95% confidence interval) for ischaemic heart disease (IHD) mortality being 1.11 (1.03 to 1.20) (increment 10,000 motor vehicles/24 h). Relative risks for black smoke concentrations were elevated for cerebrovascular (1.39 (0.99 to 1.94)) and heart failure mortality (1.75 (1.00 to 3.05)) (increment 10 microg/m(3)). These associations were insensitive to adjustment for traffic noise. There was an excess of cardiovascular mortality in the highest noise category (>65 dB(A)), with elevated risks for IHD (1.15 (0.86 to 1.53)) and heart failure mortality (1.99 (1.05 to 3.79)). After adjustment for black smoke and traffic intensity, noise risk reduced to unity for IHD mortality and was slightly reduced for heart failure mortality. CONCLUSIONS: Associations between black smoke concentrations and traffic intensity on the nearest road with specific cardiovascular causes of death were not explained by traffic noise in this study.

Occupational lung cancer risk among men in the Netherlands.

OBJECTIVES: To assess male lung cancer risks for industrial sectors in the Netherlands and to estimate the proportion of lung cancer attributed to working in specific industrial sectors. METHODS: Associations were studied among men aged 55-69 years (n = 58 279) from the prospective Netherlands Cohort Study. 1920 incident lung cancer cases were available after 11.3 years of follow-up. Based on a case-cohort design, and using Cox proportional hazards models, risks were estimated for blue collar workers in 26 industrial sectors. RESULTS: Adjustment for individual smoking habits affected risk estimates for some sectors, but adjustment for fruit/vegetables and alcohol intake did not. Adjusted for confounders, an increased risk of lung cancer was observed for employment for >/=15 years in blue collar jobs in the "electronics and optical instruments" industry (rate ratio (RR) 1.99; 95% CI 1.18 to 3.35), "construction and homebuilding business" (RR 1.64; 95% CI 1.21 to 2.22) and "railway company" (RR 2.40; 95% CI 1.00 to 5.73). The attributable fraction for working for >/=15 years in these three industries was 5%. In three other sectors there was a statistically non-significant elevated RR of >1.5. CONCLUSIONS: Male lung cancer risk is increased in several industrial sectors. Approximately 2000 lung cancer cases between 1986 and 1997 in the 55-69-year-old age group in the Netherlands may be attributable to working for >/=15 years in the three sectors with increased risk. In addition, estimates for occupational lung cancer risks for sectors may be biased if no individual information is available on smoking habits.

Pre-operative functional mobility as an independent determinant of inpatient functional recovery after total knee arthroplasty during three periods that coincided with changes in clinical pathways.

AIMS: To investigate whether pre-operative functional mobility is a determinant of delayed inpatient recovery of activities (IRoA) after total knee arthroplasty (TKA) in three periods that coincided with changes in the clinical pathway. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All patients (n = 682, 73% women, mean age 70 years, standard deviation 9) scheduled for TKA between 2009 and 2015 were pre-operatively screened for functional mobility by the Timed-up-and-Go test (TUG) and De Morton mobility index (DEMMI). The cut-off point for delayed IRoA was set on the day that 70% of the patients were recovered, according to the Modified Iowa Levels of Assistance Scale (mILAS) (a 5-item activity scale). In a multivariable logistic regression analysis, we added either the TUG or the DEMMI to a reference model including established determinants. RESULTS: Both the TUG (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.10 per second, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.06 to 1.15) and the DEMMI (OR 0.96 per point on the 100-point scale, 95% CI 0.95 to 0.98) were statistically significant determinants of delayed IRoA in a model that also included age, BMI, ASA score and ISAR score. These associations did not depend on the time period during which the TKA took place, as assessed by tests for interaction. CONCLUSION: Functional mobility, as assessed pre-operatively by the TUG and DEMMI, is an independent and stable determinant of delayed inpatient recovery of activities after TKA. Future research, focusing on improvement of pre-operative functional mobility through tailored physiotherapy intervention, should indicate whether such intervention enhances post-operative recovery among high-risk patients. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2017;99-B:211-17.

