Estimating the effect of diuretics and inhaled corticosteroids for evolving bronchopulmonary dysplasia in preterm infants.

BACKGROUND: Off-label treatment of extremely preterm infants with diuretics and inhaled corticosteroids (ICS) for evolving bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is common. Their effectiveness in reducing mortality or BPD severity, and optimal treatment timing, are unclear. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether diuretic treatment or ICS administration for infants with early evolving (between 10-27 days postnatal) and progressively evolving (28th-day-36th-week postnatal) BPD are independently associated with reduced mortality and moderate or severe BPD at 36-weeks postmenstrual age (PMA). METHODS: We examined neonates born before 28 weeks' gestation and admitted to neonatal intensive care units on postnatal Day 0 between 2006 and 2016 using data collected during routine care recorded within the Paediatric Health Information System (PHIS). An early evolving BPD cohort consisted of infants treated with oxygen, positive pressure or mechanical ventilation at 10 days postnatal. The progressively evolving BPD cohort consisted of infants treated with these modalities at 28 days. In new users, we evaluated the effect of diuretic and ICS treatment on mortality or BPD severity at 36 weeks PMA, adjusting for time-dependent confounding by respiratory status using marginal structural models. RESULTS: Early evolving BPD was present in 10,135 patients; progressively evolving BPD in 11,728. New diuretic exposure during early evolving BPD (adjusted risk ratio [aRR] 0.77, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.65, 0.93) was associated with decreased mortality or moderate/severe BPD risk. New diuretics (aRR 0.86, 95% CI 0.75, 0.99) during progressively evolving BPD between 28-days-36-weeks PMA were less strongly associated with mortality or moderate/severe BPD reduction. There was no strong association for ICS in patients with early evolving (aRR: 1.40; 95% CI: 0.79, 2.51) or progressively evolving BPD (aRR 1.16, 95% CI 0.95, 1.49). CONCLUSION: Diuretics, but not ICS, for evolving BPD were associated with mortality and BPD risk reduction.

A comparison of computational algorithms for the Bayesian analysis of clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Clinical trials are increasingly using Bayesian methods for their design and analysis. Inference in Bayesian trials typically uses simulation-based approaches such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. Markov Chain Monte Carlo has high computational cost and can be complex to implement. The Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations algorithm provides approximate Bayesian inference without the need for computationally complex simulations, making it more efficient than Markov Chain Monte Carlo. The practical properties of Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations compared to Markov Chain Monte Carlo have not been considered for clinical trials. Using data from a published clinical trial, we aim to investigate whether Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations is a feasible and accurate alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo and provide practical guidance for trialists interested in Bayesian trial design. METHODS: Data from an international Bayesian multi-platform adaptive trial that compared therapeutic-dose anticoagulation with heparin to usual care in non-critically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19 were used to fit Bayesian hierarchical generalized mixed models. Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations was compared to two Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms, implemented in the software JAGS and stan, using packages available in the statistical software R. Seven outcomes were analysed: organ-support free days (an ordinal outcome), five binary outcomes related to survival and length of hospital stay, and a time-to-event outcome. The posterior distributions for the treatment and sex effects and the variances for the hierarchical effects of age, site and time period were obtained. We summarized these posteriors by calculating the mean, standard deviations and the 95% equitailed credible intervals and presenting the results graphically. The computation time for each algorithm was recorded. RESULTS: The average overlap of the 95% credible interval for the treatment and sex effects estimated using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations was 96% and 97.6% compared with stan, respectively. The graphical posterior densities for these effects overlapped for all three algorithms. The posterior mean for the variance of the hierarchical effects of age, site and time estimated using Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations are within the 95% credible interval estimated using Markov Chain Monte Carlo but the average overlap of the credible interval is lower, 77%, 85.6% and 91.3%, respectively, for Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations compared to stan. Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations and stan were easily implemented in clear, well-established packages in R, while JAGS required the direct specification of the model. Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations was between 85 and 269 times faster than stan and 26 and 1852 times faster than JAGS. CONCLUSION: Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations could reduce the computational complexity of Bayesian analysis in clinical trials as it is easy to implement in R, substantially faster than Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods implemented in JAGS and stan, and provides near identical approximations to the posterior distributions for the treatment effect. Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations was less accurate when estimating the posterior distribution for the variance of hierarchical effects, particularly for the proportional odds model, and future work should determine if the Integrated Nested Laplace Approximations algorithm can be adjusted to improve this estimation.

A large, multi-center survey assessing health, social support, literacy, and self-management resources in patients with heart failure.

