A novel scoring system combining Modified Early Warning Score with biomarkers of monocyte distribution width, white blood cell counts, and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio to improve early sepsis prediction in older adults.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to investigate whether combining scoring systems with monocyte distribution width (MDW) improves early sepsis detection in older adults in the emergency department (ED). METHODS: In this prospective observational study, we enrolled older adults aged ≥60 years who presented with confirmed infectious diseases to the ED. Three scoring systems-namely quick sepsis-related organ failure assessment (qSOFA), Modified Early Warning Score (MEWS), and National Early Warning Score (NEWS), and biomarkers including MDW, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and C-reactive protein (CRP), were assessed in the ED. Logistic regression models were used to construct sepsis prediction models. RESULTS: After propensity score matching, we included 522 and 2088 patients with and without sepsis in our analysis from January 1, 2020, to September 30, 2021. NEWS ≥5 and MEWS ≥3 exhibited a moderate-to-high sensitivity and a low specificity for sepsis, whereas qSOFA score ≥2 demonstrated a low sensitivity and a high specificity. When combined with biomarkers, the NEWS-based, the MEWS-based, and the qSOFA-based models exhibited improved diagnostic accuracy for sepsis detection without CRP inclusion (c-statistics=0.842, 0.842, and 0.826, respectively). Of the three models, MEWS ≥3 with white blood cell (WBC) count ≥11 × 109/L, NLR ≥8, and MDW ≥20 demonstrated the highest diagnostic accuracy in all age subgroups (c-statistics=0.886, 0.825, and 0.822 in patients aged 60-74, 75-89, and 90-109 years, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our novel scoring system combining MEWS with WBC, NLR, and MDW effectively detected sepsis in older adults.

Application of Artificial Neural Network Models to Differentiate Between Complicated and Uncomplicated Acute Appendicitis.

Preoperative prediction of complicated appendicitis is challenging, and many clinical tools are developed to predict complicated appendicitis. This study evaluated whether a supervised learning method can recognize complicated appendicitis in emergency department (ED). Consecutive patients with acute appendicitis presenting to the ED were enrolled and included into training and testing datasets at a ratio of 70:30. The multilayer perceptron artificial neural network (ANN) models were trained to perform binary outcome classification between uncomplicated and complicated acute appendicitis. Measures of sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative likelihood ratio (LR + and LR-), and a c statistic of a receiver of operating characteristic curve were used to evaluate an ANN model. The simplest ANN model by Bröker et al. including the C-reactive protein (CRP) and symptom duration as variables achieved a c statistic value of 0.894. The ANN models developed by Avanesov et al. including symptom duration, appendiceal diameter, periappendiceal fluid, extraluminal air, and abscess as variables attained a high diagnostic performance (a c statistic value of 0.949) and good efficiency (sensitivity of 78.6%, specificity of 94.5%, LR + of 14.29, LR- of 0.23 in the testing dataset); and our own model by H.A. Lin et al. including the CRP level, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio, fat-stranding sign, appendicolith, and ascites exhibited high accuracy (c statistic of 0.950) and outstanding efficiency (sensitivity of 85.7%, specificity of 91.7%, LR + of 10.36, LR- of 0.16 in the testing dataset). The ANN models developed by Avanesov et al. and H.A. Lin et al. developed model exhibited a high diagnostic performance.

Diagnostic test accuracy of pretreatment collateral score in predicting stroke outcomes after intra-arterial endovascular thrombectomy: a meta-analysis in DSA and CTA.

