Higher Procedural Volumes Are Associated with Faster Treatment Times, Better Functional Outcomes, and Lower Mortality in Patients Undergoing Endovascular Treatment for Acute Ischemic Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: We aimed to characterize the association of hospital procedural volumes with outcomes among acute ischemic stroke (AIS) patients undergoing endovascular therapy (EVT). METHODS: This was a retrospective, observational cohort study using data prospectively collected from January 1, 2016 to December 31, 2019 in the Get with the Guidelines-Stroke registry. Participants were derived from a cohort of 60,727 AIS patients treated with EVT within 24 hours at 626 hospitals. The primary cohort excluded patients with pretreatment National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) < 6, onset-to-treatment time > 6 hours, and interhospital transfers. There were 2 secondary cohorts: (1) the EVT metrics cohort excluded patients with missing data on time from door to arterial puncture and (2) the intravenous thrombolysis (IVT) metrics cohort only included patients receiving IVT ≤4.5 hours after onset. RESULTS: The primary cohort (mean ± standard deviation age = 70.7 ± 14.8 years; 51.2% female; median [interquartile range] baseline NIHSS = 18.0 [13-22]; IVT use, 70.2%) comprised 21,209 patients across 595 hospitals. The EVT metrics cohort and IVT metrics cohort comprised 47,262 and 16,889 patients across 408 and 601 hospitals, respectively. Higher procedural volumes were significantly associated with higher odds (expressed as adjusted odds ratio [95% confidence interval] for every 10-case increase in volume) of discharge to home (1.03 [1.02-1.04]), functional independence at discharge (1.02 [1.01-1.04]), and lower rates of in-hospital mortality (0.96 [0.95-0.98]). All secondary measures were also associated with procedural volumes. INTERPRETATION: Among AIS patients primarily presenting to EVT-capable hospitals (excluding those transferred from one facility to another and those suffering in-hospital strokes), EVT at hospitals with higher procedural volumes was associated with faster treatment times, better discharge outcomes, and lower rates of in-hospital mortality. ANN NEUROL 2023.

Mediation of Post-Stroke Function by Cognition in the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging.

INTRODUCTION: Cognitive and functional impairment after stroke are common, but the relation between cognitive and functional decline after stroke is not well studied. METHODS: We used the comprehensive cohort in the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging to identify those with prior stroke, and we calculated reliable cognitive change scores from baseline to follow-up for the memory and executive domains. Functional decline was defined as an increase in the number of dependent daily activities. Using formal mediation analysis, we tested the presence and degree of mediation of the association between stroke and functional decline by cognitive decline. RESULTS: There were 22,648 individuals with memory change scores (325 with stroke) and 17,613 individuals with executive change scores (241 with stroke). History of stroke was significantly associated with memory decline (-0.26 standard deviations, 95% CI -0.33 to -0.19), executive decline (-0.22, 95% CI -0.36 to -0.09), and new functional impairment (adjusted odds ratio 2.31, 95% CI 1.80-2.97) over a median of 3-year follow-up. Cognitive decline was a significant mediator of functional decline. Memory decline mediated only 5% of the relationship, whereas executive and overall cognitive decline mediated 13% and 22%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Cognitive decline is a mediator of the association between prior stroke and functional decline; consequently, strategies to delay, attenuate, or prevent cognitive decline after stroke may be important to preserving long-term functional status.

Age-Specific Association of Co-Morbidity With Home-Time After Acute Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association of co-morbidity with home-time after acute stroke and whether the association is influenced by age. METHODS: We conducted a province-wide study using linked administrative databases to identify all admissions for first acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage between 2007 and 2018 in Alberta, Canada. We used ischemic stroke-weighted Charlson Co-morbidity Index of 3 or more to identify those with severe co-morbidity. We used zero-inflated negative binomial models to determine the association of severe co-morbidity with 90-day and 1-year home-time, and logistic models for achieving ≥ 80 out of 90 days of home-time, assessing for effect modification by age and adjusting for sex, stroke type, comprehensive stroke center care, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, year of study, and separately adjusting for estimated stroke severity. We also evaluated individual co-morbidities. RESULTS: Among 28,672 patients in our final cohort, severe co-morbidity was present in 27.7% and was associated with lower home-time, with a greater number of days lost at younger age (-13 days at age < 60 compared to -7 days at age 80+ years for 90-day home-time; -69 days at age < 60 compared to -51 days at age 80+ years for 1-year home-time). The reduction in probability of achieving ≥ 80 days of home-time was also greater at younger age (-22.7% at age < 60 years compared to -9.0% at age 80+ years). Results were attenuated but remained significant after adjusting for estimated stroke severity and excluding those who died. Myocardial infarction, diabetes, and cancer/metastases had a greater association with lower home-time at younger age, and those with dementia had the greatest reduction in home time. CONCLUSION: Severe co-morbidity in acute stroke is associated with lower home-time, more strongly at younger age.