BACKGROUND: Most patients with heart failure (HF) have multimorbidity which may cause difficulties with self-management. Understanding the resources patients draw upon to effectively manage their health is fundamental to designing new practice models to improve outcomes in HF. We describe the rationale, conceptual framework, and implementation of a multi-center survey of HF patients, characterize differences between responders and non-responders, and summarize patient characteristics and responses to the survey constructs among responders. METHODS: This was a multi-center cross-sectional survey study with linked electronic health record (EHR) data. Our survey was guided by the Chronic Care Model to understand the distribution of patient-centric factors, including health literacy, social support, self-management, and functional and mental status in patients with HF. Most questions were from existing validated questionnaires. The survey was administered to HF patients aged ≥ 30 years from 4 health systems in PCORnet® (the National Patient-Centered Clinical Research Network): Essentia Health, Intermountain Health, Mayo Clinic, and The Ohio State University. Each health system mapped their EHR data to a standardized PCORnet Common Data Model, which was used to extract demographic and clinical data on survey responders and non-responders. RESULTS: Across the 4 sites, 10,662 patients with HF were invited to participate, and 3330 completed the survey (response rate: 31%). Responders were older (74 vs. 71 years; standardized difference (95% CI): 0.18 (0.13, 0.22)), less racially diverse (3% vs. 12% non-White; standardized difference (95% CI): -0.32 (-0.36, -0.28)), and had higher prevalence of many chronic conditions than non-responders, and thus may not be representative of all HF patients. The internal reliability of the validated questionnaires in our survey was good (range of Cronbach's alpha: 0.50-0.96). Responders reported their health was generally good or fair, they frequently had cardiovascular comorbidities, > 50% had difficulty climbing stairs, and > 10% reported difficulties with bathing, preparing meals, and using transportation. Nearly 80% of patients had family or friends sit with them during a doctor visit, and 54% managed their health by themselves. Patients reported generally low perceived support for self-management related to exercise and diet. CONCLUSIONS: More than half of patients with HF managed their health by themselves. Increased understanding of self-management resources may guide the development of interventions to improve HF outcomes.

Dietary omega-3 fatty acids and endometrial cancer risk in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium: An individual-participant meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Limited data from prospective studies suggest that higher dietary intake of long-chain omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (LCn3PUFA), which hold anti-inflammatory properties, may reduce endometrial cancer risk; particularly among certain subgroups characterized by body mass and tumor pathology. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data from 12 prospective cohort studies participating in the Epidemiology of Endometrial Cancer Consortium were harmonized as nested case-control studies, including 7268 endometrial cancer cases and 26,133 controls. Habitual diet was assessed by food frequency questionnaire, from which fatty acid intakes were estimated. Two-stage individual-participant data mixed effects meta-analysis estimated adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) through logistic regression for associations between study-specific energy-adjusted quartiles of LCn3PUFA and endometrial cancer risk. RESULTS: Women with the highest versus lowest estimated dietary intakes of docosahexaenoic acid, the most abundant LCn3PUFA in diet, had a 9% increased endometrial cancer risk (Quartile 4 vs. Quartile 1: OR 1.09, 95% CI: 1.01-1.19; P trend = 0.04). Similar elevated risks were observed for the summary measure of total LCn3PUFA (OR 1.07, 95% CI: 0.99-1.16; P trend = 0.06). Stratified by body mass index, higher intakes of LCn3PUFA were associated with 12-19% increased endometrial cancer risk among overweight/obese women and no increased risk among normal-weight women. Higher associations appeared restricted to White women. The results did not differ by cancer grade. CONCLUSION: Higher dietary intakes of LCn3PUFA are unlikely to reduce endometrial cancer incidence; rather, they may be associated with small to moderate increases in risk in some subgroups of women, particularly overweight/obese women.

Interpregnancy interval and preterm delivery: An empirical comparison of between-persons and within-sibship designs.

BACKGROUND: Short interpregnancy interval has been associated with increased risk of preterm delivery; recent studies employing within-sibship designs suggest that this risk may be exaggerated. There are unresolved issues regarding properties of this design. OBJECTIVES: To compare directly the results, for short intervals, of between-person and within-sibship analyses when applied to the same target population. METHODS: Cross-sectional data are from the National Survey of Family Growth, a statistically representative survey of women and men in the USA, 2006-2015. Participants provided a complete pregnancy history including outcome, duration and ending date, enabling calculation of interval. Conventional analysis employed log-linear regression, controlling survey design, early life events, demographic variables, pregnancy intendedness, breastfeeding of the previous birth and obstetric history. Within-sibship analyses, utilising conditional log-linear regression, controlled the same variables, except those remaining static within each participant. RESULTS: Among participants with at least three live- or stillbirths, the percentage of pregnancies in each interval, and the percent of deliveries that were preterm following that interval were 9.2%, 14.6% for <6, and 14.7%, 15.4% for 6-11, versus 12.2%, 14.7% for 18-23 months. Among participants with at least three live- or stillborn infants, those in the within-sibship analysis had a higher risk profile than comparably parous, ineligible participants. In a between-participant analysis, among those included in within-sibship models, the adjusted risk ratios (vs 18-23 months) for preterm delivery for intervals <6 and 6-11 months were 0.74 (95% CI 0.63, 0.88) and 0.85 (95% CI 0.74, 0.98). The corresponding risk ratios were 0.56 (95% CI 0.14, 2.30) and 0.49 (95% CI 0.13, 1.80) for those ineligible for the within-sibship models. CONCLUSIONS: When comparable analyses were employed, the association between interval and preterm delivery was similar between participants included in the within-sibship analysis and those ineligible for the within-sibship analysis, but differed from those in the full cohort, perhaps due to different target populations.

