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1.
Support Care Cancer ; 30(6): 5431-5440, 2022 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35304631

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The advent of chronic myeloid leukaemia (CML) tyrosine-kinase inhibitors (TKI) has led to new paradigms including occupational rehabilitation. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to characterize the impact of CML treatment on sick leaves within the 2 years following diagnosis in working-age patients. METHODS: A cohort of all 18-60-year-old newly diagnosed CML patients initiating a TKI between January 1st 2011 and December 31st 2014 in France was identified in the French National Healthcare database (Système National des Données de Santé [SNDS]). Patients with a sick leave identified in the 24 months after TKI initiation were compared with sex and initiation date matched controls in a nested case-control design. Factors associated with sick leaves were identified through a conditional logistic regression model, providing adjusted odds-ratio (OR) with their 95% confidence interval (CI). RESULTS: Among 646 18-60-year-old patients, 268 were prescribed at least one sick leave in the study period, with 176 (27.2%) having their first sick leave prescribed after TKI initiation. The median number of sick days over the 2-years period was 115 per patient (interquartile range 25.5-384.5). In the nested case-control study (176 cases and 176 matched controls), sick leaves were more likely observed with second generation TKI (OR 4.11 [1.80-9.38]), whereas they were less likely observed in case if social deprivation (OR 0.07 [0.02-0.28]. CONCLUSION: More than 25% of working-age CML patients had at least one sick leave within 2 years of TKI initiation, with a higher impact of second generation TKI, and with a median duration of 115 days.


Assuntos
Leucemia Mielogênica Crônica BCR-ABL Positiva , Licença Médica , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos de Coortes , Humanos , Leucemia Mielogênica Crônica BCR-ABL Positiva/tratamento farmacológico , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Inibidores de Proteínas Quinases/uso terapêutico , Tirosina , Adulto Jovem
2.
Pharmacoepidemiol Drug Saf ; 30(5): 661-668, 2021 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33625778

RESUMO

OBJECTIVES: Previous studies in the working environment have underlined the high prevalence of drug consumption. The aim of this study was to present the main characteristics of this consumption in French workers and to identify changes from the 1986, 1996, 2006 and 2016 surveys. METHODS: The design was a repeated cross-sectional study in 1986, 1996, 2006 and 2016. At each wave, demographic and socio-professional characteristics, self-reported consumption of medications during the week before the occupational medical visit, and perceived difficult working conditions and extraprofessional problems were collected among a sample of workers. Factors associated with consumption of any drug and of main therapeutic classes were investigated through multivariate logistic regression models, using 2016 as the reference for investigating temporal trends. RESULTS: Prevalence of use of any drug was significantly higher in 2016, with marked changes observed in comparison with 1986: absolute decrease of psychotropic (-5.1%, p < 0.0001), antibiotics (-2.7%, p < 0.0001) and cardiovascular drug use (-3.8%, p < 0.0001), increase of analgesic use (+8.3%, p < 0.0001). Difficult working conditions, age and female gender were independently associated with analgesic drug use, and extraprofessional problems and female gender associated with psychotropic drug use. CONCLUSIONS: This analysis of self-reported drug use in the working environment illustrates the global patterns of medication use in a French active population over 3 decades. The favorable development in the level of consumption of psychotropic drugs should not underestimate the attention to be paid to the determinants of chronic consumption, or possible transfers to less stigmatized medications.


Assuntos
Uso de Medicamentos , Preparações Farmacêuticas , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Psicotrópicos/efeitos adversos
3.
Support Care Cancer ; 28(1): 185-192, 2020 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31001691

