Keratinocyte carcinomas in survivors of childhood cancer: A report from the childhood cancer survivor study.

BACKGROUND: Childhood cancer survivors (CCS) are at increased risk for keratinocyte carcinomas (KC) however, the long-term incidence of single and multiple KC is not well established. OBJECTIVE: Identify risk factors and quantify KC cumulative incidence and multiple-incidence burden in CCS. METHODS: KC were identified among Childhood Cancer Survivor Study participants, a cohort of 5-year cancer survivors diagnosed <21 years of age between 1970 and 1999 in North America. Cumulative incidence was estimated and multivariable models assessed relative rates of KC associated with survivor and treatment characteristics. RESULTS: Among 25,658 participants, 1446 developed 5363 KC (93.5% basal cell carcinoma, 6.7% squamous cell carcinoma; mean age 37.0 years (range 7.3-67.4), mean latency 25.7 years; 95.3% White and 88.4% with radiotherapy). Mean lesion count was 3.7 with 26.1% experiencing ≥4. Radiotherapy imparted a 4.5-fold increase in the rate of any KC and 9.4-fold increase in the rate of ≥4 KC. Allogeneic and autologous hematopoietic cell transplant were associated with a 3.4- and 2.3-fold increased rate of KC, respectively. LIMITATIONS: Participant self-reporting of some data including race without skin phototype and past medical history may have impacted analysis. CONCLUSIONS: The burden of KC in CCS remains high, but predictable risk factors should guide screening.

Development and validation of age-specific risk prediction models for primary ovarian insufficiency in long-term survivors of childhood cancer: a report from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Female survivors of childhood cancer are at risk for primary ovarian insufficiency (POI), defined as the cessation of gonadal function before the age of 40 years. We aimed to develop and validate models to predict age-specific POI risk among long-term survivors of childhood cancer. METHODS: To develop models to predict age-specific POI risk for the ages of 21-40 years, we used data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS). Female survivors aged 18 years or older at their latest follow-up, with self-reported menstrual history information and free of subsequent malignant neoplasms within 5 years of diagnosis, were included. We evaluated models that used algorithms based on statistical or machine learning to consider all predictors, including cancer treatments. Cross-validated prediction performance metrics (eg, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) were compared to select the best-performing models. For external validation of the models, we used data from 5-year survivors in the St Jude Lifetime Cohort (SJLIFE) with ovarian status clinically ascertained using hormone measurements (menopause defined by follicle stimulating hormone >30 mIU/mL and oestradiol <17 pg/mL) and medical chart or questionnaire review. We also evaluated an SJLIFE-based polygenic risk score for POI among 1985 CCSS survivors with genotype data available. FINDINGS: 7891 female CCSS survivors (922 with POI) were included in the development of the POI risk prediction model, and 1349 female SJLIFE survivors (101 with POI) were included in the validation study. Median follow-up from cancer diagnosis was 23·7 years (IQR 18·3-30·0) in CCSS and 15·1 years (10·4-22·9) in SJLIFE. Between the ages of 21 and 40 years, POI prevalence increased from 7·9% (95% CI 7·3-8·5) to 18·6% (17·3-20·0) in CCSS and 7·3% (5·8-8·9) to 14·9% (11·6-19·1) in SJLIFE. Age-specific logistic regression models considering ovarian radiation dosimetry or prescribed pelvic and abdominal radiation dose, along with individual chemotherapy predictors, performed well in CCSS. In the SJLIFE validation, the prescribed radiation dose model performed well (AUROC 0·88-0·95), as did a simpler model that considered any exposures to pelvic or abdominal radiotherapy or alkylators (0·82-0·90). Addition of the polygenic risk predictor significantly improved the average positive predictive value (from 0·76 [95% CI 0·63-0·89] to 0·87 [0·80-0·94]; p=0·029) among CCSS survivors treated with ovarian radiation and chemotherapy. INTERPRETATION: POI risk prediction models using treatment information showed robust prediction performance in adult survivors of childhood cancer. FUNDING: Canadian Institutes of Health Research, US National Cancer Institute.