OBJECTIVES: This study compared the diagnostic accuracy of pretreatment circulation collateral scoring (CS) system using digital subtraction angiography (DSA) and computed tomography angiography (CTA) in predicting favorable functional outcome (FFO) after intra-arterial endovascular thrombectomy (IA-EVT). Subgroup analysis characterizing scoring systems within each category was additionally conducted. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a diagnostic meta-analysis to assess the sensitivity and specificity of each CS system by using DSA and CTA, respectively. The hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic curve (HSROC) models were used to estimate the diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and area under the curve (AUC). The Bayes theorem was employed to determine posttest probability (PTP). RESULTS: In total, 14 and 21 studies were assessed with DSA and CTA, respectively. In DSA, the pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.72 (95% CI, 0.63-0.79) and 0.61 (0.53-0.68), respectively, and in the HSROC model, the DOR was 3.94 (2.71-5.73), and the AUC was 0.71 (90.67-0.75). CTA revealed a pooled sensitivity and specificity of 0.74 (0.64-0.82) and 0.53 (0.44-0.62), respectively, and in the HSROC model, the DOR was 3.17 (2.34-4.50), and the AUC was 0.67 (0.63-0.71). With a pretest probability of 26.3%, the CS in DSA and CTA exhibited limited increase of PTPs of 39% and 36%, respectively, in detecting the FFO on day 90. CONCLUSION: DSA and CTA have comparable accuracy and are limited in predicting the functional outcome. The collateral score systems assessed with DSA and CTA were more suitable for screening than diagnosis for patients before IA-EVT. KEY POINTS: • Our study revealed the differences of various scoring systems for assessing collateral status. • DSA and CTA have comparable accuracy, but both imaging modalities played relatively limited roles in predicting functional outcome on day 90. • The collateral score systems assessed with DSA and CTA were more suitable for screening than diagnosis for patients before IA-EVT.

Monocyte Distribution Width in Children With Systemic Inflammatory Response: Retrospective Cohort Examining Association With Early Sepsis.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between increased monocyte distribution width (MDW) and pediatric sepsis in the emergency department (ED). DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: A single academic hospital study. PATIENTS: Patients from birth to the age of 18 years who presented at the ED of an academic hospital with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) were consecutively enrolled. Sepsis was diagnosed using the International Pediatric Surviving Sepsis Campaign criteria. INTERVENTIONS: Antibiotic treatment was administrated once infection was suspected. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Routine complete blood cell count, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and MDW, a new inflammatory biomarker, were evaluated in the ED. Logistic regression models were used to explore associations with early pediatric sepsis. We included 201 patients with sepsis and 1,050 without sepsis. In the multivariable model, MDW greater than 23 U (odds ratio [OR], 4.97; 95% CI, 3.42-7.22; p < 0.0001), NLR greater than 6 (OR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.43-2.94; p = 0.0001), WBC greater than 11,000 cells/µL (OR, 6.52; 95% CI, 4.45-9.53; p < 0.0001), and the SIRS score (OR, 3.42; 95% CI, 2.57-4.55; p < 0.0001) were associated with pediatric sepsis. In subgroup analysis, MDW greater than 23 U remained significantly associated with sepsis for children 6-12 years old (OR, 6.76; 95% CI, 2.60-17.57; p = 0.0001) and 13-18 years (OR, 17.49; 95% CI, 7.69-39.76; p = 0.0001) with an area under the receiver operating curve of 0.8-0.9. CONCLUSIONS: MDW greater than 23 U at presentation is associated with the early diagnosis of sepsis in children greater than or equal to 6 years old. This parameter should be considered as a stratification variable in studies of pediatric sepsis.

Evaluating the effect of drunk driving on fatal injuries among vulnerable road users in Taiwan: a population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Most studies have focused on injuries sustained by intoxicated drivers themselves, but few have examined the effect of drunk driving on injury outcomes among VRUs (vulnerable road users) in developing countries. This study aims to evaluate the effect of drunk driving on fatal injuries among VRUs (pedestrians, cyclists, or motorcyclists). METHODS: The data were extracted from the National Taiwan Traffic Crash Dataset from January 1, 2011, to December 31, 2019. Crashes involving one motorized vehicle and one VRU were considered. This study examines the effect of drunk driving by estimating multivariate logistic regression models of fatal injuries among VRUs after controlling for other variables. RESULTS: Among 1,416,168 casualties, the fatality rate of VRUs involved in drunk driving was higher than that of general road users (2.1% vs. 0.6%). Drunk driving was a significant risk factor for fatal injuries among VRUs. Other risk factors for fatal injuries among VRUs included VRU age ≥ 65 years (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 5.24, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.53-6.07), a nighttime accident (AOR: 4.52, 95% CI: 4.22-4.84), and being hit by a heavy-duty vehicle (AOR: 2.83, 95% CI: 2.26-3.55). Subgroup analyses revealed a linear relationship between driver blood alcohol concentration (BAC) and the risk of fatal injury among motorcyclists. Motorcyclists exhibited the highest fatality rate when they had a BAC ≤ 0.03% (AOR: 3.54, 95% CI: 3.08-4.08). CONCLUSION: Drunk driving was associated with a higher risk of fatality for all VRUs. The risk of fatal injury among motorcyclists was linearly related to the BAC of the drunk drivers. Injuries were more severe for intoxicated motorcyclists, even those with BAC ≤ 0.03%, which is within the legal limit.