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The objective of our study was to assess the rate of work adjustments 1 year after the diagnosis in a population of female breast cancer (BC) survivors, in the context of the French system of social protection. We also characterised these adjustments and their influence on the reduction of professional exclusion of patients 1 year after the diagnosis. METHODS: This observational, prospective study was conducted from February 2015 to April 2016 among female patients with BC. Inclusion criteria were women aged between 18 and 65 years, treated for BC and integrated into the labour market at the time of diagnosis (working or on sick leave). Exclusion criteria were metastatic BC, retired patients and refusal to participate. A 1-year follow-up was scheduled, and data collection was performed with questionnaires. RESULTS: In total, 213 patients were included between February 2015 and April 2016. One year after the diagnosis (T1), among 185 BC survivors, 78 (42.2%) patients were working. Among them, 13 patients did not interrupt their occupational activity and 65 returned to work after a period of sick leave. Sixty-four patients returned to work after the end of chemotherapy (after 6 months), and one returned to work before this therapeutic threshold. Sixty-six patients (35.7%) benefited from at least one adjustment of their work conditions to facilitate their return to work (RTW) or maintenance at work: working hours were decreased for 43 patients, and workstation changes were performed for 22 patients. An occupational health physician was involved for some patients; work adjustments were prescribed to 42 patients, 7 patients had medical restrictions for physical reasons and 4 patients had restrictions for psychological reasons. Forty-three patients benefited from part-time work prescribed for therapeutic reasons. CONCLUSIONS: Referral to occupational health physicians and work adjustments remain limited in the process of RTW or maintenance at work after BC in France, despite their positive impact.


Assuntos
Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Sobreviventes de Câncer/estatística & dados numéricos , Retorno ao Trabalho , Ajustamento Social , Adaptação Psicológica/fisiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Neoplasias da Mama/tratamento farmacológico , Neoplasias da Mama/psicologia , Neoplasias da Mama/reabilitação , Sobreviventes de Câncer/psicologia , Emprego/psicologia , Emprego/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Retorno ao Trabalho/psicologia , Retorno ao Trabalho/estatística & dados numéricos , Licença Médica/estatística & dados numéricos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Adulto Jovem
4.
Ann Hematol ; 98(3): 615-623, 2019 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30446803

RESUMO

Patients with chronic myeloid leukemia treated with breakpoint cluster region-Abelson tyrosine kinase inhibitors are likely to survive in excess of 20 years after diagnosis. New challenges appear as we consider life after the disease, including professional challenges and the social reintegration of patients. The purpose of this study was to determine the impact of chronic myeloid leukemia on employment within 2 years after diagnosis. This prospective, observational study included patients diagnosed with chronic myeloid leukemia and treated with a tyrosine kinase inhibitor. Two populations were defined as patients who reported modifications in their professional activity during the study (Acti-Pro+) and patients who did not report a modification (Acti-Pro-). Cancer survivors received a self-assessment questionnaire. The primary endpoint was to determine the professional status of patients. One hundred patients completed the questionnaire. Sixty-six patients out of 100 reported professional activity within 2 years after their diagnosis. During the 2 years after the diagnosis, 65.2% (95% confidence interval (CI), 53.7-76.7) of patients faced modifications in their professional activity due to chronic myeloid leukemia or adverse effects of drug treatments (group Acti-Pro+); in contrast, 34.8% of patients did not report any impact on their occupational activity (group Acti-Pro-). Among modifications to work organization, a change in the number of working hours was the most represented. Other modifications comprised changes in status or work pace. A majority of chronic myeloid leukemia patients face professional consequences of their disease and treatments. Our findings suggest that adverse drug reactions are a major factor affecting the occurrence of work modifications in this context.


Assuntos
Emprego , Leucemia Mielogênica Crônica BCR-ABL Positiva/economia , Sobreviventes , Absenteísmo , Antineoplásicos/efeitos adversos , Antineoplásicos/uso terapêutico , Astenia/induzido quimicamente , Escolaridade , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Proteínas de Fusão bcr-abl/antagonistas & inibidores , Humanos , Leucemia Mielogênica Crônica BCR-ABL Positiva/tratamento farmacológico , Leucemia Mielogênica Crônica BCR-ABL Positiva/epidemiologia , Masculino , Transtornos do Humor/etiologia , Ocupações , Estudos Prospectivos , Inibidores de Proteínas Quinases/efeitos adversos , Inibidores de Proteínas Quinases/uso terapêutico , Inquéritos e Questionários
5.
Int J Legal Med ; 132(2): 609-615, 2018 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-28770383

