Marginal decline in forced vital capacity is associated with a poor outcome in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis.

In therapeutic studies in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), the low prevalence of significant change in pulmonary functional tests (PFTs) has been a major constraint. The prognostic value of "marginal" changes in PFTs in IPF and fibrotic non-specific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) was evaluated. In patients with biopsy-proven IPF (n = 84) and NSIP (n = 72), forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (D( L,CO)) trends at 6 months were categorised as "significant" (FVC >10%; D(L,CO) >15%) or "marginal" (FVC 5-10%; D(L,CO) 7.5-15%). Proportional hazards analysis and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic methodology were used to examine PFT trends against mortality. In IPF, reductions in FVC were significant in 22 cases (26%) and marginal in 19 cases (23%). Mortality was higher in patients with a significant decline in FVC (hazard ratio (HR) 2.80, 95% CI 1.54-5.06; p<0.001) and those with a marginal decline in FVC (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.19-4.50; p = 0.01) than in those with stable disease. Progression-free survival was lower when the decline in FVC was marginal than in stable disease (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.19-4.60; p = 0.01). Marginal changes in D(L,CO) in IPF and marginal changes in FVC and D (L,CO) in fibrotic NSIP did not provide useful prognostic information. Marginal change in FVC in IPF denotes a poor outcome. These findings are applicable to clinical practice and to the selection of patients with more progressive disease for therapeutic studies.

BAL findings in idiopathic nonspecific interstitial pneumonia and usual interstitial pneumonia.

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), which has the histological pattern of usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP), is a progressive interstitial lung disease with a poor prognosis. Idiopathic interstitial pneumonias with a histological pattern of nonspecific interstitial pneumonia (NSIP) have a better prognosis than UIP, and may present with a clinical picture identical to IPF. The authors hypothesised that bronchoalveolar lavage (BAL) findings may distinguish between UIP and NSIP, and have prognostic value within disease subgroups. BAL findings were studied retrospectively in 54 patients with histologically proven (surgical biopsy) idiopathic UIP (n=35) or fibrotic NSIP (n=19), all presenting clinically as IPF. These findings were also compared with the BAL profile of patients with other categories of idiopathic interstitial pneumonias. BAL total and differential cell counts did not differ between the two groups. Survival was better in NSIP. In neither group were BAL findings predictive of survival or changes in lung function at 1 yr, even after adjustment for disease severity, smoking and treatment. BAL differential counts in fibrotic NSIP differed from respiratory bronchiolitis-associated interstitial lung disease, but not from desquamative interstitial pneumonia or cellular NSIP. The authors conclude that bronchoalveolar lavage findings do not discriminate between usual interstitial pneumonia and nonspecific interstitial pneumonia in patients presenting with clinical features of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, and have no prognostic value, once the distinction between the two has been made histologically.