Modeling predicted that tobacco control policies targeted at lower educated will reduce the differences in life expectancy.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effects of reducing the prevalence of smoking in lower educated groups on educational differences in life expectancy. METHODS: A dynamic Markov-type multistate transition model estimated the effects on life expectancy of two scenarios. A "maximum scenario" where educational differences in prevalence of smoking disappear immediately, and a "policy target-scenario" where difference in prevalence of smoking is halved over a 20-year period. The two scenarios were compared to a reference scenario, where smoking prevalences do not change. Five Dutch cohort studies, involving over 67,000 participants aged 20 to 90 years, provided relative mortality risks by educational level, and smoking habits were assessed using national data of more than 120,000 persons. RESULTS: In the reference scenario, the difference in life expectancy at age 40 between highest and lowest educated groups was 5.1 years for men and 2.7 years for women. In the "maximum scenario" these differences were reduced to 3.6 years for men and 1.7 years for women (reduction approximately 30%), and in the "policy target-scenario" differences were 4.7 years for men and 2.4 years for women (reduction approximately 10%). CONCLUSION: Theoretically, educational differences in life expectancy would be reduced by 30% at maximum, if variations in smoking prevalence were eliminated completely. In practice, tobacco control policies that are targeted at the lower educated may reduce the differences in life expectancy by approximately 10%.

Consumption of black tea and cancer risk: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Tea is one of the most frequently consumed beverages in the world. Antioxidant polyphenol compounds (such as catechins and flavonols) are abundantly present in both green and black teas and have been observed to have anticarcinogenic properties in cell and animal model studies. In black tea, however, most of the catechins have been oxidized to forms that may have reduced anticarcinogenic properties. Despite indications from experimental studies that tea may protect against cancer, epidemiologic evidence has been inconclusive. PURPOSE: The association between black tea consumption and the subsequent risk of stomach, colorectal, lung, and breast cancers was investigated in The Netherlands Cohort Study on Diet and Cancer among 58,279 men and 62,573 women aged 55-69 years. METHODS: Subjects in the cohort completed a self-administered questionnaire on dietary habits and other risk factors for cancer at base line in 1986. Follow-up for cancer was done by means of computerized record linkage with all nine regional cancer registries in The Netherlands and the national pathology database. During 4.3 years of follow-up, 200, 650, 764, and 650 cases of stomach, colorectal, lung, and breast cancers were diagnosed, respectively. The questionnaire data of case subjects and those of a random subcohort (n = 3500) were used to calculate rate ratios (RRs) of cancer in categories of consumers of black tea compared with nonconsumers. RESULTS: Tea was not used by 13% of the subjects in the cohort, whereas 37%, 34%, and 16% consumed one to two, three to four, and five or more cups of tea per day, respectively. No association was observed between tea consumption and risk of colorectal cancer: The risk among tea drinkers in each consumption category was similar to that among nondrinkers. The RR of breast cancer among consumers of five or more cups of tea per day was 1.3 (95% confidence interval = 0.9-2.0); no dose-response association was observed. In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, consumption of tea was inversely associated with stomach (two-sided P for trend = .147) and lung (two-sided P for trend < .001) cancers. However, tea drinkers appeared to smoke less and to eat more vegetables and fruits than nondrinkers. When smoking and dietary factors were taken into account, tea in itself did not appear to protect against stomach and lung cancers: The RRs in all consumption categories were close to unity. Analysis of the tea and cancer relationship in a subgroup that included subjects in the lowest two quintiles of consumption of vegetables and fruits also failed to reveal a protective effect of tea consumption on the risk of three cancer types studied (colorectal, lung, and breast cancers). CONCLUSIONS: This investigation does not support the hypothesis that consumption of black tea protects against four of the major cancers in humans; a cancer-enhancing effect was not evident, either.

A prospective cohort study on toenail selenium levels and risk of gastrointestinal cancer.