Cancer germline predisposing variants and late mortality from subsequent malignant neoplasms among long-term childhood cancer survivors: a report from the St Jude Lifetime Cohort and the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study.

BACKGROUND: Carriers of cancer predisposing variants are at an increased risk of developing subsequent malignant neoplasms among those who have survived childhood cancer. We aimed to investigate whether cancer predisposing variants contribute to the risk of subsequent malignant neoplasm-related late mortality (5 years or more after diagnosis). METHODS: In this analysis, data were included from two retrospective cohort studies, St Jude Lifetime Cohort (SJLIFE) and the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS), with prospective follow-up of patients who were alive for at least 5 years after diagnosis with childhood cancer (ie, long-term childhood cancer survivors) with corresponding germline whole genome or whole exome sequencing data. Cancer predisposing variants affecting 60 genes associated with well-established autosomal-dominant cancer-predisposition syndromes were characterised. Subsequent malignant neoplasms were graded using the National Cancer Institute Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) version 4.03 with modifications. Cause-specific late mortality was based on linkage with the US National Death Index and systematic cohort follow up. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to estimate subsequent malignant neoplasm-related late mortality starting from the first biospecimen collection, treating non-subsequent malignant neoplasm-related deaths as a competing risk, adjusting for genetic ancestry, sex, age at diagnosis, and cancer treatment exposures. SJLIFE (NCT00760656) and CCSS (NCT01120353) are registered with ClinicalTrials.gov. FINDINGS: 12 469 (6172 male and 6297 female) participants were included, 4402 from the SJLIFE cohort (median follow-up time since collection of the first biospecimen 7·4 years [IQR 3·1-9·4]) and 8067 from the CCSS cohort (median follow-up time since collection of the first biospecimen 12·6 years [2·2-16·6]). 641 (5·1%) of 12 469 participants carried cancer predisposing variants (294 [6·7%] in the SJLIFE cohort and 347 [4·3%] in the CCSS cohort), which were significantly associated with an increased severity of subsequent malignant neoplasms (CTCAE grade ≥4 vs grade <4: odds ratio 2·15, 95% CI 1·18-4·19, p=0·0085). 263 (2·1%) subsequent malignant neoplasm-related deaths (44 [1·0%] in the SJLIFE cohort; and 219 [2·7%] in the CCSS cohort) and 426 (3·4%) other-cause deaths (103 [2·3%] in SJLIFE; and 323 [4·0%] in CCSS) occurred. Cumulative subsequent malignant neoplasm-related mortality at 10 years after the first biospecimen collection in carriers of cancer predisposing variants was 3·7% (95% CI 1·2-8·5) in SJLIFE and 6·9% (4·1-10·7) in CCSS versus 1·5% (1·0-2·1) in SJLIFE and 2·1% (1·7-2·5) in CCSS in non-carriers. Carrying a cancer predisposing variant was associated with an increased risk of subsequent malignant neoplasm-related mortality (SJLIFE: subdistribution hazard ratio 3·40 [95% CI 1·37-8·43]; p=0·0082; CCSS: 3·58 [2·27-5·63]; p<0·0001). INTERPRETATION: Identifying participants at increased risk of subsequent malignant neoplasms via genetic counselling and clinical genetic testing for cancer predisposing variants and implementing early personalised cancer surveillance and prevention strategies might reduce the substantial subsequent malignant neoplasm-related mortality burden. FUNDING: American Lebanese Syrian Associated Charities and US National Institutes of Health.

Generalizability of "GWAS Hits" in Clinical Populations: Lessons from Childhood Cancer Survivors.