Access to rideshare and satisfaction, prenatal healthcare utilisation, and preterm delivery among pregnant Medicaid recipients: A randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Lack of access to reliable transportation is a barrier to timely receipt of prenatal care. OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the impact of modernisation of non-emergency medical transportation services on patient satisfaction, prenatal care utilisation, and preterm delivery. METHODS: We conducted a randomised controlled pilot trial among pregnant Medicaid recipients in Franklin County, Ohio, a county with high rates of infant mortality. Individuals were randomly assigned to usual non-emergency medical transportation services or enhanced smart transportation (EST) services (i.e. on-demand transportation with access to a mobile application and trips to the grocery store, food bank or pharmacy). The primary outcome was satisfaction with transportation services. Secondary outcomes included adequacy of prenatal care utilisation (APNCU) and preterm delivery <37 weeks. RESULTS: Women were screened between 31 May 2019 and 30 June 2020, with 143 being eligible and enrolling. Evidence of increased satisfaction with transportation was observed in the intervention group compared to usual transportation, with 83.8% and 68.8% reporting being somewhat satisfied or very satisfied respectively (risk difference [RD] 14.8%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.5, 29.1). There were no meaningful differences in APNCU or preterm delivery between groups (APNCU: RD 2.1%, 95% CI -14.0, 18.2 and preterm delivery: RD -3.9%, 95% CI -17.0, 9.3). CONCLUSIONS: We found evidence of increased transportation satisfaction among pregnant women randomly assigned to EST versus usual transportation. It remains unclear whether the provision of EST increases prenatal care utilisation or decreases preterm delivery.

A Comparison of Vaginal and Intramuscular Progesterone for the Prevention of Recurrent Preterm Birth.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to examine whether vaginal progesterone is noninferior to 17-α hydroxyprogesterone caproate (17OHP-C) in the prevention of recurrent preterm birth (PTB). STUDY DESIGN: This retrospective cohort study included singleton pregnancies among women with a history of spontaneous PTB who received prenatal care at a single tertiary center from 2011 to 2016. Pregnancies were excluded if progesterone was not initiated prior to 24 weeks or the fetus had a major congenital anomaly. The primary outcome was PTB <37 weeks. A priori, noninferiority was to be established if the upper bound of the adjusted two-sided 90% confidence interval (CI) for the difference in PTB fell below 9%. Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to carefully control for confounding associated with choice of treatment and PTB. Adjusted differences in PTB proportions were estimated via IPTW regression, with standard errors adjustment for multiple pregnancies per woman. Secondary outcomes included PTB <34 and <28 weeks, spontaneous PTB, neonatal intensive care unit admission, and gestational age at delivery. RESULTS: Among 858 pregnancies, 41% (n = 353) received vaginal progesterone and 59% (n = 505) were given 17OHP-C. Vaginal progesterone use was more common later in the study period, and among women who established prenatal care later, had prior PTBs at later gestational ages, and whose race/ethnicity was neither non-Hispanic white nor non-Hispanic Black. Vaginal progesterone did not meet noninferiority criteria compared with 17-OHPC in examining PTB <37 weeks, with an IPTW adjusted difference of 3.4% (90% CI: -3.5, 10.3). For secondary outcomes, IPTW adjusted differences between treatment groups were generally small and CIs were wide. CONCLUSION: We could not conclude noninferiority of vaginal progesterone to 17OHP-C; however, women and providers may be willing to accept a larger difference (>9%) when considering the cost and availability of vaginal progesterone versus 17OHP-C. A well-designed randomized trial is needed. KEY POINTS: · Vaginal progesterone is not noninferior to 17OHP-C.. · PTB risk may be 10% higher with vaginal progesterone.. · Associations did not differ based on obesity status..

A pilot randomized controlled trial of vaginal estrogen on postpartum atrophy, perineal pain, and sexual function.

