A tiered multidisciplinary approach to the psychosocial care of adult cancer patients integrated into routine care: the PROMPT study (a cluster-randomised controlled trial).

PURPOSE: A stepped-wedge cluster-randomised controlled trial was conducted to evaluate the feasibility and effectiveness of a brief psychosocial intervention for depressed cancer patients, delivered by trained front-line health professionals in routine clinical care. METHODS: Nine hundred two patients were assessed across four treatment centres which were allocated in random order from control epoch to intervention epoch. Eligible patients had Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS) scores of 8 or greater. Of eligible patients, 222 were recruited in control epoch and 247 in intervention epoch. Twenty-seven health professionals (HPs) were trained to deliver the psychosocial intervention consisting of up to four sessions, tailored to patient symptoms and distress. HPs participated in group supervision with a psychiatrist. The primary outcome, analysed by intention to treat, was depression measured with the HADS at 10 weeks after receiving the intervention. RESULTS: At 10-week follow-up, there were no significant differences in HADS score for the 181 patients in control epoch and 177 in intervention epoch (adjusted difference -1.23, 95 % CI -3.81--1.35, p = 0.35). Patients with disease progression who received the intervention experienced significant benefits in unmet practical support needs including care and support, information, and physical and daily living. CONCLUSION: A brief psychosocial intervention delivered by front-line oncology health professionals is feasible to deliver but is insufficient as a stand-alone treatment for depression in cancer patients. Psychosocial interventions should be targeted to populations most likely to experience benefit.

Healthy aging in a cross-sectional study of Australian men: what has sex got to do with it?

AIM: To identify lifestyle factors associated with healthy aging in middle-aged and older Australian men. METHODS: A cross-sectional, population-based, computer-assisted telephone interview study explored self-reported health outcomes, and associated determinants for general and reproductive health (the Men in Australia Telephone Survey) in men aged 40 years and older (n = 5990). "Good health" was defined by self-reported health (excellent/very good) combined with absence of self-reported high blood pressure, heart disease, stroke, diabetes and depression symptoms. Categories of sexual activity frequency in the previous four weeks ranged from zero to 12+ times. RESULTS: "Good health" declined with increasing age with 17% of men over 70 years reporting "good health". In multivariable logistic regression models, significant inverse associations were found between modifiable lifestyle factors - both underweight and overweight/obesity, physical inactivity, smoking and high alcohol consumption - and "good health". Low-risk alcohol intake and living with a partner were positively associated with "good health". Sexual activity was also positively associated with "good health" (p < 0.001) with elevated odds ratios (ORs) for each category of frequency of sexual activity (1-4, 5-8, 9-12 or 12+ times in the past 4 weeks) relative to zero frequency (ORs 1.68 to 2.16). CONCLUSION: This study suggests that sexual activity is an important correlate of retaining good health in middle- and older-aged men, independent of other behavioral determinants.

Validating and Improving Injury Burden Estimates Study: the Injury-VIBES study protocol.

BACKGROUND: Priority setting, identification of unmet and changing healthcare needs, service and policy planning, and the capacity to evaluate the impact of health interventions requires valid and reliable methods for quantifying disease and injury burden. The methodology developed for the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) studies has been adopted to estimate the burden of disease in national, regional and global projects. However, there has been little validation of the methods for estimating injury burden using empirical data. OBJECTIVE: To provide valid estimates of the burden of non-fatal injury using empirical data. SETTING: Data from prospective cohort studies of injury outcomes undertaken in the UK, USA, Australia, New Zealand and The Netherlands. DESIGN AND PARTICIPANTS: Meta-analysis of deidentified, patient-level data from over 40 000 injured participants in six prospective cohort studies: Victorian State Trauma Registry, Victorian Orthopaedic Trauma Outcomes Registry, UK Burden of Injury study, Prospective Outcomes of Injury study, National Study on Costs and Outcomes of Trauma and the Dutch Injury Patient Survey. ANALYSIS: Data will be systematically analysed to evaluate and refine injury classification, development of disability weights, establishing the duration of disability and handling of cases with more than one injury in burden estimates. Developed methods will be applied to incidence data to compare and contrast various methods for estimating non-fatal injury burden. CONTRIBUTION TO THE FIELD: The findings of this international collaboration have the capacity to drive how injury burden is measured for future GBD estimates and for individual country or region-specific studies.