With mounting interest in translating genome-wide association study (GWAS) hits from large meta-analyses (meta-GWAS) in diverse clinical settings, evaluating their generalizability in target populations is crucial. Here, we consider long-term survivors of childhood cancers from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study, and we show the limited generalizability of 1,376 robust SNP associations reported in the general population across 12 complex anthropometric and cardiometabolic phenotypes (n = 2,231; observed-to-expected replication ratio = 0.70, p = 6.2 × 10-8). An examination of five comparable phenotypes in a second independent cohort of survivors from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study corroborated the overall limited generalizability of meta-GWAS hits to survivors (n = 4,212; observed-to-expected replication ratio = 0.55, p = 5.6 × 10-15). Finally, in direct comparisons of survivor samples against independent equivalently powered general population samples from the UK Biobank, we consistently observed lower meta-GWAS hit replication rates and poorer polygenic risk score predictive performance in survivor samples for multiple phenotypes. As a possible explanation, we found that meta-GWAS hits were less likely to be replicated in survivors who had been exposed to cancer therapies that are associated with phenotype risk. Examination of complementary DNA methylation data in a subset of survivors revealed that treatment-related methylation patterns at genomic sites linked to meta-GWAS hits may disrupt established genetic signals in survivors.

Parallel repulsive logic regression with biological adjacency.

Logic regression, an extension of generalized linear models with Boolean combinations of binary variables as predictors, is a useful tool in exploring interactions among single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in genome-wide association studies. However, since the search space defined by all possible combinations of SNPs, their complements, and logical operators in Boolean expressions can be exceedingly large in such studies, objective function optimization is slow and likely to be trapped in many local solutions, resulting in model over-fitting. We introduce a new search algorithm, parallel repulsive logic regression (PRLR), to efficiently estimate parameters of a logic regression to find a best model within the large space of SNP interactions by incorporating: (i) relevant biological adjacency matrix between SNPs to define similarity of estimation paths or trees, which are derived from physical SNP positions on chromosomes and/or memberships in biological gene pathways; and (ii) two repulsive forces to counter the similarity between and within estimation paths considered in parallel, which are introduced as penalty terms in the objective function. We compare our method's performance for identifying biologically-meaningful SNP interactions through simulations and with real genetic-epidemiological data. PRLR's detection-accuracy measures outperform existing approaches, especially in terms of positive predictive value and sensitivity for detecting SNP-SNP interactions.

Mortality After Major Cardiovascular Events in Survivors of Childhood Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Adult survivors of childhood cancer are at risk for cardiovascular events. OBJECTIVES: In this study, we sought to determine the risk for mortality after a major cardiovascular event among childhood cancer survivors compared with noncancer populations. METHODS: All-cause and cardiovascular cause-specific mortality risks after heart failure (HF), coronary artery disease (CAD), or stroke were compared among survivors and siblings in the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) and participants in the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate HRs and 95% CIs between groups, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors. RESULTS: Among 25,658 childhood cancer survivors (median age at diagnosis 7 years, median age at follow-up or death 38 years) and 5,051 siblings, 1,780 survivors and 91 siblings had a cardiovascular event. After HF, CAD, and stroke, 10-year all-cause mortalities were 30% (95% CI: 26%-33%), 36% (95% CI: 31%-40%), and 29% (95% CI: 24%-33%), respectively, among survivors vs 14% (95% CI: 0%-25%), 14% (95% CI: 2%-25%), and 4% (95% CI: 0%-11%) among siblings. All-cause mortality risks among childhood cancer survivors were increased after HF (HR: 7.32; 95% CI: 2.56-20.89), CAD (HR: 5.54; 95% CI: 2.37-12.93), and stroke (HR: 3.57; 95% CI: 1.12-11.37). CAD-specific mortality risk was increased (HR: 3.70; 95% CI: 1.05-13.02). Among 5,114 CARDIA participants, 345 had a major event. Although CARDIA participants were on average decades older at events (median age 57 years vs 31 years), mortality risks were similar, except that all-cause mortality after CAD was significantly increased among childhood cancer survivors (HR: 1.85; 95% CI: 1.16-2.95). CONCLUSIONS: Survivors of childhood cancer represent a population at high risk for mortality after major cardiovascular events.

St. Jude Survivorship Portal: Sharing and Analyzing Large Clinical and Genomic Datasets from Pediatric Cancer Survivors.