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: Vulvovaginal symptoms following perineal laceration may be worsened by atrophy related to decreased estrogen. Our objective was to evaluate the effect of local estrogen therapy in this setting. METHODS: We conducted a single-center, pilot, randomized, placebo-controlled trial of local estradiol in primiparous women with a second-degree or greater perineal laceration following a term vaginal delivery. Participants were randomized to twice weekly estradiol or placebo cream from delivery through 3 months postpartum. The primary outcome was a validated measure of vulvovaginal symptoms at 12 weeks postpartum. Secondary outcomes included measures of perineal pain, quality of life, sexual function, ease of use, likelihood of continued use, and adverse events. RESULTS: We planned to enroll 70 women; however, due to human subjects research restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic, enrollment was stopped early. A total of 59 women were randomized, 31 to the estradiol group and 28 to the placebo group. Nearly all participants (95%) were followed through 12 weeks with suggestion of marginal improvement in Vulvar Assessment Scale scores [-0.10; 90% CI = (-0.20, 0.01)] in those randomized to estradiol compared to placebo. Local estradiol was not associated with improvement in other measures, and only one non-serious adverse event was observed. CONCLUSIONS: In primiparous women with a perineal laceration, use of local estradiol showed minimal clinical benefit in vulvovaginal atrophy and related symptoms but appears to be acceptable and safe for postpartum use. Larger adequately powered trials enrolling a diverse group of postpartum women are needed to affirm these findings.

A One-Year Cross Sectional Analysis of Emergency Medical Services Utilization and Its Association with Hypertension in Pregnancy.

Objective: To evaluate the prehospital obstetric population that utilizes emergency medical services (EMS) and their association with hypertensive disorders of pregnancy. Methods: We conducted a retrospective evaluation of one year of all medical calls from a large, municipal, midwestern fire department. Inclusion criteria included all pregnant patients transported to a hospital by EMS. Descriptive statistics were calculated to evaluate prehospital event information (e.g., zip code, time, and duration of call), patient characteristics, and clinical management data regarding blood pressure. Census data were used to compare neighborhood information with poverty rates. Results: Of the 1,575 identified patients, 64.4% (1015/1575) presented with obstetric complaints, 57.4% (700/1220) were in their third trimester and 72.7% (686/944) were multiparous. The median call duration was 17 (interquartile range 12-22) minutes. In the areas where EMS usage was highest, one quarter of individuals lived below the poverty level. Of the studied population, 32.0% (504/1575) were found to be hypertensive; 14.9% (75/504) of hypertensive patients were found to have severe hypertension. Only one patient (1/1575, 0.06%) presented with a chief complaint of hypertension; the rest were discovered by EMS. The highest rates of hypertension were noted in wealthier areas of the city. Patients with severe hypertension were more likely to present with seizures, consistent with eclampsia. Conclusion: Hypertension is common in the obstetric population using EMS. Prehospital management of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy may focus on identification and treatment of severe pre-eclampsia or eclampsia. Areas with longer call times may consider treatment of severe hypertension. Prehospital treatment of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy could be optimized.

The Association of Moms2B, a Community-Based Interdisciplinary Intervention Program, and Pregnancy and Infant Outcomes among Women Residing in Neighborhoods with a High Rate of Infant Mortality.

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the effectiveness of Moms2B, a community-based group pregnancy and parenting program, in an effort to assess whether the program improved pregnancy and infant outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective matched exposure cohort study comparing women exposed to the Moms2B program during pregnancy (two or more prenatal visits) who delivered a singleton live birth or stillbirth (≥ 20 weeks gestation) from 2011-2017 to a closely matched group of women not exposed to the program. Primary outcomes were preterm birth and low birth weight. Propensity score methods were used to provide strong control for confounders. RESULTS: The final analytic file comprised 675 exposed pregnancies and a propensity score-matched group of 1336 unexposed pregnancies. Most of the women were non-Hispanic Black. We found evidence of better outcomes among pregnancies exposed to Moms2B versus unexposed pregnancies, particularly for the primary outcome of low birth weight [9.45% versus 12.00%, respectively, risk difference (RD) = -2.55, 95% confidence interval (CI) = (-5.44, 0.34)]. Point estimates for all adverse pregnancy outcomes uniformly favored exposure to Moms2B. CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICE: Our findings suggest that participation in the Moms2B program improves pregnancy and infant outcomes. The program offers an innovative group model of pregnancy and parenting support for women, especially in non-Hispanic Black women with high-risk pregnancies.