Long-term pain prevalence and health-related quality of life outcomes for patients enrolled in a ketamine versus morphine for prehospital traumatic pain randomised controlled trial.

INTRODUCTION: Improved early pain control may affect the longer-term prevalence of persistent pain. In a previous randomised, controlled trial, we found that the administration of ketamine on hospital arrival decreased pain scores to a greater extent than morphine alone in patients with prehospital traumatic pain. In this follow-up study, we sought to determine the prevalence of persistent pain and whether there were differences in patients who received ketamine or morphine. METHODS: This study was a long-term follow-up study of the prehospital, prospective, randomised, controlled, open-label study comparing ketamine with morphine in patients with trauma and a verbal pain score of >5 after 5 mg intravenous morphine. Patients were followed-up by telephone 6-12 months after enrollment, and a questionnaire including the SF-36 (V.2) health-related quality of life survey and the Verbal Numerical Rating Scale for pain was administered. RESULTS: A total of 97/135 (72%) patients were able to be followed-up 6-12 months after enrollment between July 2008 and July 2010. Overall, 44/97 (45%) participants reported persistent pain related to their injury, with 3/97 (3%) reporting persistent severe pain. The prevalence of persistent pain was the same between study groups (22/50 (44%) for the ketamine group vs 22/47 (46%) for the morphine group). There was no difference in the SF-36 scores between study arms. CONCLUSIONS: There is a high incidence of persistent pain after traumatic injury, even in patients with relatively minor severity of injury. Although decreased pain scores at hospital arrival are achieved with ketamine compared with morphine, this difference does not affect the prevalence of persistent pain or health-related quality of life 6 months after injury. Further larger studies are required to confirm this finding. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: Australian and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12607000441415).

A prospective multicentre study of barriers to discharge from inpatient rehabilitation.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the prevalence of and reasons for barriers to discharge from inpatient rehabilitation, to measure the resulting additional days in hospital, and to determine if these were predicted by key demographic or clinical variables. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective open cohort study of 360 patients admitted into two inpatient rehabilitation units in Melbourne over an 8-02 and a 10-02 period in 2008. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Occurrence of discharge barriers, their causes and the duration of unnecessary hospitalisation. RESULTS: There were 360 patients in the study sample, 186 were female (51.7%), and mean age was 58.4 years. Fifty-nine (16.4%) patients had a discharge barrier. The most frequent causes of discharge barriers were patients being non-weight bearing after lower limb fracture, family deliberations about discharge planning, waiting for home modifications and waiting for accommodation. Patients with acquired brain damage and lower limb fracture were the impairment groups most likely to experience a discharge barrier. Over the study period, 21.0% (3152/14 976) of all bed-days were occupied by patients deemed to have a discharge barrier. Regression analysis showed that age, sex, impairment group and dependency level on admission all influenced the occurrence of a discharge barrier. Although regression analysis showed that dependency on admission and age group were significant predictors of additional days in hospital resulting from discharge barriers (P = 0.006), these variables explained only 11% of the additional bed-days. CONCLUSION: Barriers to discharge from inpatient rehabilitation are common and substantial, and they represent an important opportunity for improvement.

Cluster randomised controlled trial of a peer-led lifestyle intervention program: study protocol for the Kerala diabetes prevention program.