Locational effect on automated external defibrillator use and association of age with on-site return of spontaneous circulation.

BACKGROUND: Emergency medical services (EMSs) are used by approximately 383,000 patients with out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) in the United States. Hence, it is crucial to implement automated external defibrillator (AED) programs to prepare responders for an SCA emergency. Taiwanese pass legislature to enforce AED installation in 8 mandatory areas since 2013. Our study investigated the efficacy of the policy regarding AED installation. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We collected data of patients who had sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) in pre-hospital settings, and received resuscitative efforts, including cardiopulmonary resuscitation or defibrillation with AEDs. The data were from July 11, 2013 to July 31, 2015. In total, 209 adult patients were documented by on-site caregivers of different facilities, and a report was mailed to the central health and welfare unit. RESULTS: Schools, large-scale gathering places, and special institutions used AEDs the most, accounting for 33 (15.3%) cases. From non-mandatory AED areas, long-term care facilities had the maximum cases of AED use (32 cases; 14.9%). With commuting stations as a reference, long-distance transport had the lowest odds ratio (OR) of 0.481 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.24-0.962). The OR for schools, large-scale gathering places, and special institutions was 4.474 (95% CI: 2.497-8.015). Regarding failure of return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), the OR for the ≥80-year age group was higher than that for the 20-39-year age group. CONCLUSIONS: The policy regarding the legislation to install AEDs in mandatory areas improved AED accessibility. Elderly patients aged ≥80 years have a higher rate of ROSC failure.

ABCD2-I Score Predicts Unplanned Emergency Department Revisits within 72 Hours Due to Recurrent Acute Ischemic Stroke.

BACKGROUND: the ABCD2 score is valuable for predicting early stroke recurrence after a transient ischemic attack (TIA), and Doppler ultrasound can aid in expediting stroke triage. The study aimed to investigate whether combining the ABCD2 score with carotid duplex results can enhance the identification of early acute ischemic stroke after TIA. METHODS: we employed a retrospective cohort design for this study, enrolling patients diagnosed with TIA who were discharged from the emergency department (ED). The modified ABCD2-I (c50) score, which incorporates a Doppler ultrasound assessment of internal carotid artery stenosis > 50%, was used to evaluate the risk of acute ischemic stroke within 72 h. Patients were categorized into three risk groups: low risk (with ABCD2 and ABCD2-I scores = 0-4), moderate risk (ABCD2 score = 4-5 and ABCD2-I score = 5-7), and high risk (ABCD2 score = 6-7 and ABCD2-I score = 8-9). RESULTS: between 1 January 2014, and 31 December 2019, 1124 patients with new neurological deficits were screened, with 151 TIA patients discharged from the ED and included in the analysis. Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that patients in the high-risk group, as per the ABCD2-I (c50) score, were significantly associated with revisiting the ED within 72 h due to acute ischemic stroke (HR: 3.12, 95% CI: 1.31-7.41, p = 0.0102), while the ABCD2 alone did not show significant association (HR: 1.12, 95% CI: 0.57-2.22, p = 0.7427). CONCLUSION: ABCD2-I (c50) scores effectively predict early acute ischemic stroke presentations to the ED within 72 h after TIA.