Validation of the Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity Score in Three Canadian Provinces.

BACKGROUND: Stroke outcomes research requires risk-adjustment for stroke severity, but this measure is often unavailable. The Passive Surveillance Stroke SeVerity (PaSSV) score is an administrative data-based stroke severity measure that was developed in Ontario, Canada. We assessed the geographical and temporal external validity of PaSSV in British Columbia (BC), Nova Scotia (NS) and Ontario, Canada. METHODS: We used linked administrative data in each province to identify adult patients with ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage between 2014-2019 and calculated their PaSSV score. We used Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate the association between the PaSSV score and the hazard of death over 30 days and the cause-specific hazard of admission to long-term care over 365 days. We assessed the models' discriminative values using Uno's c-statistic, comparing models with versus without PaSSV. RESULTS: We included 86,142 patients (n = 18,387 in BC, n = 65,082 in Ontario, n = 2,673 in NS). The mean and median PaSSV were similar across provinces. A higher PaSSV score, representing lower stroke severity, was associated with a lower hazard of death (hazard ratio and 95% confidence intervals 0.70 [0.68, 0.71] in BC, 0.69 [0.68, 0.69] in Ontario, 0.72 [0.68, 0.75] in NS) and admission to long-term care (0.77 [0.76, 0.79] in BC, 0.84 [0.83, 0.85] in Ontario, 0.86 [0.79, 0.93] in NS). Including PaSSV in the multivariable models increased the c-statistics compared to models without this variable. CONCLUSION: PaSSV has geographical and temporal validity, making it useful for risk-adjustment in stroke outcomes research, including in multi-jurisdiction analyses.

Association Between Endovascular Therapy Time to Treatment and Outcomes in Patients With Basilar Artery Occlusion.

BACKGROUND: Basilar artery occlusion (BAO) is a devastating condition without definitive evidence to guide treatment. Whereas the association between faster treatment times with endovascular therapy (EVT) and better outcomes in anterior circulation is well established, whether this relationship exists for patients with BAO is not well delineated. METHODS: We used individual-level patient data from the Get With The Guidelines-Stroke nationwide US registry prospectively collected from January 2015 to December 2019. We identified individuals with BAO treated with EVT within 24 hours of symptom onset. The primary outcomes examined were in-hospital mortality, discharge home, ambulatory at discharge, independent at discharge (modified Rankin Scale score 0 to 2), substantial reperfusion (modified Thrombolysis in Cerebral Infarction score 2b or 3), and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Using logistic regression models, we evaluated the association between time from symptom onset to treatment with EVT and outcomes. RESULTS: Among 3015 patients with BAO treated with EVT, the mean age was 65.9 years, 38.8% were women, and the median National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score at presentation was 17 (interquartile range, 8-26). Median onset to EVT time was 406 minutes (interquartile range, 252-688). From 2015 to 2019, there was an overall increase in the median onset to EVT times (380-411 minutes; P=0.016) but no significant change in the proportion of patients treated within 6 hours of symptom onset (48.4%-44.0%; P=0.17). After risk adjustment for patient and hospital-level factors, there were significantly lower odds of in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.55 [95% CI, 0.45-0.68]) and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (aOR, 0.52 [95% CI, 0.32-0.84]) and significantly higher odds of ambulation at discharge (aOR, 1.72 [95% CI, 1.37-2.16]), discharge home (aOR, 2.19 [95% CI, 1.73-2.77]), and independence at discharge (aOR, 2.21 [95% CI, 1.66-2.95]) when onset to EVT time was ≤6 hours compared with >6 hours. The fastest decay in good outcomes per hour occurred within 6 hours of symptom onset. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients receiving EVT for BAO, faster treatment from symptom onset was associated with improved outcomes. These findings support efforts to achieve rapid treatment with EVT for patients with BAO.