BACKGROUND: India currently has more than 60 million people with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) and this is predicted to increase by nearly two-thirds by 2030. While management of those with T2DM is important, preventing or delaying the onset of the disease, especially in those individuals at 'high risk' of developing T2DM, is urgently needed, particularly in resource-constrained settings. This paper describes the protocol for a cluster randomised controlled trial of a peer-led lifestyle intervention program to prevent diabetes in Kerala, India. METHODS/DESIGN: A total of 60 polling booths are randomised to the intervention arm or control arm in rural Kerala, India. Data collection is conducted in two steps. Step 1 (Home screening): Participants aged 30-60 years are administered a screening questionnaire. Those having no history of T2DM and other chronic illnesses with an Indian Diabetes Risk Score value of ≥60 are invited to attend a mobile clinic (Step 2). At the mobile clinic, participants complete questionnaires, undergo physical measurements, and provide blood samples for biochemical analysis. Participants identified with T2DM at Step 2 are excluded from further study participation. Participants in the control arm are provided with a health education booklet containing information on symptoms, complications, and risk factors of T2DM with the recommended levels for primary prevention. Participants in the intervention arm receive: (1) eleven peer-led small group sessions to motivate, guide and support in planning, initiation and maintenance of lifestyle changes; (2) two diabetes prevention education sessions led by experts to raise awareness on T2DM risk factors, prevention and management; (3) a participant handbook containing information primarily on peer support and its role in assisting with lifestyle modification; (4) a participant workbook to guide self-monitoring of lifestyle behaviours, goal setting and goal review; (5) the health education booklet that is given to the control arm. Follow-up assessments are conducted at 12 and 24 months. The primary outcome is incidence of T2DM. Secondary outcomes include behavioural, psychosocial, clinical, and biochemical measures. An economic evaluation is planned. DISCUSSION: Results from this trial will contribute to improved policy and practice regarding lifestyle intervention programs to prevent diabetes in India and other resource-constrained settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Australia and New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry: ACTRN12611000262909.

Monash transient ischemic attack triaging treatment: safety of a transient ischemic attack mechanism-based outpatient model of care.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Controversy surrounds the need for routine hospital admission for transient ischemic attack. The Monash Transient Ischemic Attack Triaging Treatment (M3T) model adopts rapid management in the emergency department followed by outpatient management prioritized by stroke mechanism. We compared safety and processes of care between M3T and the previous model of routine admission. METHODS: Study cohorts consisted of patients managed with M3T (2004-2007) and the previous model (2003-2004). We determined 90-day stroke outcome using clinical and medical record review and data linkage to the population level state-wide hospital discharge morbidity database. We compared models of care using risk difference analysis, followed by logistic regression to adjust for previous indicators of risk. Secondary outcomes were proportions admitted, proportions undergoing carotid ultrasound, times to ultrasound and revascularization, and medication prescription. RESULTS: In M3T (mean age, 64.7±14.7) 85/488 (17.4%) patients were admitted compared with 117/169 (62.9%) in the previous model (mean age, 72.5±13.9). With near-complete follow-up, 90-day stroke outcome was 1.50% (95% confidence interval, 0.73%-3.05%) in M3T and 4.67% (95% confidence interval, 2.28%-9.32%) in the previous model (P=0.03). Compared with the previous model, the adjusted odds ratio of stroke for M3T was 0.46 (95% confidence interval, 0.12-1.68; P=0.24). M3T was associated with greater proportions undergoing carotid ultrasound (P<0.001) and receiving antiplatelet therapy (P=0.005). CONCLUSIONS: The M3T system was associated with low 90-day stroke outcome in transient ischemic attack patients, providing proof of concept that these patients may be managed safely without routine hospital admission using a closely supervised protocol in the emergency department.

Carotid artery anatomy and geometry as risk factors for carotid atherosclerotic disease.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Traditional vascular risk factors do not completely explain the asymmetry, racial, and sex differences in carotid artery disease. Carotid anatomy and geometry may play a role in the pathogenesis of internal carotid artery (ICA) stenosis, but their effects are unknown. We hypothesized that carotid artery anatomy and geometry would be independently associated with ICA stenosis. METHOD: This is a retrospective study of patients with CT angiography at Monash Medical Centre, 2006 to 2007. Carotid arteries were segmented using semiautomated methods to estimate measures of carotid anatomy and geometry. Measurements of carotid artery geometry were performed according to the recent article by Thomas and colleagues. ICA stenosis was dichotomized as <30% or ≥ 30% stenosis. Cluster logistic regression was used to examine the associations of anatomy and geometry with stenosis accounting for the paired arteries within subjects, adjusting for age, sex, and vascular risk factors. RESULTS: Mean age of the sample (n=178) was 68.4 years (SD, 14 years). The following were independently associated with ICA stenosis: ICA radius at the bifurcation (OR, 0.20; 95% CI, 0.14-0.29), ICA angle (OR, 1.05 per degree increment; 95% CI, 1.04-1.07), age (OR, 1.05 per year increment; 95% CI, 1.03-1.07), male sex (OR, 1.72; 95% CI, 1.08-2.8), and ever-smoker (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, 1.15-2.96). CONCLUSIONS: Carotid anatomy and geometry may enhance the risk of stenosis independent of traditional vascular risk factors and may be of help in very early identification of patients at high risk of developing carotid artery atherosclerosis for aggressive intervention.