Childhood cancer survivorship studies generate comprehensive datasets comprising demographic, diagnosis, treatment, outcome, and genomic data from survivors. To broadly share this data, we created the St. Jude Survivorship Portal (https://survivorship.stjude.cloud), the first data portal for sharing, analyzing, and visualizing pediatric cancer survivorship data. More than 1,600 phenotypic variables and 400 million genetic variants from more than 7,700 childhood cancer survivors can be explored on this free, open-access portal. Summary statistics of variables are computed on-the-fly and visualized through interactive and customizable charts. Survivor cohorts can be customized and/or divided into groups for comparative analysis. Users can also seamlessly perform cumulative incidence and regression analyses on the stored survivorship data. Using the portal, we explored the ototoxic effects of platinum-based chemotherapy, uncovered a novel association between mental health, age, and limb amputation, and discovered a novel haplotype in MAGI3 strongly associated with cardiomyopathy specifically in survivors of African ancestry. Significance: The St. Jude Survivorship Portal is the first data portal designed to share and explore clinical and genetic data from childhood cancer survivors. The portal provides both open- and controlled-access features and will fulfill a wide range of data sharing needs of the survivorship research community and beyond. See co-corresponding author Xin Zhou discuss this research article, published simultaneously at the AACR Annual Meeting 2024: https://vimeo.com/932617204/7d99fa4958.

Trans-Ancestral Genetic Risk Factors for Treatment-Related Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Survivors of Childhood Cancer.

PURPOSE: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is a prevalent long-term complication of treatment in survivors of childhood cancer, with marked racial/ethnic differences in burden. In this study, we investigated trans-ancestral genetic risks for treatment-related T2D. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Leveraging whole-genome sequencing data from the St Jude Lifetime Cohort (N = 3,676, 304 clinically ascertained cases), we conducted ancestry-specific genome-wide association studies among survivors of African and European genetic ancestry (AFR and EUR, respectively) followed by trans-ancestry meta-analysis. Trans-/within-ancestry replication including data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (N = 5,965) was required for prioritization. Three external general population T2D polygenic risk scores (PRSs) were assessed, including multiancestry PRSs. Treatment risk effect modification was evaluated for prioritized loci. RESULTS: Four novel T2D risk loci showing trans-/within-ancestry replication evidence were identified, with three loci achieving genome-wide significance (P < 5 × 10-8). Among these, common variants at 5p15.2 (LINC02112), 2p25.3 (MYT1L), and 19p12 (ZNF492) showed evidence of modifying alkylating agent-related T2D risk in both ancestral groups, but showed disproportionately greater risk in AFR survivors (AFR odds ratios [ORs], 3.95-17.81; EUR ORs, 2.37-3.32). In survivor-specific RNA-sequencing data (N = 207), the 19p12 locus variant was associated with greater ZNF492 expression dysregulation after exposures to alkylators. Elevated T2D risks across ancestry groups were only observed with increasing values for multiancestry T2D PRSs and were especially increased among survivors treated with alkylators (top v bottom quintiles: ORAFR, 20.18; P = .023; OREUR, 13.44; P = 1.3 × 10-9). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest therapy-related genetic risks contribute to the increased T2D burden among non-Hispanic Black childhood cancer survivors. Additional study of how therapy-related genetic susceptibility contributes to this disparity is needed.

Refining the genetic risk of breast cancer with rare haplotypes and pattern mining.

Hundreds of common variants have been found to confer small but significant differences in breast cancer risk, supporting the widely accepted polygenic model of inherited predisposition. Using a novel closed-pattern mining algorithm, we provide evidence that rare haplotypes may refine the association of breast cancer risk with common germline alleles. Our method, called Chromosome Overlap, consists in iteratively pairing chromosomes from affected individuals and looking for noncontiguous patterns of shared alleles. We applied Chromosome Overlap to haplotypes of genotyped SNPs from female breast cancer cases from the UK Biobank at four loci containing common breast cancer-risk SNPs. We found two rare (frequency <0.1%) haplotypes bearing a GWAS hit at 11q13 (hazard ratio = 4.21 and 16.7) which replicated in an independent, European ancestry population at P < 0.05, and another at 22q12 (frequency <0.2%, hazard ratio = 2.58) which expanded the risk pool to noncarriers of a GWAS hit. These results suggest that rare haplotypes (or mutations) may underlie the "synthetic association" of breast cancer risk with at least some common variants.