Change in Hospital Risk-standardized Stroke Mortality Performance With and Without the Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity Score.

BACKGROUND: Adjustment for baseline stroke severity is necessary for accurate assessment of hospital performance. We evaluated whether adjusting for the Passive Surveillance Stroke SeVerity (PaSSV) score, a measure of stroke severity derived using administrative data, changed hospital-specific estimated 30-day risk-standardized mortality rate (RSMR) after stroke. METHODS: We used linked administrative data to identify adults who were hospitalized with ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage across 157 hospitals in Ontario, Canada between 2014 and 2019. We fitted a random effects logistic regression model using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods to estimate hospital-specific 30-day RSMR and 95% credible intervals with adjustment for age, sex, Charlson comorbidity index, and stroke type. In a separate model, we additionally adjusted for stroke severity using PaSSV. Hospitals were defined as low-performing, average-performing, or high-performing depending on whether the RSMR and 95% credible interval were above, overlapping, or below the cohort's crude mortality rate. RESULTS: We identified 65,082 patients [48.0% were female, the median age (25th,75th percentiles) was 76 years (65,84), and 86.4% had an ischemic stroke]. The crude 30-day all-cause mortality rate was 14.1%. The inclusion of PaSSV in the model reclassified 18.5% (n=29) of the hospitals. Of the 143 hospitals initially classified as average-performing, after adjustment for PaSSV, 20 were reclassified as high-performing and 8 were reclassified as low-performing. Of the 4 hospitals initially classified as low-performing, 1 was reclassified as high-performing. All 10 hospitals initially classified as high-performing remained unchanged. CONCLUSION: PaSSV may be useful for risk-adjusting mortality when comparing hospital performance. External validation of our findings in other jurisdictions is needed.

Association Between Excess Sleep Duration and Risk of Stroke: A Population-Based Study.

BACKGROUND: Excess sleep is associated with higher risk of stroke, but whether the risk is modified by age and if it remains elevated after accounting for the competing risk of death is not well understood. METHODS: We used nine years of the Canadian Community Health Survey between 2000 to 2016 to obtain self-reported sleep duration and created a cohort of individuals without prior stroke, heart disease, or cancer. We linked to hospital records to determine subsequent admissions or emergency department visits for acute stroke until December 31, 2017. We used Cox proportional hazard models to determine the association between sleep duration and risk of stroke, assessing for modification by age and sex and adjusting for demographic, vascular, and social factors. We obtained cumulative incidence of stroke accounting for the competing risk of death. RESULTS: There were 82,795 individuals in our cohort who met inclusion criteria and had self-reported sleep duration, with 1705 stroke events in follow-up. There was an association between excess sleep (≥10 h/night) and risk of stroke in those <70 years (fully adjusted hazard ratio 2.29, 95% CI 1.04-5.06), but not ≥70 years of age, with a similar association after accounting for the competing risk of death. CONCLUSION: Sleep duration ≥10 h/night is associated with increased risk of stroke in those <70 years of age. The findings support current guidelines for 7-9 h of sleep per night. Further research is needed to elucidate the relationship between sleep and cerebrovascular disease.

Estimating the Number of Hospital or Emergency Department Presentations for Stroke in Canada.

BACKGROUND: Although age-standardized stroke occurrence has been decreasing, the absolute number of stroke events globally, and in Canada, is increasing. Stroke surveillance is necessary for health services planning, informing research design, and public health messaging. We used administrative data to estimate the number of stroke events resulting in hospital or emergency department presentation across Canada in the 2017-18 fiscal year. METHODS: Hospitalization data were obtained from the Canadian Institute for Health Information (CIHI) Discharge Abstract Database and the Ministry of Health and Social Services in Quebec. Emergency department data were obtained from the CIHI National Ambulatory Care Reporting System (Alberta and Ontario). Stroke events were identified using ICD-10 coding. Data were linked into episodes of care to account for readmissions and interfacility transfers. Projections for emergency department visits for provinces/territories outside of Alberta and Ontario were generated based upon age and sex-standardized estimates from Alberta and Ontario. RESULTS: In the 2017-18 fiscal year, there were 108,707 stroke events resulting in hospital or emergency department presentation across the country. This was made up of 54,357 events resulting in hospital admission and 54,350 events resulting in only emergency department presentation. The events resulting in only emergency department presentation consisted of 25,941 events observed in Alberta and Ontario and a projection of 28,409 events across the rest of the country. CONCLUSIONS: We estimate a stroke event resulting in hospital or emergency department presentation occurs every 5 minutes in Canada.

