RESUMO
Earth's surface is constantly vibrating due to natural processes inside and human activities on the surface of the Earth. These vibrations form the ambient seismic fields that are measured by sensitive seismometers. Compared with natural processes, anthropogenic vibrations dominate the seismic measurements at higher frequency bands, demonstrate clear temporal and cyclic variability, and are more heterogeneous in space. Consequently, urban ambient seismic fields are a rich information source for human activity monitoring. Improving from the conventional energy-based seismic spectral analysis, we utilize advanced signal processing techniques to extract the occurrence of specific urban activities, including motor vehicle counts and runner activities, from the high-frequency ambient seismic noise. We compare the seismic energy in different frequency bands with the extracted activity intensity at different locations within a one-kilometer radius and highlight the high-resolution information in the seismic data. Our results demonstrate the intense heterogeneity in a highly developed urban space. Different sectors of urban society serve different functions and respond differently when urban life is severely disturbed by the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. The anonymity of seismic data enabled an unprecedented spatial and temporal resolution, which potentially could be utilized by government regulators and policymakers for dynamic monitoring and urban management.
RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 Delta variant has presented an unprecedented challenge to countries in Southeast Asia (SEA). Its transmission has shown spatial heterogeneity in SEA after countries have adopted different public health interventions during the process. Hence, it is crucial for public health authorities to discover potential linkages between epidemic progression and corresponding interventions such that collective and coordinated control measurements can be designed to increase their effectiveness at reducing transmission in SEA. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study is to explore potential linkages between the spatiotemporal progression of the COVID-19 Delta variant and nonpharmaceutical intervention (NPI) measures in SEA. We detected the space-time clusters of outbreaks of COVID-19 and analyzed how the NPI measures relate to the propagation of COVID-19. METHODS: We collected district-level daily new cases of COVID-19 from June 1 to October 31, 2021, and district-level population data in SEA. We adopted prospective space-time scan statistics to identify the space-time clusters. Using cumulative prospective space-time scan statistics, we further identified variations of relative risk (RR) across each district at a half-month interval and their potential public health intervention linkages. RESULTS: We found 7 high-risk clusters (clusters 1-7) of COVID-19 transmission in Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, and Indonesia between June and August, 2021, with an RR of 5.45 (P<.001), 3.50 (P<.001), 2.30 (P<.001), 1.36 (P<.001), 5.62 (P<.001), 2.38 (P<.001), 3.45 (P<.001), respectively. There were 34 provinces in Indonesia that have successfully mitigated the risk of COVID-19, with a decreasing range between -0.05 and -1.46 due to the assistance of continuous restrictions. However, 58.6% of districts in Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, and the Philippines saw an increase in the infection risk, which is aligned with their loosened restrictions. Continuous strict interventions were effective in mitigating COVID-19, while relaxing restrictions may exacerbate the propagation risk of this epidemic. CONCLUSIONS: The analyses of space-time clusters and RRs of districts benefit public health authorities with continuous surveillance of COVID-19 dynamics using real-time data. International coordination with more synchronized interventions amidst all SEA countries may play a key role in mitigating the progression of COVID-19.