Genome-Wide Analysis of Rare Haplotypes Associated with Breast Cancer Risk.

Numerous common genetic variants have been linked to breast cancer risk, but they only partially explain the total breast cancer heritability. Inference from Nordic population-based twin data indicates rare high-risk loci as the chief determinant of breast cancer risk. Here, we use haplotypes, rather than single variants, to identify rare high-risk loci for breast cancer. With computationally phased genotypes from 181,034 white British women in the UK Biobank, a genome-wide haplotype-breast cancer association analysis was conducted using sliding windows of 5 to 500 consecutive array-genotyped variants. In the discovery stage, haplotype-breast cancer associations were evaluated retrospectively in the prestudy-enrollment data including 5,487 breast cancer cases. Breast cancer hazard ratios (HR) for additive haplotypic effects were estimated using Cox regression. The replication analysis included a prospective cohort of women free of breast cancer at enrollment, of whom 3,524 later developed breast cancer. This two-stage analysis detected 13 rare loci (frequency <1%), each associated with an appreciable breast cancer-risk increase (discovery: HRs = 2.84-6.10, P < 5 × 10-8; replication: HRs = 2.08-5.61, P < 0.01). In contrast, the variants that formed these rare haplotypes individually exhibited much smaller effects. Functional annotation revealed extensive cis-regulatory DNA elements in breast cancer-related cells underlying the replicated rare haplotypes. Using phased, imputed genotypes from 30,064 cases and 25,282 controls in the DRIVE OncoArray case-control study, 6 of the 13 rare-loci associations were found generalizable (odds ratio estimates: 1.48-7.67, P < 0.05). This study demonstrates the complementary advantage of utilizing rare haplotypes to capture novel risk loci and suggests the potential for the discovery of more genetic elements contributing to cancer heritability as large data sets of germline whole-genome sequencing become available. SIGNIFICANCE: A genome-wide two-stage haplotype analysis identifies rare haplotypes associated with breast cancer risk and suggests that the rare risk haplotypes represent long-range interactions with regulatory consequences influencing cancer risk.

Inference on the Genetic Architecture of Breast Cancer Risk.

BACKGROUND: What are the major determinants of women's breast cancer risk? Rare mutations such as those in the BRCA1/2 genes, polygenic scores of common alleles identified by genome-wide association studies, or nongenetic factors? METHODS: The population-based Nordic Twin Study of Cancer, with 3,933 breast cancer cases among 21,054 monozygotic (MZ) and 30,939 dizygotic (DZ) female twin pairs, provides three key clues to this question: (i) the average lifetime risk, approximately 8%, does not differ by twin zygosity; (ii) the mean time interval between diagnoses when both twins develop disease (i.e., disease concordance) also does not differ by zygosity; but, (iii) conditioning on one twin having developed disease, the incidence rate in the co-twin is approximately 1% per year if the pair is MZ and 0.5% per year if DZ. RESULTS: Assuming that nongenetic risk factors are shared similarly between twins regardless of zygosity, we can draw two conclusions from (i) to (iii). CONCLUSIONS: First, (i) and (iii) imply that the chief determinant of risk is in the germline DNA, because the conditional incidence rate is several-fold higher than the average risk (8% lifetime) in MZ twins but only half as much in DZ twins. Second, the seeming inconsistency between the two-fold conditional incidence rate (iii) and the equality of the mean inter-twin disease intervals in disease concordance (ii) can be resolved if the risk factors in the germline DNA are rare variants, not common variants. IMPACT: This paper details simple deductive reasoning for these conclusions and draws a critical inference regarding breast cancer etiology. See related In the Spotlight, p. 1477.

Polygenic Risk and Chemotherapy-Related Subsequent Malignancies in Childhood Cancer Survivors: A Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study Report.