External Validation of the Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity Indicator.

BACKGROUND: The Passive Surveillance Stroke Severity (PaSSV) Indicator was derived to estimate stroke severity from variables in administrative datasets but has not been externally validated. METHODS: We used linked administrative datasets to identify patients with first hospitalization for acute stroke between 2007-2018 in Alberta, Canada. We used the PaSSV indicator to estimate stroke severity. We used Cox proportional hazard models and evaluated the change in hazard ratios and model discrimination for 30-day and 1-year case fatality with and without PaSSV. Similar comparisons were made for 90-day home time thresholds using logistic regression. We also linked with a clinical registry to obtain National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and compared estimates from models without stroke severity, with PaSSV, and with NIHSS. RESULTS: There were 28,672 patients with acute stroke in the full sample. In comparison to no stroke severity, addition of PaSSV to the 30-day case fatality models resulted in improvement in model discrimination (C-statistic 0.72 [95%CI 0.71-0.73] to 0.80 [0.79-0.80]). After adjustment for PaSSV, admission to a comprehensive stroke center was associated with lower 30-day case fatality (adjusted hazard ratio changed from 1.03 [0.96-1.10] to 0.72 [0.67-0.77]). In the registry sample (N = 1328), model discrimination for 30-day case fatality improved with the inclusion of stroke severity. Results were similar for 1-year case fatality and home time outcomes. CONCLUSION: Addition of PaSSV improved model discrimination for case fatality and home time outcomes. The validity of PASSV in two Canadian provinces suggests that it is a useful tool for baseline risk adjustment in acute stroke.

In patients with stroke or TIA and CYP2C19 loss-of-function alleles, ticagrelor vs. clopidogrel reduced 90-d stroke.

SOURCE CITATION: Wang Y, Meng X, Wang A, et al. Ticagrelor versus clopidogrel in CYP2C19 loss-of-function carriers with stroke or TIA. N Engl J Med. 2021;385:2520-30. 34708996.

Association of co-morbidity with acute stroke mortality by age and time since stroke: A population-based study.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the association of co-morbidity with mortality after acute stroke is influenced by stroke type, age, sex, or time since stroke. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We conducted a province-wide population-based study using linked administrative databases to identify all admissions for acute stroke between 2007-2018 in Alberta, Canada. We used Cox proportional hazard models to determine the association of severe co-morbidity based on the Charlson Co-morbidity Index with 1-year mortality after stroke, assessing for effect modification by stroke type, age, and sex, and with adjustment for estimated stroke severity, comprehensive stroke centre care, hypertension, atrial fibrillation, and year of study. We used a piecewise model to analyze the impact of co-morbidity across four time periods. RESULTS: We had 28,672 patients in our final cohort (87.8% ischemic stroke). The hazard of mortality with severe co-morbidity was higher for individuals with ischemic stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.20, 95% CI 2.07-2.32) compared to those with intracerebral hemorrhage (aHR 1.70, 95% CI 1.51-1.92; pint<0.001), and higher in individuals under age 75 (aHR 3.20, 95% CI 2.90-3.53) compared to age ≥75 (aHR 1.93, 95% CI 1.82-2.05, pint<0.001). There was no interaction by sex. The hazard ratio increased in a graded fashion at younger ages and was higher after the first 30 days of acute stroke. CONCLUSION: There was a stronger association between co-morbidity and mortality at younger age and in the subacute phase of stroke. Further research is needed to determine the reason for these findings and identify ways to improve outcomes among those with stroke and co-morbid conditions at young age.

Impairment in Health-Related Quality of Life among Community-Dwelling Stroke Survivors.