Morphine and ketamine is superior to morphine alone for out-of-hospital trauma analgesia: a randomized controlled trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: We assess the efficacy of intravenous ketamine compared with intravenous morphine in reducing pain in adults with significant out-of-hospital traumatic pain. METHODS: This study was an out-of-hospital, prospective, randomized, controlled, open-label study. Patients with trauma and a verbal pain score of greater than 5 after 5 mg intravenous morphine were eligible for enrollment. Patients allocated to the ketamine group received a bolus of 10 or 20 mg, followed by 10 mg every 3 minutes thereafter. Patients allocated to the morphine alone group received 5 mg intravenously every 5 minutes until pain free. Pain scores were measured at baseline and at hospital arrival. RESULTS: A total of 135 patients were enrolled between December 2007 and July 2010. There were no differences between the groups at baseline. After the initial 5-mg dose of intravenous morphine, patients allocated to ketamine received a mean of 40.6 mg (SD 25 mg) of ketamine. Patients allocated to morphine alone received a mean of 14.4 mg (SD 9.4 mg) of morphine. The mean pain score change was -5.6 (95% confidence interval [CI] -6.2 to -5.0) in the ketamine group compared with -3.2 (95% CI -3.7 to -2.7) in the morphine group. The difference in mean pain score change was -2.4 (95% CI -3.2 to -1.6) points. The intravenous morphine group had 9 of 65 (14%; 95% CI 6% to 25%) adverse effects reported (most commonly nausea [6/65; 9%]) compared with 27 of 70 (39%; 95% CI 27% to 51%) in the ketamine group (most commonly disorientation [8/70; 11%]). CONCLUSION: Intravenous morphine plus ketamine for out-of-hospital adult trauma patients provides analgesia superior to that of intravenous morphine alone but was associated with an increase in the rate of minor adverse effects.

Splenectomy sequelae: an analysis of infectious outcomes among adults in Victoria.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the risk and timing of a broad range of infective outcomes and mortality after splenectomy. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: Analysis of a non-identifiable linked hospital discharge administrative dataset for splenectomy cases between July 1998 and December 2006 in Victoria, Australia. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Age, sex, indication for splenectomy, infectious events and death. Patients splenectomised for trauma were compared with patients splenectomised for other indications. Infectious risk was established using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: A total of 2574 patients underwent splenectomy (with 8648 person-years follow-up). Paediatric cases were excluded, leaving 2472 adult cases for analysis. The most common reasons for splenectomy were trauma (635 [25.7%]) and therapeutic haematological indications (583 [23.6%]). After splenectomy, 644 adult patients (26.0%) had a severe infection, with a rate of 8.0 per 100 person-years (95% CI, 7.2-8.4). The risk of severe infection was highest among patients aged > [corrected] 50 years (10.1 [corrected] per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 9.3-11.1) [corrected] and those splenectomised for malignancy (14.2 per 100 person-years; 95% CI, 11.8-17.1). Gram-negative infections represented the most frequent causative organism group accounting for 698 (51%) of bacterial pathogens. Staphylococcus aureus was the second most common causative organism. CONCLUSION: The incidence of severe infection and all-cause mortality differed according to age and underlying reason for splenectomy, and was highest among the elderly and those with malignancy, and was lowest among trauma patients. This highlights the need for targeted prevention programs.

Demand at the emergency department front door: 10-year trends in presentations.