PURPOSE: Chemotherapeutic exposures are associated with subsequent malignant neoplasm (SMN) risk. The role of genetic susceptibility in chemotherapy-related SMNs should be defined as use of radiation therapy (RT) decreases. PATIENTS AND METHODS: SMNs among long-term childhood cancer survivors of European (EUR; N = 9,895) and African (AFR; N = 718) genetic ancestry from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study and St Jude Lifetime Cohort Study were evaluated. An externally validated 179-variant polygenic risk score (PRS) associated with pleiotropic adult cancer risk from the UK Biobank Study (N > 400,000) was computed for each survivor. SMN cumulative incidence comparing top and bottom PRS quintiles was estimated, along with hazard ratios (HRs) from proportional hazards models. RESULTS: A total of 1,594 survivors developed SMNs, with basal cell carcinomas (n = 822), breast cancers (n = 235), and thyroid cancers (n = 221) being the most frequent. Although SMN risk associations with the PRS were extremely modest in RT-exposed EUR survivors (HR, 1.22; P = .048; n = 4,630), the increase in 30-year SMN cumulative incidence and HRs comparing top and bottom PRS quintiles was statistically significant among nonirradiated EUR survivors (n = 4,322) treated with alkylating agents (17% v 6%; HR, 2.46; P < .01), anthracyclines (20% v 8%; HR, 2.86; P < .001), epipodophyllotoxins (23% v 1%; HR, 12.20; P < .001), or platinums (46% v 7%; HR, 8.58; P < .01). This PRS also significantly modified epipodophyllotoxin-related SMN risk among nonirradiated AFR survivors (n = 414; P < .01). Improvements in prediction attributable to the PRS were greatest for epipodophyllotoxin-exposed (AUC, 0.71 v 0.63) and platinum-exposed (AUC,0.68 v 0.58) survivors. CONCLUSION: A pleiotropic cancer PRS has strong potential for improving SMN clinical risk stratification among nonirradiated survivors treated with specific chemotherapies. A polygenic risk screening approach may be a valuable complement to an early screening strategy on the basis of treatments and rare cancer-susceptibility mutations.

Trans-ancestral genetic study of diabetes mellitus risk in survivors of childhood cancer: a report from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort and the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is an established late effect of treatment for childhood cancer. Leveraging detailed cancer treatment and whole-genome sequencing data among survivors of childhood cancer of European (EUR) and African (AFR) genetic ancestry in the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort (N=3,676; 304 cases), five novel diabetes mellitus (DM) risk loci were identified with independent trans-/within-ancestry replication, including in 5,965 survivors of the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study. Among these, common risk variants at 5p15.2 ( LINC02112 ), 2p25.3 ( MYT1L ), and 19p12 ( ZNF492 ) modified alkylating agent-related risks across ancestry groups, but AFR survivors with risk alleles experienced disproportionately greater risk of DM (AFR, variant ORs: 3.95-17.81; EUR, variant ORs: 2.37-3.32). Novel risk locus XNDC1N was identified in the first genome-wide DM rare variant burden association analysis in survivors (OR=8.65, 95% CI: 3.02-24.74, P=8.1×10 -6 ). Lastly, a general-population 338-variant multi-ancestry T2D polygenic risk score was informative for DM risk in AFR survivors, and showed elevated DM odds after alkylating agent exposures (quintiles: combined OR EUR =8.43, P=1.1×10 -8 ; OR AFR =13.85, P=0.033). This study supports future precision diabetes surveillance/survivorship care for all childhood cancer survivors, including those with AFR ancestry.

Leveraging Therapy-Specific Polygenic Risk Scores to Predict Restrictive Lung Defects in Childhood Cancer Survivors.