INTRODUCTION: Health utility instruments are increasingly being used to measure impairment in health-related quality of life (HRQoL) after stroke. Population-based studies of HRQoL after stroke and assessment of differences by age and functional domain are needed. METHODS: We used the Canadian Community Health Survey linked with administrative databases to determine HRQoL using the Health Utilities Index Mark 3 (HUI3) among those with prior hospitalization or emergency department visit for stroke and compared to controls without stroke. We used multivariable linear regression to determine the difference in HUI3 between those with stroke and controls for the global index and individual attributes, with assessment for modification by age (<60, 60-74, and 75+ years) and sex, and we combined estimates across survey years using random effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: Our cohort contained 1240 stroke survivors and 123,765 controls and was weighted to be representative of the Canadian household population. Mean health utility was 0.63 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58, 0.68) for those with stroke and 0.83 (95% CI 0.82, 0.84) for controls. There was significant modification by age, but not sex, with the greatest adjusted reduction in HUI3 among stroke respondents aged 60-74 years. Individual HUI3 attributes with the largest reductions in utility among stroke survivors compared to controls were mobility, cognition, emotion, and pain. CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based study, the reduction in HUI3 among stroke survivors compared to controls was greatest among respondents aged 60-74, and in attributes of mobility, cognition, emotion, and pain. These results highlight the persistent impairment of HRQoL in the chronic phase of stroke and potential targets for community support.

Association Between Excess Leisure Sedentary Time and Risk of Stroke in Young Individuals.

Background and Purpose: The association between physical activity (PA) and lower risk of stroke is well established, but the relationship between leisure sedentary time and stroke is less well studied. Methods: We used 9 years of the Canadian Community Health Survey between 2000 and 2012 to create a cohort of healthy individuals without prior stroke, heart disease, or cancer. We linked to hospital records to determine subsequent hospitalization or emergency department visit for stroke until December 31, 2017. We quantified the association between self-reported leisure sedentary time (categorized as <4, 4 to <6, 6 to <8, and 8+ hours/day) and risk of stroke using Cox regression models and competing risk regression, assessing for modification by PA, age, and sex and adjusting for demographic, vascular, and social factors. Results: There were 143 180 people in our cohort and 2965 stroke events in follow-up. Median time from survey response to stroke was 5.6 years. There was a 3-way interaction between leisure sedentary time, PA, and age. The risk of stroke with 8+ hours of sedentary time was significantly elevated only among individuals <60 years of age who were in the lowest PA quartile (fully adjusted hazard ratio, 4.50 [95% CI, 1.64­12.3]). The association was significant across multiple sensitivity analyses, including adjustment for mood disorders and when accounting for the competing risk of death. Conclusions: Excess leisure sedentary time of 8+ hours/day is associated with increased risk of long-term stroke among individuals <60 years of age with low PA. These findings support efforts to enhance PA and reduce sedentary time in younger individuals.

Health-Related Quality of Life Among Patients With Acute Ischemic Stroke and Large Vessel Occlusion in the ESCAPE Trial.

Background and Purpose: Endovascular thrombectomy (EVT) reduces 90-day disability in patients following acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusion. Patient-reported outcome measures after EVT, such as health-related quality of life and specific functional domains, are less well described. Methods: We report outcomes on the EuroQol-5D (EQ-5D) from the ESCAPE (Endovascular Treatment for Small Core and Anterior Circulation Proximal Occlusion With Emphasis on Minimizing CT to Recanalization Times) randomized controlled trial at 90 days after stroke. Death was assigned an index value of 0 for EQ-5D. We used quantile regression to evaluate the association between EVT and EQ-5D index scores and logistic regression for the association between EVT and symptom-free status among 90-day survivors for each EQ-5D dimension (self-care, usual activities, mobility, pain/discomfort, and anxiety/depression), assessing for modification by age or sex and adjusting for baseline factors including stroke severity, affected hemisphere, and receipt of alteplase. Lastly, the association between severe disability at 90 days and EQ-5D was evaluated with assessment for modification by EVT, age, and sex. Results: There were 165 patients randomized to EVT and 150 patients randomized to control. Median EQ-5D was significantly higher for those who received EVT compared with best medical management (0.80 versus 0.60; P<0.001). After accounting for the greater number of deaths in the elderly, there was evidence of modification of treatment effect by age, with older age associated with a larger effect size difference in EQ-5D with EVT. Those receiving EVT had higher odds of symptom-free status in self-care, usual activities, mobility for those aged 60 to 79 years, and pain/discomfort for women, but there was no association with anxiety/depression. Severe disability at 90 days was associated with lower EQ-5D in older compared with younger individuals, and the association was not modified by EVT. Conclusions: Patients treated with EVT report substantially improved health-related quality of life, with relatively greater impact in older individuals and observed benefit across multiple dimensions.