Pericholecystic Fat Stranding as a Predictive Factor of Length of Stays of Patients with Acute Cholecystitis: A Novel Scoring Model.

Background: The 2018 Tokyo Guidelines (TG18) are used to classify the severity of acute cholecystitis (AC) but insufficient to predict the length of hospital stay (LOS). Methods: For patients with AC, clinical factors and computed tomography features, including our proposed grading system of pericholecystic fat stranding were used for predicting an LOS of ≥7 days in the logistic regression models. Results: Our multivariable model showed age ≥ 65 years (OR: 2.56, p < 0.001), C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 2 mg/dL (OR: 1.97, p = 0.013), gamma-glutamyltransferase levels (OR: 2.460, p = 0.001), TG18 grade (OR: 2.89 per grade, p < 0.001), and moderate to severe pericholecystic fat stranding (OR: 2.14, p = 0.012) exhibited prolonged LOS ≥ 7 days. Conclusions: We developed a scoring model, including TG18 grades (score of 1-3 per grade), our grading system of fat stranding (score of 1), CRP (score of 1), and gamma-glutamyltransferase (score of 1), and a cutoff of >3 had highest diagnostic performance.

Early Identification of Sepsis-Induced Acute Kidney Injury by Using Monocyte Distribution Width, Red-Blood-Cell Distribution, and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio.

Sepsis-induced acute kidney injury (AKI) is a common complication in patients with severe illness and leads to increased risks of mortality and chronic kidney disease. We investigated the association between monocyte distribution width (MDW), red-blood-cell volume distribution width (RDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), sepsis-related organ-failure assessment (SOFA) score, mean arterial pressure (MAP), and other risk factors and sepsis-induced AKI in patients presenting to the emergency department (ED). This retrospective study, spanning 1 January 2020, to 30 November 2020, was conducted at a university-affiliated teaching hospital. Patients meeting the Sepsis-2 consensus criteria upon presentation to our ED were categorized into sepsis-induced AKI and non-AKI groups. Clinical parameters (i.e., initial SOFA score and MAP) and laboratory markers (i.e., MDW, RDW, and NLR) were measured upon ED admission. A logistic regression model was developed, with sepsis-induced AKI as the dependent variable and laboratory parameters as independent variables. Three multivariable logistic regression models were constructed. In Model 1, MDW, initial SOFA score, and MAP exhibited significant associations with sepsis-induced AKI (area under the curve [AUC]: 0.728, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.668-0.789). In Model 2, RDW, initial SOFA score, and MAP were significantly correlated with sepsis-induced AKI (AUC: 0.712, 95% CI: 0.651-0.774). In Model 3, NLR, initial SOFA score, and MAP were significantly correlated with sepsis-induced AKI (AUC: 0.719, 95% CI: 0.658-0.780). Our novel models, integrating MDW, RDW, and NLR with initial SOFA score and MAP, can assist with the identification of sepsis-induced AKI among patients with sepsis presenting to the ED.

Predictors of 72-h unscheduled return visits with admission in patients presenting to the emergency department with abdominal pain.

BACKGROUND: Unscheduled return visits (URVs) to the emergency department (ED) constitute a crucial indicator of patient care quality. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to analyze the clinical characteristics of patients who visited the ED with abdominal pain and to identify the risk of URVs with admission (URVAs) from URVs without admission (URVNAs). METHODS: This retrospective study included adult patients who visited the ED of Taipei Medical University Hospital because of abdominal pain and revisited in 72 h over a 5-year period (January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2018). Multivariable logistic regression analysis was employed to identify risk factors for URVAs and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to determine the efficacy of variables predicting URVAs and the optimal cut-off points for the variables. In addition, a classification and regression tree (CART)-based scoring system was used for predicting risk of URVA. RESULTS: Of 702 eligible patients with URVs related to abdominal pain, 249 had URVAs (35.5%). In multivariable analysis, risk factors for URVAs during the index visit included execution of laboratory tests (yes vs no: adjusted odds ratio [AOR], 4.32; 95% CI 2.99-6.23), older age (≥ 40 vs < 40 years: AOR, 2.10; 95% CI 1.10-1.34), Level 1-2 triage scores (Levels 1-2 vs Levels 3-5: AOR, 2.30; 95% CI 1.26-4.19), and use of ≥ 2 analgesics (≥ 2 vs < 2: AOR, 2.90; 95% CI 1.58-5.30). ROC curve analysis results revealed the combination of these 4 above variables resulted in acceptable performance (area under curve: 0.716). The above 4 variables were used in the CART model to evaluate URVA propensity. CONCLUSIONS: Elder patients with abdominal pain who needed laboratory workup, had Level 1-2 triage scores, and received ≥ 2 doses of analgesics during their index visits to the ED had higher risk of URVAs.