Therapy-related pulmonary complications are among the leading causes of morbidity among long-term survivors of childhood cancer. Restrictive ventilatory defects (RVD) are prevalent, with risks increasing after exposures to chest radiotherapy and radiomimetic chemotherapies. Using whole-genome sequencing data from 1,728 childhood cancer survivors in the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study, we developed and validated a composite RVD risk prediction model that integrates clinical profiles and polygenic risk scores (PRS), including both published lung phenotype PRSs and a novel survivor-specific pharmaco/radiogenomic PRS (surPRS) for RVD risk reflecting gene-by-treatment (GxT) interaction effects. Overall, this new therapy-specific polygenic risk prediction model showed multiple indicators for superior discriminatory accuracy in an independent data set. The surPRS was significantly associated with RVD risk in both training (OR = 1.60, P = 3.7 × 10-10) and validation (OR = 1.44, P = 8.5 × 10-4) data sets. The composite model featuring the surPRS showed the best discriminatory accuracy (AUC = 0.81; 95% CI, 0.76-0.87), a significant improvement (P = 9.0 × 10-3) over clinical risk scores only (AUC = 0.78; 95% CI: 0.72-0.83). The odds of RVD in survivors in the highest quintile of composite model-predicted risk was ∼20-fold higher than those with median predicted risk or less (OR = 20.01, P = 2.2 × 10-16), exceeding the comparable estimate considering nongenetic risk factors only (OR = 9.20, P = 7.4 × 10-11). Inclusion of genetic predictors also selectively improved risk stratification for pulmonary complications across at-risk primary cancer diagnoses (AUCclinical = 0.72; AUCcomposite = 0.80, P = 0.012). Overall, this PRS approach that leverages GxT interaction effects supports late effects risk prediction among childhood cancer survivors. SIGNIFICANCE: This study develops a therapy-specific polygenic risk prediction model to more precisely identify childhood cancer survivors at high risk for pulmonary complications, which could help improve risk stratification for other late effects.

Forgoing needed medical care among long-term survivors of childhood cancer: racial/ethnic-insurance disparities.

PURPOSE: To investigate racial/ethnic-related disparities by insurance status in "forgoing needed medical care in the last year due to finances" in childhood cancer survivors. METHODS: Our study included 3310 non-Hispanic/Latinx White, 562 non-Hispanic/Latinx Black, and 92 Hispanic/Latinx survivors from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study. Logistic regression analyses, guided by Andersen's Healthcare Utilization Model, were adjusted for "predisposing" (survey age, sex, childhood cancer diagnosis and treatment, and treatment era) and "need" (perceived health status) factors. Additional adjustment for household income/education and chronic health conditions was considered. RESULTS: Risk of forgoing care was highest among non-Hispanic/Latinx Blacks and lowest among Hispanics/Latinxs for each insurance status. Among privately insured survivors, relative to non-Hispanic/Latinx Whites, non-Hispanic/Latinx Blacks were more likely to forgo care (adjusted OR: 1.82, 95% CI: 1.30-2.54): this disparity remained despite additional adjustment for household income/education (adjusted OR: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.01-2.01). In contrast, publicly insured survivors, regardless of race/ethnicity, had similar risk of forgoing care as privately insured non-Hispanic/Latinx Whites. All uninsured survivors had high risk of forgoing care. Additional chronic health condition adjustment did not alter these results. CONCLUSIONS: Provision of public insurance to all childhood cancer survivors may diminish racial/ethnic disparities in forgoing care that exist among the privately insured and reduce the risk of forgoing care among uninsured survivors to that of privately insured non-Hispanic/Latinx Whites. IMPLICATIONS FOR CANCER SURVIVORS: Under public insurance, childhood cancer survivors had low risk of forgoing care, at the similar level to privately insured non-Hispanic/Latinx Whites, regardless of race/ethnicity.

Corrigendum: The Magnitude of Black/Hispanic Disparity in COVID-19 Mortality Across United States Counties During the First Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

[This corrects the article DOI: 10.3389/ijph.2021.1604004.].