RESUMO

Age at death estimation is a major part of forensic anthropology, but is often poor in the latter decades of life and should benefit from specific population standards. The aim of this study was to test a virtual reference sample with a uniform age distribution in order to improve the accuracy of age estimation for individuals over 40 years of age. We retrospectively built a random virtual reference sample of pubic symphyses from 1100 clinical cases using computed tomography at two French hospitals; this was compared with a test sample (pubic symphyses from 75 corpses undergoing post-mortem computed tomography at a French forensic department) and with the sample originally used in the Suchey-Brooks (SB) system. Inaccuracy and bias were calculated and the proportions of cases in which the real age fell within the estimated age ± 1 standard deviation were calculated. Compared to using the SB sample, using our French sample resulted in a lower inaccuracy for males over 55 years and bias showed that that for males aged 56 to 70 years were less underestimated. Compared to using the SB sample, using our French sample resulted in a lower inaccuracy for females over 70 years and bias showed that that for females aged 56 and older were less underestimated. This study presents a large data set of pubic symphyseal phases from a French virtual sample that allows for improving age estimation accuracy at death, particularly for individuals over 40 years. This kind of material can be useful to improve the age estimation accuracy in a specific region. However, the reliability remains poor and the variability of pubic symphysis morphology related to bone degeneration seems to be an unavoidable limit of the method.


Assuntos
Determinação da Idade pelo Esqueleto/métodos , Sínfise Pubiana/diagnóstico por imagem , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Teorema de Bayes , Feminino , França , Humanos , Imageamento Tridimensional , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Tomografia Computadorizada Multidetectores , Sínfise Pubiana/anatomia & histologia , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Adulto Jovem
11.
Int Arch Occup Environ Health ; 88(7): 963-72, 2015 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25647545

RESUMO

PURPOSE: The effect of one pesticide spraying season on DNA damage was measured on B and T lymphocytes among open-field farmers and controls. METHODS: At least two peripheral blood samples were collected from each individual: one in a period without any pesticide application, several weeks after the last use (January, at period P0), and another in the intensive pesticide spraying period (May or June, at period P4). DNA damage was studied by alkaline comet assay on isolated B or T lymphocytes. RESULTS: Longitudinal comparison of DNA damage observed at both P0 and P4 periods revealed a statistically significant genotoxic effect of the pesticide spraying season in both B (P = 0.02) and T lymphocytes (P = 0.02) in exposed farmers. In contrast, non-farmers did not show any significant modifications. DNA damage levels in B and T lymphocytes were significantly higher in farmers than in non-farmers during the P4 period (P = 0.003 and P = 0.001 for B and T lymphocytes, respectively) but not during the P0 period. The seasonal effect observed among farmers was not correlated with either total farm area, farm area devoted to crops or recent solar exposure. On average, farmers used pesticides for 21 days between P0 and P4. Between the two time points studied, there was a tendency for a potential effect of the number of days of fungicide treatments (r (2) = 0.43; P = 0.11) on T lymphocyte DNA damage. CONCLUSIONS: A genotoxic effect was found in lymphocytes of farmers exposed to pesticides, suggesting in particular the possible implication of fungicides.


Assuntos
Linfócitos B/efeitos dos fármacos , Produção Agrícola , Dano ao DNA , Fazendeiros , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Praguicidas/toxicidade , Linfócitos T/efeitos dos fármacos , Adulto , França , Humanos , Estudos Longitudinais , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estações do Ano
12.
BMC Pulm Med ; 15: 18, 2015 Mar 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25888313