Efficacy and safety of tirofiban in patients with acute ischemic stroke treated with endovascular thrombectomy: A frequentist and Bayesian meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Tirofiban is an antiplatelet treatment approved for acute coronary syndrome, but it has not been rigorously evaluated for efficacy and safety in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) treated with endovascular thrombectomy (EVT). METHODS: Electronic databases were systematically searched for studies conducted from January 1, 2015, to July 31, 2021, that evaluated tirofiban administration for patients with AIS treated with EVT in comparison with control. Risk ratios (RRs) and confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated for favorable functional outcomes (FFOs), mortality, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage (SICH), each 90 days after AIS. Bayesian hierarchical modeling was performed to obtain posterior RR and its 95% highest posterior density (HPD) for validation. RESULTS: Compared with controls, tirofiban users exhibited increased FFOs (RR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.08-1.30), decreased mortality (RR, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.64-0.92), and no difference in SICH (RR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.77-1.23). Tirofiban users in the postbolus infusion subgroup exhibited increased FFOs (RR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.07-1.35), decreased mortality (RR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.58-0.88), and no increase in SICH (RR, 0.97; 95% CI, 0.72-1.29). The bolus-only subgroup showed no differences in FFO, mortality, or SICH between the tirofiban and control groups. Consistent results were obtained for posterior density of FFO (posterior RR, 1.20; 95% HPD, 1.06-1.34), mortality (posterior RR, 0.77; 95% HPD, 0.63-0.92), and SICH (posterior RR, 0.98; 95% HPD, 0.71-1.26). CONCLUSION: For patients with AIS treated with EVT, tirofiban improved FFOs, decreased mortality, and did not increase SICH compared with controls; postbolus infusion for administering tirofiban was more favored than the bolus-only regimen.

Split-hand index for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis diagnosis: A frequentist and Bayesian meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Preferential wasting of the thenar muscles, the split-hand sign, may be used for early diagnosis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). METHODS: Electronic databases were searched for studies assessing the split-hand index (SHI) and the compound muscle action potential (CMAP) amplitudes of abductor pollicis brevis (APB), first dorsal interosseous (FDI), and abductor digiti minimi (ADM). The SHI was obtained by multiplying CMAP amplitudes of APB and FDI and dividing the product by the CMAP amplitude of ADM. The Bayesian analysis was used for validation. RESULTS: In total, 17 studies and 1635 patients were included. Our meta-analysis revealed that ALS patients had significantly decreased SHI (standardized mean difference [SMD], -1.60, P < 0.001), CMAP of the APB (SMD, -1.67, P < 0.001), FDI (SMD, -1.12, P < 0.001), and ADM (SMD, -1.09, P < 0.001). The binormal receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed a threshold of < 7.4 for SHI, and cutoff values of < 6.4 mV for APB and < 8.4 mV for FDI, respectively. The Bayesian analysis validated decreased SHI in ALS patients (posterior mean difference of - 5.91). CONCLUSIONS: An SHI of < 7.4 can be used facilitating earlier diagnosis of ALS. SIGNIFICANCE: SHI can be used as a standard neurophysiological biomarker for early diagnosis.

Fever, Tachypnea, and Monocyte Distribution Width Predicts Length of Stay for Patients with COVID-19: A Pioneer Study.