The Magnitude of Black/Hispanic Disparity in COVID-19 Mortality Across United States Counties During the First Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Objectives: To quantify the Black/Hispanic disparity in COVID-19 mortality in the United States (US). Methods: COVID-19 deaths in all US counties nationwide were analyzed to estimate COVID-19 mortality rate ratios by county-level proportions of Black/Hispanic residents, using mixed-effects Poisson regression. Excess COVID-19 mortality counts, relative to predicted under a counterfactual scenario of no racial/ethnic disparity gradient, were estimated. Results: County-level COVID-19 mortality rates increased monotonically with county-level proportions of Black and Hispanic residents, up to 5.4-fold (≥43% Black) and 11.6-fold (≥55% Hispanic) higher compared to counties with <5% Black and <15% Hispanic residents, respectively, controlling for county-level poverty, age, and urbanization level. Had this disparity gradient not existed, the US COVID-19 death count would have been 92.1% lower (177,672 fewer deaths), making the rate comparable to other high-income countries with substantially lower COVID-19 death counts. Conclusion: During the first 8 months of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, the US experienced the highest number of COVID-19 deaths. This COVID-19 mortality burden is strongly associated with county-level racial/ethnic diversity, explaining most US COVID-19 deaths.

Genome-wide Association Studies Reveal Novel Locus With Sex-/Therapy-Specific Fracture Risk Effects in Childhood Cancer Survivors.

Childhood cancer survivors treated with radiation therapy (RT) and osteotoxic chemotherapies are at increased risk for fractures. However, understanding of how genetic and clinical susceptibility factors jointly contribute to fracture risk among survivors is limited. To address this gap, we conducted genome-wide association studies of fracture risk after cancer diagnosis in 2453 participants of European ancestry from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) with 930 incident fractures using Cox regression models (ie, time-to-event analysis) and prioritized sex- and treatment-stratified genetic associations. We performed replication analyses in 1417 survivors of European ancestry with 652 incident fractures from the St. Jude Lifetime Cohort Study (SJLIFE). In discovery, we identified a genome-wide significant (p < 5 × 10-8 ) fracture risk locus, 16p13.3 (HAGHL), among female CCSS survivors (n = 1289) with strong evidence of sex-specific effects (psex-heterogeneity < 7 × 10-6 ). Combining discovery and replication data, rs1406815 showed the strongest association (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.43, p = 8.2 × 10-9 ; n = 1935 women) at this locus. In treatment-stratified analyses in the discovery cohort, the association between rs1406815 and fracture risk among female survivors with no RT exposures was weak (HR = 1.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.95-1.57, p = 0.11) but increased substantially among those with greater head/neck RT doses (any RT: HR = 1.88, 95% CI 1.54-2.28, p = 2.4 × 10-10 ; >36 Gray only: HR = 3.79, 95% CI 1.95-7.34, p = 8.2 × 10-5 ). These head/neck RT-specific HAGHL single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) effects were replicated in female SJLIFE survivors. In silico bioinformatics analyses suggest these fracture risk alleles regulate HAGHL gene expression and related bone resorption pathways. Genetic risk profiles integrating this locus may help identify female survivors who would benefit from targeted interventions to reduce fracture risk. © 2020 American Society for Bone and Mineral Research (ASBMR).

Genome-wide haplotype association analysis of primary biliary cholangitis risk in Japanese.

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) susceptibility loci have largely been discovered through single SNP association testing. In this study, we report genic haplotype patterns associated with PBC risk genome-wide in two Japanese cohorts. Among the 74 genic PBC risk haplotype candidates we detected with a novel methodological approach in a discovery cohort of 1,937 Japanese, nearly two-thirds were replicated (49 haplotypes, Bonferroni-corrected P < 6.8 × 10-4) in an independent Japanese cohort (N = 949). Along with corroborating known PBC-associated loci (TNFSF15, HLA-DRA), risk haplotypes may potentially model cis-interactions that regulate gene expression. For example, one replicated haplotype association (9q32-9q33.1, OR = 1.7, P = 3.0 × 10-21) consists of intergenic SNPs outside of the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) region that overlap regulatory histone mark peaks in liver and blood cells, and are significantly associated with TNFSF8 expression in whole blood. We also replicated a novel haplotype association involving non-HLA SNPs mapped to UMAD1 (7p21.3; OR = 15.2, P = 3.9 × 10-9) that overlap enhancer peaks in liver and memory Th cells. Our analysis demonstrates the utility of haplotype association analyses in discovering and characterizing PBC susceptibility loci.