Obstetric History and Risk of Short Cervix in Women with a Prior Preterm Birth.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the relationship between obstetric history and incidence of short cervical length (CL) at <24 weeks gestational age (GA) in women with a prior spontaneous preterm birth (PTB). STUDY DESIGN: Women with a singleton gestation and a history of spontaneous PTB on progesterone who received prenatal care at a single center from 2011 to 2016 were included. Those who did not undergo screening or had a history-indicated cerclage were excluded. The associations between short CL (<25 mm) before 24 weeks and obstetrical factors including: number of prior PTBs, history of term birth, and GA of earliest spontaneous PTB were estimated through modified Poisson regression, adjusting for confounding factors. Multiple pregnancies for the same woman were accounted for through robust sandwich standard error estimation. RESULTS: Among 773 pregnancies, 29% (n = 224) had a CL <25 mm before 24 weeks. The number of prior PTBs was not associated with short CL, but a prior full-term delivery conferred a lower risk of short CL (absolute risk reduction or aRR 0.79, 95% CI 0.63-1.00). Earliest GA of prior spontaneous PTB was associated with short CL. The strongest association was observed in women with a prior PTB at 160/7 to 236/7weeks (aRR 1.98, 95% CI: 1.46-2.70), compared with those with deliveries at 340/7 to 366/7 weeks. Yet, even women whose earliest PTB was 340/7 to 366/7 weeks remained at risk for a short CL, as 21% had a CL <25 mm. The number of prior PTBs did not modify the effect of GA of the earliest prior PTB (interaction test: p = 0.70). CONCLUSION: GA of earliest spontaneous PTB, but not the number of prior PTBs, is associated with short CL. Nevertheless, women with a history of later PTBs remain at sufficiently high risk of having a short CL at <24 weeks gestation that we cannot recommend modifications to existing CL screening guidelines in this group of women. KEY POINTS: · Prior 16 to 236/7 weeks birth is a key risk factor for CL <25 mm.. · One in five women with prior late PTB had a short CL.. · Number of PTBs is a less important risk factor..

Effect of P2Y12 Inhibitors on Survival Free of Organ Support Among Non-Critically Ill Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19: A Randomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Platelets represent a potential therapeutic target for improved clinical outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Objective: To evaluate the benefits and risks of adding a P2Y12 inhibitor to anticoagulant therapy among non-critically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19. Design, Setting, and Participants: An open-label, bayesian, adaptive randomized clinical trial including 562 non-critically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19 was conducted between February 2021 and June 2021 at 60 hospitals in Brazil, Italy, Spain, and the US. The date of final 90-day follow-up was September 15, 2021. Interventions: Patients were randomized to a therapeutic dose of heparin plus a P2Y12 inhibitor (n = 293) or a therapeutic dose of heparin only (usual care) (n = 269) in a 1:1 ratio for 14 days or until hospital discharge, whichever was sooner. Ticagrelor was the preferred P2Y12 inhibitor. Main Outcomes and Measures: The composite primary outcome was organ support-free days evaluated on an ordinal scale that combined in-hospital death (assigned a value of -1) and, for those who survived to hospital discharge, the number of days free of respiratory or cardiovascular organ support up to day 21 of the index hospitalization (range, -1 to 21 days; higher scores indicate less organ support and better outcomes). The primary safety outcome was major bleeding by 28 days as defined by the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis. Results: Enrollment of non-critically ill patients was discontinued when the prespecified criterion for futility was met. All 562 patients who were randomized (mean age, 52.7 [SD, 13.5] years; 41.5% women) completed the trial and 87% received a therapeutic dose of heparin by the end of study day 1. In the P2Y12 inhibitor group, ticagrelor was used in 63% of patients and clopidogrel in 37%. The median number of organ support-free days was 21 days (IQR, 20-21 days) among patients in the P2Y12 inhibitor group and was 21 days (IQR, 21-21 days) in the usual care group (adjusted odds ratio, 0.83 [95% credible interval, 0.55-1.25]; posterior probability of futility [defined as an odds ratio <1.2], 96%). Major bleeding occurred in 6 patients (2.0%) in the P2Y12 inhibitor group and in 2 patients (0.7%) in the usual care group (adjusted odds ratio, 3.31 [95% CI, 0.64-17.2]; P = .15). Conclusions and Relevance: Among non-critically ill patients hospitalized for COVID-19, the use of a P2Y12 inhibitor in addition to a therapeutic dose of heparin, compared with a therapeutic dose of heparin only, did not result in an increased odds of improvement in organ support-free days within 21 days during hospitalization. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT04505774.

Predictors of Human Papillomavirus Seropositivity in Appalachian Women Aged 18 to 26 Years.

BACKGROUND: Key informants of the Appalachian community questioned whether their unique environmental stressors would alter their immune response to human papillomavirus (HPV) infections. The primary aim of this study is to determine predictors of HPV seroprevalence to at least 1 of the 4 vaccine-related HPV types before vaccination using a psychoneuroimmunologic model in Appalachian women. METHOD: Women aged 18 to 26 years (n = 185) who had not received HPV vaccination provided cervical HPV DNA and blood samples. Human papillomavirus DNA was identified through Hybrid Capture 2 assay and then genotyped for HPV types 6, 11, 16, and 18 by Roche Linear Array. Competitive Luminex Immunoassay measured the type-specific antibodies to HPV types 6, 11, 16, and 18 in milli-Merck units per milliliter. Nine psychoneuroimmunology scales measuring attributes of stress were self-completed. RESULTS: Human papillomavirus DNA was detected in 50% (92/183) of participants, with only 14% (26/183) positive for HPV-6/11/16/18 DNA. Seropositivity for at least one anti-HPV-6/11/16 or 18, on the other hand, was present in 35% (64/183) of women, with only 10% (19/183) concomitantly infected and seropositive for the vaccine-related types. The Perceived Stress Scale was not a strong predictor of HPV seropositivity. CONCLUSIONS: Both HPV infection and vaccine-related HPV type seropositivity is common among Appalachian women aged 18 to 26 years. The anticipated effect of environmental stressors on HPV seropositivity was not seen when multiple predictors were considered.