(1) Background: Our study investigated whether monocyte distribution width (MDW) could be used in emergency department (ED) settings as a predictor of prolonged length of stay (LOS) for patients with COVID-19. (2) Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted; patients presenting to the ED of an academic hospital with confirmed COVID-19 were enrolled. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to obtain the odds ratios (ORs) for predictors of an LOS of >14 days. A validation study for the association between MDW and cycle of threshold (Ct) value was performed. (3) Results: Fever > 38 °C (OR: 2.82, 95% CI, 1.13−7.02, p = 0.0259), tachypnea (OR: 4.76, 95% CI, 1.67−13.55, p = 0.0034), and MDW ≥ 21 (OR: 5.67, 95% CI, 1.19−27.10, p = 0.0269) were robust significant predictors of an LOS of >14 days. We developed a new scoring system in which patients were assigned 1 point for fever > 38 °C, 2 points for tachypnea > 20 breath/min, and 3 points for MDW ≥ 21. The optimal cutoff was a score of ≥2. MDW was negatively associated with Ct value (ß: −0.32 per day, standard error = 0.12, p = 0.0099). (4) Conclusions: Elevated MDW was associated with a prolonged LOS.

Periappendiceal fat-stranding models for discriminating between complicated and uncomplicated acute appendicitis: a diagnostic and validation study.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have reported promising outcomes of non-operative treatment for uncomplicated appendicitis; however, the preoperative prediction of complicated appendicitis is challenging. We developed models by incorporating fat stranding (FS), which is commonly observed in perforated appendicitis. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We reviewed the data of 402 consecutive patients with confirmed acute appendicitis from our prospective registry. Multivariate logistic regression was performed to select clinical and radiographic factors predicting complicated acute appendicitis in our model 1 (involving backward elimination) and model 2 (involving stepwise selection). We compared c statistics among scoring systems developed by Bröker et al. (in J Surg Res 176(1):79-83. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jss.2011.09.049 , 2012), Imaoka et al. (in World J Emerg Surg 11(1):1-5, 2016), Khan et al. (in Cureus. https://doi.org/1010.7759/cureus.4765 , 2019), Kim et al. (in Ann Coloproctol 31(5):192, 2015), Kang et al. (in Medicine 98(23): e15768, 2019), Atema et al. (in Br J Surg 102(8):979-990. https://doi.org/10.1002/bjs.9835 , 2015), Avanesov et al. (in Eur Radiol 28(9):3601-3610, 2018), and Kim et al. (in Abdom Radiol 46:1-12, 2020). Finally, we examined our models by performing the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) test. RESULTS: Among enrolled patients, 64 (15.9%) had complicated acute appendicitis. We developed new 10-point scoring models by including the following variables: C-reactive protein, neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, and computed tomography features of FS, ascites, and appendicolith. A cutoff score of ≥ 6 exhibited a high sensitivity of 82.8% and a specificity of 82.8% for model 1 and 81.3% and 82.3% for model 2, respectively, with c statistics of 0.878 (model 1) and 0.879 (model 2). Compared with the model developed by Bröker et al. which included C-reactive protein and the abdominal pain duration (c statistic: 0.778), the models developed by Atema et al. (c statistic: 0.826, IDI: 5.92%, P = 0.0248), H.Y Kim et al. (c statistics: 0.838, IDI: 13.82%, P = 0.0248), and our two models (IDI: 18.29%, P < 0.0001) demonstrated a significantly higher diagnostic accuracy. CONCLUSION: Our models and the scoring systems developed by Atema et al. and Kim et al. were validated to have a high diagnostic accuracy; moreover, our models included the lowest number of variables.

Monocyte Distribution Width, Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio, and Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Improves Early Prediction for Sepsis at the Emergency.