OBJECTIVES: To measure the increase in volume and age-specific rates of presentations to public hospital emergency departments (EDs), as well as any changes in ED length of stay (LOS); and to describe trends in ED utilisation. DESIGN, PATIENTS AND SETTING: Population-based retrospective analysis of Department of Health public hospital ED data for metropolitan Melbourne for 1999-00 to 2008-09. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Presentation numbers; presentation rates per 1000 person-years; ED LOS. RESULTS: ED presentations increased from 550,662 in 1999-00 to 853,940 in 2008-09. This corresponded to a 32% rise in rate of presentation (95% CI, 29%-35%), an average annual increase of 3.6% (95% CI, 3.4%-3.8%) after adjustment for population changes. Almost 40% of all patients remained in the ED for ≥4 hours in 2008-09, with LOS increasing over time for patients who were more acutely unwell. The likelihood of presentation rose with increasing age, with people aged≥85 years being 3.9 times as likely to present as those aged 35-59 years (95% CI, 3.8-4.0). The volume of older people presenting more than doubled over the decade. They were more likely to arrive by emergency ambulance and were more acutely unwell than 35-59 year olds, with 75% having an LOS≥4 hours and 61% requiring admission in 2008-09. CONCLUSION: The rise in presentation numbers and presentation rates per 1000 person-years over 10 years was beyond that expected from demographic changes. Current models of emergency and primary care are failing to meet community needs at times of acute illness. Given these trends, the proposed 4-hour targets in 2012 may be unachievable unless there is significant redesign of the whole system.

Intracervical procedures and the risk of subsequent very preterm birth: a case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relation of prior intracervical procedures with very preterm birth. DESIGN: A population-based case-control study. SETTING: The study was conducted in Australia between 2002 and 2004. SAMPLE: Three hundred and forty-five women having a medically indicated and 236 having a spontaneous singleton birth between 20 and 31 weeks of gestation and 796 women selected randomly from all those giving birth at ≥37 weeks of gestation. METHODS: Interview data were analysed using logistic regression. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: Very preterm birth. RESULTS: Very preterm birth was significantly associated with having any intracervical procedure [adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 2.07; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-2.7], in particular curettage associated with abortion (AOR 1.80; 95% CI 1.2-2.6). Assisted reproductive technology procedures were significantly associated with medically indicated very preterm birth (AOR 3.07; 95% CI 1.8-5.3) and treatments for precancerous cervical changes were significantly associated with spontaneous very preterm birth, as follows: conization/cone biopsy (AOR 3.33; 95% CI 1.8-6.2) and cauterization/ablation (AOR 2.27; 95% CI 1.4-3.8). Suction aspiration for abortion, abnormal Pap smear without treatment and abortion without instrumentation were not associated with very preterm birth. CONCLUSIONS: Intracervical procedures are associated with very preterm birth. Notably, curettage rather than any other procedure associated with abortion appears to be implicated in the risk. The introduction of infection during cervical procedures may be the common link with risks found. Changing clinical practice in the management of abortion and human papillomavirus vaccination may lead to lowering the risks of very preterm birth.

Impact of tai chi on impairment, functional limitation, and disability among preclinically disabled older people: a randomized controlled trial.

OBJECTIVES: To test the effect of tai chi on the progression of preclinical disability to manifest disability compared with seated flexibility exercise, and to examine whether tai chi mediates delayed disability by reducing impairments in musculoskeletal, cardiovascular, and neurologic systems, and related functional limitations. DESIGN: Multisite parallel group individually randomized controlled trial. SETTING: General community. PARTICIPANTS: Preclinically disabled community-dwelling people older than 70 years (n=503), without major medical conditions or moderate to severe cognitive impairment. INTERVENTION: Modified Sun style tai chi exercise compared with seated flexibility exercise, both programs delivered in groups for 60 minutes twice weekly for 24 weeks. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Disability measured with the Late-Life Function and Disability Instrument. Secondary outcomes were impairments and functional limitations of the musculoskeletal, neurologic, and cardiovascular systems. RESULTS: There was little change within or between the 2 groups. The mean change in the Disability Frequency Score was 0.3 and 0.1 points (100-point scale) for the intervention and control groups, respectively (adjusted difference -.21; 95% confidence interval [CI] -.99 to .56). The mean change in the Disability Limitation Score was -0.1 and -.04 points for the intervention and control groups, respectively (adjusted difference -0.6; 95% CI -2.31 to 1.11). There was little effect on impairments or functional limitations. A higher proportion of intervention participants ceased attending the exercise program (difference=17.9%, 95% CI 9.6-25.8). Multiple imputation of missing data did not change the results. CONCLUSIONS: Modified Sun style tai chi did not have an impact on impairment, functional limitations, or disability in preclinically disabled older people when delivered for 24 weeks. Withdrawal from the exercise classes was high but did not explain the null result. Improved compliance, or a longer or more intensive program, may be required.