BACKGROUND: Various animal studies and ecologic studies suggest an inverse association between low dietary selenium intake and risk of various types of cancer. PURPOSE: The goal of this prospective cohort study was to investigate the association between toenail selenium levels and risks of stomach cancer and colorectal cancer. METHODS: Our cohort study on diet and cancer started in The Netherlands in 1986 with enrollment of 120,852 subjects aged 55-69 years. Of this number, 58,279 were men and 62,573 were women. Following the case-cohort approach for analysis of the data, we randomly selected from the cohort a subcohort of 3500 subjects (1688 men and 1812 women). After 3.3 years of follow-up, 155 incident cases of microscopically confirmed stomach cancer, 313 cases of colon cancer, and 166 cases of rectal cancer had been detected in the cohort. Toenail selenium data were available for 104 patients with stomach cancer, 234 with colon cancer, and 113 with rectal cancer and for 2459 subjects from the subcohort. RESULTS: In a multivariate analysis, the relative rates (RRs) of stomach cancer for subjects in increasing quintiles of toenail selenium level were 1.00, 0.44, 0.59, 0.84, and 0.64 (trend, P = .491). For men, there was some evidence for an inverse association between toenail selenium levels and stomach cancer: The RR for those in the highest compared with the lowest quintile of toenail selenium was 0.40 (95% confidence interval = 0.17-0.96), but the trend was not statistically significant (P = .136). For stomach cancer in women, there was no negative association with toenail selenium levels. Toenail selenium level was not associated with the risk of colon or rectal cancer. After exclusion of cases diagnosed in the 1st year of follow-up, the RRs of colon cancer for increasing quintiles of toenail selenium were 1.00, 1.27, 1.17, 0.75, and 1.07 (trend, P = .544); for rectal cancer, RR estimates were 1.00, 1.73, 0.83, 1.58, and 1.12 (trend, P = .890). CONCLUSIONS: These data support a suggestive but inconsistent inverse association between selenium levels and risk of stomach cancer. Our findings, like those of other studies, do not suggest an inverse association with risk of colorectal cancer.

A prospective cohort study on Allium vegetable consumption, garlic supplement use, and the risk of lung carcinoma in The Netherlands.

The association between the consumption of onions and leeks (vegetables belonging to the Allium genus), garlic supplements, and the risk of lung carcinoma was investigated in a large-scale prospective cohort study on diet and cancer in the Netherlands. The Netherlands Cohort Study was started in 1986 among 120,852 men and women, ages 55-69 years, by collecting information on usual diet and important life-style characteristics. After 3.3 years of follow-up, 550 incident lung carcinoma cases were observed. Information on Allium vegetable consumption was available for 484 lung carcinoma cases and 3123 members of a randomly sampled subcohort. In stratified analysis, a lower lung carcinoma risk was observed in the highest onion intake category [rate ratio (RR) = 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.45-0.95] compared to the lowest consumption category. After including other, dietary and nondietary, determinants of lung carcinoma in the multivariable models and using pack years for past and current smoking, instead of using smoking status categorized as never, ex-, and current smoking, the rate ratio in the highest intake category increased to 0.80 and was no longer significantly different from unity (95% confidence interval, 0.52-1.24). Leek consumption was not associated with risk for lung carcinoma (RR = 1.08; 95% confidence interval 0.80-1.45 in the highest intake category, compared to the lowest). No statistically significant trends in the rate ratios associated with increasing consumption of these vegetables were detected for lung carcinoma or the four histological subtypes. A higher lung carcinoma risk was observed for those subjects who used exclusively garlic supplements (RR = 1.78; 95% confidence interval, 1.08-2.92), compared to those not taking dietary supplements. A lower lung carcinoma risk was seen for those using garlic supplements together with any other supplement (RR = 0.93; 95% confidence interval 0.46-1.86) compared to those using any other supplement. In conclusion, we found no evidence of a relation between the consumption of onions or leeks and the risk of lung carcinoma or any of the histological subtypes. Garlic supplement use seems not associated with a lower risk of lung carcinoma.

Fermented dairy products, calcium, and colorectal cancer in The Netherlands Cohort Study.

