Approaches to the definition of potentially exposed groups and potentially exposed populations of biota in the context of solid radioactive waste.

A methodology for addressing the biosphere in safety assessments for solid radioactive waste disposal was developed through theme 1 of the IAEA coordinated research project on BIOsphere Modelling and ASSessment (BIOMASS) that ran from 1996 to 2001. This methodology provided guidance on how the biosphere can be addressed in safety assessments for disposal of solid radioactive waste. Since the methodology was developed, it has proven useful and has been widely referenced in assessments in a diversity of contexts encompassing both near-surface and deep geological disposal of solid radioactive waste. The principles that could be adopted for defining potentially exposed groups (PEGs) were an important aspect in the original BIOMASS methodology as the endpoint of an assessment usually includes the evaluation of individual dose or risk to human health. Identification of PEGs and definition of their characteristics are usually made to be consistent with the biosphere system description being developed, acknowledging that due to inherent uncertainties in projecting future human behaviour, the biosphere models adopted for assessing safety of a disposal system can only be illustrative. Since the publication of the original BIOMASS methodology, consideration has been extended to include potentially exposed populations of biota (PEPs), in the context of dose assessment and protection of the environment. Considering the need for the development of transfer pathways from a source term to an end point (for either PEGs or PEPs), the exposure modes that may occur and those to be assessed quantitatively should be identified. Within an expert working group (WG6) of the second phase of the IAEA coordinated project Modelling and Data for Radiological Impact Assessments (MODARIA II), the experience of participating organisations has been collected on topics associated with the definition of PEGs and PEPs using a questionnaire. The objective of the questionnaire was to review the current status and on-going discussions on the handling of issues related to definitions of PEGs and PEPs as an input to the development of biosphere models for assessing radiological impacts on human health and the environment. The answers received to the questionnaire provided a clear overview of the progress that has been made since the original BIOMASS methodology was published, together with the lessons learned from the application of that methodology in the development of safety cases. This paper summarises the questionnaire responses in five subject areas: (1) environment of the PEGs and its evolution; (2) linking the choice of PEGs to these environments; (3) food habits and consumption rates; (4) populations of non-human biota (PEPs) and (5) national and international regulations and guidance. We illustrate how the results of the questionnaire have been used to enhance the original BIOMASS methodology (IAEA Enhanced BIOMASS Methodology Report in press).

Identification of areas of interest for radiological impact assessments in an evolving landscape context.

Regulations concerning potential future health impacts of the final disposal of radioactive wastes in geological disposal facilities are written in terms of annual dose to individuals who are representative of small groups living in the landscape in the vicinity of the repository site. As disposal programmes in Sweden and Finland have progressed towards licensing and construction, so too has detail describing the state and evolution of surface biosphere and the landscape around the proposed disposal sites increased. Simple and generic biosphere dose assessment models in early iterations have grown in complexity with increasing site-specific detail that aims to capture the radiologically significant features of the landscape into which future releases of radionuclides might credibly occur. Current dose assessment models used in support of license applications for disposal programmes in Sweden and Finland are highly complex and their application consequently lacks transparency. An alternative simpler approach to characterising landscape objects for dose assessment models would be beneficial in that it would offer an additional line of reasoning and would add clarity, thereby supporting the decision-making process of the regulatory authorities. In the context of coastal Fennoscandia, landscape change is relatively rapid and dramatic with post-glacial landrise transforming areas of the coastal seabed into terrestrial ecosystems over a period of a few thousand years, global sea level rise notwithstanding. The locations of the geosphere-biosphere interfaces for deep geologic disposal can be estimated with some precision but the nature of the receiving ecosystems at the time of the release is less certain. The approach described here provides a statistical quantification of key morphological characteristics of areas in the landscape where doses could arise, so as to better express uncertainties in dose modelling. The proposed method assumes that the variation in the morphology of potential release locations can be described by the variation in landscape objects seen in the landscape on a wider scale, providing a statistical description of the possible landscape objects, so allowing a more comprehensive range of potential future evolutions to be addressed. Our understanding of the evolution of the landscape, based on the kinds of terrain and ecosystem development models used by POSIVA in Finland and SKB in Sweden, suggests that objects identified in present-day maps can be used as analogues for a statistical characterisation of objects in the future landscape; objects identified in the observed topography and bathymetry can therefore serve as the basis for the statistical description of landscape dose objects over the period during which doses are likely to arise. Using digital elevation models around a disposal site in Finland, we show that the statistical descriptions of landscape dose objects at three times over a period of 10 kyear of the evolved landscape are sufficiently similar to establish the suitability of the approach. The aim of this statistical analysis is to supplement current methods for defining radiological assessment models so as to provide additional numerical support to both the simpler and more complex methods employed by implementors and regulators. The method has been developed in the context of the Swedish and Finnish regulatory review process and is referred to in the IAEA's revised BIOMASS methodology. We briefly address how the method might be applied in other landscape contexts.

Development of a model for radionuclide transport in streams for biosphere assessment purpose.

As a part of the overall safety assessment for a geological disposal of radioactive waste, models for different ecosystems are used to evaluate doses to humans and biota from possible radionuclide discharges to the biosphere. In previous safety assessments, transport modelling of radionuclides in running waters such as streams has been much simplified to the extent that only dilution of the inflow of radionuclides has been considered with no regard of any other interactions. Hyporheic exchange flow (HEF) is the flow of surface water in streams that enters the subsurface zone and, after some time, returns to the surface. HEF has been studied for decades. Hyporheic exchange and the residence time in the hyporheic zone are key parameters controlling the transport of radionuclides in a stream. Furthermore, recent studies have shown that HEF can reduce the groundwater upwelling area and increase the upwelling velocity in areas closest to the streambed water interface. In this paper, the development of an assessment model describing radionuclide transport with consideration of HEF and deep groundwater upwelling along streams is presented. An approach to parameterising the hyporheic exchange processes into an assessment model is based on a comprehensive study that has been performed in five different Swedish catchments. Sensitivity analyses are performed to explore the effect with consideration of the inflow of radionuclides with regard to HEF and deep groundwater upwelling in a safety assessment perspective. Finally, we include some suggestions for the application of the assessment model to long-term radiological safety assessments.