Temporal and Age-Specific Trends in Acute Stroke Incidence: A 15-Year Population-Based Study of Administrative Data in Ontario, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Contemporary data on temporal trends in acute stroke incidence, specific to stroke type and age, are lacking. We sought to evaluate temporal trends in incidence of ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage over 15 years in a large population. METHODS: We used linked administrative data to identify all emergency department visits and hospital admissions for first-ever ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage in Ontario, Canada from 2003-2017. We evaluated annual age-/sex-standardized incidence per 100,000 person-years for ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage across the study period. We used negative binomial regression to determine incidence rate ratios for each year compared to 2003, with assessment of modification by age, sex, or stroke type. RESULTS: Our cohort had 163,574 people with stroke (88% ischemic stroke). For ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage combined, age-/sex-standardized incidence decreased between 2003 and 2011 (standardized rate 109.4 to 85.8 per 100,000; 22%), then increased until 2017 (standardized rate 96.8 per 100,000; 13%). The pattern of change was similar for ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage, and for men and women, but was modified by age. For those aged 60 and above, adjusted incidence rate ratios decreased from 2003 to 2011 then subsequently increased, whereas for those aged <60 years incidence rate ratios increased throughout the entire study time period, particularly after 2011. CONCLUSIONS: Acute stroke incidence decreased from 2003 to 2011 but subsequently increased until 2017. Among those aged <60, incidence increased continuously from 2003 to 2017 but especially after 2011. The underlying reasons for these changes should be determined.

Development and Validation of a Prognostic Tool for Direct Enteral Tube Insertion After Acute Stroke.

Background and Purpose- We aimed to create a novel prognostic risk score to estimate outcomes after direct enteral tube placement in acute stroke. Methods- We used the Ontario Stroke Registry and linked databases to obtain clinical information on all patients with direct enteral tube insertion after ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage from July 1, 2003 to June 30, 2010 (derivation cohort) and July 1, 2010 to March 31, 2013 (validation cohort). We used multivariable regression to assign scores to predictor variables for 3 outcomes after tube placement: favorable outcome (discharge modified Rankin Scale score 0-3 and alive at 90 days), poor outcome (discharge modified Rankin Scale score 5 or death at 90 days), and 30-day mortality. Results- Variables associated with a favorable outcome were younger age, preadmission independence, ischemic stroke rather than intracerebral hemorrhage, lower stroke severity, and a shorter time between stroke and tube placement. Variables associated with a poor outcome were older age, preadmission dependence, atrial fibrillation, greater stroke severity, and tracheostomy. Age, preadmission dependence, atrial fibrillation, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and shorter time to tube placement were associated with increased 30-day mortality. Using these variables, we created an online calculator to facilitate estimation of individual patient risk of favorable and poor outcomes. C-statistic in the validation cohort was 0.82 for favorable outcome, 0.65 for poor outcome, and 0.62 for 30-day mortality, and calibration was adequate. Conclusions- We developed risk scores to estimate outcomes after direct enteral tube insertion for acute dysphagic stroke. This information may be useful in discussions with patients and families when there is prognostic uncertainty surrounding outcomes with direct enteral tube placement after stroke.

Timing of Direct Enteral Tube Placement and Outcomes after Acute Stroke.

BACKGROUND: Direct enteral feeding tube (DET) placement for dysphagia after stroke is associated with poor outcomes. However, the relationship between timing of DET placement and poststroke mortality and disability is unknown. We sought to determine the risk of mortality and severe disability in patients who receive DET at different times after stroke. METHODS: We used the Ontario Stroke Registry and linked administrative databases to identify patients with acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage between 2003 and 2013 who received DET (gastrostomy or jejunostomy) during their hospital admission. We grouped patients by week of DET placement and evaluated mortality at 30 days and 6 months after DET insertion, and disability at discharge. We used Cox proportional hazard models and multiple logistic regression to determine the association between time from admission to DET placement and outcomes, adjusting for patient and hospital factors. RESULTS: In the study sample of 1367 patients, the median time from admission to DET placement was 17 days. After adjustment, each week of delay to DET placement was associated with lower mortality at 30 days (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] .88, 95% confidence interval [CI] .79-.98), but not at 6 months (aHR .98, 95% CI .91- 1.05), and a higher likelihood of severe disability at discharge (adjusted odds ratio 1.35, 95% CI 1.13- 1.60). CONCLUSIONS: Later DET placement after stroke was associated with lower 30-day mortality but higher severe disability at discharge. Further research is needed to understand the reasons for these observations and to optimize patient selection and timing of DET.