(1) Background: Sepsis is a life-threatening condition, and most patients with sepsis first present to the emergency department (ED) where early identification of sepsis is challenging due to the unavailability of an effective diagnostic model. (2) Methods: In this retrospective study, patients aged ≥20 years who presented to the ED of an academic hospital with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) were included. The SIRS, sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and quick SOFA (qSOFA) scores were obtained for all patients. Routine complete blood cell testing in conjugation with the examination of new inflammatory biomarkers, namely monocyte distribution width (MDW), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), was performed at the ED. Propensity score matching was performed between patients with and without sepsis. Logistic regression was used for constructing models for early sepsis prediction. (3) Results: We included 296 patients with sepsis and 1184 without sepsis. A SIRS score of >2, a SOFA score of >2, and a qSOFA score of >1 showed low sensitivity, moderate specificity, and limited diagnostic accuracy for predicting early sepsis infection (c-statistics of 0.660, 0.576, and 0.536, respectively). MDW > 20, PLR > 9, and PLR > 210 showed higher sensitivity and moderate specificity. When we combined these biomarkers and scoring systems, we observed a significant improvement in diagnostic performance (c-statistics of 0.796 for a SIRS score of >2, 0.761 for a SOFA score of >2, and 0.757 for a qSOFA score of >1); (4) Conclusions: The new biomarkers MDW, NLR, and PLR can be used for the early detection of sepsis in the current sepsis scoring systems.

Posterior circulation acute stroke prognosis early CT scores in predicting functional outcomes: A meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Patients with posterior circulation acute ischemic stroke exhibit varied clinical presentations and functional outcomes. Whether posterior circulation acute stroke prognosis early computed tomography scores (PC-ASPECTS) predict unfavorable functional outcomes (UFO) for patients treated with different therapeutic regimens is unclear. METHODS: According to PRISMA guidelines, we performed a systematic search of electronic databases for studies assessing the functional outcomes of posterior circulation acute ischemic stroke using baseline PC-ASPECTS. The following three scales of PC-ASPECTS were retrieved: UFO prediction by using PC-ASPECTS per score decrease, UFO prediction by using binary PC-ASPECTS with a cut-off value, and the difference in PC-ASPECTS between patients with unfavorable and favorable functional outcomes. Moreover, a subgroup analysis was conducted for patients treated with intra-arterial endovascular treatment (IA-EVT) only. Sensitivity analysis with different definition of UFO and image modalities were also conducted. RESULTS: In total, 25 studies were included. In scale 1, PC-ASPECTS significantly predicted UFO (odds ratio [OR]: 1.66 per score decrease, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-2.07). In scale 2, binary PC-ASPECTS with a cut-off value between 6 and 9 significantly predicted UFO (OR: 3.91, 95% CI: 2.54-6.01). In scale 3, patients with UFO had lower PC-ASPECTS than those with favorable outcomes (standardized mean difference [SMD]: -0.67, 95% CI: -0.8 to -0.55). For patients treated with IA-EVT only, the scales demonstrated consistent results. Sensitivity analysis showed PC-ASPECTS significantly predicted UFO in both definitions of modified Rankin Scale ≥ 3 and ≥ 4, and magnetic resonance imaging was preferred imaging modality for PC-ASPECTS evaluation. CONCLUSION: Baseline PC-ASPECTS is effective in predicting UFO for patients with posterior circulation acute ischemic stroke treated with different therapeutic regimens.

Effect of Distance to Trauma Centre, Trauma Centre Level, and Trauma Centre Region on Fatal Injuries among Motorcyclists in Taiwan.

BACKGROUND: Studies have suggested that trauma centre-related risk factors, such as distance to the nearest trauma hospital, are strong predictors of fatal injuries among motorists. Few studies have used a national dataset to study the effect of trauma centre-related risk factors on fatal injuries among motorists and motorcyclists in a country where traffic is dominated by motorcycles. This study investigated the effect of distance from the nearest trauma hospital on fatal injuries from two-vehicle crashes in Taiwan from 2017 to 2019. METHODS: A crash dataset and hospital location dataset were combined. The crash dataset was extracted from the National Taiwan Traffic Crash Dataset from 1 January 2017 through 31 December 2019. The primary exposure in this study was distance to the nearest trauma hospital. This study performed a multiple logistic regression to calculate the adjusted odds ratios (AORs) for fatal injuries. RESULTS: The multivariate logistic regression models indicated that motorcyclists involved in crashes located ≥5 km from the nearest trauma hospital and in Eastern Taiwan were approximately five times more likely to sustain fatal injuries (AOR = 5.26; 95% CI: 3.69-7.49). CONCLUSIONS: Distance to, level of, and region of the nearest trauma centre are critical risk factors for fatal injuries among motorcyclists but not motorists. To reduce the mortality rate of trauma cases among motorcyclists, interventions should focus on improving access to trauma hospitals.