The 6-PACK programme to decrease falls and fall-related injuries in acute hospitals: protocol for an economic evaluation alongside a cluster randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Falls are a common hospital occurrence complicating the care of patients. From an economic perspective, the impact of in-hospital falls and related injuries is substantial. However, few studies have examined the economic implications of falls prevention interventions in an acute care setting. The 6-PACK programme is a targeted nurse delivered falls prevention programme designed specifically for acute hospital wards. It includes a risk assessment tool and six simple strategies that nurses apply to patients classified as high-risk by the tool. OBJECTIVE: To examine the incremental cost-effectiveness of the 6-PACK programme for the prevention of falls and fall-related injuries, compared with usual care practice, from an acute hospital perspective. METHODS AND DESIGN: The 6-PACK project is a multicentre cluster randomised controlled trial (RCT) that includes 24 acute medical and surgical wards from six hospitals in Australia to investigate the efficacy of the 6-PACK programme. This economic evaluation will be conducted alongside the 6-PACK cluster RCT. Outcome and hospitalisation cost data will be prospectively collected on approximately 16,000 patients admitted to the participating wards during the 12-month trial period. The results of the economic evaluation will be expressed as 'cost or saving per fall prevented' and 'cost or saving per fall-related injury prevented' calculated from differences in mean costs and effects in the intervention and control groups, to generate an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). DISCUSSION: This economic evaluation will provide an opportunity to explore the cost-effectiveness of a targeted nurse delivered falls prevention programme for reducing in-hospital falls and fall-related injuries. This protocol provides a detailed statement of a planned economic evaluation conducted alongside a cluster RCT to investigate the efficacy of the 6-PACK programme to prevent falls and fall-related injuries. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: The protocol for the cluster RCT is registered with the Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (ACTRN12611000332921).

Application of Variable Life Adjusted Displays (VLAD) on Victorian Admitted Episodes Dataset (VAED).

BACKGROUND: The need to improve patient safety has been identified as a major priority for health reform in developed countries, including Australia. We investigated the implementation and appropriateness of Variable Life Adjusted Displays as a quality control procedure to monitor "in-control" versus "out-of-control" processes in Victorian public hospitals. METHODS: Victorian Admitted Episode Data from Department of Human Services, Victoria for 2004-7 were used. The VLAD is a plot of a cumulative sum of the difference in expected outcome (range 0-1) and observed outcome (0 or 1) for sequential separations. Three outcomes were assessed: in-hospital mortality for acute myocardial infarction, stroke and heart failure. Logistic regression was used to obtain a realistic measure of expected mortality over the period 2004-5, adjusting for covariates and comorbidities, to estimate expected mortality risk for the separations between 2005-7. VLAD were plotted for the years 2005-7, by the 11 hospitals with the highest frequency of separations. Signalling limits for 30%, 50% and 75% risk decrease and risk increase were determined and plotted for each VLAD utilizing risk-adjusted cumulative sum techniques. This is a likelihood-ratio test statistic for signalling. If the VLAD signalled by intersecting with a limit, the limit was reset. RESULTS: The three logit models displayed reasonable fit to the observed data. There were n = 2999 separations in the AMI model, n = 3598 in the HF model and n = 1922 in the stroke model. The number of separations plotted by VLAD ranged from n = 126 to n = 648. No signals were observed in 64%, 55% and 18% of VLAD for AMI, HF and stroke respectively. For AMI and HF 9% of hospitals signalled at least once for each of 30%, 50% and 75% risk increase, whereas this was 45% for stroke. Hospitals signalling at least once for risk decrease ranged from 18% to 36% across the levels of risk and outcomes. No VLAD signalled for both risk decrease and increase. CONCLUSIONS: VLAD intersecting with limits to signal "out-of-control" states, may be an appropriate technique to help hospitals assess quality control. Preliminary work displays some between hospital differences. Relevant signals can be used to investigate why a system is potentially performing better than or worse than expected. Types and levels of investigation could depend on the type of signalling. Validation work, for example attempting to correlate signals with clinical notes, prior to VLAD distribution needs to be undertaken.