Quasi-Contextualized Speech Treatment in Traumatic Brain Injury Inpatient Rehabilitation: Effects on Outcomes During the First Year After Discharge.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of providing quasi-contextualized speech therapy, defined as metacognitive, compensatory, or strategy training applied to cognitive and language impairments to facilitate the performance of future real-life activities, on functional outcomes up to 1 year following traumatic brain injury (TBI). SETTING: Acute inpatient rehabilitation. PARTICIPANTS: Patients enrolled during the TBI-Practice-Based Evidence (TBI-PBE) study (n = 1760), aged 14 years or older, who sustained a severe, moderate, or complicated mild TBI, received speech therapy in acute inpatient rehabilitation at one of 9 US sites, and consented to follow-up 3 and 9 months postdischarge from inpatient rehabilitation. DESIGN: Propensity score methods applied to a database consisting of multisite, prospective, longitudinal observational data. MAIN MEASURES: Participation Assessment with Recombined Tools-Objective-17, FIM Motor and Cognitive scores, Satisfaction With Life Scale, and Patient Health Questionnaire-9. RESULTS: When at least 5% of therapy time employed quasi-contextualized treatment, participants reported better community participation during the year following discharge. Quasi-contextualized treatment was also associated with better motor and cognitive function at discharge and during the year after discharge. The benefit, however, may be dependent upon a balance of rehabilitation time that relied on contextualized treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The use of quasi-contextualized treatment may improve outcomes. Care should be taken, however, to not provide quasi-contextualized treatment at the expense of contextualized treatment.

Prediction of Antibiotic Susceptibility for Urinary Tract Infection in a Hospital Setting.

Empiric antibiotic prescribing can be supported by guidelines and/or local antibiograms, but these have limitations. We sought to use data from a comprehensive electronic health record to use statistical learning to develop predictive models for individual antibiotics that incorporate patient- and hospital-specific factors. This paper reports on the development and validation of these models with a large retrospective cohort. This was a retrospective cohort study including hospitalized patients with positive urine cultures in the first 48 h of hospitalization at a 1,500-bed tertiary-care hospital over a 4.5-year period. All first urine cultures with susceptibilities were included. Statistical learning techniques, including penalized logistic regression, were used to create predictive models for cefazolin, ceftriaxone, ciprofloxacin, cefepime, and piperacillin-tazobactam. These were validated on a held-out cohort. The final data set used for analysis included 6,366 patients. Final model covariates included demographics, comorbidity score, recent antibiotic use, recent antimicrobial resistance, and antibiotic allergies. Models had acceptable to good discrimination in the training data set and acceptable performance in the validation data set, with a point estimate for area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) that ranged from 0.65 for ceftriaxone to 0.69 for cefazolin. All models had excellent calibration. We used electronic health record data to create predictive models to estimate antibiotic susceptibilities for urinary tract infections in hospitalized patients. Our models had acceptable performance in a held-out validation cohort.

Preoperative predictors of endometrial cancer at time of hysterectomy for endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia or complex atypical hyperplasia.