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Argan is now used worldwide in numerous cosmetic products. Nine workers from a cosmetic factory were examined in our occupational medicine department, following the diagnosis of a case of hypersensitivity pneumonitis (HP) related to handling of argan cakes. METHODS: Operators were exposed to three forms of argan (crude granulates, powder or liquid) depending on the step of the process. All workers systematically completed standardized questionnaires on occupational and medical history, followed by medical investigations, comprising, in particular, physical examination and chest X-rays, total IgE and a systematic screening for specific serum antibodies directed against the usual microbial agents of domestic and farmer's HP and antigens derived from microbiological culture and extracts of various argan products. Subjects with episodes of flu-like syndrome several hours after handling argan cakes, were submitted to a one-hour challenge to argan cakes followed by physical examination, determination of Carbon Monoxide Diffusing Capacity (DLCO) and chest CT-scan on day 2, and, when necessary, bronchoalveolar lavage on day 4. RESULTS: Six of the nine workers experienced flu-like symptoms within 8 hours after argan handling. After challenge, two subjects presented a significant decrease of DLCO and alveolitis with mild lymphocytosis, and one presented ground glass opacities. These two patients and another patient presented significant arcs to both granulates and non-sterile powder. No reactivity was observed to sterile argan finished product, antigens derived from argan cultures (various species of Bacillus) and Streptomyces marokkonensis (reported in the literature to contaminate argan roots). CONCLUSIONS: We report the first evidence of hypersensitivity pneumonitis related to argan powder in two patients. This implies preventive measures to reduce their exposure and clinical survey to diagnose early symptoms. As exposure routes are different and antibodies were observed against argan powder and not the sterile form, consumers using argan-based cosmetics should not be concerned.


Assuntos
Alveolite Alérgica Extrínseca/etiologia , Cosméticos/efeitos adversos , Pulmão/diagnóstico por imagem , Doenças Profissionais/etiologia , Sapotaceae/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Alveolite Alérgica Extrínseca/diagnóstico , Alveolite Alérgica Extrínseca/fisiopatologia , Líquido da Lavagem Broncoalveolar/citologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Doenças Profissionais/diagnóstico , Doenças Profissionais/fisiopatologia , Capacidade de Difusão Pulmonar , Tomografia Computadorizada por Raios X
13.
Heliyon ; 10(7): e29116, 2024 Apr 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38601689

RESUMO

Our understanding of cellular immunity in response to COVID-19 infection or vaccination is limited because of less commonly used techniques. We investigated both the cellular and humoral immune responses before and after the administration of a third dose of the SARS-CoV-2 vaccine among a group of healthcare workers. Cellular immunity was evaluated using the VIDAS interferon-gamma (IFNγ) RUO test, which enables automated measurement of IFNγ levels after stimulating peripheral blood lymphocytes. Booster doses significantly enhanced both cellular and humoral immunity. Concerning cellular response, the booster dose increased the percentage of positive IFNγ release assay (IGRA) results but no difference in IFNγ release was found. The cellular response was not associated with protection against SARS-CoV-2 infection. Interestingly, vaccinated and infected healthcare workers exhibited the highest levels of anti-spike and neutralizing antibodies. In conclusion, the IGRA is a simple method for measuring cellular immune responses after vaccination. However, its usefulness as a complement to the study of humoral responses is yet to be demonstrated in future research.

15.
Tuberculosis (Edinb) ; 143: 102416, 2023 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37844483

RESUMO

Whole T cell interferon gamma release assays such as QuantiFERON-TB Gold Plus (QTF-TB) are used to evaluate Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex (MTC) exposure but fail to discriminate latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) from active disease. In this study conducted in a low-burden area, 1215 patients presenting MTC risk and tested both for QTF-TB and mycobacterial infection (microscopy, culture, and/or PCR) were selected, as well as 1298 controls screened with QTF-TB before medical recruitment. The humoral response (LIODetect®TB-ST) was further evaluated in 199 selected patients. In patients with active disease, MTC positivity (culture and/or PCR with species identification) was associated with QTF-TB positivity (45/56, 80.4 %). Although QTF-TB1/TB2 peptides were not suitable for discriminating against active MTC disease from LTBI, the cut-off value of 4.4 IFN-γ IU/mL produced the best diagnostic performance for MTC detection. Lower levels of QTF-TB were reported among patients with isolated active pulmonary MTC as compared to a lymph-nodal location and a disseminated form. Next, antibodies were detected in 4/55 (7.3 %) active MTC disease cases, while negative in cases of LTBI and indeterminate/negative QTF-TB. In conclusion, the added value to combine cellular (QTF-TB) and humoral (LIODetect®TB-ST) assays to predict an active MTC disease is limited.