An adverse event screening tool based on routinely collected hospital-acquired diagnoses.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to develop an electronic adverse event (AE) screening tool applicable to acute care hospital episodes for patients admitted with chronic heart failure (CHF) and pneumonia. DESIGN: Consensus building using a modified Delphi method and descriptive analysis of hospital discharge data. PARTICIPANTS: Consultant physicians in general medicine (n = 38). INTERVENTION: In-hospital acquired (C-prefix) diagnoses associated with CHF and pneumonia admissions to 230 hospitals in Victoria, Australia, were extracted from the Victorian Admitted Episodes Data Set between July 2004 and June 2007. A 9-point rating scale was used to prioritize diagnoses acquired during hospitalization (routinely coded as a 'C-prefix' diagnosis to distinguish from diagnoses present on admission) for inclusion within an AE screening tool. Diagnoses rated a group median score between 7 and 9 by the physician panel were included. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Selection of C-prefix diagnoses with a group median rating of 7-9 in a screening tool, and the level of physician agreement, as assessed using the Interpercentile Range Adjusted for Symmetry. RESULTS: Of 697 initial C-prefix diagnoses, there were high levels of agreement to include 113 (16.2%) in the AE screening tool. Using these selected diagnoses, a potential AE was flagged in 14% of all admissions for the two index conditions. Intra-rater reliability for each clinician ranged from kappa 0.482 to 1.0. CONCLUSIONS: A high level of physician agreement was obtained in selecting in-hospital diagnoses for inclusion in an AE screening tool based on routinely collected data. These results support further tool validation.

International measles incidence and immunization coverage.

Measles is exquisitely sensitive to immunization programs. We investigated the decline in measles incidence after immunization with 1 or 2 doses of measles-containing vaccine (MCV), with or without supplementary immunization activities (SIAs). Using data from the World Health Organization, we modeled the impact of measles immunization using a negative binomial regression model. All countries offer measles immunization, and 192 of 193 countries offer a second dose of MCV (MCV2), using either a routine second dose, SIAs, or both. The incidence of measles fell from a median of 70.9 cases/100,000/year when coverage with a first dose of MCV (MCV1) was in the range of 0%-39% to a median of .9 cases/100,000/year when MCV1 coverage was 90%-100%, in both cases with no MCV2. Further reductions followed the introduction of MCV2 and SIAs. Modeling showed that each 1% increase in MCV1 coverage was followed by a 2.0% decrease in incidence in the same and following years (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0%-1.9%, and 2.1%-1.9%, respectively). For a second dose, a rise of 1% in MCV2 coverage was followed by a decrease in measles incidence by .4% (95% CI, .3%-.5%) in the same year and .3% (95% CI, .2%-.5%) in the following year. SIAs were followed by decreases of measles incidence by 40.3% (95% CI, 46.3%-33.8%) in the same year and 45.2% (95% CI, 51.1%-48.7%) in the following year. A herd immunity effect was demonstrated with MCV1 coverage of >80%, and SIAs are an extraordinarily effective strategy for measles control.

A randomised trial of a psychosocial intervention for cancer patients integrated into routine care: the PROMPT study (promoting optimal outcomes in mood through tailored psychosocial therapies).

BACKGROUND: Despite evidence that up to 35% of patients with cancer experience significant distress, access to effective psychosocial care is limited by lack of systematic approaches to assessment, a paucity of psychosocial services, and patient reluctance to accept treatment either because of perceived stigma or difficulties with access to specialist psycho-oncology services due to isolation or disease burden. This paper presents an overview of a randomised study to evaluate the effectiveness of a brief tailored psychosocial Intervention delivered by health professionals in cancer care who undergo focused training and participate in clinical supervision. METHODS/DESIGN: Health professionals from the disciplines of nursing, occupational therapy, speech pathology, dietetics, physiotherapy or radiation therapy will participate in training to deliver the psychosocial Intervention focusing on core concepts of supportive-expressive, cognitive and dignity-conserving care. Health professional training will consist of completion of a self-directed manual and participation in a skills development session. Participating health professionals will be supported through structured clinical supervision whilst delivering the Intervention. In the stepped wedge design each of the 5 participating clinical sites will be allocated in random order from Control condition to Training then delivery of the Intervention. A total of 600 patients will be recruited across all sites. Based on level of distress or risk factors eligible patients will receive up to 4 sessions, each of up to 30 minutes in length, delivered face-to-face or by telephone. Participants will be assessed at baseline and 10-week follow-up. Patient outcome measures include anxiety and depression, quality of life, unmet psychological and supportive care needs. Health professional measures include psychological morbidity, stress and burnout. Process evaluation will be conducted to assess perceptions of participation in the study and the factors that may promote translation of learning into practice. DISCUSSION: This study will provide important information about the effectiveness of a brief tailored psychological Intervention for patients with cancer and the potential to prevent development of significant distress in patients considered at risk. It will yield data about the feasibility of this model of care in routine clinical practice and identify enablers and barriers to its systematic implementation in cancer settings. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ACTRN12610000448044.