Predictors of Direct Enteral Tube Placement After Acute Stroke.

OBJECTIVE: To determine predictors of direct enteral tube (DET) placement after acute stroke. METHODS: We used the Ontario Stroke Registry to identify patients who received direct enteral tubes (gastrostomy or jejunostomy) during hospital stay after acute ischemic stroke or intracerebral hemorrhage from July 1, 2003 to March 31, 2013. We used multivariable logistic regression to identify predictors of receiving DET after stroke. RESULTS: Among 38,192 patients with acute stroke who met inclusion criteria, 1851 (4.9%) had DET placement during admission. We identified multiple variables significantly associated with DET placement, spanning patient demographics, comorbid illnesses, clinical, and hospital factors. The strongest predictors of receiving DET were stroke severity (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 4.77 for severe versus mild stroke, 95% confidence interval [CI] 4.20-5.41), receiving a swallowing test within 72 hours (aOR 3.46, 95% CI 3.0-3.99), and in-hospital stroke (aOR 2.07, 95% CI 1.57-2.72). CONCLUSIONS: There are a number of predictors of DET placement within multiple domains. These findings may facilitate discussions around the possibility of requiring DET during admission. Further work is required to improve patient selection and timing of DET placement after acute stroke.

Predictors and Outcomes of Dysphagia Screening After Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Guidelines advocate screening all acute stroke patients for dysphagia. However, limited data are available regarding how many and which patients are screened and how failing a swallowing screen affects patient outcomes. We sought to evaluate predictors of receiving dysphagia screening after acute ischemic stroke and outcomes after failing a screening test. METHODS: We used the Ontario Stroke Registry from April 1, 2010, to March 31, 2013, to identify patients hospitalized with acute ischemic stroke and determine predictors of documented dysphagia screening and outcomes after failing the screening test, including pneumonia, disability, and death. RESULTS: Among 7171 patients, 6677 patients were eligible to receive dysphagia screening within 72 hours, yet 1280 (19.2%) patients did not undergo documented screening. Patients with mild strokes were significantly less likely than those with more severe strokes to have documented screening (adjusted odds ratio, 0.51; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.41-0.64). Failing dysphagia screening was associated with poor outcomes, including pneumonia (adjusted odds ratio, 4.71; 95% CI, 3.43-6.47), severe disability (adjusted odds ratio, 5.19; 95% CI, 4.48-6.02), discharge to long-term care (adjusted odds ratio, 2.79; 95% CI, 2.11-3.79), and 1-year mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.42; 95% CI, 2.09-2.80). Associations were maintained in patients with mild strokes. CONCLUSIONS: One in 5 patients with acute ischemic stroke did not have documented dysphagia screening, and patients with mild strokes were substantially less likely to have documented screening. Failing dysphagia screening was associated with poor outcomes, including in patients with mild strokes, highlighting the importance of dysphagia screening for all patients with acute ischemic stroke.

Ischemic Stroke Risk in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc Score of 1: Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: The CHA2DS2-VASc score aims to improve risk stratification of ischemic stroke among patients with atrial fibrillation to identify those who can safely forego oral anticoagulation. Oral anticoagulation treatment guidelines remain uncertain for CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of the risk of ischemic stroke for patients with atrial fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0, 1, or 2 not treated with oral anticoagulation. METHODS: We searched MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, and Web of Science from the start of the database up until April 15, 2015. We included studies that stratified the risk of ischemic stroke by CHA2DS2-VASc score for patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation. We estimated the summary annual rate of ischemic stroke using random effects meta-analyses and compared the estimated stroke rates with published net-benefit thresholds for initiating anticoagulants. RESULTS: 1162 abstracts were retrieved, of which 10 met all inclusion criteria for the study. There was substantial heterogeneity among studies. The summary estimate for the annual risk of ischemic stroke was 1.61% (95% confidence interval 0%-3.23%) for CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1, meeting the theoretical threshold for using novel oral anticoagulants (0.9%), but below the threshold for warfarin (1.7%). The summary incident risk of ischemic stroke was 0.68% (95% confidence interval 0.12%-1.23%) for CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 and 2.49% (95% confidence interval 1.16%-3.83%) for CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2. CONCLUSIONS: Our meta-analysis of ischemic stroke risk in atrial fibrillation patients suggests that those with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 may be considered for a novel oral anticoagulant, but because of high heterogeneity, the decision should be based on individual patient characteristics.