BACKGROUND: Endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia, also known as complex atypical hyperplasia, is a precancerous lesion of the endometrium associated with a 40% risk of concurrent endometrial cancer at the time of hysterectomy. Although a majority of endometrial cancers diagnosed at the time of hysterectomy for endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia are low risk and low stage, approximately 10% of patients ultimately diagnosed with endometrial cancers will have high-risk disease that would warrant lymph node assessment to guide adjuvant therapy decisions. Given these risks, some physicians choose to refer patients to a gynecologic oncologist for definitive management. Currently, few data exist regarding preoperative factors that can predict the presence of concurrent endometrial cancer in patients with endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia. Identification of these factors may assist in the preoperative triaging of patients to general gynecology or gynecologic oncology. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether preoperative factors can predict the presence of concurrent endometrial cancer at the time of hysterectomy in patients with endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia; and to describe the ability of preoperative characteristics to predict which patients may be at a higher risk for lymph node involvement requiring lymph node assessment at the time of hysterectomy. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of women undergoing hysterectomy for pathologically confirmed endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia from January 2004 to December 2015. Patient demographics, imaging, pathology, and outcomes were recorded. The "Mayo criteria" were used to determine patients requiring lymphadenectomy. Unadjusted associations between covariates and progression to endometrial cancer were estimated by 2-sample t-tests for continuous covariates and by logistic regression for categorical covariates. A multivariable model for endometrial cancer at the time of hysterectomy was developed using logistic regression with 5-fold cross-validation. RESULTS: Of the 1055 charts reviewed, 169 patients were eligible and included. Of these patients, 87 (51.5%) had a final diagnosis of endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia/other benign disease, whereas 82 (48.5%) were ultimately diagnosed with endometrial cancer. No medical comorbidities were found to be strongly associated with concurrent endometrial cancer. Patients with endometrial cancer had a thicker average endometrial stripe compared to the patients with no endometrial cancer at the time of hysterectomy (15.7 mm; standard deviation, 9.5) versus 12.5 mm; standard deviation, 6.4; P = .01). An endometrial stripe of ≥2 cm was associated with 4.0 times the odds of concurrent endometrial cancer (95% confidence interval, 1.5-10.0), controlling for age. In all, 87% of endometrial cancer cases were stage T1a (Nx or N0). Approximately 44% of patients diagnosed with endometrial cancer and an endometrial stripe of ≥2 cm met the "Mayo criteria" for indicated lymphadenectomy compared to 22% of endometrial cancer patients with an endometrial stripe of <2 cm. CONCLUSION: Endometrial stripe thickness and age were the strongest predictors of concurrent endometrial cancer at time of hysterectomy for endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia. Referral to a gynecologic oncologist may be especially warranted in endometrial intraepithelial neoplasia patients with an endometrial stripe of ≥2 cm given the increased rate of concurrent cancer and potential need for lymph node assessment.

Maternal age at delivery and fertility of the next generation.

BACKGROUND: While most known causes of infertility relate to the health of the woman and/or her partner, questions have been raised regarding the possible contributions of transgenerational or epigenetic factors. OBJECTIVE: The goal of this hypothesis-generating work was to examine whether Generation 1's (G1's) age at the delivery of G2 (Generation 2) was associated with G2's fertility in later life. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of women (G2s) recruited online in 2016. A questionnaire queried G2s regarding demographics and fertility. The primary exposure was G1's age at G2's birth. Outcome measures included the following: 12-month infertility, time to pregnancy, and childlessness. The adjusted relative risk (RR) of G2 infertility and childlessness by G1 age at G2's birth was estimated through a modified Poisson regression approach. The fecundity odds ratio (FOR) for the association between G1's age at G2 birth and time to pregnancy for G2 was estimated by discrete-time survival models, with complementary log-log link. RESULTS: A total of 2,854 women enrolled. We found no association between G1 age at G2's birth and G2 infertility. Being born to a G1 aged 15-19 years was associated with a longer time to pregnancy for G2 (FOR 0.84, 95% confidence interval 0.72, 0.99), relative to being born to a G1 aged 20-24 years. We observed the suggestion of a possible increased risk of childlessness among G2s born to older G1s, but the estimate was imprecise. CONCLUSIONS: While being born to a G1 who was 15-19 years old was associated with an increase in G2 time to pregnancy, we found no association between G1 age at G2's birth and infertility and only the suggestion of a modest association with childlessness. These data suggest a possible subtle effect of G1 age at G2's birth on G2 fertility, which warrants further study.

Mode of anesthesia and major perioperative outcomes associated with vaginal surgery.

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: The primary aim was to compare the incidence of major perioperative complications in women undergoing vaginal reconstructive surgery with general, regional, and monitored anesthesia care using a national database. The secondary aim was to compare length of hospital stay, 30-day readmission rates, urinary tract infections, and reoperation rates between anesthesia types. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database was used to study women undergoing vaginal surgery for pelvic floor disorders from 2006 to 2015 via Current Procedural Terminology codes. Demographic and clinical variables were abstracted. The incidence of major perioperative complications was defined as the occurrence of any of the following within 30 days of surgery: death, surgical-site infection, pneumonia, venous thromboembolism, intensive care unit admission, stroke, transfusion, sepsis, and myocardial infarction. Regression analysis was used to estimate the relative risks (RR) associated with anesthesia type for each outcome. RESULTS: From the database, we gathered data on 37,426 women who underwent vaginal reconstructive surgery between 2006 and 2015; 87.2% (n = 32,623) underwent general, 6.9% (n = 2565) regional, and 5.9% (n = 2238) monitored anesthesia care. Major perioperative complications occurred in 560 women (1.5%). Relative to general anesthesia, the adjusted risk of major perioperative complications was not significantly different in those receiving monitored or regional anesthesia [monitored vs. general, adjusted RR 0.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.45-1.20; regional vs. general, adjusted RR 1.23, 95% CI 0.92-1.65]. DISCUSSION: Major perioperative complications in vaginal reconstructive surgery were uncommon, and no differences were observed between monitored, regional, and general anesthesia outcomes.