Experimental studies suggest that an increased consumption of fermented dairy products and calcium might decrease the risk of colorectal cancer. The associations between fermented dairy products, dietary calcium, and colorectal cancer risk were investigated in a population with a wide variation in intake of dairy products. The Netherlands Cohort Study of diet and cancer started in 1986 when 120,852 Dutch men and women, ages 55-69, filled out a questionnaire concerning dietary patterns and lifestyle. The present analysis is based on 3.3 years of follow-up and includes 215 incident cases of colon cancer and 111 incident cases of rectal cancer, excluding cases diagnosed in the first year of follow-up. After adjustment for potential confounding variables, colorectal cancer risk was weakly inversely associated with the consumption of fermented milk [relative rate (RR) in the highest category of intake compared to nonusers, 0.89; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.60, 1.33], unfermented milk (RR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.57, 1.29), and cheese (RR, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.59, 1.33). However, category-specific relative rates and tests for trends were not statistically significant. For fermented milk, the inverse association was limited to colon cancer (RR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.43, 1.15; trend, P = 0.33). In crude and multivariate models, total dietary calcium intake (highest versus lowest quintile, RR, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.64, 1.34) and calcium from fermented dairy products (RR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.77, 1.68) were not significantly associated with colorectal cancer risk. Calcium from unfermented dairy products was inversely associated with rectal cancer risk (RR, 0.55; 95% CI, 0.30, 1.04; trend, P = 0.03). After 3.3 years of follow-up, these data are not consistent with a substantially decreased risk of colorectal cancer with increased intake of fermented dairy products and dietary calcium.

A prospective cohort study on selenium status and the risk of lung cancer.

Selenium has been suggested to be anticarcinogenic and to play a role in the cellular defense against oxidative stress. The association between toenail selenium (a marker of long-term selenium status) and lung cancer was investigated in a cohort study of diet and cancer that started in 1986 among 120,852 Dutch men and women aged 55-69 years. After 3.3 years of follow-up, 550 incident cases of lung carcinoma were detected. Toenail selenium data were available for 370 lung cancer cases and 2459 members of a randomly selected subcohort. The rate ratio of lung cancer for subjects in the highest compared to the lowest quintile of toenail selenium, after controlling for age, gender, smoking, and education, was 0.50 (95% confidence interval, 0.30-0.81), with a significant inverse trend across quintiles (P = 0.006). The protective effect of selenium was concentrated in subjects with a relatively low dietary intake of beta-carotene or vitamin C. The rate ratio in the highest compared to the lowest quintile of selenium was 0.45 in the low beta-carotene group (95% confidence interval, 0.22-0.92; trend P = 0.028) and 0.36 in the low vitamin C group (95% confidence interval, 0.17-0.75; trend P < 0.001). The results of this study support an inverse association between selenium status and lung cancer and suggest a modification of the effect of selenium by the antioxidants beta-carotene and vitamin C.

A prospective cohort study on dietary fat and the risk of postmenopausal breast cancer.

In 1986 a prospective cohort study on diet and cancer was started in the Netherlands among 62,573 women ages 55-69 years. Baseline information on diet and other risk factors was collected with a questionnaire. Cancer incidence was measured by record linkage with cancer registries and a pathology register. A case-cohort approach was used, in which the accumulated person time in the cohort was estimated by follow-up of a randomly selected subcohort (n = 1812). After 3.3 years of follow-up, 471 incident breast cancer cases were available for analysis. Questionnaire data for these cases and the 1716 female subcohort members without a history of cancer other than skin cancer were analyzed. In a multivariate analysis, controlling for traditional risk factors, the relative rates for breast cancer in increasing quintiles of energy-adjusted total fat intake were 1.00, 1.00, 1.34, 1.22, 1.08 (P-trend, 0.32). For saturated fat there was some evidence for a weak positive association when quintiles were used (relative rates in quintiles 1-5, 1.00, 1.22, 1.22, 1.38, 1.39; P-trend, 0.049). The 95% confidence interval (CI) for the top quintile was 0.94-2.06, however; and when saturated fat was used as a continuous variable, the effect was no longer significant (P = 0.20). Relative rate estimates for the highest versus lowest quintiles of monounsaturated fat, polyunsaturated fat, and cholesterol intake were 0.75 (95% CI, 0.50-1.12), 0.95 (95% CI, 0.64-1.40) and 1.09 (95% CI, 0.74-1.61), respectively, with no evidence for significant trends. This prospective study does not support a major role of dietary fat in the etiology of postmenopausal breast cancer.