Assuntos
Tuberculose Latente , Mycobacterium tuberculosis , Tuberculose , Humanos , Testes de Liberação de Interferon-gama , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Lipopolissacarídeos , Interferon gama , Tuberculose Latente/microbiologia , Teste Tuberculínico
16.
Occup Environ Med ; 69(6): 391-7, 2012 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22383588

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: Knowledge on the time-course (trends) of work-related asthma (WRA) remains sparse. The aim of this study was to describe WRA trends in terms of industrial activities and the main causal agents in France over the period 2001-2009. METHOD: Data were collected from the French national network of occupational health surveillance and prevention (Réseau National de Vigilance et de Prévention des Pathologies Professionnelles (RNV3P)). Several statistical models (non-parametric test, zero-inflated negative binomial, logistic regression and time-series models) were used and compared with assess trends. RESULTS: Over the study period, 2914 WRA cases were included in the network. A significant decrease was observed overall and for some agents such as isocyanates (p = 0.007), aldehydes (p = 0.01) and latex (p = 0.01). Conversely, a significant increase was observed for cases related to exposure to quaternary ammonium compounds (p = 0.003). The health and social sector demonstrated both a growing number of cases related to the use of quaternary ammonium compounds and a decrease of cases related to aldehyde and latex exposure. CONCLUSIONS: WRA declined in France over the study period. The only significant increase concerned WRA related to exposure to quaternary ammonium compounds. Zero-inflated negative binomial and logistic regression models appear to describe adequately these data.


Assuntos
Poluentes Ocupacionais do Ar/efeitos adversos , Asma Ocupacional/epidemiologia , Exposição Ocupacional/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Asma Ocupacional/etiologia , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Incidência , Indústrias , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Exposição Ocupacional/estatística & dados numéricos , Razão de Chances , Vigilância da População
17.
Microbiol Spectr ; 10(4): e0270621, 2022 08 31.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35867411

RESUMO

The neutralizing antibody response is a key component of adaptive immunity and a primary protection against severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. The increased transmissibility of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant and its capacity to cause more severe disease could be linked to a significant reduction in neutralizing antibodies generated during a previous infection or vaccination. We analyzed blood samples from 162 unvaccinated health care workers (HCWs) collected 1 to 3 months postinfection and from 263 vaccinated health care workers 1 month after the last injection. We have compared the neutralizing antibody titers obtained using two virus strains, B.1.160 and B.1.617.2 (Delta variant). Binding antibody concentrations were measured by an immunoassay. The median neutralizing antibody titer against the B.1.160 strain was 128 (interquartile range [IQR], 16 to 256) and 32 (IQR, 8 to 128) against the Delta variant. To obtain a neutralizing antibody titer of 32 or 64, a binding antibody concentration of 182 binding antibody units (BAU)/mL (IQR, 81 to 974) was required with the strain B.1.160, while a concentration of 2,595 BAU/mL (IQR, 1,176 to 5,353) was required with the Delta variant. Our data indicate that antibodies neutralize the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant 4 times less efficiently than they neutralize an earlier strain. Half of the HCWs had decreased protection from 94% to 76.8% or less for the same total antibody concentration. But neutralization might be correlated with other immune responses. The contributions of other responses, such as those of the T cell and B cell systems, to protection require further investigation. IMPORTANCE Recent studies showed that the neutralizing antibody titer is an important contributor to protection against SARS-CoV-2. With the emergence of new variants, the question arises of maintaining the neutralizing capacities of vaccines and/or of a past infection. We had protective data associated with total antibody concentrations and neutralizing antibody titers for a B.1.160 strain. We showed that to maintain the same levels of protection and, therefore, the same levels of neutralizing antibodies, a total antibody concentration 8.5 times greater is required with the Delta strain. (This study has been registered at ClinicalTrials.gov under registration no. NCT04385108.).