Association of Nonoperative Management Using Antibiotic Therapy vs Laparoscopic Appendectomy With Treatment Success and Disability Days in Children With Uncomplicated Appendicitis.

Importance: Nonoperative management with antibiotics alone has the potential to treat uncomplicated pediatric appendicitis with fewer disability days than surgery. Objective: To determine the success rate of nonoperative management and compare differences in treatment-related disability, satisfaction, health-related quality of life, and complications between nonoperative management and surgery in children with uncomplicated appendicitis. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multi-institutional nonrandomized controlled intervention study of 1068 children aged 7 through 17 years with uncomplicated appendicitis treated at 10 tertiary children's hospitals across 7 US states between May 2015 and October 2018 with 1-year follow-up through October 2019. Of the 1209 eligible patients approached, 1068 enrolled in the study. Interventions: Patient and family selection of nonoperative management with antibiotics alone (nonoperative group, n = 370) or urgent (≤12 hours of admission) laparoscopic appendectomy (surgery group, n = 698). Main Outcomes and Measures: The 2 primary outcomes assessed at 1 year were disability days, defined as the total number of days the child was not able to participate in all of his/her normal activities secondary to appendicitis-related care (expected difference, 5 days), and success rate of nonoperative management, defined as the proportion of patients initially managed nonoperatively who did not undergo appendectomy by 1 year (lowest acceptable success rate, ≥70%). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to adjust for differences between treatment groups for all outcome assessments. Results: Among 1068 patients who were enrolled (median age, 12.4 years; 38% girls), 370 (35%) chose nonoperative management and 698 (65%) chose surgery. A total of 806 (75%) had complete follow-up: 284 (77%) in the nonoperative group; 522 (75%) in the surgery group. Patients in the nonoperative group were more often younger (median age, 12.3 years vs 12.5 years), Black (9.6% vs 4.9%) or other race (14.6% vs 8.7%), had caregivers with a bachelor's degree (29.8% vs 23.5%), and underwent diagnostic ultrasound (79.7% vs 74.5%). After IPTW, the success rate of nonoperative management at 1 year was 67.1% (96% CI, 61.5%-72.31%; P = .86). Nonoperative management was associated with significantly fewer patient disability days at 1 year than did surgery (adjusted mean, 6.6 vs 10.9 days; mean difference, -4.3 days (99% CI, -6.17 to -2.43; P < .001). Of 16 other prespecified secondary end points, 10 showed no significant difference. Conclusion and Relevance: Among children with uncomplicated appendicitis, an initial nonoperative management strategy with antibiotics alone had a success rate of 67.1% and, compared with urgent surgery, was associated with statistically significantly fewer disability days at 1 year. However, there was substantial loss to follow-up, the comparison with the prespecified threshold for an acceptable success rate of nonoperative management was not statistically significant, and the hypothesized difference in disability days was not met. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02271932.

Inherited alterations of TGF beta signaling components in Appalachian cervical cancers.

PURPOSE: This study examined targeted genomic variants of transforming growth factor beta (TGFB) signaling in Appalachian women. Appalachian women with cervical cancer were compared to healthy Appalachian counterparts to determine whether these polymorphic alleles were over-represented within this high-risk cancer population, and whether lifestyle or environmental factors modified the aggregate genetic risk in these Appalachian women. METHODS: Appalachian women's survey data and blood samples from the Community Awareness, Resources, and Education (CARE) CARE I and CARE II studies (n = 163 invasive cervical cancer cases, 842 controls) were used to assess gene-environment interactions and cancer risk. Polymorphic allele frequencies and socio-behavioral demographic measurements were compared using t tests and χ2 tests. Multivariable logistic regression was used to evaluate interaction effects between genomic variance and demographic, behavioral, and environmental characteristics. RESULTS: Several alleles demonstrated significant interaction with smoking (TP53 rs1042522, TGFB1 rs1800469), alcohol consumption (NQO1 rs1800566), and sexual intercourse before the age of 18 (TGFBR1 rs11466445, TGFBR1 rs7034462, TGFBR1 rs11568785). Interestingly, we noted a significant interaction between "Appalachian self-identity" variables and NQO1 rs1800566. Multivariable logistic regression of cancer status in an over-dominant TGFB1 rs1800469/TGFBR1 rs11568785 model demonstrated a 3.03-fold reduction in cervical cancer odds. Similar decreased odds (2.78-fold) were observed in an over-dominant TGFB1 rs1800469/TGFBR1 rs7034462 model in subjects who had no sexual intercourse before age 18. CONCLUSIONS: This study reports novel associations between common low-penetrance alleles in the TGFB signaling cascade and modified risk of cervical cancer in Appalachian women. Furthermore, our unexpected findings associating Appalachian identity and NQO1 rs1800566 suggests that the complex environmental exposures that contribute to Appalachian self-identity in Appalachian cervical cancer patients represent an emerging avenue of scientific exploration.