Pediatric Traffic Injuries on Halloween in the United Kingdom: Prevalence and Injury Severity.

The study results serve as a reminder for parents, children, and drivers to be alert to the danger of traffic crashes on Halloween. The aim of this study was to examine whether Halloween is associated with a higher incidence of traffic injuries and whether traffic injuries sustained on Halloween are more severe than those sustained on other days. The U.K. STATS19 database, including the data of all road traffic crashes occurring from 1990 to 2017, was employed. A total of 73,587 pediatric traffic casualties (involving pedestrians, cyclists, and moped riders) were included. Between 17:00 and 19:00 (17:00~18:59) on Halloween, the number of casualties was higher than that on other public holidays and usual days. The logistic regression model revealed that, between 17:00 and 18:00 (17:00~17:59), the risk of being killed or seriously injured on Halloween was 34.2% higher (odds ratio = 1.342; 95% CI = 1.065-1.692) than that on other days. Pediatric crashes occurring on Halloween are associated with a higher number of injuries and increased injury severity.

Evaluating the Effects of Holidays on Road Crash Injuries in the United Kingdom.

BACKGROUND: Research suggests that drivers tend to engage in risk-taking behaviours on public holidays. Studies that examined the association between holidays (or other special days) and fatal injuries are inconsistent. This study used UK STATS19 data to investigate the associations of nine public holidays on road crash casualties. METHODS: This retrospective study assessed UK STATS19 crash data for 1990-2017. All casualties from two vehicle crashes were initially considered; subsequently, casualties with missing data were excluded. Multiple logistic regression was estimated to explore the associations of potential risk factors with the likelihood of killed or seriously injured (KSI) casualties and to calculate adjusted odds ratios (AORs). RESULTS: In total, 3,751,998 casualties from traffic accidents in the United Kingdom during 1990-2017 were included in the final data set; among these, 410,299 (10.9%) were KSI casualties, and 3,341,699 (89.1%) were slight injuries. Crashes on public holidays were 16% (AOR = 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.13-1.19) more likely to involve KSI casualties than were crashes on non-holidays. With other factors controlled for, crashes during the Queen's 2002 Golden Jubilee and on New Year's Day were 48% (AOR = 1.48; 95% CI = 1.06-2.07) and 36% (AOR = 1.36; 1.26-1.48) more likely to lead to KSIs, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of crashes resulting in KSI casualties on public holidays was higher than that on non-holidays. Furthermore, crashes during the Queen's 2002 Golden Jubilee had the highest risk of KSI casualties followed by New Year's Day.

Factors associated with fat stranding on computed tomography in acute appendicitis.

To determine which factor is associated with presence of fat stranding sign for acute appendicitis on computed tomography (CT).This study reviewed the CT imaging of adults with proven acute appendicitis at a single center from January 1, 2015 to December 31, 2019. Logistic regression models were used to investigate the association between clinical characteristics and fat stranding sign. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to determine the cutoff value that helped predict the presence of fat stranding on CT.In total, 413 patients were included. Age of ≥40 years (OR: 3.10; 95% CI, 2.02-4.74; P < .0001), body mass index of ≥23 kg/m (OR: 2.86; 1.89-4.34; P < .0001), white blood cell count of ≥10,000/µl (OR: 1.77; 1.05-2.99; P = .0316), and C-reactive protein level of ≥2.4 mg/dl (OR: 3.17; 1.97-5.08; P < .0001) were significant factors predicting fat stranding on CT. The ROC analysis with above 4 factors showed an area under the curve of 0.76 (0.71-0.80).Body habitus, advanced age, and elevated inflammatory marker levels were independent in predicting fat stranding for patients with acute appendicitis.