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Anticorpos Neutralizantes , Anticorpos Antivirais , Humanos , Testes de Neutralização , SARS-CoV-2/genética , Glicoproteína da Espícula de Coronavírus
18.
Vaccines (Basel) ; 10(9)2022 Sep 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36146626

RESUMO

The emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern has greatly influenced the immune correlates of protection, and there are little data about the antibody threshold concentrations to protect against infection with SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.1 or BA.2. We analyzed the antibody responses of 259 vaccinated healthcare workers, some of whom had been previously infected by SARS-CoV-2. The median follow-up was 179 days (IQR: 171-182) after blood collection. We detected 88 SARS-CoV-2 Omicron infections during the follow-up period, 55 (62.5%) with SARS-CoV-2 BA.1, and 33 (37.5%) with SARS-CoV-2 BA.2. A neutralizing antibody titer below 8 provided no protection against a BA.1 infection, a titer of 16 or 32 gave 73.2% protection, and a titer of 64 or 128 provided 78.4% protection. Conversely, the BA.2 infection rate did not vary as a function of anti-BA.2 neutralizing antibody titers. Binding antibody concentrations below 6000 BAU/mL provided no protection against Omicron BA.1 infection, 6000-20,000 BAU/mL provided 55.6% protection, and 20,000 or more provided 87.7% protection. There was no difference in BA.2 infection depending on the binding antibody concentration. Further studies are needed to investigate the relationship between antibody concentrations and infection with the Omicron BA.4/5 variants that are becoming predominant worldwide.

19.
Bull Cancer ; 108(4): 352-358, 2021 Apr.
Artigo em Francês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33678407

RESUMO

In a few situations, the consequences secondary to a carcinological pathology require an assessment of damages for compensatory purposes. This is particularly the case when liable parties have been found to be at cause of the disease: occupational pathologies in the case of inexcusable employer's fault, exposure to a radioactive risk, for example in the context of full compensation for damages suffered by the victims of nuclear experiments performed by France, or lastly, in the after-effects of late diagnosis. This article does not discuss the imputability of cancer pathologies to an event, but it proposes an adaptation of methods for assessing damages, in an attempt to provide full compensation for damages.


Assuntos
Compensação e Reparação/legislação & jurisprudência , Responsabilidade Legal , Neoplasias , Doenças Profissionais , Causalidade , Avaliação da Deficiência , Efeitos Colaterais e Reações Adversas Relacionados a Medicamentos , Estética , França , Experimentação Humana/legislação & jurisprudência , Humanos , Deficiências da Aprendizagem/etiologia , Responsabilidade Legal/economia , Neoplasias/economia , Neoplasias/etiologia , Neoplasias/psicologia , Neoplasias/terapia , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/economia , Neoplasias Induzidas por Radiação/etiologia , Doenças Profissionais/economia , Doenças Profissionais/etiologia , Dor , Complicações Pós-Operatórias , Lesões por Radiação/economia , Lesões por Radiação/etiologia , Radioterapia/efeitos adversos , Disfunções Sexuais Fisiológicas/etiologia , Responsabilidade Social
20.
Sci Rep ; 11(1): 12597, 2021 06 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34131234

RESUMO

The SARS-CoV-2 virus has spread world-wide since December 2019, killing more than 2.9 million of people. We have adapted a statistical model from the SIR epidemiological models to predict the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in France. Our model is based on several parameters and assumed a 4.2% seroprevalence in Occitania after the first lockdown. The recent use of serological tests to measure the effective seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in the population of Occitania has led to a seroprevalence around 2.4%. This implies to review the parameters of our model to conclude at a lower than expected virus transmission rate, which may be due to infectivity varying with the patient's symptoms or to a constraint due to an uneven population geographical distribution.


Assuntos
Teste Sorológico para COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Adulto , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Estatísticos , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos
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