A Poisson regression approach for modelling spatial autocorrelation between geographically referenced observations.

BACKGROUND: Analytic methods commonly used in epidemiology do not account for spatial correlation between observations. In regression analyses, omission of that autocorrelation can bias parameter estimates and yield incorrect standard error estimates. METHODS: We used age standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) of esophageal cancer (EC) from the Babol cancer registry from 2001 to 2005, and extracted socioeconomic indices from the Statistical Centre of Iran. The following models for SIR were used: (1) Poisson regression with agglomeration-specific nonspatial random effects; (2) Poisson regression with agglomeration-specific spatial random effects. Distance-based and neighbourhood-based autocorrelation structures were used for defining the spatial random effects and a pseudolikelihood approach was applied to estimate model parameters. The Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and adjusted pseudo R2, were used for model comparison. RESULTS: A Gaussian semivariogram with an effective range of 225 km best fit spatial autocorrelation in agglomeration-level EC incidence. The Moran's I index was greater than its expected value indicating systematic geographical clustering of EC. The distance-based and neighbourhood-based Poisson regression estimates were generally similar. When residual spatial dependence was modelled, point and interval estimates of covariate effects were different to those obtained from the nonspatial Poisson model. CONCLUSIONS: The spatial pattern evident in the EC SIR and the observation that point estimates and standard errors differed depending on the modelling approach indicate the importance of accounting for residual spatial correlation in analyses of EC incidence in the Caspian region of Iran. Our results also illustrate that spatial smoothing must be applied with care.

"Death in low-mortality diagnosis-related groups": frequency, and the impact of patient and hospital characteristics.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the frequency of deaths in low-mortality diagnosis-related groups (LM-DRGs) and the patient and hospital characteristics associated with them. DESIGN, SETTING AND PATIENTS: Retrospective cohort study of 2,400,089 discharge episodes for adults (> 18 years) from 122 Victorian public hospitals from 1 July 2006 to 30 June 2008. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Frequency of episodes of death in LM-DRGs (defined as DRGs with mortality < 0.5% over the previous 3 years or < 0.5% in any of the previous 3 years); associations between characteristics of patients and hospitals with deaths in LM-DRGs. RESULTS: There were 1,008, 816 LM-DRG episodes with 0-15 LM-DRG deaths per hospital in the 2006-07 financial year and 0-20 deaths per hospital in the 2007-08 financial year. Increased age, level of comorbidity, being male, admission from a residential aged care facility, interhospital transfer, emergency admission and lower hospital volume were associated with an increased risk of death in LM-DRG episodes in both years. Metropolitan location and teaching/major provider status were not associated with LM-DRG deaths (P > 0.10). More than 40% of LM-DRG deaths were among patients aged 83 years or over, who had a length of stay of less than 1 day and had a medical DRG classification. Standardised mortality ratios (SMRs) that adjusted for the patient and hospital characteristics identified nine outlier hospitals with high frequencies of deaths in LM-DRGs in the 2006-07 and six in the 2007-08 financial year compared with 59 hospitals flagged by the death-in-LM-DRG indicator. CONCLUSIONS: The use of the LM-DRG indicator requires further investigation to test its validity. LM-DRG deaths are infrequent, making it difficult to identify temporal changes and outlier hospitals. Patient characteristics unrelated to quality of care increase the likelihood of death among LM-DRG patients. The SMR analysis showed that failure to adjust for these characteristics may result in unfair and inaccurate identification of outlier hospitals. The increased risk of death associated with interhospital transfer patients and low-volume hospitals requires further investigation.